UK election: Shock exit poll suggests Theresa May fails to win majority

A staff member sorts ballots from postal votes in Edinburgh, Scotland, on June 8, 2017. (AFP)
Updated 09 June 2017
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UK election: Shock exit poll suggests Theresa May fails to win majority

LONDON: Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative Party will fail to win an overall parliamentary majority in the UK election, leading to the possibility of a "hung parliament," according to a shock exit poll following today's vote.

The projection sees the party as winning 314 seats, short of an overall majority of the 650 seats in parliament. Labour was expected to win 266 seats, leaving no clear winner in the snap election.

If the poll proves accurate, it could lead to a hung parliament with no one party with a majority.

Such a result would likely plunge domestic politics into turmoil, with any delay in forming a government threatening to push back the start of Brexit talks, currently scheduled for June 19.

The poll forecast the Scottish National Party (SNP) would win 34 seats, the centre-left Liberal Democrats 14, the Welsh nationalist party Plaid Cymru three and the Greens one.

If the exit poll is correct, Labour, led by veteran socialist Jeremy Corbyn, could attempt to form a government with those smaller parties, which strongly oppose most of May's policies on domestic issues such as public spending cuts.

The exit poll, although a good indicator of broadly how Britons have voted, has not always correctly predicted the exact result in the past.

“If the poll is anything like accurate, this is completely catastrophic for the Conservatives and for Theresa May,” former Treasury chief George Osborne told the UK’s ITV television.

But others cautioned that it was too early to draw any conclusions from the predictions made by the exit poll.

“It’s still very, very early in the evening,” said Northern Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire. “It’s too early in the night to be drawing conclusions.”

The exit poll sent shockwaves through financial markets. Sterling, which had hit a two-week high of $1.2978 in morning trade after earlier polls had suggested a Conservative victory, dived to around $1.2780.

The final picture will not begin to emerge until early Friday while the votes are counted.

Britons streamed to the polls in the last few hours of a snap general election on Thursday after a campaign dominated by terror attacks and the uncertainty of Brexit.
May called the vote in April, when opinion poll ratings for her and her center-right Conservative Party were sky-high, presenting herself as the strong leader to steer the country through tough negotiations to leave the EU.
Although pre-election polls suggested she would increase her majority, extremist attacks in London and Manchester have put her under pressure, while campaign missteps have dented her reputation as a safe pair of hands.
Opposition Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, a socialist anti-war campaigner who only commands the confidence of a quarter of his own lawmakers, has run an energetic campaign, promising change and an end to austerity.
Security was heightened as millions cast their ballots in polling stations ranging from schools and public buildings to churches, pubs and even a windmill and a launderette.
“Together we can secure the best Brexit deal,” May said Thursday on Twitter.
“Your vote will help secure a stronger economy and a brighter future for Britain,” she said, sticking to campaign themes.
“If you believe in Britain and that our best days lie ahead, give me your backing to lead Britain.”
Corbyn, a veteran socialist who has never held ministerial office and defied the odds to win the Labour leadership two years ago, pledged he would “lead a government you can rely on.”
“We’ve left no place and no stone unturned to get the message out: that this country could be very different with a Labour government,” he said.
“Rise like lions. We are many, they are few.”
May and Corbyn both cast their votes in their respective constituencies of Maidenhead, southern England, and Islington, north London.
The Scottish nationalists were the third-biggest group in the outgoing parliament and are chasing a second independence referendum.
Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, the party leader, pledged “strong voices standing up for Scotland, against Tory cuts.”
Polling experts — many of whom failed to predict the historic referendum vote to leave the EU last year — are somewhat wary of calling the outcome.
But predictions of her expected margin of victory vary widely, and one shock model even predicted May could lose her working majority of 17 in the 650-seat House of Commons.
A final pre-election projection published earlier Thursday by pollster Michael Ashcroft predicted a Conservative majority of 76 seats, gaining ground as Labour and the Scottish nationalists slip back.
A final poll by YouGov on Wednesday put the Conservatives seven points ahead of Labour, while ICM gave May’s party a 12-point lead over its rivals.

But an earlier poll by YouGov on Tuesday found that May was on track to win 304 seats, short of a 326-seat majority. Her party had 330 seats when the election was called in April.

Stephan Shakespeare, CEO and founder of YouGov, said, however, the polling firm did not believe the narrowing of May’s lead was a consequence of the terrorist attack in London last weekend. “This has been a highly volatile election, but I think May will remain in Number 10,” he told Arab News earlier this week.

While May toured target seats around the country, delivering slogan-heavy speeches in workplaces, Corbyn drew large crowds to open-air rallies.
May, 60, has presented herself as uniquely qualified for EU divorce talks starting on June 19 and said her 68-year-old rival would be “alone and naked in the negotiating chamber.”
The London stock market and the pound slid on Thursday, with investors wary.
The FTSE 100 index, which initially rose and then eased back, ended the day with a loss of 0.4 percent. While the pound dipped, it was still holding on to gains made after May called the election.
It is the third time Britons have been called to vote since 2015, twice for a general election and once for the EU referendum, and voter fatigue appeared to be an issue for some.
“A lot of my family aren’t voting, which I’m shocked at,” said 20-year-old Alicia Milner in Halifax, northern England, saying they were “exhausted by government.”
The election is May’s first since taking office after Britons voted by 52 percent to leave the EU after four decades of membership.
“I want another five years of stability, and a stronger hand in Brexit negotiations,” said Dave, 29, in the London neighborhood of Hackney.
“The main issue for me is getting along with Brexit,” added Fabrizio, 42, in the wealthy London district of South Kensington.
Campaigning was rocked by a suicide bombing at a Manchester concert on May 22, which killed 22 people, followed by Saturday’s knife and van attack in central London, which left eight dead.
Campaigning was twice suspended in the aftermath of the attacks, which May blamed on “evil” extremist ideology.
The Conservatives were damaged by a manifesto plan for elderly care that would see some pay more, while Labour also pounced on government spending cuts aimed at reducing the budget deficit.
But there was a little light relief after an ill-tempered campaign as thousands of voters brought their pooches to polling stations, posting their pictures on Twitter under the hashtag #dogsatpollingstations.
One voter near Reading in southeast England turned up to cast her ballot on her horse, Splash.
- With Reuters and AFP


Uruguay’s center-left Orsi leads presidential runoff, exit polls say

Updated 8 sec ago
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Uruguay’s center-left Orsi leads presidential runoff, exit polls say

MONTEVIDEO: Early exit polls in Uruguay’s presidential election indicated on Sunday that the center-left opposition candidate Yamandu Orsi is ahead of his conservative rival Alvaro Delgado in a closely fought second-round race that promises to be a photo finish.
Orsi had secured 49.5 percent of the vote, according to an exit poll from Cifra, followed by 45.9 percent for Delgado for the ruling coalition. Equipos Consultores also predicted an Orsi win with 49.0 percent of the vote and 46.6 percent for Delgado.
 


Romanian leftist PM and hard-right candidate in a tie after initial presidential election round, partial results show

Updated 25 November 2024
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Romanian leftist PM and hard-right candidate in a tie after initial presidential election round, partial results show

  • Romania’s staunchly pro-Ukraine stance at risk
  • Hard-right Georgescu has questioned NATO commitment to collective defense

BUCHAREST: A Romanian hard-right NATO critic and leftist Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu appeared in dead heat after the first round of presidential elections on Sunday, partial tallies showed, in a shock result threatening Romania’s staunchly pro-Ukraine stance.
After nearly 90 percent of votes were counted, Calin Georgescu, 62, was at 22 percent, while Ciolacu had 21.7 percent. However, ballots from the sizeable Romanian diaspora, which are not included in the main tally, showed a center-right politician, Elena Lasconi, 52, first with 33.4 percent and Georgescu second.
Romania’s president has a semi-executive role that gives him or her control over defense spending — likely to be a difficult issue as Bucharest comes under pressure to uphold NATO spending goals during Donald Trump’s second term as US president while trying to reduce a heavy fiscal deficit.
Lasconi told supporters after exit polls were released giving her a small lead over Georgescu, with Ciolacu in first place, that she was optimistic about making the runoff. “But as you can see, the results are very tight, let us wait until tomorrow’s results to rejoice.”
Campaigning focused largely on the soaring cost of living, with Romania having the EU’s biggest share of people at risk of poverty.
Georgescu is a former prominent member of the hard-right Alliance for Uniting Romanians party.
In 2021 he has called NATO’s ballistic missile defense shield in the Romanian town of Deveselu a “shame of diplomacy” and said the North Atlantic alliance will not protect any of its members should they be attacked by Russia.
Lasconi, a former journalist, joined the Save Romania Union (USR) in 2018 and became party head this year. She believes in raising defense spending and helping Ukraine, and surveys suggest she would beat Ciolacu in a runoff.
Romania shares a 650-km (400-mile) border with Ukraine and since Russia attacked Kyiv in 2022, it has enabled the export of millions of tons of grain through its Black Sea port of Constanta and provided military aid, including the donation of a Patriot air defense battery.
“It will be a tight run-off, with the Social Democrat leader more vulnerable to negative campaigning due to him being an incumbent PM,” said political commentator Radu Magdin.


Somalia says 24 people have died after 2 boats capsized in the Indian Ocean

Updated 25 November 2024
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Somalia says 24 people have died after 2 boats capsized in the Indian Ocean

  • A delegation led by the Somali ambassador to Ethiopia is scheduled to travel to Madagascar on Monday to investigate the incident and coordinate efforts to help survivors

MOGADISHU, Somalia: Twenty-four people died after two boats capsized off the Madagascar coast in the Indian Ocean, Somalia’s government said Sunday.
Somalia’s Foreign Minister Ahmed Moalim Fiqi said 46 people were rescued.
“We are working tirelessly to ensure the survivors are brought back home safely and provided with the necessary care,” he said.
Most of the passengers were young Somalis, and their intended destination remains unclear. Many young Somalis embark every year on dangerous journeys in search of better opportunities abroad.
A delegation led by the Somali ambassador to Ethiopia is scheduled to travel to Madagascar on Monday to investigate the incident and coordinate efforts to help survivors.
Fiqi also said Sunday that Somalia’s ambassador to Morocco will look into a separate report of Somali youth stranded on Morocco’s coastline. It is not clear when the Morocco incident took place and Fiqi did not provide details.
The UN migration agency has in the past raised concern over rising cases of irregular migration from the Horn of Africa countries as people flee from conflict and drought.
In April, 38 migrants died and 22 others were rescued from a shipwreck off Djibouti on a popular route to Yemen. Most of those rescued were of Somali and Ethiopian nationalities.

 


‘It wasn’t just about me’: Imam honored for unity efforts after UK race riots

Updated 24 November 2024
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‘It wasn’t just about me’: Imam honored for unity efforts after UK race riots

  • Three children were killed, and 10 others — eight of whom were children — were injured in an attack in Southport
  • In days following attack, crowds gathered to demonstrate outside Liverpool mosque

LONDON: A Muslim leader in the UK has been recognized for his efforts to foster unity after embracing protesters outside Liverpool’s Abdullah Quilliam Mosque in the wake of a knife attack in the northern English town of Southport in July.

Three children were killed, and 10 others — eight of whom were children — were injured in the attack.

Axel Rudakubana was detained and charged with three counts of murder, 10 counts of attempted murder, and possession of a bladed article.

In the days following the attack, crowds gathered to demonstrate outside the mosque in Liverpool after misinformation was spread online about the knife attack suspect.

Imam Adam Kelwick described how he approached protesters outside the mosque once tensions had eased, offering food, handshakes, and conversations.

Photographs of the peaceful exchanges, which included sharing food and even hugs, went viral, symbolizing a moment of reconciliation.

After receiving the Most Impactful Imam accolade at the British Beacon Mosque Awards, Kelwick said: “It wasn’t just about me. I’m dedicating this award to the people of Liverpool, who really came together during difficult times.”

He added: “Some of the most vocal protesters, after everyone else had gone, came inside the mosque for a little tour.”

The imam praised Liverpool’s residents for their unity.

“For those who knew better than to blame a whole religion for the evil actions of one person, for those who came to defend our mosque, and even for those who protested but later reflected and opened their hearts,” he said.

Kelwick, also a humanitarian aid worker and long-time volunteer, expressed gratitude for the award, which recognizes the contributions of mosques and leaders across the UK.


India mosque survey sparks clashes, two dead

Armed police personnel stand guard following religious violence near the Shahi Jama Masjid in Sambhal on November 24, 2024. AFP
Updated 24 November 2024
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India mosque survey sparks clashes, two dead

  • Hindu nationalist activists were emboldened earlier this year when Modi inaugurated a grand new Hindu temple in Ayodhya, built on grounds once home to Babri mosque

LUCKNOW: Indian Muslim protesters clashed with police Sunday with at least two people killed in riots sparked by a survey investigating if a 17th-century mosque was built on a Hindu temple.
“Two persons were confirmed dead,” Pawan Kumar, a police officer in Sambhal in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh, told AFP, adding that 16 police officers were “seriously injured” during the clashes.
The Press Trust of India news agency quoted officials saying three people had died.
Hindu activist groups have laid claim to several mosques they say were built over Hindu temples during the Muslim Mughal empire centuries ago.
Street battles broke out when a team of surveyors entered the Shahi Jama Masjid in Sambhal on orders from a local court, after a petition from a Hindu priest claiming it was built on the site of a Hindu temple.
Protesters on Sunday hurled rocks at police, who fired tear gas canisters to clear the crowd.
Hindu nationalist activists were emboldened earlier this year when Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurated a grand new Hindu temple in the northern city of Ayodhya, built on grounds once home to the centuries-old Babri mosque.
That mosque was torn down in 1992 in a campaign spearheaded by members of Modi’s party, sparking sectarian riots that killed 2,000 people nationwide, most of them Muslims.
Some Hindu campaigners see an ideological patron in Modi.
Calls for India to more closely align the country’s officially secular political system with its majority Hindu faith have rapidly grown louder since Modi was swept to office in 2014, making the country’s roughly 210-million-strong Muslim minority increasingly anxious about their future.