Saudi Aramco takes steps to maximize IPO valuation

Updated 20 June 2017
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Saudi Aramco takes steps to maximize IPO valuation

DUBAI: The government of Saudi Arabia and Saudi Aramco are taking further steps toward maximizing the value of the state-owned oil giant in preparation for the sale of shares to citizens and international investors next year, according to reports.

The measures reportedly include moving some liabilities from Aramco to the government, as well as clarifying the relationship between the oil company and some of the non-oil projects it funds within the Kingdom.

According to a report by the Financial Times (FT), Aramco is looking to present potential investors with a set of “pristine” financial accounts designed to back up the official valuation of $2 trillion put on the company, the largest oil group in the world.

A spokesman for Aramco declined to comment on the report because the matters were still under consideration.

Another person familiar with the matter said that preparing detailed financial accounts was a normal part of the preparation process for an initial public offering (IPO) of shares on a stock exchange.  

There has been some skepticism among international energy analysts that the $2 trillion valuation figure will be reached, but — following a change to the Kingdom’s treatment of oil company taxation earlier this year — independent valuations have been moving upward toward the target.

One factor thought to be affecting investor sentiment has been Aramco’s historic financial support of non-oil projects, ranging from hospitals to sports stadiums.

The spokesman said that such projects were “in the long-term commercial interest of Saudi Aramco and have no material impact on its result.”

In addition to the measures recently taken and the taxation change, Aramco is also believed to have commissioned a new estimate of its overall reserves, vital for deciding valuation and is working with advisers on deciding a dividend policy, which will help determine investor appetite for the shares in any IPO.

The FT, citing four people briefed on the matter, said that the moves “reflected efforts to present a streamlined set of financials to investors.”

It added that an instruction has been issued to shift historical debts from foreign governments, including Jordan and Iraq, from Aramco’s accounts on to the government’s books. 

Under a separate resolution the Kingdom plans to create a mechanism — via a special tax deduction — to compensate Aramco for the financial cost of subsidizing fuels such as petrol for domestic motorists and gas for power generation, the FT added.

It also said that payments owed to Aramco by state entities, such as the national airline Saudi Arabian Airlines, which is also known as Saudia, and the domestic utility Saudi Electricity Company (SEC), will be moved to the Saudi Ministry of Finance.

Aramco is believed to be preparing historic 2015 and 2016 financial statements alongside pro-forma accounts for 2017 to investors for the first time ahead of the IPO.

The market flotation of Aramco will be by far the biggest IPO in history, with a value of $100 billion if, as has been officially suggested, 5 percent of the shares are sold on a $2 trillion valuation.

It is the centerpiece of the Vision 2030 strategy aimed at reducing the Kingdom’s dependence on oil and at transforming the national economy, and will be part of a $300 billion plan to privatize assets held by the Saudi government.

People familiar with the situation say that Aramco has been in talks with the stock exchanges in New York and London with a view to listing some of the shares on those exchanges, in addition to the Tadawul in Riyadh and possibly an Asian stock market.

• Frank Kane is an award-winning business journalist based in Dubai. He can be reached on Twitter @frankkanedubai


UAE to resume flights to Syria after 12-year hiatus

Updated 6 sec ago
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UAE to resume flights to Syria after 12-year hiatus

JEDDAH: The UAE is set to reestablish air links with Syria, announcing the resumption of flights after more than a decade-long suspension, according to the country’s official news agency.

Flights between the UAE and Syria were halted in 2012, following the outbreak of the Syrian civil war. Both Emirates and Etihad Airways suspended their operations to Damascus due to rising security concerns, in alignment with broader regional moves at the time.

In a shift that began in December 2018, the UAE reopened its embassy in Damascus — an early signal of thawing relations. The country’s aviation authority subsequently announced it was exploring the possibility of restarting flights. However, at the time, both Emirates and Etihad maintained that they had no immediate plans to resume service, while continuing to monitor the situation.

Syria’s main international airport in Damascus resumed international flights on Jan. 7, marking the first commercial operation since opposition forces ousted Bashar Al-Assad the previous month.

The UAE’s General Civil Aviation Authority confirmed that coordination is currently underway to finalize the procedures necessary for reestablishing direct flights. The move is aimed at enhancing air connectivity and facilitating the flow of passengers and cargo, WAM reported.

This decision is part of a broader regional trend of Arab nations re-engaging with Syria.

In January, Saudi Arabia resumed commercial flights and launched an air bridge to deliver critical humanitarian aid, supporting reconstruction efforts under Syria’s new leadership. On March 19, the Kingdom inaugurated a direct route from Dammam—the first in 13 years—serving more than 2.5 million Syrian residents in Saudi Arabia and helping reunite families.

Qatar Airways followed suit on April 15, reinstating its service to Damascus after nearly 13 years. The airline now offers three weekly flights, signaling a significant step toward the normalization of travel and trade.

In parallel, Syria’s new government has ramped up diplomatic outreach, with Foreign Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani visiting several regional capitals, including Riyadh, Doha, and Abu Dhabi, in efforts to restore ties and attract support for rebuilding the country.


Saudi inflation holds at 2.3% in March amid rising housing and food prices

Updated 59 sec ago
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Saudi inflation holds at 2.3% in March amid rising housing and food prices

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate accelerated to 2.3 percent in March, driven by higher costs for housing rents, food, and personal goods, official data showed.

The increase was notably influenced by the housing segment’s 25.5 percent weight in the Consumer Price Index.

According to the General Authority for Statistics, the rise was mainly due to a 6.9 percent increase in the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels category. This was largely fueled by an 8.2 percent jump in actual housing rents, with apartment rents surging 11.9 percent.

Food and beverage prices also contributed to the annual uptick, climbing 2 percent, primarily due to a 3.8 percent increase in meat and poultry costs. Meanwhile, the personal goods and services category rose 3.9 percent, driven by a sharp 26.2 percent spike in the prices of jewelry, watches, and precious antiques.

Other contributing factors included the restaurants and hotels segment, which rose 1.3 percent, largely due to a 3.3 percent increase in hotel and furnished apartment service prices. Education costs went up by 1.1 percent, with tertiary education fees rising 4.3 percent.

In contrast, transport prices fell 0.8 percent, driven by a 1.5 percent decline in vehicle purchase costs. The furnishings and household equipment category dropped 2.6 percent, while clothing and footwear prices declined 0.8 percent, impacted by a 1.9 percent drop in ready-made clothing.

On a monthly basis, the CPI increased by 0.3 percent in March compared to February. This was attributed to a 0.5 percent rise in the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels segment, driven by a 0.6 percent increase in housing rents.

The food and beverage group also edged up by 0.3 percent month on month, as vegetable prices rose 2 percent. Other notable monthly increases included personal goods and services at 0.4 percent, restaurants and hotels at 0.5 percent, and recreation and culture at 0.6 percent, as well as education at 0.7 percent, clothing and footwear at 0.3 percent, and communication at 0.1 percent. 

The report also noted a 0.9 percent monthly decline in furnishings and household equipment, while prices in the transport, health, and tobacco categories showed no significant change.

Wholesale price index

In a separate report, GASTAT noted that Saudi Arabia’s Wholesale Price Index increased 1.5 percent year on year in March, driven by a 3.2 percent rise in the prices of other transportable goods and a 3.6 percent increase in agriculture and fishery products.

Food products, beverages, tobacco, and textiles edged up 0.1 percent annually, supported by a 2.1 percent rise in grain mills, starch, and other food items, as well as a 1.2 percent increase in leather and leather product prices, including footwear.

By contrast, prices for metal products, machinery, and equipment fell 0.2 percent, driven by a 3.5 percent drop in general-purpose machinery and a 5.5 percent decline in radio, television, and communication equipment costs.

Ores and minerals recorded a 1.9 percent year-on-year decrease due to falling prices for stone and sand.

On a monthly basis, the WPI rose 0.4 percent in March compared to February, led by a 0.4 percent increase in the prices of metal products, machinery, and equipment.

This was primarily driven by a 2.9 percent rise in fabricated metal products and a 0.6 percent increase in electrical machinery and apparatus.  

The same rate of increase was recorded in other transportable goods, while food-related categories edged up 0.2 percent, driven mainly by a 0.5 percent rise in the prices of grain mills, starch, and other food products, along with a 0.1 percent increase in prices of meat, fish, fruits, vegetables, oils, and fats. 

Agriculture and fishery product prices inched up 0.1 percent, while the ores and minerals segment remained stable with no significant change.


Saudi real estate prices rise 4.3% in Q1 on residential sector gains: GASTAT 

Updated 13 min 21 sec ago
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Saudi real estate prices rise 4.3% in Q1 on residential sector gains: GASTAT 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate market maintained its growth trajectory in the first quarter of 2025, with overall property prices climbing 4.3 percent year on year, official data showed. 

According to the General Authority for Statistics, residential property prices rose 5.1 percent in the first quarter of the year, while commercial real estate prices increased by 2.5 percent. In contrast, the agricultural sector saw a 1.1 percent decline in property values during the same period.

The real estate sector plays a pivotal role in the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 strategy to diversify the economy by transforming Saudi Arabia into a regional hub for tourism, business, and living, with authorities introducing a range of policy measures in recent years to boost home ownership and enhance transparency in real estate transactions. 

“Data indicates that real estate prices in the residential sector experienced varying increases in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same quarter of the previous year,” GASTAT said in its quarterly Real Estate Price Index report. 

Within the residential segment, which holds a 72.7 percent weight in the index, land plot prices, the largest sub-category, increased by 5.3 percent. Villa costs jumped 10.3 percent, apartment prices gained 1.2 percent, and residential floor costs climbed 2.8 percent, the analysis showed. 

The commercial sector’s 2.5 percent annual growth was primarily led by a 2.4 percent increase in land prices, while commercial building prices rose 3.1 percent and shop or gallery prices were up 5.1 percent.   

Regional trends

Regarding the impact of administrative regions on the annual change, the national level recorded an increase of 4.3 percent.

“This was mainly driven by the annual price increase in Riyadh Region by 10.7 percent, followed by Makkah Region at 1.5 percent, while the Eastern Region recorded a decline of 5.5 percent,” the report said.

It added: “At the regional level, Northern Borders, Al-Jouf, and Najran recorded the highest annual increases after Riyadh, at 8.7 percent, 8.2 percent, and 5.6 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, Eastern and Asir Regions recorded the highest rates of decline, at 5.5 percent and 4.4 percent, respectively.” 

Quarterly comparison

Compared to the final quarter of 2024, the overall real estate index was up 0.7 percent in the first quarter. Residential prices increased 1.9 percent over the period, fueled by a 3.2 percent rise in land plot costs. Apartment and residential floor prices edged up 0.2 percent each, while villa costs declined 1.4 percent.

In the commercial sector, prices declined by 2.1 percent quarter on quarter, driven by a 2.6 percent drop in commercial land plot prices.

“In contrast, building prices increased by 1.6 percent, and gallery/shop prices rose by 1.8 percent. Similarly, prices in the agricultural real estate sector declined by 3.8 percent, driven by a corresponding 3.8 percent decrease in agricultural land prices,” the report added. 


Tech, auto shares gain as Trump floats more tariff exemptions amid confusion

Updated 15 April 2025
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Tech, auto shares gain as Trump floats more tariff exemptions amid confusion

GDANSK/BENGALURU: Big Tech and auto shares rose after the US removed smartphones and other electronics from its tariffs on China over the weekend, and after President Donald Trump added new wrinkles into his vacillating trade policy on Monday by suggesting he might grant exemptions on auto-related levies already in place.

Trump’s aggressive tariffs, which would have raised the rate consumers and businesses would have to pay for imported goods by roughly 25 percent, sparked a selloff in US assets, including stocks, the dollar and Treasury bonds. The market rebounded on Monday, but the broad-market S&P 500 index is still down about 8 percent so far this year.

The shifting stances caused investors to question the safe-haven status that America has long enjoyed and sapped both business and consumer confidence. The shock response forced the White House to backtrack, but Trump over the weekend insisted more levies were in store.

Speaking on Monday at the White House, Trump said he was considering a modification to the 25 percent tariffs imposed on foreign auto and auto parts imports from Mexico, Canada and other places. Those tariffs could raise the costs of a car by thousands of dollars, and Trump said car companies “need a little bit of time because they’re going to make ‘em here.”

US automakers developed a highly integrated supply chain that involves sending vehicles in various stages of completion across the borders several times after the passage of the North American Free Trade Agreement that was renegotiated during Trump’s first term. Shares of General Motors and Ford Motor closed 3.5 percent and 4.1 percent higher, respectively, on Monday.

“We share the President’s goal to increase American automotive production, and we appreciate the ongoing dialogue with the Administration. There is increasing awareness that broad tariffs on parts could undermine our shared goal of building a thriving and growing American auto industry, and that many of these supply chain transitions will take time,” said Matt Blunt, head of the American Automotive Policy Council representing Ford, GM and Stellantis, in a statement on Monday.

This weekend’s exemptions suggest the White House was becoming more aware of the pain that tariffs had in store for inflation-weary consumers, especially on popular products such as smartphones, laptops and other electronic devices. However, his promise of more tariffs on other key sectors like semiconductors as soon as next week leaves business in a state of flux. Monday afternoon, the White House said it had launched investigations into whether imports of pharmaceuticals and semiconductors threaten national security, which could be a precursor to slapping tariffs on those products.

“Not only is the scope of the tariff globally hard to grasp, but the uncertainty means businesses will have little confidence in their planning,” said economists at Morgan Stanley on Monday.

Trump and other administration officials, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, have said tariffs are necessary for boosting American manufacturing, and are critical to the White House's tax plans.

However, the tax on imports — which BlackRock estimated on Monday now comes to about 20 percent following the pullback on tariffs on tech imports — has undermined business and consumer confidence. Luxury goods maker LVMH reported a drop in US sales in the most recent quarter, while company executives said they may have “some capacity” to boost product — though its facilities in the US have faced notable problems.

“Prolonged uncertainty raises the risk of recession. It may drag on corporate investment and delay longer-term commitments,” BlackRock wrote, adding that the risk of a short-term accident had eased due to the pullback on tariffs.

Big Tech shares slumped in the past two weeks as tit-for-tat tariffs between Washington and Beijing stoked fears of higher costs, softer consumer demand and the worst supply-chain disruption since the COVID-19 pandemic. Apple rose 2.2 percent on Monday after a 9 percent drop in the past two weeks. Its flagship product, the iPhone — primarily made in China and imported into the US — was at risk of significant price hikes if substantial tariffs persisted, analysts warned.

Trump has maintained a hefty 145 percent tariff on China, including the 20 percent tariffs imposed in February related to fentanyl.

The exemptions cover 20 categories, including computers and laptops, as well as semiconductor devices, memory chips and flat panel displays. Analysts broadly said that the exemptions give companies more time to plan for where tariffs settle out.

“The removal of the worst-case scenario is an element of support (at least temporarily) for the sector,” analyst Alberto Gegra of Equita said.

Other consumer-facing companies including computer hardware makers HP and Dell Technologies rose 2.6 percent and 4 percent, respectively, while chip giant Nvidia edged lower. Nvidia on Monday said it would boost U.S. spending on facilities for AI development — which Trump attributed to the tariff threat.

European and Asian chip stocks also advanced, including major Asian suppliers to companies such as Apple. Foxconn, the largest iPhone assembler, gained 3%, contract laptop maker Quanta rose 5.8 percent and Inventec, which makes AI servers, rose 4.1 percent.


Oil Updates — crude edges up on potential US tariff exemptions on cars 

Updated 15 April 2025
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Oil Updates — crude edges up on potential US tariff exemptions on cars 

SINGAPORE: Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday, supported by new tariff exemptions floated by US President Donald Trump and a rebound in China crude oil imports in anticipation of tighter Iranian supply, according to Reuters. 

Brent crude futures gained 25 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $65.13 per barrel by 9:30 am Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 28 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $61.81. 

“Trump granted exemptions on electronic tariffs and signalled an auto tariff relief, both of which are seen as setbacks from the previously announced import levies, hence, providing some relief to risk assets, including oil,” said independent market analyst Tina Teng. 

“However, the rally in stocks and growth-sentiment commodities is sceptical, as his policy is unpredictable.” 

In the latest development in Trump’s whipsawing trade war, he said he was considering a modification to the 25 percent tariffs imposed on foreign auto and auto parts imports from Mexico, Canada and other places. 

The vacillating US trade policies have created uncertainty for global oil markets and pushed OPEC on Monday to lower its demand outlook for the first time since December. 

The Trump administration had announced on Friday that it would grant exclusions from tariffs on smartphones, computers and some other electronic goods, most of which are imported from China. That drove both oil benchmarks to settle up slightly higher on Monday. 

On Sunday, Trump said he would announce the tariff rate on imported semiconductors over the next week and a Monday Federal Register filing showed the administration had begun an investigation into imports of semiconductors on April 1. 

“The market is digesting fast-moving policy developments on the tariff front, while balancing them with nuclear talks between the US and Iran,” said ING analysts in a Tuesday note. 

“Clearly, the market is more focused on tariffs and what they mean for oil demand.” 

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Friday the US could stop Iranian oil exports as part of Trump’s plan to pressure Tehran over its nuclear program. 

Also supporting prices were data on Monday showing that China’s crude oil imports in March were up nearly 5 percent from a year earlier, as arrivals of Iranian oil surged in anticipation of tighter US sanctions enforcement. 

Kazakhstan said on Monday that its oil output fell 3 percent in the first two weeks of April from the March average, confirming a Reuters report, although that still leaves its production above its OPEC+ quota.