BEIRUT: The Lebanese central bank has the foreign-currency reserves it needs to keep the pound stable against the US dollar at its pegged rate for the foreseeable future, the central bank governor said on Tuesday.
Riad Salameh said in an interview that since June the central bank has been engaged in three financial operations intended to maintain high levels of dollar assets and to help banks to run their credit portfolios in a less risky way.
“The reserves of the central bank are now at $44.3 billion, so it is a record high,” Salameh said at the headquarters of the central bank in Beirut. “These operations have contributed in increasing the dollar assets of the central bank.”
Salameh declined to say by how much dollar assets had increased as a result of the three operations, but he said Lebanon’s foreign currency reserves stood at $40 billion at the start of the year.
“I can affirm that the Lebanese pound is stable — the policy to keep it stable is not about to change — and that we have the means to keep this currency stable against the value of the US dollar for the foreseeable future,” Salameh said.
Lebanese government officials had recently suggested the pound, which has been pegged at around 1,500 to the dollar for 20 years, could come under pressure unless the state levied new taxes to pay for a public-sector pay rise. The controversial taxes were approved by Parliament this month.
Lebanon’s foreign currency reserves fell last year to around $35 billion, strained by a slowdown in deposits, a negative balance of payments and political paralysis, which weighed on investor confidence.
To increase reserves, maintain the US dollar peg and raise banks’ capital reserves, the central bank last year undertook what the International Monetary Fund termed “unconventional” financial engineering, raising dollar reserves to a then-record high of $41
billion.
The problems that prompted last year’s engineering have eased, Salameh said. Deposits are growing 6 to 7 percent and Lebanon’s balance of payments is now in equilibrium.
Salameh said the three financial operations currently underway to maintain dollar levels were “completely different” from last year’s financial engineering.
First, he said, Lebanese pounds are being swapped from short- to medium-term tenure, “enhanced by a differential of 1 percent over the yield curve on the Lebanese pound.”
Second, he said, there are “medium- to long-term dollar deposit opportunities for the banks, with a half percent over the yield curve.”
The third operation is against long-term US dollar deposits, where a bank “can obtain a credit line in Lebanese pounds at 2
percent to be invested in Lebanese
instruments.”
Lebanon’s economy has been battered by six years of war in neighboring Syria and by political divisions, which have slowed growth to just over 1 percent a year from an average of 8 percent before the conflict. Lebanon has one of the world’s highest ratios of debt to gross domestic product, around 140 percent.
Salameh said the central bank estimates a “modest” growth rate of 2.5 percent for 2017.
He said real estate prices had dropped “by maybe 10 percent” compared with last year, according to central bank statistics. “I don’t think prices can go up for the time being in the real estate market,” he said.
However, a good tourism season had led to increased consumption, and imports had increased, he said.
Some of Lebanon’s political problems have abated since last year: A political deal ended a two-and-a-half-year presidential vacuum and installed a new government under Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri. The government recently approved its first budget in 12 years. Salameh said the approval of the 2017 budget this month was a good start, indicating that “a new discipline is in place.”
He said markets were now waiting to see if the 2018 budget contained measures to bring the deficit down.
Directed by Salameh since 1993, the central bank has often been described as one of the few pillars of stability in Lebanon. But it has recently faced unusually fierce
criticism.
Last month, the central bank published a detailed, five-page rebuttal of criticism levelled against it by a research paper that warned Lebanon faced “financial crisis conditions that may turn into full-fledged crisis” affecting the exchange rate.
Last week, a Lebanese MP called in parliament for publication of detailed central bank accounts. The finance minister responded that these were sent annually to his ministry.
“We have seen a build-up in campaigns against the monetary stability that started more than a year ago,” Salameh said.
“We don’t know the objectives of these campaigns, but if we look at the figures we can see that the confidence was not affected: Deposits are growing, the balance of payments is improving compared with where we were in 2015. Interest rates did not go up.”
In the absence of effective government decision-making, the central bank has for many years quietly steered policy in Lebanon, using stimulus packages and financial engineering to maintain monetary stability and keep growth ticking over.
The central bank would continue to play that role, he said.
If Lebanon manages to start bringing its deficit down, the central bank would not have to carry out its “unconventional operations,” Salameh said.
Salameh said oversubscribed Lebanese treasury bill auctions and higher interest from international investors in Lebanon’s Euro-bonds showed markets were “positive on the
future” of Lebanon.
— REUTERS
Lebanese central bank says pound stable, adds to forex reserves
Lebanese central bank says pound stable, adds to forex reserves
Oil Updates – prices ease but remain near 2-week highs on Russia, Iran tensions
SINGAPORE: Oil prices retreated on Monday following 6 percent gains last week, but remained near two-week highs as geopolitical tensions grew between Western powers and major oil producers Russia and Iran, raising risks of supply disruption.
Brent crude futures slipped 26 cents, or 0.35 percent, to $74.91 a barrel by 7:40 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $70.97 a barrel, down 27 cents, or 0.38 percent.
Both contracts last week notched their biggest weekly gains since late September to reach their highest settlement levels since Nov. 7 after Russia fired a hypersonic missile at Ukraine in a warning to the US and UK following strikes by Kyiv on Russia using US and British weapons.
“Oil prices are starting the new week with some slight cool-off as market participants await more cues from geopolitical developments and the Fed’s policy outlook to set the tone,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
“Tensions between Ukraine and Russia have edged up a notch lately, leading to some pricing for the risks of a wider escalation potentially impacting oil supplies.”
As both Ukraine and Russia vie to gain some leverage ahead of any upcoming negotiations under a Trump administration, the tensions may likely persist into the year-end, keeping Brent prices supported around $70-$80, Yeap added.
In addition, Iran reacted to a resolution passed by the UN nuclear watchdog on Thursday by ordering measures such as activating various new and advanced centrifuges used in enriching uranium.
“The IAEA censure and Iran’s response heightens the likelihood that Trump will look to enforce sanctions against Iran’s oil exports when he comes into power,” Vivek Dhar, a commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia said in a note.
Enforced sanctions could sideline about 1 million barrels per day of Iran’s oil exports, about 1 percent of global oil supply, he said.
The Iranian foreign ministry said on Sunday that it will hold talks about its disputed nuclear program with three European powers on Nov. 29.
“Markets are concerned not only about damage to oil ports and infrastructure, but also the possibility of war contagion and involvement of more countries,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.
Investors were also focused on rising crude oil demand at China and India, the world’s top and third-largest importers, respectively.
China’s crude imports rebounded in November as lower prices drew stockpiling demand while Indian refiners increased crude throughput by 3 percent on year to 5.04 million bpd in October, buoyed by fuel exports.
For the week, traders will be eyeing US personal consumption expenditures data, due on Wednesday, as that will likely inform the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for Dec. 17-18, Sachdeva said.
Saudi Arabia’s private debt market targets over $1.77bn by Q3 2024: report
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s private debt market is experiencing significant growth, with eight active funds targeting to raise over $1.77 billion in capital by the third quarter of 2024, according to a new report.
This growth is driven by a sharp rise in investor confidence, with 97 percent of Middle East-based institutional investors now viewing the Kingdom as the most promising market for private debt in the coming year, up from 82 percent in 2023, based on Preqin survey data.
The report, titled “Territory Guide: The Rise of Private Debt Funds in Saudi Arabia 2024,” was published in collaboration with Saudi Venture Capital Co. It highlights the increasing interest from both regional and global investors, fueled by the positive outcomes of the Kingdom's Vision 2030 reforms.
The findings align with the fact that Saudi Arabia accounts for up to 27.5 percent of private debt fund transactions in the Middle East and North Africa region between 2016 and the third quarter of 2024.
In 2022, private debt funds focused on Saudi Arabia raised a record $335 million in total capital, a sharp rise from the $32 million raised by a single fund in 2003.
“This first-of-its-kind report highlights the emergence of private debt funds as a key asset class in Saudi Arabia, driven by the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 and its ambition to diversify the economy,” said Nabeel Koshak, CEO and board member at SVC.
“At SVC, we continue our commitment to support the development of such reports that provide policymakers, investors, and founders with insights and data to inform strategic decisions and policies to nurture the private capital ecosystem further,” Koshak added.
David Dawkins, lead author of the report at Preqin, commented: “Global investment firms are not alone in closely watching the growth and evolution of Saudi Arabia’s nascent private debt industry.”
Dawkins also noted: “For other developing economies in the Middle East and beyond, Saudi Arabia’s success in this area will strengthen the impetus for improving transparency to secure the capital needed for sustainable growth in a net-zero world.”
The study further revealed that among all private debt funds with investments tied to Saudi Arabia that concluded between 2016 and the third quarter of 2024, mezzanine funds accounted for 50 percent of total exposure, with direct lending and venture debt funds closely following at 30 percent and 20 percent, respectively.
Support for startups and small to medium-sized enterprises in the Kingdom is also reflected in the high proportion of venture debt, which represents 75 percent of all funds in the market with Saudi Arabia exposure.
The report also highlighted that private debt marked its second consecutive year as the asset class with the highest proportion of Middle Eastern investors intending to increase their investments in the coming year. Nearly 58 percent of investors expressed this sentiment, up from 50 percent in 2023.
The percentage of investors considering private debt the most promising asset class in the region rose by 12 percentage points, from 31 percent in 2023.
Private debt is expected to further bolster Saudi Arabia’s growing entrepreneurial community as the nation advances toward its Vision 2030 goals. Since 2018, new regulatory frameworks have been implemented, ushering in an era of increased transparency and equity within the private debt sector, closely aligned with the Kingdom’s broader investment vision.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,864
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 24.38 points, or 0.21 percent, to close at 11,864.90.
The benchmark index recorded a trading turnover of SR4.22 billion ($1.12 billion), with 124 stocks advancing and 99 declining.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also posted gains, climbing 345.06 points, or 1.13 percent, to close at 30,885.34, as 49 stocks advanced and 32 declined.
The MSCI Tadawul Index increased by 4.74 points, or 0.32 percent, to close at 1,491.56.
The best-performing stock of the day was Arabian Contracting Services Co., whose share price surged 9.97 percent to SR167.60.
Other notable gainers included Saudi Reinsurance Co., rising 4.97 percent to SR45.45, and Saudi Public Transport Co., which climbed 3.98 percent to SR23.00.
Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. led the decliners, falling 6.06 percent to SR0.31. Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Co. dropped 4.33 percent to SR123.60, and Batic Investments and Logistics Co. declined 3.23 percent to SR3.59.
Leejam Sports Co. announced the opening of four new fitness centers. These include a men’s center and the first ladies’ center in Al-Rass city, Qassim Province, as well as the first men’s and ladies’ centers in Al-Qunfidah city, Makkah Province.
Branded under “Fitness Time” and “Fitness Time - Ladies,” the centers will feature state-of-the-art facilities, high-spec sports equipment, and modern designs.
The financial impact of these openings is expected to reflect in the fourth quarter of 2024. Despite the announcement, Leejam Sports Co. closed the session at SR180, down 0.34 percent.
Obeikan Glass Co. reported a net profit of SR29.89 million for the nine months ending Sept. 30, a 58.3 percent drop from the same period in 2023. The decline was attributed to lower average selling prices due to global market conditions and increased administrative expenses related to a new investment in a subsidiary, Saudi Aluminum Casting Foundry.
The stock ended at SR49.60, down 1.59 percent.
United Mining Industries Co. announced the issuance of two exploration licenses for gypsum and anhydrite ore from the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources. The company plans to conduct studies to determine the availability of raw materials, with financial impacts to be announced upon completion.
Its stock closed at SR39.60, up 0.26 percent.
Morgan Stanley receives approval to establish regional HQ in Saudi Arabia
RIYADH: US-based investment bank Morgan Stanley has been granted approval to establish its regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia, as the Kingdom continues to attract international investment.
This move aligns with Saudi Arabia’s regional headquarters program, which offers businesses various incentives, including a 30-year exemption from corporate income tax and withholding tax on headquarters activities, as well as access to discounts and support services.
Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih confirmed the progress of this initiative in October, stating that the Kingdom has successfully attracted 540 international companies to set up regional headquarters in Riyadh—exceeding its 2030 target of 500.
“Establishing a regional HQ in Riyadh reflects the growth and development of Saudi Arabia and is a natural progression of our long history in the region,” said Abdulaziz Alajaji, Morgan Stanley’s CEO for Saudi Arabia and co-head of the bank’s Middle East and North Africa operations, according to Bloomberg.
Morgan Stanley first entered the Saudi market in 2007, launching an equity trading business in Riyadh, followed by the establishment of a Saudi equity fund in 2009.
This approval follows a similar move by Citigroup earlier this month, with the bank also receiving approval to establish its regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia.
Fahad Aldeweesh, CEO of Citi Saudi Arabia, emphasized that this development would support the firm’s future growth in the Kingdom.
Goldman Sachs, another major Wall Street bank, also received approval in May to set up its regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia.
Prominent international firms that have already established regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia include BlackRock, Northern Trust, Bechtel, PepsiCo, IHG Hotels and Resorts, PwC, and Deloitte.
In addition, a recent report from Knight Frank noted that Saudi Arabia's regional headquarters program has led to increased demand for office space in Riyadh, with the city’s office stock expected to grow by 1 million sq. meters by 2026.
In August, Kuwait’s Markaz Financial Center echoed this sentiment, predicting a significant uptick in the Kingdom’s real estate market during the second half of the year, driven by the regional headquarters program.
QatarEnergy strengthens global footprint with offshore expansion in Namibia
RIYADH: QatarEnergy has expanded its portfolio through a new agreement with TotalEnergies to increase its ownership stakes in two offshore blocks in Namibia’s Orange Basin.
According to a press release, the state-owned energy firm will acquire an additional 5.25 percent interest in block 2913B and an additional 4.7 percent interest in block 2912 under the new deal, subject to customary approvals.
Once finalized, QatarEnergy’s share in these licenses will rise to 35.25 percent in block 2913B and 33.025 percent in block 2912.
Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi, Qatar’s minister of state for energy affairs and CEO of QatarEnergy, said: “We are pleased to expand QatarEnergy’s footprint in Namibia’s upstream sector. This agreement marks another important step in working collaboratively with our partners toward the development of the Venus discovery located on block 2913B.”
TotalEnergies, the operator of both blocks, will retain 45.25 percent in block 2913B and 42.475 percent in block 2912. Other partners include Impact Oil & Gas, which holds 9.5 percent in both blocks and the National Petroleum Corp. of Namibia, which owns 10 percent in block 2913B and 15 percent in block 2912.
Located about 300 km off the coast of the African country, in water depths ranging from 2,600 to 3,800 meters, these blocks host the promising Venus discovery. The Venus field has attracted considerable attention as a significant find that could impact Namibia’s energy future.
This offshore acquisition complements QatarEnergy’s recent ventures into renewable energy. In October, the company announced a 50 percent stake in TotalEnergies’ 1.25-gigawatt solar project in Iraq.
The initiative, part of Iraq’s $27 billion Gas Growth Integrated Project, aims to enhance Iraq’s energy self-sufficiency by addressing its reliance on electricity imports and reducing environmental impacts.
The solar project, set to deploy 2 million bifacial solar panels, will generate up to 1.25 GW of renewable energy at peak capacity, supplying electricity to approximately 350,000 homes in Iraq’s Basra region.
QatarEnergy will share equal ownership of the project with TotalEnergies, which retains the remaining 50 percent.
The firm’s dual focus on traditional and renewable energy highlights its strategic approach to meeting global demands while addressing sustainability concerns.
Its involvement in Namibia’s offshore blocks and Iraq’s shift toward renewable energy highlights a well-rounded portfolio that includes fossil fuels and clean energy investments.
