DUBAI: London has some very definite advantages in the contest to stage any global element of the forthcoming initial public offering of Saudi Aramco, but whether Saudi Arabian policymakers will be convinced that the UK capital is the place for the flagship share sale — potentially the biggest IPO in history — remains to be seen.
So strong is the claim of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) that for a while it looked like a straight two-horse race between it and the much bigger New York Stock Exchange for the prestigious and money-spinning offering.
That has been complicated over the past few months by the fact that other alternatives have emerged to a big global IPO: An “exclusive” offering on the Tadawul in Riyadh; the emergence of rival venues like Hong Kong and the other New York exchange Nasdaq; and the possibility of a private sale of shares to Chinese or Russian investors; or several combinations of these options.
But London is still in the race, and the official visit by Saudi policymakers this week could be a final opportunity to “kick the tires” of the LSE as a suitable venue for arguably the most important single transaction in the Kingdom’s history. LSE officials can advance several plausible arguments why it should stage the Aramco IPO.
David Hodson, veteran oil executive and financier and managing director of Dubai-based Blue Pearl Management, said: “The big thing London has going for it is that it is not New York. It is a less aggressive investment venue in all respects.”
This was echoed by a senior American investment banker, speaking on condition of anonymity, who said: “New York presents a range of problems, with Sarbanes-Oxley (US investor protection laws), as well as JASTA (anti-terrorism financing legislation) and the whole system of class actions.”
It has become almost accepted wisdom that Aramco would find itself enmired in litigation if it were to list on Wall Street. Although there are some who do not think this is necessarily the case — pointing to the hundreds of billions of dollars of Saudi assets in the US so far left untouched by the hungry lawyers of Manhattan — there is a general feeling, shared by some of Aramco’s advisory team, that listing there would just be asking for trouble.
“The London legal system is different in many respects,” said the banker. There is no British equivalent of the JASTA laws, disclosure and regulatory requirements are looser (especially for oil companies) and, while there is a system of ‘no win, no fee’ litigation, it is not as well-organized or aggressive as in the US, with its armies of class action lawyers.
The gentler legal and regulatory rules in the UK reinforce another advantage London has: It badly wants, even needs, to stage the IPO. Certainly, listing Aramco would talk to the post-Brexit narrative, which sees the world outside the EU as a gigantic opportunity for Britain.
Anti-Brexit campaigners would maintain that this is delusional, but if LSE won Aramco it would certainly allow the British government to claim that there is indeed life after the EU, and advance its cause to continue to be regarded as the capital of the European financial scene.
City veteran Martin Gilbert, co-chief executive of Standard Life Aberdeen, said: “It would obviously be a big and welcome coup if the UK was successful given the competition.”
London has other attractions too. It is not as big as New York — the two exchanges there has a combined market capitalization more than six times that of LSE — but it has a reputation as a truly global exchange, especially reflecting the commodity and energy sector. For example, two of the big members of Aramco’s peer group — BP and Shell — are listed on LSE.
David Ramm, the corporate partner at the London office of global law firm Morgan Lewis, believes London has an advantage in its international appeal. “The LSE reaches a broader and more diverse global network of potential investors than any other exchange, including New York,” he said.
“I suspect that there may also be a view at Aramco that the LSE and its investors may currently be more receptive to foreign listings, especially from the Middle East, than more domestically or the US focused exchanges,” Ramm added.
The London market authorities have gone out of their way to make the LSE more receptive. Last year the regulators proposed to introduce a new category of listing on the market, dubbed the “sovereign IPO,” as a way of allowing governments and other state-linked investors to issue and trade shares on international exchanges without adhering to stricter IPO rules on related party transactions and governance.
While these proposals met with some criticism from a portion of the London investment community and politicians — on the grounds that London was lowering its governance standards to accommodate the Saudis — the British government, the regulators and most financial professionals would welcome the changes if they were to attract the biggest IPO in history.
The changes required for the “sovereign IPO” regime have not yet been finally agreed, but any hint that Aramco was seriously leaning toward London would likely hurry them through without too much delay.
Ellen Wald, Middle East expert and author of upcoming book “Saudi Inc”, said: “The flexibility the LSE has shown will likely appeal to Aramco. The LSE would make sense as one of the exchanges for an Aramco listing because it is a big, stable and prestigious exchange with access to a large number of global investors and capital.
London has presented a persuasive investment case for why Aramco should chose it rather than any other global venue. But in the end, other factors — like geopolitical and foreign policy considerations, as well as personal relations between top policymakers — are just as like to decide the venue for the Aramco.
Hodson summed it up: “The final decision on where to list will be as much a political and strategic call as a financial one.”
London’s best argument for staging Aramco IPO: It is not New York
London’s best argument for staging Aramco IPO: It is not New York
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Saudi Arabia’s property market set for growth with billions in new projects
- The largest PIF projects in the Kingdom are in the Asir region
- At least 50 percent of the country’s tourism is expected be centered in Riyadh
RIYADH: The Saudi real estate landscape is poised for substantial growth, as industry leaders, policymakers, and investors gathered at the Real Estate Future Forum in Riyadh to unveil major developments in property investment and tourism.
Highlighting the Kingdom’s ambitious Vision 2030 objectives, Asir Gov. Prince Turki bin Talal revealed the Public Investment Fund is spearheading nine major projects in the region, with four already launched and five in progress. “The largest PIF projects in the Kingdom are in the Asir region,” the governor said, emphasizing the region’s pivotal role in Saudi Arabia’s evolving property market.
The governor highlighted the region’s growing hospitality sector, with between 6,000 and 8,000 approved hotel rooms currently available.
He also announced that Abha’s World Cup bid had been officially recognized as the best in the Kingdom by the Ministry of Sports.
Meanwhile, Al-Ahsa Gov. Prince Saud bin Talal unveiled plans to expand the region’s hospitality offerings. “Our pipeline includes over seven or eight hotels and more than 25 rural lodges, including three five-star hotels: Hilton, Radisson Blu, and Hilton Garden Inn,” he said. Saudi Tourism Minister Ahmed Al-Khateeb noted the rapid expansion of the Kingdom’s hospitality industry, with hotel room capacity expected to grow from 475,000 to 675,000 by 2030. Al-Khateeb also discussed the impact of major infrastructure projects, such as the King Salman International Airport expansion and the launch of Riyadh Air, which are central to the Kingdom’s hyper-tourism strategy.
He forecast that at least 50 percent of the country’s tourism will be centered in Riyadh, but emphasized efforts to keep the capital’s share from exceeding 80-90 percent. In the financial sector, Mohammed El-Kuwaiz, chairman of the Capital Market Authority, discussed the increasing role of real estate in the Kingdom’s investment market.
“Around 20 percent of the 55 initial public offerings currently under review involve real estate companies,” he revealed.
El-Kuwaiz emphasized the importance of financial stability and transparency for companies looking to list, advising them to treat investors as partners.
In a significant move, he also announced that listed companies owning properties in Makkah and Madinah can now welcome foreign investors immediately.
SAMA permits full public launch of STC Bank in digitalization push
RIYADH: The Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, has authorized STC Bank to launch its full operations in Saudi Arabia.
As the first licensed digital bank in the Kingdom, STC Bank’s approval marks a significant step in SAMA’s ongoing strategy to accelerate digital transformation and enhance competitiveness in the banking sector.
At the same time, the move ensures the safeguarding of financial stability, according to a press statement from the central bank.
This milestone underscores the growing dynamism and potential of Saudi Arabia’s digital economy, while also highlighting SAMA’s efforts to create a regulatory framework that fosters innovation within the financial sector.
“SAMA is committed to strengthening the resilience of the banking sector, boosting its appeal, and increasing its role in achieving Saudi Vision 2030 and the Kingdom’s broader national objectives. This includes empowering entrepreneurs and financial institutions to deliver innovative financial services to the Saudi market,” the central bank said.
The approval follows a significant step taken in April 2024, when SAMA formally approved the transition of STC Pay — the mobile financial services arm of Saudi Telecom Co. — to STC Bank. Following a nine-month beta launch, STC Bank is now poised to begin its full banking operations.
Additionally, in December 2024, SAMA also gave the green light to D360 Bank, another digital financial institution, allowing it to begin its operations in the Kingdom.
Al-Habtoor Group halts investment plans in Lebanon amid growing instability
DUBAI: UAE-based business conglomerate Al-Habtoor Group has abandoned its plans to reenter the Lebanese market, citing ongoing “unrest and instability” caused by armed militias.
In a statement issued on Tuesday, Khalaf Al-Habtoor, chairman of the group, explained that recent developments had deeply shaken his optimism.
“My team and I had been diligently preparing to launch new projects and expand existing investments in Lebanon, encouraged by promising signs such as the election of Gen. Joseph Aoun as president and the nomination of Nawaf Salam as prime minister. Both individuals embody integrity, credibility, and respect, instilling renewed hope among the Lebanese people — and investors like myself — for the country’s future,” the statement read.
However, he said that the continued dominance of armed militias, particularly what he described as “Shiite militias”, and the “absence of rule of law” have made it impossible for investors to proceed with confidence.
Tensions escalated with Hezbollah supporters holding rallies in Beirut, including in Christian-majority neighborhoods, further raising sectarian divisions. The protests followed the return of Shiite residents to southern Lebanon after a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah was recently extended.
In his statement, Al-Habtoor lamented the lack of decisive action from Lebanese authorities, including the army and the Ministry of Defense, in addressing these disturbances, noting that the situation was only worsening.
Unless the new government takes a firm stance against those working to destabilize the country, hopes for a “new Lebanon” will remain unfulfilled, he said.
Al-Habtoor clarified that the decision to pull out was made after careful analysis and close monitoring of the situation. As a result, neither he, his family, nor any group managers would be traveling to Lebanon.
Earlier this month, and following the wave of optimism that followed the election of President Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, Al-Habtoor told Arab News in an interview that his group intended to move forward with plans to reopen its five-story mall in Beirut and relaunch the Habtoorland amusement park in Jamhour, contingent on Lebanon’s government delivering the promised security and stability measures.
The group, a multibillion-dollar global conglomerate, has diverse interests spanning luxury hotels, shopping malls, and more. As of January last year, its investments in Lebanon were estimated at around $1 billion.
Experts predict suburban boom, smarter housing designs in Saudi Arabia
RIYADH: The rise of community living and the increased accessibility of suburbs, driven by advancements in transportation, are transforming real estate trends in Saudi Arabia, experts say.
At the Real Estate Future Forum in Riyadh on Jan. 28, Khaled Elsehamy, chief development officer for real estate at the National Housing Co., highlighted the significant shift in the Kingdom's real estate sector. According to Elsehamy, more people are now viewing suburban areas as attractive living options.
During a panel discussion, Elsehamy also noted a growing preference among Saudi residents for smaller housing units, moving away from the traditional multigenerational homes.
“Suburbs are becoming increasingly appealing,” Elsehamy said. “People now find areas outside the central cities more attractive due to their convenience, accessibility, and proximity to essential services. They can easily connect with the city whenever they wish.”
He continued: “The rising costs of utilities, furniture, and maintenance have led people to seek smaller, more efficient homes. There is a growing demand for durable, modular designs that offer long-term savings while meeting modern needs.”
Elsehamy’s remarks came just a day after NHC CEO Mohammad Al-Buty announced that lower interest rates in 2025 will help the company surpass its 2024 sales targets. This aligns with NHC’s broader ambition to become the leading real estate developer in the region and stay at the forefront of the industry.
Elsehamy also discussed the shifting mindset of Saudi homebuyers, noting a stark contrast to traditional purchasing habits. “In the past, people bought homes for their children and grandchildren. That’s no longer the case,” he explained.
“Today, people are looking for homes that fit different life stages. They think, ‘I’ll live in this house now, move to a bigger one later, and eventually downsize to a smaller place by the beach in 20 years.’”
The NHC official emphasized that community living is driving new trends in Saudi Arabia’s housing market. “Community living allows residents to interact more with those around them, and it often includes amenities like community centers where people can work, especially those with remote work options.”
Echoing these sentiments, Andrew Baum, emeritus professor at Oxford, also spoke during the panel, highlighting how modern homebuyers prioritize accessibility over location.
“Previously, location was everything in real estate,” said Baum. “But today, accessibility has become the key factor. The new metro in Riyadh is set to significantly impact property values, opening up newly accessible areas.”
Oussama Kabbani, group chief Development officer at ROSHN, emphasized that Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector has reached a global standard post-Vision 2030. Reflecting on ROSHN’s approach to enhancing community living standards, Kabbani explained that understanding customer needs is central to their success.
“It all comes down to data and actively listening to your customers,” he said. “We conduct numerous surveys online and engage directly with residents to understand what’s missing. We focus a lot on creating activities for children, with educational and cultural events to keep them engaged.”
He continued: “We also place a strong emphasis on sports. It's not complicated — you don’t need to spend a fortune to make people happy. The key is knowing what makes them happy and delivering it with quality.”
Kabbani also noted the growing sophistication of the community real estate sector. He predicted that investments in senior living spaces, alongside data centers and healthcare facilities, would soon become more prominent.
“Our communities are designed with schools, community centers, playgrounds, and more,” Kabbani added. “When people choose to live in our communities, they’re not just buying a home — they’re buying a lifestyle. And we’re committed to ensuring that lifestyle is truly lived.”
During the session, Nasser Al-Kadi, chief investment officer at Awqaf Investment, praised the recent regulatory reforms in Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector, noting their positive impact on the market.
He emphasized the importance of embracing technological advancements to further modernize the sector. “The regulatory changes in Saudi Arabia have not only attracted external capital but also increased transparency within the industry,” Al-Kadi said.
He continued: “Technology isn’t just a tool for optimization — it’s a driver of growth and innovation. We haven’t yet seen the full potential of these technologies in the Kingdom’s real estate sector.”
Robert J. Di Franco, chief development officer at Roaya Co., also highlighted the growing influence of technology, stating that innovation is fundamentally reshaping every aspect of the real estate industry.
“Innovation and technology are shaping everything we do — from pre-acquisition phases to market analysis, accessing real-time transactional data, to how we manage construction projects and facility handovers. Technology is now integrated into every part of our process,” Di Franco said.
Foreign investments set to revive Makkah’s property market: Ladun CEO
RIYADH: Saudi construction firm Ladun Investment Co. expects a surge in Makkah’s real estate sector following a key ruling by the market regulator allowing foreign investment in Saudi-listed companies owning property in the holy cities.
In an interview with Arab News at the Real Estate Future Forum in Riyadh, Hassan Al-Hazmi, CEO of the Tadawul-listed firm, emphasized that the new regulations are poised to drive investor confidence in Makkah’s market, which has faced stagnation in recent years.
On the event’s opening day, the Kingdom’s Capital Market Authority announced that the Makkah and Madinah real estate markets will now be open to foreign investors. However, investments are limited to shares or convertible debt instruments of listed companies, with total non-Saudi ownership — individuals and legal entities — capped at 49 percent of a company’s shares.
The decision is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Saudi Arabia’s capital market and support the Vision 2030 economic diversification agenda.
“As Mohammed El-Kuwaiz, chairman of the CMA, mentioned yesterday (Jan. 27), the regulations have been studied for more than three years. He said they were supposed to be approved two years ago but were delayed to make them more holistic. There is now a big study regarding foreign investors having ownership in Makkah, Madinah, and the Kingdom as a whole,” said Al-Hazmi.
He said Ladun is focused on Makkah and anticipates growth. “We already manage and own assets in Makkah worth more than SR3.2 billion ($853.1 million).”
Al-Hazmi noted that Makkah’s real estate sector had faced stagnation since 2014, particularly due to the impact of COVID-19 on religious tourism and travel. However, he believes that the sector is on the brink of recovery.
“We already see signs of recovery — companies owning assets in Makkah are experiencing a rise in their share prices. This is very positive, and we anticipated this shift and planned accordingly,” he added.
Ladun is also focused on localizing its workforce and increasing Saudi employment opportunities, aligning with government initiatives.
“Just today, we signed an agreement with the Ministry of Municipal and Rural Affairs and Housing regarding human capital and how we are going to localize more Saudis. At the managerial level, including our C-suite, we have Saudis,” Al-Hazmi said.
He added: “In middle management, we have many young men and women who are part of our company, and they are truly giving us great empathy and trust in ourselves to move forward. This is one of the pillars of Vision 2030.”
In November, Ladun announced a new investment in Jabal Omar Development Co. in partnership with Musharaka Capital, acquiring a land plot worth SR600 million with an expected revenue of approximately SR2 billion. This investment is viewed as a major step in reinforcing Ladun’s presence in Makkah’s evolving real estate market.
Al-Hazmi also highlighted the broader impact of Vision 2030 on the Saudi real estate market, particularly in Makkah, which he sees as a prime beneficiary.
“Stability brings prosperity, and Saudi has enjoyed stability for 100 years now, that brings prosperity. We see it. We see it around the region,” he said.
Referring to comments made by Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Al-Hazmi added: “Larry mentioned that if we take the US aside, we will find the most stable area in the world the GCC countries. Prosperity will be there.”
With a focus on sustainable expansion, strategic investments, and market recovery, Ladun Investment Co. remains optimistic about its role in shaping Makkah’s future real estate landscape.
