BEIJING: China announced a $3 billion list of US goods for possible retaliation in a tariff dispute with President Donald Trump and prepared on Friday for a bigger battle over technology policy as financial markets sank on fears of global disruption. The Commerce Ministry said higher duties on pork, apples, steel pipe and other goods would offset Chinese losses due to Trump’s tariff hike on steel and aluminum imports. It urged Washington to negotiate a settlement but set no deadline. In a separate and potentially bigger dispute, the ministry criticized Trump’s decision on Thursday to approve a possible tariff hike on Chinese imports worth up to $60 billion over Beijing’s technology policy. It gave no indication of a possible response but a foreign ministry spokeswoman said Beijing was “fully prepared to defend” its interests.
“We don’t want a trade war, but we are not afraid of it,” said the spokeswoman, Hua Chunying.
Financial markets sank on concern the escalating tensions might disrupt the biggest global trading relationship or lead other nations to raise import barriers.
Tokyo’s benchmark tumbled by an unusually large 5.1 percent while the Shanghai Composite Index closed down 3.4 percent.
The dollar dipped to 104.90 yen as investors shifted into the Japanese currency, which is viewed as a “safe haven” from risk.
China’s response on Friday appeared to be aimed at increasing domestic US pressure on Trump by making clear which exporters, including farm areas that voted for him in 2016, might be hurt.
“Beijing is extending an olive branch and urging the US to resolve trade disputes through dialogue rather than tariffs,” said economist Vishnu Varathan of Mizuho Bank in a report. “Nevertheless, the first volley of shots and retaliatory response has been set off.”
The list announced on Friday was linked to Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, but companies already were looking ahead to a battle over complaints Beijing steals or forces companies to hand over technology.
The tensions reflect the dueling nationalistic ambitions of Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping.
US efforts to boost exports of technology-based goods, begun under Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama, conflict with China’s plan for state-led development of global competitors in fields from robotics to electric cars. Foreign business groups complain Chinese regulators are trying to squeeze them out of promising industries. The Commerce Ministry announcement on Friday made no mention of jetliners, soybeans or other products that are the biggest US exports to China by value. That leaves Beijing room to take more drastic steps.
Chinese officials are trying to figure out how to address US concerns, said Jake Parker, vice president for China operations of the US-China Business Council, which represents American companies that do business with China.
“Until the Trump administration articulates those concerns and how China can address them, it’s going to be very, very difficult for China to make those changes,” said Parker.
Washington doesn’t believe it needs to give Chinese leaders another list of requests because they already know what the US wants, said a senior US official, who briefed reporters on condition he not be identified further. He said Trump and Xi agreed last year on a 100-day agenda of trade-liberalization measures but Beijing failed to act on about half of them.
Instead, the Trump administration wants Chinese leaders to address more basic structural issues that interfere with market forces, said the official.
The official cited Beijing’s “Made in China 2025” plan as “hugely problematic.” It calls for creating Chinese competitors in electric cars, robots, artificial intelligence and other fields. Business groups complain it will hamper or outright block foreign access to those industries.
The latest proposed Chinese tariffs would add a 25 percent charge on pork and aluminum scrap, mirroring Trump’s 25 percent duty on steel, according to the Commerce Ministry. A second list of goods including wine, apples, ethanol and stainless steel pipe would be charged 15 percent.
Chinese purchases of those goods last year totaled $3 billion, the ministry said.
The US steel and aluminum tariffs also have irked Japan, America’s closest ally in Asia.
“We have repeatedly told the US side that steel and aluminum imports from its ally Japan will not adversely affect America’s national security, and that Japan should be excluded,” said Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga.
China’s top economic official, Premier Li Keqiang, appealed to Washington on Tuesday to “act rationally” and said, “we don’t want to see a trade war.”
The US buys little Chinese steel or aluminum, but analysts have said Beijing would feel obligated to take action to avoid looking weak.
Beijing reported a trade surplus of $275.8 billion with the US last year, or two-thirds of its global total. Washington reports different figures that put the gap at a record $375.2 billion.
Trump’s technology order is in response to “unfair and harmful acquisition of US technology,” said a statement by the US Trade Representative’s office. It said USTR would pursue a World Trade Organization case against Beijing’s “discriminatory technology licensing.”
A USTR statement said possible measures include a 25 percent tariff on Chinese-made aerospace, computer and information technology and machinery but gave no details.
China is unlikely to respond until Washington acts but might launch an investigation of imports of US corn and soybeans “as a warning shot,” said Parker. He noted Beijing began a probe of US sorghum in February after Trump announced the steel and aluminum tariffs.
On Tuesday, the Chinese premier promised at a news conference Beijing will “open even wider” to imports and investment as part of efforts to make its state-dominated economy more productive.
Li said Beijing would “fully open” manufacturing, with “no mandatory requirement for technology transfers.” However, Chinese officials already insist companies are not required to hand over technology, so it was unclear how policy might change.
China targets $3 billion of US goods in tariff stand-off
China targets $3 billion of US goods in tariff stand-off
Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of National Guard achieves 100% localization of maintenance contracts
- The milestone was celebrated at a signing ceremony for new localization contracts
- Key accomplishments celebrated at the event included the development of a strategic implementation plan for sustainability localization
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of National Guard has increased local spending on maintenance, repairs, and operations for its ground systems from 1.6 percent to 100 percent over the past four years.
The milestone was celebrated at a signing ceremony for new localization contracts under the patronage of the Minister of National Guard, Prince Abdullah bin Bandar, with the participation of the General Authority for Military Industries.
The initiative is part of a broader effort to achieve sustainable development within the Kingdom’s military industries, enhance local capabilities, and support Vision 2030 goals.
The ministry has signed a series of contracts with local companies to improve the sustainability and efficiency of military systems. These agreements aim to strengthen military readiness, contribute to economic growth, and create job opportunities within Saudi Arabia.
These pacts include a sustainability contract for integrated weapons systems and heavy weaponry with SAMI Defense Systems Co., an electronic systems sustainment agreement with SAMI Advanced Electronics Co., and a vehicle sustainability deal with Alkhorayef Industries Co.
In conjunction with these contracts, GAMI announced signing two industrial participation deals to enhance local content and build national industrial capabilities.
The first agreement, signed with SAMI Defense Systems Co., focuses on the sustainability of integrated weapons and heavy weaponry, aiming to achieve over 60 percent industrial participation and create new employment opportunities for Saudi professionals.
The second contract, signed with Alkhorayef Industries Co., pertains to the sustainability of military vehicles and aims to encourage investment in qualified industrial activities to strengthen the defense sector.
The ministry highlighted the economic benefits of the localization program, including creating over 800 direct jobs and empowering national companies to take a central role in the Kingdom’s defense ecosystem.
Key accomplishments celebrated at the event included the development of a strategic implementation plan for sustainability localization, the establishment of innovation laboratories for spare parts manufacturing, and progress in achieving over 60 percent industrial participation in contracts.
These initiatives also contribute to enhancing local capabilities and fostering innovation within the Kingdom’s defense sector.
The event was attended by several high-ranking officials, including Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef, GAMI Governor Ahmed Al-Ohali, Governor of the General Authority for Defense Development Faleh Al-Suleiman, and President of the General Authority for Civil Aviation Abdulaziz Al-Duailej.
Senior representatives from the companies awarded the contracts. Military and civilian officials from the Ministry of National Guard were also present.
SRC and Hassana launch mortgage-backed securities to boost Saudi real estate investment
- Deal seeks to diversify Kingdom’s financial markets by introducing an innovative asset class
- Saudi banks’ mortgage lending hit a near three-year high of $2.7 billion in November
RIYADH: The region’s first-of-its-kind residential mortgage-backed securities will be available in Saudi Arabia as the Kingdom seeks to enhance liquidity and expand investment opportunities in the real estate finance sector.
A memorandum of understanding, signed between the Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co., a subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund, and Hassana Investment Co., seeks to diversify Saudi Arabia’s financial markets by introducing an innovative asset class.
The issuance of mortgage-backed securities is anticipated to attract a wide base of local and global investors to the secondary mortgage market, creating new opportunities for investment in the sector.
Majeed Al-Abduljabbar, CEO of SRC, said: “Our partnership with Hassana marks a significant milestone in supporting the evolution of the housing finance landscape and fostering the development of Saudi Arabia’s capital markets.”
He added: “Together, we aim to introduce innovative financial solutions that deliver value to both investors and citizens while aligning with Vision 2030’s objectives.”
The deal, signed in the presence of Majid Al-Hogail, minister of municipalities and housing, and Mohammed Al-Jadaan, minister of finance, aligns with the Housing Program and Financial Sector Development Program under Vision 2030.
“This collaboration establishes a new standard for partnerships, enabling the development of scalable financial solutions that contribute to the Kingdom’s economic development goals. It aligns with Hassana’s strategy of diversifying its investment portfolios through long-term partnerships with entities like SRC,” said Saad Al-Fadhli, CEO of Hassana.
Hassana’s participation as a key institutional investor underscores the potential to create sustainable economic investment opportunities.
This comes as the Kingdom’s real estate market continues to show strong demand, with annual growth in residential sales transaction volumes across major metropolitan areas.
Saudi banks’ mortgage lending hit a near three-year high of SR10.06 billion ($2.7 billion) in November, marking a 51.23 percent year-on-year increase and the highest monthly amount in over two years, according to data from the Kingdom’s central bank.
This surge reflects strong activity in the housing market, with houses accounting for 65 percent of the loans, followed by apartments at 31 percent and land purchases at 4 percent.
As part of its Vision 2030 agenda, the Kingdom is fast-tracking residential construction, particularly in Riyadh, to accommodate its growing population and attract international talent.
Qatar’s foreign merchandise trade balance surplus slips 5%
- Total exports in the third quarter of 2024 — including domestic goods and re-exports — were valued at 87.8 billion riyals
- Value of imports during the same period amounted to 30.1 billion riyals
RIYADH: Qatar recorded a foreign merchandise trade balance surplus of 57.7 billion Qatari riyals ($15.8 billion) in the third quarter of 2024, down 5 percent year on year, new data revealed.
Merchandise trade balance surplus is the difference between total exports and imports.
According to figures released by the Gulf nation’s Planning and Statistics Authority, the country’s total exports in the third quarter of 2024 — including domestic goods and re-exports — were valued at 87.8 billion riyals. This represents a 2.2 percent decline compared to the same period in 2023.
The value of Qatar’s imports during the same period amounted to 30.1 billion riyals, up 4.1 percent compared to the same quarter in 2023.
The figures fall in with the nation’s trajectory to restore government revenues to pre-2014 oil price shock levels and double its economy by 2031, according to an analysis by Standard Chartered in August.
The data also reflects the steady growth of Qatar’s non-oil economy, contributing to two-thirds of the country’s gross domestic product.
Exports breakdown
The figures further disclosed that the drop in exports is mainly attributed to lower exports of mineral fuels, lubricants, and related materials by 5 billion riyals, or 6.5 percent, and miscellaneous manufactured articles by 100 million riyals, or 22 percent.
Increases were mainly recorded in chemicals and related products by 1.5 billion riyals, or 24.5 percent, machinery and transport equipment by 1.2 billion riyals, or 53.3 percent, and manufactured goods classified chiefly by material by 400 billion riyals, or 17.1 percent.
Exports of crude materials, inedible, except fuels, also witnessed a rise of 100 million, or 24.8 percent.
Imports breakdown
The rise in import values is mainly linked to increases in machinery and transport equipment by 800 million riyals, or 6.7 percent, chemicals and related products by 400 million riyals, or 17.2 percent, and mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials by 320 million riyals, or 58.2 percent.
Imports of food and live animals also jumped by 300 million riyals or 9.8 percent.
Meanwhile, decreases were recorded mainly in miscellaneous manufactured articles by 400 million, or 6.7 percent as well as manufactured goods classified chiefly by material by 300 million, or 7.7 percent.
Principal destinations
The PSA data showed that Asia was the principal destination of exports for the country, representing 75.9 percent, as well as the primary origin of Qatar’s imports, accounting for 39.7 percent.
The Gulf Cooperation Council followed, accounting for 11.6 percent of exports and 11.3 percent of imports, respectively.
The EU came next, with 7.7 percent of exports and 26 percent of imports.
Turkish manufacturing sector nears stabilization in December, PMI shows
- Employment in the manufacturing sector saw a renewed decline, reversing a rise in November
- Input costs increased sharply due to higher raw material prices
ISTANBUL: Turkiye’s manufacturing sector contracted at the slowest rate in eight months in December, a business survey showed on Thursday, in a sign that the sector is nearing stabilization.
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 49.1 last month from 48.3 in November, moving nearer to the 50.0 threshold denoting growth, according to the survey by the Istanbul Chamber of Industry and S&P Global.
“December PMI data provided plenty of hope for the sector in 2025. While business conditions continued to moderate, the latest slowdown was only marginal as signs of improvement were seen in a range of variables across the survey,” said Andrew Harker, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
The survey highlighted a softer moderation in production, which declined at the slowest pace in nine months, suggesting some improvement in demand. The rate of slowdown in new orders and purchasing eased, although demand remained subdued.
“If this momentum can be built on at the start of 2025, we could see the sector return to growth. The prospects for the sector should be helped by a much more benign inflationary environment than has been the case in recent years,” Harker said.
Despite the positive signs, employment in the manufacturing sector saw a renewed decline, reversing a rise in November, the survey showed.
Input costs increased sharply due to higher raw material prices, but the rate of output price inflation slowed to its weakest in over five years as some firms offered discounts to boost sales.
Oil Updates — crude rises as investors return from holidays, eye China recovery
SINGAPORE: Oil prices nudged higher on Thursday, the first day of trade for 2025, as investors returning from holidays cautiously eyed a recovery in China’s economy and fuel demand following a pledge by President Xi Jinping to promote growth, according to Reuters.
Brent crude futures rose 17 cents, or 0.06 percent, to $74.82 a barrel by 08:47 a.m. Saudi time after settling up 65 cents on Tuesday, the last trading day for 2024. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 19 cents, or 0.26 percent, to $71.91 a barrel after closing 73 cents higher in the previous session.
China’s Xi said on Tuesday in his New Year’s address that the country would implement more proactive policies to promote growth in 2025.
China’s factory activity grew in December, according to the private-sector Caixin/S&P Global survey on Thursday, but at a slower than expected pace amid concerns over the trade outlook and risks from tariffs proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump.
The data echoed an official survey released on Tuesday that showed China’s manufacturing activity barely grew in December, though services and construction recovered. The data suggested policy stimulus is trickling into some sectors as China braces for new trade risks.
Traders are returning to their desks and probably weighing higher geopolitical risks and also the impact of Trump running the US economy red hot versus the impact of tariffs, IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.
“Tomorrow’s US ISM manufacturing release will be key to crude oil’s next move,” Sycamore added.
Sycamore said WTI’s weekly chart is winding itself into a tighter range, which suggests a big move is coming.
“Rather than trying to predict in which way the break will occur, we would be inclined to wait for the break and then go with it,” he added.
Investors are also awaiting weekly US oil stocks data from the Energy Information Administration that has been delayed until Thursday due to the New Year holiday.
US crude oil and distillate stockpiles are expected to have fallen last week while gasoline inventories likely rose, an extended Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.
US oil demand surged to the highest levels since the pandemic in October at 21.01 million barrels per day, up about 700,000 bpd from September, EIA data showed on Tuesday.
Crude output from the world’s top producer rose to a record 13.46 million bpd in October, up 260,000 bpd from September, the report showed.
In 2025, oil prices are likely to be constrained near $70 a barrel, down for a third year after a 3 percent decline in 2024, as weak Chinese demand and rising global supplies offset efforts by OPEC+ to shore up the market, a Reuters monthly poll showed.
In Europe, Russia halted gas exports via Soviet-era pipelines running through Ukraine on New Year’s Day. The widely expected stoppage will not impact prices for consumers in the EU as some buyers have arranged alternative supply, while Hungary will keep receiving Russian gas via the TurkStream pipeline under the Black Sea.