NEW YORK: Oil prices jumped more than 4 percent on Friday as Saudi Arabia and other producers in OPEC, as well as allies like Russia agreed to reduce output to drain global fuel inventories and support the market.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its Russia-led allies, referred to as “OPEC+,” agreed to slash production by a combined 1.2 million barrels per day from 2019, larger than the minimum 1 million bpd that the market had expected, despite pressure from US President Donald Trump to reduce the price of crude.
The producer club will curb output by 800,000 bpd from January while non-OPEC allies contribute an additional 400,000 bpd of cuts, Iraqi Oil Minister Thamer Ghadhban said after OPEC concluded two days of talks in Vienna.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak confirmed the combined output cuts of 1.2 million bpd, saying that the market will be oversupplied through the first half of the year.
Brent crude rose $2.94 to $63.00 a barrel by 11:20 a.m. EDT. In early trade, the global benchmark fell below $60 when it looked as if oil exporters might leave production targets unchanged. The benchmark rallied to a session high of $63.73 on news of the agreement.
US crude rose $2.20 to $53.69 a barrel, after earlier reaching a session high of $54.22.
US crude was on track to end the week up 5.2 percent and Brent was 6.9 percent higher on the week so far.
A 1.2 million-bpd cut, if implemented fully, “should be enough to largely attenuate, but not eliminate, expected implied global inventory builds in the first half of next year,” Harry Tchilinguirian, global oil strategist at BNP Paribas in London, told the Reuters Global Oil Forum.
Oil prices have plunged 30 percent since October as supply has surged and global demand growth has weakened.
Prices fell almost 3 percent on Thursday after OPEC ended a meeting in Vienna with only a tentative deal to tackle weak prices. Talks with other producers were held on Friday.
But Iran gave OPEC the green light on Friday to reduce oil output after finding a compromise with rival Saudi Arabia over a possible exemption from the cuts, an OPEC source said.
Oil output from the world’s biggest producers — OPEC, Russia and the US — has increased by 3.3 million bpd since the end of 2017 to 56.38 million bpd, meeting almost 60 percent of global consumption.
The surge is mainly due to soaring US oil production, which has jumped by 2.5 million bpd since early 2016 to a record 11.7 million bpd, making the US the world’s biggest producer.
The US rig count, an indicator of future output, has risen for five straight months, The latest weekly data is due at 1 p.m. EST.
Given supply that is coming to be online, some analysts and market participants say the cut may not be enough to end oil’s rout.
“Relative to how big this looming supply tsunami, it is not nearly enough to prevent big inventory builds next year,” said Robert McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group in Washington. “President Trump and President Putin prevented OPEC+ from cutting by more, which was certainly needed to put a sturdy floor under prices. They are putting a fuzzy floor under prices.”
Trump has asked OPEC to keep prices low. Russia had initially balked at cutting production alongside OPEC.
Oil prices surge on OPEC deal to cut output by 1.2m barrels
Oil prices surge on OPEC deal to cut output by 1.2m barrels
- Oil prices have plunged 30 percent since October as supply has surged and global demand growth has weakened
- OPEC is seeking support from non-OPEC Russia for supply cuts
IMF staff-level agreement set to pave way for $1.2bn funding for Egypt
RIYADH: Egypt will potentially have access to around $1.2 billion from the International Monetary Fund, following a staff-level agreement under the Extended Fund Facility.
The agreement, which is subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, aims to provide crucial financial support as Egypt navigates a challenging economic landscape.
The funding is part of Egypt’s broader efforts to stabilize its economy amidst high inflation and lower-than-expected revenues, including a decline in Suez Canal earnings.
“The Egyptian authorities have continued to implement key policies to preserve macroeconomic stability, despite ongoing regional tensions that are causing a sharp decline in Suez Canal receipts,” said Ivanna Vladkova Hollar, who led the IMF mission to Egypt.
The country incurred losses of $8 billion due to a sharp decline in Suez Canal revenues, as revealed by Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty last month.
The IMF and Egyptian authorities have agreed to recalibrate the country’s fiscal consolidation path, creating fiscal space for critical social programs targeting vulnerable groups and the middle class, while ensuring long-term debt sustainability.
“Particular attention will be needed to contain fiscal risks stemming from state-owned enterprises in the energy sector, and to enforce the strict implementation of the public investment ceiling, which includes capital expenditures associated with public entities that operate outside the general government budget,” added Holler.
She praised Egypt’s plans to streamline and simplify its tax system but stressed that additional reforms are necessary to boost domestic revenue mobilization.
As part of the agreement, Egypt committed to increasing its tax-to-revenue ratio by 2 percent of gross domestic product over the next two years, focusing on eliminating exemptions rather than raising taxes.
“A comprehensive reform package is needed to ensure that Egypt rebuilds fiscal buffers to reduce debt vulnerabilities, and generates additional space to increase social spending, especially in health, education and social protection,” she said.
Looking ahead, Egypt’s reform priorities involve boosting domestic revenues, improving the business environment, accelerating divestment, leveling the playing field, and enhancing governance and transparency.
“While Egypt faces headwinds from the difficult external environment, there was agreement that further efforts were needed to accelerate the divestment program. The authorities expressed commitment to redouble their efforts in this area, which is crucial to support private sector development and to reduce the high debt burden,” added Holler.
Earlier this month, Fitch Ratings downgraded Egypt’s economic growth forecast to 3.87 percent for the fiscal year 2024/25, down from 4.2 percent, citing disruptions in Suez Canal navigation.
The rating agency projected a recovery in the financial year 2025/26, with growth accelerating to 5.1 percent, up from an earlier estimate of 4.7 percent, contingent on normalizing Red Sea navigation and improved performance in the services sector amid easing geopolitical tensions.
Saudi non-oil exports jump 12.7% to $6.76bn in October: GASTAT
- Chemical products led the non-oil export categories, accounting for 26.8 percent of the total
- On the import side, Saudi Arabia’s inbound shipments fell 3.8 percent year on year to SR72.01 billion
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surged 12.7 percent year on year in October, reaching SR25.38 billion ($6.76 billion), underscoring the Kingdom’s push to diversify its economy away from oil dependence.
According to the General Authority for Statistics, chemical products led the non-oil export categories, accounting for 26.8 percent of the total, while plastics and rubber products followed, contributing 23.7 percent.
The rise in non-oil exports is a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s broader Vision 2030 strategy, which aims to transform the Kingdom’s economic landscape and reduce reliance on oil revenues.
“The ratio of non-oil exports (including re-exports) to imports increased to 35.2 percent in October 2024 from 30.1 percent in October 2023. This was due to a 12.7 percent increase in non-oil exports and a 3.8 percent decrease in imports over that period,” GASTAT said in its report.
While non-oil trade climbed, total merchandise exports fell 10.7 percent in October, primarily driven by a 17.3 percent drop in oil exports. The share of oil in overall exports declined to 72.6 percent from 78.3 percent a year earlier, reflecting the Kingdom's ongoing commitment to reducing its dependence on crude sales.
Saudi Arabia implemented a voluntary oil production cut of 500,000 barrels per day in April 2023, a measure that remains in place until December 2024 to stabilize global markets.
China remained Saudi Arabia’s largest trading partner, importing goods worth SR14.95 billion, or 16.1 percent of the Kingdom’s total exports in October. Other major destinations included India with SR8.79 billion, Japan with SR8.70 billion, and South Korea with SR8.31 billion.
On the import side, Saudi Arabia’s inbound shipments fell 3.8 percent year on year to SR72.01 billion. Machinery and equipment topped the list, comprising 25.7 percent of total imports, marking a 6.9 percent annual increase. However, transportation equipment imports declined 21.6 percent, representing 15.3 percent of the total.
China also dominated Saudi imports, sending goods worth SR17.58 billion in October, followed by the US with SR5.69 billion and the UAE with SR4.34 billion.
King Abdulaziz Sea Port in Dammam served as the leading entry point for imports, processing goods valued at SR21.16 billion, or 29.4 percent of total inbound shipments.
Saudi Arabia’s latest trade data highlights its progress in bolstering non-oil sectors while navigating global oil market challenges, aligning with its long-term economic transformation goals.
Saudi Arabia raises $3.09bn in sukuk issuances for December
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s National Debt Management Center has successfully concluded its riyal-denominated sukuk issuance for December, raising SR11.59 billion ($3.09 billion).
This marks a substantial 239.88 percent increase from the previous month, when the Kingdom raised SR3.41 billion in sukuk. Saudi Arabia had raised SR7.83 billion in October and SR2.6 billion in September.
Sukuk, which are Shariah-compliant Islamic bonds, provide investors with partial ownership of the issuer’s assets until the bonds mature. The rise in sukuk issuance aligns with positive global market projections.
A Moody’s report released in September forecasted that the global sukuk market would remain robust in 2024, with total issuance expected to reach between $200 billion and $210 billion, an increase from just under $200 billion in 2023.
The December sukuk issuance by NDMC was structured into four tranches, each with varying maturities. The largest tranche, valued at SR5.58 billion, is set to mature in 2027. Another tranche, worth SR3.90 billion, will mature in 2029, while a third tranche, valued at SR706 million, is due for repayment in 2031. The final tranche, amounting to SR1.4 billion, will mature in 2034.
This surge in sukuk issuance comes as the Kingdom is expected to lead the Gulf Cooperation Council region in bond and sukuk maturities between 2025 and 2029.
A report by Kamco Invest, released earlier this month, projected that Saudi Arabia’s total bond and sukuk maturities during this period would reach $168 billion, with government-issued bonds and sukuk accounting for $110.2 billion of that total.
In December, Fitch Ratings also highlighted that the GCC debt capital market crossed the $1 trillion threshold in outstanding debt by the end of November.
Earlier in October, Fitch had noted that the growth in sukuk issuance was driven by improving financing conditions, especially after the US Federal Reserve’s rate cut to 5 percent in September. Looking ahead, Fitch expects interest rates to decline further, reaching 4.5 percent by the end of 2024 and 3.5 percent by the end of 2025, which is likely to spur more sukuk issuances in the short term.
Saudi, Nigerian ministers hold talks to strengthen economic relations
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia and Nigeria held high-level talks to discuss financial and economic developments, focusing on regional and global challenges, as well as opportunities for collaboration.
The meeting, led by the kingdom’s Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan, included a delegation from the African country headed by Finance Minister Wale Edun and Budget and Economic Planning Minister Abubakar Atiku Bagudu.
The discussions aimed to strengthen economic ties and explore joint strategies to navigate evolving financial landscapes.
This comes as trade between Nigeria and Saudi Arabia showed a significant imbalance in 2023, with Nigeria exporting goods worth $76.29 million to the Kingdom, while imports from Saudi Arabia amounted to $1.51 billion, according to the UN COMTRADE database on international trade.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,914
- Parallel market dropped by 0.11% to 30,920.40
- MSCI Tadawul Index shed 3.17 points to close at 1,496.90
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Tuesday, as it shed 34.84 points, or 0.29 percent, to close at 11,913.95.
The Kingdom’s parallel market also dropped by 0.11 percent to 30,920.40, while the MSCI Tadawul Index shed 3.17 points to close at 1,496.90.
The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR3.83 billion ($1.02 billion), with 64 of the listed stocks advancing, while 168 declining.
The best-performing stock of the day was Al-Baha Investment and Development Co., as its share price surged by 9.09 percent to SR0.48.
Other top performers were Saudi Chemical Co., increasing 4.66 percent to SR9.66, and Shatirah House Restaurant Co., rising 4.44 percent to SR21.30.
The share price of United Electronics Co. slipped by 6.77 percent to close at SR92.20.
First Milling Co. announced the successful expansion of its Mill A, boosting production capacity from 300 tonnes to 550 tonnes per day.
In a Tadawul filing, the company, which produces flour, feed, and bran, said that the financial impact of the expansion will be reflected in the fourth quarter of this year.
The company’s share price gained 1.35 percent, closing at SR59.90.
Banque Saudi Fransi announced that its shareholders approved a 107.4 percent capital increase, raising its capital from SR12.05 billion to SR25 billion.
The bank said that the decision was finalized during an extraordinary general meeting held on Dec. 23.
Banque Saudi Fransi’s share price dropped 0.62 percent to close at SR15.94.
Meanwhile, retail investors began subscribing to 3.47 million shares of Saudi-based online beauty brand Nice One on the main market.
The company announced on Dec. 16 that it set the final offer price for its initial public offering at SR35 per share, aiming to raise SR1.2 billion.
The retail subscription period, which started on Dec. 24, will run through Dec. 25.
Saudi Arabia’s Capital Market Authority approved Ejada Systems Co.’s request to float 20.05 million shares, representing 45 percent of its share capital.
In a statement on Tadawul, the company said that its prospectus will be published well ahead of the subscription period.
It will provide investors with key information, including financial statements, business activities, and management details to support informed investment decisions.
The CMA approved a request by Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Co. to float 130.78 million shares, representing 9.09 percent of the firm’s share capital.
The authority also approved Ratio Specialty Co. to float 5 million shares, equal to 25 percent of the company’s share capital, on the Kingdom’s parallel market.
