KARACHI: Pakistan would take a $1.2 billion hit on every $5 per barrel increase in the global oil prices, experts told Arab News after two Saudi oil facilities were droned on Saturday, adding that such a scenario could lead to “unimaginable” economic consequences for the South Asian country.
The Houthi militia attacked the Kingdom’s major oil facilities in the Eastern Province on Saturday, causing a disruption of 5.7 million barrels a day and removed 5 percent of global oil supply that resulted in a 15 percent increase in the global oil price at the beginning of the Asian trade on Monday.
The Brent crude for November futures traded at $65.41 per barrel by midday after posting an 8.6 percent gain in the Asian trade.
The attack that the US State Secretary, Mike Pompeo, blamed on Iran resulted in the single biggest oil supply disruption since the Iranian Revolution of 1979 when 5.6 million barrels a day went out of the global supply.
With all eyes riveted on Saudi Arabia and how quickly it manages to restore its full oil production, Pakistani experts say it will have a devastating impact on the country’s economy as Pakistan’s enhanced oil import bill will undermine all the measures to bring down the current account deficit.
Oil imports constituted 26 percent of the country’s total import bill of $54.8 billion during the fiscal year FY19 and 24 percent during the fiscal year FY18, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
“Every $5 per barrel surge in oil prices weakens Pakistan’s balance of payments by $1.2bn on an annual basis, assuming that the prices remain high throughout the year,” Samiullah Tariq, Director Research at the Arif Habib Limited, a brokerage firm, told Arab News on Monday.
“Higher oil prices will lead to higher inflation and negative balance of payments. If the global uncertainty persists it will also negatively affect us since such circumstances usually impede financial inflows. It would also make things difficult for Eurobond and Sukuk issuance,” he added.
Economists say that such attacks can thwart Pakistan’s efforts to reduce its import bill, adding to its current account deficit once again.
“The price spike that is expected to stay at around $70 per barrel will increase our import bill and trade deficit that recently declined. This will once again begin to erode our foreign reserves,” Dr. Ayub Mehar, a senior economist, told Arab News.
“The government must take remedial measures from now on,” he added.
“The increasing crude prices will exert pressure on an already indebted nation,” GA Sabri, former secretary petroleum, told Arab News. “We are facing a financial crisis and this attack can further deepen our losses. The losses can be unmanageable because we mainly import oil from Saudi Arabia. The recent developments are very serious and disturbing and can have a trickle down impact on the overall economy.”
Experts suggest exploration of domestic energy resources. They also implore the government to find new oil import destinations to mitigate risks to Pakistan’s energy security.
“This attack on the Aramco installations show that in future such facilities would be subjected to war targets in the regional flare up. This will impact your strategic facilities,” Dr. Maria Sultan, Director General of South Asian Strategic Stability Institute University, told Arab News.
“I am constantly calling for exploration of domestic oil and gas and other minerals because the country is full of these natural energy resources,” Sabri suggested. “We must also honor our commitments and start long term TAPI [Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India] gas pipeline project,” he added.
Pakistan looking at 'unmanageable' economic catastrophe post Aramco attacks – experts
Pakistan looking at 'unmanageable' economic catastrophe post Aramco attacks – experts
- Every $5 per barrel price increase would jack up Pakistan’s import bill by $1.2 billion, analysts warn
- Houthis attack on oil facilities removes 5.7 mbd from global supply, trigger price spike
Champions Trophy preparations in full swing as Karachi stadium upgradation nears completion
- PCB Chairman Mohsin Naqvi says the National Stadium will be ready well before the ICC tournament
- He says the PCB is improving facilities for Pakistani cricket fans to ensure they have a better experience
ISLAMABAD: Preparations for the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 are progressing rapidly, with the upgradation of Karachi’s National Stadium nearing completion, Pakistan Cricket Board (PCB) Chairman Mohsin Naqvi said on Sunday during a visit to the venue.
The tournament, scheduled for February 2025, has been at the center of controversy following India's reluctance to play in Pakistan due to strained political ties.
The International Cricket Council resolved the impasse by approving a hybrid model, allowing India’s matches to be held at neutral venues while other teams play in Pakistan. The decision ensured India’s participation while retaining Pakistan as the official host.
“Remarkable progress has been made in a very short time,” Naqvi was quoted in a PCB statement. “The upgradation of the National Stadium will be completed well before the Champions Trophy tournament.”
During the visit, Naqvi reviewed ongoing projects, including the installation of new seats in enclosures, enhanced parking facilities for 2,700 vehicles and finishing work on the stadium building.
He also instructed officials to expedite the installation of LED lights and scoreboards.
“We are improving facilities for cricket fans to ensure they have a better experience,” he added.
The PCB is under pressure to ensure the country is ready to host the major ICC tournament.
Security concerns and political tensions had previously kept high-profile international cricket events away, but recent improvements in safety and infrastructure have bolstered Pakistan’s case as a venue.
Praising the rapid progress at the National Stadium, Naqvi lauded the project team for their dedication.
“I congratulate the entire team for their outstanding and swift work,” he said.
The Champions Trophy is seen as a pivotal moment for Pakistan cricket, with the PCB aiming to deliver a world-class tournament to reaffirm the country’s ability to host international events successfully.
Students in Pakistan’s north embark on over 150-kilometer march for road safety awareness
- The marchers aim to press the government to built tunnels on 167-kilometer Juglot-Skardu Road to avoid accidents, blockades
- They say the original construction plan of JSR included five tunnels, but not a single one was constructed by authorities
KHAPLU, Gilgit-Baltistan: A group of students on Saturday embarked on a more than 150-kilometer march from Pakistan’s northern Gilgit district to Skardu, aiming to raise awareness about road safety.
The marchers called for making the 167-km single-carriage Juglot-Skardu Road (JSR), which connects the Gilgit division with Skardu district in the Baltistan division, safer for travelers by building tunnels at various locations prone to landslides in the mountainous region.
Skardu is a major tourism, trekking and mountaineering hub in Pakistan’s northern Gilgit-Baltistan region and home to Askole and Hushe villages, often referred to as gateways to snow-capped peaks, including K2, the Gasherbrums and Broad Peak, as well as the Baltoro, Biafo and Trango glaciers.
“We are marching just with a single agenda and our slogan is: ‘Build tunnels, save lives,’” Shehbaz Shareef, a member of the Baltistan Students Federation (BSF), told Arab News.
“We have organized this walk to raise awareness about the need for safer and reliable routes between Skardu and other parts of the country.”
Shareef said the original construction plan for JSR included five tunnels, but none were built.
“This route has been constructed by FWO [Frontier Works Organization],” he added. “However, the tunnels were not built, and this road has become more dangerous.”
Arab News contacted FWO, a construction and engineering organization managed by the Pakistan Army, for its version. However, it was referred to the local chapter of the military’s media wing, Inter-Services Public Relations, which did not respond to the query until the filing of this report.
The Awami Action Committee (AAC), a civic rights body in the region, announced its support for the march.
“We are very thankful to the BSF who are raising a very important issue. They are demanding the government to make this road safer through this march because this road is the only land route to the Baltistan division,” Najaf Ali, chairman of the AAC Baltistan chapter, told Arab News.
“It has become a well of death. Accidents are common on this road, and it has devoured many precious lives. A few days ago, five people were killed after a landslide buried their car. We have grown tired of lifting bodies due to accidents.”
Ali urged the government to build the requisite tunnels on the road.
“This is a matter of life and death, so we are with the students, and we will warmly receive them in Skardu,” he said. “Additionally, we also held a meeting with trade bodies and decided to launch a big drive to press the government to make this road safe.”
Mesam Kazim, opposition leader in the Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly, said they would do their utmost to press the government for the construction of tunnels on JSR.
“In 2022, we adopted a unanimous resolution demanding the federal government to order the construction of tunnels on the Gilgit-Skardu road to avoid frequent blockades of the artery due to landslides,” Kazim said.
“In the initial PC-1 [survey] uploaded by NHA [National Highway Authority], the construction of tunnels was part of the plan. Tunnels have been missed, and international standards [of construction] have been violated by FWO on JSR.”
He lamented that there were no parking lots, safety barriers, or speed limit boards on the road, and more than 100 people had lost their lives in accidents on JSR over the last few years.
“Who is responsible for these casualties?” Kazim questioned.
Pakistan arrests two human ‘smugglers’ linked to deadly Greek boat tragedy
- FIA says Muhammad Aslam and Saeed Ahmed were arrested in separate operations from Gujranwala and Gurjat
- Investigations reveal victims of the boat tragedy paid over $30,000 after being promised safe passage to Europe
KARACHI: Pakistani authorities on Sunday arrested two men involved in a recent boat tragedy off the coast of Greece that killed at least five nationals, as part of an intensified crackdown on human smuggling networks, the Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) said.
The arrests come in the wake of a boat disaster last week near the Greek island of Gavdos, which highlighted the perilous journeys many migrants undertake, often driven by conflicts in the Middle East. In the case of Pakistani nationals, economic challenges push many young individuals to attempt dangerous crossings to Europe in search of better financial prospects.
The issue illegal immigrations to Europe came under greater scrutiny in the country last year when hundreds of migrants, including 262 Pakistanis, drowned after an overcrowded vessel capsized off the southwestern Greek coastal town of Pylos.
The FIA said it apprehended Muhammad Aslam and Saeed Ahmed in separate operations following directives from Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to target those facilitating illegal migration.
The Pakistani agency informed Aslam was part of an international human smuggling ring and was accused of orchestrating the ill-fated journey that saw Pakistani migrants taken to Libya before being put on a boat bound for Greece.
“Using advanced technology, Aslam was tracked and arrested in Gujranwala,” the FIA statement said, adding the second suspect was arrested in Gujrat district located in the eastern Punjab province and was accused of creating fake travel documents and charging large sums for his services.
The statement informed Aslam extorted Rs8.5 million ($30,660) from victims by promising safe passage to Europe.
The Pakistani premier called for enhanced cooperation with international agencies earlier this month, seeking swift action against human trafficking networks. He also instructed the FIA to compile a detailed report on migration-related incidents over the past year and implement an Integrated Border Management System (IBMS) to monitor and prevent illegal movement.
The FIA said in its statement it had formed special teams to track other suspects linked to human smuggling rings.
“We will use all available resources to arrest those playing with innocent lives,” Abdul Qadir Qamar, the director of the FIA’s Gujranwala zone, was quoted as saying in the statement.
Authorities have presented 174 human smuggling cases in court this year, with four convictions reported so far. The government has also decided to launch a public awareness campaign to discourage dangerous migration attempts.
“Concrete evidence will ensure the culprits face severe punishment,” Qamar added, emphasizing the government’s commitment to preventing such tragedies.
Pakistan government forms committee to negotiate with Imran Khan’s party amid growing polarization
- Development comes after Khan threatened civil disobedience in the country, seeking release of political prisoners
- Government acknowledges talks can help break the current impasse which has also impacted national economy
ISLAMABAD: The government on Sunday formed a committee to hold talks with the opposition Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party, state media reported, to discuss a range of issues causing political polarization that has also impacted the country’s fragile economy.
The move comes after PTI founder and former Prime Minister Imran Khan threatened to launch civil disobedience by urging overseas Pakistanis, a key support base for his party, to halt remittances if the government does not meet his demands, including the release of political prisoners, by Dec. 22.
Khan, who has been imprisoned for over a year on charges he claims are politically motivated, has also called for judicial commissions to investigate violent protests on May 9 last year and Nov. 26 this year, which the government says involved his party supporters.
“Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has formed a committee comprising government members,” state-owned Pakistan Television News reported. “This committee will hold negotiations with Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf.”
The formation of the government’s negotiating team followed a meeting between PTI Chairman Barrister Gohar Khan and National Assembly Speaker Sardar Ayaz Sadiq on Saturday evening in which Gohar requested the creation of a parliamentary committee to facilitate dialogue. Sadiq subsequently approached the Prime Minister, urging him to nominate representatives for the talks.
The government’s committee includes key figures from the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), such as Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar, Political Adviser Rana Sanaullah and Senator Irfan Siddiqui, alongside representatives from allied parties. PTI has already established its own negotiating team.
The development comes a day after Pakistan’s military announced prison sentences for 25 people involved in the May 9, 2023, protests, which PTI has demanded be investigated. The military said it had gathered “irrefutable evidence” against those prosecuted and reiterated its commitment to bringing the planners of the violence to justice.
The announcement has raised concerns among supporters of former Prime Minister Imran Khan, who faces charges of inciting attacks against the armed forces and may potentially be tried in a military court.
The country has remained gripped by political unrest and uncertainty since Khan’s ouster from power through a parliamentary no-confidence vote, which has also exacerbated Pakistan’s economic hardships.
Senior government representatives have recently acknowledged that negotiations could offer a pathway out of the current political impasse. However, they have cautioned that it is too early to determine which of PTI’s demands might be addressed.
Pakistan PM orders crackdown on tax evasion, calls for modernization of revenue collection system
- Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio is among the lowest in the region, with government aiming to increase it to 13.5%
- Tax reforms are also part of the IMF recommendations, which led to approval of a $7 billion loan package this year
ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Saturday directed authorities to take strict action against tax evasion and ensure non-compliance is addressed as part of his administration’s efforts to enhance revenue collection and modernize the tax system, according to the state media.
Chairing a meeting in Lahore, Sharif emphasized the need for incorporating advanced technology to improve the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR) performance.
“Improving the FBR’s performance through technology is the government’s top priority,” the Associated Press of Pakistan (APP) news agency quoted him as saying.
The prime minister called for the swift completion of the FBR’s value chain digitization and instructed the rapid implementation of video analytics in the cement and tobacco industries, sectors prone to tax underreporting.
He expressed optimism that digitization efforts would help recover billions of rupees for the national treasury.
The government has recently undertaken a series of tax measures, including expanding the tax base and targeting untaxed sectors.
Earlier this year, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb emphasized the need for everyone to pay their fair share, describing tax reforms as critical to breaking the cycle of external financial reliance.
Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio remains among the lowest in the region, at just over nine percent, though the government aims to increase it to 13.5% in the coming years.
The Pakistani administration has also announced to launch a crackdown on affluent individuals not yet in the tax net, with the FBR tasked to identify and penalize evaders.
The tax reforms are also part of the International Monetary Fund’s recommendations, which led to the approval of a fresh $7 billion loan package for the country this year.
