Saraqib is new hotspot in Turkey and Syria’s fight for Idlib

Syrian regime forces surround the town of Saraqib where Turkey has observation points. The fall of the town will end the remaining bastion of the rebels. (AP)
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Updated 07 February 2020
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Saraqib is new hotspot in Turkey and Syria’s fight for Idlib

  • Critical times for Ankara as Syrian regime forces close in on the town which is crucial for Turkish bases

ANKARA: With Syrian regime forces surrounding the strategically significant town of Saraqib in Syria’s northwestern Idlib province, any decision by Ankara regarding its observation posts in and around the region will be critical.

The Turkish Army currently has 12 observation outposts in the province, set up in accordance with a 2018 agreement with Russia — and it recently built four observation points surrounding Saraqib, a town now encircled by regime troops. The majority of those posts are now behind enemy lines.

Saraqib is located at the junction of two main roads connecting Latakia and Damascus with Aleppo. If the town — which is also the outpost of the Jabhat Al-Nusra militant group in Idlib — falls under the control of Syrian forces, it will signal defeat for the armed rebel groups operating in the country’s north.

Halid Abdurrahman, a researcher and analyst on the Middle East and North Africa, said regime forces have not yet entered the town due to the presence of Turkish troops. “However, regime forces are still advancing in a comprehensive way,” he told Arab News. “I don’t think Turkey has many options at this point (beside military ones). There is a deep disagreement between Turkey and Russia because although Moscow backs regime troops on the ground, it shows a tactically calm attitude at the negotiation table.”

Regime forces encircled the town by traveling along the M4 highway and passing through western Saraqib. Dozens of rebels, along with officers from the Turkish army, are reportedly trapped inside the town.

On Monday, while reinforcing the observation points around Saraqib, Turkish troops came under fire, with eight killed.

The latest developments are likely to further escalate tensions between Turkey and the Assad regime. Russia’s support for regime forces in Idlib has also caused friction between Moscow and Ankara.

Oytun Orhan, coordinator of Syria studies at the Ankara-based think tank ORSAM, said Turkey is not likely to withdraw its observation posts from the zone because “they show the red lines of Ankara in Idlib after the fall of Maaret Al-Numan, another opposition stronghold.”

Orhan told Arab News: “(By encircling Saraqib), the regime forces want to trump … Turkey. Turkey can either use Russia as a mediator with the Assad regime to ask for withdrawal from the region, or use military means. I think Turkey will opt for the second option — try to create a military balance and retaliate against the regime offensive with artillery fire.”

But Orhan does not think Russia and Turkey will risk their mutual strategic benefits for the sake of their disagreement over Idlib.

“Diplomatic negotiations between Ankara and Damascus don’t seem a viable solution at this moment. Turkey may now use military means, despite Russian objections, because the cost of (failing to prevent) the advance of the regime is higher than the military risks it has,” he said.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has accused Russia of violating past agreements to reduce the fighting in Idlib, while the Kremlin blames Turkey for failing to fulfill several key commitments, including the withdrawal of armed groups from the region. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Tuesday that the death of Turkish soldiers a day before was partly Ankara’s fault.

Erdogan has kept the door of “military options” wide open. “We will not shy away from doing whatever is necessary, including using military force,” he recently said, although Damascus claims the presence of Turkish forces in the country is “illegal and a flagrant act of aggression.”

Aaron Stein, director of the Middle East program at the US-based Foreign Policy Research Institute, believes “Assad can overrun the Turkish military because they assume that Ankara will not bomb Russians.”

For Stein, “until Ankara signals it will change this, or risk killing lots of Russians, it has no leverage. Its best play, at this point, is to give up and focus on its own border.”

The UN Security Council held an emergency session about the situation in Idlib on Thursday, following requests from the US, Britain and France.

Regime troops seized more than 20 towns and villages from rebels on Tuesday and Wednesday alone, according to the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.


Sudan drops out of hunger-monitor system on eve of famine report

Children ride in a small canoe around the area where they live in Jonglei state, South Sudan, Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024. (AP)
Updated 11 sec ago
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Sudan drops out of hunger-monitor system on eve of famine report

  • Sudan’s withdrawal from the IPC system could undermine humanitarian efforts to help millions of Sudanese suffering from extreme hunger, said the leader of a non-governmental organization operating there, speaking on condition of anonymity

KHARTOUM: The Sudanese government has suspended its participation in the global hunger-monitoring system on the eve of a report that’s expected to show famine spreading across the country, a step likely to undercut efforts to address one of the world’s largest hunger crises.
In a letter dated Dec. 23, the government’s agriculture minister said the government is halting its participation in the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) system. The letter accused the IPC of “issuing unreliable reports that undermine Sudan’s sovereignty and dignity.”
On Tuesday, the IPC is expected to publish a report finding that famine has spread to five areas in Sudan and could expand to 10 by May, according to a briefing document seen by Reuters. “This marks an unprecedented deepening and widening of the food and nutrition crisis, driven by the devastating conflict and poor humanitarian access,” the document stated.
A spokesperson for the Rome-based IPC declined to comment.
Sudan’s withdrawal from the IPC system could undermine humanitarian efforts to help millions of Sudanese suffering from extreme hunger, said the leader of a non-governmental organization operating there, speaking on condition of anonymity.
“Withdrawal from the IPC system won’t change the reality of hunger on the ground,” the NGO source said. “But it does deprive the international community of its compass to navigate Sudan’s hunger crisis. Without independent analysis, we’re flying blind into this storm of food insecurity.”
A diplomat with Sudan’s mission to the United Nations in New York didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the move to cut off the IPC.
The IPC is an independent body funded by Western nations and overseen by 19 large humanitarian organizations and intergovernmental institutions. A linchpin in the world’s vast system for monitoring and alleviating hunger, it is designed to sound the alarm about developing food crises so organizations can respond and prevent famine and mass starvation.
IPC analysts typically partner with national governments to analyze data related to food insecurity and to report on conditions within a country’s borders. The government has headed the IPC’s analysis group in Sudan. But the system has increasingly struggled to function since civil war erupted in April 2023.
The fighting between the army-backed government and its foe, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary, has disrupted data collection in areas held by both sides.
A recent Reuters investigation found that the Sudanese government obstructed the IPC’s work earlier this year, delaying by months a famine determination for the sprawling Zamzam camp for internally displaced people where some have resorted to eating tree leaves to survive.
Monday’s letter was addressed to the IPC and it s Famine Review Committee, which vets and verifies a famine finding, as well as to diplomats. It says the forthcoming IPC report lacks updated malnutrition data and assessments of crop productivity during the recent summer rainy season.
The growing season was successful, the letter says.
It also notes “serious concerns” about the IPC’s ability to collect data from territories controlled by the RSF.
The IPC’s struggles go beyond Sudan. In a series of reports this year, Reuters has reported that authorities in Myanmar and Yemen have also tried to thwart the global hunger-monitoring process by blocking or falsifying the flow of data to the IPC or suppressing its findings.
In Myanmar, the IPC recently scrubbed from its website its assessment on hunger there, fearing for the safety of researchers. Reuters recently reported that representatives of the country’s ruling military junta have warned aid workers against releasing data and analysis showing that millions in Myanmar are experiencing serious hunger.
In Ethiopia, the government disliked an IPC finding in 2021 that 350,000 people were experiencing catastrophic acute food insecurity – so it stopped working with the IPC.
Alex de Waal, executive director of the World Peace Foundation at Tufts University’s Fletcher School, called Sudan’s move to stop cooperating with the IPC “both pathetic and tragic.”
“It’s part of a long history of the government of Sudan denying famine going back more than 40 years,” said de Waal, a leading specialist on famine. “Whenever there’s a famine in Sudan, they consider it an affront to their sovereignty, and they’re more concerned about their pride and their control than they are over the lives of their citizens.”

 


Israel military says sirens sounded in several areas in central Israel following projectile launched from Yemen

Updated 7 min 56 sec ago
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Israel military says sirens sounded in several areas in central Israel following projectile launched from Yemen

CAIRO: The Israel military said in a statement early on Tuesday that sirens sounded in several areas in central Israel following a projectile launched from Yemen.

 


Iraq says to eliminate pollutant gas flaring by end of 2027

The sun sets behind burning gas flares at the Dora (Daura) Oil Refinery Complex in Baghdad on December 22, 2024. (AFP)
Updated 24 December 2024
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Iraq says to eliminate pollutant gas flaring by end of 2027

  • The office of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani in a statement Monday evening pointed to “a rise in the level of eliminating gas flaring” in the country

BAGHDAD: Iraqi authorities on Monday announced that the energy-rich country would eliminate the polluting practice of gas flaring by the end of 2027, a statement from the prime minister’s office said.
Gas flaring during the production or processing of crude is intended to convert excess methane to carbon dioxide, but the process is often incomplete, resulting in further methane release.
Iraq has the third highest global rate of gas flaring, after Russia and Iran, having flared about 18 billion cubic meters of gas in 2023, according to the World Bank.
The office of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani in a statement Monday evening pointed to “a rise in the level of eliminating gas flaring” in the country.
The office said that the current rate of elimination stood at 67 percent, with the aim of raising that rate to 80 percent by the end of 2025.
It added that the country aims to fully eliminate gas flaring by the end of 2027, compared to the previous administration’s target of 2030.
In 2017, Iraq joined a World Bank-led initiative aiming to end gas flaring globally by 2030.
Gas flaring is cheaper than capturing the associated gas, processing and marketing it.
In an April report, Greenpeace Middle East and North Africa said gas flaring “produces a number of cancer-linked pollutants including benzene.”
Iraq is considered by the United Nations to be one of the five countries most vulnerable to some impacts of climate change.
In recent years, it has suffered increasingly from droughts and further desertification, with the country gripped by dust storms much of the year.
 

 


Defense minister acknowledges Israel killed Hamas leader in Iran

Updated 24 December 2024
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Defense minister acknowledges Israel killed Hamas leader in Iran

  • The comments by Israel Katz appeared to mark the first time that Israel has admitted killing Ismail Haniyeh
  • Katz said the Houthis leadership would meet a similar fate to that of Haniyeh

JERUSALEM: Israel’s defense minister has confirmed that Israel assassinated Hamas’ top leader last summer and is threatening to take similar action against the leadership of the Houthi group in Yemen.
The comments by Israel Katz appeared to mark the first time that Israel has admitted killing Ismail Haniyeh, who died in an explosion in Iran in July.
Israel was widely believed to be behind the blast, and leaders have previously hinted at its involvement.
In a speech Monday, Katz said the Houthis would meet a similar fate as the other members of an Iranian-led alliance in the region, including Haniyeh.

He also noted that Israel has killed other leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah, helped topple Syria’s Bashar Assad, and destroyed Iran’s anti-aircraft systems.
“We will strike (the Houthis’) strategic infrastructure and cut off the head of the leadership,” he said.
“Just like we did to Haniyeh, Sinwar, and Nasrallah in Tehran, Gaza, and Lebanon, we will do in Hodeida and Sanaa,” he said, referring to Hamas and Hezbollah leaders killed in previous Israeli attacks.
The Iranian-backed Houthis have launched scores of missiles and drones at Israel throughout the war, including a missile that landed in Tel Aviv on Saturday and wounded at least 16 people.
Israel has carried out three sets of airstrikes in Yemen during the war and vowed to step up the pressure on the militant group until the missile attacks stop.


New conflict in northeast Syria could bring ‘dramatic consequences’, UN envoy says

Geir Pedersen, UN Special envoy to Syria, talks to media before departing Damascus, Syria December 18, 2024. (REUTERS)
Updated 24 December 2024
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New conflict in northeast Syria could bring ‘dramatic consequences’, UN envoy says

  • Turkiye regards the YPG as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militants who have fought an insurgency against the Turkish state and are deemed terrorists by Ankara, Washington and the European Union

BEIRUT: Tensions in northeast Syria between Kurdish-led authorities and Turkish-backed groups should be resolved politically or risk “dramatic consequences” for all of Syria, the United Nations envoy for the country Geir Pedersen told Reuters on Monday. Hostilities have escalated between Syrian rebels backed by Ankara and the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces in the northeast since Bashar Assad was toppled on Dec. 8.
Syrian armed groups seized the city of Manbij from the SDF on Dec. 9 and could be preparing to attack the key city of Kobani, or Ayn Al-Arab, on the northern border with Turkiye.
“If the situation in the northeast is not handled correctly, it could be a very bad omen for the whole of Syria,” Pedersen said by phone, adding that “if we fail here, it would have dramatic consequences when it comes to new displacement.” The SDF — which is spearheaded by the Kurdish YPG — has proposed to withdraw its forces from the area in exchange for a complete truce. But Turkiye’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, speaking alongside Syria’s de facto new leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa on Sunday in Damascus, said the YPG should disband totally.
Turkiye regards the YPG as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militants who have fought an insurgency against the Turkish state and are deemed terrorists by Ankara, Washington and the European Union.
Pedersen said a political solution “would require serious, serious compromises” and should be part of the “transitional phase” led by Syria’s new authorities in Damascus. Fidan said he had discussed the YPG presence with the new Syrian administration and believed Damascus would take steps to ensure Syria’s territorial integrity and sovereignty. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday the country will remain in close dialogue with Sharaa. Kurdish groups have had autonomy across much of the northeast since Syria’s war began in 2011, but now fear it could be wiped out by the country’s new Islamist rule. Thousands of women rallied on Monday in a northeast city to condemn Turkiye and demand their rights be respected.
Pedersen said Sharaa had told him in meetings in Damascus last week that they were committed to “transitional arrangements that will be inclusive of all.”
But he said resolving tensions in the northeast would be a test for a new Syria after more than a half-century of Assad family rule.
“The whole question of creating a new, free Syria would be off to a very, extremely ... to put it diplomatically, difficult start,” he said.