INTERVIEW: Stanchart building bridges with Saudi Arabia

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Updated 16 August 2020
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INTERVIEW: Stanchart building bridges with Saudi Arabia

  • Regional CEO Sunil Kaushal explains the global bank’s strategy as it expands in the Kingdom

Standard Chartered’s relationship with Saudi Arabia is getting closer by the month, and Sunil Kaushal, the bank’s regional CEO for Africa and the Middle East, has been instrumental in driving the bank’s new affinity with the Kingdom.

“It (Saudi Arabia) is a large, attractive market, and one that we have always been interested in,” Kaushal told Arab News.

Earlier this month, Standard Chartered (SC) announced the appointment of a new CEO for Saudi Arabia; experienced banker, Yazaid Al-Salloom, with plans to open a full office in Riyadh, probably some time in 2021.

Last year SC won a full banking license from the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, enabling it to offer the full range of services in the Kingdom, upgrading the license from the Capital Markets Authority under which it had been operating previously.

The new status allows SC to add to the investment banking activities it previously ran, giving it capacity to offer commercial banking and deposit-taking in the Kingdom. It could in theory open a retail branch system there, but that is not a top priority for Kaushal, especially in the currently changing banking sector in the Kingdom, where some big mergers have been completed and more are thought to be under consideration.

“Retail is a segment where you require scale and it’s a slow burn, so from our point of view we see ourselves as a bridge to accessing capital from overseas into Saudi,” he said.

The “bridge” concept sees SC acting as a conduit for two-way capital flows between Saudi Arabia and the rest of the world.

“It is about facilitating trade flows in and out of Saudi, and also capital flows from Saudi into the outside world, because Saudi is looking to diversify. We already played a role in a couple of those transactions, so I think from our point of view it was an area where we wanted to have expertise and have a focused approach for our customers who are already there,” Kaushal said.

“We need to focus on our areas of expertise, which include project finance, capital markets, trade finance, cash management with customers, local customers who have already existing large operations in Saudi.

“We also deal with regional customers who are in Saudi, like large groups from the UAE and other GCC countries who are already in Saudi. So, we are looking at really supporting them and providing a continuum in services which is quite seamless. That’s where we believe we can get a real bang for the buck,” he said.

Kaushal has been involved in banking in the region and in Asia for the past 30 years, in a number of different institutions, but took over the top regional job for SC in 2017. He has enough expertise to deliver a straightforward assessment of the Kingdom’s economic and financial prospects in the age of the pandemic, when it has been affected by economic dislocation because of lockdowns and the budgetary effects of the fall in oil prices.

“From our perspective, getting into a market like Saudi is about taking a longer-term view, and what is really important are the drivers of the economy. We believe that the energy resources are not suddenly going out of fashion. Yes, you could have more renewables, more climate-friendly fuels. But there is going to be a core part of the economy that is relying on oil and gas,” he said.


BIO

BORN: India 1965.

EDUCATION

  • Bachelor of commerce, Bombay University.
  • Qualified accountant, Institute of Chartered Accountants, India.

CAREER

  • Various roles with Standard Chartered in Singapore.
  • CEO, Standard Chartered Taiwan.
  • Head of Corporate Banking, UAE.
  • CEO, Africa and Middle East, Standard Chartered.

“We are number one for tech capital markets in the region, whether you look at conventional or Islamic — and not many international banks have the expertise to provide you both. So we can access capital for the sovereigns and for the corporates.

“We also believe that the Saudi economy is opening up and will encourage private sector participation, which will mean our global and regional customers will have the opportunity to participate in sectors like health, education, entertainment, infrastructure,” he said.

These sectors were largely the domain of public sector funding, but that is changing as they open up to private sector investment under the Vision 2030 strategy, Kaushal explained.

The other job SC can do is to help Saudi investors to look outside the Kingdom. The Public Investment Fund’s multibillion-dollar forays into Western equity markets have caught the headlines, but Kaushal believes there will be a lot more outward investment by expansionist Saudi investors.

“Saudi entities now want to diversify by going into markets overseas; so they’re going into markets in the region, they’re going into markets in South Asia, they’re going into markets in Southeast Asia and, of course, the Western world and in China. Not many banks have a presence across Asia, South Asia, the Middle East and Africa,” he said.

He believes that the investment momentum for the Kingdom is increasingly eastwards, especially in the oil and petrochemicals market, where Saudi Arabia has been involved in some high-profile deals in refineries and petrochemical plants.

SC has already been involved in the power sector in the Kingdom, as part of the banking team that helped Saudi Aramco to raise $6 billion for a joint venture with ACWA Power and Air Products in the Red Sea port of Jazan.

Kaushal also expects to be actively involved in the capital-raising program that the Kingdom will have to employ this year to bridge the gap in its public finances left by the fall in oil revenue. SC estimates this could be as much as $75 billion, to be raised on international as well a domestic capital markets.

He estimated the split between domestic and global capital raising was roughly 60-40 percent-inclined toward domestic lenders.

SC has taken part in some of the big capital raising exercises already completed this year, as joint global co-ordinator and book runner on two consecutive sovereign debt issuances totaling $7.5 billion, as well as on multibillion-dollar issuances for the banking sector.

“Local domestic markets are very liquid, so I think the split will be roughly 60 percent of the total raised locally and the balance on international markets. It’s a good opportunity for the local banks, and they have been doing that recently — deploying surplus liquidity into government securities,” he said.

Kaushal also believes that there are big opportunities in all aspects of the privatization program that is going ahead despite the economic uncertainties of the pandemic.

“We see private sector participation and capital coming into infrastructure, education, health and entertainment. Saudi was one of the fastest-growing entertainment markets in the world before COVID hit, and once that settles down, I really think that the sector will open again. And you’ve got the giga projects that are opening up in the Kingdom and, of course, Neom. So we believe that the pipeline remains very robust,” he said.

“Technology is going to be another one which is going to pick up speed, and you are going to see a lot of entrepreneurial activity as well as investments coming in that sector,” he said.

Some analysts have pointed to a recent rise in non-performing loans in the region as a warning sign for the banking system and a re-emergece of debt problems across all regional economies.

“As with the Western banks and, as with the banking sector globally, the last couple weeks of March were challenging, but if you look at the way the central banks responded I think liquidity was ample, and if you look at the capital levels they are significantly higher than the regulatory requirement,” Kaushal said.

In the case of Dubai and the UAE, where some experts have highlighted the need for big debt repayments in coming years, he appears to be comfortable. “The UAE and Dubai have been very conservative. Yes there are net servicing requirements that will come along the way, but there are very good lessons learnt from the 2008 crisis. And I think Dubai is equipped to tide over the financing requirements, and they are thinking far ahead,” he said.

A good example of the UAE’s innovative attitude toward capital raising came with the recent move by the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to spin off its gas pipeline to a consortium of investors, on which SC advised.

But for the next few months, Saudi Arabia will continue to be Kaushal’s main focus in the region. He had planned to open the new Riyadh office with between 30 and 40 staff to coincide with the Future Investment Initiative forum in October, but the travel restrictions of the pandemic put those plans on hold for a while. A formal opening will probably take place a few months after travel is eased between the UAE and the Kingdom.

“All I would say is that we are extremely excited about the Saudi market. There is a huge amount of interest from our clients and from our customers. It fills in a gap that we have in our network proposition and that is significant for us.”


EBRD supports Africa’s largest onshore wind project in Egypt with $275m loan

Updated 57 min 58 sec ago
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EBRD supports Africa’s largest onshore wind project in Egypt with $275m loan

  • 1.1 GW wind farm in Egypt will reduce annual CO2 emissions by more than 2.2 million tonnes
  • Loan to Suez Wind consists of $200 million A loan from the EBRD and $75 million in B loans from Arab Bank and Standard Chartered

JEDDAH: The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is supporting Egypt in launching Africa’s largest wind farm, backed by a $275 million syndicated loan.

The loan to Suez Wind consists of a $ 200 million A loan from the EBRD and $ 75 million in B loans from Arab Bank and Standard Chartered, the international financial institution said in a press release.

It added that the initiative is being co-financed by the African Development Bank, British International Investment, and Deutsche Investitions- und Entwicklungsgesellschaft, as well as the OPEC Fund for International Development and the Arab Petroleum Investments Corporation.

The wind farm in the Gulf of Suez will have an installed capacity of 1.1 gigawatts, delivering clean, renewable energy at a lower cost than conventional power generation. It is expected to produce over 4,300 GWh of electricity annually and reduce CO2 emissions by more than 2.2 million tons per year, supporting Egypt’s energy sector alignment with its commitments under the Paris Agreement.

Rania Al-Mashat, Egypt’s minister of planning, economic development, and international cooperation, said that her country is committed to advancing its renewable energy ambitions, aiming to derive 42 percent of its energy mix from renewable sources by 2030, in line with their nationally determined contributions.

“Through our partnership with the EBRD, a key development partner within the energy sector of Egypt’s country platform for the NWFE program, we are mobilizing blended finance to attract private-sector investments in renewable energy,” said Al-Mashat, who also serves as governor of the north African country to the EBRD

The minister added: “So far, funding has been secured for projects with a capacity of 4.7 gigawatts, and we are working collaboratively to meet the program’s targets to reduce Egypt’s fuel consumption and expand clean energy projects.”

Managing Director of the EBRD’s Sustainable Infrastructure Group, Nandita Parshad, expressed pride in the bank’s role as the largest financier of the landmark 1,100-megawatt wind farm in the Gulf of Suez, which is also the largest onshore wind farm in EBRD’s operational countries to date.

“Egypt continues to be a trailblazer for large-scale renewables in Africa: first with the largest solar farm and now the largest windfarm on the continent. Great to partner on both with ACWA power and to bring new partners in this project, Hassan Allam Utilities and Meridiam,” she said.

Suez Wind is a special project company jointly owned by Saudi energy giant ACWA Power and HAU Energy, a recently established renewable energy equity platform that the EBRD is investing in alongside Hassan Allam Utilities and Meridiam Africa Investments.

The EBRD, of which Egypt is a founding member, is the principal development partner in the republic’s energy sector under the Nexus of Water, Food, and Energy program, launched at COP27. This wind farm is one of the first projects within NWFE’s energy pillar, advancing progress toward the country’s 10-gigawatt renewable energy goal.

It plays a vital role in supporting Egypt’s efforts to decarbonize its fossil fuel-dependent power sector and achieve its ambitious renewable energy targets.

Since the EBRD began operations in Egypt in 2012, the bank has invested nearly €13.3 billion in 194 projects across the country. These investments span various sectors, including finance, transport, and agribusiness, as well as manufacturing, services, and infrastructure, with a particular emphasis on power, municipal water, and wastewater projects, according to the same source.

Last month, EBRD announced it was supporting the development and sustainability of Egypt’s renewable-energy sector by extending a $21.3 million loan to Red Sea Wind Energy.

The loan was established to fund the development and construction of a 150-megawatt expansion to the 500-megawatt wind farm currently being constructed in the same region.


UAE non-oil sectors push GDP growth to 4% in 2024: CBUAE

Updated 36 min 29 sec ago
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UAE non-oil sectors push GDP growth to 4% in 2024: CBUAE

  • Growth is projected to accelerate to 4.5% in 2025 and 5.5% in 2026
  • Non-oil GDP growth is forecast to remain robust, expanding by 4.9% in 2024 and 5% in 2025

RIYADH: The UAE economy is expected to grow by 4 percent in 2024, driven by robust performance across key non-oil sectors, according to official projections. 

The Central Bank of the UAE’s Quarterly Economic Review for December indicates that growth will be supported by sectors including tourism, transportation and financial services, as well as insurance, construction, real estate, and communications. 

Looking ahead, growth is projected to accelerate to 4.5 percent in 2025 and 5.5 percent in 2026, as the country continues to benefit from economic diversification policies aimed at reducing its dependence on oil revenues. 

Non-oil GDP growth is forecast to remain robust, expanding by 4.9 percent in 2024 and 5 percent in 2025. 

The report attributed this growth to strategic government policies aimed at attracting foreign investment and promoting economic diversification. 

In the second quarter, non-oil GDP grew by 4.8 percent year on year, compared to 4.0 percent in the first quarter, supported by manufacturing, trade, transportation and storage, and real estate activities. 

In September, the CBUAE revised its GDP growth forecast for the year upward by 0.1 percentage points, citing expected improvements in the oil sector. 

Initially projecting a 3.9 percent growth for 2024, the central bank adjusted the figure to 4 percent. In its second-quarter economic report, the CBUAE forecasted a growth rate of 6 percent for 2025. 

The UAE’s 16 non-oil sectors continued their steady growth in the third quarter of the year, with wholesale and retail trade, manufacturing, and construction being key contributors. 

The manufacturing sector has benefited from increased foreign direct investment, aligning with both federal and emirate-level strategies. 

The first nine months of the year also saw strong performance in the construction sector, reflecting significant investment in infrastructure and development projects. 

Non-oil trade exceeded 1.3 trillion dirhams ($353.9 billion) in the first half of the year, representing 134 percent of the country’s GDP, a 10.6 percent year-on-year increase. 

This growth underscores the success of the UAE’s economic diversification agenda and its comprehensive economic partnership agreements with various countries, which have strengthened trade relationships and driven exports.

The UAE has set ambitious economic targets to diversify its economy and reduce dependence on oil revenues.  

Under the We the UAE 2031 vision, the country aims to double its GDP from 1.49 trillion dirhams to 3 trillion dirhams, generate 800 billion dirhams in non-oil exports, and raise the value of foreign trade to 4 trillion dirhams.  

Additionally, the UAE plans to increase the tourism sector’s contribution to GDP to 450 billion dirhams. 

Oil production averaged 2.9 million barrels per day in the first 10 months of the year and is forecasted to grow by 1.3 percent for the year, with further acceleration to 2.9 percent in 2025.  

The fiscal sector also performed strongly in the first half of the year, with government revenue rising 6.9 percent on a yearly basis to 263.9 billion dirhams, equivalent to 26.9 percent of GDP.  

This increase was fueled by a significant 22.4 percent rise in tax revenues. Meanwhile, the fiscal surplus reached 65.7 billion dirhams, or 6.7 percent of GDP, marking a 38.8 percent increase from the 47.4 billion dirhams surplus, or 5.1 percent of GDP, recorded in the first half of 2023.  

Government capital expenditure surged by 51.7 percent year on year to 11 billion dirhams, reflecting the UAE’s commitment to advancing large-scale infrastructure projects and enhancing the country’s economic and investment landscape.

In the private sector, economic activity remained robust, with the UAE’s Purchasing Managers’ Index reaching 54.1 in October this year, signaling continued optimism among businesses driven by sustained demand and sales growth.

Dubai’s PMI stood at 53.2 in October, closely aligning with the national average, indicating consistent growth in the emirate’s non-oil private sector.

Employment and wages also showed strong performance, with the number of employees covered by the CBUAE’s Wages Protection System rising by 4 percent year-on-year in September. 

Average salaries increased by 7.2 percent yearly during the same period, reflecting strong domestic consumption and sustainable GDP growth.  


Saudi Arabia, Iraq to propel digital cooperation amid top ministerial meeting

Updated 34 min 29 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia, Iraq to propel digital cooperation amid top ministerial meeting

  • Discussions focused on exploring new opportunities for joint investments in the field
  • Two parties shed light on importance of integrating efforts to develop the digital environment, empower capabilities, and raise the level of collaborations

RIYADH: Digital partnerships between Saudi Arabia and Iraq are on track to prosper after a top ministerial meeting between the two countries.

Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Communications and Information Technology, Abdullah Al-Swaha, met with his Iraqi counterpart, Hayam Al-Yasiri, during her visit to Saudi Arabia. The discussions focused on exploring new opportunities for joint investments in the field, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

The meeting also tackled ways to further stimulate entrepreneurship that supports innovation and encourages the growth of the digital economy.

This falls in line with the Kingdom’s objective to position itself as a global leader in artificial intelligence and digital transformation under Vision 2030. Goals include increasing the digital economy’s gross domestic product contribution from 14 percent in 2022 to 19.2 percent by 2025, digitizing 92 percent of government services, and raising the information and communication technology sector’s GDP share to 4 percent.

It also aligns with Iraq’s ongoing efforts to develop a digital transformation strategy to support the private and public sectors and drive economic growth.

During the meeting, the two parties also shed light on the importance of integrating efforts to develop the digital environment, empower capabilities, and raise the level of collaborations in priority areas such as AI as well as infrastructure development.

Earlier this month, as officials convened in Riyadh during the 19th Internet Governance Forum, Saudi Arabia also explored partnership opportunities with Germany, Japan, and France in emerging technologies, AI, and digital infrastructure.

Held from Dec. 15 to 19 at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center, the UN-organized forum assembled global leaders to endorse global digital cooperation and address emerging challenges related to Internet governance.

At the forum’s opening at the time, the Kingdom revealed the Riyadh Declaration, a commitment to developing inclusive and responsible AI technologies in an attempt to address global challenges and drive economic value. 

In November, Saudi senior tech diplomat Deemah Al-Yahya, the secretary-general of the multilateral Digital Cooperation Organization, held talks with Iraq’s prime minister, Mohammed Shia’ Al-Sudani, about support for Baghdad’s plans to develop its digital business and AI sectors. 
 
The two sides discussed Iraq’s digital transformation strategy and the need to create and develop a workforce with the tech skills required to help grow the Iraqi economy effectively, SPA said at the time.


Aramco secures prime ratings for $10bn commercial paper program from Moody’s and Fitch

Updated 31 min 48 sec ago
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Aramco secures prime ratings for $10bn commercial paper program from Moody’s and Fitch

  • Moody’s assigned a Prime-1 short-term issuer rating to the energy giant
  • Fitch Ratings awarded an F1+ short-term rating

RIYADH: Saudi Aramco’s robust financial standing has been reaffirmed by Moody’s and Fitch, with the agencies assigning strong ratings to the energy giant’s newly established $10 billion US Commercial Paper Program.

Moody’s assigned a Prime-1 short-term issuer rating to the energy giant and reaffirmed its Aa3 long-term issuer rating with a stable outlook, reflecting the company’s ability to meet financial obligations. 

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings awarded an F1+ short-term rating, highlighting Aramco’s strong intrinsic capacity for timely payments and financial resilience. 

Aramco has established a $10 billion US Commercial Paper Program to issue notes with maturities of up to 270 days. 

Commercial paper is an unsecured, short-term debt instrument issued by corporations, typically used to cover receivables or meet short-term financial obligations, such as funding new projects. 

“Aramco has excellent liquidity. Its consolidated cash balance and operational cash flow are more than sufficient to meet the group’s debt maturities, investment commitments and dividends over the next 12 to 18 months,” said Moody’s. 

As of Sept. 30, the company had $69 billion of cash and cash equivalents. 

The credit rating agency also projected that Aramco is expected to generate $180 billion in funds from operations through March 2026, sufficient to cover $16 billion in debt maturities, $85 billion in capital spending, and $140 billion in dividends over the same period. 

The report also noted that the energy company maintains undrawn $10 billion multi-tranche revolving credit facilities, set to expire in April 2029. 

Fitch echoed similar confidence, noting that Aramco’s financial profile is bolstered by its conservative financial policies, low production costs, and strong pre-dividend free cash flow. 

“Its business profile is characterized by large-scale production, vast reserves, low production costs and expansion into downstream and petrochemicals,” said Fitch Ratings. 

It added: “We expect state support to be forthcoming, although historically the company’s robust financial position has not necessitated government support. Saudi Arabia has provided support to other government-related entities in the past.” 

Assigning an Aa3 baseline credit assessment rating to Aramco, Moody’s stated that the positive rating reflects the company’s proven track record in executing large-scale projects, significant downstream integration, conservative financial policy, and strong financial flexibility, supported by its low production costs. 

“These characteristics provide resilience through oil price cycles and also help balance carbon transition risk, which is a material credit consideration for oil and gas companies,” added Moody’s. 

Both agencies emphasized the strong link between Aramco’s ratings and those of the Saudi government. 

Moody’s highlighted that Aramco’s Aa3 rating reflects the Kingdom’s solid credit standing, recently upgraded to Aa3 by Moody’s in November. The agency added that any changes in the sovereign rating would directly impact Aramco’s ratings. 

Moody’s gives Aa3 ratings to countries which have a very low credit risk and hold the best ability to repay short-term debt. 

“An upgrade of the sovereign rating would likely lead to an upgrade of Aramco’s rating if it maintains prudent financial policies and robust credit metrics. Negative pressure on the sovereign rating will lead to negative pressure on Aramco’s rating,” said Moody’s in the latest report. 

Similarly, Fitch noted that Saudi Arabia’s A+ sovereign rating, affirmed in February, underscores the Kingdom’s strong capacity for financial commitments and its ability to provide support to Aramco if needed. 

Both agencies acknowledged Aramco’s capacity to adapt to market conditions, particularly its ability to adjust dividend commitments in response to oil price fluctuations. In 2024, Aramco delivered a base dividend of $81.2 billion, supported by its strong operating cash flow. 


Oil Updates — prices rise in thin pre-Christmas trade

Updated 24 December 2024
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Oil Updates — prices rise in thin pre-Christmas trade

  • Solid economic prospects for the US are also supporting prices

LONDON: Oil prices rose on Tuesday, reversing the prior session’s losses, buoyed by slightly positive market outlooks for the short term and stronger US economic data, despite thin trade ahead of the Christmas holiday.
Brent crude futures were up 33 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $72.96 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 29 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $69.53 a barrel at 07:22 a.m. Saudi time.
FGE analysts said they anticipated the benchmark prices would fluctuate around current levels in the short term “as activity in the paper markets decreases during the holiday season and market participants stay on the sidelines until they get a clearer view of 2024 and 2025 global oil balances.”
Supply and demand changes in December have been supportive of their current less-bearish view so far, the analysts said in a note.
“Given how short the paper market is on positioning, any supply disruption could lead to upward spikes in structure,” they added.
Some other analysts also pointed to signs of a positive outlook for oil over the next few months.
“The year is ending with the consensus from major agencies over long 2025 liquids balances starting to break down,” said Neil Crosby, Sparta Commodities’ assistant vice president of oil analytics, in a note. “The EIA’s STEO (short-term energy outlook) recently shifted their 2025 liquids to a draw despite continuing to bring back some OPEC+ barrels next year.”
Solid economic prospects for the US, the world’s largest oil consumer, are also supporting prices.
New orders for key US-manufactured capital goods surged in November amid strong demand for machinery, while new home sales also rebounded, in a sign that the US economy is on a solid footing toward the year-end.
In the shorter term, traders are looking for indications of US demand from the crude oil and fuel stockpiles data due from the American Petroleum Institute industry group later on Tuesday.
Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 2 million barrels in the week to Dec. 20 in a sign of healthy demand. The Energy Information Administration is due to release its data on Friday.