Indonesia wrestles with lure of lucrative coal industry and greener vision

Coal barges at Mahakam river, Samarinda, Indonesia. Image: Shutterstock
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Updated 20 September 2021
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Indonesia wrestles with lure of lucrative coal industry and greener vision

  • Indonesia, the eighth-biggest carbon emitter, recently brought forward its goal for net zero emissions from 2070 to 2060 or sooner
  • With nearly 39 billion tonnes of reserves, coal remains the economic backbone of parts of Indonesia and miners are among the biggest taxpayers

As Indonesia wins cautious praise from some green groups for ambitious plans to cut carbon emissions, the world's biggest exporter of thermal coal is grappling with its commitment to a greener future.


Indonesia, the eighth-biggest carbon emitter, recently brought forward its goal for net zero emissions from 2070 to 2060 or sooner, ahead of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in November, and joined a U.S.-led Global Methane Pledge.

Indonesia is wrestling with how to balance its environmental targets with the cost of pulling the plug on an industry that contributed $38 billion in export earnings in the first seven months of 2021.


It also plans to stop commissioning new coal-fired power plants and phase out coal for electricity by 2056 under a new, greener, long-term economic vision.


"We are phasing out coal power plants. But if you ask whether we're closing down mines, we have the coal and there are other utilisation options," Dadan Kusdiana, the energy ministry's head of renewable energy, told Reuters.

Indonesia is exploring ways to keep consuming and extracting value from coal by using carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology, although environmentalists say CCS is unproven and expensive.

COAL GASIFICATION


With nearly 39 billion tonnes of reserves, coal remains the economic backbone of parts of Indonesia and miners are among the biggest taxpayers.


The government has been encouraging miners to invest in production of dimethyl ether (DME) from coal. Under new laws passed in 2020, it no longer requires them to pay royalties to the government on such processes, and their mine permits can be extended.


It has touted DME as a replacement for imported liquefied petroleum gas and a feed stock for chemicals and fertilizer.


Making DME requires burning coal, so it needs to be paired with CCS to be environmentally friendly, Dadan said.


However, if Indonesia can adopt CCS more widely and cheaply, the technology could also be applied to coal power plants, extending their usage, he said.


He said that although using CCS technology is feasible, there is risk of leakage in trying to capture emissions from burning and mining coal.

RECORD PRICE 


Coal power generation is Indonesia's second-biggest emissions source after deforestation, contributing 35 percent of its 1,262 gigatonnes of CO2 equivalent a year, government data showed.


Indonesia consumes about 130 million tonnes of coal annually to fuel 60% of its 73 gigawatt (GW) electricity capacity, and exports about three times that amount.


Renewable sources like solar, hydro and geothermal make up just 11 percent of its energy mix, even though experts say Indonesia has 400 GW of renewable potential.


The government has pledged to increase the renewable share to 23 percent by 2025. 


Coal power remains the cheapest option.  Coal prices hit all-time highs this year, helping Indonesia book record exports and a trade surplus in August. The government raised its 2021 coal output target by 14 percent to 625 million tonnes to cash in.


Cerah and other green groups have campaigned to retire coal plants early, but officials have said this could trigger fines for breaching contracts with independent power producers.

On the flip side, parliament is reviewing a government-proposed carbon tax, and Indonesia has ambitious plans to use its nickel reserves to become a production hub for batteries and electric vehicles.

 


Riyad Bank issues SR-denominated Tier 1 sukuk 

Updated 18 sec ago
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Riyad Bank issues SR-denominated Tier 1 sukuk 

RIYADH: Riyad Bank has commenced the issuance of its additional Tier 1 sukuk under its SR10 billion ($2.66 billion) Additional Tier 1 Capital Sukuk Program via a private placement in the Kingdom. 

In a statement to Tadawul, the lender, one of the largest financial institutions in Saudi Arabia, said that the terms of the offer and the value of the sukuk would be determined based on market conditions. 

The financial institution added that the offering, which commenced on Jan. 7, will run through Jan. 16, with a minimum subscription limit of SR250,000. 

Sukuk, also known as an Islamic bond, is a Shariah-compliant debt product through which investors gain partial ownership of an issuer’s assets until maturity.

According to the statement, the bank has mandated Riyad Capital as the sole lead manager in relation to the offer and issuance of the sukuk.

The financial institution added that it will announce any other relevant material developments in due course. 

The steady issuance of sukuk happening in the Kingdom falls in line with the views shared by Fitch Ratings in a report in October, which said that the distribution of these Islamic bonds is expected to grow in 2025, driven by US Federal Reserve rate cuts. 

According to Fitch, interest rates are expected to be at 3.5 percent in 2025, resulting in a boost in sukuk issuances in the short term. 

In December, Fitch Ratings affirmed Riyad Bank’s long-term issuer default rating at A- with a stable outlook. 

The US-based agency said that the A- rating of the financial institution is attributed to the support it receives from Saudi Arabia’s government. 

The report added that Saudi authorities’ strong ability and willingness to support domestic banks irrespective of size, franchise, funding structure, and level of government ownership also played a crucial role in the strong rating of Riyad Bank. 

According to Fitch, an A- rating denotes expectations of low default risk and a strong ability to pay financial commitments. 

In October, Riyad Bank announced that its net profit for the first nine months of 2024 reached SR7.06 billion, representing a rise of 16 percent compared to the same period of the previous year. 

In December, an analysis by Kamco Invest projected that Saudi Arabia is expected to witness the greatest share of bond and sukuk maturities in the Gulf Cooperation Council region from 2025 to 2029 to reach $168 billion. 


Oil Updates — prices dip as demand optimism fades 

Updated 07 January 2025
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Oil Updates — prices dip as demand optimism fades 

BEIJING/SINGAPORE: Oil prices eased on Tuesday, extending losses into a second consecutive session after last week’s rally, although concerns about tighter Russian and Iranian supply amid widening Western sanctions checked losses, according to Reuters. 

Brent futures edged down 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $76.22 a barrel by 07:52 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 15 cents, or 0.19 percent, to $73.42. 

Both benchmarks slid on Monday, after rising for five days in a row last week to settle at their highest levels since October on Friday amid expectations of more fiscal stimulus to revitalize China’s faltering economy. 

“This week’s weakness is likely due to a technical correction, as traders react to softer economic data globally that undermines the optimism seen earlier,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, referring to bearish economic news from the US and Germany. 

Also dragging on oil prices is the rising supply from non-OPEC countries that, coupled with weak demand from China, is expected to keep the oil market well supplied this year. 

Market participants are waiting for more data this week, such as the US December nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, for clues on US interest rate policy and oil demand outlook. 

“The move higher in crude oil prices appears to be running out of momentum,” ING analysts wrote in a note. 

“While there has been some tightening in the physical market, fundamentals through 2025 are still set to be comfortable, which should cap the upside.” 

Worries over tightening Russian and Iranian supply amid sanctions, however, kept a floor under oil prices. 

The uncertainty has translated into better demand for Middle Eastern oil, reflected in a hike in Saudi Arabia’s February oil prices to Asia, the first such increase in three months. 

Money managers raised their net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to Dec. 31, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Monday. 


Saudi Arabia issues $12bn three-part bond: NDMC

Updated 07 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia issues $12bn three-part bond: NDMC

CAIRO: Saudi Arabia issued a $12 billion three-tranche bond, selling $5 billion, $3 billion and $4 billion in tenors of three, six and 10 years respectively, the National Debt Management Center said on Tuesday.
The total order book reached around $37 billion, equalling an over-subscription of three times the issuance, NDMC said in a statement.
The transaction is part of NDMC’s strategy to diversify the investor base and meet the Kingdom’s financing needs, it added. 

 


Lucid beats estimates for EV deliveries as price cuts, cheaper financing spur demand

Updated 06 January 2025
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Lucid beats estimates for EV deliveries as price cuts, cheaper financing spur demand

  • Company handed over 3,099 vehicles in the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31
  • For 2024, production rose 7% to 9,029 vehicles, topping Lucid’s target of 9,000 vehicles

LONDON: Lucid Group beat expectations for quarterly deliveries on Monday, as the Saudi Arabia-backed maker of luxury electric vehicles lowered prices and offered cheaper financing to drive demand, sending its shares up more than 6 percent.
The company handed over 3,099 vehicles in the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, compared with estimates of 2,637, according to six analysts polled by Visible Alpha. That represented growth of 11 percent over the third quarter and 78 percent higher than the fourth quarter a year earlier.
Production rose about 42 percent to 3,386 vehicles in the reported quarter from a year earlier, surpassing estimates of 2,904 units.


For 2024, production rose 7 percent to 9,029 vehicles, topping the company’s target of 9,000 vehicles. Annual deliveries grew 71 percent to 10,241 vehicles.
Lucid, backed by Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, started taking orders for its Gravity SUV in November, in a bid to enter the lucrative SUV sector and take some market share from Rivian and Tesla.
Rivian on Friday topped analysts’ estimates for quarterly deliveries and said its production was no longer constrained by a component shortage. But Tesla reported its first fall in yearly deliveries, in part due to the company’s aging lineup.
Demand for EVs, already squeezed by competition from hybrid vehicles, could face another challenge as President-elect Donald Trump is expected to reverse many of the Biden administration’s EV-friendly policies and incentives.
The company also raised $1.75 billion in October through a stock sale that CEO Peter Rawlinson believes will provide Lucid with a “cash runway well into 2026.”
Lucid, whose stock was down about 28 percent in 2024, is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter results on Feb. 25.


Saudi Arabia’s PIF completes $7bn inaugural murabaha credit facility

Updated 06 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s PIF completes $7bn inaugural murabaha credit facility

  • Shariah-compliant financing is backed by a syndicate of 20 international and regional financial institutions
  • Facility builds on PIF’s recent success with sukuk issuances over the past two years

RIYADH: The Saudi Public Investment Fund has closed its first Murabaha credit facility, securing $7 billion in funding. This is a key step in the fund's plan to raise capital over the next several years. 

The Shariah-compliant financing is backed by a syndicate of 20 international and regional financial institutions, according to a press release. 

A murabaha credit facility is a financing structure compliant with Islamic principles, where the lender purchases an asset and sells it to the borrower at an agreed profit margin, allowing repayment in installments. This structure avoids interest, adhering to Shariah laws. 

“This inaugural murabaha credit facility demonstrates the flexibility and depth of PIF’s financing strategy and use of diversified funding sources, as we continue to drive transformative investments, globally and in Saudi Arabia,” said Fahad Al-Saif, PIF’s head of the Global Capital Finance Division and head of Investment Strategy and Economic Insights Division. 

 

 

The facility builds on PIF’s recent success with sukuk issuances over the past two years, further bolstering its financial strength and commitment to best practices in debt management. 

Rated Aa3 by Moody’s and A+ by Fitch, both with stable outlooks, PIF continues to solidify its position as a global financial powerhouse. 

The fund’s capital structure is supported by four main funding sources, including contributions from the Saudi government, asset transfers, retained investment earnings, and financing through loans and debt instruments. 

PIF’s strategy focuses on financing initiatives that contribute to economic growth in Saudi Arabia and internationally. 

The $7 billion murabaha credit facility is expected to bolster PIF’s liquidity, supporting its investments both locally and globally. 

By diversifying its funding sources through a Shariah-compliant structure, PIF looks to enhance its financial partnerships while complementing its existing financing tools, such as sukuk issuances. 

 

 

This aligns with its medium-term capital strategy, ensuring flexibility, competitive financing terms, and risk mitigation. 

Earlier in January, the National Debt Management Center also secured a Shariah-compliant revolving credit facility worth SR9.4 billion ($2.5 billion). 

The three-year facility, supported by three regional and international financial institutions, is designed to meet the Kingdom’s general budgetary requirements. 

Aligned with Saudi Arabia’s medium-term public debt strategy, the arrangement focuses on diversifying funding sources to meet financing needs at competitive terms. 

It also adheres to robust risk management frameworks and the Kingdom’s approved annual borrowing plan. 

PIF has been actively engaging in credit arrangements to support its investment initiatives and the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification plan. 

In August 2024, PIF secured a $15 billion revolving credit facility for general corporate purposes, replacing a similar facility agreed upon in 2021. 

In addition to the revolving credit facility, PIF has diversified its financing instruments by issuing a $2 billion seven-year Islamic sukuk earlier in 2024 and planning to issue bonds in pounds sterling. 

These efforts are part of PIF’s strategy to leverage a variety of funding sources to support its expansive investment activities.