Saudi holdings of US treasuries slip to $116.7bn in February

The figure reflects a decrease of around $2.7 billion when compared to January this year. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 19 April 2022
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Saudi holdings of US treasuries slip to $116.7bn in February

RIYADH: Saudi holdings of US treasuries slipped to $116.7 billion in February, according to data released by the US treasury.

The figure reflects a decrease of around $2.7 billion when compared to January this year.

Among the largest holders of US debt during the month of February, Saudi Arabia has secured 18th place.

The Kingdom’s holdings of US treasuries were distributed among long-term bonds with an accumulated worth of $101.3 billion. This figure accounts for 87 percent of the total holdings.

"Saudi holdings of U.S. treasuries has followed the general trend seen by the SAMA’s total holdings of foreign securities, which declined by 8 percent between February 2020 and February 2022," Albara’a Alwazir, director of economic research at US-Saudi Business Council.

While Saudi holdings of U.S. treasuries declined by 37 percent during the same period, the steepest decline has been its holdings of short-term securities, reflecting a decline of 64 percent compared to long-term holdings, which dropped by 28 percent between February 2020 and February 2022, he added.




Albara’a Alwazir, director of economic research at US-Saudi Business Council

As for the US treasuries distributed among short-term bonds, these amount to $15.5 billion, representing 13 percent of the total holdings.

Saudi Arabia's total holdings in US treasuries peaked at an all-time maximum level of $184.4 billion back in February 2020. Long-term US treasuries holdings also stood at an all-time high of $141.4 billion at the time. 

Since then, the value of the Kingdom's holding has fallen by a total of $67.7 billion, including a decrease of $40.1 billion in the value of long-term US treasuries.

The drawdown in U.S. treasury holdings by Saudi Arabia are fueled by the need to service its financing needs associated with the private sector stimulus packages, according to Alwazir.

Furthermore, the Kingdom’s sizeable diversification plans necessitate the injection of capital into a number of Vision Realization Plans, such as the PIF Program and National Transformation Program, he added.

"Looking ahead, I expect a ramp up in Saudi Arabia’s foreign reserves that is perpetuated by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, which has dramatically elevated oil prices since the end of February. With demand for oil outpacing current supply, the cascading effect on the Kingdom’s finances will elevate capital allocations towards boosting government reserves and accelerating strategic initiatives in line with Vision 2030 goals," Alwazir said.

FASTFACTS

Saudi Arabia’s total holdings in US treasuries peaked at an all-time maximum level of $184.4 billion back in February 2020.

The value of US treasuries owned by the UAE at the end of February 2022 stood at $46.3 billion, $1.5 billion more than in January.

Kuwait’s holding remained virtually unchanged at $50.6 billion.

Looking at some other major oil producers' holdings in US treasuries, Norway has boosted it by a total of $21.8 billion during the first two months of 2020 to $119.4 billion.

The value of US treasuries owned by the UAE at the end of February 2022 stood at $46.3 billion, $1.5 billion more than in January. Kuwait's holding remained virtually unchanged at $50.6 billion.  

Japan was the top holder of US Treasury bonds in February with a value of $1.3 trillion, followed by China with a value of $1.54 trillion.

Countries like Saudi Arabia build part of their reserves by buying US holdings as they can be liquidated very fast. The Kingdom and other oil exporters increased their holdings over the past few years when crude prices were on the rise.

Saudi Arabia has been liquidating some treasury holdings in recent years to invest in projects aimed at diversifying its economy away from oil.

The US Treasury only began publishing the details of Saudi Arabia and other oil producers’ Treasury holdings in May 2016. At that time, Saudi Arabia held $116.8 billion, only marginally more than it does today, but up from $102.8 billion in March 2015. China had a portfolio of $1.24 trillion, then the world’s largest holdings, but has since been overtaken by Japan.


Al-Habtoor Group plans Lebanon comeback, pending security guarantees

Updated 17 sec ago
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Al-Habtoor Group plans Lebanon comeback, pending security guarantees

  • AHG chairman emphasizes the importance of stability for future growth

RIYADH: Al-Habtoor Group is moving forward with plans to reopen its five-story mall in Beirut and relaunch the Habtoorland amusement park in Jamhour, contingent on Lebanon’s government delivering the promised security and stability measures.

In an interview with Arab News, AHG Chairman Khalaf Al-Habtoor emphasized that restoring the mall and amusement park remains a key priority for the group. However, these initiatives depend entirely on the assurances of safety and governance from Lebanon’s new leadership.

“We have a different management now overseeing the mall. They are waiting only for the implementation of plans by the president and the prime minister. I fully believe in the president, even though we haven’t met, and I believe in the prime minister,” Al-Habtoor stated.

On Jan. 9, Lebanon elected former army commander Joseph Aoun president, and on Jan. 13, appointed Nawaf Salam, the chief judge of the International Court of Justice, prime minister.

Al-Habtoor expressed his belief that the newly installed leaders possess the potential to unite the country and initiate the critical reforms needed for Lebanon’s economic revival.

Despite Lebanon’s long-standing political instability, including the devastating Beirut Port explosion, AHG has kept its facilities operational, ensuring that its employees retained their jobs throughout turbulent times.

“We don’t close our hotels. Even when we closed (temporarily), we didn’t terminate anyone. During the war, even after the port explosion, we did not release any of our employees. We paid them their salaries because they are part of us, like a family, like partners with us,” Al-Habtoor explained.

He further highlighted the group’s long-standing commitment to Lebanon, emphasizing its role in creating jobs and fostering local development. “We have been working for a very long time in Lebanon, and we created a lot of projects to create jobs for our people there, for our families—I call them. The Lebanese are part of us.”

While acknowledging the political challenges facing the country, the AHG chairman expressed optimism about Lebanon’s future under its new leadership, stressing the importance of public support for the government’s agenda. 

“If the Lebanese people want Lebanon to compete with successful countries, they have to support the president and the prime minister. Lebanon needs a lot of work, renovation, and fixing,” he noted. 

Al-Habtoor pointed to security as the linchpin for any future investments in Lebanon. “Nobody will invest a penny unless there is 100 percent safety and security in the country,” he asserted.

The AHG chairman said if the new president and prime minister manage to establish their authority within the next three months, he will personally return to Lebanon to oversee the group’s projects.

Although AHG has explored new ventures, including the establishment of a production studio, political instability had previously delayed such plans. 

Al-Habtoor reaffirmed his commitment to reconsidering these opportunities once Lebanon’s security situation stabilizes: “I will definitely reconsider, but the country’s shift to safety and security remains priority No. 1.”

The UAE-based businessman also stressed the necessity of clean, well-vetted leadership for Lebanon’s Cabinet. “They should not let any person from another country be involved,” he emphasized.

Despite these challenges, Al-Habtoor expressed hope for Lebanon’s revival under its new leadership, reflecting confidence in their sincerity and commitment to reform. 

“I have hope from these people. I believe in these genuine leaders and their honesty. If they deliver what they promised, I will be there, with my feet on the ground,” he said.

Reflecting on his personal connection to Lebanon, Al-Habtoor shared fond memories of time spent in the country. “My family and I spent a lot of time in Lebanon. We have our house in Jamhour, and we invested in many things. I have a lot of friends there. I miss them, and they miss me,” he said.

Looking ahead, AHG is also set to expand internationally, with the upcoming launch of the 200-key Al-Habtoor Palace luxury hotel in Budapest, scheduled for Feb. 3. The company is also pursuing ongoing projects in Dubai, which Al-Habtoor referred to as “the jewel of the world.”

He added that in Dubai, everyone can sleep and relax, fully assured of their safety and security. “This is what we need in Lebanon,” Al-Habtoor concluded.


Oil Updates — crude rises as US inventory decline heightens supply concerns

Updated 23 min 43 sec ago
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Oil Updates — crude rises as US inventory decline heightens supply concerns

SINGAPORE: Oil prices gained for a second session on Thursday, supported by worries over supply amid US sanctions on Russia, a larger-than-forecast fall in US crude oil stocks, and an improving global demand outlook.

Brent crude futures rose 25 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $82.28 per barrel by 7:46 a.m. Saudi time, after rising 2.6 percent in the previous session to their highest since July 26 last year.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $80.32 a barrel, after gaining 3.3 percent on Wednesday to their highest since July 19.

US crude oil stocks fell last week to their lowest since April 2022 as exports rose and imports fell, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

The 2 million-barrel draw was more than the 992,000-barrel fall analysts had expected in a Reuters poll.

The drop added to a tightened global supply outlook after the US imposed broader sanctions on Russian oil producers and tankers. The new US sanction measures have sent Moscow’s top customers scouring the globe for replacement barrels, while shipping rates have surged too.

The Biden administration on Wednesday imposed hundreds of additional sanctions targeting Russia’s military industrial base and evasion schemes.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, which have been curtailing output collectively over the past two years, are likely to be cautious about increasing supply despite the recent price rally, said Commodity Context founder Rory Johnston.

“The producer group has had its optimism dashed so frequently over the past year that it is likely to err on the side of caution before beginning the cut-easing process,” Johnston said.

Limiting oil’s gains, Israel and Hamas agreed to a deal to halt fighting in Gaza and exchange Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners, according to an official.

On the demand front, global oil expanded by 1.2 million barrels per day in the first two weeks in 2025 from the same period a year earlier, slightly below expectations, JPMorgan analysts wrote in a note.

The analysts expect oil demand to grow by 1.4 million bpd year-on-year in coming weeks, driven by heightened travel activities in India, where a huge festival gathering is taking place, as well as by travel for Lunar New Year celebrations in China at the end of January.

Some investors are also eying potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve before the end of the year following data on an easing in core US inflation — which could lend support to economic activities and energy consumption. 


OPEC forecasts 2026 oil demand growth of 1.43m barrels a day

Updated 15 January 2025
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OPEC forecasts 2026 oil demand growth of 1.43m barrels a day

LONDON: OPEC on Wednesday predicted that global oil demand in 2026 will increase at a rate similar to this year’s growth.

However, the organization lowered its 2024 demand projection for the sixth time, citing ongoing economic weakness in China, the world’s largest oil importer.

The 2026 forecast aligns with OPEC’s long-term view that global oil consumption will continue to rise over the next two decades. This contrasts with the International Energy Agency, which expects oil demand to peak within this decade as the world transitions to cleaner energy sources.

In its latest monthly report, OPEC projected that oil demand will increase by 1.43 million barrels per day in 2026, a growth rate nearly identical to the 1.45 million bpd expected for this year. The 2026 forecast marks the first time OPEC has provided a projection for that year in its monthly update.

OPEC noted that transportation fuels will be the primary driver of oil demand growth in 2026, with air travel expected to continue expanding. Both international and domestic flights are expected to see steady increases, according to the report.

The report also revised its 2024 demand growth forecast down to 1.5 million bpd, compared to the 1.61 million bpd forecast in the previous month. This marks the sixth consecutive reduction for 2024, following an initial forecast of 2.25 million bpd in July 2024.

OPEC’s demand outlook remains at the higher end of industry expectations.

Earlier on Wednesday, the IEA forecasted a slower pace of global oil demand growth in 2025, predicting an increase of 1.05 million bpd.


Hexagon invests in future mining talent through partnership with King Saud University

Updated 15 January 2025
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Hexagon invests in future mining talent through partnership with King Saud University

RIYADH: Industrial technology company Hexagon has made a significant investment in King Saud University to help train the next generation of mining talent in the Middle East, according to a top official.

Speaking to Arab News on the second day of the Future Minerals Forum, which is being held in Riyadh from Jan. 14 to 16, Dave Goddard, executive vice president of mining at Hexagon, explained that the training would utilize advanced digital tools and software.

The agreement, finalized during the forum, builds on Hexagon’s ongoing collaboration with mining ventures in the region. This follows a landmark deal in 2024 with Saudi Arabian Mining Co. to launch the region’s first-of-its-kind digital mine.

The initiative also aligns with the Kingdom’s broader efforts to position mining as the third pillar of its industrial economy.

“One of the things that’s important for us is to give back to the mining community and ensure the long-term viability of the mining industry,” Goddard said. “And the only way that happens is people retire every year, and college students come into the environment as well.”

He continued: “So, what we’ve done is we’ve made a partnership with the universities in order to provide them some digital tools that the mining companies use, so that when they graduate, and they go into industry, they are already digital natives. They already have the skills and attributes necessary to enter into the digital mining realm. And so that’s what we’re really doing: investing in the future of mining by investing in the future leaders of mining.”

Goddard also elaborated on the firm’s partnership with Ma’aden.

“We have a partnership agreement with Ma’aden, our primary customer here in Saudi Arabia. And we have a partnership with them to build a digital mine, where we’re providing the tools, materials, and software to digitalize their mining operations in order for them to be an optimal miner and a world-class miner, which they currently are,” he said.

Regarding the mining process, Goddard described it as breaking down large rocks into smaller pieces to extract valuable minerals or compounds.

“You have a mine plan that has a digital representation of what that ore looks like inside the ground, and then you have a digital representation of the truck that is carrying that mineral around, and you have a digital representation of the drill that is drilling through the material,” Goddard explained.

“When you take that software and those digitalization parameters, what you’re really doing is reflecting the real world in a digital model and allowing yourself to model an optimal process to extract that real-world material in a digital manner,” he added.

He also mentioned the company’s drill assist product, which helps equipment drill 30 percent faster than a human.

“In terms of a fleet management system, we can provide the same material flow rate using 20% fewer trucks if you use our fleet management system. So, if you think about it, there’s not only the cost savings, but there’s also an energy savings because you’re using less material,” Goddard said.

“And that energy savings correlates to less impact on the environment, a lower carbon emission, and a smaller carbon footprint. So, we help our mining customers address not only their operational challenges but also their sustainability challenges as well,” he added.

Goddard further highlighted how mining influences global wealth and standards of living.

“Knowing that the world around us would not exist without mining and the natural materials that mining provides, as the wealth of the world grows and people enjoy richer lifestyles, demand for mineral resources will increase. And we want to be in the middle of that, providing the tools necessary to optimize the extraction of those resources,” he said.

He also discussed Hexagon's approach to providing digital solutions for mining operations.

“What we have are two different portfolios,” Goddard explained. “One is a planning portfolio that allows mining companies to optimize the extraction sequence in order to maximize the material that comes out of the mine. The second portfolio is our operations portfolio, which helps them optimize equipment and material movement during the actual mining operations and extraction activities.”


Saudi Arabia, Australia set to enhance mining ties, says business council head

Updated 15 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia, Australia set to enhance mining ties, says business council head

  • Bilateral trade between Saudi Arabia and Australia has grown significantly, reaching $4 billion
  • Business council is actively working to further increase this figure

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia and Australia are poised to enhance cooperation in the mining sector with the launch of an inaugural bilateral forum this year, a senior official has announced. 

Speaking on the sidelines of the Future Minerals Forum in Riyadh, Sam Jamsheedi, the president of the Australian Saudi Business Council and Forum, highlighted the event’s potential to boost bilateral exploration and investment opportunities in the mining industry. 

He said that the inaugural Australia-Saudi Mining Forum would take place this year, marking a significant step in enhancing cooperation between the two countries.  

“One of the main pillars of Saudi Vision 2030 is mining and resources. And one of Australia’s biggest industries is mining. This forum is dedicated solely to mining opportunities for both sides, which is also supported by both governments as well. I believe this forum would kind of ignite another cycle of boom in both nations’ productivity,” Jamsheedi said. 

Jamsheedi pointed to Australia’s strong presence at the FMF, with over 300 Australian participants attending and the country hosting its first pavilion at the event. 

He added that events like FMF are crucial to elevate and strengthen the bilateral relationship between Australia and the Kingdom.  

Jamsheedi also elaborated on the Australian Saudi Business Council and Forum’s efforts over the past two years to facilitate trade and investment between the two nations. 

“It is the official business council for both sides. Our mandate is to represent Saudi Arabian opportunities in Australia and also be the voice for Australians who come to Saudi Arabia,” he said. 

Jamsheedi added that bilateral trade between Saudi Arabia and Australia has grown significantly, reaching $4 billion, with a $600 million boost in the past year due to the council’s support. 

The business council is actively working to further increase this figure, focusing on key sectors such as mining, agriculture, food and beverages, infrastructure, technology, and services. 

As Saudi Arabia aims to attract $100 billion in foreign direct investments by 2030, Jamsheedi emphasized the importance of hosting more events like FMF and raising awareness among Australian investors about the opportunities in the Kingdom.