UAE May PMI rises on growth in new orders: S&P Global

Demand from foreign customers expanded, albeit at a softer rate compared to April (Shutterstock)
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Updated 06 June 2022
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UAE May PMI rises on growth in new orders: S&P Global

The UAE Purchasing Managers’ Index rose from 54.6 in April to a five month high at 55.6 in May, according to S&P Global.

The overall headline index performance was in line with the rate of growth in output, the highest in 2022 so far.

Besides an increase in domestic demand, firms attributed the growth in output to increased marketing and renewed price discounting, which helped lift sales amid reports of tightened price competition. 

Demand from foreign customers also expanded, albeit at a softer rate compared to April.

There was a sharper increase in new work as client demand continued to strengthen, according to S&P Global.

The main headwind to the non-oil sector in May was inflation. 

“Companies are choosing to absorb extra costs, rather than pass them onto customers, but this is unlikely to continue indefinitely,” David Owen, an economist at S&P Global, pointed out. 

Despite enhanced economic conditions, stocks of purchases recorded only a marginal increase in May. 

The input price inflation was the strongest in three and a half years, pushing some of the firms to absorb costs instead of passing them on to the customers amid strong price competition.

Vendor performance improved in May, and the firms surveyed often found that suppliers were able to deliver more quickly when requested.

Businesses were struggling to keep up with demand, as backlogs of work rose at the sharpest rate for eight months.

Strengthening demand led to the fastest rate of job creation seen for seven months.


Oil Updates – prices slip, US recession fears offset Middle East supply worries

Updated 35 sec ago
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Oil Updates – prices slip, US recession fears offset Middle East supply worries

SINGAPORE: Oil futures extended losses in a volatile session on Monday as fears of a recession in top oil consumer the US offset supply worries stemming from mounting tensions in the Middle East, the world’s largest oil producing region.

Share markets also tumbled across Asia as US recession worries sent investors rushing from risk assets while wagering that rapid fire rate cuts will be needed to rescue growth.

Brent crude dropped $1.04, or 1.4 percent, to $75.77 a barrel by 8:05 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $72.43 a barrel, down $1.09, or 1.5 percent.

Brent and WTI had tumbled more than 3 percent on Friday, with both contracts marking their fourth straight week of losses — biggest losing streaks since November.

US recession fears, stemming from Friday’s weak July payrolls report, only “adds to Chinese demand concerns that have been lingering in the oil market for some time,” ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said in a note.

Slumping diesel consumption in China, the world’s biggest contributor to oil demand growth, is weighing on oil prices.

Oil also came under pressure after OPEC+ stuck to its plan to phase out voluntary production cuts from October, which means supplies will rise later this year, analyst say.

A Reuters survey showed on Friday that OPEC oil output rose in July despite production cuts by the group.

However, oil prices were supported by geopolitical risks in the Middle East as fighting in Gaza continued on Sunday, the day after a round of talks in Cairo ended without result.

Israel and the US are bracing for a serious escalation in the region after Iran and its allies Hamas and Hezbollah pledged to retaliate against Israel for the killings of Hamas’ leader Ismail Haniyeh and Fuad Shukr, a top military commander from Lebanese armed group Hezbollah last week.

“The risk of a wider regional war, while I still think is small, can’t be ignored,” Sydney-based IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said. “There are some significant left and right tail risks at this point.” 


Saudi non-oil business activity steady with July PMI at 54.4 

Updated 7 min 53 sec ago
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Saudi non-oil business activity steady with July PMI at 54.4 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector showed robust growth in July, driven by sustained demand amid heightened competitive pressures, according to an economy tracker. 

The Riyadh Bank Saudi Arabia PMI survey, compiled by S&P Global, revealed that the Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers’ Index slightly softened to 54.4 in July, down from 55 in June and 56.4 in May. 

S&P Global noted that any PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the non-oil sector, while readings below 50 signal contraction. 

Bolstering the non-oil private sector is pivotal for Saudi Arabia as it pursues economic diversification by reducing dependence on crude revenues. 

Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, said: “PMI managed to stay on the expansion, recording a solid 54.4, reacting to the status quo of demand and competition in the Saudi market. This figure highlights continued growth within the private sector, driven by sustained demand despite heightened competitive pressures.”  

He added: “Demand has played a crucial role in driving orders, ensuring that businesses remain active and forward-looking.”  

The report noted that extensive market competition has led to downward pressure on prices, as companies strive to maintain market share by offering more attractive pricing to consumers. 

S&P Global further pointed out that staffing and inventory levels continued to expand in July, despite wavering business confidence among some survey participants. 

The report highlighted that stronger workforces helped businesses manage backlogs despite capacity challenges from the recent heatwave. 

Al-Ghaith noted that July’s survey results indicate the strong growth of Saudi non-oil businesses in international markets. 

“Additionally, new exports have continued to expand, signaling a further increase in net non-oil trade. This expansion in exports suggests that Saudi businesses are successfully penetrating international markets, which bodes well for the diversification of the economy away from oil dependency,” he said.  

Al-Ghaith added: “The growth in non-oil exports not only contributes positively to the trade balance but also indicates a strengthening of the country’s industrial and service sectors. This trend is encouraging as it underscores the effectiveness of economic reforms aimed at broadening the economic base and enhancing global trade relations.”  

According to the survey, both output and new orders, the two largest components of the PMI, expanded to a lesser extent at the start of the third quarter. 

The report revealed that output growth eased to a six-month low, while the upturn in new business was the least marked in two-and-a-half years. 

It added that vendor performance also improved in July, as the average time taken for inputs to arrive at non-oil companies shortened over the month. 

According to S&P Global, higher client demand, a healthy work pipeline, and increased government investments are crucial factors elevating business owner confidence for future growth. 

“The combination of steady demand, competitive pricing, and expanding exports paints a positive outlook for Saudi Arabia’s economic growth,” concluded Al-Ghaith. 


Saudi Arabia ranks 1st among G20 countries in workforce growth rate

Updated 04 August 2024
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Saudi Arabia ranks 1st among G20 countries in workforce growth rate

  • Statistics indicated a 1.7% male growth rate and 5.5% female growth rate in Saudi Arabia
  • Rise in figures is mainly attributed to the attractiveness of the labor market in the Kingdom as a result of economic growth

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia achieved the highest growth rates in both male and female workforce participation among all G20 countries between 2016 and 2021, according to data from the Kingdom’s National Labor Observatory.

The statistics reveal a 1.7 percent growth rate for male workers in Saudi Arabia, surpassing Australia’s 1.5 percent and exceeding the rates of other G20 nations. Female workforce growth was even more notable, with a rate of 5.5 percent in Saudi Arabia compared to 2.1 percent in Australia and lower figures in the rest of the G20.

This impressive growth is attributed to the Kingdom’s dynamic labor market, driven by economic expansion, a youthful population, and initiatives aimed at boosting female participation in the workforce. These developments align with Saudi Vision 2030, which focuses on attracting and retaining top talent, including both Saudis and expatriates, and investing in the productive capabilities of women to enhance their role in the Saudi economy and society.

The National Labor Observatory also reported that Saudi Arabia saw the highest increase in labor participation rate among G20 countries, rising by 6.2 percent. Japan followed with a significantly smaller increase of 2.2 percent. Additionally, Saudi Arabia ranks second in male labor force participation rates, just behind Indonesia, with a participation rate of 70 percent for those over 25 years old, compared to Indonesia’s 72 percent.

In 2017, Saudi Arabia experienced a decline in labor force participation among the youth (ages 15 to 24), attributed to social factors such as family dependency and subjective factors including inadequate training and completion of education. However, Saudi Arabia remains among the top 10 G20 countries in terms of overall employment rate, reaching about 57 percent.

The Kingdom also recorded a high male participation rate of 76 percent and achieved a 10 percent increase in the female employment rate from 2016 to 2021. Contributing factors to these positive trends include support for job growth and nationalization in various sectors, alignment of educational outcomes with market needs, and sector-specific strategies to develop human capital. Additionally, policies and programs like income support, social protection, and initiatives promoting modern work platforms and future-oriented skills development have played crucial roles.

In 2023, Saudi Arabia reached its lowest unemployment rate of 7.7 percent, a significant drop from 12.3 percent in 2016. This rate exceeded the 2023 target of 8 percent and is nearing the Vision 2030 goal of 7 percent, reflecting the effectiveness of the Kingdom’s labor market reforms and economic strategies.

In July, Saudi Arabia played an active role in the G20 meetings held during Brazil’s presidency, particularly within the Women’s Empowerment Working Group. The three-day session, hosted in Brasilia, marked the third convening of this working group. Leading the Kingdom’s delegation was Maimunah bint Khalil Al-Khalil, secretary-general of the Family Affairs Council.

The initial two days of the meetings were dedicated to discussions among member states regarding the ministerial declaration. These discussions focused on refining the group’s priorities and consolidating agreements made in previous sessions. The aim was to produce a comprehensive declaration that reflects the collective commitments and objectives of the working group.

The timing of the G20 meetings coincided with positive economic reports about Saudi Arabia. In June, the International Monetary Fund highlighted the Kingdom’s “unprecedented economic transformation,” attributing this progress to sound government policies and effective diversification strategies. The IMF noted Saudi Arabia's growing domestic demand, ongoing financial reforms, and environmental policies as key areas of strength.

These positive assessments followed closely on the heels of figures released by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, which revealed that Saudi Arabia’s economy had grown at a pace surpassing the G20 average during the first quarter of the year. This growth underscores the Kingdom’s successful efforts to navigate and capitalize on its evolving economic landscape.


Bahraini nationals top list of 8.6m GCC visitors to Saudi Arabia

Updated 04 August 2024
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Bahraini nationals top list of 8.6m GCC visitors to Saudi Arabia

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia welcomed 8.6 million visitors from Gulf Cooperation Council countries in 2023, with Bahraini travelers accounting for 3.4 million of the total. 

The Ministry of Tourism revealed that 2.3 million travelers visited the Kingdom from Kuwait last year, followed by 1.3 million from the UAE and 1.09 million from Qatar. 

The report also noted that 455,000 travelers from Oman visited the Kingdom last year. 

Saudi Arabia is focused on strengthening its tourism sector as part of its economic diversification away from crude oil dependence. The National Tourism Strategy aims to attract 150 million visitors by 2030 and increase the sector’s contribution to gross domestic product from 6 percent to 10 percent. 

Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb said: “The 2023 data reveal that our tourism sector is experiencing remarkable growth and resilience.”  

He added: “The statistics shown in the report not only reflect the success of tourism policies but also demonstrate the vibrant economic activity driven by this sector.”  

The ministry noted that tourism spending among GCC travelers reached SR15 billion ($4 billion) in 2023.  

The Kingdom welcomed a total of 109 million tourists last year, with inbound tourists rising by 64.8 percent to 27.4 million and outbound tourists increasing by 5.2 percent to 81.9 million. 

Tourism spending totaled SR141.2 billion for inbound and SR114.4 billion for outbound tourists. 

“The influx of tourists has bolstered local businesses, from hospitality to retail, and has notably invigorated the national economy,” added Al-Khateeb.  

From Asia and the Pacific, Saudi Arabia saw 7.9 million visitors, with Pakistan leading at 2.47 million.  

In the Middle East, the Kingdom welcomed 5.6 million travelers, including 2.58 million from Egypt and 1.12 million from Jordan. 

From the Americas, the US was the top source with 331,000 visitors. Algeria led African nations with 523,000 travelers, while Europe contributed 680,000 tourists, with Uzbekistan and the UK adding 540,000 and 370,000 visitors, respectively. 

This reflects Saudi Arabia’s thriving tourism sector, as the Kingdom enhances its infrastructure and attractions, solidifying its position as a leading global destination and boosting economic growth and regional influence.


Bahrain opens registration for Saudi companies in its Takamul program

Updated 04 August 2024
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Bahrain opens registration for Saudi companies in its Takamul program

RIYADH: Saudi enterprises are poised to benefit from Bahrain’s Local Value-Added Program, Takamul, as the latter opens registration to Kingdom’s companies.

This initiative is part of Bahrain’s Industry Sector Strategic Initiatives 2022-2026, which aims to boost local value addition in industrial products and enhance supply chain efficiency.

Bahrain’s Minister of Industry and Commerce Abdulla bin Adel Fakhro underscored the program’s role in reinforcing the deep-rooted strategic partnership between Bahrain and Saudi Arabia.

He highlighted that this development follows the third meeting of the Saudi-Bahraini Coordination Council, which was chaired by Bahrain’s Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al-Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

Fakhro noted the Takamul program exemplifies reciprocal benefits, where Bahraini products are recognized as Saudi products in local government procurement processes within Saudi Arabia. Saudi companies participating in Takamul can achieve a 75 percent In-Country Value, earning a certificate that provides a 10 percent preference in Bahrain’s future government tenders.

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef expressed his appreciation for the Bahraini ministry’s cooperation. He emphasized that this program is designed to enhance local value addition and preferences in government procurement, thereby stimulating and empowering Saudi industries while fostering economic integration between the two nations.

Alkhorayef also pointed out that goods manufactured in Bahrain that meet national origin rules will be considered Saudi products, allowing them to benefit from local content preference mechanisms in Saudi Arabia.

He praised the collaborative efforts between the two countries, noting that this cooperation will boost trade, stimulate national industries, provide investment opportunities, attract foreign investments, and increase the added value of products from both nations.

This initiative reflects the strong, enduring ties between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain and represents a commitment to deepening bilateral relations for mutual development and prosperity.

Bahrain’s Industry Ministry said that Saudi enterprises interested in the program can register through its website https://service.moic.gov.bh/takamul.