China In-Focus — S&P cuts GDP forecast; Chinese smartphone makers dominate Russian market

S&P cut its gross domestic product growth prediction for China to 3.3 percent, in a report, having already downgraded it to 4.2 percent in May from a 4.9 percent forecast made in March.
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Updated 29 June 2022
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China In-Focus — S&P cuts GDP forecast; Chinese smartphone makers dominate Russian market

BEIJING: Coronavirus lockdowns have hit Chinese growth more than expected, ratings agency S&P said as it slashed its forecast for the second time in two months, while emerging market economies will slow in the second half of this year amid high inflation.

S&P cut its gross domestic product growth prediction for China to 3.3 percent, in a report, having already downgraded it to 4.2 percent in May from a 4.9 percent forecast made in March.

It said higher than expected first quarter growth in many countries meant its 2022 growth forecast for emerging market economies excluding China was unchanged at 4.1 percent, but sounded a pessimistic note about the rest of the year and 2023.

S&P also increased inflation forecasts for a sample of 15 emerging markets, to 7.1 percent in 2022 and 4.1 percent in 2023, from 5.9 percent and 3.5 percent in March and said it expected inflation to breach most central banks’ targets until at least 2024 even as they tighten monetary policy faster.

China’s smartphones gain ground in Russia

Chinese smartphones accounted for two-thirds of all new sales in Russia between April and June, the country’s top electronics retailer said on Wednesday.

“The total share of Chinese brands in the Russian market in terms of smartphone sales is steadily increasing — from 50 percent in the first quarter, to 60 percent in April to more than 70 percent in June,” Russian electronics retailer M.Video-Eldorado said on Wednesday.

Overall, Chinese smartphones accounted for more than 65 percent of devices sold across the second quarter, up from 50 percent in the same period of 2021. Mobile operator MTS reported a jump in sales of Chinese phones in May.

M.Video said the average price of a smartphone sold during the three-month period was down 4 percent from last year as Russian consumers shift to lower-ticket goods amid an earnings squeeze and economic downturn.

Several major smartphone makers, including Apple and Samsung, have paused new sales in Russia following its Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine, while financial sanctions and airspace bans have hit supply chains, pushing Russian retailers and consumers to look toward China to fill the gap.

 

(With input from Reuters) 

 


Saudi Arabia’s NEOM giga-project a ‘generational investment,’ minister says

Updated 5 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s NEOM giga-project a ‘generational investment,’ minister says

  • Foreign investors starting to come to NEOM, minister says
  • On recent departure of NEOM’s CEO, minister says there is a time to pass baton
  • Risk-return ‘very fair’ for outside investors, Al-Falih says

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s NEOM gigaproject, a futuristic region being built in the desert, is a “generational investment” with a long timeline, the country’s investment minister told Reuters on Monday, adding that foreign investment will pick up pace.

“NEOM was not meant to be a two-year investable opportunity. If anybody expected NEOM to be foreign investment in two, three or five years, then they have gotten (it) wrong — it’s a generational investment,” Minister Khalid Al-Falih said on the sidelines of the World Investment Conference in Riyadh.

“The flywheel is starting and it will gain speed as we go forward, as some of the foundational assets come to the market,” he said.

The world’s top oil exporter has poured hundreds of billions of dollars into development projects through the Kingdom’s $925 billion sovereign fund, the Public Investment Fund, as it undergoes an economic agenda dubbed Vision 2030 to cut dependence on fossil fuels.

NEOM, a Red Sea urban and industrial development nearly the size of Belgium that is meant to eventually house 9 million people, is central to Vision 2030.

NEOM announced this month its long-time chief executive, Nadhmi Al-Nasr, had stepped down, without giving further details.

Asked what effect the departure would have on investors, the minister said the executive had done “a respectable job” but that “there is a time for everybody to pass on the baton.”

Asked if PIF will continue to do much of the spending on NEOM until more foreign funds come in, Al-Falih said it was not binary.

“I think foreign investors are starting to come to NEOM, they’re starting to channel capital. Some of the projects that the PIF will be doing will be financed through global capital pools, through some alternative and private capital. That’s taking place as we speak,” he said.

“So I urge you not to look at NEOM as being 100 percent PIF and then suddenly there will be a cliff and it will go private.”

Saudi Arabia, which is racing to attract $100 billion in annual foreign direct investment by the turn of the decade — reaching about a quarter of that in 2023 — has recently seen more co-investment deals between state entities and foreign investors.

“It’s always been the intent,” Al-Falih said of foreign inflows alongside state funds.

He noted that foreign investors were at times “still looking, still examining, still sometimes questioning,” but that now there was confidence in the profitability of investment opportunities and that “the risk-return trade-offs are very, very fair and positive to them.” 


Saudi Arabia’s fintech demand offers growth prospects for UK firms: London Lord Mayor

Updated 1 min 55 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s fintech demand offers growth prospects for UK firms: London Lord Mayor

RIYADH: UK-based fintech firms have an opportunity to address rising demand for fintech services in Saudi Arabia, according to the Lord Mayor of London. 

Speaking on the sidelines of the 28th World Investment Conference in Riyadh, Alderman Alastair King highlighted the UK capital’s extensive expertise in fintech, particularly as the city works on digitizing national debt instruments. 

He noted that such initiatives could provide opportunities for collaboration between the UK and Saudi Arabia’s growing fintech sector. 

“We have incredible expertise in London in relation to fintech and financial technologies in general. I know there’s a great demand for that sector here in Saudi, so those are some of the areas we are concentrating on,” said the Lord Mayor. 

“In the United Kingdom, we’ve just started to digitize our national gilts, what they call the debt instruments. Now, there’s a road ahead to digitize them, which is a wonderful opportunity to work on those types of things,” he said. 

A gilt is a UK government bond issued in sterling, and London’s efforts to digitize these instruments could pave the way for similar initiatives in Saudi Arabia, added.

King went to say that the payments sector could also be explored, noting that the entire sector is being transformed by fintech and that there are enormous opportunities for collaboration.

Other sectors that could be devoloped include infrastructure, insurance, and legal services, as well as asset management, and banking. 

“London is the number one global center for professional services in the world. Saudi Arabia is the fastest growing economy in the G20. There’s going to be a fantastic symbiosis between us, and we can do all sorts of things together,” the Lord Mayor said during the interview. 

King also discussed the broader opportunities arising from Saudi Arabia’s energy transition and economic diversification, particularly in industries such as asset management, banking, and insurance. He emphasized the role of both large companies and small and medium-sized enterprises in fostering innovation. 

“In London, as an extraordinary financial and professional services ecosystem, there is a symbiosis between small and medium-sized companies and the large ones. Part of my job is to go around to the British companies, whether small, medium, or large, and encourage them to take advantage of the international markets that are going to be available to us,” the Lord Mayor said. 

“So, although the early adopters are the large companies, I think you often see real innovation coming out of the small and medium-sized companies,” he added. 

The Lord Mayor added that he would consider it a success if more British firms expanded into Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Cooperation Council markets, particularly in professional services. 

“I’d also view success as greater investment flows into financial and professional services in the UK,” he concluded. 

Investment trends 
 
During a panel discussion at the World Investment Conference, Nan Li Collins, senior director of investment and enterprise at the UN Conference on Trade and Development, discussed global investment trends, emphasizing the importance of effective regional policies and multilateral efforts to counteract fragmentation and protectionism. 

“I think these are the efforts we need to promote globally for more multilateral reasons, for more regional integration, to lower trade and investment barriers, and then work with countries’ investment promotion agencies to look at how to strengthen investment facilitation,” she added. 

During the discussion, Collins highlighted three key trends shaping the market.

“The first is the long-term trend of trade and investment,” she said, adding that while GDP and trade have grown steadily since the 2008 financial crisis, FDI has stagnated. 

She identified global fracturing as the second trend, noting that investment is increasing in geopolitically aligned countries but declining in more distant ones. 

The third trend is digitization, Collins said, adding that over the last decade, investment in digital services has risen from 60 percent to 80 percent, now accounting for the majority of new global FDI. 


Saudi Tadawul Group rolls out 2nd phase of post-trade enhancements

Updated 25 November 2024
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Saudi Tadawul Group rolls out 2nd phase of post-trade enhancements

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s capital markets are on track for substantial growth following the successful rollout of the second phase of the post-trade transformation enhancements by the Saudi Tadawul Group.

This latest phase, which includes upgrades across key subsidiaries — the Saudi Exchange, the Securities Clearing Center (Muqassa), and the Securities Depository Center (Edaa)—marks a significant milestone in the ongoing efforts to expand investment opportunities and bring the market in line with international standards.

Building on the first phase completed in 2022, these enhancements represent the largest transformation of the Saudi capital market to date. The upgrades are designed to broaden access to a wide range of financial instruments, improve market efficiency, and reduce systemic risks.

This initiative is part of the Tadawul Group’s contribution to the Financial Sector Development Program, a core element of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to position the kingdom as a leading global investment hub.

Wael Al-Hazzani, program director of the post-trade transformation and CEO of Muqassa, described the second-phase rollout as a “pivotal moment” for the Saudi capital market. He highlighted the role of these enhancements in diversifying investment options, expanding opportunities, and creating a more efficient, transparent, and secure post-trade infrastructure.

“This initiative reinforces our commitment to strengthening the Saudi capital market’s infrastructure, ultimately positioning it as a leading global financial hub,” Al-Hazzani said.

The first phase of the post-trade infrastructure enhancements, completed in 2022, brought significant improvements to the market, including updates to business models and the transformation of post-trade technologies. These upgrades enhanced clearing, settlement, and custody services, laying the groundwork for the more advanced changes seen in phase two.

Among the key innovations in phase two are important upgrades to the Saudi Exchange, including enhancements to the derivatives market and market-making processes.

Market makers and high-frequency traders now benefit from unified trading functionalities across both cash and derivatives markets, improving liquidity and overall market efficiency. These updates also bring the Saudi Exchange in line with global best practices by improving transparency and harmonizing market microstructure elements, further solidifying its competitive position on the global stage.

Other improvements at the Saudi Exchange include an automated order flagging mechanism to cancel orders during trading engine disconnections, a new reporting service to enhance trade monitoring, and synchronized bid/ask quotes for market makers to optimize their quoting activity. Additionally, exchange members can now execute and accept bilateral trades directly through their order management systems.

Muqassa has introduced enhancements aligned with global Central Counterparty best practices. These updates include real-time trade reconciliation, improved reconciliation processes, and updates to trading limits for derivatives and covered call margining. These changes strengthen pre-trade risk management and operational efficiency. Furthermore, Muqassa’s transition to a multi-asset clearing engine places it among a select group of CCPs worldwide, capable of managing clearing activities across multiple asset classes on a single platform. These upgrades are expected to reduce costs, increase transparency, and enhance overall efficiency for market participants.

Edaa has made significant improvements to its post-trade infrastructure, particularly in messaging protocols and reporting processes. These upgrades, in line with international standards, aim to improve market efficiency, governance, and stability. The changes enhance the experience for capital market institutions, custodians, settlement agents, and investors, providing a seamless and secure post-trade environment.

Together, these enhancements are expected to bolster market stability, reduce systemic risks, and attract both domestic and international investors, positioning the Saudi capital market as a world-class financial center aligned with global best practices.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red despite $3.2bn in trade volume 

Updated 25 November 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red despite $3.2bn in trade volume 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index dropped by 0.65 percent or 77.18 points to settle at 11,787.72 points on Monday.    

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR12.2 billion ($3.2 billion), as 69 of the listed stocks advanced, while 158 retreated.    

The MSCI Tadawul Index also decreased by 13.96 points, or 0.94 percent, to close at 1,477.60.    

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also dropped, losing 20.69 points, or 0.07 percent, to close at 30,864.65 points. This came as 39 of the listed stocks advanced while as many as 47 retreated.    

The index’s top performer, National Co. for Learning and Education, saw a 6.51 percent increase in its share price to close at SR229.    

Other top performers included Retal Urban Development Co., which saw a 6.45 percent rise to reach SR16.50, while Jadwa REIT Saudi Fund’s share price rose by 5.80 percent to SR10.94.   

Saudi Research and Media Group also recorded a positive trajectory, with share prices rising 5.71 percent to reach SR266.40. 

Mobile Telecommunication Co. Saudi Arabia also witnessed positive gains, with 3.82 percent reaching SR10.86. 

Saudi Chemical Co. was TASI’s worst performer, with the company’s share price dropping by 4.95 percent to SR9.60.  

Saudi Automotive Services Co. followed with a 4.77 percent drop to SR71.80. Batic Investments and Logistics Co. also saw a notable drop of 3.90 percent to settle at SR3.45.  

Walaa Cooperative Insurance Co. and Electrical Industries Co. were among the top five poorest performers, with shares declining by 3.78 percent to settle at SR21.36 and by 3.69 percent to sit at SR7.57, respectively. 

On Nomu, International Human Resources Co. was the best performer, with its share price rising by 10.22 percent to reach SR6.04.  

AME Co. for Medical Supplies and Leaf Global Environmental Services Co. also delivered strong performances. AME Co. for Medical Supplies saw its share price rise by 9.90 percent, reaching SR108.80, while Leaf Global Environmental Services Co. recorded a 5.94 percent increase, standing at SR107.  

Paper Home Co. also fared well with 5.83, and the Academy of Learning Co. increased 5.38 percent. 

Naseej for Technology Co. shed the most in Nomu, with its share price dropping by 5.71 percent to reach SR66.  

Naas Petrol Factory Co. experienced a 5.43 percent decline in share prices, closing at SR64.50, while Al Rashid Industrial Co. dropped 5.17 percent to settle at SR44. 

Alhasoob Co. and Dar Almarkabah for Renting Cars Co. were also among the top decliners, with Alhasoob Co. falling 4.92 and Dar Almarkabah for Renting Cars Co. declining 4.58 percent. 


Saudi Arabia’s franchise registrations surge 866%, surpass 1,780

Updated 25 November 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s franchise registrations surge 866%, surpass 1,780

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia has witnessed an 866 percent surge in franchise registrations over the past three years, reaching 1,788 by the end of the third quarter of 2024.

The Ministry of Commerce said in a statement that this marks a significant increase from just 185 in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The release added that the accommodation and food services sector, which includes tourism-related businesses, hotels, and restaurants, led registrations with 1,232 entries, followed by the wholesale and retail division with 689 and the transport and storage industry with 257 registrations.

The ministry highlighted that a single enrollment can encompass multiple activities.

Global franchises entered Saudi Arabia in 1970 and have greatly impacted the country’s economic and cultural landscape, according to the Small and Medium Enterprise General Authority, or Monsha’at. 

The authority added that over 380 Saudi companies have franchises countrywide and are expanding into other GCC nations.

Monsha’at emphasized that to enhance its business environment, the Kingdom implemented several measures and procedures that empowered international companies to enter the Saudi market and increased investment opportunities for local entrepreneurs to attract the most prominent international services and brands.

This significant growth has been driven by the Franchise Law introduced in October 2019, and its implementing regulations issued a year later. The ordinance established a regulatory framework to strengthen the relationship between franchisors and franchisees, promoting transparency and clarity, thereby encouraging business activities across the Kingdom.

The commerce ministry pointed out that Riyadh topped the list of issued franchise registrations with 647 enrolments, followed by Makkah with 363 and Eastern Province with 225.

The ministry highlighted that the Franchise Center, under Monsha’at, is playing a pivotal role in promoting entrepreneurship by fostering a culture of franchising, providing services, and attracting local and foreign investment, as well as creating new job opportunities in line with the objectives of the Kingdom’s ambitious plan for 2030.

The franchise market in the Middle East and Africa is valued at $30 billion, with the Kingdom accounting for approximately 50 percent of that total, according to the organizers of the Saudi Franchise Expo, set to launch in January.

The sector has become one of the fastest-growing parts of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy, with an average annual increase of 27 percent.