KARACHI: The Pakistani currency on Tuesday posted some gain after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) endorsed the much awaited $6.5 billion deal for the South Asian nation and paved the way for immediate disbursement of $1.1 billion to support the cash-strapped economy, analysts and traders said.
The local currency recovered by 0.82 percent, or Rs1.8, as the US dollar closed at Rs220.12 in the interbank market, while the greenback was trading at Rs222 in the open market after the rupee appreciated by around 3.6 percent, or Rs8.50, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP) data.
“The rupee strengthened on the approval of IMF program and the currency is set to further appreciate after inflows from the IMF within the next two to three days and additional inflows are anticipated from bilateral donors, World Bank and the Asian Development Bank,” Tahir Abbas, research head at Karachi-based Arif Habib Limited brokerage firm, told Arab News.
“Going forward the inflows will be better as compared to the outflows and I see the [Pakistani] currency further strengthening to Rs205-210 against dollar in the coming days.”
The stock market, which opened bullish with more than 400 points, remained range-bound throughout the day and the benchmark KSE-100 index closed bearish, shedding 309 points.
“Stocks closed bearish on institutional taking in blue chip scrips on global equity selloff and investor concerns for economic uncertainty on $10 billion expected flood losses and ailing SOEs (state-owned entities),” Ahsan Mehanti, chief executive officer of Arif Habib Corporation holding company, told Arab News.
“Positive sentiments remained in early session on strong rupee, fall in the government’s dollar bond yields amid IMF board approval on revival of EFF (Extended Fund Facility) program.”
The IMF executive board on Monday completed seventh and eighth reviews of the extended arrangement under the $6.5 billion program for Pakistan, clearing the way for immediate disbursement of $1.1 billion which brings total disbursement for budget support to around $3.9 billion.
The IMF program availed in 2019 initially had $6 billion volume, however, the Fund on Monday expanded it on the request of Pakistani authorities to $6.5 billion until June 2023.
The revival of the loan program comes at a time when Pakistan is witnessing its worst floods triggered by torrential monsoon rains that have killed more than 1,100 people, affected 33 million and destroyed large swathes of farmland and infrastructure.
Analysts expect the devastation may have around $2 billion impact on the country’s balance of payments as Pakistan is expected to opt for the import of food commodities.
“The impact of crop damages including rice, sugarcane, and cotton is initially estimated to be around $2 billion on account of imports and fall in exports, particularly of rice and sugar,” Abbas said.
Pakistan’s planning minister Ahsan Iqbal has said initial estimates put the damage from floods at more than $10 billion, however, the exact number has yet to be determined.