LIVE: Future Investment Initiative - Day One

More than 6,000 of the world’s leading decisionmakers, policymakers, investors, entrepreneurs and young leaders are attending the event. (Supplied)
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Updated 25 October 2022
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LIVE: Future Investment Initiative - Day One

  • Three-day FII will have the theme ‘Investing In Humanity: Enabling a New Global Order’

DUBAI: Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Governor of the Public Investment Fund (PIF) and Chairman of the Future Investment Initiative Institute (FII Institute), said the global community must learn how to manage crisis and not be managed by it during his opening remarks for the Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh.

This year’s three-day FII, with more than 6,000 of the world’s leading decisionmakers, policymakers, investors, entrepreneurs and young leaders in attendance, are looking to shape the future of the global economy with the theme ‘Investing In Humanity: Enabling a New Global Order.’

“In recent decades, industries as varied as healthcare, telecommunication, energy, retailer have unprecedented of change. The global pandemic has accelerated that change,” Al-Rumayyan said in his welcoming speech.

A discussion in the morning will also revisit the IPSOS survey on what people consider as their priorities in life, that was first discussed in New York in September at a special meeting of the FII Forum.

There will also be presentations by Nobel laureates in a session on what frameworks are necessary to better support human progress.

Other opening day sessions include discussion on the new world order, a special video address from Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director of Reliance Industries, and a community discussion among top CEOs including Khaldoon Khalifa Al-Mubarak, managing director and Group CEO of Mubadala Investment Company, Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co, Catherine MacGregor, CEO of ENGIE, Noel Quinn, Group CEO of HSBC Holdings ; Sara Menker, founder and CEO of GRO Intelligence and David Solomon, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs.


As it happens: The following are live updates on the highlights of the opening day at FII 6th edition. (All timings are GMT)

16:00 With its strong economic growth posted after the pandemic, Saudi Arabia is a safe place for investments — especially those focusing on long-term value creation, according to Faisal Al-Ibrahim, the Kingdom’s minister of Economy and Planning

15:45 Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Tuesday some countries were using their emergency stocks to manipulate markets when their purpose should be to mitigate any shortages of supply.

15:00 Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia’s minister of investment, tells the froum the energy crisis in Europe will accelerate the oil and gas sector’s transition to renewables and hydrogen.

14:30 Yassir Al-Rumayyan says the world is witnessing the highest inflation rate in 40 years, and it is necessary to use proper data analysis to combat this crisis.

Khalid Al-Falih on Saudi Arabi’s role as a bridge between East and West and North and South: “I think we went too far with globalization, there was no buffer… every supply chain was being run to lowest cost, most efficiency, just-in-time. I think that was a mistake in retrospect, we need to build buffer capacity and diversification.”

Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia’s minister of investment, on the recent US-Saudi Arabia issue: “It is a blip that we are seeing. In the long term we are solid allies… we are going to get over this recent spat which I think was unwarranted.”

Paul Chan, financial secretary of Hong Kong: “One of the key outcomes from the perspective of Hong Kong [from the Chinese Communist Party] is the reconfirmation of the one country, two systems to be practiced in Hong Kong. It is not for expedience, but part of the constitution of the mainland. Under the one country, two systems Hongkong will continue to practice the capitalist system, common law system, an independent judiciary… from an investor’s perspective Hong Kong will continue to function as a free international financial center.”

Adonis Georgiadis, Greek minister of development: “2023 will be a very challenging year [for Greece]. I don’t want to make predictions because I do not know what will happen in the war in Ukraine. But Greece is well-prepared and we will manage to sustain ourselves even in a challenging year [2023].”

“Nobody is happy with interest rates going up… but our national debt is not a real fear. It is rapidly going down, and continues to go down.”

Ville Skinnari, minister for development cooperation and foreign trade of Finland: “We are well-prepared to all kinds of crisis. When COVID-19 came, we were ready. And of course when it comes to comprehensive security, I think it goes all the way education system, healthcare system, welfare society that we are well-prepared.”

“The NATO approach with Sweden is a natural step further after becoming member of EU and a closer ally of NATO as well. But at the end of the day it is a matter of comprehensive security for the Nordic countries. Of course we can add value when it comes to technologies, when it comes to clean transition.”

“Finland and Saudi Arabia complete each other in many ways, and I think it is really great to see how advanced and ambitious Saudi Arabia and the whole Gulf region is.”

Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia’s minister investment: “The frequency [of disruptions] has accelerated. It is real, it is strong and it is worrying. But I would like to put it in the context of long-term transition that indeed had been accelerating and are converging in a way that is both challenging but opportunistic at the same time, which gives us an opportunity to be pro-active.”

“I think the first transition that is real and is unfolding in front of our eyes is the political insecurity transition. Of course Europe is the ultimate manifestation of this with the war with Ukraine, but we have seen it come to head between China and Taiwan, when the speaker of the US House [of Representatives] was visiting and of course we see this long-term trend of countries and regions building up securities, nationalism verses internationalism. So we have this transition taking place and I believe and it’s going to continue and perhaps to continue accelerate.”

“In addition to this, you have an energy transition that’s inevitable to happen, of course oil and gas fossils and fuels are depletable and we had to do this anyways. But climate changes has pushed us to accelerate it and I think again that crisis in Europe that is only going to accelerate the energy transition towards renewables and hydrogen and other fuels of the future that are being developed as we speak.”

“The third transition is around trade and supply chain, and here I put it in the context with globalization and de-globalization to a certain degree that has started to happen and that will continue to happen.”

“If you think of all of these, each one them is subjecting countries, companies and individuals to an insurance premium. The security transition that we talked about, you know the per unit of GDP almost every country on the planet is spending more on defense, defense spending, technology and industries are becoming core to every country’s industrial today, is no longer a shunned business that something we have to deal with, and it certainly is very, very expensive.”

“These three underpin fourth transition, which is the economic transition. Higher inflation, inflation, and higher premiums that we are paying for all of this is setting the stage for prolonged lower income and growth.”

“But under all of this, there are plenty of opportunities in technology, investment, for countries and hubs to be created to deal with the new world order. I believe Saudi Arabia has taken the steps six years ago. Vision 2030 was designed for the world we live in today and the world we are going to live in 10-15 years from now.”

“If you want the definition of proactive, look at 2016 what did His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman unveiled in Vision 2030 and read it and find it out whether rationally deals with the realities of today and I believe it does.”

0934: The New Global Order: View From The State Room plenary session with Khalid Al-Falih, minister of investment of Saudi Arabia, Paul Chan, financial secretary of Hong Kong, Adonis Georgiadis, minister of development of Greece, Ville Skinnari, minister for development cooperation and foreign trade of Finland and George Osborne, partner at Robey Warshaw.

Yasir Alrumayyan: “For the Public Investment Fund we have different mandates. One of the main mandates that we have is to deploy investments in domestic economy, so we said we will deploy $40 billion to $50 billion in annual basis on not only green projects but green field projects that would have an impact on the economy.”

“So we are looking at our bottom line, we are looking at the economic multiplier: what good these projects would do to the economy, what kind of jobs it will create, the quality of these jobs and the quantity of these jobs.”

“Then of course we have the international investments that we do with most of the people around this table and in this room, and again it should have an impact…  the impact that I am talking about… is how we can look and continue transition of energy but at the same time not to harm the world.”

“The geopolitical stuff is a fact, that is what is happening right now, today, in the world. So you have to have the right partners, but you have to invest in yourself, going back to the local content that everybody should have. Going back to the kinds and types of wars that human being had historically and still having until today, it is a combination, you cannot take one and versus the other, you should work in the middle.”

Dr. Patrice Motsepe, founder and executive chairman of African Rainbow Minerals on aiming for a 65 percent local supply chain: “Every country has to look at what is the best interest of its citizens. There can be no doubt that globalization… to encourage trade, to encourage countries build partnerships that are mutually beneficiable… I think that is very, very important.”

Yasir Alrumayyan, governor of the Public Investment Fund: “Checking out is not a solution, extreme is not a solution too… Like anything in life, there are always risks right? I think doing one’s part is the most important thing.”

“The problem is globalization and the geo-economics it’s happening now because of weaponizing some of the things we shouldn’t be touching.”

What happened between many countries, by banning certain products and services and these kinds of things instead of the expansion on the economies that we have witnessed in the past two decades. Now we’re going backward instead of moving forward.”

“Every country now has to have its full supply chain, otherwise, it is not gonna work out… let’s say in here in Saudi, we want to have at least a minimum 65 percent of our supply chain in a local content, that is part of the Vision 2030 that we mentioned.

Khaldoon Khalifa Al-Mubarak, managing director and Group CEO, Mubadala Investment Company: “When we are talking about the challenges of the world, three principles come to my mind: transparency, empathy and inclusion.”

“The last three years we have seen two anomalous black swan events that have impacted every country, every person in one way. It’s quite remarkable really, what we’ve seen in the last three years and the repercussions of these two, one being COVID-19 and obviously the war.

“These two events and the repercussions of what we’re seeing from these two events, we’re still I think coming to grips with them. We’re still finding our way out of COVID-19, some countries have not left as you all know. “

“So that reset post-COVID-19 combined with I think this energy crisis, and by the way let’s be clear the energy crisis was happening anyway, it’s just kind of sped up due to the events of this year… Three years ago, if you were in this conference the word hydrocarbon was evil. The energy transition, we all agree [that] climate challenges is the biggest challenge and the energy transition is happening. But I also believe that hydrocarbons are part of the solution.”

“A lot of the challenges we are facing today when it comes to the energy supply are caused by lack of investment created by the inability to many of the financiers, investment institutions, energy companies to invest in critical supply chains that would have in fact helped elevate a big part of problem dealing with today.”

“We cannot deny we are in a very difficult crisis from a global perspective, and in my view it takes in many occasions a crisis to work yourself out of it and to start resetting some of the issues that created the crisis to start with. You have to hit a wall. I think whether we are going to a recession or not from the global perspective there’s no doubt there’s a reset there’s absolutely necessary and I think it’s going to be happening within the next 12 to 24 months.”

0810: The New Global Order: View From The Board Of Changemakers plenary session with Yasir Alrumayyan, governor of the Public Investment Fund; Khaldoon Khalifa Al-Mubarak, managing director and Group CEO, Mubadala Investment Company; Ray Dalio, founder, CIO Mentor and member of the board of Bridgewater Associates; Catherine MacGregor, CEO of ENGIE; David Solomon, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs; Dr. Patrice Motsepe, founder and executive chairman of African Rainbow Minerals; Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Stephen A. Schwarzman, chairman, CEO and co-founder of Blackstone.

0755: Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director of Reliance Industries, gives his special video address.

“The world is passing through changes unseen in human history. I shall mention four transformative transitions: energy transition – from fossil to renewable; technology transition – from physical to digital; economic transition – from West to East and demographic transition – from aging nations to young nations.”

“These transitions have set the stage for a new global order. In each of these transitions we see Saudi Arabia and India along with other nations in the East and Global South have been a driving force.”

“The transition from fossil fuel to renewable cannot and will not happen suddenly or in a short time.”

“Investments in oil and gas should not continue to fall. If that happens it will impact global growth, global economy and eventually the well-being of the people.”

0711: Ray Dalio, founder, CIO Mentor and member of the board of Bridgewater Associates, sits down with CNN anchor Richard Quest on the plenary session ‘Welcome To The New Global Order.’

“About five years ago there were three major things that were happening in our lifetime that have not happened before… those three basic things were the amount of printing of money and the creation of debt, the amount of internal conflict and international conflict.”

“We are creating unsound finances because we print a lot of money. We want to spend more money than we have. It is like a human being, same for government. The only difference between a human being and government is they print money.”

“I worry how about how we are with each other. Problems always exist, but in this world where there is great domestic conflict, and there is great international conflict because of these differences. History has shown these patterns.”

“We are creating unsound finances because we print a lot of money. We want to spend more money than we have. It is like a human being, same for government. The only difference between a human being and government is they print money.”

“I worry how about how we are with each other. Problems always exist, but in this world where there is great domestic conflict, and there is great international conflict because of these differences. History has shown these patterns.”

0708: Kailash Satyarthi, founder of Kailash Satyarthi Children’s Foundation and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate for 2014: “We all say children are our future, but are we really investing in that future? Are we really investing in childhood? Everything can wait, but not the childhood.”

“Today I am speaking in behalf of millions of children who don’t have their childhood, they are put into slavery and prostitution and so on. So first of all we have to invest in childhood if we are investing in the future.”

“We have to get a fair share for children… a fair share in budget allocation, a fair share in policies and fair share in social protection programs.”

“What is needed is additional $53 billion dollars to ensure education, healthcare and protection for children in all low-income countries… along with protection for new mothers.”

“If we have to think of a new world order which is based on humanity, then have to invest in humanity, invest in children to begin with.”

“We have to globalize compassion… for that we have to inculcate compassionate leadership in businesses, in society, in politics.”

0700: Dasho Tshering Tobgay, former prime minister of Bhutan: “Where would I invest in, to secure humanity? I would invest in the world because we need a viable place to live in for our future… as an environmentalist I have been passionate about this.”

“I have gone through the priorities report… and there environment, global warming comes at a distant number 8. I was surprised but it gave me hope also. What it told me is you have to address the current needs of the people if you want to take care of climate change, fight climate change.”

“You can’t just expect everybody to become environmentalists if their immediate needs are not met.”

“If we can achieve a certain level of prosperity, then we, all of us, would be more aligned towards fighting climate change.”

“The other reason for hope… is we have the means for common prosperity.”

0650: Leymah Roberta Gbowee: “We should begin to reduce the gap in humanitarian financing.”

“We live in a time where we’ve seen all kinds of innovation. Robots can talk, we don’t need people to do some of the things … in order for us to really begin to get to where really need to get to is to start to do realignment … and some of the basic realignment we can do is to put money where our mouths are,” the 2011 Nobel laureate said.

“That kind of investment also means investing in local communities… you have to go back to the communities where you have the needs, nothing is going there, nothing is trickling.”

0645: Discussions for the opening plenary ‘Our Humanity, Our Priority: A Conversation Among Nobel Laureates’ with Dasho Tshering Tobgay, former prime minister of Bhutan; Leymah Roberta Gbowee, the founder and president of the Gbowee Peace Foundation Africa and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate for 2011 and Kailash Satyarthi, founder of Kailash Satyarthi Children’s Foundation and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate 2014 as speakers.

0635: Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Governor of the Public Investment Fund and Chairman of the Future Investment Initiative Institute (FII Institute), makes his opening remarks.

“Just last month at the FII Priority Summit in New York, we learned that key issues like the cost of living, poverty and unemployment are top concerns across 13 countries. We need to learn how to manage crisis and not to be managed by crisis,” Al-Rumayyan said. “In recent decades, industries as varied as healthcare, telecommunication, energy, retailer have unprecedented of change. The global pandemic has accelerated that change,” he said in his speech.

“We can deal with global problems like climate change through data driven approach,” Al-Rumayyan added, noting that PIF was the first sovereign wealth fund to issue green bonds.

“We cannot do it all alone as investors and entrepreneurs,” the FII Institute chairman said. “We must create quality jobs in a knowledge-based economy … the right partnership will enable us to fulfill our ambitions over the long term.”

“The risk can seem very significant but we can overcome these challenges if we acted like one, through partnerships that I’d like to see here in the FII. The new global order will be set by the discussions we have here in the FII.”

0633: Richard Attias, CEO of FII Initiative, FII 2022 is one of the world’s first carbon-neutral event as part of “our commitment of sustainability.” “Making an impact on humanity is the very reason we are all here today. Our world is facing unprecedented threats but it is also a unique time of new opportunities. We are on the road to a new global order,” he said.

0618: Part of the opening proceedings for the Future Investment Initiative this year features a video presentation of the current global issues including war, famine and environmental degradation.

0608: Attendees get settled as the Future Investment Initiative opening events are about to start.


Saudi expat remittances hit 25-month peak to reach $3.44bn

Updated 20 September 2024
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Saudi expat remittances hit 25-month peak to reach $3.44bn

RIYADH: Expatriate remittances from Saudi Arabia reached SR12.91 billion ($3.44 billion) in July, reflecting an annual increase of 21 percent, according to the recent data.

Figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, also revealed that transfers sent abroad by the Kingdom’s nationals rose by 0.25 percent year on year, totaling SR5.81 billion. 

This follows a notable peak in May, which marked the highest value recorded in the past 18 months.

As one of the world’s largest sources of remittances, Saudi Arabia’s economic policies and labor market conditions directly influence the financial well-being of numerous households across the globe.

This trend not only demonstrates the Kingdom’s economic vitality but also its interconnectedness with the global economy, especially in terms of labor migration and cross-border financial support.

According to a report by the US Department of State, Saudi Arabia’s remittance system plays a critical role in the global economy, given that nearly 75 percent of the Kingdom’s labor force consists of foreign workers.

Saudi Arabia is one of the largest remittance countries, and there are no restrictions on converting or transferring funds related to investments, including dividends, or earnings. 

This facilitates a seamless flow of money across borders, with no waiting periods required for sending funds through legal channels.

According to the report, a key aspect of the Kingdom’s remittance infrastructure is the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development’s Wage Protection System, designed to ensure that expatriate workers — who form the backbone of the remittance ecosystem — are paid according to their contracts.

Employers are mandated to transfer salaries through local Saudi bank accounts, allowing expatriates easy access to send their earnings back to their home countries.

This system not only guarantees transparency but also provides a legal and efficient pathway for expatriates to support their families abroad.

Digital transformation

The remittance landscape in Saudi Arabia and the broader Middle East and North Africa region is undergoing a transformation driven by the rise of digital platforms.

Historically, these transactions were dominated by physical channels like banks and exchange houses, but technological advancements have paved the way for new solutions. 

These digital platforms offer a more convenient, cost-effective, and efficient means for individuals to transfer money across borders.

The widespread use of smartphones and the internet has allowed users to send money anytime and anywhere, making digital remittances increasingly popular.

They also come with great advantages like competitive exchange rates, lower transaction fees, and faster processing times. 

What once took days and involved paperwork can now be completed instantly, allowing recipients to receive funds almost immediately, which is crucial for many who rely on timely support.

Digital platforms have not only made remittances more accessible but have also contributed to financial inclusion, especially for underserved populations, such as migrant workers and individuals in remote areas.

These groups now have easier access to financial services, which helps bridge gaps in financial systems and promotes economic participation across different regions.

The growth has also been supported by financial institutions and fintech companies, which have embraced technology to develop their own digital platforms or partner with existing firms. 

This collaboration has led to the creation of innovative solutions like mobile apps, online portals, and digital wallets, enhancing the customer experience and broadening the range of remittance options available.

Regulatory bodies in Saudi Arabia and the MENA region have also played a pivotal role in facilitating this transformation. 

By implementing supportive policies that ensure consumer protection, promote competition, and foster an enabling environment for digital financial services, regulators have helped shape a secure and robust ecosystem.

These measures have encouraged the adoption of new technologies, allowing fintechs to operate within a well-defined regulatory framework.

As the industry continues to evolve, the integration of emerging technologies like block chain and artificial intelligence is expected to further revolutionize remittance services, making them even more efficient, secure, and accessible.


US interest rate cut could see funding taps turn on for GCC startups

Updated 53 min 12 sec ago
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US interest rate cut could see funding taps turn on for GCC startups

RIYADH: After almost two years of rate hikes, the US Federal Reserve has slashed interest rates by half a percentage point to a range of 4.75-5 percent, but what does this mean for the startup and venture capital ecosystem? 

The relationship between the US Federal Reserve and the global startup ecosystem is somewhat complicated. 

Washington’s decisions on interest rates significantly influence the availability and cost of capital, which are crucial factors for startups and venture capital firms. 

Lower interest rates generally make borrowing cheaper, potentially encouraging more investment into riskier asset classes, including startups. 

Gulf Cooperation Council central banks followed suit in rate cuts, as their currencies are pegged to the US dollar. 

Venture data analyst and founder of MAGNiTT, Philip Bahoshy, shares a nuanced perspective on the potential impact of rate cuts on the global and regional startup ecosystem. 

In an interview with Arab News, Bahoshy said that the cut itself may not be the most significant, but rather, the potential trend expected to take place. 

“To answer what impact will the cut have on VC investment, you need to understand why the Fed has taken this decision,” Bahoshy said.

“Ultimately, Jerome Powell (chair of the US Federal Reserve) says that the aim is to bring down or keep inflation steady while keeping moderate to low unemployment in the US,” he added. 

“The signs are that we are trying to avoid a recession and/or an economic downturn in the US and that things are healthy, and therefore bringing down interest rates can help stimulate disposable income and people’s consumption,” the analyst said. 

This, in turn, brings down the cost of capital, also known as the borrowing cost, which in turn makes VC a less attractive investment. 

On the flip side, when interest rates are high, the implication of putting money in the bank or investing in less riskier options like real estate becomes the go-to for investors. 

If an investor is earning 6 percent on a savings account, knowing that their money is secure, there’s little incentive to take on the uncertainty of investing in a startup, not knowing when or if they’ll get their money. 

On the lending side, lower interest rates also make borrowing cheaper for startups. 

Entrepreneurs, who are often very focused on maximizing every dollar, will appreciate the ability to borrow at lower costs which enables them to allocate more resources toward growing their businesses, rather than paying high interest costs.

Bahoshy has mentioned in previous reports that the decline in venture capital funding in the Middle East and North Africa region in the last couple of years has been, though not solely, due to high interest rates. 

Venture data analyst and founder of MAGNiTT, Philip Bahoshy. Supplied

The MENA region saw a 34 percent year-on-year drop in funding in the first half of the year, compared to the same period last year. 

In 2023, VC investments declined by 23 percent on an annual basis. 

Interest rates and venture stakes 

Bahoshy explained that the Fed’s last cut will not immediately impact VC investments, but the implication of continued rate reductions will. 

“We anticipate that this will create a lower cost of capital for late-stage investors, more willingness for people to invest in other asset classes because fixed deposits become less attractive and, therefore, more investments going into venture in general,” Bahoshy said.  

“My view is that the immediate impact will be somewhat limited. However, heading into 2025, if we continue to see rate cuts in the US, it will likely stimulate venture capital investments globally and in turn likely to return investor appetite for venture capital in the region. However, that’s likely not to impact Q4, more likely to impact 2025 positively,” he added. 

Echoing Bahoshy’s prediction, Tushar Singhvi, deputy CEO and head of investments at venture capital firm Crescent Enterprises, feels somewhat positive that more cuts are underway. 

Speaking to Arab News, Singhvi said: “The Fed rate cut sets the trend for a series of rate cuts expected over the next few quarters – this will result in higher liquidity in general, and the venture asset class will also benefit from higher liquidity.” 

Short-term projections 

Bahoshy pointed out that there have already been signs of growth in the VC landscape in the US in the first half of the year, which will probably be reflected in the MENA region. 

“We noted back in the H1 report that in the US, we believe that we were reaching an inflection point and that we saw for the first time two consecutive quarters of growth in venture capital deployment,” he said. 

“I anticipate that Q3 will continue to be higher globally and within the region, which is what the trends show and this rate cut will continue to support a potentially higher Q4 globally than Q3,” he added. 

Bahoshy tempers his predictions, stating that the increase will be “moderate”, and not reaching 2021-2022 levels. 

When it comes to startup strategies, the rate cut should hardly affect valuations or funding strategies, Singhvi said. 

“Startups should continue to be as capital efficient as possible and focus on growth and profitability – and their funding strategies should be devised around that,” he added. 

VC’s will most likely maintain their plan of action. Singhvi stated that the rate cut will not immediately change the focus areas of VCs in the region. 

“VCs will continue to pursue startups which are building transformational businesses within high growth sectors and leveraging technology to build innovative and sustainable businesses,” he added. 

Bahoshy also feels the same way. “I don’t think that a change in interest rates is going to impact sectorial shifts,” he said. 

He highlighted that an even bigger concern exists within the startup ecosystem across the Middle East and North Africa. 

“The biggest challenge for the region remains exits, liquidity and return on investments back to investors, which means that they have shown the success of their investment strategy and paid off their LPs (limited partners), increases risk appetite to raise new funds and to go into less traditional sectors,” Bahoshy said. 

Singhvi adds that the increase of liquidity due to reduced rate cuts over time will definitely fuel exits in the region. 

“There will be a positive impact of the rate cuts over time on exit strategies for VC backed companies as M&A (mergers and acquisition) activity will pick up and tech IPOs (initial public offerings) will also gain more momentum due to higher liquidity,” he added. 

Tushar Singhvi, deputy CEO and head of investments at venture capital firm Crescent Enterprises. Supplied

The geographical impact 

When asked about whether the anticipated investment growth will be across the entire MENA region, Bahoshy said that the effects of the rate cuts might be more regionally dispersed rather than concentrated in key markets like Saudi Arabia and the UAE. 

“When you look at the sovereign entities, whether it be Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar, what’s more interesting to track is how does interest rate impact oil prices or natural assets that have been beneficial to the sovereign entities,” Bahoshy said. 

He questioned whether this would “stimulate oil prices to increase because consumption has increased, or will this lead to a further reduction in the oil prices which have been a big stimulus to investment and wider growth of the economy and venture capital.” 

Bahoshy added: “I don’t think that has necessarily a geographical specific impetus here in the region. In fact, many of the economies like the UAE and Saudi Arabia have performed better as a result of government focus and their ability to deploy capital during a time where other geographies haven’t.” 

He went on to say that while the interest rate cut may be beneficial, there was a question over how it will impact oil and natural resource prices. 

Late-stage startups, get ready 

In the first half of the year, early-stage investments were the primary focus, with almost 75 percent of deals flowing in that direction.

Bahoshy explained that this trend could start to change in the next 12 months if interest rates continue to go down. 

“However, I don’t think that this specific rate cut is going to stimulate that, but if we continue to see rate cuts to year end and into H1 2025, we may see a return of later stage investment while it’s healthy for early-stage investment to continue to grow,” he said.


Oil Updates – prices set to end week higher after US rate cut

Updated 20 September 2024
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Oil Updates – prices set to end week higher after US rate cut

SINGAPORE: Oil prices, which eased on Friday, were on track to end higher for a second straight week following a large cut in US interest rates and declining global stockpiles.

Brent futures, which were trading 26 cents or 0.4 percent lower at $73.62 a barrel at 8:27 a.m. Saudi time on Friday, gained 4.3 percent this week.

US WTI crude futures, which were down 15 cents, or 0.2 percent at $71.80 a barrel, registered weekly gains of 4.8 percent.

The benchmarks have been recovering after they fell to near three year-lows on Sept. 10, and have registered gains in five of the seven sessions since then.

Prices pared some gains on Friday, after rising more than 1 percent on Thursday following the US central bank’s decision to cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but some also it as a sign of a weak US labor market.

“Prices had been under pressure in recent months amid concerns demand would weaken, as tight monetary policies stifled economic activity,” analysts at ANZ Research said in a note.

“Easing monetary policy helped reinforce expectations that the US economy will avoid a downturn,” ANZ said.

Also supporting prices were a decline in US crude inventories, which fell to a one-year low last week.

A counter-seasonal oil market deficit of around 400,000 barrels per day will support Brent crude prices in the $70 to $75 a barrel range during the next quarter, Citi analysts said on Thursday, but added prices could plunge in 2025.

Crude prices were also being supported by rising tensions in the Middle East. Walkie-talkies used by Lebanese armed group Hezbollah exploded on Wednesday following similar explosions of pagers the previous day.

Security sources said Israeli spy agency Mossad was responsible, but Israeli officials did not comment on the attacks.

Weak demand from China’s slowing economy was weighing on prices, with refinery output in China slowing for a fifth month in August. China’s industrial output growth also slowed to a five-month low last month, and retail sales and new home prices weakened further. 


Saudi Arabia’s expat fee waiver fuels industrial growth, boosting GDP by 14.7%

Updated 19 September 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s expat fee waiver fuels industrial growth, boosting GDP by 14.7%

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s decision to waive fees for expatriate workers in the industrial sector has significantly contributed to a robust 14.7 percent increase in gross domestic product, soaring from SR392 billion ($104.5 billion) in 2019 to SR592 billion in 2023.

According to a report by the Economic Studies Center at the Federation of Saudi Chambers, this policy has not only spurred GDP growth but also enhanced non-oil exports, which have climbed to approximately SR208 billion, marking a 12 percent increase since 2019.

Effective until Dec. 31, this initiative is part of the Kingdom’s broader strategy to stimulate growth and attract investment in its industrial sector. The report also notes that the opening of new markets and the signing of various trade agreements have played crucial roles in this upward trend, with the local content value in non-oil sectors reaching SR1.14 trillion by the end of 2023.

Over 8,000 industrial firms have benefited from the waiver, which eliminated around SR5 billion in expatriate labor fees. The analysis highlights that this policy has encouraged industrial establishments to adopt innovative business models, localize advanced technologies, and attract skilled professionals, ultimately increasing the availability of products to meet local demand.

The number of products bearing the Saudi quality mark has also seen a rise, reflecting enhanced product quality. A comprehensive analysis conducted by the Saudi Press Agency evaluates the decision’s impact based on seven economic indicators, including GDP contribution, the growth of industrial establishments, and investment volumes.

Key findings indicate that the industrial sector’s GDP surged from SR392 billion in 2019 to SR592 billion in 2023, with a 14.7 percent contribution rate. The number of industrial establishments grew from 7,625 in 2019 to 11,868 in 2024, a growth rate of 55.6 percent, while investments in the sector increased by 54 percent, reaching SR1.5 trillion compared to SR992 billion.

Moreover, the report reveals a substantial rise in foreign investments due to government support measures, such as covering financial fees and implementing the local content system. The number of foreign factories jumped from 622 to 1,067, reflecting a 71.5 percent growth rate, while invested capital soared from SR43 billion to SR93 billion, marking a staggering 116.2 percent increase.

In terms of employment, the industrial sector employed around 1.2 million workers by the end of the first quarter of 2024, with 358,000 being Saudi nationals, resulting in a 28 percent Saudization rate. Workers in this sector accounted for 12.9 percent of all nationals employed in the private sector.

The report underscores that various government incentives have encouraged the private sector to increase Saudization, creating more job opportunities for citizens. The industrial sector emerged as the largest contributor to job creation for Saudis between Jan. 1, 2023, and March 31, witnessing a 59 percent increase with over 82,000 new jobs added.


Saudi EV market poised for significant growth by 2026, Petromin CEO predicts

Updated 19 September 2024
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Saudi EV market poised for significant growth by 2026, Petromin CEO predicts

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is preparing for a substantial rise in electric vehicle sales as battery prices fall and infrastructure improves, according to an industry leader. 

In an interview with Arab News at the EV Auto Show in Riyadh, Kalyana Sivagnanam, CEO of Petromin Group—a Saudi-based provider of automotive, lubricant, and EV charging solutions—indicated that EV sales could soon approach parity with internal combustion engine vehicles within the next 12 to 18 months. 

“By 2026/2027, you’re going to see a massive surge in the sales of electric vehicles,” Sivagnanam stated, linking this growth to rapidly changing market conditions and declining battery costs. 

In certain markets like China, the price of EVs is already nearly equivalent to that of traditional vehicles, a trend expected to gain momentum in Saudi Arabia, he added. 

Sivagnanam pointed out that Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 has played a crucial role in nurturing the EV sector, attracting major global players such as Lucid Motors, which has commenced local manufacturing, as well as new entrants like Ceer and Hyundai. 

“The EV industry definitely in Saudi Arabia is looking very, very promising,” he remarked, noting that some forecasts predict EVs could make up 35 to 40 percent of the market by 2030. 

He also discussed the “chicken and egg” challenge of EV adoption, where limited charging infrastructure deters consumers from buying electric vehicles. 

The top executive stressed the significance of initiatives like the Public Investment Fund’s EVIQ program, designed to enhance the country’s EV charging infrastructure. “In the months and years to come, we can see how this will pave the way for more adoption of electric vehicles.” 

Electromin, a subsidiary of Petromin Corp., is closely monitoring the pace of EV sales to inform its expansion of charging stations. “Our ability to install chargers will depend on how fast the vehicles sell,” Sivagnanam explained. 

The CEO highlighted Electromin’s comprehensive services for fleet customers, providing decarbonization strategies as well as EV charger installation and maintenance. 

“For example, if you are a fleet company, you don’t want to go to somebody for chargers, somebody for maintenance, and someone else for your vehicles,” he said, emphasizing the need to streamline the transition to electric vehicles. 

Electromin has already made notable progress, establishing the first national AC charging network in Saudi Arabia, with chargers accessible in 52 cities. “Today, any customer in the Kingdom, doesn’t matter where he drives, he will find an AC charger,” Sivagnanam remarked. 

Although these are not fast chargers, they ensure that drivers can access charging facilities wherever they are, he added. 

The company has also provided Saudi Arabia’s first electric van to Pepsi, the inaugural electric bus to Red Sea, and a passenger bus to Riyadh Air. 

With growing government support and robust corporate initiatives, Saudi Arabia’s EV market is set for considerable expansion in the coming years. 

“What is very exciting about this journey is the way this country is focusing on sustainability and EV adoption,” the executive concluded.