World leaders have a chance to shape the future for better – or worse, World Government Summit told

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Frederick Kempe said history has shown that leaders must make important inclusive decisions especially at times of need. (AN Photo/Ghaith Tanjour)
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Private sector has ability to identifyand solve problems said John Rakolta. (AN Photo/Ghaith Tanjour)
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Soumitra Dutta said the world was divided between the haves and have nots. (AN Photo/Ghaith Tanjour)
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David Rosenberg said it was important to embrace the technologies of robotics, animation, and computing powers. (AN Photo/Ghaith Tanjour)
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Michala Marcussen said the world has witnessed a decline in global cooperation. (AN Photo/Ghaith Tanjour)
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Updated 14 February 2023
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World leaders have a chance to shape the future for better – or worse, World Government Summit told

DUBAI: The world has reached “an inflection point in history” where leaders have an opportunity to make positive decisions on policies that could have an impact on future generations, the World Government Summit was told on Monday.

Speaking on a session addressing geopolitics and economics, Frederick Kempe, president and chief executive officer of the Atlantic Council, said “There were failures and successes after each world war.”

He said since 2020 there has been a number of significant historical moments – not least the outbreak of Covid-19 and more recently Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

He described the war in Ukraine as a “wake up call for us all,” but added that “Putin has not been victorious.”

Kempe added that elsewhere “We haven’t gone into the deepest darkest recession. We have inflation somewhat under control.”

He described 2023 as a “hinge” where the current situations could either end well, or not.

But he warned that turning points in history did not follow a calendar and took as long – or short – a time as it took for an outcome to be established.

Referring to inflection points, from an American standpoint, after World Wars One and Two and the Cold War, he said there were periods of time which he referred to as a “plastic moment where history can be shaped – for better or for worse.”

“After World War One we missed a historic moment, the League of Nations failed. the Versailles Treaty failed.”

Post World War Two, Kempe said “we did better.”

The event of the Turkiye- Syria earthquakes that have killed tens of thousands, saw world leaders respond, sending aid in various forms.

But there was a still a risk for things to worsen – the quake death toll continues to rise and in Ukraine Putin’s forces continue to push.

He said the world had reached “an inflection point in history” where leaders had an opportunity to make positive decisions on policies that would have “an outsized influence that can have generational outcomes.”

He said that he believed the worse outcome would be if Russia was successful in its invasion of Ukraine.

The future of the world is not just decided by the barrel of a gun on a battle field – more now than ever before, commerce is a dominant player.

Chairman of construction firm Walbridge and former US ambassador to the UAE, John Rakolta Jr., and Dean of Said Business School at the University of Oxford, Prof. Soumitra Dutta, said there was a need for global cooperation with investment capitals.

During the session Rakolta said governments could learn from privately owned businesses.

“The private sector has the ability to identify a problem and look at ways to solve it. We measure risks, we are not afraid to make mistakes, as our biggest failures become our biggest lessons,” he added.

Dutta said: “The world is divided between the haves and the have-nots and the gap between the two is large. You need good governance and institutions to attract good investment.

“We have to work together; we have to continue making connections to each other. It is important to understand we do not become great separately but by coming together.”

The final session, held under the title Enhancing a Global Economy for a Growing Population, was hosted by Michala Marcussen, group chief economist of Societe Generale, and David Rosenberg, co-founder and CEO of AeroFarms.

American indoor agricultural company AeroFarms plans to expand into Saudi Arabia this year in partnership with the Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund.

Rosenberg said: “We need to embrace the technologies of robotics, animation, and computing powers.”

He highlighted how shortages of food and water supplies, brought about by climate, war, and natural disasters, could be resolved with the use of technology.

On global cooperation, Marcussen said: “We have witnessed a decline in recent years on global cooperation and working across borders to work together but it is the best solution for positive outcomes.

“It is not only the right technology that we need but the correct behaviors put forth by governments,” she added.

Monday’s panel was moderated by the Arab News editor-in-chief, Faisal J. Abbas, at the World Government Summit.


Egypt unveils updated AI strategy to boost Middle East leadership by 2030

Updated 35 sec ago
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Egypt unveils updated AI strategy to boost Middle East leadership by 2030

RIYADH: Egypt has unveiled the second edition of its National Artificial Intelligence Strategy 2025–2030, signaling its ambition to become a leading AI hub in the Middle East and Africa.

Building on the initial strategy launched in 2021, the updated framework, revealed by the National Council for Artificial Intelligence, focuses on six core pillars, including governance, technology, and data, as well as infrastructure, ecosystem, and talent.

These components aim to support the country’s “Digital Egypt” initiative and drive socio-economic growth, with the goal of enabling the establishment of over 250 successful AI companies.

The move aligns with Egypt’s target to raise AI’s contribution to GDP to more than $42.7 billion by 2030, or 7.7 percent of the total.

This comes as AI is projected to add $15.7 trillion to the global economy by 2030, with the Middle East capturing 2 percent, or $320 billion, according to a PwC report. Saudi Arabia is set to gain the most, with AI contributing over $135.2 billion, or 12.4 percent of GDP. The UAE is expected to see the largest relative impact, with AI accounting for nearly 14 percent of its GDP, the report added.  

“We live in an era where AI is at the heart of global development, leaving its mark on every aspect of life and unlocking unparalleled opportunities for sustainable progress and growth. As the pace of advancements in this technology accelerates, it becomes imperative that we fully realize the vast potential of AI to shape a bright future for our nation–one that we can all take pride in,” said Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in his opening statement.  

He added that the second edition builds upon the foundation laid by the launch of the first National AI Strategy in May 2021, a moment when Egypt began exploring and harnessing AI capabilities.

“This included integrating AI tools into education, enhancing professional development, and fostering robust international partnerships,” said the president. 

The strategy also revealed that up to 26 percent of Egypt’s workforce, considered a marginal population, is expected to benefit from AI tools and applications. The number of AI professionals and experts is forecasted to reach 30,000 by 2030.

AI technology, including generative AI, is projected to further propel academic research, doubling the current number of AI publications to 6,000 per year, establishing Egypt as a regional research cooperation center.  

“We remain steadfast in our pursuit of excellence in this transformative field. Our goal is to solidify Egypt’s position as a leader in AI within the Middle East and Africa and as an influential contributor on the global stage,” El-Sisi said. 

“We will continue to prioritize investments in skill development and capacity building, cultivating AI professionals who meet the highest international standards,” the president added. 


Saudi Arabia’s Derayah plans IPO on Tadawul, offering 20% of share capital

Updated 13 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s Derayah plans IPO on Tadawul, offering 20% of share capital

  • Proceeds from the offering will be distributed to current shareholders in proportion to their existing holdings
  • IPO will initially target institutional investors, with up to 10% of the offered shares potentially being reallocated to individual investors

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s local digital bank Derayah Financial Co. plans to go public on the Tadawul’s main market by offering 20 percent of its total share capital.

The Public Investment Fund-backed company aims to offer 49,947,039 ordinary stocks, following the Capital Market Authority’s approval on Dec. 25 for the registration and public offering of its shares through a partial sale by existing shareholders.

The move aligns with the Kingdom’s broader efforts to develop its fintech sector, which has seen substantial growth in recent years.

The Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, has been working to boost the fintech ecosystem, introducing regulations and granting licenses to new fintech companies to diversify the financial landscape.

As part of the Financial Sector Development Program under Vision 2030, the Kingdom aims to increase the contribution of fintech firms to the economy, enhance financial inclusion, and encourage innovation in digital financial services.

Regulatory reforms, including sandbox environments and open banking frameworks, have made the country an attractive destination for fintech innovation and cross-border collaborations.

As of June 30, Derayah’s assets under management totaled SR15.1 billion ($4.03 billion). The company ranks among the leading independent brokers in brokerage revenues and holds the third-largest market share in the Saudi digital brokerage sector, capturing around 14 percent of the market.

The Kingdom has been witnessing an increasing number of initial public offerings on the Saudi stock exchange, driven by investor interest and the government’s push to diversify the economy.

The announcement said the proceeds from the offering will be distributed to current shareholders in proportion to their existing holdings, with the company receiving no portion of the funds.

This comes after the company appointed HSBC Saudi Arabia as the sole financial adviser, bookrunner, global coordinator, lead manager and underwriter.

Once the offering process is completed and formalities with the CMA and Tadawul are finalized, the shares will be listed and traded on the Saudi Exchange.

The offering will initially target institutional investors, with up to 10 percent of the offered shares potentially being reallocated to individual investors based on demand.

“This IPO goes beyond being a milestone for Derayah; it stands as a testament to our steadfast dedication to democratizing investment and providing all types of investors with innovative, accessible, and comprehensive wealth-building solutions,” said Taha Al-Kuwaiz, co-founder and chairman of Derayah.

Derayah reported a strong financial performance in 2023, with an operating income of SR624 million and a net profit of SR330 million, reflecting a net profit margin of around 53 percent.

The company sustained its growth momentum into the first half of 2024, with operating income surging by 63 percent year-on-year, while net profit jumped by 70 percent year-on-year to reach SR228 million.

Since 2016, Derayah has witnessed a 12-fold increase in its customer account base, reflecting its expanding market presence and growing investor confidence.

“In recent years, we have achieved exponential growth by capitalizing on favorable local, regional, and global capital markets,” Mohammed Al-Shammasi, the CEO of Derayah, said.

The company’s IPO will be available to both individual and institutional investors, including institutional investors outside the US.

The final offer price will be determined upon completion of the book-building process, which is expected to gauge investor interest and assess market demand for the shares.

Derayah played a pivotal role in enhancing the accessibility of financial services to a wide range of clients.

The company’s investment solutions and digital-first approach have positioned it as a key player in the Kingdom’s rapidly evolving financial landscape.

The listing is expected to enhance liquidity, improve corporate governance, and further diversify the Saudi capital market.


IMF hails Oman’s economic policies amid 6.2% budget surplus 

Updated 36 min 58 sec ago
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IMF hails Oman’s economic policies amid 6.2% budget surplus 

RIYADH: Oman achieved a 6.2 percent budget surplus and a 2.4 percent current account gain in 2024, driven by prudent fiscal policies, high oil prices, and nonhydrocarbon export growth. 

In its 2024 Article IV consultation, the International Monetary Fund attributed these figures to effective economic management.

Despite higher social spending under a new protection law, the nonhydrocarbon primary deficit as a share of nonhydrocarbon gross domestic product remained stable, highlighting the government’s commitment to financial discipline.    

Government debt as a percentage of GDP also declined further, reaching 35 percent in 2024, marking continued improvement in Oman’s economic fundamentals.   

The findings align with the broader resilience observed in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, with an IMF report released in December showing GCC economies have successfully weathered recent shocks, supported by strong nonhydrocarbon growth and ongoing reforms.  

The latest analysis from the financial agency show that Oman’s economic resilience has been recognized internationally, with its sovereign credit rating recently upgraded to investment grade.

Additionally, the banking sector remains sound, with profitability recovering to pre-pandemic levels, ample capital and liquidity buffers, and strong asset quality.    

While overall economic growth was tempered by OPEC+ oil production cuts, the IMF noted that Oman’s economy grew by 1.2 percent in 2023 and accelerated to 1.9 percent year on year in the first half of 2024.     

This expansion was primarily supported by a 3.8 percent increase in nonhydrocarbon sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and services during the same period, it added.    

Nonhydrocarbon activity is expected to remain a key driver of medium-term growth, supported by significant private sector investments.   

The nation predicts a modest 2.7 percent growth in GDP this year, while the IMF projections point to a higher 3.1 percent expansion.

The country’s inflation has continued to ease, declining to 0.6 percent during the first 10 months of 2024, down from 1.0 percent in 2023. This decrease reflects a contraction in transport prices and a moderation in food inflation.   

The IMF noted that Oman’s economic outlook is balanced but faces external and domestic risks. On the downside, global geopolitical tensions and a potential economic slowdown, particularly in China, could impact trade, tourism, and foreign direct investment.    

Lower-than-expected oil prices amid a potentially oversupplied energy market in 2025 also pose risks to the fiscal and external positions, it added.    

Domestically, delays in reform implementation and uncertainty around the global energy transition could hinder Oman’s diversification efforts.   

On the upside, Oman could benefit from higher oil prices, faster-than-expected global economic growth, and accelerated reforms and investments under Oman Vision 2040.   

The reform agenda includes initiatives to drive nonhydrocarbon growth, improve fiscal sustainability, and attract foreign investments.   

Oman’s reform efforts under Vision 2040 aim to reduce the economy’s reliance on hydrocarbons and foster private sector-led growth.    

The government has been executing sizable private sector investments and advancing structural reforms to expand the role of nonhydrocarbon sectors in the economy.    

Over the medium term, nonhydrocarbon activity is expected to drive growth, supported by policy measures and a steady inflow of private capital.   

The IMF’s report from December claimed regional conflicts had limited spillover effects, meaning the GCC maintained a favorable outlook — with the easing of oil production cuts and expansion in natural gas expected to further bolster the hydrocarbon sector.  

It was also noted that inflation across the region remains stable at low levels, and external buffers are sufficient despite narrower current account balances.  


Saudi Arabia’s capital markets surge with $274bn raised in 5 years, fueled by Vision 2030 growth: S&P Global

Updated 23 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s capital markets surge with $274bn raised in 5 years, fueled by Vision 2030 growth: S&P Global

  • Saudi issuers have raised more than $130 billion through US dollar-denominated issuances
  • Market conditions remain favorable, with falling interest rates providing supportive dynamics, S&P said

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s capital markets are experiencing significant growth, with issuers raising over $130 billion in the past five years as the Kingdom accelerates financing for its Vision 2030 plan.

The Capital Market Authority’s 2024-2026 strategy aims to promote investment, attract global interest, and support economic diversification, advancing the nation’s financial sector. 

According to a report from S&P Global, Saudi issuers, including the government and private sector, have raised more than $130 billion over the past five years through US dollar-denominated issuances.

“This comes on top of the $144 billion that they raised locally in Saudi riyal during the same period, with the implementation of Saudi Vision 2030 explaining part of this flurry,” the US-based credit rating agency said.

While the government makes up about 60 percent of these issuances, Vision 2030 has also opened significant opportunities in the non-oil economy and banking system.

Despite the rise in external leverage, market conditions remain favorable, with falling interest rates providing supportive dynamics, S&P said.

“We still expect leverage to remain manageable in our base-case scenario, with private-sector debt to GDP (gross domestic product) staying below the 100 percent mark in the next 12-24 months,” the agency added.

The current market environment is favorable for issuers, with declining interest rates and supportive financial conditions providing a conducive backdrop for sustained capital raising. This trend will continue as the Kingdom pushes ahead with large-scale projects and economic diversification efforts.

Residential mortgage-backed securities market on the horizon

One of the key factors to watch over the next one-to-two years is the potential establishment of a residential mortgage-backed securities market in Saudi Arabia. 

The credit rating agency said that at the end of September, “banks were sitting on more than $175 billion of mortgages that are predominantly at fixed rates and have short-term funding sources, primarily in the form of domestic deposits.”

If interest rates continue to decline, these mortgages could become more attractive for secondary market transactions. The ability to securitize and sell them would allow banks to move assets off their balance sheets, freeing up capital for further lending and investment in Vision 2030 initiatives. 

“This assumes that the legal hurdles relating to the issuance of RMBS are resolved, or at least the risks are floored at a level that would attract local and international investors’ interest,” S&P said.

The Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co., which has an A-/Positive rating, is expected to play a key role in facilitating RMBS market development. 

Direct market issuances could emerge as another avenue for mortgage-backed securities, potentially unlocking significant financial capacity for banks.


PIF launches $4bn 2-part bond

Updated 23 January 2025
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PIF launches $4bn 2-part bond

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund has launched a $4 billion two-part bond, Arab News has been told.

The sovereign wealth fund confirmed that it had sold $2.4 billion of five-year debt instruments at 95 basis points over US Treasuries and $1.6 billion of nine-year securities at 110 basis points over the same benchmark.

The move comes just weeks after PIF closed its first Murabaha credit facility, securing $7 billion in funding, in what was a key step in the fund’s plan to raise capital over the next several years. 

PIF, widely recognised to be Saudi Arabia’s vibrant economic engine, is currently spearheading the nation’s economic diversification efforts, aligned with the goals outlined in Vision 2030. 

PIF manages $925 billion in assets, and is set to increase that to $2 trillion by 2030, a report from monitoring organization Global SWF forecast earlier in January.

Moody’s upgraded the rating of PIF in November, raising it from A1 to Aa3 with a stable outlook, reaffirming the fund’s strong financial position.

The US-based agency gives Aa3 for entities with high quality, low credit risk, and the best ability to repay short-term debts. 

According to Moody’s, the upgrade of PIF’s long-term issuer rating from A1 reflects strong credit linkage between the sovereign wealth fund and the Kingdom’s government. 

The Murabaha credit facility is supported by a syndicate of 20 international and regional financial institutions. 

In a statement at the time of its annoucement, PIF added that the closing of the Murabaha credit facility financing complements the fund’s successful sukuk issuances over the past two years, underscoring the body’s strong financial position and its best-practice approach to debt financing.

In August, PIF obtained a $15 billion revolving credit facility for general corporate purposes from a diverse global syndicate of 23 financial institutions from the US, Europe, and the Middle East as well as Asia. 

In a press statement, the wealth fund said that this credit facility is offered for an initial period of three years and is extendable for up to two additional years. 

A revolving loan is one that can be drawn, repaid and drawn again during the agreed lending period.