Despite setbacks, ex-PM Imran Khan’s political comeback can’t be ‘written off’ – analysts 

Former Pakistan's Prime Minister Imran Khan speaks during an interview with AFP at his residence in Lahore on May 18, 2023. (AFP/File)
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Updated 05 August 2023
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Despite setbacks, ex-PM Imran Khan’s political comeback can’t be ‘written off’ – analysts 

  • Khan’s legal troubles have mounted since the protests of May 9 while several of his key aides have parted ways with him 
  • Analysts say how well Khan’s party fares in the upcoming elections will depend on the environment in which they are held 

ISLAMABAD: Despite facing numerous defections within his camp, escalating tensions with Pakistan’s powerful military establishment, and mounting legal challenges, former prime minister Imran Khan remains a resilient political figure, according to leading political analysts. 

Since his ouster from office in April 2022 via a parliamentary no-confidence vote, Khan has been embroiled in confrontations with the military, accusing the country’s former army chief, General (retired) Qamar Javed Bajwa, of conspiring against him and blaming a senior intelligence official for an apparent bid on his life last November. 

The military has denied all these allegations. 

Khan’s tensions with the army reached a boiling point on May 9 when his party supporters attacked government buildings and key military installations following his brief arrest on graft charges from an Islamabad court. The former premier has also been facing a litany of cases against him since his ouster from power, with charges ranging from corruption to sedition and terrorism. 

Khan’s key aide and former defense minister, Pervez Khattak, has parted ways with him and formed a breakaway faction of Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party. Another estranged PTI leader and former Khan confidant, Jahangir Khan Tarin, has established the Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party to counter his old boss and advance his own political interests. 

“I wouldn’t say he is politically obscure; he is very much a strong political figure in the country,” journalist and author Zahid Hussain told Arab News, adding that Khan’s support base had increased over the last 15 months. 

“Nawaz Sharif [of the ruling PML-N party] was also ousted, but he came back both times,” he added. “Khan also cannot be written off.” 

Falling out of favor with Pakistan’s powerful military — which has held sway over the country’s political affairs in the past seven decades — forced former prime ministers Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif to leave the country and live in self-imposed exile for significantly long periods. However, they both managed to stage political comebacks years later and were re-elected prime ministers. 

Dr. Rasul Bakhsh Rais, professor of Political Science at the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), agreed that Khan’s political base would remain intact come election time, adding that the breakaway factions led by Tarin and Khattak would not do much damage to the cricketer-turned-politician. 

“I don’t think they will be able to pull the popular constituencies away from Imran Khan’s reach,” Rais told Arab News. “They will gather a good group of electables and their personal constituencies, but I think on the ground, the support that Imran Khan enjoys will remain with him.” 

“I don’t think the politically and ideologically committed worker of the PTI would go with them (the PTI breakaway factions),” he added. 

Rais said the former premier’s political future largely depended on how long the country’s military wanted to keep him out of power, adding that “they do have the power to keep the courts and other state institutions dysfunctional.” 

“But it will [also] depend on an open, competitive, constitutional, and democratic system,” he said. “Whenever we have that – and I don’t think we have a possibility of this happening in the coming years – but whenever we have it, Imran Khan will have his opportunity.” 

Rais said it also depended on how Khan played his cards and restored his relationship with the military. 

Pakistani journalist Arifa Noor said how well Khan’s party does in the next elections would depend on the environment in which they were held. 

“It all depends on the environment that prevails at the time,” she told Arab News. “It would depend on multiple factors, such as how aggressively the party resists, or whether its candidates are allowed to contest elections and if they would be allowed to run election campaigns or not.” 

Noor said Khan’s narrative was resonating with the masses because of Pakistan’s dismal economic situation, adding that the fact that most of Pakistan’s political parties were in power during such inflationary times was a political advantage for him. 


Pakistan stocks surge by more than 3,000 points on hopes of policy rate cuts

Updated 30 December 2024
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Pakistan stocks surge by more than 3,000 points on hopes of policy rate cuts

  • Investor activity remained vibrant on Monday, with a total volume of 1,058 million shares traded
  • Pakistan cut its key policy rate by 200 basis points to 13 percent on Dec. 16, marking fifth straight reduction

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) opened the week on a positive note and surged by more than 3,000 points on Monday, amid hopes of further policy rate cuts.
The benchmark KSE-100 index soared by 3,907 points, or 3.51 percent percent, to close at 115,258 points, compared to Friday’s close of 111,351 points.
Investor activity remained vibrant, with a total volume of 1,058 million shares traded and a turnover of Rs40.8 billion, while hopes of further policy rate cut boosted market confidence.
“This upward momentum was fueled by optimism surrounding anticipated increases in equity fund allocations by local institutions ahead of the new year,” Topline Securities said in its market review.
“Adding further impetus was a statement from the finance minister over the weekend, suggesting a potential decline in interest rates to single-digit levels in the future.”
Pakistan’s central bank cut its key policy rate by 200 basis points to 13 percent on Dec. 16, it said in a statement. This was a fifth straight reduction since June as the country keeps up efforts to revive a sluggish economy with inflation easing.
The move followed cuts of 150 bps in June, 100 in July, 200 in September, and a record cut of 250 bps in November, that have taken the rate down from an all-time high of 22 percent, set in June 2023 and left unchanged for a year. It takes the total cuts to 900 bps since June.
Pakistan’s economy also grew by 0.92 percent in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2024-25, despite a contraction in the industrial sector, according to data approved by the National Accounts Committee, and released by its Statistics Bureau on Monday.
The growth was driven by positive performances in the agriculture and services sectors, which grew by 1.15 percent and 1.43 percent, respectively, in the first quarter of the fiscal year which ends in June 2025.


Pakistan reports 68th polio case of this year amid virus resurgence

Updated 30 December 2024
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Pakistan reports 68th polio case of this year amid virus resurgence

  • Pakistan on Monday began a week-long anti-polio vaccination in worst affected Balochistan province
  • Pakistan, along with neighboring Afghanistan, remains the last polio-endemic country in the world





ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has reported another case of polio virus in its northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province, authorities said on Monday, taking the nationwide tally to 68 this year.
Polio is a paralyzing disease that has no cure. Multiple doses of the oral polio vaccine and completion of the routine vaccination schedule for all children under the age of five is essential to provide children high immunity against this terrible disease.
The Regional Reference Laboratory for Polio Eradication at the National Institute of Health (NIH) Islamabad confirmed the wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) case in KP’s Dera Ismail Khan district. This is the 10th polio case of the district this year.
“Pakistan is responding to the resurgence of WPV1 this year,” the country’s polio program said in a statement. “It is crucial for parents to ensure vaccination for all their children under the age of five to keep them protected.”
Of the 68 cases reported this year, 27 were from Balochistan, 20 from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 19 from Sindh, and one each from Punjab and Islamabad, according to the polio program.
It said a sub-national polio vaccination campaign was conducted across Punjab, Sindh, KP, Azad Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan and Islamabad on December 16–22, vaccinating over 42 million children.
The Balochistan government had postponed the anti-polio drive for two weeks due to security threats and a lack of preparedness stemming from a boycott of the campaign by provincial health staff.
“The campaign’s second phase started today [Monday] in Balochistan,” the polio program said. “To keep children safe, it is critical for parents to welcome vaccinators among them and bring their children forward for vaccination.”
Pakistan, along with neighboring Afghanistan, remains the last polio-endemic country in the world.


Pakistan’s economy grows 0.92 percent in Q1 of ongoing fiscal year

Updated 30 December 2024
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Pakistan’s economy grows 0.92 percent in Q1 of ongoing fiscal year

  • The country is navigating a challenging economic recovery path and has been buttressed by a $7 billion facility from the IMF
  • The growth was driven by positive performances in agriculture and services sectors, which grew by 1.15 percent and 1.43 percent, respectively

KARACHI: Pakistan’s economy grew by 0.92 percent in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2024-25, despite a contraction in the industrial sector, according to data approved by the National Accounts Committee, and released by its Statistics Bureau on Monday.
The South Asian country is navigating a challenging economic recovery path and has been buttressed by a $7 billion facility from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in September.
The growth was driven by positive performances in the agriculture and services sectors, which grew by 1.15 percent and 1.43 percent, respectively, in the first quarter of the fiscal year which ends in June 2025.
Pakistan’s economy grew by 2.69 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of the previous 2023-24 fiscal year.
However, the industrial sector contracted by 1.03 percent, mainly due to a decline in mining and quarrying activities during July-September, read the report.
The committee compiling the national accounts approved the introduction of quarterly estimates of expenditure of the economy.
On the basis of latest figures of the national accounts aggregates for the last fiscal year, the overall size of the economy stood at 105.6 trillion Pakistani rupees ($379.31 billion).
Annual per capita income in rupees was recorded at 472,263 Pakistani rupees ($1,696.35).
The committee also approved an updated annual growth rate for the last fiscal year 2023-24, which stood at 2.50 percent, slightly lower than the previously estimated 2.52 percent.


Pakistan’s new Gwadar airport set to launch flights to Muscat from Jan. 10

Updated 30 December 2024
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Pakistan’s new Gwadar airport set to launch flights to Muscat from Jan. 10

  • The Chinese-funded airport is capable of handling A-380 aircraft and accommodating up to 4 million passengers annually, PM’s Office says
  • The start of operations at Gwadar airport was delayed because of security review due to militant attacks in Pakistan’s Balochistan in August

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s new Gwadar International Airport is set to begin flights to Muscat from January 10, the Pakistan prime minister’s office announced on Monday, following a months-long delay in the opening of the airport.
A security review prompted by deadly attacks by separatist militants in Balochistan in August delayed the airport’s opening to the end of this year. The $200-million Chinese-funded airport, which will handle both domestic and international flights, is expected to become one of Pakistan’s largest, according to the Pakistan Civil Aviation Authority.
China has pledged over $65 billion in infrastructure, energy and other projects in Pakistan under the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Part of President Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative, the program in Pakistan is also developing a deep-water port close to the new airport in Gwadar, a joint venture between Pakistan, Oman and China that is close to completion.
On Monday, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif presided over a meeting to discuss the airport’s operations and directed authorities to develop a strategy to establish it as a major transit hub, emphasizing the need to improve road connections between the airport and other parts of the country, particularly Balochistan.
“Flights from Gwadar to Muscat will start from Jan.10 next year,” the PM’s office said in a statement. “The Gwadar airport can handle A-380 aircraft and will be capable of accommodating 4 million passengers annually.”
The statement noted that the Gwadar International Airport has obtained necessary certifications from the Pakistan Airports Authority. Additionally, personnel from the Airports Security Force, Pakistan Customs, Anti-Narcotics Force, Federal Investigation Agency, and Border Health Services have been deployed at the airport.
The Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) plans to increase flights between Karachi and Gwadar to three times a week, while discussions are ongoing with private airlines and carriers from China, Oman and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to launch both domestic and international services, according to the PM’s office. The airport will feature various facilities, including cold storage, cargo sheds, hotels and shopping malls, with banking services arranged through the State Bank of Pakistan.
Although no Chinese projects were targeted in militant attacks in August, they have been frequently attacked in the past by separatists who view China as a foreign invader trying to gain control of impoverished but mineral-rich Balochistan, the site of a decades-long insurgency.
Recent attacks, including one in which two Chinese workers were killed in a suicide bombing in Karachi, have forced Beijing to publicly criticize Pakistan over security lapses and there have been widespread media reports in recent weeks that China wants its own security forces on the ground to protest its nationals and projects, a demand Islamabad has long resisted.
In his remarks, Sharif highlighted that the Gwadar International Airport symbolized the strong China-Pakistan friendship, expressing gratitude to Beijing for constructing an airport with international standards and modern facilities. He also directed the implementation of comprehensive security measures at the airport.
The meeting was attended by Defense Minister Khawaja Asif, Law Minister Azam Nazeer Tarar, Economic Affairs Minister Ahsan Khan Cheema, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, and senior government officials. Deputy PM Ishaq Dar, along with Federal Minister for Privatization, Investment, and Communications Abdul Aleem Khan, also participated via video link.


Pakistan, Kenya agree to promote free trade amid Islamabad’s push for economic growth

Updated 30 December 2024
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Pakistan, Kenya agree to promote free trade amid Islamabad’s push for economic growth

  • Pakistan to export pink salt, marble and cement to Kenya under fresh agreement, says state media
  • Islamabad has sought to bolster international trade in its bid to achieve sustainable economic growth

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and Kenya on Monday agreed to promote free trade between their countries, state-run media reported on Monday, as Islamabad seeks to achieve sustainable growth and attract investment in its vital economic sectors. 

After narrowly escaping a sovereign default last year before clinching a last-gasp International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout program, Pakistan has sought to enhance business and investment ties with regional allies and countries such as Russia, Central Asian states and Gulf nations to escape a prolonged macroeconomic crisis. 

According to Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kenya is one of Pakistan’s largest African trading partners. Trade between the two countries is dominated by two commodities, rice and tea. Pakistan is the largest buyer of Kenyan tea in the world while Kenya is the largest destination for Pakistani basmati and non-basmati rice in the world.

“Pakistan and Kenya have agreed on a free trade agreement and mutual cooperation to enhance business and investment opportunities,” state broadcaster Radio Pakistan said. “Under the agreement, Pakistan is expected to export pink salt, marble and cement to Kenya while bilateral trade in pharmaceuticals will also be increased.”

The fresh agreement between the two countries is expected to foster economic stability and growth, apart from enhancing their global market positions, Radio Pakistan said. It added that the agreement will also help lower prices, develop industries and increase business opportunities in both Pakistan and Kenya. 

Islamabad and Nairobi established a Joint Ministerial Commission in 1992. Till date, three sessions of the commission have been held since then. The two sides have also established a Joint Trade and Investment Committee (JTIC), the first session of which was held in April 2021.

Pakistan’s total trade with Africa was recorded at $ 4.44 billion in 2022-23 of which $ 2.89 billion were imports and $ 1.55 billion were exports. The top three exports destinations for Pakistan in Africa are Kenya, South Africa, and Tanzania. Pakistan’s major exportable items to African countries include rice, textile and clothing, pharmaceuticals, cement, agriculture machinery and paper. 

The South Asian country mainly imports coal, petroleum, diphosphorus, tea, cotton and copper from African countries in return.