Pakistani political pundits foresee coalition government after general elections, no future for ‘king’s parties’ 

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Updated 07 August 2023
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Pakistani political pundits foresee coalition government after general elections, no future for ‘king’s parties’ 

  • PM Shehbaz Sharif will hand over power to caretaker set-up this month ahead of general elections due in November 
  • Ex-PM Imran Khan was arrested on Saturday after a trial court verdict likely to end his chances of running in elections 

ISLAMABAD: As the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif prepares to hand over power to a caretaker administration ahead of general elections due in November, political pundits widely foresee the formation of a coalition government and say ‘king’s parties’ formed in recent months neither have a vote bank nor a powerful narrative to sway votes. 

Sharif’s government has proposed that parliament be dissolved a few days before the end of its term on August 12, giving the caretaker government 90 days to hold a general election, which would fall in early November. 

The election is seen as critical to restoring political stability to a country that has been rocked by economic turmoil and mass protests and unrest since Imran Khan was forced out as prime minister in a vote of no-confidence in April last year. 

Last week, Khan was arrested after a trial court in Islamabad convicted him of charges arising from the sale of state gifts — a verdict likely to end his chances of running in upcoming general elections. 

Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party, arguably the most popular in the country, was already facing an unprecedented crisis since May 9, when violent protests erupted following his arrest in a separate land graft case and his supporters ransacked government and military properties. 

The army called the day of the protests a “Black Day” and vowed to punish those involved. Since then, thousands of Khan’s supporters have been arrested, and hundreds of his top party members, including his closest aides, have defected after they faced pressure from what is widely believed to be the military establishment, which denies the charge. 

Many former Khan associates have since gotten together to form two new political parties, the Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party (IPP) and the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf-Parliamentarians (PTI-P), both widely referred to as king’s parties, a common euphemism in Pakistan for one favored by the all-powerful military, which has ruled the South Asian country for nearly half of its 75-year history. 

Meanwhile, Khan, already behind bars, faces a spate of other legal cases too, with charges ranging from terrorism to contempt of court to murder. 

Against this background, what does the future hold for Pakistani politics? 

“What I foresee is so far no party will get a simple majority and they will have to go for a coalition government,” Brig. (retired) Haris Nawaz, a defense and political analyst, told Arab News. 

He, however, warned that a coalition government or hung parliament would not be able to steer the country out of its myriad economic and political crises. 

“For the best economic revival and political stability, the ideal thing is that one party, whomsoever Pakistani people vote for, should come with simple majority,” he said. 

“When you come with a simple majority, [it] means you don’t go in coalition, you don’t need coalition partners, you don’t fall into blackmailing. A coalition government cannot deliver what a proper, fully mandated one simple-majority party can do.” 

But would the newly formed parties, with senior leaders from Khan’s PTI, be able to get mass support? 

“They are definitely the new king’s parties but actually the problem is they do not have a new narrative and they don’t have a vote bank, and I don’t see many electables in them,” longtime political observer Sohail Warraich, widely believed to be the foremost expert on Pakistan’s constituency politics, told Arab News. 

And the formation of the parties had also come “too late,” said Nawaz. 

“It is too late, particularly, when after just [a few] days the assembly will be dissolved. When will they bring their manifestos, when will they get in touch [with the masses]? These are big question marks.” 

Political commentator and rights activist Mehmal Sarfaraz said “experiments” like the IPP and the PTI-Parliamentarians had been tried in the past also, but had “hardly ever been successful.” 

“From IPP to other splinter groups of PTI, the plan seems to be to give a home to PTI defectors who have had to leave their party post-May 9 events even if a lot of them didn’t want to,” she added. 

Tahir Naeem Malik, an assistant professor of International Politics at the National University of Modern Languages (NUML), said he viewed the formation of the new parties as an attempt to keep major political parties “under pressure.” 

“The purpose behind their formation is that the two other major parties, the PML-N and the PPP, should not be strengthened,” he said, referring to the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz of PM Sharif, which is ruling in the center, and the Pakistan People’s Party, which has the government in Sindh province and is a coalition partner of Sharif’s administration. 

“We have been seeing for the last 75 years that party politics are cut down to size and factions are created within political parties,” Malik added, calling it “unfortunate” that political parties, in their quest to stay relevant and in power, did not realize that they were being “weakened” in the long-run through such moves. 

Instead, political analyst Mazhar Abbas suggested, political parties needed to stick to basic principles and ensure that their conduct did not damage democracy. 

“Political parties among themselves should formulate a code of conduct for respecting each other,” he said. “There have to be few underlying principles of democracy and of accepting the voices of dissent.” 

But what does the future hold for Khan, amid a widening crackdown against his party and after his arrest? 

“One can’t say whether PTI is completely out of the scene, but temporarily, definitely, PTI is in deep trouble,” Abbas said. 

“One has to wait and see whether PTI or Imran Khan will be in the race or not [in upcoming general elections], because if he is allowed to contest the elections, if his party remains intact and is allowed to freely contest the elections, then in a free and fair contest, PTI has every chance to emerge as a strong party,” the commentator added. 

“But if Imran Khan is disqualified or in jail, or PTI faces hindrance in contesting the election, then definitely other groups or a hung parliament will emerge.” 


Japan outclass Pakistan 3-0 to win Men’s U18 Asia Cup 2025 title

Updated 13 July 2025
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Japan outclass Pakistan 3-0 to win Men’s U18 Asia Cup 2025 title

  • Japan’s Yuma Fujiwara scored goals in the 22nd and 38th minutes of game
  • Skipper Tatsuaki Yasui scored the final goal to end Pakistan winning streak

ISLAMABAD: Japan defeated Pakistan 3-0 to win the Men’s U18 Asia Cup 2025 final at the National Hockey Training Center in Dazhou, China on Sunday.

Despite both teams attacking each other, the opening quarter of the match ended without a goal. Japan’s Yuma Fujiwara scored the first goal in the seventh minute of the second quarter.

Fujiwara found the net once again in the third quarter, followed by Tatsuaki Yasui extending Japan’s lead to 3-0 on a penalty corner in the final minutes of the fourth quarter.

“Japan are crowned champions after a commanding 3–0 victory over Pakistan in the final,” the Asian Hockey Federation commented on X.

“A flawless campaign, built on discipline, skill, and teamwork, earns Japan the top spot on the podium.”

Pakistan had entered the final unbeaten, after defeating Malaysia 4-3 in the semifinals.

Prior to that, the Pakistani side beat hosts China 2-1, Bangladesh 6-3, Sri Lanka 9-0 and Hong Kong 8-0.


Pakistan’s performance under $7 billion program has been ‘strong so far,’ IMF representative says

Updated 13 July 2025
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Pakistan’s performance under $7 billion program has been ‘strong so far,’ IMF representative says

  • Pakistan is currently navigating a long path to economic recovery under the 37-month IMF program secured in Sept.
  • Reforms to strengthen tax equity, improve business climate are key to economic sustainability, Mahir Binici says

ISLAMABAD: Mahir Binici, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) country representative for Pakistan, has described Islamabad’s performance under a $7 billion IMF loan program as being “strong so far,” the Islamabad-based Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) think tank said on Sunday.

Binici said this in his guest lecture at the Institute, during which he shed light on the evolving economic landscape across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region and Pakistan.

Pakistan narrowly avoided a sovereign default in mid-2023 thanks to a shorter $3 billion IMF facility. In Sept. last year, Islamabad secured the 37-month, $7 billion program after meeting targets under the previous arrangement.

The IMF representative said Pakistan’s successful completion of the first review of its loan program, secured last year, by the IMF executive board in May 2025 was a “key milestone.”

“Early policy measures have helped restore macroeconomic stability and rebuild investor confidence, despite persistent external challenges,” Binici was quoted as saying in an SDPI statement.

He, however, cautioned that “elevated trade tensions, geopolitical fragmentation, and weakening global cooperation continue to generate exceptional uncertainty and weigh on the global economic outlook,” underlining the urgent need for prudent and forward-looking policy actions.

“Growth across the Middle East, North Africa (MENA) region, and Pakistan is expected to strengthen in 2025 and beyond,” Binici said.

The IMF representative reaffirmed the global lender’s continued support for Pakistan’s economic and climate reforms agenda.

“Structural reforms remain central to Pakistan’s long-term economic sustainability, particularly reforms that strengthen tax equity, improve the business climate, and encourage private-sector-led investment,” he said.

Binici’s comments came a day after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif defended his government’s structural reform agenda, particularly in tax administration, saying that difficult and often unpopular decisions were necessary to rebuild national institutions as the country could no longer afford “business as usual.”

Speaking at a session of the Uraan Pakistan youth development program, he said his administration took on the “onerous task” of stabilizing the economy under immense pressure, choosing to pursue long-delayed reforms rather than temporary fixes.

“Pakistan had to undertake these long-overdue, deep structural changes, if we had to find our lost place in the comity of nations through hard and untiring efforts,” he said.

Sharif noted the transition from paper-based tax systems to digital and AI-led processes was already bearing fruit and his administration had prioritized accountability and removing senior revenue officials accused of corruption, resisting political pressure in doing so.

“It’s a long and thorny journey,” he said, assuring merit would remain the cornerstone of his governance model. “We are facing bumps on the way and mountain-like impediments. But I can assure you, we will not shy away from discharging our responsibility.”


Pakistani commerce minister embarks on ‘pivotal’ UK visit to deepen economic ties

Updated 13 July 2025
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Pakistani commerce minister embarks on ‘pivotal’ UK visit to deepen economic ties

  • The UK maintains zero-tariff access of Pakistan’s exports post-Brexit, making it Islamabad’s largest European export partner
  • The Pakistan-UK trade in goods and services reached £4.7 billion in 2024, an increase of 7.3 percent, compared to the previous year

ISLAMABAD: Pakistani Commerce Minister Jam Kamal Khan has embarked on a “pivotal” official visit to the United Kingdom (UK) from July 14 till July 20 to strengthen economic ties between the two countries, Khan’s ministry said on Sunday.

The minister is accompanied by Commerce Secretary Jawad Paul and this high-level visit aims to deepen bilateral commercial ties, strengthen institutional frameworks, and open new avenues for trade and investment between Pakistan and the UK.

Khan will engage with major Chambers of Commerce in London and Birmingham to advance bilateral trade and explore opportunities in emerging sectors, besides highlighting Pakistan’s export potential and fostering greater business-to-business collaboration.

“One of the central moments of the visit will be the signing of the Terms of Reference (ToRs) for the Pakistan-UK Trade Dialogue,” the commerce ministry said.

“This formalization marks a significant step toward institutionalizing bilateral trade cooperation, injecting greater standardization, transparency, and predictability into the economic relationship between the two countries.”

The UK maintains zero-tariff access of Pakistan’s exports post-Brexit, making it Pakistan’s largest European and third-largest individual export partner, according to the Pakistani foreign ministry.

The Pakistan-UK trade in goods and services reached £4.7 billion in 2024, an increase of 7.3 percent, or £320 million, compared to the previous year, according to the UK government data. Of this £4.7 billion, UK exports to Pakistan amounted to £2.2 billion, while its imports from Pakistan amounted to £2.5 billion.

During his visit, the Pakistani commerce minister is scheduled to meet with members of the UK’s All Parties Parliamentary Group (APPG), where he will advocate for stronger political support in enhancing trade and investment flows, according to the commerce ministry.

These discussions will aim to align parliamentary efforts with Pakistan’s broader economic diplomacy goals and strengthen long-term partnerships.

“Khan will interact with leading UK-based multi-million-dollar companies from key sectors such as food processing, information technology, engineering, fintech, and capital investment. These meetings aim to showcase Pakistan’s economic potential and attract targeted investments into high-growth industries,” the commerce ministry said.

“The visit also includes important meetings with the UK Pakistan Business Council, Pakistan Britain Business Council, and UK Pakistan Chamber of Commerce & Industry. These discussions will focus on strengthening institutional trade linkages and leveraging diaspora-led initiatives to boost trade volumes and visibility in the UK market.”

Pakistan is currently striving to draw overseas investment amid a gradually healing macroeconomic environment after a prolonged downturn that forced Islamabad to seek external financing from friendly nations and multiple loan programs from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Khan’s visit follows another trip to the UK in June by Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s aide on privatization, Muhammad Ali, who held meetings with executives from renowned firms, including TTB Partners, STJ Partners, Deutsche Bank, Berenberg Bank, and Amundi Fund Group, to spotlight Pakistan’s privatization roadmap and its growing potential as a hub for strategic, long-term investment.

The Pakistani commerce ministry said Khan’s visit marks a “renewed thrust in Pakistan’s efforts to advance economic diplomacy, diversify export markets, and solidify its commercial footprint in global markets like the United Kingdom.”


Pakistan minister to attend today tri-nation conference in Tehran on pilgrim, border issues

Updated 13 July 2025
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Pakistan minister to attend today tri-nation conference in Tehran on pilgrim, border issues

  • The Pakistan-Iran-Iraq conference is being convened on Islamabad’s request
  • Thousands of Pakistanis travel to the two countries annually to visit holy sites

KARACHI: Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi is undertaking an official visit to Tehran to attend a tri-nation conference on pilgrim and border issues, the Pakistani interior ministry said on Sunday.

The conference of interior ministers from Pakistan, Iran and Iraq is being convened on a request from Islamabad, according to the Pakistani interior ministry.

Thousands of Pakistani Shiite Muslims, who travel annually to Iran and Iraq to visit holy sites, have often complained of issues at the border.

“Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi will attend the trilateral conference on pilgrims and border issues in Tehran tomorrow,” the Pakistani interior ministry said on Sunday. “Naqvi will also meet with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.”

Last month, Pakistan evacuated over 260 nationals from Iraq and another 450 Pakistanis who had been stranded in Iran during the Tehran-Israeli conflict.

The 12-day war between Iran and Israel, which began on June 13 Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and military leadership, raised alarms in a region that was already on edge since the start of Israel’s war on Gaza in October 2023.

Pakistan remained engaged in talks with regional partners like Saudi Arabia, Iran, China and Qatar to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East after Iran conducted retaliatory strikes on Israel and a US base in Qatar, raising fears the conflict could draw in other regional states.


Imran Khan’s party says has launched 90-day ‘do-or-die’ movement against government

Updated 13 July 2025
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Imran Khan’s party says has launched 90-day ‘do-or-die’ movement against government

  • Ali Amin Gandapur, KP chief minister and a close Imran Khan aide, says movement to ‘reach its peak’ on August 5
  • Information Minister Attaullah Tarar calls the announcement a ‘political gimmick,’ saying Khan’s party is ‘heading toward irrelevance’

ISLAMABAD: Former prime minister Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party announced on Sunday that its 90-day “do-or-die” protest movement against the government has begun, saying that it would determine the future of the party. 

Earlier this month, the PTI announced it would launch a nationwide protest movement after the Islamic month of Muharram, following a ruling by Pakistan’s top court denying the party reserved parliamentary seats for minorities and women.

Tensions further escalated days earlier when 26 PTI provincial lawmakers were suspended by the speaker of the Punjab Assembly for 15 sessions, after they protested during Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz Sharif’s speech on June 27.

Gandapur arrived in the eastern city of Lahore from KP on Saturday to discuss the party’s political strategy and finalize its protest movement against the government.

“We have announced a 90-day protest movement, which began yesterday [Saturday]… And it will be a do-or-die [movement] for us, whether we remain there [in KP government] or not,” Gandapur, flanked by the PTI’s leadership, told reporters at a news conference in Lahore.

The KP chief minister vowed that the party’s anti-government protest movement will “reach its peak” on August 5, marking two years since Khan was arrested after being convicted by a court for illegally selling state gifts. 

Federal Information Minister Attaullah Tarar termed the PTI protest movement a “political gimmick,” saying that Khan’s party had made several such announcements.

“He [Gandapur] has made several such announcements and these are political gimmicks,” Tarar told Arab News.

“PTI has lost street power and its credibility, and is heading toward irrelevance,” the minister added.

Khan, who has remained in prison since then, says the charges against him are politically motivated and has denied wrongdoing. His party has held various protests demanding his release and an independent investigation into the elections of February 2024. 

Pakistan’s government has denied the PTI’s allegations and says the elections of February 2024 were transparent. It accuses the former prime minister and his party of attempting to disrupt the government’s efforts to achieve sustainable economic growth through violent protests.

In one of the PTI’s protests in November last year, the government said four troops were killed in clashes with Khan supporters. The PTI rejects this allegation. 

‘REAL DECISION-MAKERS’

Gandapur alleged that the PTI was being denied its right to hold peaceful protests, vowing that it would now mobilize people across the country.

“We will announce a plan accordingly, after taking all our local workers and leaders into confidence on how to proceed with this movement,” the chief minister said. 

On holding talks with the government, Gandapur said his government was ready to hold talks but with the “real decision-makers,” indirectly referring to the military. 

“Imran Khan has very clearly said this, ‘[I] will only negotiate with those who are decision-makers. What’s the point of talking to someone who doesn’t have any authority?’,” Gandapur said. 

Pakistan’s military says it does not interfere in political issues and rejects the PTI’s allegations that it conspired with Khan’s political opponents to oust his government in a parliamentary vote in April 2022.