ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s stocks are expected to advance by more than a quarter by the end of next year as the nation’s economy shows improvement under a loan program with the International Monetary Fund and the currency stabilizes, Bloomberg reported on Monday, quoting two brokerage houses. 

The benchmark KSE-100 Index is forecast to increase to 127,000 points by December 2025, or a 34% rise, from the 94,704 points it closed last Friday, according to Topline Securities Ltd. in a report announced on Nov. 16. Arif Habib Ltd. targets the index to reach 120,000 points, a gain of 27%.

“The stage is set for a potential market re-rating with declining interest rates, a stable rupee, and improving macroeconomic indicators,” Karachi-based brokerage Arif Habib commented in a report.

Pakistan’s economy has stabilized with inflation easing from record levels that has allowed the central bank to cut the interest rate for four straight meetings to 15 percent, the lowest in two years. 

The key index advanced as much as 0.6% on Monday, taking its gains to more than 50% this year, the second best performer globally, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The equity market will be offering a 37% return including 10% dividend yield by the end of 2025 because of economic stability and falling bond yields, Karachi-based Topline said in a separate report.

Pakistan is also increasingly attracting the attention of foreign investors, particularly in its debt and equity markets, said Arif Habib.

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s external current account recorded a surplus of $349 million in October 2024, marking the third consecutive month of surplus and the highest in this period, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday.
The current account reflects a nation’s transactions with the rest of the world, encompassing net trade in goods and services, net earnings on cross-border investments and net transfer payments.
A surplus indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, thereby strengthening its foreign exchange reserves.
Last month’s current account surplus contrasts sharply with the $290 million deficit recorded in October 2023, highlighting a significant improvement in the country’s economy.
“The external current account recorded a surplus of $349 million in October 2024, after showing a surplus of $86 million and $29 million in September 2024 and August 2024 respectively,” the central bank said in a brief statement.
Pakistan has faced economic challenges in recent years, including high inflation, a depreciating currency, and dwindling foreign reserves.
In response, the government has implemented a series of reforms aimed at stabilizing the economy, including securing a $7 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in September, which is contingent upon measures such as broadening the tax base, reducing energy sector deficits and privatizing state-owned enterprises.
The consecutive current account surpluses, culminating in the substantial $349 million in October, suggest that Pakistan is transitioning from mere stabilization to a phase of economic growth.
This positive trend is bolstered by increased remittances from overseas Pakistanis, which reached a record $11.8 billion in the first four months of the fiscal year, marking a 35 percent year-on-year growth.
Pakistani authorities have emphasized the importance of continuing prudent fiscal and monetary policies to consolidate these gains and ensure long-term economic stability.
The country’s finance chief, Muhammad Aurangzeb, said a day earlier the international lending agencies had acknowledged the improvement in the national economy, though he added that they wanted the government to continue with stringent structural reforms.
“There is no room for complacency,” he added.