Pakistan, Tunisia, Egypt among developing nations in grip of debt problems

A trader holds a placard reading 'prevent unemployment from rising' during a protest at a street in Karachi on August 23, 2023, against the surge in petrol and electricity prices as Pakistan endures soaring inflation. (AFP/File)
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Updated 01 September 2023
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Pakistan, Tunisia, Egypt among developing nations in grip of debt problems

  • Pakistan needs over $22 billion to service external debt, pay other bills for FY 2024
  • Egypt has around $100 billion of hard currency debt to pay over the next five years

LONDON: The persistent and damaging debt problems gripping a number of developing world nations will be a core topic during the G20 summit in Delhi next month.
Below is a look at countries currently facing problems. 
PAKISTAN
Pakistan needs upwards of $22 billion to service external debt and pay other bills for fiscal year 2024.
A caretaker administration is in charge until an election that must take place by November. Inflation and interest rates are at historic highs, and it is struggling to rebuild from devastating 2022 floods.
In June, it reached an 11th-hour deal with the IMF for a $3 billion bailout, and Saudi Arabia and the UAE followed with $2 billion and $1 billion cash infusions.
Reserves, which had fallen to $3.5 billion, had rebounded to $7.8 billion by late August. Observers say it could have enough to make it to the elections but there are major questions about how long it will be able to avoid default without huge support.

TUNISIA
The North African nation, reeling from multiple hits since a 2011 revolution, is facing a full-blown economic crisis.
Most debt is internal but foreign loan repayments are due later this year and credit ratings agencies have said Tunisia could default.
President Kais Saied has slammed the terms required to unlock $1.9 billion from the IMF as “diktats” that he will not meet.
Saudi Arabia pledged a $400 million soft loan, and a $100 million grant, but the tourism-dependent economy continues to grapple with shortages in imported food and medicine. The European Union has offered about 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion)in support but that appears to be mostly pegged to the IMF deal or reforms.

EGYPT
Egypt remains another of the big countries seen as at risk of falling into trouble.
North Africa’s largest economy has around $100 billion of hard currency — mainly dollar-denominated — debt to pay over the next five years, including a meaty $3.3 billion bond next year and the government spends over 40 percent of its revenues just on debt interest payments.
Cairo has a $3 billion IMF program and has devalued the pound by roughly 50 percent since February 2022. But a privatization plan is still on the go-slow and last month it veered away from its IMF plan by saying it would keep subsidised electricity prices unchanged until January.
Some of its government bonds are changing hands at half their face value and analysts think a key factor in whether it can get back on track is the amount of support wealthy Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia provide going forward.

ZAMBIA
Zambia was the first African country to default during the COVID-19 pandemic and after a long-awaited burst of progress in recent months finally looks to be closing in on a repair plan.
In June, it clinched a $6.3 billion debt rework deal with the “Paris Club” creditor nations and its other big bilateral lender China. The details are still being worked on, but the government also hopes to reach a deal in the coming months with the international funds that hold its unpaid sovereign bonds. 

The progress has also been cheered as a success for the struggling G20 Common Framework initiative, which was set up during the pandemic to try to streamline debt restructurings but has been hard to make work in practice.

SRI LANKA
Sri Lanka announced a debt overhaul plan at the end of June and has continued to make progress since, albeit not everywhere.
Nearly all holders of its domestic, dollar-denominated Sri Lanka Development Bonds (SLDBs) agreed to exchange their bonds into five new Sri Lankan rupee-dominated notes that will mature between 2025 and 2033.
Another part of the domestic debt plan has faced delays, though, with a key deadline on a Treasury bond exchange delayed three times and now set for Sept. 11.
Central bank chief Nandalal Weerasinghe has said the country’s big foreign creditors such as India and China are awaiting the conclusion of the domestic debt operation before continuing discussions.
He said negotiations will be held in parallel with the first review of its $2.9 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout program due from Sept. 14-27. Failure to complete the domestic debt overhaul by then could result in delays both in terms of IMF disbursements and talks with creditors. 

GHANA
Ghana defaulted on most of its external debt at the end of last year. It is the fourth country to seek a rework under the Common Framework and is aiming to reduce its international debt payments by $10.5 billion over the next three years.
Its progress has been relatively swift compared to the likes of Zambia. The government recently agreed to tackle roughly $4 billion of its domestic debt via a pension fund debt swap operation and a dollar-denominated bonds exchange.
It has sent a restructuring plan to its “official sector” — wealthier government — creditors and its finance minister has said he also expects to reach a deal with the country’s bondholders by the end of the year.
The funds know it will require them to write off money but hope it could also include a “recovery instrument” that would mean Ghana pays back more of that money over time if its economy recovers quickly. 

EL SALVADOR
El Salvador has shifted from doom and default to bond market darling, propelled by two surprise debt buybacks and the appointment of a former IMF official as adviser to the finance ministry.
In summer 2022, its 2025 eurobond fell to just under 27 cents on the dollar, weighed down by high debt service costs and worries over its financing plans and fiscal policies.
The same bond traded at 91.50 cents on Aug. 31, and its debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 77 percent in December, the lowest since 2019, and is forecast to drop another percentage point this year, according to Refinitiv data.
Its now relatively light debt repayment schedule through 2027, and the sky-high popularity of President Nayib Bukele, has assuaged fears the country could default. 

KENYA
The East African nation’s public debt stands at nearly 70 percent of GDP, according to the World Bank, putting it at high risk of debt distress.
President William Ruto’s government has moderated spending and proposed a raft of tax hikes, assuaging some concerns of an imminent default.
The African Development Bank is in talks with Kenya over $80.6 million to help it plug its financing gaps this year, and it is also discussing budgetary support from the World Bank.
But concerns remain; Ruto’s political opposition has opposed many of his tax hikes, and protests have forced him to pause some reforms, such as fuel subsidy cuts. 

UKRAINE
Ukraine froze debt payments in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion. It has said it is likely to decide early next year whether to try to extend that agreement or begin looking at potentially more complex alternatives.
Top institutions estimate the post-war rebuild cost will be at least 1 trillion euros, and the IMF estimates Ukraine needs $3-$4 billion a month to keep the country running.
If the war with Russia is not won or at least eased to a much lower intensity by next year, its debt restructuring dilemma will also have to factor in the November 2024 US Presidential election and the degree of support it would receive should Donald Trump or another Republican candidate win office. 

LEBANON
Lebanon has been in default since 2020 with few signs its problems will be resolved any time some. 
The IMF has issued stark warnings, but one bit of progress in the last couple of months has been a proposal by the central bank to lift the long-time peg on the country’s local currency, 
($1 = 0.9222 euros)
 


UNESCO adopts Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation globally

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UNESCO adopts Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation globally

  • The development comes amid student protests in Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province over reports of a rape on a women’s college campus
  • Authorities say no victim has come forward and blame online misinformation for unrest, but the protests have since spread to other cities in Punjab

ISLAMABAD: The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) has adopted a Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation, the Pakistani embassy in France said on Thursday.
The resolution titled, “Countering Disinformation for the Promotion and Protection of Freedom of Expression and Access to Information,” was co-sponsored by more than 50 member states and was unanimously adopted at the 220th session of the UNESCO executive board in Paris.
Pakistan took this initiative against the backdrop of proliferation and intensification of disinformation, misinformation and hate speech around the world, according to the Pakistani embassy in France.
“Disinformation is one of the most pressing challenges of our time, which is exacerbated by the rapid evolution of digital platforms and communication technologies,” it said in a statement.
“This resolution is the first of its kind at UNESCO specifically focusing on countering disinformation, misinformation and hate speech through the platform of UNESCO building on UNESCO’s activities and related decisions adopted by the UN General Assembly and the Human Rights Council where Pakistan has also been in the lead.”
Pakistan’s ambassador and permanent delegate, Asim Iftikhar Ahmad, thanked all member states for their invaluable inputs and support leading to consensus adoption of the text that put UNESCO at the center of a multi-dimensional and multi-stakeholder approach to counter disinformation, misinformation and hate speech for effective promotion and protection of freedom of expression and access to information as the lead UN agency mandated in the field.
Speaking on the occasion, delegates said the increasing threat posed by disinformation was a shared concern that needed to be addressed through close coordination and collective efforts of member states and all stakeholders, according to the embassy.
An outcome of broad-based and extensive consultations, the resolution called on the UNESCO director-general to provide an update on the initiatives undertaken by UN agency to counter disinformation on digital platforms and to present a report on how to make UNESCO’s role more effective in countering disinformation, misinformation and hate speech.
The executive board is one of the constitutional governing organs of UNESCO entrusted with the responsibility of preparing the agenda of the general conference and examining the program of work of UNESCO and its budget. Pakistan is currently vice president from the Asia-Pacific at the board.
The development comes amid widespread student protests in Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province over reports of a rape on a women’s college campus in Lahore last week.
The police, college and provincial government have said that no victim has come forward and blamed online misinformation for the unrest, but the protests have since spread to other cities in the province.


Two Pakistani startups among 23 selected from Asia-Pacific for Google’s AI Academy

Updated 12 min 18 sec ago
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Two Pakistani startups among 23 selected from Asia-Pacific for Google’s AI Academy

  • Pakistani startups AdalFi and Adlytic AI are among companies from India, Korea, Japan, Singapore and Malaysia selected for academy
  • Google launched AI Academy in August this year to aid the growth of artificial intelligence startups in Pakistan and Asia-Pacific

ISLAMABAD: Two Pakistani start-ups have been selected among 23 companies from the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region to participate in Google’s first-ever Artificial Intelligence (AI) Academy in the region, the search engine giant said on Thursday, with the move intended to enhance the companies’ AI solutions and accelerate business development.
The AI program kicked off earlier this week in a three-day boot camp in Singapore with Pakistan start-ups AdalFi and Adlytic AI among other companies from India, Korea, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore and Malaysia taking part.
These start-ups will receive over 170 hours of mentorship from AI and Cloud experts, up to $350,000 in Google Cloud credits apart from opportunities to connect with AI innovators across the APAC region, Google said.
“Two innovative startups from Pakistan are among the 23 chosen from across the Asia-Pacific (APAC) to participate in Google’s first-ever AI Academy in the region,” Google said in a press release.
Google launched the AI Academy in August to aid the growth of artificial intelligence startups in Pakistan and the Asia-Pacific. The move was aimed at sparking new cross-border innovations and partnerships that would allow the exchange of ideas, expertise, and resources to accelerate the development of AI solutions, helping the APAC region become a “global hub” for AI development.
The statement said these startups were pushing the boundaries of AI innovation in Pakistan and contributing to the region’s vibrant AI ecosystem.
“Pakistani startup AdalFi is increasing access to financial services with its AI-powered credit scoring system, promoting financial inclusivity for millions of individuals and small businesses,” it added. “Adlytic AI is enhancing retail analytics by transforming CCTV cameras into intelligent tools for businesses, helping retailers better use visual and geospatial data to grow their business.”
Head of Google for startups, Micheal Kim, expressed excitement at Google kicking off its first-ever AI Academy in the Asia Pacific region. 
“AI has the potential to be an incredible force multiplier, and it’s incredible to see these 23 startups harnessing AI’s potential to impact some tough challenges, ranging from addressing underserved sectors, like expanding access to financial services and health care, to building AI collaborators for lawyers, democratizing influencer marketing with AI-generated avatars,” he said.
“Through this program, we hope to foster a wave of innovation that will have a ripple effect across the entire Asia-Pacific region.”
All the participating start-ups will be showcasing their “refined AI solutions” to investors, entrepreneurs and AI industry leaders in December later this year on the Ai Academy’s Graduation Day, the press release said.


Pakistan’s Punjab shuts educational institutes amid student unrest

Updated 19 min 44 sec ago
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Pakistan’s Punjab shuts educational institutes amid student unrest

  • The protests first broke out in Lahore last week after social media reports suggested a student had been raped in the basement of a women college campus
  • The police, college management and the provincial government have said that no victim has come forward and blamed online misinformation for the unrest

ISLAMABAD: Authorities in Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province have closed all educational institutes for today, Friday, amid widespread student protests over reports of a college campus rape.
The protests first broke out in the provincial capital of Lahore last week after social media reports suggested a student had been raped in the basement of a Punjab College for Women campus in the city.
The police, college and provincial government have said that no victim has come forward and blamed online misinformation for the unrest, but the protests have since spread to campuses across Lahore as well as Rawalpindi and other cities.
“All the public and private sector colleges and universities in Punjab shall remain closed on Friday, October 18,” the Punjab higher education department said in a notification on Thursday night.
Separately, the school education department ordered all public and private schools shut across the province on Friday.
On Thursday, more than 350 people were arrested in Rawalpindi, which neighbors the federal capital of Islamabad, on charges of damaging public property and engaging in arson, according to the police. Teams have been set up for more arrests.
“Special teams will also identify those inciting mischief on social media,” the police said on X.
The demonstrators, mostly male students, smashed windows and burned school buses at campuses in Lahore and have also clashed with police at many of the demonstrations, accusing authorities of a cover-up.
“They’ve bribed the government and top officials to cover up the truth, just to protect their institution’s reputation,” said a 19-year-old student protesting in Rawalpindi on Thursday.
“This is not fake news — it’s 100 percent real,” added Inshai, another 19-year-old demonstrator, who did not want to give her last name.
The protests reflect a deep concern among Pakistani students over safety, harassment and sexual assault against women at educational institutions as well as their mistrust in authorities.
Police arrested a security guard who was identified in online posts but said no victim had come forward and that they had not been able to verify the rape allegation.
“The incident does not exist,” Arif Chaudry, the Lahore director of the private Punjab Group of Colleges that runs the women’s college, said on Wednesday. “I will resign and I will leave this profession and stand with the students if the incident took place.”
Punjab Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz has said that those spreading “false posts” will be punished.
— With additional input from AFP


Ex-PM Khan’s party to hold Pakistan-wide protests against constitutional amendments today

Updated 23 min 6 sec ago
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Ex-PM Khan’s party to hold Pakistan-wide protests against constitutional amendments today

  • Khan’s party, prominent lawyers say government aims to curtail judiciary’s independence via amendments, a charge it denies
  • Khan’s PTI is also protesting against Punjab’s decision to ban meetings at Adiala prison, where he has been imprisoned since August 2023

ISLAMABAD: Former prime minister Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party has called for Pakistan-wide protests today, Friday, against the government’s proposed constitutional amendments it alleges are aimed at curtailing the independence of the judiciary, and to demand Khan’s release from prison.
The PTI and Pakistan’s legal fraternity have been up in arms over a set of proposed constitutional amendments that the Shehbaz Sharif-led government has been trying to pass since last month. The government rejects PTI’s allegations that it wants to exert more control over judicial appointments and decision-making powers through these amendments.
The proposed amendments are expected to establish a federal constitutional court, raise the retirement age of superior judges by three years and modify the process for the appointment of the chief justice of the Supreme Court of Pakistan.
The PTI says the amendments aim to extend the tenure of Chief Justice Qazi Faez Isa, widely believed to be aligned with the government and against its chief rival, Khan. The government rejects these allegations.
“I appeal to my entire nation to come out of their homes on Oct. 18 and protest peacefully under the ambit of the constitution,” PTI leader Amir Dogar said in a video message.
The PTI gears up for protests as three major parties, the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) and the Jamiat Ulama-e-Pakistan Fazl (JUI-F) announced Wednesday night that they had reached a consensus on the amendments.
To pass the constitutional amendments, the ruling coalition needs a two-thirds majority in parliament, something the PTI and lawyers have vowed to take to the streets against. 
BAN ON PRISON MEETINGS
Dogar said the party was calling for protests also as Khan was incarcerated on frivolous charges and was not being allowed to meet his lawyers and family members. 
The PTI had earlier this week called for protests at the D-Chowk venue in Pakistan’s capital Islamabad against the Punjab government’s move to ban meetings at Adiala prison in Rawalpindi, where Khan has been imprisoned since August last year. 
The provincial government said it had imposed the ban due to security reasons ahead of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit following violent Islamabad clashes earlier this month. 
The party later postponed its protest, saying it had done so for the larger national interest as world leaders arrived for the international summit. 
PTI’s last protest in Islamabad earlier this month led to clashes between its workers and law enforcement personnel, leading to dozens of arrests and injuries to a large number of cops, one of whom died after being subjected to alleged torture by the protesters.
Khan, jailed since August last year, was ousted from the PM’s office in 2022 in a parliamentary vote of no confidence after what is widely believed to be a falling out with Pakistan’s powerful military, which denies being involved in politics.
Since his removal, Khan and his party have waged an unprecedented campaign of defiance against the military.


Pakistan’s UAE envoy, exhibitors praise GITEX Dubai as ‘great show’ for tech firms

Updated 17 October 2024
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Pakistan’s UAE envoy, exhibitors praise GITEX Dubai as ‘great show’ for tech firms

  • Eighty Pakistani IT, tech firms are taking part in GITEX in Dubai, considered one of the biggest tech exhibitions worldwide
  • Pakistani exhibitors praise encouraging response received at GITEX 2024, stress importance of global networking in IT sector 

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Ambassador to the United Arab Emirates Faisal Niaz Tirmizi and several exhibitors taking part in the ongoing GITEX exhibition in Dubai praised the international tech show, saying that several lucrative agreements were signed by Pakistani IT companies during the five-day event. 
The annual Gulf Information Technology Exhibition (GITEX) is considered one of the world’s largest tech shows, connecting industry leaders with major tech and innovation startups, as well as government officials, expert investors and corporate buyers. 
This year’s five-day exhibition commenced on Oct. 14 and will end on Oct. 18. The event holds particular significance for Pakistan as it aims to showcase its growing prowess in IT as it eyes lucrative markets in the Middle East.
“It is a great show for Pakistan as many MoUs, deals and agreements were signed and many new opportunities were given to Pakistani companies,” Tirmizi told Arab News.
When asked about the deals signed by Pakistani tech companies, Tirmizi said the exact number would be known when the event concludes on Friday. 
“This is the biggest trade show,” the Pakistani envoy said, adding that 6000 companies from countries around the world were participating in the event.
“Pakistan was recognized as Tech Destination of the Year and we also had a Pakistan evening which was an official evening of GITEX 2024,” he said. 
Tirmizi said this exhibition provided the best opportunity for Pakistani companies to showcase their products, talent, manpower, and skills to the UAE, the region and even the world.
‘PAKISTAN’S SIGNIFICANT BRANDING’
Sajjad Mustafa Syed, the chairman of the Pakistan Software Houses Association (P@SHA), described GITEX as a “game-changer” for Pakistan IT startups and companies. He said a total of 80 Pakistani companies are participating in the event. 
“The slogan of Tech Destination Pakistan was well received by the audience and several Pakistani companies signed multimillion-dollar contracts at the conference,” Syed told Arab News. 
Muhammad Zohaib Khan, the founder of A2Z Creatorz, a website and mobile app development company, said such exhibitions have tremendous potential, stressing the importance of networking with buyers in the IT sector. 
“There was significant branding of Pakistan as a tech destination at Gitex Dubai and many regional and global companies took interest in Pakistani companies where many deals have been signed,” Khan, who is an ex-chairman of P@SHA, told Arab News. 
Muhammad Ali Tahir, marketing manager of TMC (TallyMarks Consulting), a system integrator company, said his organization secured a powerful partnership on Wednesday with Obrela, a renowned global provider of cybersecurity services, under its subsidiary Integrians Cybersecurity Solutions (ICS).
“As the exclusive service provider for Obrela’s services in Pakistan, ICS will offer comprehensive cybersecurity solutions, building a fortress for businesses to innovate fearlessly,” Tahir told Arab News.
“By combining our expertise in enterprise business solutions with Obrela’s unstoppable cyber defense, we will ensure resilient protection every step of the way,” he added. 
Shahid Ismail, chief executive officer of Premier Cables, one of the leading manufacturers of fiber-optic cables, said this was the 15th consecutive year his company has participated in GITEX.
“We secured supply orders from Etisalat through this platform a few years ago and have been supplying them with fiber-optic cables ever since,” he told Arab News.
“So far, we have supplied them with up to 17,000 km of fiber-optic cables, and today at GITEX, we received a new order from Etisalat.”