Pakistan, Tunisia, Egypt among developing nations in grip of debt problems

A trader holds a placard reading 'prevent unemployment from rising' during a protest at a street in Karachi on August 23, 2023, against the surge in petrol and electricity prices as Pakistan endures soaring inflation. (AFP/File)
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Updated 01 September 2023
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Pakistan, Tunisia, Egypt among developing nations in grip of debt problems

  • Pakistan needs over $22 billion to service external debt, pay other bills for FY 2024
  • Egypt has around $100 billion of hard currency debt to pay over the next five years

LONDON: The persistent and damaging debt problems gripping a number of developing world nations will be a core topic during the G20 summit in Delhi next month.
Below is a look at countries currently facing problems. 
PAKISTAN
Pakistan needs upwards of $22 billion to service external debt and pay other bills for fiscal year 2024.
A caretaker administration is in charge until an election that must take place by November. Inflation and interest rates are at historic highs, and it is struggling to rebuild from devastating 2022 floods.
In June, it reached an 11th-hour deal with the IMF for a $3 billion bailout, and Saudi Arabia and the UAE followed with $2 billion and $1 billion cash infusions.
Reserves, which had fallen to $3.5 billion, had rebounded to $7.8 billion by late August. Observers say it could have enough to make it to the elections but there are major questions about how long it will be able to avoid default without huge support.

TUNISIA
The North African nation, reeling from multiple hits since a 2011 revolution, is facing a full-blown economic crisis.
Most debt is internal but foreign loan repayments are due later this year and credit ratings agencies have said Tunisia could default.
President Kais Saied has slammed the terms required to unlock $1.9 billion from the IMF as “diktats” that he will not meet.
Saudi Arabia pledged a $400 million soft loan, and a $100 million grant, but the tourism-dependent economy continues to grapple with shortages in imported food and medicine. The European Union has offered about 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion)in support but that appears to be mostly pegged to the IMF deal or reforms.

EGYPT
Egypt remains another of the big countries seen as at risk of falling into trouble.
North Africa’s largest economy has around $100 billion of hard currency — mainly dollar-denominated — debt to pay over the next five years, including a meaty $3.3 billion bond next year and the government spends over 40 percent of its revenues just on debt interest payments.
Cairo has a $3 billion IMF program and has devalued the pound by roughly 50 percent since February 2022. But a privatization plan is still on the go-slow and last month it veered away from its IMF plan by saying it would keep subsidised electricity prices unchanged until January.
Some of its government bonds are changing hands at half their face value and analysts think a key factor in whether it can get back on track is the amount of support wealthy Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia provide going forward.

ZAMBIA
Zambia was the first African country to default during the COVID-19 pandemic and after a long-awaited burst of progress in recent months finally looks to be closing in on a repair plan.
In June, it clinched a $6.3 billion debt rework deal with the “Paris Club” creditor nations and its other big bilateral lender China. The details are still being worked on, but the government also hopes to reach a deal in the coming months with the international funds that hold its unpaid sovereign bonds. 

The progress has also been cheered as a success for the struggling G20 Common Framework initiative, which was set up during the pandemic to try to streamline debt restructurings but has been hard to make work in practice.

SRI LANKA
Sri Lanka announced a debt overhaul plan at the end of June and has continued to make progress since, albeit not everywhere.
Nearly all holders of its domestic, dollar-denominated Sri Lanka Development Bonds (SLDBs) agreed to exchange their bonds into five new Sri Lankan rupee-dominated notes that will mature between 2025 and 2033.
Another part of the domestic debt plan has faced delays, though, with a key deadline on a Treasury bond exchange delayed three times and now set for Sept. 11.
Central bank chief Nandalal Weerasinghe has said the country’s big foreign creditors such as India and China are awaiting the conclusion of the domestic debt operation before continuing discussions.
He said negotiations will be held in parallel with the first review of its $2.9 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout program due from Sept. 14-27. Failure to complete the domestic debt overhaul by then could result in delays both in terms of IMF disbursements and talks with creditors. 

GHANA
Ghana defaulted on most of its external debt at the end of last year. It is the fourth country to seek a rework under the Common Framework and is aiming to reduce its international debt payments by $10.5 billion over the next three years.
Its progress has been relatively swift compared to the likes of Zambia. The government recently agreed to tackle roughly $4 billion of its domestic debt via a pension fund debt swap operation and a dollar-denominated bonds exchange.
It has sent a restructuring plan to its “official sector” — wealthier government — creditors and its finance minister has said he also expects to reach a deal with the country’s bondholders by the end of the year.
The funds know it will require them to write off money but hope it could also include a “recovery instrument” that would mean Ghana pays back more of that money over time if its economy recovers quickly. 

EL SALVADOR
El Salvador has shifted from doom and default to bond market darling, propelled by two surprise debt buybacks and the appointment of a former IMF official as adviser to the finance ministry.
In summer 2022, its 2025 eurobond fell to just under 27 cents on the dollar, weighed down by high debt service costs and worries over its financing plans and fiscal policies.
The same bond traded at 91.50 cents on Aug. 31, and its debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 77 percent in December, the lowest since 2019, and is forecast to drop another percentage point this year, according to Refinitiv data.
Its now relatively light debt repayment schedule through 2027, and the sky-high popularity of President Nayib Bukele, has assuaged fears the country could default. 

KENYA
The East African nation’s public debt stands at nearly 70 percent of GDP, according to the World Bank, putting it at high risk of debt distress.
President William Ruto’s government has moderated spending and proposed a raft of tax hikes, assuaging some concerns of an imminent default.
The African Development Bank is in talks with Kenya over $80.6 million to help it plug its financing gaps this year, and it is also discussing budgetary support from the World Bank.
But concerns remain; Ruto’s political opposition has opposed many of his tax hikes, and protests have forced him to pause some reforms, such as fuel subsidy cuts. 

UKRAINE
Ukraine froze debt payments in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion. It has said it is likely to decide early next year whether to try to extend that agreement or begin looking at potentially more complex alternatives.
Top institutions estimate the post-war rebuild cost will be at least 1 trillion euros, and the IMF estimates Ukraine needs $3-$4 billion a month to keep the country running.
If the war with Russia is not won or at least eased to a much lower intensity by next year, its debt restructuring dilemma will also have to factor in the November 2024 US Presidential election and the degree of support it would receive should Donald Trump or another Republican candidate win office. 

LEBANON
Lebanon has been in default since 2020 with few signs its problems will be resolved any time some. 
The IMF has issued stark warnings, but one bit of progress in the last couple of months has been a proposal by the central bank to lift the long-time peg on the country’s local currency, 
($1 = 0.9222 euros)
 


Pakistan crush England in second Test to set up series decider

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Pakistan crush England in second Test to set up series decider

  • Spinner Noman Ali grabbed 8-46, Sajid Khan took 2-93 as the pair wrapped up England’s second innings for 144
  • It was Pakistan’s first home win since Feb. 2021 and came after they were thumped by an innings in the first Test

MULTAN: Spinner Noman Ali took eight wickets as Pakistan crushed England by 152 runs in the second Test to level the series 1-1 on Friday in Multan.
Noman grabbed 8-46 and Sajid Khan took 2-93 as the pair wrapped up England’s second innings for 144 after the visitors were set a daunting target of 297.
It was Pakistan’s first home win since February 2021 and came after they were thumped by an innings in the first Test, also in Multan.
The third and final Test starts in Rawalpindi from October 24.
Noman finished with a match haul of 11-147 while Sajid had figures of 9-204, only the second time in Pakistan’s history that two bowlers took all 20 wickets in a Test.
Pakistan’s last Test win at home came against South Africa in Rawalpindi more than three years ago. It was followed by 11 home Tests without a win.
This also becomes Shan Masood’s first win as skipper after getting the job last year, including 3-0 and 2-0 whitewashes at the hands of Australia and Bangladesh.
Pakistan’s ploy of dropping ace batsman Babar Azam in one of four changes after the first Test defeat and playing on a reused pitch with three spinners paid off handsomely.
Resuming at 36-2 and facing a tough task on a pitch offering sharp spin, England managed to add just 108 runs before folding.
In just the second over of the day Sajid removed Ollie Pope with a sharp turning delivery and caught the miscued drive off his own bowling. Pope made 22.
Noman then trapped Joe Root leg-before for 18 and Harry Brook for 16 to leave England facing defeat at 78-5.
Brook smashed an epic 317 and Root a brilliant 262 — eclipsing Alastair Cook’s England Test run record — in the first Test, and their dismissals signalled England’s doom was approaching.
Noman’s fourth wicket came in the form of Jamie Smith whose uppish slog sweep was held by Masood at mid-on. Smith scored six.
Skipper Ben Stokes and Brydon Carse fought hard to take the total to 125 when Stokes was stumped in a comical manner, jumping out of the crease to loft Noman but missing the ball as his bat flew out of his hands.
Noman wrapped up the match with the wickets of Carse (27), Jack Leach (one) and Shoaib Bashir (nought), improving his previous best of 7-70 against Sri Lanka in Colombo last year.


Third batch of 26 Palestinian students arrives in Pakistan to resume medical studies

Updated 43 min 23 sec ago
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Third batch of 26 Palestinian students arrives in Pakistan to resume medical studies

  • Islamabad announced in July that the Pakistan Medical and Dental Council (PMDC) will provide scholarships to more than 100 Palestinian students
  • These Palestinian students will return after completing their medical education in Pakistan to serve people at home, a Pakistani health official says

ISLAMABAD: A third batch of 26 Palestinian students has arrived in the Pakistani capital of Islamabad to continue their studies in the fields of medicine and dentistry, the Pakistani health ministry said on Friday.
Pakistan’s foreign ministry announced in July that the Pakistan Medical and Dental Council (PMDC) will provide scholarships to over 100 Palestinian students so that they can continue their studies in Pakistan.
The initiative, which came amid Israel’s war on Palestine, is a collaboration between Doctors of Rehman, Global Relief Trust and a leading Pakistani non-governmental organization, Al-Khidmat Foundation.
Pakistan prime minister’s coordinator on health, Dr. Mukhtar Ahmed Bharath, warmly welcomed the Palestinian students upon arrival at the Islamabad airport, according to the Pakistani health ministry.
“Prime Minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif had offered Palestinian medical students to continue their studies in Pakistan in view of the current situation in Gaza,” Dr. Bharath was quoted as saying by the ministry.
“[They] will continue their medical and dental education in various medical institutions of Pakistan.”
More than 42,000 Palestinians have so far been killed in Israel’s war on Gaza, according to the Palestinian health authorities. The war began after Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, killing nearly 1,200 and capturing around 200 others.
“All necessary steps will be taken to provide medical facilities to Palestinian students,” Dr. Bharath said. “[Pakistan] stands with the Palestinian students in this difficult time.”
These Palestinian students would return after completing their medical education in Pakistan to serve people at home, he added.
More than 90 Palestinian students arrived in Pakistan earlier this week via two separate flights to continue their medical studies in the country.
Pakistan does not recognize nor have diplomatic relations with Israel and calls for an independent Palestinian state based on “internationally agreed parameters” and the pre-1967 borders with Al-Quds Al-Sharif as its capital.
Since the beginning of Israel’s war on Gaza, Pakistan has repeatedly raised the issue at the United Nations, the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) and other multilateral platforms and demanded international powers and bodies stop Israeli military actions in Gaza.
The South Asian country has also dispatched several aid consignments for the Palestinians.


India foreign minister’s Pakistan visit a ‘good beginning’, Nawaz Sharif says

Updated 18 October 2024
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India foreign minister’s Pakistan visit a ‘good beginning’, Nawaz Sharif says

  • Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar was in Pakistan for a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
  • Jaishankar and his counterpart Ishaq Dar had an ‘informal interaction,’ an official in Pakistani foreign ministry said on Thursday

MUMBAI: The visit of India’s foreign minister to Pakistan earlier this week was a “good beginning” that could lead to a thaw in relations between the two rivals, former Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was quoted as saying by Indian media on Friday.
Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar was in Pakistan on Tuesday and Wednesday for a meeting of governments of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, with the capital city under tight lockdown.
“This is how talks move forward. Talks should not stop,” Sharif, the president of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League — Nawaz (PML-N), and the brother of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, told a group of visiting Indian journalists, the Indian Express newspaper reported.
Jaishankar was among nearly a dozen leaders participating in the gathering in Islamabad, nearly a decade since an Indian foreign minister has visited amid frosty relations between the two nuclear powers.
Jaishankar and his counterpart Ishaq Dar had an “informal interaction,” an official in Pakistani foreign ministry said on Thursday, but New Delhi denied that any sort of meeting had taken place.
“We had made it very clear that this particular visit is for SCO head of government meeting. Other than that, there were some pleasantries exchanged on the sidelines of the meeting,” Indian foreign ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said on Thursday.
“We have lost the last 75 years and it is important we don’t lose the next 75 years,” Sharif was quoted as saying in the Times of India newspaper.


Pakistan’s first multi-mission communication satellite becomes operational

Updated 18 October 2024
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Pakistan’s first multi-mission communication satellite becomes operational

  • PAKSAT MM1 to aid in South Asian nation’s space and digital development
  • The satellite will usher in digital era by providing Internet to remote areas

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s first multi-mission communication satellite, PAKSAT MM1, is now fully operational, state media reported on Thursday, describing the move as a significant milestone in the country’s space and digital development.
In May, Pakistan launched the PAKSAT MM1 with Chinese assistance into space from China’s Xichang Satellite Launch Center, in a ceremony broadcast live by the Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO), the country’s national space agency.
The satellite has been conceived keeping in view the growing needs of the South Asian country in the broad spectrum of communication and connectivity.
“The success of PAKSAT-MM1 will transform Pakistan’s communication infrastructure, which will benefit various IT sectors,” the Radio Pakistan broadcaster reported.
“The satellite will provide services such as television broadcasting, community Internet, and tele-education to promote local industries.”
Pakistan’s ranking has improved by 14 points in the United Nations E-Governance Development Index — a comprehensive assessment tool that evaluates the digital government landscape across all UN member states — according to the state broadcaster.
The country now stands at 136 in overall ranking which was at 150 in 2022.
“This satellite will also increase Internet connectivity in remote areas which will further the government’s vision of Digital Pakistan,” the report read.


UNESCO adopts Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation globally

Updated 18 October 2024
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UNESCO adopts Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation globally

  • The development comes amid student protests in Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province over reports of a rape on a women’s college campus
  • Authorities say no victim has come forward and blame online misinformation for unrest, but the protests have since spread to other cities in Punjab

ISLAMABAD: The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) has adopted a Pakistan-led resolution on countering disinformation, the Pakistani embassy in France said on Thursday.
The resolution titled, “Countering Disinformation for the Promotion and Protection of Freedom of Expression and Access to Information,” was co-sponsored by more than 50 member states and was unanimously adopted at the 220th session of the UNESCO executive board in Paris.
Pakistan took this initiative against the backdrop of proliferation and intensification of disinformation, misinformation and hate speech around the world, according to the Pakistani embassy in France.
“Disinformation is one of the most pressing challenges of our time, which is exacerbated by the rapid evolution of digital platforms and communication technologies,” it said in a statement.
“This resolution is the first of its kind at UNESCO specifically focusing on countering disinformation, misinformation and hate speech through the platform of UNESCO building on UNESCO’s activities and related decisions adopted by the UN General Assembly and the Human Rights Council where Pakistan has also been in the lead.”
Pakistan’s ambassador and permanent delegate, Asim Iftikhar Ahmad, thanked all member states for their invaluable inputs and support leading to consensus adoption of the text that put UNESCO at the center of a multi-dimensional and multi-stakeholder approach to counter disinformation, misinformation and hate speech for effective promotion and protection of freedom of expression and access to information as the lead UN agency mandated in the field.
Speaking on the occasion, delegates said the increasing threat posed by disinformation was a shared concern that needed to be addressed through close coordination and collective efforts of member states and all stakeholders, according to the embassy.
An outcome of broad-based and extensive consultations, the resolution called on the UNESCO director-general to provide an update on the initiatives undertaken by UN agency to counter disinformation on digital platforms and to present a report on how to make UNESCO’s role more effective in countering disinformation, misinformation and hate speech.
The executive board is one of the constitutional governing organs of UNESCO entrusted with the responsibility of preparing the agenda of the general conference and examining the program of work of UNESCO and its budget. Pakistan is currently vice president from the Asia-Pacific at the board.
The development comes amid widespread student protests in Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province over reports of a rape on a women’s college campus in Lahore last week.
The police, college and provincial government have said that no victim has come forward and blamed online misinformation for the unrest, but the protests have since spread to other cities in the province.