Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus with China soars by 257% in September

Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, and China, the largest energy consumer, have broadened their relationship beyond oil-focused ties. File
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Updated 27 November 2023
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Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus with China soars by 257% in September

  • Mineral products played a significant role, constituting an 80 percent share of total exports from the Kingdom

RIYADH: China maintained its position as Saudi Arabia’s primary trading partner in September, dominating both exports and imports, according to the latest data released by the General Authority of Statistics.

The trade surplus with China soared to SR6.67 billion ($1.78 billion), reflecting a 257 percent surge compared to August.

During this period, Saudi Arabia recorded an increase in exports to China at a growth rate of 34 percent reaching a total of SR18.99 billion. Exports comprised mainly oil, to which this increase is attributed, and non-oil products included chemical components, plastic, and rubber.

China’s share of Saudi Arabia’s exports also saw a rise from 14 percent in August to 18 percent in September.

Recently, the People’s Bank of China and the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, signed a local currency swap agreement valued at 50 billion yuan ($6.93 billion). This development, announced on Nov. 20, reflected the growing momentum in bilateral relations between the two countries.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, and China, the largest energy consumer, have broadened their relationship beyond oil-focused ties. This diversification includes collaboration in security and technology.

The recently signed three-year local currency swap agreement is a key initiative to enhance financial cooperation, increase the use of local currencies, and boost trade and investment between Riyadh and Beijing, according to a statement by China’s central bank.

Earlier in March, the state oil giant Saudi Aramco revealed two significant deals aimed at increasing its multibillion-dollar investment in China, solidifying its position as the country’s primary crude provider. These deals marked the most significant announcements since Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Saudi Arabia in December, during which he advocated for oil trade in yuan, a step that could diminish the dominance of the US dollar.

The UAE stood as the primary non-oil export destination for Saudi Arabia, with 83 percent of the country’s imports from the Kingdom being non-oil. Saudi Arabia’s main exports to the UAE included mechanical, electrical, and transport components, making up 56 percent of the total.

The Kingdom achieved a trade balance of SR43.74 billion in September, marking a 27 percent increase from the previous month and reaching the highest value in nearly five months.

While merchandise exports remained relatively stable compared to August, the rise in the trade balance during September can be attributed to a 14 percent decrease in merchandise imports that hit a five-month low at SR60.09 billion.

Non-oil exports saw a 14 percent decrease from the preceding month, totaling SR16.39 billion. Nevertheless, this decline was almost balanced by a 7 percent rise in oil shipments, comprising 80.1 percent of overall exports and reaching SR83.12 billion in September.

Mineral products played a significant role, constituting an 80 percent share of total exports from Saudi Arabia, up from 75 percent the previous month. The total value of mineral products exported increased by 6.4 percent, reaching SR83.25 billion.

Japan, South Korea, and India trail China as the primary destinations for the Kingdom’s exports.

Exports to Japan marked a 37 percent monthly increase, totaling SR11.37 billion during the same period, elevating its percentage share to 11 percent, up from 8 percent in August.

South Korea and India also experienced boosts in the percentage share of Saudi exports, amounting to SR10.25 billion and SR9.7 billion, respectively.

The UAE and the US secured the fifth and sixth positions in terms of export destinations. While exports to the UAE remained nearly unchanged at SR5.25 billion, exports to the US declined by 43 percent, totaling SR3.56 billion.

China, India, and Turkey trailed the UAE as the leading non-oil export destinations in September. Chemical products, plastic, and rubber comprised 21 percent of non-oil exports to the UAE, 91 percent to China, 89 percent to Turkey, 82 percent to India, 77 percent to Egypt, and 74 percent to the US.

Regarding Saudi Arabia’s imports, mechanical and electronic devices, along with transport vehicles, constituted 40 percent of total imports in September, amounting to SR23.8 billion.

However, this figure declined from SR28.69 billion in August. This, coupled with a 29 percent decrease in vegetable product imports, contributed to over 62 percent of the monthly decline in imports between August and September.

Imports from China amounted to SR12.33 billion in September, constituting 21 percent of Saudi Arabia’s total imports, and they mainly constituted industrial machinery and transport equipment.

The US and the UAE follow China as the top countries for Saudi imports. Imports from the US totaled SR5.23 billion, accounting for 9 percent of the total, while those from the UAE and India amounted to SR4 billion and SR3.5 billion, respectively.

Saudi Arabia primarily imports mechanical, electrical, and transport equipment from China, the US, India, Germany, and Japan. Imports of base metals and textiles also predominantly come from China and India. Additionally, the majority of the Kingdom’s imports of pearls and jewelry are sourced from the UAE and Switzerland, and mineral products from Egypt.

Of the items imported to Saudi Arabia, 46 percent are designated for intermediate consumption, 34 percent for final consumption, and 21 percent are allocated as fixed assets.

The ratio of non-oil exports to imports in Saudi Arabia stood at 34.5 percent in September, compared to 37.5 percent in August.

In September 2023, a non-oil trade surplus existed with the UAE and Kuwait, while there was a trade deficit with Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar.

The trade deficit between Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Cooperation Council countries contracted to SR388.5 million in September 2023, a significant decrease from SR1.96 billion in the same month last year. This reduction is attributed to the non-oil trade surplus with the UAE, which increased by 140 percent during this period.

Concerning future trade prospects, the Britain, Russia, India, China, and South Africa bloc of countries, known as BRICS, invited Saudi Arabia and other nations to join as full members starting January 2024 during its 15th summit in South Africa.

BRICS emphasizes its economic strength for global recovery and addressing supply chain disruptions, aiming to counter Western influence and the dominance of the US dollar. Saudi Arabia is considering the invitation, with Foreign Affairs Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan expressing appreciation and stating a thorough evaluation before potential membership by Jan. 1.


Saudi economy expands 1.3% in 2024 amid non-oil growth

Updated 09 March 2025
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Saudi economy expands 1.3% in 2024 amid non-oil growth

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s economy grew 1.3 percent in 2024, supported by an expansion in non-oil activities despite a decline in the oil sector, according to data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Growth accelerated in the fourth quarter of 2024, with gross domestic product expanding 4.5 percent year on year — the highest quarterly increase in two years — supported by a 4.7 percent rise in non-oil activities and a 3.4 percent uptick in oil activities. 

However, oil sector’s output declined 1.5 percent compared to the third quarter.

These figures align with GASTAT’s January real GDP projections, which estimated 4.4 percent annual growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. Flash estimates at the time indicated that the Kingdom’s non-oil activities grew 4.6 percent year on year in the three months leading up to December, reflecting ongoing economic diversification efforts.

The wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels sector led annual growth among economic activities, rising 6.4 percent, followed by financial services, insurance, and business services at 5.7 percent. 

Electricity, gas, and water activities increased 4.9 percent, while transport, storage, and communication, along with other mining and quarrying activities, grew 4.5 percent. Crude oil and natural gas activities declined 6.4 percent.

At current prices, Saudi Arabia’s GDP reached SR4.07 trillion ($1.09 trillion) in 2024, with crude oil and natural gas contributing 22.3 percent, government activities 16.2 percent, and wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels accounting for 10.3 percent. 

Manufacturing, excluding petroleum refining, made up 9.1 percent, while real estate activities comprised 6.5 percent.

In the fourth quarter, petroleum refining saw the highest growth among economic activities, surging 15.3 percent year on year, despite a 2.2 percent quarter-over-quarter decline. Electricity, gas, and water activities grew 7.4 percent annually and 2.7 percent quarterly, while other mining and quarrying activities expanded 7 percent year on year and 3.4 percent quarter on quarter.

By expenditure components, private final consumption rose 3.9 percent annually and 0.3 percent quarterly. However, gross fixed capital formation declined 2.2 percent year on year and 4.6 percent quarter over quarter, while government final consumption expenditure dropped 6.6 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively. 

Exports increased 5.2 percent annually and 6.9 percent quarterly, while imports rose 11.5 percent and 7.8 percent.

At current prices, Saudi Arabia’s GDP for the fourth quarter stood at SR1.025 trillion, with crude oil and natural gas activities contributing 19.7 percent, government activities 16.7 percent, and wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels 10.6 percent. 

Manufacturing, excluding petroleum refining, accounted for 9.2 percent.

Saudi Arabia’s economic performance underscores its ongoing diversification push, with non-oil sectors playing a key role in mitigating the impact of oil sector volatility.


Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul dominates Arab exchanges with 62% market share in 2024

Updated 09 March 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul dominates Arab exchanges with 62% market share in 2024

  • Arab stock exchanges saw strong growth in 2024, with total trading values rising by 58.1% to surpass $1.03 trillion

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul reinforced its position as the Arab world’s leading stock exchange, accounting for 62 percent of the total market capitalization of regional platforms in 2024.

A recent report by the Arab Federation of Capital Markets said Tadawul’s market capitalization overshadowed other regional exchanges, with the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange following at a distant 18.6 percent.

The Dubai Financial Market, with a share of 5.6 percent, the Qatar Stock Exchange at 3.9 percent, and Boursa Kuwait, holding 3.2 percent, rounded out the top five.

This dominance comes amid strong performance in the Saudi market, leading the region with the highest turnover ratio of 247.1 percent.

The trading value at Tadawul reached $496.6 billion, significantly outpacing other markets.

The Arab Federation of Capital Markets achieved an 84.4 percent increase in total revenues, from $689,503 in 2023 to $1.2 million in 2024. 
The FTSE-AFCM Low Carbon Select Index rose 4.9 percent in 2024, indicating increased investor interest in low-carbon companies.

Iraq Stock Exchange’s ISX60 index experienced a 20.2 percent surge in 2024 to 1,074 points, while Muscat Stock Exchange’s MSX30 index saw a 1.4 percent increase to 4,577 points. 

Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange’s FADGI index witnessed a 1.7 percent decline to 9,419 points, and QSE’s QE index dipped by 2.4 percent in 2024 to 10,571 points.

Arab stock exchanges saw strong growth in 2024, with total trading values rising by 58.1 percent to surpass $1.03 trillion. The Egyptian Exchange led the way with a substantial 210.3 percent increase in trading value, reaching $324.4 billion. 

Other exchanges also saw positive results, such as the Casablanca Stock Exchange, which grew by 55.2 percent, and the Damascus Stock Exchange, which saw a 163.3 percent increase. 

Some platforms, including the Palestine Exchange, which saw a 56.4 percent decline in trading value, faced challenges. 

Overall, trading volumes across the region grew by 21.3 percent, and the number of trades increased by 35.9 percent, reflecting a dynamic financial landscape with varying performances across different markets.

The S&P Pan Arab Composite Index rose by 1.9 percent year-on-year in December, while the Amman Stock Exchange index posted a modest 2.4 percent growth. The Casablanca market saw its MASI index jump by 22.2 percent, demonstrating strong performance in the Moroccan market. 

The Damascus Stock Exchange index registered the largest increase at 65.7 percent, and the Saudi Exchange index saw the smallest growth at 0.6 percent during this period.


Closing Bell: Tadawul rises on positive trading day, Nomu follows suit

Updated 09 March 2025
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Closing Bell: Tadawul rises on positive trading day, Nomu follows suit

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 25.41 points, or 0.22 percent, to close at 11,836.52.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR3.95 billion ($1.05 billion), with 46 stocks advancing and 182 retreating.

The Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, also gained 35.09 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 31,331.82, as 18 stocks advanced while 40 retreated.

The MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 4.40 points, or 0.30 percent, to close at 1,494.48.

The best-performing stock of the day was Dar Alarkan Real Estate Development Co., whose share price rose 7.48 percent to SR18.40.

Other top performers included Dallah Healthcare Co., whose share price rose 6.83 percent to SR131.40, and Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co., whose share price surged 4.78 percent to SR171.

Kingdom Holding Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 9.94 percent to SR7.70.

Arabian Shield Cooperative Insurance Co. also saw its stock prices fall 7.48 percent to SR17.82.

Batic Investments and Logistics Co. saw its stock prices decline by 7 percent to SR2.79.

On the announcements front, the Saudi Exchange announced the listing and trading of shares of Derayah Financial Co. on the main market starting March 10, with +/- 30 percent daily price fluctuation limits and +/- 10 percent static price fluctuation limits.

According to a Tadawul statement, these fluctuation limits will apply during the first three days of listing, and from the fourth trading day onwards, the daily price fluctuation limits will revert to +/- 10 percent, while the static price fluctuation limits will no longer apply.

The statement further revealed that Derayah Financial Co. will have the symbol 4084 and ISIN Code SA1690F1VQ15.

Lazurde Company for Jewelry announced its annual financial results for the year ended Dec. 31. A bourse filing revealed that the firm reported a net profit of SR11.7 million in 2024, reflecting a 62.01 percent drop compared to 2023.

This decrease in net profit is primarily attributed to one-off expenses totaling SR10.2 million related to the cost of changing the company’s distributor in the Gulf Cooperation Council and a provision for a legal dispute. In 2023, there was a one-off gain of SR10.1 million from the sales of an administrative office in the UAE.

The company ended the session at SR13.08, down 3.63 percent.

Fourth Milling Co. also announced its annual financial results for the year ended Dec. 31. According to a Tadawul statement, the company reported a net profit of SR170 million in 2024, reflecting a 19.68 percent surge compared to 2023. This jump is linked to a 12.7 percent rise in revenue and enhanced operational and production efficiency, which improved profit margins.

Fourth Milling Co. ended the session at SR4.05, up 0.25 percent.


Qatar’s international reserves climb 3.81% to $70.29bn in February

Updated 09 March 2025
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Qatar’s international reserves climb 3.81% to $70.29bn in February

RIYADH: Qatar’s international reserves and foreign currency liquidity rose 3.81 percent in February, reaching 255.916 billion Qatari riyals ($70.29 billion), up from 246.509 billion riyals in the same month last year.  

According to the latest data from the Qatar Central Bank, official reserves increased by 9.218 billion riyals, totaling 196.817 billion riyals at the end of February, despite a 13.175 billion riyal decline in foreign bonds and Treasury bills holdings, which stood at 125.790 billion riyals, Qatar News Agency reported.  

Official reserves comprise several components, including foreign bonds and treasury bills, cash balances with foreign banks, gold holdings, Special Drawing Rights, and Qatar’s quota at the International Monetary Fund. 

In addition, the central bank’s total international reserves include other liquid assets in foreign currency deposits. 

The figures reflect continued growth in Qatar’s international reserves, highlighting the country’s financial stability despite fluctuations in global markets. 

Gold reserves saw a significant uptick, rising by 13.85 billion riyals to 38.263 billion riyals. Cash balances with foreign banks increased by 8.63 billion riyals, reaching 27.67 billion riyals. Conversely, SDR deposits at the International Monetary Fund decreased by 98 million riyals, totaling 5.09 billion riyals.    

Qatar recorded a budget surplus of 900 million riyals in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from 100 million riyals in the previous quarter. 

In January, the Ministry of Finance stated on its X account that the surplus would be used to reduce public debt. It added that total expenditures for the quarter stood at 47.8 billion riyals, a 12 percent year-on-year decline, while revenues totaled 48.7 billion riyals, reflecting a 12.5 percent drop.  

The health, municipal and environment, general secretariat, and energy sectors ranked as the top-performing areas during the quarter, according to the Sector Performance Index. 

Qatar’s fiscal performance aligns with other Gulf Cooperation Council nations, such as Oman, which recorded a 6.2 percent budget surplus in 2024.  

This reflects the IMF’s December review, which highlighted the region’s resilience amid oil production cuts, supported by diversification efforts and economic reforms.  

Qatar’s real gross domestic product is expected to grow by 2 percent in 2024-25, driven by public investment, liquefied natural gas spillovers, and a robust tourism sector, according to the IMF.

It projected the Gulf nation’s medium-term growth to average 4.75 percent, fueled by a significant expansion in LNG production and the early impact of reforms under the Third National Development Strategy.


Fitch affirms Kuwait’s rating at AA-, outlook stable

Updated 09 March 2025
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Fitch affirms Kuwait’s rating at AA-, outlook stable

  • Assets projected to rise to 601% of GDP this year from an estimated 582% in 2024
  • Government planning to introduce long-delayed excise tax in fiscal year ending March 2026

RIYADH: Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Kuwait’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA-, with a stable outlook due to the country’s strong fiscal position and external financial consistency. 

The US-based agency said Kuwait’s external balance sheet remains the strongest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns, with the nation’s net foreign assets projected to rise to 601 percent of the gross domestic product this year from an estimated 582 percent in 2024. 

According to Fitch, an AA- ranking indicates expectations of very low credit risk and a strong capacity for payment of financial commitments. 

Kuwait’s strong rating aligns with the broader trend in the Middle East region, where countries steadily diversify their economies by reducing their dependence on crude revenues. 

In February, Fitch Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabia’s IDR at A+ with a stable outlook, while the UAE was rated AA-. 

The Kingdom’s A+ ranking indicates Saudi Arabia’s strong capacity to pay financial commitments while signifying low default risk. 

“The recently-appointed government has initiated reforms aimed at reducing reliance on oil revenue, improving government efficiency, and rationalizing spending, capping it at 24.5 billion dinars ($79.53 billion), accounting for about 51 percent of GDP,” said Fitch Ratings. 

The report further said that the Kuwaiti government’s introduction of a 15 percent domestic minimum top-up tax on multinational companies came into effect on Jan. 1. It is expected to generate about 0.5 percent of GDP, amounting to 250 million dinars annually, with collections expected to commence by 2027. 

The government is also planning to introduce the long-delayed excise tax in the fiscal year ending March 2026. 

“Fitch views the pick-up in reform efforts as positive. However, a significant overhaul of generous public wages and welfare spending (79 percent of total expenditure; 40 percent of GDP) is unlikely in the short term, given the state’s deep-rooted generosity toward Kuwaiti citizens and still favorable oil prices,” the analysis added. 

The Kuwaiti government is also planning to pass a liquidity/debt law, which will enable the country to raise new debt. 

The agency said even without a liquidity law, the government would still be able to meet its financing obligations in the coming years, given the substantial assets at its disposal.

Kuwait’s overall revenue is expected to decline in the financial year 2025 due to oil revenue loss from lower crude prices as OPEC+ continues production cuts to maintain market stability, according to Fitch.

The country’s non-oil revenues are expected to grow modestly in the financial year but fall short of the government’s target of 2.9 billion dinars. 

The study further said that the Kuwait government’s debt to GDP rose to 6 percent in FY25 and 9.2 percent in FY26, despite a $4.5 billion Eurobond maturing in March 2027. 

The report also outlined some constraints that affected Kuwait’s rating, including the country’s weaker governance than peers, heavy dependence on oil, and its generous welfare system and large public sector, which could result in long-term fiscal pressure. 

“Prospects remain unclear for meaningful fiscal adjustment to address long-term challenges and legislation to allow debt issuance and improve fiscal financing flexibility, although there are emerging signs of progress,” said Fitch.