After Israel breaches Hezbollah stronghold, will Beirut finally be dragged into Gaza war?

Drone strike on Tuesday night killed Hamas official in Beirut. (AFP)
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Updated 03 January 2024
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After Israel breaches Hezbollah stronghold, will Beirut finally be dragged into Gaza war?

  • Hezbollah unlikely to risk full-scale war with major retaliation, say some analysts
  • Tel Aviv says attack did not target Lebanon or Hezbollah, giving Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah ‘a way out of this predicament’

BEIRUT: Soon after top Hamas official Saleh Al-Arouri was killed in a suspected Israeli strike in Beirut’s Hezbollah-held Dahieh on Tuesday evening, people in salons and on social media forums took to asking the same question: what next?

The region’s residents — already experiencing extreme levels of anxiety since the Oct. 7 attacks and subsequent intense Israeli bombardment of Gaza — held their collective breath when footage of a burning building in Beirut’s southern suburbs made the rounds online.

Hezbollah, Iran’s strongest proxy, has been trading fire with the Israeli army on Lebanon’s southern border within largely contained areas of engagement. However, Tuesday night’s attack in the capital is the farthest north Israel has struck, and the first time it has done so since the 2006 war.

“I think that many people are betting that there will be some sort of retaliation by Hezbollah and by Iran. I don’t think that this is possible, especially that the targeting of Al-Arouri and the way that Israel has sent direct messages through the adviser of (Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu that this is a targeting of Hamas, and not Lebanon and not Hezbollah, will actually give (Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan) Nasrallah a way out of this predicament,” Makram Rabah, a political analyst and assistant professor of history at the American University of Beirut, told Arab News.

Hezbollah released a statement after the strike, stating that it was a “serious assault on Lebanon” and a “dangerous development in (the) course of (the) war between (the) enemy and (the) axis of resistance.” Similarly, Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh called it a terrorist act and a violation of Lebanon’s sovereignty.

At least six people have been killed in the targeted strike, all of whom are reportedly part of or involved with Hamas. And while Israel’s military refused to comment, Mark Regev, an adviser to Netanyahu, said: “Whoever did it, it must be clear: this was not an attack on the Lebanese state. Whoever did this carried out a surgical strike against the Hamas leadership.”

Rabah also noted that over the last 10 days, there have been over 15 targeted strikes against key personnel and officials of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC, in Syria, with one resulting in the killing of senior commander Reda Mousavi, without any significant form of retaliation.

However, the Middle East Institute’s Director of Outreach Firas Maksad sees cause for concern because it places Hezbollah in a difficult position.

“By ignoring Hassan Nasrallah’s explicit warnings that an assassination on Lebanese soil will force a harsh response, Israel is forcing Hezbollah into a dilemma,” Maksad told Arab News

“Either it responds in kind and risks a major war with Israel that it does not want, or it capitulates, thereby allowing Israel to redraw the rules of engagement and possibly open the door to further assassinations due to (the lack) of deterrence.”

“After today’s (Tuesday’s) attack, it has become very difficult for Hezbollah to muddle along with its preference for grey-zone warfare — no full-scale war, but no calm on Israel’s border either. It now has to make a pivotal choice between retaliation and capitulation.”

The Oct. 7 attacks left 1,200 Israeli civilians dead and subsequently saw 20,000 Palestinian civilians, mostly women and children, killed in intense aerial bombings in Gaza, which have been condemned globally.

And while the conflict is said to be a long one, with no path to peace in sight just yet, the killing of Al-Arouri in Lebanon’s capital will be seen by many as a significant escalation that should not be taken lightly. Others, however, continue to see it as symbolic blows between the warring sides in the grander political scheme of things.

“Lebanon is not part of this war and Hezbollah, as I underscored previously, will not do anything,” Rabah, the history professor, added.

“Most probably the graphic designers of Hezbollah are adding Al-Arouri’s face and name to the background where Nasrallah will be delivering the speech and he will be joining the list of so-called martyrs on the road to Jerusalem.”


Israel hospital says woman killed in stabbing attack in coastal city

Updated 3 sec ago
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Israel hospital says woman killed in stabbing attack in coastal city

  • Israel’s police said the suspected attacker had been arrested
HERZLIYA, Israel: An Israeli hospital reported that a woman in her eighties was killed after being stabbed in the coastal city of Herzliya on Friday, while police stated that the suspected attacker had been arrested.
“She was brought to the hospital with multiple stab wounds while undergoing resuscitation efforts, but the hospital staff was forced to pronounce her death upon arrival,” Tel Aviv Ichilov hospital said in a statement. Israel’s police said the suspected attacker had been arrested.

Yemen Houthis claim missile attack on Tel Aviv airport: statement

Updated 4 min 10 sec ago
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Yemen Houthis claim missile attack on Tel Aviv airport: statement

  • Houthis also launched drones at Tel Aviv and a ship in the Arabian Sea

SANAA: Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis on Friday claimed a strike against the airport in Israel’s commercial hub of Tel Aviv on Friday, after Israeli air strikes hit rebel-held Sanaa’s international airport and other targets in Yemen.
The Israeli strikes on Thursday landed as the head of the UN’s World Health Organization said he and his team were preparing to fly out from Yemen’s Houthi rebel-held capital.
Hours later on Friday, the Houthis said they fired a missile at Ben Gurion airport and launched drones at Tel Aviv as well as a ship in the Arabian Sea.
No other details were immediately available.
Yemen’s civil aviation authority said the airport planned to reopen on Friday after the strikes that it said occurred while the UN aircraft “was getting ready for its scheduled flight.”
The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a request for comment on whether they knew at the time that WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus was there. Israel’s attack came a day after the Iran-backed Houthi rebels claimed the firing of a missile and two drones at Israel.
Yemen’s Houthis have stepped up their attacks against Israel since late November when a ceasefire took effect between Israel and another Iran-backed group, Lebanon’s Hezbollah.
The Houthis Al-Masirah TV said the Israeli strikes killed six people, after earlier Houthi statements said two people died at the rebel-held capital’s airport, and another at Ras Issa port.
The strikes targeting the airport, military facilities and power stations in rebel areas marked the second time since December 19 that Israel has hit targets in Yemen after rebel missile fire toward Israel.
In his latest warning to the rebels, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would “continue until the job is done.”
“We are determined to cut this branch of terrorism from the Iranian axis of evil,” he said in a video statement.


UN chief condemns ‘escalation’ between Yemen’s Houthis and Israel

Updated 27 December 2024
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UN chief condemns ‘escalation’ between Yemen’s Houthis and Israel

  • UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres calls Israeli strikes on Sanaa airport ‘especially alarming’

NEW YORK: The UN chief on Thursday denounced the “escalation” in hostilities between Yemen’s Houthi militias and Israel, terming strikes on the Sanaa airport “especially alarming.”

“The Secretary-General condemns the escalation between Yemen and Israel. Israeli airstrikes today on Sana’a International Airport, the Red Sea ports and power stations in Yemen are especially alarming,” said a spokesperson for UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in a statement.

Israeli air strikes pummeled Sanaa’s international airport and other targets in Yemen on Thursday, with Houthi militia media reporting six deaths.

The attack came a day after the Houthis fired a missile and two drones at Israel.

World Health Organization chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said on social media he was at the airport during the strike, with the UN saying that a member of its air crew was injured.

The United Nations put the death toll from the airport strikes at three, with “dozens more injured.”

UN chief Guterres expressed particular alarm at the threat that bombing transportation infrastructure posed to humanitarian aid operations in Yemen, where 80 percent of the population is dependent on aid.

“The Secretary-General remains deeply concerned about the risk of further escalation in the region and reiterates his call for all parties concerned to cease all military actions and exercise utmost restraint,” he said.

“He also warns that airstrikes on Red Sea ports and Sana’a airport pose grave risks to humanitarian operations at a time when millions of people are in need of life-saving assistance.”

The UN chief condemned the Houthi militias for “a year of escalatory actions... in the Red Sea and the region that threaten civilians, regional stability and freedom of maritime navigation.”

The Houthis are part of Iran’s “axis of resistance” alliance against Israel.


Bodies of about 100 Kurdish women, children found in Iraq mass grave

Updated 27 December 2024
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Bodies of about 100 Kurdish women, children found in Iraq mass grave

TAL AL-SHAIKHIA, Iraq: Iraqi authorities are working to exhume the remains of around 100 Kurdish women and children thought to have been killed in the 1980s under former Iraqi ruler Saddam Hussein, three officials said.
The grave was discovered in Tal Al-Shaikhia in the Muthanna province in southern Iraq, about 15-20 kilometers (10-12 miles) from the main road there, an AFP journalist said.
Specialized teams began exhuming the grave earlier this month after it was initially discovered in 2019, said Diaa Karim, the head of the Iraqi authority for mass graves, adding that it is the second such grave to be uncovered at the site.
“After removing the first layer of soil and the remains appearing clearly, it was discovered that they all belonged to women and children dressed in Kurdish springtime clothes,” Karim told AFP on Wednesday.
He added that they likely came from Kalar in the northern Sulaimaniyah province, part of what is now Iraq’s autonomous Kurdistan region, estimating that there were “no less than 100” people buried in the grave.
Efforts to exhume all the bodies are ongoing, he said, adding that the numbers could change.
Following Iraq’s deadly war with Iran in the 1980s, Saddam’s government carried out the ruthless “Anfal Operation” between 1987 and 1988 in which it is thought to have killed around 180,000 Kurds.
Saddam was toppled in 2003 following a US-led invasion of Iraq and was hanged three years later, putting an end to Iraqi proceedings against him on charges of genocide over the Anfal campaign.
Karim said a large number of the victims found in the grave “were executed here with live shots to the head fired at short range.”
He suggested some of them may have been “buried alive” as there was no evidence of bullets in their remains.
Ahmed Qusai, the head of the excavation team for mass graves in Iraq, meanwhile pointed to “difficulties we are facing at this grave because the remains have become entangled as some of the mothers were holding their infants” when they were killed.
Durgham Kamel, part of the authority for exhuming mass graves, said another mass grave was found at the same time that they began exhuming the one at Tal Al-Shaikhia.
He said the burial site was located near the notorious Nugrat Al-Salman prison where Saddam’s authorities held dissidents.
The Iraqi government estimates that about 1.3 million people disappeared between 1980 and 1990 as a result of atrocities and other rights violations committed under Saddam.


Brother of suspected ‘terrorist’ stabs Tunisia National Guard officer

Updated 27 December 2024
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Brother of suspected ‘terrorist’ stabs Tunisia National Guard officer

TUNIS: The brother of a suspected “terrorist” on Thursday stabbed a Tunisian National Guard officer in the eastern Monastir governorate, a judicial source told AFP.
Earlier in the day, a National Guard unit attempted to arrest the suspect — accused by authorities of being a member of a “terrorist group” — at his home, said the source, speaking on condition of anonymity.
During the arrest operation, his brother attacked the officer, the source added.
The source said the officer was hospitalized following the stabbing in his abdomen and was recovering after undergoing surgery.
An investigation was opened by the judicial division combatting terrorism, the source added.
Neither of the brothers, both of whom were taken into police custody, have been named, and the Tunisian interior ministry did not respond to AFP’s request for comment.
Tunisia saw a surge in jihadist groups after the 2011 revolution that overthrew the dictatorship of Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.
Attacks claimed by jihadists in recent years have killed dozens of soldiers and police officers, as well as some civilians and foreign tourists.
Jihadist attacks in Sousse and the capital Tunis in 2015 killed dozens of tourists and police, but authorities say they have since made significant progress against extremism.