Saudi retail, energy, logistics sectors poised to report positive earnings in Q4: Al Rajhi 

The retail sector is expected to post positive earnings. Shutterstock.
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Updated 09 January 2024
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Saudi retail, energy, logistics sectors poised to report positive earnings in Q4: Al Rajhi 

RIYADH: Saudi-listed retail, energy, and logistics firms are expected to report positive earnings growth in the fourth quarter of 2023 amid mixed sector outlooks in the market. 

According to the latest report by Al Rajhi Capital on equities in the Kingdom, transportation, media and financial services sectors are also anticipated to reflect growth. 

The analysis revealed other sectors’ overall performance during the fourth quarter of 2023, including the petrochemicals industry, which is expected to have sustained annual pressure due to weak prices, leading to a decrease in product spread.  

Costs followed a mixed trajectory, with continuous declines in main polymer prices. However, some goods, such as methanol, ethylene, and low-density polyethylene, saw slight recoveries while essential feedstock prices rose significantly.  

Regarding the construction sector, cement volumes continued declining, registering a year-on-year fall of 10.8 percent in October, followed by a decrease of 7.3 percent in November.  

This aligns with the drop in mortgage lending, which has decreased by more than 40 percent year to date as of October 2023. 

“We expect the Western region to witness market share competition in Q4 2023 although the Central region might see some stability in prices post a subdued third quarter,” according to a statement in the report.  

Furthermore, the analysis suggests that the total net income of the three biggest telecom companies, including stc, Mobily and Zain, is anticipated to have declined by 4.8 percent quarter on quarter in the last three months of 2023.  

This is mainly because the industry as a whole, and stc in particular, saw decreased average revenue per user in the fourth quarter, which is consistent with previous trends.  

The healthcare sector’s topline is projected to stay roughly flat, as “we estimate peak results occurred in Q3, and there appears to be a shift in seasonality. We anticipate a 0.8 percent sequential improvement in topline, but a 1.9 percent drop in net income,” the report stated.  

This is due to margin pressure from Habib’s large hospital openings and increased finance expenses for highly leveraged brands. Revenue growth was estimated to be 6.2 percent year on year, driven by higher utilization and pricing increases.  

Following the strong third-quarter results, pharmaceutical companies SPIMACO and Jamjoom confirmed their guidance for 2023.  

The growth rate was expected to remain moderate, as the analysis suggested that the revenues for pharmaceutical companies were likely to decrease by approximately 1.7 percent year on year due to seasonal weakness.  

According to the report, supermarket and hypermarket chain BinDawood Holding Co. has projected a 44 percent year-on-year growth, reaching SR85 million ($23 million), primarily driven by increased sales from the Harmain stores.  

Additionally, during the third quarter of 2023, insurance companies experienced a negative impact on their earnings due to a significant increase in medical claims.  

The study forecasted more positive outlooks for the fourth quarter, anticipating fewer claims than in the past.  

“However, a rise in claims in the motor business could offset the benefits in the medical business to some extent,” it added. 


Closing Bell: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul ends slightly lower at 12,370 

Updated 6 sec ago
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Closing Bell: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul ends slightly lower at 12,370 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index closed slightly lower on Tuesday, dipping 0.08 percent, or 9.91 points, to settle at 12,369.63.  

Trading turnover on the main market reached SR6.92 billion ($1.84 billion), with 133 stocks advancing and 97 declining.  

The Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, also shed 27 points to close at 31,317.97, while the MSCI Tadawul Index slipped 0.17 percent to 1,549.08. 

The best-performing stock on the main market was Rasan Information Technology Co., with its share price rising 9.99 percent to SR88.10. 

Other top gainers included Saudi Cable Co., which rose 9.97 percent to SR128, and Walaa Cooperative Insurance Co., up 6.24 percent to SR22.80. 

Conversely, ACWA Power Co.’s share price fell 3.49 percent to SR420. 

On the announcements front, Al Jouf Cement Co. said it has signed a SR38 million agreement with Mohammed Shahi Al-Ruwaili Contracting to export various types of cement and clinker to Syria. 

According to a statement on Tadawul, the contract will be effective from Feb. 1 to Feb. 28, 2026. 

The company noted that the agreement's financial impact will be reflected in its performance from the first quarter of 2025 through the first quarter of 2026. 

Al Jouf Cement Co.’s share price rose 1.42 percent to SR11.46. 

Scientific and Medical Equipment House Co., known as Equipment House, announced securing a SR105.07 million tender to maintain and repair medical devices and equipment in hospitals and health centers under the Riyadh First Health Cluster. 

According to a Tadawul statement, the contract covers King Salman Hospital, Al Iman Hospital, and Imam Abdulrahman Al Faisal Hospital, as well as the Convalescent Hospital, and various dental complexes. 

The company noted that the financial impact of the deal will be reflected starting in the second quarter of this year. 

Scientific and Medical Equipment House Co.’s share price edged up by 0.19 percent to SR52.20.  

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Co. reported a net profit of SR338 million for 2024, marking a 20.37 percent increase compared to the previous year.

The company attributed the profit growth to a 30 percent rise in revenues driven by stronger sales in its petrol and transport segments. 

Aldrees, listed on Saudi Arabia’s main index, also announced that its shareholders recommended a cash dividend of SR1.5 per share for 2024. 

The company’s share price rose 4.20 percent to close at SR129. 


Crude falls on US tariff reprieve, stronger dollar

Updated 5 min 22 sec ago
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Crude falls on US tariff reprieve, stronger dollar

LONDON: Oil prices fell on Tuesday as investors assessed US President Donald Trump’s plans to apply new tariffs later than expected while boosting oil and gas production in the US.

Brent crude futures were down $1.42, or 1.77 percent, to $78.73 per barrel at 1116 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down by $1.97, or 2.53 percent, at $75.91. There was no settlement in the US market on Monday due to a public holiday.

Pressuring prices on Tuesday was a stronger US dollar, as its strengthening makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Trump did not impose any sweeping new trade measures right after his inauguration on Monday, but told federal agencies to investigate unfair trade practices by other countries.

The US president also said his administration would “probably” stop buying oil from Venezuela.

Trump also promised to refill strategic reserves, a move that could be bullish for oil prices by boosting demand for US crude oil.

Also weighing on prices on Tuesday was the potential end to the shipping disruption in the Red Sea. Yemen’s Houthis on Monday said they will limit their attacks on commercial vessels to Israel-linked ships provided the Gaza ceasefire is fully implemented.


Aramco chief expects additional oil demand of 1.3 mln bpd this year

Updated 6 min 43 sec ago
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Aramco chief expects additional oil demand of 1.3 mln bpd this year

  • Asked about US sanctions on Russian crude tankers, he said the situation was still at an early stage

DAVOS, Switzerland: Saudi oil giant Aramco’s Chief Executive Amin Nasser said on Tuesday he sees the oil market as healthy and expects an additional 1.3 million barrels per day of demand this year.
Speaking to Reuters on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Nasser was responding to a question on the impact of US President Donald Trump’s energy decisions, which could increase US hydrocarbon output.
Oil demand this year will approach 106 million barrels per day after averaging about 104.6 million barrels per day in 2024, he said.
“We still think the market is healthy ... last year we averaged around 104.6 million barrels (per day), this year, we’re expecting an additional demand of about 1.3 million barrels ... so there is growth in the market,” he said.
Asked about US sanctions on Russian crude tankers, he said the situation was still at an early stage.
“If you look at the impacted barrels, you’re talking about more than 2 million barrels,” he said. “We will wait and see how would that translate into tightness in the market, it is still in the early stage.”
Asked if China and India have sought additional oil volumes from Saudi Arabia on the back of the sanctions, Nasser said Aramco is bound by the levels the kingdom’s energy ministry allows it to pump. Saudi Arabia has been pumping at about three quarters of its output capacity, as part of agreements with OPEC+ to support the market.
“The kingdom and the Ministry of Energy is always looking at balancing the market. They take that into account when they give us the target of how much we should put in the market,” he said.
Aramco is working with MidOcean, an LNG firm in which it took a 51 percent stake, and “looking at expanding our position globally in LNG,” without giving details, Nasser said.


Saudi economy minister speaks on global growth, US economic policies, Vision 2030

Updated 43 min 30 sec ago
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Saudi economy minister speaks on global growth, US economic policies, Vision 2030

  • Kingdom looking ‘forward’ to ‘dialogue’ with new US administration, says Faisal Alibrahim
  • More global economic integration vital to ‘protect the flow of trade, goods and services’

DUBAI: Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on Tuesday said the Kingdom would continue to assess shifting US economic policies as it eyes more integration to help protect global trade.

Alibrahim made the comments during a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Moderator Steve Sedgwick asked Alibrahim about US President Donald Trump’s plan, announced during his inauguration on Monday, to maximize America’s oil and gas production.

“Do these American policies, as spoken about by the 47th US president, pose a direct threat to Saudi Arabia, which has been a reliable supplier of oil to the US for decades?” asked Sedgwick.

Alibrahim said: “The Kingdom is more integrated in the global economy, more of the stuff we do at home impacts not just the region but the global economy and vice versa.”

However, the minister said it would require time to understand what the economic policy of the Trump administration would look like in order to understand its impact.

“We’re always assessing what policies would look like and how we need to respond, but we’re relying on dialogue and continued mutual benefit and value,” he said.

“With the US, we’ve had a longstanding, strong relationship that spanned eight decades, regardless of which administration was in office, and we look forward to continuing the discussion with this administration.”

“It’s time for more economic integration regionally and more clear bilateral arrangements or agreements that help protect the flow of trade, goods and services.”

Alibrahim said that it would take almost a year to see the impact of such new US policies.

“Whether it’s deregulation, industrial policy, trade policy, I think it’ll take us a quarter or two to understand what that would look like exactly, what the impact would be. Maybe then in a year to understand exactly what that would mean for the global economy.”

“Regardless, I think whatever the US economic policy would look like would not just be something that would impact the global economy today (or) in the near future. It’ll probably be the seeds towards a long-term restructure in the global economy.”

The panelists at Tuesday’s session discussed the global growth rate noting that it is projected at 3.3 percent in 2025, compared to around 4 percent over the past 30 years.

The minister said global growth would be boosted by building the right social capabilities and investing in human capital.

“I think we’re shifting to a new form of globalization ... the sooner we know what that looks like, the more clear it’ll be what the pathways for growth are going to be,” he said.

Alibrahim said universities in the Kingdom are gathering data on Saudi Arabia’s economy to help “fire up new engines of growth or reinvigorate all sectors.”

He added: “Vision 2030 is an example of leveraging on all of these opportunities, (and) also trying to be a voice for shaping a more prosperous future.”

He also highlighted the transformative initiatives of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 to diversify the economy, foster global partnerships, and strengthen the private sector.

Alibrahim said Vision 2030 “is a long-term restructuring of our economy so that we’re more resilient and more ready for future growth.”


Financial services firms harnessing AI to revolutionize efficiency and processes, says BNY executive 

Updated 21 January 2025
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Financial services firms harnessing AI to revolutionize efficiency and processes, says BNY executive 

  • Processes that would have taken days or weeks now completed in minutes, thanks to AI

DAVOS: Artificial intelligence is revolutionizing how financial institutions operate by streamlining operations at an unprecedented scale, according to a senior executive at BNY.

Hani Kablawi, senior executive vice president and head of international at the American financial services giant, told Arab News the company had leveraged AI for more than five years to enhance operational efficiency, cybersecurity and decision-making processes within its own operations.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos, he added AI had been instrumental in identifying and rectifying potential trade failures. This has allowed clients to re-enter the market faster and improved liquidity at scale, and allowed BNY to make earlier, more informed investment decisions by providing accurate and constantly updated cash balance data.

“As a result of that, we’ve been able to let clients know that there is latency in their systems early because of behind-the-curve volumes going through accounts,” Kablawi said.

“And in doing so, we’ve given our clients the ability to fix or remediate issues a lot earlier in the process than they might have been able to because we have that data.”

All of which, he added, ensured smoother operations by comparing real-time data with historical patterns.

The recent introduction of the internal AI system “Eliza” at BNY has significantly increased productivity, Kablawi said, adding that preparing insights for client meetings — a task that previously took days or even weeks — could now be completed in minutes.

This efficiency extends across investment, resource allocation and operational decision-making, enabling better-informed and faster outcomes, he said.

The bank is also carefully balancing the use of external AI solutions with internal developments, making sure to integrate capabilities within its own secure infrastructure to maintain control over its vast data holdings. 

“We look externally to new capabilities that are being launched and being able to apply that new technology on our data,” he said.

“We’ve got $52 trillion worth of assets in custody and administration, and another $50 trillion in assets under data management, there’s a significant dataset that we’re able to apply the technology to. So, I think we’re in the beginning stages of really extracting the benefits out of AI.”

Saudi Arabia and the wider Gulf region are actively tapping into these benefits, Kablawi added.

Google, AWS and Microsoft Azure are working, albeit on different pathways, on introducing cloud capabilities in the Kingdom and other Gulf markets, while BNY is actively engaging with these providers to ensure their data analytics capabilities can be launched locally.

“As you would expect, we and others are talking to them to make sure that our data analytics capabilities can be launched in-market so that we can comply with local residency data rules, but also enable a data and analytics offering in those markets to a broader market, not just to those that are leading in the space,” he said.

Kablawi highlighted the region’s success in diversifying its stakeholder base through robust trade and investment partnerships, both inbound and outbound.

He emphasized that a well-executed multilateral strategy had strengthened the region’s resilience and created a more stable investment climate, despite heightened geopolitical, energy and climate concerns in the past 18 months. He also noted Saudi Arabia’s particular success in advancing multilateralism, especially over the past five years.

With the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th US president having taken place on Jan. 20, Kablawi said many of those in the investor sector would be watching what comes next “with interest.”

He continued: “(With potential) closure of borders and destruction of supply chains or any change in supply chain dynamics, that could create a bit more of an inflationary environment. But we think the growth environment is strong enough that on balance we continue to predict positive flows toward the US (market).”