In Pakistan’s Sindh, four electoral battles that may go down to the wire

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Updated 28 January 2024
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In Pakistan’s Sindh, four electoral battles that may go down to the wire

  • Last-ditch efforts by candidates to win public support have created a buzz in four hotly contested Sindh constituencies 
  • NA241 Karachi, NA-194 Larkana, NA-246 Karachi and NA-203 Khairpur are expected to see closely fought battles 

KARACHI: As political activity in the country gains steam ahead of national polls on Feb. 8, electoral battles in some constituencies will be more closely fought than in others, with Pakistan’s southern Sindh province being no exception.

Arab News visited four key constituencies in Sindh where multiple political heavyweights will be locking horns and the contest will most definitely go down to the wire. 

NA-241 Karachi 

The NA-241 constituency in Karachi — a city of over 18 million people that is home to Pakistan’s main port, stock exchange and central bank — consists of the upscale Defense Housing Authority (DHA) and Clifton areas, and part of the Old City area. Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf’s (PTI) Khurram Sherzaman, Muttahida Qaumi Movement-Pakistan’s (MQM-P) Dr. Farooq Sattar, Pakistan Peoples Party’s (PPP) Dr. Ikhtiar Baig and Jamaat-e-Islami’s (JI) Naveed Ali Baig will be locking horns for the National Assembly 241 seat. 




Commuters move past the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) flags hung over a street in Karachi on January 12, 2024, ahead of the upcoming general elections. (AFP)

Pakistan’s incumbent president, PTI’s Dr. Arif Alvi, won NA-241 in the 2013 national elections, securing 76,305 votes, and again in the 2018 election with 91,020 votes, but resigned from the seat after he was nominated for the Pakistani presidency.

After Alvi’s resignation, PTI’s Aftab Siddiqui won the by-election in the constituency with 32,456 votes. In the past, JI’s Abdul Sattar Afghani and MQM’s Khushbakht Shujaat had won the seat in 2002 and 2008 elections, respectively. 

Muzzamil Aslam, a senior PTI member, said the party had a strong position in the constituency despite the election regulator’s move last month to strip the party of the bat election symbol, meaning its candidates now had to contest as independents, each with a different election symbol.

In Pakistan, election symbols appear on ballot papers, with voters able to put a stamp on their symbol of choice. The ballot paper also has names, but over 40 percent of Pakistan’s 241 million population are illiterate, making the pictures extra important for recognition.

A majority of Pakistan’s constituencies are in rural areas where the literacy rate is around 50 percent, according to the economic survey of 2022-23, but in Karachi, a major urban center, PTI leaders hope the loss of the bat symbol won’t be a decisive factor. 




Workers install flags of Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N) Party on the rooftop of a building, ahead of the upcoming general elections, in Karachi on January 24, 2024. (AFP)

“The bat has gone, which has diluted the impact, but interestingly, our opponents have not been able to estimate things,” Aslam said, hoping that PTI supporters would once again vote for the party.

Taj Haider, a senior PPP leader, said his party’s candidate had been assured by residents they would vote for the PPP. 

“The people are not happy with the PTI and are now supporting us,” Haider said.
 
Dr. Khalid Maqbool Siddiqui, who heads the MQM-P, said the party’s candidate Dr. Farooq Sattar, who has previously served as mayor of Karachi and been elected to the National Assembly multiple times, was the best choice.

“He’s served Karachi many times,” Siddiqui said. “He is one of the most educated and grassroots leaders of the MQM.”

Siddiqui said the MQM-P had a better chance at winning this election than the PTI due to the “conditions” that the PTI had been facing, referring to a crackdown against the party since May last year, when its supporters staged violent demonstrations in the country over Khan’s brief detention in a graft case. The crackdown has seen several senior PTI figures defect, be arrested or go into hiding. Khan is himself currently in jail in a graft case and faces multiple other legal cases in courts across the country.

Still, Nadia Naqi, a Karachi-based analyst, said the MQM-P would face a “challenge” in winning the battle for NA-241. 

“It constitutes the majority of those areas where people have more of a liking for PTI, it has a huge support of PTI, we must not forget that,” she told Arab News. 

“So, I think it will be a lesser challenge to PTI right now and more of a challenge to Farooq Sattar.”

NA-194 Larkana 

The NA-194 constituency is the hometown of the Bhutto dynasty, which has ruled Sindh for decades and given the nation two prime ministers. However, its Pakistan Peoples Party is expected to witness a tough contest here between PPP Chairman Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari and Rashid Mehmood Soomro, a senior member of the Jamiat Ulama-e-Islam (JUI) religious party. 




Pakistan Peoples' Party (PPP) chairman Bilawal Bhutto Zardari (R) submits his nomination papers to the returning officer in Larkana of Sindh province on December 24, 2023, ahead of the upcoming 2024 general elections. (AFP/File)

Primarily comprising Ratodero Taluka and parts of Larkana Taluka, NA-194 also includes a portion of Larkana city, the hometown of PPP founder and former premier Zulfikar Ali Bhutto. 

In the last election, Bhutto-Zardari won in Larkana with 84,426 votes, while JUI’s Soomro stood second with 50,200 votes. 

The PPP had done its homework and like the previous elections, its candidate would win the election despite the opponents forming an alliance, PPP’s Haider said.

However, Shahzeb Jilani, an analyst who belongs to the same constituency, said the PPP would face tough competition in Larkana, as the JUI candidate had run a formidable campaign against the PPP in 2018 even though the PPP eventually won the election.

“It is certainly not an easy ride for Bilawal Bhutto to win the seat,” he told Arab News. “The only problem in Sindh is that the threshold of opposition is not that high to defeat a [PPP] candidate.”

NA-246 Karachi 

This constituency includes Mominabad town and parts of Karachi West district and will be hotly contested between JI Karachi chief Naeem-ur-Rehman and MQM-P’s Ameenul Haque, a former federal minister for IT. 




A billboard of Pakistan People's Party (PPP) featuring their leader Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, along a road in Karachi on January 12, 2024, ahead of the upcoming general elections. (AFP)

In 2002, MQM’s Muhammad Abdul Rauf Siddiqui won this seat with 62,690 votes, while Dr. Abdul Qadir Khanzada was the winner in 2008. In 2013, MQM’s Mehboob Alam emerged victorious in the constituency with 166,836 votes, whereas Haque won the seat in 2018 by defeating PTI’s Muhammad Aslam and JI’s candidate secured third position with 21,812 votes. 

“The MQM will completely sweep and there has never been a challenge for the MQM [in NA-246],” MQM-P chief Siddiqui said, adding that the seat had consistently been won by his party since 1980s. 

Rehman said the JI was a better option as it had spoken up for the resolution of various public issues in Karachi in recent months.

“No one else held their hand but the Jamaat-e-Islami resolved 80 percent of their issues,” he said. 

Naqi agreed that Rehman was a candidate who had been highlighting Karachi’s issues, including of electricity and gas tariff hikes, issuance of national identity cards and water shortage. 

“Jamaat-e-Islami, in that manner, has had a very good presence in terms of connecting with the people,” she said. “If he really loses that seat, then there’s something that is wrong, the Jamaat e Islami has to put that right ingredient. And if the MQM really wins that seat, we’ll have to see the margin also.” 

NA-203 Khairpur 

The Pakistan Muslim League-Functional’s (PMLF) Pir Sadaruddin Shah consistently won the seat in the 2002, 2008, and 2013 general elections with 63,520, 97,347, and 86,982 votes, respectively. However, PPP’s Pir Syed Fazal Ali Shah Jilani defeated Shah by bagging 95,972 votes in the last election in 2018. 




Pakistan Peoples' Party (PPP) chairman and Prime Ministerial candidate Bilawal Bhutto Zardari waves toward supporters during a campaign rally for the 2024 general elections in Khairpur in Sindh province on January 14, 2024. (AFP/File)

They will now be facing off against each other again. 

“This seat originally belongs to us and we will reclaim it,” said Sardar Raheem, PML-F’s general secretary. 

But Jilani, the analyst, said the PPP had been seen consolidating its position in constituencies where it did not win previously. 

“For Sadruddin Rashidi, he’s been winning that seat because they have their own set of spiritual followers,” he said, adding that Fazal banked on the PPP vote and his own planning to win the seat in the last election and he would be trying to pull the same feat once again.


Pakistan’s trade deficit with Gulf states widens to $12.4 billion amid free trade agreement talks

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Pakistan’s trade deficit with Gulf states widens to $12.4 billion amid free trade agreement talks

  • Pakistan’s exports to GCC rose 16 percent, but higher oil imports widened the trade gap
  • Analysts warn FTA may deepen deficit, citing imbalance in Pakistan-China trade deal

KARACHI: Pakistan’s trade deficit with Gulf nations widened by 14 percent to $12.4 billion in the outgoing fiscal year through May, even as the country pushes for a free trade agreement (FTA) with the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to boost exports and market access, official statistics show.

The trade gap stood at $10.9 billion during the same period last year, according to data from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). Pakistan’s exports to the region grew to $5.08 billion — up 16 percent — while imports rose 14 percent to $17.5 billion.

The GCC includes Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain.

Shankar Talreja, director of research at Topline Securities, attributed the widening trade imbalance primarily to surging imports from the UAE, Pakistan’s largest oil supplier in the bloc.

“Pakistan’s imports from the UAE have increased by 32 percent in 11MFY25,” Talreja told Arab News from Karachi. “This is a whopping increase of $1.5 billion.”

Overall, imports from the UAE jumped 46 percent to $8.33 billion, while exports to the country totaled $3.96 billion. In contrast, imports from Saudi Arabia dropped 15 percent to $3.47 billion.

The increase in oil imports comes as Pakistan, which heavily depends on petroleum products from the GCC, monitors global crude trends.

Prices spiked by 13 percent to $77 per barrel after Israel attacked Iran on June 13, before easing by 6 percent on June 24 following a ceasefire announcement.

“Pakistan largely relies on petroleum products from the GCC region and overall petroleum import bill in FY26 is unlikely to increase as oil prices are currently 10 percent lower than the average oil price of July-May period,” Talreja noted.

“This lower oil price may offset volumetric increase, leaving overall petroleum import bill unchanged,” he added.

Last year, Pakistan spent $17 billion on oil imports, more than twice the size of its most recent International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan package. The IMF has urged the government to ramp up exports to stabilize its fragile external account.

To that end, Islamabad is pursuing bilateral and multilateral trade deals, including FTAs with the GCC, South Korea, Vietnam, East Africa and Central Asian states.

While Commerce Ministry spokesperson Muhammad Ashraf did not respond to queries, another official confirmed the FTA was under negotiation.

“The FTA talks with the GCC nations are ongoing but I am not sure if they have finalized anything,” the ministry official said, requesting anonymity as he was not authorized to speak to the media.

Pakistan’s Economic Survey for FY2024-25 mentions both the Pakistan-GCC FTA and the Pakistan-UAE Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement as “upcoming agreements.”

However, Talreja expressed skepticism about the potential gains.

“Pakistan has never benefitted from FTAs, like in case of China our deficit with China has further increased,” he said.

Islamabad’s FTA with Beijing, signed in 2006, has consistently produced unfavorable trade outcomes. The bilateral trade deficit with China stands at $2.5 billion this fiscal year, according to SBP figures.

“In the case of the Middle East, I doubt that Pakistan will benefit as it’s a very competitive market due to the global access the GCC has,” Talreja added. “Islamabad could only benefit if it negotiated something extraordinary.”

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government is also pushing to expand trade with the United States, Pakistan’s top textile buyer, by negotiating reciprocal tariffs. Talks are expected to conclude next week.

As part of these discussions under the Trade and Investment Framework Agreement, Islamabad is seeking greater access for mangoes, dates and beef in the US market.

Pakistan’s trade prospects in the European Union remain strong after its GSP+ status, granting zero-duty access on 66 percent of tariff lines, was renewed.

A preferential trade agreement with the eight-member Organization for Economic Cooperation also came into force in January.

Still, officials warn that the country’s export profile remains vulnerable due to over-reliance on a handful of markets.

“The overall export trajectory signals Pakistan’s reliance on a few core markets, highlighting the need for diversification and expanded global outreach to minimize exposure to external shocks,” the finance ministry said in its economic survey.


Pakistan issues glacial lake outburst warning for northern areas as temperatures soar

Updated 41 min 21 sec ago
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Pakistan issues glacial lake outburst warning for northern areas as temperatures soar

  • Pakistan says intense monsoon currents, soaring temperatures may trigger sudden GLOF events 
  • Authorities say glacial lake outbursts may pose serious threat to humans, livestock and agriculture

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) this week issued a Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) alert for the country’s northern areas, citing “persistent high temperatures” and intense monsoon currents as the main reasons. 

Pakistan is consistently ranked among the countries most adversely affected by climate change. Climate change has triggered irregular weather patterns in the country, which include unusually heavy rains, droughts and heat waves. 

In a press release on Wednesday, the NDMA said sustained heat for the past several weeks has accelerated snow and glacier melt in Pakistan’s northern regions.

“The added influence of monsoon rains and thunderstorms have now significantly increased hydrometeorological pressure on glacial lakes, raising the risk of sudden GLOF events,” the NDMA said. 

It said Reshun, Brep, Booni, Sardar Gol, Thalu 1 and 2, Badswat, Hinarchi, Darkut and Hundur valleys are at “heightened risk” in case of a GLOF events. 

“Sudden outbursts from these glacial lakes may trigger flash floods, posing a serious threat to human lives, livestock, and agriculture,” the disaster management authority said.

“Damage to infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and communication networks is likely, and access to remote valleys may be temporarily disrupted.”

The NDMA urged residents, tourists and trekkers to avoid traveling near glaciers, glacial lakes and riverbanks in the identified areas.

It urged locals to stay informed through official alerts and cooperate with authorities on evacuation instructions where necessary.

Floods in 2022, brought by record monsoon rains and glacial melt in northern mountains, killed over 1,700 people and impacted 33 million people out of a population of 220 million. Raging currents swept away homes, vehicles, crops and livestock in damages estimated at $30 billion.


Authorities recover 20,000 soap bars for anti-polio campaigns being sold illegally in Peshawar

Updated 25 June 2025
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Authorities recover 20,000 soap bars for anti-polio campaigns being sold illegally in Peshawar

  • Provincial authorities seize large stockpile of soap bars provided by UNICEF in Peshawar’s Sabzi Mandi area
  • UNICEF says authorities have not ruled out possibility of collusion by insiders or lapses in oversight mechanism

PESHAWAR: Pakistani authorities on Wednesday recovered 20,000 soap bars provided by the United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF) for exclusive use in anti-polio campaigns after they were found being illegally sold in the northwestern Peshawar city, the UN agency said. 

Authorities seized the soap bars in a raid conducted at the city’s famous Sabzi Mandi area, with UNICEF raising serious concerns about the diversion of humanitarian supplies to the open market. 

“The seized consignment included approximately 20,000 soap bars, reportedly marked for exclusive use in Polio Campaigns,” the UN agency said.

 UNICEF said provincial officials believe it is highly unlikely that such a large-scale misappropriation could have occurred without either the “active involvement or gross negligence” of personnel within the provincial Health Department and UNICEF’s local and national operations.

“Further investigations are underway to determine how the supplies were diverted from official distribution channels to Open Market,” the statement said. “Authorities have not ruled out the possibility of collusion by insiders or lapses in oversight mechanisms.”

UNICEF said the incident underscored the critical need for greater accountability and monitoring in aid distribution processes, particularly in sensitive public health programs like the polio eradication campaign.

Polio is a paralyzing disease with no cure, making prevention through vaccination critical. Multiple doses of the oral polio vaccine, along with the completion of the routine immunization schedule for all children, are essential to build strong immunity against the virus.

According to Pakistan’s polio program, 10 cases have been confirmed so far this year, with 74 reported in 2024.

Pakistan, one of the last two countries where polio remains endemic, has made significant progress in curbing the virus, with annual cases dropping from around 20,000 in the early 1990s to just eight in 2018.

The country reported six cases in 2023 and only one in 2021.


Trump praises ‘very impressive’ Pakistan army chief, reiterates trade stopped Indo-Pak conflict

Updated 25 June 2025
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Trump praises ‘very impressive’ Pakistan army chief, reiterates trade stopped Indo-Pak conflict

  • US president hosted Field Marshal General Asim Munir for lunch at White House last week 
  • Trump announced a ceasefire between India and Pakistan last month after military standoff

ISLAMABAD: US President Donald Trump praised Pakistan’s army chief on Wednesday, describing him as “very impressive” while reiterating his earlier claim of preventing a nuclear war between Islamabad and New Delhi with trade deals last month. 

Trump hosted Field Marshal General Asim Munir for lunch last Wednesday in an unprecedented White House meeting. The American president had told reporters he was “honored” to meet the Pakistani general and that the two discussed the Iran-Israel conflict.

Nuclear-armed India and Pakistan engaged in a days-long military conflict before Trump announced a ceasefire between the two on May 10. Trump has repeatedly said he offered to help both nations with trade if they agreed to de-escalate.

At the NATO summit in The Hague, Trump was asked by a reporter why he had failed to stop the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The American president responded by saying he had stopped wars between Iran and Israel as well as India and Pakistan, saying the conflict “was getting very bad” between the nuclear-armed rivals. 

“And in fact I had the general, who was very impressive, the general from Pakistan was in my office last week,” Trump said. 

He described Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a “great man, a great gentleman,” saying Washington helped both countries reason with each other at the height of the conflict. 

“I said we’re not going to do a trade deal if you’re going to fight and if you’re going to fight each other we’re not doing a trade deal and you know what, they said, ‘No, I want to do the trade deal.’ And we stopped a nuclear war.”

Pakistan’s government last week announced it would formally nominate Trump for what it called his “decisive diplomatic intervention” during the military standoff with India in May. 

The American president has also previously offered to mediate the decades-old Kashmir dispute between India and Pakistan, who both claim the disputed Himalayan region in full but administer only parts of it. 

While the ceasefire continues to persist, tensions simmer as New Delhi refuses to budge from its stance of suspending a decades-old water-sharing treaty with Pakistan. 

Pakistan has said any attempts to stop or divert its flow of water by India will be regarded as an “act of war” and will be responded to with full force. 


Pakistani exporters bank on Middle East to export 125,000 tons of mangoes this season

Updated 25 June 2025
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Pakistani exporters bank on Middle East to export 125,000 tons of mangoes this season

  • Pakistani fruit exporters association hopes to earn $100 million from total mango exports from May to September 
  • Mango exporters, farmers say recent regional tensions and adverse climate conditions impacting fruit’s production

ISLAMABAD: A leading Pakistani fruits exporters association said on Wednesday it has set an ambitious target of exporting 125,000 tons of mangoes from May to September this year to earn $100 million in revenue, hoping to export 70 percent of these to markets in the Middle East. 

Pakistan is the world’s fourth-largest mango producer, with the fruit’s exports generating millions of dollars in revenue annually, according to the Pakistan Fruit and Vegetables Export Association (PFVEA). 

Pakistan’s 20 varieties of mangoes come second only to oranges as the most-produced fruit in the country. The country produces around 1,800,000 metric tons of mangoes annually, with 70 percent grown in Punjab, 29 percent in Sindh and 1 percent grown in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

“Pakistan is aiming to export 125,000 tons of mangoes this season, 25 percent more than last year’s target of 100,000 tons, with exports having started on May 25 and continuing until the end of September,” PFVEA Patron-in-Chief Waheed Ahmed told Arab News. 

“We are hoping to export 70 percent of this target to Middle Eastern countries, our largest market, and if achieved, the country is expected to earn an estimated $100 million in foreign exchange,” he added. 

However, Ahmed warned adverse effects of climate change may impact the amount of mangoes Pakistan produces this year. 

Pakistan, which has faced irregular weather patterns ranging from heat waves and unusually heavy rains, is frequently ranked among the most adversely affected countries due to climate change effects. 

Mango production has been on the decline in Pakistan for the past three consecutive years. 

“Mango production in Pakistan is consistently declining due to climate change and water scarcity and there is a risk of up to 25 percent reduction in total mango production this year as well,” Ahmed warned. 

After the projected decline, the PFVEA official said this season’s total mango production may come down to around 1.4 million tons

“However, we have increased the export target because we are exporting only 125,000 tons out of the estimated 1.4 million tons, so we remain hopeful of achieving it despite all challenges,” Ahmed said. 

Ahmed called for interventions such as improved water management, production of climate-resilient mango varieties, research and development and modernization of agriculture and horticulture.

He said efforts were underway to boost mango exports to non-traditional markets such as Japan, the United States, South Korea and Australia, with a special focus on expanding exports to Turkiye and China.

He noted that regional tensions, particularly Pakistan’s conflict with India and the Israel-Iran tensions, have led to higher export costs due to additional charges by shipping companies on Pakistani cargo.

“We urge the Federal Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Maritime Affairs to intervene and eliminate these extra charges to help improve export competitiveness,” Ahmed said. 

Farmers and exporters agreed adverse climate conditions had affected not only the volume of production but also the quality of mangoes.

“We have been facing losses due to multiple factors, including low yield and lower-than-expected demand caused by conflicts in the Middle East,” Asif Ahmed, an exporter from Iftikhar Ahmed & Co, told Arab News.

Asif, who has been exporting mangoes for over six decades, hoped the Iran-Israel ceasefire would improve the situation and that fruit prices would rise to help cover the losses.

“We have farms in Sindh’s Tando Allahyar and Mirpur Khas districts where production was almost around 30 percent less than normal this year,” Asif said. 

Amjad Hussain, an exporter from Punjab’s Multan city, agreed climate change had reduced the size of the mangoes and their quality as well. 

“It has affected more than 25 percent of our yield, which will reduce our exports, though the exact figure will be clear by September,” Hussain said.