Diversification strategies paying off for GCC economies

‘Business hubs such as Abu Dhabi Global Market have now been operating for a while and are on the radar screen of every entrepreneur as a potential destination where businesses can be established.’ (Reuters)
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Updated 09 March 2024
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Diversification strategies paying off for GCC economies

  • Focus on non-oil trade is helping countries display resilience in the face of global disruptions: experts

RIYADH: Transport, tourism and logistics are set to help the Gulf Cooperation Council region secure gross domestic product growth far above the lobal average, economists have told Arab News.

Experts believe that a focus on non-oil trade by GCC governments is helping countries display economic resilience in the face of global disruptions, such as the conflict in Gaza.

At the end of 2023, a report commissioned by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of England and Wales and compiled by Oxford Economics, forecast 3.2 percent GDP growth for GCC countries in 2024, compared to the 2.1 percent predicted across the world.

Since that report was published, the Israel-Hamas war has continued, as have attacks by Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea.

This prompted the OECD to strike a warning in February that while it believes global GDP growth will hit 3 percent in 2025 — with Saudi Arabia forecast to see an expansion of 4.2 percent — there are still choppy economic waters ahead.

“Further upside surprises in inflation could trigger sharp corrections in financial asset prices as markets price in that policy rates may be higher for longer periods of time,” said the report.

Despite these concerns, the wave of economic diversification activities that have swept across the GCC in recent years has placed the region on a stable footing.

The most recent Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index report by S&P Global showed the Kingdom’s non-oil economy is exhibiting improved growth, with business activity accelerating at the fastest rate in five months.

The PMI rose to 57.2 in February — well above the 50-point neutral mark that separates expansion from contraction — marking a notable improvement from a two-year low in January.

This signaled a significant improvement in the operating conditions of the non-oil private sector. 

The Gulf is benefiting from investments that have been made over time.

Nasser Saidi, former Lebanese economy minister and founder of Nasser Saidi & Associates

Speaking before the latest PMI report, Nasser Saidi, former Lebanese economy and trade minister and founder of Nasser Saidi & Associates told Arab News: “The Gulf is benefiting from investments that have been made over time.”

He said: “I think one of the critical sectors is transport and logistics,” further stating how “many countries don’t have the airports, transport and facilities that the Gulf has developed, particularly the UAE, Qatar, and increasingly now Saudi Arabia and to a lesser extent Oman.”

Saidi continued: “As a result of it, tourism has developed very rapidly, and when you also open up the economy to tourist visas, facilities to establish businesses, and particularly you deal with COVID-19 very effectively, and you open up when the rest of the world was closed — the combination of these factors delivers the growth that we are witnessing now.”

The economist believes that one of the undervalued aspects that contributed to non-oil growth is the fact that GCC health systems performed very well during COVID-19.

Adel Afiouni, Lebanon’s former investments and technology minister and now a partner and head of Europe and Middle East at finance platform Exos, echoed Saidi’s belief that tourism is driving economic diversification in the region.

Describing the sector as offering a “huge opportunity” for growth, he told Arab News that Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia can become global destinations akin to Dubai.

“The increasing diversity of the offering, the quality of the hospitality industry and the natural beauty in so many places are turning previously untapped touristic destinations into a destination of choice, and I believe the potential for growth in this sector is tremendous,” he said. 

Another area identified by Afiouni as propelling GCC economies forward is financial services, thanks to “the large pool of capital available in the region within sovereign entities and with private investors and the fact that the region remains one of the largest exporters of capital to the world and a strategic focus for all global institutions.”

Afiouni highlighted the fast growth of wealth in the GCC “especially among entrepreneurs and businessmen in the region, and the development of active regional capital and private markets.”

Additionally, financial services are being bolstered by the large number of ambitious projects planned for the next several decades. 

“These will require substantial investments and therefore more needs for FDIs (foreign direct investments) and global capital markets,” he said.

Technology is also an area of expansion, with the political and business leadership across the GCC countries exerting a great deal of effort and capital to attract talent and develop entrepreneurship, alongside creating hubs for technology, innovation and for start-ups and business-friendly ecosystems.

“Business hubs such as DIFC (Dubai International Financial Centre) and Abu Dhabi Global Market have now been operating for a while and are on the radar screen of every entrepreneur as a potential destination where businesses can be established and can thrive and progressive policies and incentives across the region are building a tech ecosystem that can compete with every major global hub,” he adds.

Saidi believes that the other big story for non-oil sector growth is the investment in renewable energy in the region.

“Despite the odds, these are the countries that are investing the most and the fastest in renewable energy because they have the advantage of solar power,” he told Arab News, adding: “They’re looking at this as a new opportunity of being able to go green and particularly (with) renewable energy, things like district cooling, things like a whole number of climate tech industries.”

The economist said: “Desalination is a perfect one. The combination of these factors in addition to the further opening of the economies with free trade agreements are fostering growth.”


AI will eliminate routine jobs but create new ones, expert says  

Updated 04 November 2024
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AI will eliminate routine jobs but create new ones, expert says  

  • Chuck Yoo, executive vice president of research at Korea University, spoke to Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority’s GAIN podcast

RIYADH: Routine jobs are “very much in danger” thanks to the rise of artificial intelligence, a leading academic from Korea University has warned.

Speaking to the Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority’s GAIN podcast, Chuck Yoo – executive vice president of research at the Seoul-based institution – did offer an optimistic note, stating that new jobs will be created by the technology.

“For young people, I strongly encourage that they take an active role to learn the new technology and be used to how to use it. I think that’s the way that you can deal with such a profound change in our human history,” he told the GAIN Podcast.

Yoo further explained that the rise of AI is similar to the 18th century industrial revolution, where change opened up new opportunities. 

Jobs that are based on routine work or gathering and analyzing data are the most in danger, said Yoo, giving the example of a paralegal. 

AI in classes 

As a professor, Yoo advises teachers and students to utilize the technology in classes instead of banning it, because the revolution is irreversible. 

“You now have a very strong assistant, why do you want to go back to the old days?” Yoo remarked.

“To do that, professors who teach classes also have to know what GPT is and how to use it, and they should give assignments that have to be addressed with ChatGPT, not banning ChatGPT,” he added. 

He added that the Korea University is also researching to build a new curriculum and a new way of teaching which incorporates AI and technologies like ChatGPT. 

Yoo believes that AI is very rewarding and that the world is living in a fruitful age thanks to the technology. 

Yoo emphasized the importance of findable sustainable solutions as the rise of the technology calls for more data centers, which extract a heavy power toll. 

AI and energy 

Yoo further added that Saudi Arabia’s push toward becoming an AI hub might call for more power plants amid higher energy consumption. 

“It is being realized as a serious problem,” he said, adding: “People are working on how to reduce the power consumption in parallel with constructing more power plants.”

He added that the US has already announced their plan to build several nuclear facilities in anticipation of “exponential growth” of power consumption.

The Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority introduced the GAIN Podcast as it aims to elevate global understanding of data and AI and their effects on society. 

The 14-episode series features insights from leading scientists, AI experts, decision-makers, and CEOs of prominent tech companies, discussing various aspects of technological advancements, industry milestones, and strategies for fostering human talent in the field.  


Pakistanis welcome Aramco’s new Islamabad outlet

Updated 04 November 2024
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Pakistanis welcome Aramco’s new Islamabad outlet

  • Saudi oil giant opened its second outlet in Islamabad last week following the inauguration of the first in Lahore on Oct. 29
  • In collaboration with Pakistan’s GO, Aramco aims to expand its retail network and establish a foothold in the Asian country’s growing economy

ISLAMABAD: Pakistanis in Islamabad on Monday hailed the opening of Aramco’s branded retail petrol station as a valuable addition to the capital’s oil marketing landscape, expressing hopes for high-quality fuel and services from the Saudi oil giant.

This is Aramco’s second retail outlet in Pakistan, following the opening of its first station in Lahore on Oct. 29 after the global oil giant acquired a 40 percent stake in Gas & Oil Pakistan Ltd, commonly known as GO Petroleum. 

According to a statement shared last week by Corporate and Marketing Communications, which manages public relations for GO and the Saudi energy firm in Pakistan, Aramco-branded stations will offer premium fuel, high-quality lubricants, professional automotive services, and modern convenience stores, aiming to deliver a seamless customer experience.

The Saudi oil giant’s Islamabad outlet is located on Ataturk Avenue in the Pakistani capital, which is being frequented by a large number of customers anticipating quality fuel supply and services.

“This is a great addition to Islamabad. I hope that this global oil giant will focus on providing quality oil products, along with ensuring top-notch service and accurate fuel measurements,” Muhammad Asim, a Pakistani government employee, told Arab News, while filling up at the newly opened station, adding: “Looking forward to seeing the positive impact it brings to the city.” 

Aramco is a global integrated energy and chemicals company that produces approximately one in every eight barrels of the world’s oil supply. GO, one of Pakistan’s largest retail and storage companies, is involved in the procurement, storage, sale and marketing of petroleum products and lubricants.

Together with GO, which has a network of over 1,200 fuel retail stations in Pakistan, Aramco plans to expand its retail network and establish a presence in the fast-growing Pakistani economy.

“Having Aramco in Pakistan is exciting,” said Sara Ahmed, a local business owner. “It raises the bar for fuel quality and customer service.”

She hoped that the Saudi company would set new standards in fuel quality and customer care, something that had been needed in Pakistan for quite some time.

Another customer, Ali Asghar, said Aramco is a renowned name globally and hoped the company would uphold its international standards in Pakistan.

“We need reputable global companies like this, not only to provide quality products but also to encourage competition among other companies, ultimately benefiting customers,” he told Arab News. 

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia enjoy strong trade, defense, and cultural ties. The Kingdom is home to over 2.7 million Pakistani expatriates and serves as the top source of remittances to the cash-strapped South Asian nation.

In February 2019, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia inked investment deals totaling $21 billion during a visit by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to Islamabad. The agreements included approximately $10 billion for an Aramco oil refinery and $1 billion for a petrochemical complex at the strategic Gwadar Port in Pakistan’s Balochistan province.

Islamabad and Riyadh have also been working in recent months to increase bilateral trade and investment, and the Kingdom this year reaffirmed its commitment to expedite an investment package worth $5 billion for Pakistan.

Both countries last month signed $2.2 billion in agreements and memorandums of understanding during the visit of a high-level business delegation, led by Saudi Minister for Investment Khalid Al-Falih.


UK’s non-dom tax reforms set to reshape Arab investment landscape

Updated 04 November 2024
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UK’s non-dom tax reforms set to reshape Arab investment landscape

RIYADH: Arab investors will face significant changes to their UK tax affairs after the British government announced reforms to rules for non-UK domiciled individuals.

Effective from April 6, 2025, these changes will alter the tax efficiency strategies that many Arab investors have relied upon for UK property and investments. 

So-called “non-dom” status is a tax classification that allows UK residents whose permanent domicile is in a different country to limit their tax liability on foreign earnings. 

They have traditionally only been required to pay UK taxes on income generated within Britain, creating considerable tax savings for those who designate a lower-tax country as their domicile. 

Starting in 2025, non-dom status will be abolished and replaced with a residency-based tax regime.

In an interview with Arab News, Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial said: “The disadvantages of the tax measures announced is that if an Arab buyer is planning to buy additional properties in the UK, they have to pay an increased surcharge of 5 percent.” 

Moreover, if a buyer intends to dispose of a non-residential property, they have to pay increased capital gains tax 18 percent — 24 percent, he explained. 

Arabs living in the UK who earn income abroad will also suffer from the abolishment of the non-UK domiciled tax status as their tax burden will increase, according to Valecha.

The CIO did reveal some positive news for investors, saying: “Non-resident Arab buyers can still purchase residential property in the UK at a 2 percent surcharge, a potential benefit.” 

He added: “Newly arrived investors will enjoy a four-year grace period where foreign income and gains remain untaxed, offering short-term planning flexibility.” 

Key changes 

Under the current system, non-dom status can be obtained if an individual was born outside the UK or if their father’s permanent residence was in another country; or by becoming a domicile of choice, which is a classification available to individuals over 16 who decide to live indefinitely in another country. 

From April 2025, newly arrived UK residents who have not been living in the country in the prior 10 years will receive a 100 percent tax relief on foreign income and gains for their first four years. 

For capital gains tax, lower-rate taxpayers earning under £50,270 ($54,760) will now be taxed at 18 percent, up from 10 percent, while higher-rate taxpayers will see their rates increase to 24 percent from 20 percent. 

Additionally, non-UK assets will be subject to UK inheritance tax if the individual has been a resident for at least 10 of the last 20 years. 

Effective Oct. 31, 2024, the stamp duty surcharge on second homes increased from 3 percent to 5 percent. 

Long-term strategies 

Valecha anticipated that these changes may negatively impact the long-term investment strategies of Arab buyers, “due to higher surcharges on additional homes, capital gains taxes on disposal of secondary homes, and abolishment of the non-dom status.” 

“In order to optimize their portfolio, Arab buyers can consider diversifying their portfolio to other asset classes and geographical regions that offer favorable tax regimes,” he said. 

The UAE, for instance, could see increased interest due to its tax-free environment, and “Arab buyers looking to diversify can now consider investing their wealth in their own country.” This, he added, could improve capital flows in the UAE and boost the country’s real estate sector. 

The UK government projects that these reforms could generate up to £12.7 billion in additional revenue over five years, underscoring the significant contribution expected from foreign investors. 

With strategic planning, Valecha suggested that Arab investors can still leverage competitive opportunities in the UK market, even within this redefined landscape.


Closing Bell: Saudi main market sheds points, Nomu gains 2.8% 

Updated 04 November 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main market sheds points, Nomu gains 2.8% 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index ended Monday’s trading session in the red, losing 8.95 points, or 0.07 percent, to close at 12,039.31. 

The total trading value of the benchmark index was SR6.1 billion ($1.6 billion), with 66 listed stocks advancing, while 166 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index also shed 0.34 points, or 0.02 percent, closing at 1,512.48. 

However, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 765.32 points, or 2.80 percent, to close at 28,062.77, with 41 stocks advancing and 32 retreating. 

The best-performing stock of the day was Shatirah House Restaurant Co., also known as Burgerizzr, whose share price surged by 9.96 percent to SR22.52.  

Other top performers included Retal Urban Development Co., which saw a rise of 9.64 percent to SR15,70, and Al-Baha Investment and Development Co., which increased by 7.14 percent to SR0.30. 

Elm Co. and Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. also recorded gains of 4.64 percent and 4.29 percent, closing at SR1,122 and SR21.90, respectively. 

Several Saudi firms released their financial results for the first nine months of the year. 

Saudi Telecom Co. recorded a 3.9 percent yearly increase in profit to reach SR56.6 billion, mainly attributed to the rise in stc KSA and stc’s subsidiaries revenue by 0.6 percent and 11 percent, respectively. 

Net profit also recorded growth of 1.9 percent to reach SR11.2 billion, largely driven by the increase in revenue and the decrease in zakat and income tax expenses. 

The company closed Monday’s trading session in green with a 0.59 percent increase in its share price to reach SR42.30.

National Gas and Industrialization Co. also saw a significant 15.5 percent year-on-year increase in revenue to reach SR2 billion in the first nine months. 

The growth in profit was driven primarily by rising gas prices and an uptick in sales volume. This shift is further supported by enhanced revenues from commercial projects and increased sales of empty cylinders. 

Additionally, the company has witnessed gains from the sale of scrap and spare parts, as well as from transportation and various other services. 

The firm also reported an increase in net profit by 2.1 percent to reach SR188.7 million, primarily driven by a significant rise in gross profit resulting from enhanced revenues and a reduction in zakat expenses. 

Despite this, the company closed Monday’s trading session in red, shedding 2.21 percent to close at SR106.

Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co. also recorded significant gains. The company saw insurance revenues increase by 15 percent to reach SR13.4 billion, driven by business growth.

Profit before zakat and income tax attributable to shareholders for the current period amounted to SR1.3 billion, an increase of 31.4 percent, mainly due to gains across multiple aspects of the business.

Despite the strong gains, Bupa closed Monday’s trading session in red, shedding 1.49 percent to close at SR198.20.

On a different note, SNB Capital launched its SNB Capital Saudi Nomu Market Fund to facilitate easier access to the parallel market.

The fund is designed for retail investors aiming to strategically invest in the listed equities on the Nomu market without having to meet the Qualified Investor criteria. 


Saudi airline flynas expands African reach with new routes to Uganda and Djibouti

Updated 04 November 2024
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Saudi airline flynas expands African reach with new routes to Uganda and Djibouti

JEDDAH: Saudi budget airline flynas will add two new African destinations to its network starting in January 2025, aligning with its broader expansion strategy across the continent. 

Beginning Jan. 8, the airline will operate three weekly flights from Riyadh to Entebbe, Uganda, and the same number from Jeddah to Djibouti, according to the airline’s statement. 

The expansion is part of the airline’s “We Connect the World to the Kingdom” initiative and supports Saudi Arabia’s National Civil Aviation Strategy, which aims to expand connectivity to 250 international destinations and reach 330 million passengers. 

The routes to Entebbe and Djibouti also align with Saudi Arabia’s goal of welcoming 150 million tourists annually by 2030 and advancing the Pilgrims Experience Program, which seeks to streamline travel access to the holy cities of Makkah and Madinah. 

The airline’s new routes to Uganda and Djibouti mark additional steps in its effort to grow its international network, offering more accessible travel for passengers across the region. 

This announcement follows flynas’s recent increase in domestic seat capacity by over 480,000 on routes to Taif, Abha, and Al-Baha during the summer, marking a 21 percent rise from the previous year. 

The airline has also expanded its fleet with the arrival of its 53rd A320neo in July as part of its ongoing order of 120 Airbus aircraft. 

The new model airplane arrived at King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, reinforcing flynas’s position as a prominent low-cost airline in the Middle East and ranking among the top four globally. 

During the UK’s Farnborough International Airshow in July, flynas signed a deal to double its fleet, with plans to purchase 160 additional Airbus planes, including 30 wide-body A330neos and 130 A320s. 

CEO and Managing Director Bander Al-Mohanna described the agreement as a key step toward establishing flynas as a leading global low-cost carrier. 

Since its inception in 2007, flynas has grown to serve over 70 domestic and international destinations, with 1,500 weekly flights and more than 80 million passengers flown to date.