Ramadan sees an uptick in consumer spending as e-commerce hits ‘peak season’

To break their fast, families prepare ‘iftar’ meals, which can be shared with neighbors and those in need. This rise in consumption significantly increases sales at grocery stores, marketplaces, and restaurants. (SPA)
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Updated 23 March 2024
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Ramadan sees an uptick in consumer spending as e-commerce hits ‘peak season’

  • Purchasing power of customers reflects a blend of religious observances and economic factors

RIYADH: Local markets and online shopping will experience a surge during Ramadan activities thanks to an influx of consumers adapting their shopping habits during the holy period. 

The purchasing power of customers in the Kingdom during the month reflects a unique blend of cultural traditions, religious observances, and economic factors.

In line with global consumer tendencies, those who observe Ramadan are prioritizing comfort and the opportunity to make personalized selections.

Food, produce and groceries 

To break their fast, families prepare lavish “iftar” meals, which can be shared with neighbors and those in need. This rise in consumption significantly increases sales at grocery stores, marketplaces, and restaurants. 

Singapore-based market research firm TGM told Arab News that this year 47 percent of expenses during the advent month are designated for food and drinks, with staple dishes like sambosa, shorba and kabsa as well as mahshi, and knafeh gracing dining tables.

In 2023, the Kingdom witnessed a significant rise in spending on cuisine and beverages during Ramadan, with 51 percent of consumers paying more in these categories.

As the world continues to favor digital currency over the traditional form, mobile apps and online food orders are gaining in popularity, with many users finding the purchasing method a reprieve from the standard approach. TGM highlighted that while home cooking dominates, there is a notable increase in digital app usage. 

Similarly, a new survey from global payment solution provider Checkout.com highlighted to Arab News that consumers in Saudi Arabia and the UAE plan to purchase a wider variety of products more frequently this Ramadan compared to celebrations in 2023.  

The most popular category of goods is expected to be groceries, with 60 percent of respondents planning to procure food more frequently.

Meal delivery is anticipated to be the second most commonly purchased group, with 50 percent of respondents saying they intend to allocate most of their budget to this service. 

This uptick in produce revenue can be felt in all regions across the Kingdom, with small businesses, local date sellers, and traditional Saudi coffee merchants witnessing increased demand in sales.

Located in Riyadh’s Seasonal Dates Market, local merchant Abdul Fatah Al-Amri told Arab News that Ramadan is his most active time, saying: “During the year, business is slow, in Ramadan, we sell four, five times more than we do in the full year.” 

Consumers are frequently using and leaning on online retail sites to help alleviate both time and money pressures.

Abdo Chlala, Country manager of Amazon Saudi Arabia

Similarly, in the Turaif region, markets and commercial centers are witnessing a revival as the month proceeds, amid increasing purchasing activity since the beginning of Ramadan.

Commercial movement began to rise gradually, driven by the increase in demand for basic food commodities and supplies for the holy month, the Saudi Press Agency noted. 

E-Commerce 

Alongside traditional brick-and-mortar establishments, online retail platforms witness a spike in activity during Ramadan, with consumers often preferring the comfort of shopping from home. 

Despite not following the conventional browsing approach, online purchasing has garnered widespread preference among consumers seeking the convenience of avoiding travel and the expansive product range available in digital stores, thereby expediting the search for desired goods.

Abdo Chlala, the country manager of Amazon Saudi Arabia, said that as the month of Ramadan begins, customers plan to host, cook, and gift, adding that with this shopping mindset instilled, consumers are frequently using and leaning on online retail sites to help alleviate both time and money pressures.

Chala outlined that navigating Ramadan and Eid means offering customers what they require at each stage, from preparation a month before Ramadan begins to season-ending celebrations.

Research conducted by Google further affirmed that digital shopping “keeps growing” in Saudi Arabia during the holy month, even among less traditionally online-savvy categories like food and beauty.

Echoing these notions, the survey from Checkout.com outlined that digital retailing will surge even further during this period.

Consumers in the Kingdom and the UAE have noted a strong inclination toward online purchasing, with 95 percent of those surveyed in the two countries saying that they shop online during Ramadan, with 29 percent doing so weekly or even daily, the survey showed.

As the month proceeds, approximately three-quarters of those polled, some 76 percent, plan to purchase products and services in the digital market more frequently or at the same rate during the holy month.

Meanwhile, 26 percent of those surveyed said that they will shop in person less frequently for products and services. 

HIGHLIGHTS

• Singapore-based market research firm TGM told Arab News that this year 47 percent of expenses during the advent month are designated for food and drinks, with staple dishes gracing dining tables.

• In 2023, the Kingdom witnessed a significant rise in spending on cuisine and beverages during Ramadan, with 51 percent of consumers paying more in these categories.

• Alongside traditional brick-and-mortar establishments, online retail platforms witness a spike in activity during Ramadan, with consumers often preferring the comfort of shopping from home.

• Online purchasing has garnered widespread preference among consumers seeking the convenience of avoiding travel and the expansive product range available in digital stores.

Speaking to Arab News, Samer Marei, regional CEO for the Gulf Cooperation Council at multinational logistics, courier and package delivery firm Aramex, said that Ramadan is considered peak season for e-commerce in “this part of the world.”

He noted that this is a result of different factors, including some people’s preference to receive items without leaving their homes, avoiding traffic, and adapting to the changed working hours. 

This rise in demand comes with the same or even higher expectations for service levels, Marei added.

With the rise in e-commerce accessibility and the convenience of online shopping, consumers tend to make more purchases and spend greater amounts, he explained. This trend is attributed to the ease of comparing prices and product options, leading to increased competition and lower expenses.

Marei also highlighted a growth in demand for gifts with the option to deliver them directly to the receiver, both locally and internationally. 

The CEO said: “All products have an uptick in sales during the month of Ramadan, mostly driven by promotions and discounts, but the top products are apparel, beauty, skincare, and toys.”

He added: “Being the market leader in delivering e-commerce orders, either internationally or local domestic deliveries, we can see that basket size, as value and weight, is larger than the normal off-peak season, and international shopping increased as consumers tend to buy based on promotions and deals from e-tailers outside their country.”

Fida Hijjawi, communications manager at Apparel Group, echoed Marei’s conclusions, telling Arab News that during Ramadan in Saudi Arabia, there is a notable surge in consumer shopping, with a significant shift toward online platforms.

This period is marked by increased purchases of clothing, gifts, and home items as consumers prepare to celebrate the month with fervor and generosity, she said.

Hijawi reaffirmed consumers’ increased inclination toward deals and promotions during this month, saying: “Given the economic landscape, consumers are increasingly seeking value, with promotions and special offers gaining significant traction. 

“For retailers, understanding these dynamics and adapting their strategies accordingly is essential to leverage the season’s opportunities and build lasting customer relationships.”

Beyond Ramadan

The anticipated spending habits throughout Ramadan come against a backdrop of stable consumer activity in Saudi Arabia, even as many other parts of the world see downward trends.

In February, consulting firm AlixPartners analyzed the changing customer sentiment in the Kingdom and forecast that unlike the Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, region – which is set for a 37 percent drop – shopping habits will broadly stay the same in 2024.

The report also found that while online shopping is widely embraced, customer personalization and loyalty are increasingly valued by shoppers in Saudi Arabia, particularly through personal interactions in brick-and-mortar stores.


Saudi real estate sector playing key role in GDP growth: Minister

Updated 31 March 2025
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Saudi real estate sector playing key role in GDP growth: Minister

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s expanding real estate sector is contributing directly to the growth of the Kingdom’s gross domestic product, according to the minister of economy and planning.

Faisal Al-Ibrahim told Al-Arabiya Business that the Saudi government has created an enabling environment for the private sector, allowing it to focus on qualitative investment in real estate development.

Those remarks come amid a broader government effort to stabilize the real estate market in Riyadh. Over the weekend, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman announced a series of measures aimed at addressing rising land prices and rental costs, including lifting restrictions on land transactions and development in northern Riyadh. 

The initiative, based on studies by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City and the Council of Economic and Development Affairs, seeks to increase housing accessibility, regulate market dynamics, and ensure sustainable growth in the sector.

In his remarks, Al-Ibrahim also highlighted the importance of cost regulation in supporting the private sector, enhancing market competitiveness, and driving sustainable economic growth.

Regarding upcoming policies and regulations, he said: “All legislative measures will be announced in due course, and their impact will be monitored in a structured and institutionalized manner to ensure they achieve the desired objectives.”

According to an analysis by real estate services firm JLL released at the end of March, the Saudi real estate sector is poised for further expansion, driven by Vision 2030’s economic diversification goals.

The firm said that the Kingdom’s non-oil sector is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2025, up from 4.5 percent in 2024.

The report highlighted Saudi Arabia’s strong construction activity, with project awards totaling $29.5 billion in 2024. A strong real estate market is critical for the Kingdom’s ambitions to position itself as a global hub for tourism and business. 

The property market is projected to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, growing at an annual rate of 8 percent from 2024.

Despite global economic headwinds, JLL’s country head for Saudi Arabia, Saud Al-Sulaimani, emphasized that Vision 2030’s strategic diversification efforts are attracting both domestic and international capital. 

Key sectors, particularly in Riyadh and Jeddah, are seeing sustained demand, with tourism and infrastructure initiatives further stimulating investment.


Stocks slide; bonds, gold buoyed as tariffs stoke recession fears

Updated 31 March 2025
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Stocks slide; bonds, gold buoyed as tariffs stoke recession fears

  • STOXX 600 falls 1.7 percent, US futures lower
  • Nikkei dives over 4 percent
  • Trump says US tariffs to cover all countries

LONDON: Major global share markets fell sharply on Monday and gold surged to another new record after US President Donald Trump said tariffs would essentially cover all countries, stoking worries a global trade war could lead to a recession.

Trump’s comments to reporters on Air Force One seemed to dash hopes the levies would be limited to a smaller group of countries with the biggest trade imbalances.

Trump is due to receive tariff recommendations on Tuesday and announce initial levels on Wednesday, followed by auto tariffs the day after.

“What the Trump administration has shown us so far is that you should not expect a consistent approach,” said George Lagarias, chief economist at Forvis Mazars.

“This is what scares the market the most. Inconsistency breeds uncertainty, and markets hate uncertainty.”

Europe’s STOXX 600 fell 1.7 percent to its lowest level in almost eight weeks, while major indexes in Frankfurt, London and Paris fell between 1.3 percent and 2 percent.

S&P 500 futures lost over 1 percent, extending losses after Friday’s 2 percent drop, while Nasdaq futures shed 1.5 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei led the rout in Asia, losing an eye-watering 4.1 percent and falling to a six-month low as automaker stocks continued to suffer fallout from Trump’s talk of 25 percent tariffs on imported cars.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shed 1.9 percent.

Seeking any safe harbor from the trade storm, investors piled into sovereign bonds and the Japanese yen and pushed gold prices to another all-time high.

“For the first time in years, we find ourselves genuinely worried about risk assets,” said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, head of rates markets at Barclays.

“If policy chaos and trade wars worsen much further, a recession is now a realistic risk across major economies,” he added. “For the first time in many quarters, we favor core fixed income over global equities.”

That “R” word

Many economists are worried that tariffs will hit the US economy hard, even as they limit the Federal Reserve’s scope to cut rates by driving inflation in the short term.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs now see a 35 percent chance of a US recession, up from 20 percent previously, saying they expect Trump to announce reciprocal tariffs that average 15 percent across all US trading partners on April 2.

Data out on Friday underlined the risks as a key measure of core inflation rose by more than expected in February while consumer spending disappointed.

That raised the stakes for the March payrolls report due on Friday where any outcome below the 140,000 gain expected would only add to recession fears. Also due are a rush of surveys on factories and services, along with figures on trade and job openings.

Bond investors seemed to be betting the slowdown in US economic growth will outweigh a temporary lift in inflation and prompt the Fed to cut rates by about 80 basis points this year.

This, combined with a flight from risk assets, saw the 10-year Treasury yield drop as low as 4.184 percent while the two-year yield hit 3.842 percent. Germany’s 10-year yield fell as low as 2.659 percent, its lowest since March 5.

The outlook for rates could become clearer when Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks on Friday, following a host of other Fed speakers this week.

The drop in US yields saw the dollar ease 0.4 percent to 149.30 yen, while the euro held at $1.08. The dollar index was steady at 104.05, having slipped for the previous two sessions.
The perceived safety of gold saw the metal hit another all-time high at $3,128.06 an ounce.


Saudi Arabia’s consumer spending to stay resilient, experts say 

Updated 31 March 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s consumer spending to stay resilient, experts say 

  • Millennials and Gen Z consumers will continue driving demand for e-commerce and cross-border retail
  • Government spending and economic diversification are playing a vital role in stimulating consumer spending

RIYADH: Consumer spending in Saudi Arabia is expected to stay robust this year, driven by a youthful population and digitalization, according to multiple experts. 

Speaking to Arab News, Sunil Kumar, CEO of supermarket chain Spinneys, said that consumer spending in the Kingdom is expected to witness a compound annual growth rate of 6.4 percent from 2022 to 2028, while UAE will see an expansion of 4.3 percent during the same period. 

The views of Kumar align with the findings of a recent report published by global consulting firm AlixPartners which said Saudi Arabia’s consumer market is evolving rapidly, characterized by adaptability, shifting spending patterns, and resilience in the face of global economic challenges. 

Spinneys’s CEO explained that as the Saudi and UAE economies continue to achieve growth, consumer confidence remains strong, fueling demand for premium products. 

“Convenience is another important factor, with the accelerating penetration of aggregators, as well as proprietary e-commerce platforms like our own, making fresh, premium products quickly and easily accessible,” he said. 

Spinneys opened its first Saudi store in June 2024, with 12 additional stores expected to open across the Kingdom by 2028. Spinneys

Factors driving consumer spending

Usman Iftikhar, principal in the retail and consumer goods practice for India, the Middle East, and Africa at Oliver Wyman, told Arab News that strategic government investments, digital advancements, and tourism initiatives are some of the major factors that are driving the growth of consumer spending in the Middle East and North Africa.

Iftikhar added that the MENA region now has a dynamic and evolving marketplace, fostering increased demand for a wide range of goods and services.

“The region has a young and growing population, which drives demand for goods and services, particularly in sectors such as education, technology, and entertainment. For example, in Saudi Arabia, one of the largest markets in the MENA region, more than 60 percent of the population is under the age of 30,” said Iftikhar. 

He added: “Government spending and economic diversification play a vital role in stimulating consumer spending. Many countries in the region are investing in infrastructure, tourism, and non-oil sectors, boosting employment and consumer confidence.” 

The Oliver Wyman official added that increased internet penetration and smartphone adoption are fueling e-commerce growth in the region, and is reshaping how consumers shop. 

Jim Liu, general manager of AliExpress for the GCC region, shared identical views and told Arab News that consumer spending growth in the MENA region is fueled by rapid technological advancements, evolving consumer preferences, and a digitally native, mobile-first population. 

“Structural reforms, increased investments in digital infrastructure, and the rise of payment solutions are further enhancing online retail accessibility,” said Liu. 

Speaking to Arab News in February, Ali Bailoun, regional general manager of Visa, also highlighted how consumer retail spending in the Kingdom is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, with the share of e-commerce in the overall sector projected to reach 46 percent by 2030. 

All these views align with Saudi Arabia’s ongoing transition toward a diversified, digitally-driven economy, with e-commerce playing a crucial role.

Sectors benefiting from increased consumer spending 

Experts told Arab News that several sectors including electronics and gadgets, food and beverages, entertainment and leisure, and travel and tourism, will be the beneficiaries of increased consumer spending in Saudi Arabia and the wider Middle East region. 

According to AlixPartners report, groceries and clothing categories are expected to dominate as key spending categories in 2025, with consumers prioritizing value-driven deals and savings. 

Highlighting the growth of the entertainment sector in the Kingdom, the analysis added that 33 percent of Saudi consumers plan to increase spending on entertainment outside of the home, well above the 19 percent global average. 

Usman Iftikhar, principal in the retail and consumer goods practice for India, the Middle East, and Africa at Oliver Wyman. Supplied

“Entertainment and leisure activities are seeing increased demand as disposable incomes rise. For instance, Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 aims to boost household spending on entertainment from 2.9 percent to 6 percent by 2030, reflecting a growing appetite for cinemas, theme parks, and recreational activities,” said Iftikhar. 

He added: “The travel and tourism sector is rebounding, with hospitality and airlines benefiting from renewed consumer interest.”

Kumar said that sustained economic growth and rising disposable incomes in Saudi Arabia and the UAE are having a very positive impact on grocery shopping.

“The fresh food segment continues to see especially strong demand, driven by a growing consumer preference for high-quality, healthy and sustainably sourced products. At Spinneys, fresh food accounted for more than 63 percent of sales in 2024, with standout performances by product categories including fresh fruit, premium berries and organic products,” added Kumar. 

Liu said that strong economic policies are elevating business confidence in the region, with consumer spending expected to increase significantly in tech gadgets. 

“At AliExpress, we see this trend reflected in high demand for tech gadgets, fashion, household electronics, and lifestyle products — categories where consumers are prioritizing quality, affordability, and convenience,” added Liu. 

The impact of inflation 

According to Oliver Wyman’s Iftikhar, inflation and global economic uncertainty are significantly affecting purchasing behavior among consumers, creating a sense of cautious optimism regarding overall spending. 

Citing a survey carried out by his firm, Iftikhar said that 31 percent of households in Saudi Arabia reported a drop in income during 2024, with 11 percent experiencing declines of more than 50 percent. 

The findings revealed that to save money, many consumers are changing their shopping behaviors, with 48 percent of those surveyed reporting comparing prices, and 46 percent actively looking for stores that offer lower prices. 

“Retailers must adapt to these shifting behaviors to meet the evolving needs of a consumer base increasingly focused on maximizing value,” he added. 

Kumar of Spinneys shared a different view and noted that the company is not seeing a slowdown in spending in response to inflation, with consumers instead preferring high-quality products, especially in the food sector. 

Liu  also shared similar views and said: “At AliExpress, we are seeing sustained growth in the region as more consumers turn to our platform for high-quality products at affordable prices — items they would typically pay more for elsewhere. This shift highlights the increasing importance of affordability, promotions, and personalized shopping experiences in maintaining customer trust and loyalty.”

Consumer spending: The future outlook

Iftikhar also outlined several key trends that will reshape the consumer spending pattern in the Middle East region over the next few years, with a particular focus on the rise of artificial intelligence. 

“AI revolution is gaining traction, with over 50 percent of customers in the GCC expressing excitement about the potential of generative AI to enhance their online and in-store experiences. Generative AI can significantly reshape the consumer experience by enabling companies to tailor products and offerings more effectively,” said Iftikhar. 

He added that personalization is becoming a key differentiator in consumer expectations, with more than 60 percent of customers interested in tailored promotions and recommendations. 

Liu said that the future of consumer spending in MENA will be shaped by digital-first retail strategies, economic diversification, and a mobile-driven shopping culture. 

“The region is undergoing a payment revolution, with digital wallets and alternative payment methods like buy now, pay later gaining significant traction. Quick commerce is emerging as a significant sector, and this growth is driven by demand for rapid delivery across non-grocery categories like beauty, pharma, electronics, and fashion,” said Liu. 

The AliExpress official added that millennials and Gen Z consumers, who expect seamless, tech-enabled shopping experiences, will continue driving demand for e-commerce and cross-border retail. 

Focusing on the future of the retail food industry in the region, Kumar said that consumer spending in the GCC will be shaped by health, sustainability and convenience. 

He added that the region is witnessing a rising demand for whole food sources, high-protein and nutrient-dense foods, as consumers become more conscious of the effects of processed eatables. 

“Convenience remains at the forefront of consumer preference, with functional beverages and nutrient-dense snacks gaining traction. However, we expect this to evolve beyond speed and ease – with consumers now seeking hyper-personalized options that deliver on health, flavor and sustainability,” said Kumar.


UAE reaches 26 trade agreements under economic partnership initiative

Updated 31 March 2025
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UAE reaches 26 trade agreements under economic partnership initiative

  • The deals come as free trade agreements across the GCC region on the rise

RIYADH: The UAE has signed five new trade deals so far in 2025, bringing the total number reached under its Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement program to 26.

According to the state news agency WAM, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Kenya, as well as Ukraine and the Central African Republic, all signed deals in the first quarter of the year.

These agreements sit alongside those inked with countries such as Turkiye, India, and Indonesia since the CEPA program was launched in September 2021. 

CEPA is a free trade agreement between two countries designed to reduce or eliminate barriers to trade and investment, thereby facilitating stronger commercial ties between the participating parties.

The UAE is also in the final stages of negotiations with several major economies, including Japan, and the talks are expected to be concluded by the end of this year, the statement revealed.

According to WAM, the CEPAs are having a positive impact on the UAE’s goal to raise the total value of the non-oil foreign trade in goods to 4 trillion dirhams ($1.09 trillion) and to increase non-oil exports to 800 billion dirhams by the year 2031.

“The CEPA program has accelerated this upward trajectory, supporting progress toward the targets outlined in the ‘We the UAE 2031’ vision,” said the statement. 

The news agency further said that these agreements, signed over a period of less than four years, significantly expanded the country’s global trade network while creating new opportunities for the UAE’s private sector and businesses. 

Alongside the six deals that have already come into force, 14 are undergoing technical and ratification procedures in preparation for implementation. 

The report added that negotiations on another six agreements have been finalized, and the signings are expected to happen soon. 

According to the UAE’s Ministry of Economy, the six CEPA deals that have come into force are with India, Israel, and Indonesia, as well as Turkiye, Cambodia, and Georgia. 

The ministry added that another CEPA agreement with Costa Rica will come into force on April 1. 

Following the CEPA agreement with India, which became effective in May 2022, non-oil trade between the UAE and the Asian nation grew by 20.5 percent, with the Emirates’ exports to India jumping by 75 percent by the end of 2024.

WAM added that trade with Turkiye rose by over 11 percent, with Indonesia seeing growth exceeding 15 percent, and Georgia recording a remarkable 56 percent increase since the implementation of CEPA. 

The major beneficiaries of these CEPA agreements include sectors such as logistics, clean and renewable energy, advanced technology and applications, and financial services. 

Other key sectors benefiting from these deals include green industries, advanced materials, agriculture, and sustainable food systems.

Free Trade Agreements across GCC region on the rise 

UAE’s CEPA program comes as many Gulf nations are seeking to improve non-oil trade through free trade agreements. 

In December, Saudi Arabia’s General Authority for Foreign Trade led the first round of negotiations for a deal between the Gulf Cooperation Council and Japan. 

A month earlier, New Zealand entered into a free trade agreement with the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council, which includes Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar. 

Jasem Mohamed Al-Budaiwi, secretary general of the GCC, said at that time that the agreement is expected to drive economic growth and development in both countries by facilitating trade, attracting investment, and creating new opportunities for businesses and industries.

In February, Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al Thani met with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and discussed various ways to enhance bilateral ties, with discussions underway for a future free trade agreement. 

Speaking at the time, Arun Kumar Chatterjee, the secretary of India’s Ministry of External Affairs, said his government is keen to implement a broader India-GCC free trade agreement, and negotiations with Qatar are a first step in this process. 

India is also on the road to finalize a comprehensive trade and investment agreement with Oman. 

In January, Omani Commerce Minister Qais bin Mohammad Al-Yousef told Press Trust of India that the pact, which is expected to be finalized this year, could significantly boost two-way trade and investment ties between both countries. 

The UK has also been negotiating with countries in the GCC since 2022 to establish a free trade agreement. 

In November, its Business and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds visited Dubai as a part of the European nation’s efforts to complete the talks. 

A key economic partner for the region is China, and in September, the country’s Premier Li Qiang called for free trade negotiations between his country and the GCC nations to speed up.

He added that China is ready to further strengthen communication and coordination and consolidate the political foundation of bilateral ties, while also urging both sides to deepen cooperation in energy, investment, innovation, science and technology.


Gold soars to record high, eyes best quarter since 1986

Updated 31 March 2025
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Gold soars to record high, eyes best quarter since 1986

  • Bullion up over 18 percent so far for the quarter
  • Trump expected to announce reciprocal tariffs on April 2
  • Silver, platinum, palladium set for monthly gains

BENGALURU: Gold prices surged above $3,100 per ounce on Monday to a record high, as worries about potential inflation due to US tariffs set the safe-haven asset up for its strongest quarter since 1986.

Bullion continued its remarkable rally that has already seen the metal gain around 18 percent so far this year.

Spot gold jumped 1.1 percent to $3,117.43 per ounce by 12:35 p.m. Saudi time, having hit a record $3,128.06 earlier. US gold futures were up 1.1 percent to $3,149.60.

Bullion rose more than 27 percent last year as several bullish factors, including a favorable monetary policy backdrop and robust central bank buying, combined to send investors toward the safe-haven asset.

On technical charts, gold’s Relative Strength Index stands above 77, indicating the market is overbought, but analysts have said momentum has defied any standard logic of where prices are positioned.

“Gold’s bull run is the reflection of the anxiety around tariffs. The fears that these tariffs are going to be growth constraining, potentially leading to lower economic outcomes,” is supporting gold,” Nitesh Shah, commodities strategist at WisdomTree, said.

Trump is expected to announce reciprocal tariffs on April 2, while automobile tariffs will take effect on April 3.

A combination of other factors, including rate cuts bets, central bank purchases and demand for exchange-traded funds have all helped non-yielding bullion’s record run.

“Gold prices could be trading around $3,500 about this time next year and that reflects sentiment toward the metal remaining strong, primarily with all the geopolitical risks still there,” Shah said.

On the physical front, gold demand in India remained sluggish last week because of record high prices and as jewellers were busy closing accounts for the financial year, while most other Asian hubs also saw waning buying interest.

Spot silver rose 0.2 percent to $34.17 an ounce, platinum was up 1 percent to $993.15 and palladium gained 0.5 percent to $976.75. All three metals headed for monthly gains.