PIF set to have $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030: report

In just eight years since its restructuring, the Saudi fund has become a dominant force both domestically and internationally, with the aim of advancing Vision 2030 and achieving the status of the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund by the end of the decade. (SPA)
Short Url
Updated 28 April 2024
Follow

PIF set to have $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030: report

  • In March 2024, PIF’s assets under management surpassed $925 billion, up from $700 billion at the end of 2022

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is poised to reach $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030, propelling it from 5th to 2nd place globally among sovereign wealth bodies, according to Global SWF.

The organization that monitors activity in this area stated that PIF’s rapid ascent can be attributed to the fund’s focus on  direct investments, emphasis on  key sectors of the Saudi economy, dedication to sustainability  through leading investments in  renewables and green assets, and active participation in the digital economy.

The institute’s 2024 annual report disclosed that in 2023, PIF took the lead as the top investor among all sovereign wealth funds, allocating $31.6 billion across 49 deals – a 33 percent increase from the prior year. 

This progress elevated the fund by 10 positions between global sovereign investors in new capital deployed within a mere three years.

In just eight years since its restructuring, the Saudi fund has become a dominant force both domestically and internationally, with the aim of advancing Vision 2030 and achieving the status of the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund by the end of the decade.

In March 2024, PIF’s assets under management surpassed $925 billion, up from $700 billion at the end of 2022, securing its position as the fifth largest global sovereign wealth fund, after the government transferred an additional 8 percent stake in Aramco to its portfolio.

The fund strategically delved into co-investments and forged joint ventures to bolster Saudi Arabia’s drive for economic diversification. 

Noteworthy examples include partnerships with mining giant Ma’aden, tire makers Pirelli, and car manufacturer Hyundai.

This was alongside an agreement with Baosteel and Aramco for the construction of a steel mill. 

The report highlighted that unlike numerous sovereign wealth funds that frequently choose co-investing as their primary strategy, both globally and in the Gulf region, PIF stands out with a strong preference for direct investments in private equity.

Specifically, it targets critical sectors of the Saudi economy, including sports and leisure, tourism, and gaming, as well as construction, and heavy industry.

Despite the clear advantages that co-investing offers – such as enhanced due diligence, favorable fee terms, and portfolio diversification – some sovereign investors may shy away due to concerns about deal visibility and relinquishing transaction control to other government funds.

According to the report, PIF stood out from other funds due to its substantial domestic investments, which significantly impacted its international investment capacity relative to other funds.

In 2023, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund saw an 18 percent growth in its US equities portfolio, driven by rising stock values. 

PIF maintained a passive approach, keeping major positions unchanged. 

According to the report, its largest holding remained a 63 percent stake in Lucid Motors. 

PIF initiated its investment of $1 billion in the electric vehicle rival to Tesla back in 2018, and following Lucid’s initial public offering three years later has continued to infuse capital into the company.

This included an injection of $2 billion in June 2023, and Lucid is on course to commence EV production in Saudi Arabia by 2025.

PIF’s US-listed portfolio includes $8.1 billion in gaming companies such as Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts, and Take-Two, reflecting the Kingdom’s plan to invest $38 billion to become a hub for this sector as part of Vision 2030.

In its report, Global SWF discussed the challenges encountered by sovereign investors in recent years and the corresponding solutions they implemented in 2023 to enhance the resilience of their portfolios.

One significant challenge involved addressing the decarbonization of the global economy. This was tackled through the introduction of a new sustainable investment strategy, shedding light on “climate alpha.” This typically refers to investments or strategies that aim to address global warming and its associated risks and opportunities.

This could include investments in companies or projects that are focused on renewable energy and efficiency, sustainable agriculture, clean transportation, and other environmentally friendly initiatives.

Sovereign investors showcased their dedication to sustainability during COP28, highlighted by the UAE’s launch of a $30 billion climate-focused fund, supported by BlackRock and fellow state-backed wealth funds. The goal is to access these areas while also greening existing black assets through de-carbonization.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has taken a leading role in direct investments within the EV and automotive sectors. As well as its stake in Lucid, the Kingdom launched its own EV carmaker, Ceer, in a joint venture with Taiwan’s Foxconn. 

Further partnerships include collaborations with Tasaru for component localization, Hyundai for a car plant, and Pirelli for tire manufacturing.

According to Global SWF, sovereign investors directed a record $26.1 billion towards green assets in 2023, prioritizing investments in the energy transition, including renewables, battery storage, and EVs.

Gulf sovereign wealth funds contributed nearly half of this sum, leading the charge in driving the energy transition agenda.

The report also underscored another challenge encountered by sovereign funds, which is market volatility and the risks stemming from geo-economic fragmentation.

To tackle this issue, fund investors have embraced a more comprehensive total portfolio strategy. This strategy integrates alpha and beta return drivers, merging top-down and bottom-up analyses, with a significant emphasis on diversification.

By adopting this holistic approach, investors gain a thorough understanding of their investments, facilitating more informed decision-making, enhanced risk management, and the opportunity to optimize portfolio performance by focusing on the unique attributes and dynamics of each component within the portfolio.

The rise of disruptive artificial intelligence was also addressed in the report, which noted it represents a significant risk for sovereign investors as it can lead to rapid changes in industries, markets, and investment landscapes.

AI-powered technologies can impact traditional business models, alter consumer behavior, and introduce new competitive dynamics. To address this challenge, one proposed solution by sovereign investors is to integrate AI-powered portfolios into their investment strategies.

By incorporating AI technologies into portfolio management, sovereign funds can leverage advanced algorithms and data analytics to gain valuable insights. 

AI-powered portfolios can analyze vast amounts of data in real-time, identifying trends, patterns, and market signals that may not be immediately apparent to human analysts. This can lead to more accurate risk assessments, better market timing, and enhanced investment decision-making.

Additionally, AI can enable sovereign investors to automate certain aspects of portfolio management, such as rebalancing, trade execution, and risk monitoring. This not only increases operational efficiency but also allows for more agile responses to changing market conditions.

According to the report, 2023 saw sovereign wealth funds adjusting their real estate investments amidst concerns of global interest rate hikes and a potential property bubble.

Despite an overall softening in the market, some segments, such as data centers and affordable housing, saw growth as fund investors aligned with emerging megatrends. Data center investments surged by 150 percent to $7.6 billion in 2023, indicating a strong focus on future-oriented assets.

This shift reflects a move from traditional investments to a more sophisticated strategy, exemplified by PIF’s forming partnerships to develop data centers.

The report flagged up that in 2023, the GCC region – led by the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, ADQ, PIF, and the Qatar Investment Authority – saw a record surge in sovereign capital to $4.1 trillion in assets under management, with transactions totaling $82.3 billion.

Projections indicate these sovereign wealth funds could reach $7.6 trillion in assets by 2030. This growth, according to the report, is fueled by high oil prices and a maturing investment landscape, driving economic diversification with growth forecasts of 3.6 percent and 3.7 percent for GCC nations in 2024 and 2025.

In this region, two distinctive sovereign wealth fund management approaches were highlighted by Global SWF. 

Abu Dhabi’s strategy involves the establishment of multiple SWFs, each with specific missions overseen by different royals. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, centralizes its investment and strategic efforts under PIF, aligned with the government’s overarching vision.

Further, its leaders have no problems in announcing grand plans for the fund, using it in its name to buy football clubs or golf leagues, and in sharing its finances publicly given its fundraising efforts, in a rather refreshing fashion, the report said.

The institute presented updated projections in the State-Owned Investors 2030 section, factoring in the industry’s recovery in assets under management in 2023. 

It anticipates that public pension funds and central banks will reach $54.9 trillion by 2025 and $71 trillion by 2030. By then, Norway’s Norges Bank Investment Management, Saudi’s PIF, and Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund could lead the table with over $2 trillion in assets under management each.


Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister

Updated 8 sec ago
Follow

Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister

  • Syrian leadership’s promises ‘very positive,’ Ali Ahmed Al-Kuwari tells World Economic Forum
  • Fiscal deficit, rising borrowing affecting many countries are ‘problems that few want to discuss’

DAVOS: Qatar considers it a duty to support Syria and its new administration after 14 years of devastating civil war, Qatari Finance Minister Ali Ahmed Al-Kuwari said on Wednesday.

The cost of reconstructing Syria is estimated at $400 billion, as the country needs to rebuild the housing, industrial and energy infrastructure damaged during the conflict.

Since 2011, Qatar supported Syrian opposition factions that captured the seat of power in Damascus in early December 2024.

Doha also avoided reestablishing diplomatic relations during the twilight months of the Assad regime, which rejoined the Arab League in 2023.

Al-Kuwari, who visited Syria last week, said: “The whole world is supposed to help Syria (right now). The words and promises from the leadership there are promising and very positive.”

He added that the new leadership, led by rebel-turned-statesman Ahmed Al-Sharaa, recognizes that the task ahead is transitioning from insurgency to building Syrian institutions.

“This task will need the help of the world. We can’t afford Syria going back to the (years) of bloodshed again,” Al-Kuwari said.

“We’ll invest in education (to help the Syrians) because educated people will work hard, they’ll make money, they’ll prosper and grow.”

The Qatari minister made these comments during the “Navigating the Fiscal Squeeze” panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, which discussed challenges for financial growth, global debt and rising inflation.

The panel included speakers from the International Monetary Fund, the UCLA School of Law, the London Stock Exchange Group, and Zimbabwe’s Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube.

Syrians watch fireworks as they gather for New Year's Eve celebrations in Damascus after the fall of Assad (AFP)

Qatar has one of the highest per capita incomes in the world, making it one of the wealthiest nations due to its abundant natural gas and oil reserves.

However, the country dealt with several challenges following the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to an inflation rate of 5 percent in 2022.

Doha was not alone in facing these difficulties; the pandemic contributed to a nearly 4.4 percent contraction of the global economy in 2020. 

Al-Kuwari said Qatar is pursuing a policy of fiscal discipline, which has allowed the country to maintain a budget surplus and low debt levels, as well as effectively manage any economic challenges it encounters.

“We’ve developed a medium-term fiscal policy framework for the upcoming 20 years, with different scenarios of revenues based on oil prices, taxation and spending scenarios ... (Based on that) we decide to invest or save,” he said, adding that the fiscal deficit and rising borrowing affecting many countries are “problems that few want to discuss,” which poses the threat of a financial crisis.

An IMF report projected that global debt — including government, business and personal borrowing — will exceed $100 trillion, about 93 percent of global gross domestic product, by the end of 2024. It is expected to reach 100 percent of GDP by 2030.

“There will be a huge impact if we don’t do anything about it today,” Al-Kuwari warned. “So many people focus on economic growth and creating quick wins for their economy while the fiscal issues get forgotten.

“The fiscal balance should complement the economic growth, and we shouldn’t have growth at the expense of the fiscal.”


Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum

Updated 34 min 26 sec ago
Follow

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum

  • IMF downgrading of Kingdom’s growth projection for the year ahead did not paint the full picture, says Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan
  • KSA’s economic diversification was driving steady growth, with the Kingdom prioritizing its non-oil GDP over traditional oil revenues, he said

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s finance minister on Wednesday said that the recent International Monetary Fund downgrading of its growth projection for the Kingdom’s economy for the year ahead did not paint the full picture.

Speaking on a panel at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Mohammed Al-Jadaan said that it was important not to look just at gross domestic product but at other indicators as well.

The IMF revised Saudi Arabia’s 2025 GDP growth projection down to 3.3 percent, citing the impact of extended oil production cuts. 

Saudi Arabia’s commitment to economic diversification under Vision 2030 was driving steady growth, with the Kingdom prioritizing its non-oil GDP over traditional oil revenues. 

“The whole idea of Vision 2030 is to diversify our economy. So our focus is really the non-oil GDP, and non-oil GDP has been growing very healthily over the last few years,” he said.

Al-Jadaan underscored the significance of private-sector confidence, pointing to a sharp rise in private-sector investment as a percentage of GDP — from 16–17 percent a few years ago to 24 percent today.

“That 50 percent increase is not easy. Ask any economist, and they will tell you it requires significant structural change, and it is happening in Saudi Arabia,” he said.

Saudi Arabia had also made strategic decisions to contain oil production despite having significant spare capacity. “We can produce 1,000,000 barrels more per day and we will have the highest-growing GDP in the world, but how is this helpful? It isn’t, actually,” Al-Jadaan said.

“We need to be very careful when we look at GDP as a measure for growth because you need to look at other indicators,” he added.

With unemployment rates at historic lows and the private-sector thriving, Saudi Arabia continued to make “tough, difficult decisions” to sustain long-term growth. “If you want to see it, you will need to make tough decisions,” Al-Jadaan said.

Al-Jadaan also highlighted the role artificial intelligence could play in this diversification of the economy, saying in the future that the Kingdom could be exporting data instead of oil.

“I think AI is a trendy term, but if we are not careful we could be left behind,” he said. “We need to think: Where is our competitive advantage within the value chain of AI?”

To build the necessary infrastructure for AI, significant amounts of energy, particularly clean and renewable energy, were required, he said. This effort also demanded substantial land for renewable projects, robust fiber-optic networks and a skilled workforce.

According to Al-Jadaan, Saudi Arabia’s competitive edge lies in its ability to produce the world’s cheapest solar power, its government’s agile and supportive policies allowing quick licensing and approvals, and the Kingdom’s plans to implement regulatory measures that treat data centers with the same protections as embassies, ensuring robust security and compliance with international standards.

He also highlighted that Saudi Arabia was a world leader in government cybersecurity, adding that it was “handled, operated, managed, programmed and coded 100 percent by Saudi talent.”

Discussing the broader Middle East and North Africa region, which is projected to rebound from a growth rate of 2 percent in 2024 to 3.5 percent in 2025, according to IMF projections, Al-Jadaan said that he was optimistic about the region’s prospects.

He acknowledged its significant challenges, including high youth unemployment and geopolitical crises.

“MENA has possibly the highest youth unemployment in the world, at I think 27, 28 percent. MENA needs to create, according to the IMF, about 30 million new jobs by 2030,” he said.

Despite these challenges, Al-Jadaan highlighted the region’s strengths, including a young, tech-savvy population and abundant natural resources. “If we focus on human capital, if we focus on skilling our people in MENA, I think the potential is absolutely high,” he said.

He also called for regional stability and reform to unlock long-term potential, adding: “With the right ingredients of reforming governments, reforming governance and utilizing technology to our own competitive advantage, I think we’d see a new region.”
 


Saudi Vision 2030 spurring growth across the real estate sector, says industry leader at Davos

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)
Updated 22 January 2025
Follow

Saudi Vision 2030 spurring growth across the real estate sector, says industry leader at Davos

  • Sustainability is at the heart of Saudi Arabia’s real estate development, says Dar Al-Arkan Chairman Yousef Al-Shelash
  • Housing demand in Saudi Arabia is surging, driving the need for significant funding and development

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is undergoing a transformation that ranges from affordable housing to luxury living under the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 reform agenda, according to the chairman of Saudi company Dar Al Arkan.

Yousef A. Al-Shelash highlighted the strides being made during a conversation with Arab News at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday.

“The Vision 2030 has developed the whole economy, not only the real estate sector,” Al-Shelash said. “It’s developed not only the approach of the sector, but it has also brought a new standard in regulations to be as good as we deserve.”

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. “As a country, we are one of the big 20 economies of the world, so we believe the Saudis deserve more,” Al-Shelash added.

s one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)

Vision 2030 places a strong emphasis on affordable housing and improving living standards for Saudi citizens. Al-Shelash said that the government is playing a proactive role in ensuring these goals are met.

“The vision is there not only to facilitate for the developers and for the foreign investors, but also to facilitate affordable housing for most of the Saudi citizens,” he said.

The Kingdom’s growing population and rapid urbanization have led to a pressing demand for housing.

“The Kingdom needs more housing, and that requires a lot of funding and development,” Al-Shelash said.

He emphasized the role of government entities such as the Public Investment Fund and the Ministry of Housing in elevating the industry’s standards.

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)

“The government itself has entered to become a developer or a service provider, not just to compete with the private sector, but to raise the standard,” he said.

In addition to affordable housing, Saudi Arabia is experiencing strong demand in the ultra-high-net-worth individual market. “There's a lot of demand. We have more than 3,000 brokers worldwide, a lot of demand from foreign entities to invest in (the Kingdom) and to hold a second home in Saudi Arabia,” he added. He also expressed his confidence that regulatory changes to facilitate such investments “will be coming any time now.”

Dar Global, the international arm of Dar Al Arkan of which Al-Shelash is vice-chairman, listed on the London Stock Exchange in 2023 and Al-Shelash underscored the significance of this move. “London is for sure an attractive market for Saudi investors. The stock exchange there is one of the best worldwide. So that will put the company on a very high standard regulation,” he said.

The listing not only positions Dar Global among the world’s most regulated markets but also strengthens its ability to collaborate with local partners in diverse regions. “To be a developer, you have to be with some other partners. So, if you would like to do some joint ventures or work with other companies — because the real estate industry is everywhere — it’s about local knowledge,” he said.

Developing real estate sustainably is becoming a cornerstone of the Kingdom’s development strategy, and this is the case for Dar Al Arkan, domestically and internationally. “Developing sustainably is about embracing and using the technology that’s out there and facilitating green practices wherever possible,” Al-Shelash said.


AI can offer solutions for water scarcity say WEF panelists

Updated 22 January 2025
Follow

AI can offer solutions for water scarcity say WEF panelists

  • Christophe Beck: We need to redesign our processes being data centers, mill production, or processors in ways that the water never leaves the site
  • Fabrizio Palermo: AI can also help in the transportation of water because it’s a question of managing data

DUBAI: Artificial intelligence can be used to reduce wastewater and redesign systems to facilitate resource recycling, a panel of experts told the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Christophe Beck, chairman and CEO of Ecolab, said countries are becoming aware of the need for water to produce chips that get into the AI chain, which could, in return, be used to reduce wastewater.

According to UN figures, by 2030, more than half of the world’s population will be water stressed, affecting economics, health and existing food scarcity and threatening $1.6 trillion in assets.

“We need to redesign our processes being data centers, mill production, or processors in ways that the water never leaves the site. That’s what we do in data centers related to chip cooling where water never leaves the data centers, unlike the old technologies,” Beck said.

He called for legislations that enable the use of new technologies to reuse water, which ultimately saves energy. “Up to 75 percent of the energy used by power plants is used to manage, heat, cool, transport and treat water. When we reuse and recycle the water, we save energy and money, as well as reduce carbon footprint,” Beck said.

The Water Resilience Coalition aims to get 150 companies that affect a third of the world’s water usage to make three commitments: to save water by saving energy and leveraging technology; work on the 100 most critical basins that are serving 3 billion people; and provide water to 300 million people.

“It is business driven, and it is capital that’s invested at a return, creating a business model that is ultimately much more sustainable and provides water for people in need,” Beck said.

Fabrizio Palermo, CEO and general manager of Acea, emphasized the need for investment and funding in water resilience, given water’s importance to agriculture, industry, energy and AI.

An ecosystem needs to be created to protect sources, collect rainwater properly and achieve maintenance on basins, he said.

“AI can also help in the transportation of water because it’s a question of managing data. This infrastructure in Europe has been designed more than 56 years ago where the landscape in terms of technology was completely different and no one is in a situation to do predictive maintenance on this infrastructure,” Palermo said.

He called for net zero in water to avoid waste and curb government spending on health.

“It is very important that the water is reused and not sent to the rivers and then to the sea because water is linked with water. Government spending on health is related to water because the consequences of not having proper fresh water are evident nowadays,” Palermo said.

Meanwhile, Fajer Mushtaq, co-founder and CEO of Oxyle, warned of the effects of synthetic chemicals, known as PFAS compounds, on water contamination in Europe, calling for regulations and corporate responsibility to tackle water treatment and monitor the safety of discharged substances.

“I think it’s a systematic problem. The biggest barrier is to enable a proper treatment of water, which is not just going to be from a PFAS perspective, but our system that makes micropollutants.”

Technology needs to be directed at creating a new ecosystem, guided by clear regulations, to ensure safe water is provided for communities, Mushtaq said.


Oman’s Asyad Group plans to sell at least 20% of shipping unit via IPO

Updated 22 January 2025
Follow

Oman’s Asyad Group plans to sell at least 20% of shipping unit via IPO

  • Offering will be made in two tranches, with 75% made to eligible investors in Oman and qualified institutional and other foreign investors
  • Remaining 25% will be sold to retail investors in Oman

DUBAI: Oman’s state-owned logistics firm Asyad Group plans to sell shares in its shipping subsidiary through an initial public offering, it said on Wednesday, as part of the Gulf country’s privatization drive.
The group, owned by Oman’s sovereign wealth fund, plans to sell a stake of at least 20 percent in Asyad Shipping Co. and float it on the Muscat stock exchange, it said in a document detailing its intention to float.
“The intended listing would provide investors with the opportunity to invest in one of the world’s largest diversified maritime shipping companies and a key player in the Omani economy,” the company said.
Oman is pushing forward with a privatization drive to attract foreign investors.
That strategy, along with fiscal reforms, has helped the sultanate pay down debt and turn its large fiscal deficit of recent years into a surplus since 2022.
Asyad Shipping focuses on transporting liquefied natural gas, crude oil and other products. It lists energy firms BP and Shell, as well as trading firm Trafigura among its customers and partners.
Reuters reported in July last year that Asyad was planning an initial public offering of the subsidiary and had selected Jefferies Group and EFG Hermes as advisers.
The offering will be made in two tranches, with 75 percent made to eligible investors in Oman and qualified institutional and other foreign investors. Of the 75 percent tranche, 30 percent of shares have been earmarked for anchor investors, the firm said, without naming them.
The remaining 25 percent will be sold to retail investors in Oman.
The subscription period is expected to start next month, after the company has received regulatory approval.
Asyad Shipping plans to pay dividends semi-annually, beginning in September 2025 for the first six months of this year.
The company posted an adjusted core profit margin of 69 percent for the first nine months of last year, up from 65 percent over the same period in 2023.
Oman Investment Bank, EFG Hermes, JP Morgan and Jefferies are acting as joint global coordinators. Sohar International is acting as joint global coordinator and as issue manager.
Credit Agricole and Societe Generale are joint bookrunners.