PIF set to have $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030: report

In just eight years since its restructuring, the Saudi fund has become a dominant force both domestically and internationally, with the aim of advancing Vision 2030 and achieving the status of the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund by the end of the decade. (SPA)
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Updated 28 April 2024
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PIF set to have $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030: report

  • In March 2024, PIF’s assets under management surpassed $925 billion, up from $700 billion at the end of 2022

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is poised to reach $2 trillion in assets under management by 2030, propelling it from 5th to 2nd place globally among sovereign wealth bodies, according to Global SWF.

The organization that monitors activity in this area stated that PIF’s rapid ascent can be attributed to the fund’s focus on  direct investments, emphasis on  key sectors of the Saudi economy, dedication to sustainability  through leading investments in  renewables and green assets, and active participation in the digital economy.

The institute’s 2024 annual report disclosed that in 2023, PIF took the lead as the top investor among all sovereign wealth funds, allocating $31.6 billion across 49 deals – a 33 percent increase from the prior year. 

This progress elevated the fund by 10 positions between global sovereign investors in new capital deployed within a mere three years.

In just eight years since its restructuring, the Saudi fund has become a dominant force both domestically and internationally, with the aim of advancing Vision 2030 and achieving the status of the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund by the end of the decade.

In March 2024, PIF’s assets under management surpassed $925 billion, up from $700 billion at the end of 2022, securing its position as the fifth largest global sovereign wealth fund, after the government transferred an additional 8 percent stake in Aramco to its portfolio.

The fund strategically delved into co-investments and forged joint ventures to bolster Saudi Arabia’s drive for economic diversification. 

Noteworthy examples include partnerships with mining giant Ma’aden, tire makers Pirelli, and car manufacturer Hyundai.

This was alongside an agreement with Baosteel and Aramco for the construction of a steel mill. 

The report highlighted that unlike numerous sovereign wealth funds that frequently choose co-investing as their primary strategy, both globally and in the Gulf region, PIF stands out with a strong preference for direct investments in private equity.

Specifically, it targets critical sectors of the Saudi economy, including sports and leisure, tourism, and gaming, as well as construction, and heavy industry.

Despite the clear advantages that co-investing offers – such as enhanced due diligence, favorable fee terms, and portfolio diversification – some sovereign investors may shy away due to concerns about deal visibility and relinquishing transaction control to other government funds.

According to the report, PIF stood out from other funds due to its substantial domestic investments, which significantly impacted its international investment capacity relative to other funds.

In 2023, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund saw an 18 percent growth in its US equities portfolio, driven by rising stock values. 

PIF maintained a passive approach, keeping major positions unchanged. 

According to the report, its largest holding remained a 63 percent stake in Lucid Motors. 

PIF initiated its investment of $1 billion in the electric vehicle rival to Tesla back in 2018, and following Lucid’s initial public offering three years later has continued to infuse capital into the company.

This included an injection of $2 billion in June 2023, and Lucid is on course to commence EV production in Saudi Arabia by 2025.

PIF’s US-listed portfolio includes $8.1 billion in gaming companies such as Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts, and Take-Two, reflecting the Kingdom’s plan to invest $38 billion to become a hub for this sector as part of Vision 2030.

In its report, Global SWF discussed the challenges encountered by sovereign investors in recent years and the corresponding solutions they implemented in 2023 to enhance the resilience of their portfolios.

One significant challenge involved addressing the decarbonization of the global economy. This was tackled through the introduction of a new sustainable investment strategy, shedding light on “climate alpha.” This typically refers to investments or strategies that aim to address global warming and its associated risks and opportunities.

This could include investments in companies or projects that are focused on renewable energy and efficiency, sustainable agriculture, clean transportation, and other environmentally friendly initiatives.

Sovereign investors showcased their dedication to sustainability during COP28, highlighted by the UAE’s launch of a $30 billion climate-focused fund, supported by BlackRock and fellow state-backed wealth funds. The goal is to access these areas while also greening existing black assets through de-carbonization.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has taken a leading role in direct investments within the EV and automotive sectors. As well as its stake in Lucid, the Kingdom launched its own EV carmaker, Ceer, in a joint venture with Taiwan’s Foxconn. 

Further partnerships include collaborations with Tasaru for component localization, Hyundai for a car plant, and Pirelli for tire manufacturing.

According to Global SWF, sovereign investors directed a record $26.1 billion towards green assets in 2023, prioritizing investments in the energy transition, including renewables, battery storage, and EVs.

Gulf sovereign wealth funds contributed nearly half of this sum, leading the charge in driving the energy transition agenda.

The report also underscored another challenge encountered by sovereign funds, which is market volatility and the risks stemming from geo-economic fragmentation.

To tackle this issue, fund investors have embraced a more comprehensive total portfolio strategy. This strategy integrates alpha and beta return drivers, merging top-down and bottom-up analyses, with a significant emphasis on diversification.

By adopting this holistic approach, investors gain a thorough understanding of their investments, facilitating more informed decision-making, enhanced risk management, and the opportunity to optimize portfolio performance by focusing on the unique attributes and dynamics of each component within the portfolio.

The rise of disruptive artificial intelligence was also addressed in the report, which noted it represents a significant risk for sovereign investors as it can lead to rapid changes in industries, markets, and investment landscapes.

AI-powered technologies can impact traditional business models, alter consumer behavior, and introduce new competitive dynamics. To address this challenge, one proposed solution by sovereign investors is to integrate AI-powered portfolios into their investment strategies.

By incorporating AI technologies into portfolio management, sovereign funds can leverage advanced algorithms and data analytics to gain valuable insights. 

AI-powered portfolios can analyze vast amounts of data in real-time, identifying trends, patterns, and market signals that may not be immediately apparent to human analysts. This can lead to more accurate risk assessments, better market timing, and enhanced investment decision-making.

Additionally, AI can enable sovereign investors to automate certain aspects of portfolio management, such as rebalancing, trade execution, and risk monitoring. This not only increases operational efficiency but also allows for more agile responses to changing market conditions.

According to the report, 2023 saw sovereign wealth funds adjusting their real estate investments amidst concerns of global interest rate hikes and a potential property bubble.

Despite an overall softening in the market, some segments, such as data centers and affordable housing, saw growth as fund investors aligned with emerging megatrends. Data center investments surged by 150 percent to $7.6 billion in 2023, indicating a strong focus on future-oriented assets.

This shift reflects a move from traditional investments to a more sophisticated strategy, exemplified by PIF’s forming partnerships to develop data centers.

The report flagged up that in 2023, the GCC region – led by the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, ADQ, PIF, and the Qatar Investment Authority – saw a record surge in sovereign capital to $4.1 trillion in assets under management, with transactions totaling $82.3 billion.

Projections indicate these sovereign wealth funds could reach $7.6 trillion in assets by 2030. This growth, according to the report, is fueled by high oil prices and a maturing investment landscape, driving economic diversification with growth forecasts of 3.6 percent and 3.7 percent for GCC nations in 2024 and 2025.

In this region, two distinctive sovereign wealth fund management approaches were highlighted by Global SWF. 

Abu Dhabi’s strategy involves the establishment of multiple SWFs, each with specific missions overseen by different royals. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, centralizes its investment and strategic efforts under PIF, aligned with the government’s overarching vision.

Further, its leaders have no problems in announcing grand plans for the fund, using it in its name to buy football clubs or golf leagues, and in sharing its finances publicly given its fundraising efforts, in a rather refreshing fashion, the report said.

The institute presented updated projections in the State-Owned Investors 2030 section, factoring in the industry’s recovery in assets under management in 2023. 

It anticipates that public pension funds and central banks will reach $54.9 trillion by 2025 and $71 trillion by 2030. By then, Norway’s Norges Bank Investment Management, Saudi’s PIF, and Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund could lead the table with over $2 trillion in assets under management each.


Qatar’s inflation drops 1.15% as key costs fall 

Updated 21 sec ago
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Qatar’s inflation drops 1.15% as key costs fall 

RIYADH: Qatar’s inflation eased by 1.15 percent year on year in January, with the consumer price index settling at 107.45 points, driven by declines in food, housing, and transport costs, official figures showed. 

According to the National Planning Council’s latest report, the monthly CPI also dropped by 2.53 percent, primarily due to a decline in housing, water, electricity, and other fuels — which fell by 2.53 percent from December. 

The slide comes as Qatar is projected to record the lowest inflation in the Gulf Cooperation Council region this year, averaging 1.4 percent — below the GCC’s 1.9 percent and the wider Arab region’s 8.5 percent, according to Kamco Invest.

The International Monetary Fund expects Qatar’s inflation to stabilize around 2 percent over the medium term, supported by LNG expansion, public investment, and a strengthening tourism sector, according to a release in February.

The National Planning Council’s report stated: “Reviewing the main changes in the CPI for the month of January 2025 compared with the previous month, findings show five categories decreased, six categories increased, and stability in one category.”

Food and beverage prices recorded a 2.75 percent monthly drop, while recreation and culture saw the sharpest decline at 14.87 percent. Clothing and footwear prices fell by 1.13 percent, and furniture and household equipment dipped 0.77 percent. The restaurants and hotels sector also saw a slight decrease of 0.55 percent. 

Conversely, several categories recorded price increases including miscellaneous goods and services which rose by 1.93 percent, health by 0.91 percent, and transport by 0.61 percent. 

Housing, water, electricity, and other fuels saw a slight uptick of 0.11 percent, while communication and education prices remained relatively stable, with marginal increases of 0.09 percent and 0.02 percent, respectively. Tobacco prices remained unchanged. 

Year-on-year figures showed notable shifts across key sectors, with the annual CPI declining by 1.15 percent. 

The drop was mainly driven by a 5.44 percent decrease in food and beverage prices, while housing, water, electricity, and other fuels fell by 4.67 percent. 

Recreation and culture recorded a decline of 4.29 percent, followed by restaurants and hotels, which dropped by 1.82 percent. 

Furniture and household equipment fell by 1.73 percent, while transport costs were down by 1.01 percent. 

At the same time, miscellaneous goods and services surged 7.92 percent, communication saw a sharp increase of 18.68 percent, and clothing and footwear rose 1.91 percent. 

Education costs climbed 1.70 percent, while health recorded a slight increase of 0.04 percent. 

The CPI excluding housing, water, electricity, and other fuels stood at 111.76 points in January, reflecting a monthly decline of 3.09 percent and an annual drop of 1.80 percent. 

Despite the minor downward adjustments across multiple sectors, the council emphasized that consumer prices remain stable, with inflation largely contained within expected levels. 


Jordan’s economy to expand by 2.7% in 2025: Central Bank governor

Updated 3 min 48 sec ago
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Jordan’s economy to expand by 2.7% in 2025: Central Bank governor

  • Adel Sharkas said inflation reached 2.2% in the first two months of the year and is expected to stabilize at 2% for 2025
  • Jordan attracted foreign direct investments valued at $1.3 billion during the first three quarters of 2024

RIYADH: Jordan’s economy is expected to grow 2.7 percent in 2025, further accelerating to 3.5 percent in the medium term, according to the governor of the country’s central bank.

Adel Sharkas made the comments in the wake of credit rating agency S&P Global stating that Jordan’s GDP expansion will be driven by the recovery of the tourism sector, as well as increasing trade relationships with Syria and Iraq. 

The central bank governor added that inflation in Jordan reached 2.2 percent in the first two months of this year and is expected to stabilize at 2 percent for 2025, the country’s news agency, Petra, reported. 

The growth aligns with the broader trend in the Middle East, with Saudi Arabia forecasting a gross domestic product expansion of 4.6 percent in 2025, and the Central Bank of UAE projecting the Emirates’ economy will increase by 4.5 percent this year and 5.5 percent in 2026.

Reflecting on the state of Jordan’s financial health, Sharkas said: “Our national economy has demonstrated exceptional resilience against challenges and high flexibility, enabling adaptation and limitation of consequences over the past five years, beginning with the coronavirus pandemic and subsequent consecutive external economic shocks.” 

He added that Jordan attracted foreign direct investments valued at $1.3 billion during the first three quarters of 2024. 

The CBJ governor further said that tourism income also jumped 22 percent in January compared to the same period last year. 

Developing the tourism sector is crucial for Jordan, as the country considers this industry pivotal for economic growth and job creation. 

Through the Jordan National Tourism Strategy 2021-2025, the country aims to attract international visitors with its archaeological and cultural heritage along with unique natural landscapes. 

In a ceremony on March 16, Jordan’s banking sector committed 90 million dinars ($126.92 million) to fund health and education projects over the next three years. 

Jafar Hassan, the country’s prime minister, said: “This banking sector that you represent has been a fundamental pillar supporting our national economy’s strength, stability and resilience throughout history.”

He added: “During a quarter century, this great development of our Jordanian banking sector has materialized, achieving advanced global ratings, particularly in financial strength and banking system solidity.”

In March, the World Bank said that it is assessing the financing of five projects aimed at supporting economic reforms, social protection, and entrepreneurship in Jordan, with a total potential investment valued at $900 million.


Oil Updates — prices rise as US vows to keep attacking Houthis

Updated 17 March 2025
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Oil Updates — prices rise as US vows to keep attacking Houthis

SINGAPORE: Oil prices traded higher on Monday after the US vowed to keep attacking Yemen’s Houthis until the Iran-aligned group ends its assaults on shipping.

Brent futures rose 48 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $71.06 a barrel by 9:54 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 47 cents, also 0.7 percent, to $67.65 a barrel.

The US airstrikes, which the Houthi-run health ministry said killed at least 53 people, are the biggest US military operation in the Middle East since President Donald Trump took office in January.

One US official told Reuters the campaign might run for weeks.

Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea have disrupted global commerce and set off a costly campaign by the US military to intercept missiles and drones.

Oil prices rose slightly last week, snapping a three-week losing streak fed by concern over a global economic slowdown driven by escalating trade tension between the US and other nations.

Both benchmarks pared some gains after rising more than 1 percent in early Asian trade as China reported a mixed start to the year. Industrial output slowed in January-February, while retail sales growth accelerated slightly, government data showed on Monday.

The state council, or cabinet, unveiled what it called a “special action plan” on Sunday in a bid to boost domestic consumption and economic recovery amid a burst of US trade tariffs against China, among key trading partners.

That effort has threatened to upset the global trade order.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs cut oil price forecasts, saying they expected the US economy to grow slower than expected, due to the tariffs imposed on countries such as Canada, China and Mexico.

“We reduce by $5 our December 2025 forecast for Brent to $71/bbl (WTI to $67), our Brent range to $65 to $80, and our 2026 average forecast to $68 for Brent (WTI to $64),” the analysts said in a note.

Oil demand was expected to grow at a slower pace than previously expected, while supply from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies was expected to exceed forecasts, the Goldman analysts said.

US consumer sentiment plunged to a nearly 2-1/2-year low in March and inflation expectations have soared amid worries that Trump’s sweeping tariffs would boost prices and undercut the economy.

US Federal Reserve officials meeting next week are expected to leave the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent, having reduced it by 100 basis points since September, as they weigh the economic impact of the administration’s policies.


Pakistan sees uptick in economic activity as consumer spending surges in Ramadan 

Updated 17 March 2025
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Pakistan sees uptick in economic activity as consumer spending surges in Ramadan 

  • Consumers flock to markets throughout Ramadan to buy fruits and vegetables in large quantities for evening iftar meals
  • Financial analyst says increased remittances, distribution of Zakat among masses in Ramadan also spurs economic activity 

KARACHI: Khadeeja Manzoor haggled with a vendor at a busy market in Pakistan’s Karachi over the price of vegetables. The sight is not an unusual one in Pakistan, especially during the holy month of Ramadan, where people flock to fruit and vegetable markets in thousands daily to buy food items. 

Muslims break their fast with the evening iftar meal during the holy month of Ramadan, consuming dishes prepared with fruits and vegetables in large amounts. This triggers a surge in consumer spending significantly during the holy month, one that increases sales at grocery stores and marketplaces.

“Our spending increases during Ramadan,” Manzoor, 45, told Arab News. “They (actually) double because though the prices of vegetables have declined a bit, other things have become costlier,” she added. 

Pakistan has long grappled with an economic crisis that saw inflation surge to a historic 38 percent in May 2023. However, the government has since then achieved some economic gains, with the country’s monthly inflation rate dropping to 1.5 percent in February on a year-on-year basis.

Dry fruit seller Wasib Abbasi noted that people spent more on items such as Rooh Afza, a sugary drink considered a staple Ramadan diet, and dates during the holy month. This causes a surge in sales during Ramadan, he added. 

“Our sales remain normal during the first 15 days of Ramadan but significantly increase during the second half,” Abbasi, who runs a store selling dry fruits at the busy Empress Market, told Arab News. 

Financial analyst Muhammad Waqas Ghani agrees the increased demand for food items and the increased inflow of remittances to Pakistan during Ramadan supplements the country’s economic growth. He said Pakistan usually sees a rise of 20 percent in remittances during the holy month every year. 

Remittances are a lifeline for Pakistan’s cash-strapped economy, playing a critical role in stabilizing foreign exchange reserves and supporting its balance of payments. Overseas Pakistanis remitted $3.1 billion in February.

“Ramadan does have a significant economic angle. Demand rises in food, lifestyle, and other areas like footwear,” Ghani, the head of research at JS Global Capital Ltd., a commodities brokerage company, told Arab News. 

During Ramadan, commercial banks also deduct billions of rupees from people’s accounts on account of the annual Islamic charity, Zakat. 

Ghani said the circulation of Zakat funds among the masses also increases their purchasing power, which leads to more consumer spending. 

Atiq Mir, chairman of the All Karachi Tajir Ittehad (AKTI), a body of over 400 trade groups in the southern port city, described Ramadan as the “spring month” for traders and citizens alike in terms of both divine blessings and material gains.

“The way people come to bazaars with their children gives a good look,” Mir said, adding that trade “runs above normal” during the holy month.

“Given the size of its population, Karachi alone is a Rs100 billion market if people came out proportionately for Eid shopping only.”
 


Closing Bell: Saudi stock markets rise; TASI climbs over 1%

Updated 16 March 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi stock markets rise; TASI climbs over 1%

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index saw a positive close on Sunday, gaining 127.90 points, or 1.09 percent, to settle at 11,853.78.

The benchmark index recorded a trading turnover of SR4.67 billion ($1.24 billion), with 207 stocks advancing and 35 declining.

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, also posted gains, rising by 139.42 points, or 0.45 percent, to close at 31,275.27. In this market, 50 stocks rose while 30 saw declines. The MSCI Tadawul Index followed suit, gaining 15.52 points, or 1.05 percent, to close at 1,494.79.

Arriyadh Development Co. was the top performer of the day, with its share price soaring by 9.91 percent to SR36.05.

Other notable gainers included Saudi Research and Media Group, whose shares climbed 7.97 percent to SR189.60, and Banan Real Estate Co., which saw a 6.27 percent rise, closing at SR6.95.

On the downside, Saudi Paper Manufacturing Co. experienced the largest drop, falling 3.62 percent to SR58.50. Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. also saw a decline of 2.56 percent, with its shares ending at SR0.38.

Meanwhile, Tihama Advertising and Public Relations Co. saw a 1.84 percent decrease, closing at SR16.

Saudi Reinsurance Co. announced its annual financial results for the year ending Dec. 31.

The company reported a net profit of SR440 million for 2024, a remarkable 628 percent increase compared to 2023. This surge was primarily driven by capital gains from the sale of its stake in Probitas Holding, which amounted to SR365.9 million.

Additionally, the company’s board of directors recommended a 46.6 percent increase in capital by distributing 51.48 million bonus shares to shareholders, translating to four shares for every nine held.

The increase also includes 2.5 million shares allocated for a long-term incentive plan for employees, boosting the company’s capital by an additional 2.16 percent. Despite these strong results, Saudi Reinsurance Co. saw its share price dip by 0.53 percent, closing at SR48.10.

Najran Cement Co. also released its annual financial results for the year ending Dec. 31. The company reported a net profit of SR68.4 million for 2024, reflecting a 24.05 percent increase from 2023. This growth was driven by higher sales and improved gross margins, despite rising general and administrative expenses and finance costs. Najran Cement Co.’s stock rose by 3.34 percent, closing at SR8.75.