Saudi Arabia’s unemployment rate stabilizes at 3.5% in Q1: GASTAT

According to the Labor Force Survey conducted by the General Authority for Statistics, the unemployment rate for Saudi nationals reached 7.6 percent in the first quarter. Shutterstock
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Updated 30 June 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s unemployment rate stabilizes at 3.5% in Q1: GASTAT

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s overall unemployment rate stabilized at 3.5 percent in the first quarter of 2024, marking a yearly decrease of 0.8 percentage points, the latest data showed. 

According to the Labor Force Survey conducted by the General Authority for Statistics, the unemployment rate for Saudi nationals reached 7.6 percent in the first quarter, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous quarter and a yearly drop of 1.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2023. 

This figure, derived from population estimates of the Saudi Census 2022, highlights the positive trend in the Kingdom’s labor market. 

These statistics underscore the Kingdom’s ongoing efforts to bolster employment opportunities and foster economic growth. As the Kingdom continues to implement Vision 2030, these improvements in employment metrics are anticipated to support the nation’s socio-economic development and long-term growth. 

Further analysis revealed an encouraging trend in labor force participation among Saudis, which increased by 1.0 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2023, reaching 51.4 percent in the first quarter of this year. Additionally, the employment-to-population ratio for Saudis also saw an upward trend. 

The stable overall unemployment rate, coupled with rising participation and employment ratios among Saudi citizens, reflects the positive impact of various labor market reforms and economic diversification initiatives undertaken by the government. 

The employment-to-population ratio for Saudis also showed an upward trend, increasing by 0.1 percentage points to reach 47.5 percent, a rise of 0.5 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2023. 

In the first quarter of 2024, the labor market indicators in the Kingdom indicated improvements, with the employment-to-population ratio for Saudi women increasing by 0.6 percentage points to 30.7 percent.  

Additionally, the labor force participation rate for Saudi females rose by 0.8 percentage points to 35.8 percent. However, the unemployment rate for Saudi females increased by 0.3 percentage points to 14.2 percent compared to the first quarter of 2023. 

Among Saudi male workers, both the employment-to-population ratio and labor force participation rate increased by 1.2 and 1.0 percentage points, reaching 63.6 percent and 66.4 percent, respectively. Concurrently, the unemployment rate decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 4.2 percent compared to the first quarter of 2023. 

According to the GASTAT survey, a significant 95.9 percent of unemployed Saudi nationals are open to working in the Kingdom’s private sector.  

Furthermore, 80.1 percent of unemployed Saudi women and 91 percent of men expressed readiness to work eight hours or more per day. 

The data revealed that 62.5 percent of unemployed Saudi women and 45.8 percent of men are willing to commute for up to one hour. 

Notably, the most prevalent job search method among Saudis involves seeking assistance from friends and relatives, with 87.5 percent of job seekers relying on this approach.


Oil Updates — crude drops on worries about demand, slowing US economy 

Updated 8 sec ago
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Oil Updates — crude drops on worries about demand, slowing US economy 

TOKYO: Oil prices fell on Thursday, with investors turning cautious on expectations of lower demand as US employment and business data came in weaker than forecast, signaling the economy of the world’s top oil consumer may be cooling, according to Reuters. 

Brent crude futures were down 60 cents, or 0.69 percent, at $86.74 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 63 cents, or 0.75 percent, to $83.25 by 09:51 a.m. Saudi time, with activity thinned by the US Independence Day holiday. 

“Geopolitics and weather remain bullish risks, but the underlying physical market strength looks set to turn softer,” Citi analysts said in a note to clients, adding that physical markets are trading post-summer September cargoes when demand could soften partly due to hurricane risks. 

US crude shipments bound for Europe fell to a two-year low in June as European buyers bought cheaper regional and West African oil, though some rebound in July and August volumes could still happen. 

The drop in oil prices is also partly attributable to traders taking profits after recent gains, analysts said. 

Oil futures on both sides of the Atlantic are on track for a fourth straight weekly increase. 

“The intraday weakness seen in oil prices in today’s Asian session seems to be some form of profit-taking activities as WTI crude managed to hold above $81.90/barrel key minor support,” OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong said. 

Further underscoring the lower demand expectations was data from the US that showed first-time applications for US unemployment benefits increased last week, while the number of people on jobless rolls rose further to a 2-1/2-year high toward the end of June. 

The ADP Employment report showed private payrolls increased by 150,000 jobs in June, below a consensus predicting an increase of 160,000, and after rising by 157,000 in May. 

Also, the ISM Non-Manufacturing index, a measure of US services sector activity, fell to a four-year low of 48.8 in June, well below the 52.5 consensus. 

However, weaker economic data may add to the US Federal Reserve’s arguments to start cutting rates, analysts said, a move that would be supportive for the oil markets as lower rates could boost demand. 

Softer US data has already prompted markets to lift the probability of a September rate cut to 74 percent, from 65 percent, while pricing in 47 basis points of easing for this year.  

A “lower interest rate environment in the US may cap the strength of the dollar at least in the short term which favors the current bullish bias of WTI crude,” OANDA’s Wong said. 

US crude and fuel stockpiles fell by more than expected last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. 


Egypt shows signs of business growth as PMI hits 49.9 in June 

Updated 30 min 55 sec ago
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Egypt shows signs of business growth as PMI hits 49.9 in June 

RIYADH: Non-oil companies in Egypt saw sales growth for the first time in nearly three years, as the Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 49.9 in June from 49.6 in May. 

According to S&P Global, this rise in the index, just fractionally below the 50 mark, was driven by government policy moves that supported a relaxation of price pressures, ultimately showing signs of economic stability in the country. 

Egypt’s non-oil sector has been facing headwinds over the past few years, with the country battling economic shocks due to the crisis in neighboring Gaza, currency pressure, and the Suez Canal disruption, the US-based credit rating agency said in its previous reports. 

“Egypt’s non-oil economy ended the first half of 2024 on a high according to the latest PMI data. With the headline PMI reaching 49.9 and total new order volumes rising for the first time in nearly three years, businesses appear to be heading on the road to recovery,” said David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.  

S&P Global noted that any PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the non-oil sector, while readings below 50 signal contraction. 

The report further noted that the country’s output levels fell at the softest rate in nearly three years, while the volume of input purchases rose for the first time since December 2021.  

Moreover, input cost inflation remained soft despite accelerating to a three-month high in June, leading to another modest rise in selling charges.  

Additionally, business intakes at non-oil firms in Egypt rose for the first time since August 2021, as the proportion of firms seeing demand improvement started to outweigh those seeing a reduction.  

“Although output levels continued to fall on average, they were also close to growth territory, as business capacity was helped by a fresh increase in the buying of inputs. If we see further rises in sales and purchases in the second half of this year, firms should have the motivation and need to expand their output,” said Owen.  

He added: “Another positive is that price pressures have remained much cooler than in the first quarter of this year during the country’s foreign currency crisis.”  

The report highlighted that the manufacturing and services sectors witnessed a rise in new orders in June, while the construction, wholesale and retail industries saw a decline in the month.  

Moreover, employment numbers across the Egyptian non-oil economy were relatively stable in June.  

Even though some firms opted to boost their workforces amidst rising sales, many companies reported layoffs and the non-replacement of leavers, the report added.  

The data for June also revealed that inflationary pressures on businesses had been greatly suppressed in the second quarter of the year.  

“While June saw the fastest rise in input prices for three months, firms generally commented that this was due to a high degree of volatility in market prices rather than an accelerating inflation trend,” concluded Owen. 


‘Powerful’ Saudi energy sector can buck volatility trend, forum told

Updated 03 July 2024
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‘Powerful’ Saudi energy sector can buck volatility trend, forum told

  • Business leaders gather at London Stock Exchange for BMG Economic Forum
  • Kingdom can use debt to fund growth due to ‘commitment and clarity’ of Vision 2030, expert says

LONDON: Business leaders hailed Saudi Arabia’s investment environment and prospects for economic growth at an event at the London Stock Exchange on Wednesday.
The BMG Economic Forum, of which Arab News is a partner, is held annually to discuss business developments in the Kingdom and the wider region.
Panelists explored topics including the effect of geopolitical developments on economies, and updates on Saudi giga-projects.
The Kingdom, which is rapidly expanding its non-oil economy, also has a “powerful” energy sector that has proved resilient to major geopolitical developments, said Dr. Carole Nakhle, CEO of Crystol Energy.
“Because especially here in the Western world, I hear about oil and gas being volatile, and you can’t rely on oil and gas,” she added.
“But I tell them, ‘You’re missing the point.’ A well-functioning market has to be volatile, right? But the key is, does it clear volatility quite efficiently?
“And what we saw in the last few years were some major geopolitical developments — the war in Ukraine, the energy crisis, on top of that, all the macroeconomic challenges, the war in Gaza etc., sanctions on Russia already, sanctions on Iran, Venezuela, Libya not quite settled, Syria, Yemen, you name it. But still, prices, although they spiked, they recover to their pre-crisis levels very quickly.”
Geopolitical crises in past decades would “send prices soaring,” Nakhle said. But that trend appears outdated, with Saudi Arabia in particular able to “take proactive policies and measures” that compensate for that risk, she added.
The “commitment and clarity” of Vision 2030 means the Kingdom can take on “reduced” geopolitical risk premiums, she said.
Nakhle also pushed back against the “overwhelming thinking” predicting the end of the oil sector in Saudi Arabia as part of the larger “peak oil” debate.
“If your economy is always dependent, and you need the oil money to fund all sorts of projects, very ambitious ones, then you’re in trouble,” she said.
“That’s a general overwhelming thinking, but that’s an oversimplification of a much more complex reality, because the big mistake that we should avoid is comparing all oil producers, even within OPEC, of which Saudi Arabia is a leader. They do have a very, very divergent picture when it comes to one producer versus another.
“I’m not worried about the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council). I’m not worried about Saudi Arabia. They have the reserves and they have the low cost of production.”
As well as the strength of its energy sector, Saudi Arabia is funding capital expenditure through deficits in an effort to diversify the economy from oil, said Manish Singh, CEO of Crossbridge Capital.
That effort is working as planned, with the Kingdom harnessing its low debt-to-gross domestic product of 28 percent, as well as the power of major players such as Saudi Aramco and the Public Investment Fund, which boast combined assets of more than $2.3 trillion.
“If you have things to do locally, and the unemployment rate is low, and you’re growing your wages and spending, that’s something that you have to welcome,” Singh said.
On a separate panel discussing Saudi Arabia’s giga-projects, Jerry Inzerillo, CEO of the Diriyah Gate Development Authority, delivered an overview via video of progress in the original home of the Kingdom’s royal family.
“In 2023, we finished 9 km of parks, we introduced our hotel practice, which will have 42 new hotels,” he said.
“We introduced our Diriyah Futures Museum, one of nine, which will open in September of this year.
“We’ll also open … in September the first of all 42 hotels. We’re ahead of schedule, on time and on budget, and we look forward to welcoming everybody.”
Inzerillo was joined by Catalina Valentino, group CEO of ELIXR; and Arta Selmani, CEO of Mimicrete.
Valentino, whose company is the world’s first global giga-project, praised Vision 2030 for giving Saudi Arabia a “shift in purpose.”
She added: “I think that there’s a new generation being born in business, whereas previously it was looking at capitalism — how do I make money and how do I profit from these companies?
“And now there’s a shift to purpose-led and purpose-driven companies. And we can see that with Vision 2030 for Saudi Arabia, there’s a shift in purpose. What that means is that now we’re looking at those joints and how we join those up.”


Smart grid technologies crucial for global energy transition: IEA 

Updated 03 July 2024
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Smart grid technologies crucial for global energy transition: IEA 

RIYADH: Advanced smart grid technologies are pivotal for enhancing energy transition and system reliability, with projections indicating a need to double investments to $600 billion annually by 2030. 

In its latest report, the International Energy Agency emphasized that the success of the shift hinges on transforming various facets of the power system, including electricity generation plants, transmission and distribution systems, and consumer practices. 

This comes as the energy think tank projected that overall investments in smart grids should double annually through 2030 from the current $300 billion. 

The world aims to transition from fossil-based energy systems to renewable sources like wind, solar, and hydropower. This global shift, known as energy transition, is driven by major commitments such as the Paris Agreement, which targets net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. 

“The clean energy transition increases electricity demand and requires more wind and solar power, stressing power grids. Smart grid technologies can manage this transition, reduce the need for costly new infrastructure, and improve grid resilience and reliability,” said IEA in the report.  

It added: “In the pursuit of a cleaner energy sector, smart grid technologies are pivotal in modernizing a consistently overloaded grid. Digital technologies will also allow to integrate continually increasing shares of renewables from multiple sources, and further engage end users so that they can improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions.” 

In January, a research report by experts at Saudi Arabia’s King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals stated that smart grids could revolutionize the Kingdom’s current energy management systems. 

According to these researchers, such grids could enhance the integration of renewables into the electricity grid by enabling better energy transactions and ensuring a reliable supply. 

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is making steady progress in developing smart grids as the Kingdom aims to achieve its net-zero goals by 2060. 

In February, Peter Terium, CEO of NEOM’s water and electricity subsidiary ENOWA, told Arab News that the company has developed a blueprint for the world’s first renewable, high-voltage smart grid. 

Terium explained that the smart grid will enable ENOWA to supply the NEOM region with 100 percent renewable electricity while reducing the corridor footprint by 50 percent.  

He noted that the principle of smart grids is simple, as they are traditionally used on a small scale in buildings. 

Digital innovation 

The IEA emphasizes that measuring digital innovation in the power sector is crucial for tracking, improving, and implementing policies to shape the digitalization process effectively.  

The report highlighted that quantifying innovation is challenging due to the lack of standardized metrics, with patent filings being the best way to measure progress in this sector. 

“In this rapidly evolving landscape, patent data serve as a proxy measure of investment in innovation, offering valuable insights into the intellectual prowess and competitive strategies of people and organizations striving to redefine how we generate, transmit and utilize electrical power in the digital age,” said the IEA.  

The global body revealed that between 2000 and 2023, 16,000 International Patent Families were filed related to smart grids, accounting for 0.2 percent of total IPFs across all technologies. 

The report added that 2011 “saw a peak in smart grid innovation with 2,000 unique inventions produced, representing 11 percent of power sector innovations. Following a period of decline, the relative share of smart grid innovations increased to 13 percent in 2022, aligning with the trajectory of the IEA Net Zero by 2050 Scenario.”  

The agency noted that the highest shares of IPFs in the smart grid sector are focused on systems supporting the interoperability of electric or hybrid vehicles. Additionally, significant patent filings are also happening in demand response systems and energy storage unit technologies. 

Geographical distribution  

East Asia dominated smart grid innovation from 2017 to 2021, accounting for over half of the IPFs. Since 2007, it has consistently led globally, with North America and Western Europe sharing the remaining IPFs, according to the IEA. 

“In the last two decades, there has been a transition from Europe and the Americas being the primary sources of smart grid innovation to Asia taking on a more prominent role in this field,” said the report.  

It added: “North America experienced a peak share of smart grid innovation in the period between 2002 and 2006, but consistently produced less than a third of global smart grid patents for the remaining years.”  

The report disclosed that a quarter of smart grid IPFs registered in the past decade originated from inventors in Japan, with nearly an equal share coming from innovators in the US.  

The IEA added that the remaining half of registrations came from investors based in China, Germany, and South Korea.  

In a separate report released in May, the IEA highlighted that urban planning, digitalization and grid investment can help cities manage the impacts of climate change and growing energy demand.  

In that report, IEA emphasized, “Reducing emissions in cities is essential for the world to meet its energy and climate goals — and digital solutions that manage consumption patterns and optimize infrastructure can play a significant role.” 

The energy agency further highlighted that the pace of deploying digital technologies in the energy sector will heavily depend on the ability to build a skilled workforce. 


Saudi PIF ranks top in Middle East, 2nd worldwide in 2024 GSR scorecard

Updated 03 July 2024
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Saudi PIF ranks top in Middle East, 2nd worldwide in 2024 GSR scorecard

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund retained its top Middle East position and rose five places to tie for second in a ranking of 100 sovereign wealth bodies, according to a release. 

The 2024 Governance, Sustainability, and Resilience Scoreboard, published by data platform Global SWF, shows the Kingdom’s fund improved its assessment score to an impressive 96 percent from 92 percent the previous year. 

Additionally, PIF attained the top global position for deploying fresh capital over the past five and a half years.

The GSR evaluation tool weighs crucial factors, including transparency and accountability, impact and responsible investing, as well as legitimacy and long-term sustainability.

The scoring system comprises 25 distinct elements: 10 concerning governance, 10 studying sustainability, and five examining resilience. Each element is answered with a binary response, given equal weight, and converted into percentage points.

“The presence of the Saudi Arabian SWF is a testament of the efforts that some of the Middle Eastern funds are undertaking to spearhead best practices in the region,” the agency commented.

Chad Richard, head of strategy development and innovation at PIF, stated: “The report reinforces PIF’s status as one of the world’s leading impactful and responsible investors, with world-class governance and sustainability practices.”

According to Richard, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund has been at the forefront of promoting the global clean energy transition. It conducted the largest-ever voluntary carbon credit auctions worldwide, selling 3.6 million credits to international companies.

PIF also pioneered the issuance of green bonds, including the first-ever century green bond, totaling $8.5 billion. Additionally, it was the first fund in the region to pledge to achieve net zero emissions by 2050.

These efforts underscore PIF’s commitment to investing in a cleaner and more eco-conscious economy and fostering sustainable growth domestically and globally.

In 2024, state-owned investors face a challenging environment of volatility and uncertainty. The report mentioned that despite this, global equities experienced a strong rally in the first half of the year, with record highs reached by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on June 18.

The S&P 1200 Global index also saw significant gains of 11.6 percent year-to-date. Bonds and hedge funds showed more modest increases of 0.5 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively. 

Private markets, including private equity and infrastructure, saw moderate rises, while real estate declined by 5.5 percent compared to December 2023.

Geopolitically, conflicts in Ukraine and Palestine, as well as tensions between China and the US, persist. Oil prices remain high at $83 per barrel, benefiting sovereign wealth funds from oil-rich economies.

“Investments in the first half of 2024 are again led by the Oil Five - Saudi’s PIF, Abu Dhabi’s ADIA, Mubadala and ADQ, and Qatar’s QIA, which invested $38 billion in 56 different deals. This figure is more than double of what the Maple Eight – largest Canadian funds – deployed and almost eight times what the Singaporean funds spent,” the report stated.

Middle Eastern funds have shown remarkable improvement in global sustainability rankings, increasing from 32 percent in 2020 to 48 percent in 2024, despite stricter sustainability criteria introduced this year.

Among the 22 GCC funds, the report highlighted that the PIF continues to lead the charge and has come a long way, increasing its score from 28 percent in 2020 to 96 percent today. 

It also mentioned that the Saudi fund voluntarily publishes an allocation and impact report and conducts self-assessments based on the Santiago Principles despite not being a member of the International Forum of Sovereign Wealth Funds.

Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala is on a similar path and plans to issue its inaugural annual impact report in the second half of 2024.

According to the Global SWF, state-owned investors, such as sovereign wealth funds and public pension funds, have achieved record-high assets under management. SWFs manage over $12 trillion, while PPFs oversee over $24 trillion, reflecting robust financial performance and growth beyond 2021 levels.

During the first half of 2024, sovereign investors participated in 27 mega-deals, each valued at over $1 billion in investments or divestments, the report added. Notably, the Saudi PIF ranked fifth, seventh, and eighth among the top 10 largest and most significant investments during this period.

According to the report, the push for sustainability goals at the organizational level is influencing the investment preferences of SOIs. In a significant shift, investments in green assets primarily focused on renewable energy have surpassed investments in black assets such as oil, gas, and mining for the first time in 2021. This trend has continued through 2022, 2023, and the first half of 2024.

According to the report’s charts, PIF holds the second-largest portfolio weight among SOIs invested in their domestic economy, standing at 73 percent, following Abu Dhabi’s ADQ, which leads at 89 percent.

The Saudi fund also stands out for its strong preference for direct investments in private equity and its substantial domestic focus.

Specifically, it targets critical sectors of the Saudi economy, including sports and leisure, tourism, and gaming, as well as construction and heavy industry.

It plays a crucial role as an economic catalyst and facilitator in achieving the Kingdom’s Vision 2030. It is dedicated to fostering private sector growth, expanding the country’s industrial base and creating employment opportunities as well as enhancing women’s participation in the workforce, attracting foreign direct investment, and developing the nation’s financial markets.

PIF also posted strong financial results for 2023, with revenues reaching SR331 billion ($88.3 billion) from its diverse investment portfolio. This marks a growth of over 100 percent compared to 2022, underscoring robust returns and progress toward its long-term goals in driving the Kingdom’s economic transformation. 

The consolidated financial statements 2023, prepared by KPMG, confirmed compliance with International Financial Reporting Standards and London Stock Exchange listing requirements.

PIF’s 2023 financial results underscore its strong financial and investment standing, receiving an A1 rating from Moody’s with a positive outlook and an A+ rating from Fitch with a stable outlook. These ratings affirm the fund’s robust financial health and consistent performance in the global market.