Global oil demand continues to slow amid EV boom and economic headwinds: IEA

The International Energy Agency and OPEC have made different forecasts about oil demand for the rest of the year. Shutterstock
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Updated 11 July 2024
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Global oil demand continues to slow amid EV boom and economic headwinds: IEA

RIYADH: World oil demand decelerated in the second quarter, with growth easing to 710,000 barrels per day year-on-year, driven by rising adoption of electric vehicles and economic headwinds, an analysis showed. 

In its latest report, the International Energy Agency said that demand growth in the second quarter was also the slowest increase since the fourth quarter of 2022. 

The think tank also forecast an oil demand growth of 970,000 bpd in 2024, largely unchanged from its outlook last month.

The projection made by the energy agency contradicts the view of OPEC, with the oil producers’ alliance expecting strong demand growth in 2024 and 2025.

In its monthly report on June 10, OPEC noted that world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million bpd and 1.85 million bpd in 2024 and 2025, driven by markets including China, the Middle East, India, and Latin America. 

Outlining the reasons for its lower estimate, the IEA report said: “Chinese consumption contracted, as the country’s post-pandemic rebound has run its course. Global gains are forecast to average just below one million bpd in 2024 and 2025, as subpar economic growth, greater efficiencies and vehicle electrification act as headwinds.”

It added: “Demand for industrial fuels and petrochemical feedstocks was particularly weak.” 

The energy think tank further revealed that the global oil supply rose by 150,000 bpd to 102.9 million bpd in June. 

The analysis also projected global refinery throughputs rising by 950,000 bpd to 83.4 million bpd in 2024, and by 630,000 bpd to 84 million bpd next year. 

Amid IEA’s projected slowdown in oil demand growth, OPEC is optimistic about the future, and the producers’ alliance believes its forecast is more accurate. 

Speaking at the International Economic Forum in June, Haitham Al-Ghais, secretary-general of OPEC, said that the world will witness continued oil demand driven by a rebound in the travel and tourism sector. 

He also added that OPEC is working to ensure supply, stability, and resilience of the oil market. 

“It is important to remain focused on the fundamentals. We look at economic growth, We look at supply, we look at demand, and yes, we do still believe demand for oil is good and resilient,” said Al-Ghais. 

He added: “Last year, OPEC’s forecast for oil demand was the best. And all those who criticized OPEC’s forecast kept adjusting their number throughout the year.” 


Saudi Arabia records budget deficit of $4bn in Q2

Updated 24 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia records budget deficit of $4bn in Q2

  • Non-oil revenues constitute 50% of total revenues

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia recorded a budget deficit of SR15.34 billion ($4.09 billion) in second quarter of 2024, according to the Finance Ministry’s quarterly report issued on Wednesday.

The report showed that the Kingdom’s second quarter revenues totaled SR353.59 billion with expenditures recorded at SR368.93 billion.

Oil revenues, according to the official data, rose 18 percent during that period to reach SR212.99 billion.

 


Kuwaiti lenders Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank weigh merger

Updated 13 min 45 sec ago
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Kuwaiti lenders Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank weigh merger

  • Boards of Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank have approved the proposal
  • Central Bank of Kuwait was notified of their plans

DUBAI: Kuwaiti lenders Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank are weighing a merger to create a single Islamic bank with $53 billion in assets as part of a plan to fuel growth and expansion.
The boards of Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank have approved the proposal, and the Central Bank of Kuwait was notified of their plans, the banks said in separate regulatory filings on Wednesday.
Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank said they plan to sign a memorandum of understanding and a non-disclosure agreement to proceed with due diligence, valuation discovery, and studying the feasibility of the proposal.
Any transaction will be subject to approval from regulators including the central bank, the filings said. 


Qatar records budget surplus of $713m in Q2

Updated 14 sec ago
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Qatar records budget surplus of $713m in Q2

  • Total revenue for the second quarter was down 12.4%
  • Spending in the quarter fell almost 2%

DUBAI: Qatar recorded a budget surplus of 2.6 billion riyals ($713.31 million) in the second quarter of 2024, the Finance Ministry said on Wednesday, adding it would use it to reduce public debt.
The Gulf state, among the world’s biggest exporters of liquefied natural gas, posted a surplus of 2 billion riyals in the first quarter.
Total revenue for the second quarter was down 12.4 percent compared to the prior year period, at 59.9 billion riyals, the ministry said, after weaker demand curbed international gas prices.
Spending in the quarter fell almost 2 percent to 57.3 billion riyals, year-on-year.
The entire surplus would go toward lowering Qatar’s public debt, leaving no cash surplus, the ministry said.
Like regional peers, Qatar has accelerated efforts to diversify economic sectors and revenue streams, but remains reliant on gas revenue for government income.
In December it forecasted that oil and gas revenue would fall by 14.5 percent in 2024 while non-oil revenue is expected to rise by about 2.4 percent. 


Saudi Cabinet approves product safety, standards systems

Updated 50 min 53 sec ago
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Saudi Cabinet approves product safety, standards systems

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Cabinet approved the Kingdom’s product safety and standards systems during its session chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah.

The body reviewed several periodic performance reports on the programs of the Saudi Vision 2030, many of whose achievements have already been realized on the ground, according to the Saudi Press Agency,

Progress in transforming the housing and health sectors was discussed, with key achievements including increasing homeownership rates by providing thousands of housing units and enhancing health care accessibility, quality, and life expectancy through dedicated public health and community initiatives.

The Kingdom aims to improve product safety by restricting the entry of non-conforming products through the Saudi Products Safety program, known as Saleem. 

The program issues the Annual Conformity Index, providing regulatory authorities and technical regulations teams with information and reports to prioritize their efforts and streamline commercial procedures.

In a statement to SPA following the session held in July 30, Minister of Media Salman Al-Dossary said the Cabinet discussed the Kingdom’s high rankings in labor market indicators issued by the World Economic Forum, highlighting the record-breaking increase in the number of Saudis employed in the private sector, with its workforce growing from 1.7 million in 2019 to over 2.3 million in 2024.

The minister added that the Council of Ministers also underscored the country’s unemployment rate which decreased to 6.7 percent in the first quarter of 2024.

The Cabinet approved a cooperation memorandum of understanding between the Saudi Ministry of Tourism and its Tunisian counterpart.

It also approved a MoU between the Saudi Ministry of Investment and the Costa Rican Ministry of Foreign Trade for cooperation in promoting direct investment.

An agreement on economics and planning between the Saudi Ministry of Economy and Planning and the Bahraini Ministry of Finance and National Economy was also endorsed.

The Cabinet approved a cooperation memorandum of understanding between Saudi Arabia’s Small and Medium Enterprises General Authority, also known as Monsha’at, and the Jordan Enterprise Development Corporation to support and develop SMEs and entrepreneurship.

Two deals on air transport services between the Saudi government and the Ugandan and Guatemalan sides were also given the green light.


Aramco sets August OSP for propane, butane

Updated 57 min 28 sec ago
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Aramco sets August OSP for propane, butane

RIYADH: The Saudi Arabian Oil Co., also known as Saudi Aramco, on Wednesday raised the official selling price for propane and butane by $5 a tonne each from the previous month, according to an official statement.

The August OSP for propane is $590 per tonne, while price for butane has been set at $570 a tonne.

Propane and butane are types of liquefied petroleum gas with different boiling points.

LPG is mainly used as a fuel for cars, heating and as a feedstock for other petrochemicals.

Aramco’s OSPs for LPG are used as a reference for contracts to supply the product from the Middle East to the Asia-Pacific region.