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Saudi real estate market set for rebound leading GCC growth: Markaz

A view of a common residential area built in the desert near a corniche park in Dammam, in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province. File/Shutterstock
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Updated 25 August 2024
Nirmal Narayanan
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Saudi real estate market set for rebound leading GCC growth: Markaz

  • UAE’s real estate sector will continue to grow through 2024, driven by strong demand in residential, office and hospitality segments
  • Analysis highlighted a revival in Kuwait’s real estate sector, marked by rising rents and land prices
Updated 25 August 2024
Nirmal Narayanan

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate market is expected to rebound in the second half of this year, driven by strong performance in both oil and non-oil sectors, a new analysis has revealed. 

In its new report, Kuwait Financial Center, also known as Markaz, forecasted continued growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council’s real estate sector, with the Kingdom, Kuwait, and the UAE leading the charge. 

The growth is driven by strong macroeconomic fundamentals, supportive government policies, and increasing investor interest, according to the report developed by Markaz’s MENA Real Estate team and Indian-based research firm Marmore MENA Intelligence. 

This comes as Markaz’s Real Estate Macro Index Scores for the second half of 2024 are projected at 3.5 for Kuwait, 3.7 for the UAE, and 3.6 for Saudi Arabia, indicating a strong rebound in the real estate market. 

While Kuwait and Saudi Arabia show improvements from their first-half scores of 2.9 and 3.55, respectively, the UAE’s stable score of 3.7 shows ongoing strength and potential for sustained growth in these key GCC markets, the report said. 

For Saudi Arabia, developing the real estate sector is crucial as it aims to become a global business, tourism, and investment destination in line with Vision 2030. 

“In Saudi cities Riyadh, Jeddah, and Dammam, the residential sector saw a substantial year-over-year increase in sales transactions by 77 percent, 93 percent, and 28 percent, respectively, during the first quarter of 2024,” said Markaz. 

“The office sector also strengthened with rising rents in high-end and mid-range properties across these cities,” the asset management and investment banking firm added. 

A recent Ministry of Investment report said that 57 international firms had established their regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia in the second quarter of this year, an 84 percent increase from the same period the previous year. 

The regional HQ program introduced new tax incentives for multinational companies relocating to the Kingdom, including a 30-year exemption on corporate income tax, withholding tax related to headquarters activities, discounts, and support services. 

“This increase in rents has been partly driven by the new regional headquarters initiative, a part of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which kicked off at the start of 2024,” said Markaz. 

It also said that the Kingdom’s hospitality sector experienced significant growth in the first quarter of the year, with Riyadh leading a 26.8 percent increase in average daily rates. 

The rise was driven by increased business travel, religious tourism from the Muslim Hajj pilgrimage and Umrah, and a vibrant slate of international and cultural events. 

The Kuwaiti institution further said that Saudi Arabia’s real estate market outlook remained positive, with strong performance projected to continue in the latter half of 2024, driven by robust non-oil sector activities and substantial government infrastructure spending. 

“The market is believed to be in an accelerating phase, indicative of a dynamic period of growth ahead,” added Markaz. 

Citing an International Monetary Fund projection, Markaz said Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product is expected to grow by 2.6 percent in 2024, recovering from previous contractions, with an optimistic forecast of 8.1 percent growth next year. 

“This economic recovery is mirrored in the real estate domain, where the General Authority for Statistics reports a 0.6 percent rise in the real estate price index for the first quarter of 2024, led by a 1.2 percent rise in residential land prices,” said Markaz. 

UAE real estate 

Markaz projected the UAE’s real estate sector will continue to grow through 2024, driven by strong demand in residential, office, and hospitality segments. 

“The non-oil economy, including significant contributions from the real estate sector, is expected to sustain strong growth, buoyed by government support and favorable policies, such as the revised Golden Visa requirements, which now enhance investor eligibility,” the report said. 

The analysis highlighted that the UAE real estate market remains vibrant, with record transactions and rising prices despite geopolitical uncertainties. 

In the first half of the year, residential property prices in Dubai and Abu Dhabi surged 18.3 percent and 8.6 percent, respectively, reinforcing the UAE’s status as a top luxury housing market. 

Markaz said that reducing the minimum downpayment for golden visas to 1 million dirhams ($272,264) is expected to attract more international investors and further boost the market. 

“Office spaces in Dubai and Abu Dhabi have also seen rent increases due to high demand, particularly in higher-grade properties, reflecting a market trend toward quality,” the report said. 

“The hospitality sector continues to thrive, supported by a surge in tourism and business travel, contributing to a robust performance in hotel average daily rates across major cities,” it added. 

Markaz projected that the UAE real estate sector would continue its growth trajectory in the latter half of the year, though with a slight moderation in some segments and areas, such as Abu Dhabi. 

The market’s resilience reflects a strong economic environment and effective policy measures, ensuring ongoing growth and investment attractiveness. 

Kuwait real estate 

Kuwait’s real estate sector is also demonstrating resilience and growth potential despite challenging economic conditions, with a projected GDP contraction of 1.4 percent, following a 2.2 percent decline last year, according to Markaz. 

“Despite these broader economic challenges, the non-oil sectors, especially real estate, are experiencing growth supported by an expected 2 percent increase in non-oil GDP,” said Markaz. “Enhanced project activities and anticipated business reforms drive this growth.” 

The analysis highlighted a revival in Kuwait’s real estate sector, marked by rising rents and land prices. This is particularly evident in the Istithmari segment, or the housing rental market, where apartment land prices have seen significant annual gains in most areas, except for the western Mahboula district. 

Commercial land prices have also increased across all governorates, while rental rates for three-bedroom and 60 sq. meter apartments have remained stable, showing an uptick compared to the end of 2022, despite some exceptions in Mahboula and Khaitan area near Kuwait City.

“The sector is poised for further growth despite the decline in overall volume and value of real estate transactions — a normalization from the pent-up demand seen post-pandemic,” Markaz said.

“The Kuwaiti real estate market’s future looks promising, supported by macroeconomic stability and strategic reforms likely to drive continued recovery and expansion.” 

Topics: Saudi Arabia Kuwait Financial Center main Kuwait UAE saudi real esate UAE real estate Housing saudi housing

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Saudi Arabia’s fintech demand offers growth prospects for UK firms: London Lord Mayor

Updated 25 November 2024
Nadin Hassan
REEM WALID 
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Saudi Arabia’s fintech demand offers growth prospects for UK firms: London Lord Mayor

Updated 25 November 2024
Nadin Hassan REEM WALID 

RIYADH: UK-based fintech firms have an opportunity to address rising demand for fintech services in Saudi Arabia, according to the Lord Mayor of London. 

Speaking on the sidelines of the 28th World Investment Conference in Riyadh, Alderman Alastair King highlighted the UK capital’s extensive expertise in fintech, particularly as the city works on digitizing national debt instruments. 

He noted that such initiatives could provide opportunities for collaboration between the UK and Saudi Arabia’s growing fintech sector. 

“We have incredible expertise in London in relation to fintech and financial technologies in general. I know there’s a great demand for that sector here in Saudi, so those are some of the areas we are concentrating on,” said the Lord Mayor. 

“In the United Kingdom, we’ve just started to digitize our national gilts, what they call the debt instruments. Now, there’s a road ahead to digitize them, which is a wonderful opportunity to work on those types of things,” he said. 

A gilt is a UK government bond issued in sterling, and London’s efforts to digitize these instruments could pave the way for similar initiatives in Saudi Arabia, added.

King went to say that the payments sector could also be explored, noting that the entire sector is being transformed by fintech and that there are enormous opportunities for collaboration.

Other sectors that could be devoloped include infrastructure, insurance, and legal services, as well as asset management, and banking. 

“London is the number one global center for professional services in the world. Saudi Arabia is the fastest growing economy in the G20. There’s going to be a fantastic symbiosis between us, and we can do all sorts of things together,” the Lord Mayor said during the interview. 

King also discussed the broader opportunities arising from Saudi Arabia’s energy transition and economic diversification, particularly in industries such as asset management, banking, and insurance. He emphasized the role of both large companies and small and medium-sized enterprises in fostering innovation. 

“In London, as an extraordinary financial and professional services ecosystem, there is a symbiosis between small and medium-sized companies and the large ones. Part of my job is to go around to the British companies, whether small, medium, or large, and encourage them to take advantage of the international markets that are going to be available to us,” the Lord Mayor said. 

“So, although the early adopters are the large companies, I think you often see real innovation coming out of the small and medium-sized companies,” he added. 

The Lord Mayor added that he would consider it a success if more British firms expanded into Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Cooperation Council markets, particularly in professional services. 

“I’d also view success as greater investment flows into financial and professional services in the UK,” he concluded. 

Investment trends 
 
During a panel discussion at the World Investment Conference, Nan Li Collins, senior director of investment and enterprise at the UN Conference on Trade and Development, discussed global investment trends, emphasizing the importance of effective regional policies and multilateral efforts to counteract fragmentation and protectionism. 

“I think these are the efforts we need to promote globally for more multilateral reasons, for more regional integration, to lower trade and investment barriers, and then work with countries’ investment promotion agencies to look at how to strengthen investment facilitation,” she added. 

During the discussion, Collins highlighted three key trends shaping the market.

“The first is the long-term trend of trade and investment,” she said, adding that while GDP and trade have grown steadily since the 2008 financial crisis, FDI has stagnated. 

She identified global fracturing as the second trend, noting that investment is increasing in geopolitically aligned countries but declining in more distant ones. 

The third trend is digitization, Collins said, adding that over the last decade, investment in digital services has risen from 60 percent to 80 percent, now accounting for the majority of new global FDI. 

Topics: World Investment Conference fintech Lord mayor of London

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Saudi Tadawul Group rolls out 2nd phase of post-trade enhancements

Updated 25 November 2024
Nour El-Shaeri
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Saudi Tadawul Group rolls out 2nd phase of post-trade enhancements

Updated 25 November 2024
Nour El-Shaeri

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s capital markets are on track for substantial growth following the successful rollout of the second phase of the post-trade transformation enhancements by the Saudi Tadawul Group.

This latest phase, which includes upgrades across key subsidiaries — the Saudi Exchange, the Securities Clearing Center (Muqassa), and the Securities Depository Center (Edaa)—marks a significant milestone in the ongoing efforts to expand investment opportunities and bring the market in line with international standards.

Building on the first phase completed in 2022, these enhancements represent the largest transformation of the Saudi capital market to date. The upgrades are designed to broaden access to a wide range of financial instruments, improve market efficiency, and reduce systemic risks.

This initiative is part of the Tadawul Group’s contribution to the Financial Sector Development Program, a core element of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to position the kingdom as a leading global investment hub.

Wael Al-Hazzani, program director of the post-trade transformation and CEO of Muqassa, described the second-phase rollout as a “pivotal moment” for the Saudi capital market. He highlighted the role of these enhancements in diversifying investment options, expanding opportunities, and creating a more efficient, transparent, and secure post-trade infrastructure.

“This initiative reinforces our commitment to strengthening the Saudi capital market’s infrastructure, ultimately positioning it as a leading global financial hub,” Al-Hazzani said.

The first phase of the post-trade infrastructure enhancements, completed in 2022, brought significant improvements to the market, including updates to business models and the transformation of post-trade technologies. These upgrades enhanced clearing, settlement, and custody services, laying the groundwork for the more advanced changes seen in phase two.

Among the key innovations in phase two are important upgrades to the Saudi Exchange, including enhancements to the derivatives market and market-making processes.

Market makers and high-frequency traders now benefit from unified trading functionalities across both cash and derivatives markets, improving liquidity and overall market efficiency. These updates also bring the Saudi Exchange in line with global best practices by improving transparency and harmonizing market microstructure elements, further solidifying its competitive position on the global stage.

Other improvements at the Saudi Exchange include an automated order flagging mechanism to cancel orders during trading engine disconnections, a new reporting service to enhance trade monitoring, and synchronized bid/ask quotes for market makers to optimize their quoting activity. Additionally, exchange members can now execute and accept bilateral trades directly through their order management systems.

Muqassa has introduced enhancements aligned with global Central Counterparty best practices. These updates include real-time trade reconciliation, improved reconciliation processes, and updates to trading limits for derivatives and covered call margining. These changes strengthen pre-trade risk management and operational efficiency. Furthermore, Muqassa’s transition to a multi-asset clearing engine places it among a select group of CCPs worldwide, capable of managing clearing activities across multiple asset classes on a single platform. These upgrades are expected to reduce costs, increase transparency, and enhance overall efficiency for market participants.

Edaa has made significant improvements to its post-trade infrastructure, particularly in messaging protocols and reporting processes. These upgrades, in line with international standards, aim to improve market efficiency, governance, and stability. The changes enhance the experience for capital market institutions, custodians, settlement agents, and investors, providing a seamless and secure post-trade environment.

Together, these enhancements are expected to bolster market stability, reduce systemic risks, and attract both domestic and international investors, positioning the Saudi capital market as a world-class financial center aligned with global best practices.

Topics: Tadawul

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red despite $3.2bn in trade volume 

Updated 25 November 2024
Nour El-Shaeri 
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red despite $3.2bn in trade volume 

Updated 25 November 2024
Nour El-Shaeri 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index dropped by 0.65 percent or 77.18 points to settle at 11,787.72 points on Monday.    

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR12.2 billion ($3.2 billion), as 69 of the listed stocks advanced, while 158 retreated.    

The MSCI Tadawul Index also decreased by 13.96 points, or 0.94 percent, to close at 1,477.60.    

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also dropped, losing 20.69 points, or 0.07 percent, to close at 30,864.65 points. This came as 39 of the listed stocks advanced while as many as 47 retreated.    

The index’s top performer, National Co. for Learning and Education, saw a 6.51 percent increase in its share price to close at SR229.    

Other top performers included Retal Urban Development Co., which saw a 6.45 percent rise to reach SR16.50, while Jadwa REIT Saudi Fund’s share price rose by 5.80 percent to SR10.94.   

Saudi Research and Media Group also recorded a positive trajectory, with share prices rising 5.71 percent to reach SR266.40. 

Mobile Telecommunication Co. Saudi Arabia also witnessed positive gains, with 3.82 percent reaching SR10.86. 

Saudi Chemical Co. was TASI’s worst performer, with the company’s share price dropping by 4.95 percent to SR9.60.  

Saudi Automotive Services Co. followed with a 4.77 percent drop to SR71.80. Batic Investments and Logistics Co. also saw a notable drop of 3.90 percent to settle at SR3.45.  

Walaa Cooperative Insurance Co. and Electrical Industries Co. were among the top five poorest performers, with shares declining by 3.78 percent to settle at SR21.36 and by 3.69 percent to sit at SR7.57, respectively. 

On Nomu, International Human Resources Co. was the best performer, with its share price rising by 10.22 percent to reach SR6.04.  

AME Co. for Medical Supplies and Leaf Global Environmental Services Co. also delivered strong performances. AME Co. for Medical Supplies saw its share price rise by 9.90 percent, reaching SR108.80, while Leaf Global Environmental Services Co. recorded a 5.94 percent increase, standing at SR107.  

Paper Home Co. also fared well with 5.83, and the Academy of Learning Co. increased 5.38 percent. 

Naseej for Technology Co. shed the most in Nomu, with its share price dropping by 5.71 percent to reach SR66.  

Naas Petrol Factory Co. experienced a 5.43 percent decline in share prices, closing at SR64.50, while Al Rashid Industrial Co. dropped 5.17 percent to settle at SR44. 

Alhasoob Co. and Dar Almarkabah for Renting Cars Co. were also among the top decliners, with Alhasoob Co. falling 4.92 and Dar Almarkabah for Renting Cars Co. declining 4.58 percent. 

Topics: Closing Bell Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) Saudi stock market Tadawul All Share Index (TASI)

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Saudi Arabia’s franchise registrations surge 866%, surpass 1,780

Updated 25 November 2024
MOHAMMED AL-KINANI
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Saudi Arabia’s franchise registrations surge 866%, surpass 1,780

Updated 25 November 2024
MOHAMMED AL-KINANI

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia has witnessed an 866 percent surge in franchise registrations over the past three years, reaching 1,788 by the end of the third quarter of 2024.

The Ministry of Commerce said in a statement that this marks a significant increase from just 185 in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The release added that the accommodation and food services sector, which includes tourism-related businesses, hotels, and restaurants, led registrations with 1,232 entries, followed by the wholesale and retail division with 689 and the transport and storage industry with 257 registrations.

The ministry highlighted that a single enrollment can encompass multiple activities.

Global franchises entered Saudi Arabia in 1970 and have greatly impacted the country’s economic and cultural landscape, according to the Small and Medium Enterprise General Authority, or Monsha’at. 

The authority added that over 380 Saudi companies have franchises countrywide and are expanding into other GCC nations.

Monsha’at emphasized that to enhance its business environment, the Kingdom implemented several measures and procedures that empowered international companies to enter the Saudi market and increased investment opportunities for local entrepreneurs to attract the most prominent international services and brands.

This significant growth has been driven by the Franchise Law introduced in October 2019, and its implementing regulations issued a year later. The ordinance established a regulatory framework to strengthen the relationship between franchisors and franchisees, promoting transparency and clarity, thereby encouraging business activities across the Kingdom.

The commerce ministry pointed out that Riyadh topped the list of issued franchise registrations with 647 enrolments, followed by Makkah with 363 and Eastern Province with 225.

The ministry highlighted that the Franchise Center, under Monsha’at, is playing a pivotal role in promoting entrepreneurship by fostering a culture of franchising, providing services, and attracting local and foreign investment, as well as creating new job opportunities in line with the objectives of the Kingdom’s ambitious plan for 2030.

The franchise market in the Middle East and Africa is valued at $30 billion, with the Kingdom accounting for approximately 50 percent of that total, according to the organizers of the Saudi Franchise Expo, set to launch in January.

The sector has become one of the fastest-growing parts of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy, with an average annual increase of 27 percent.

Topics: World Franchise Expo. Franchise Center

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Vision 2030 propels Saudi Arabia to forefront of global investment, says economy minister

Updated 25 November 2024
Nirmal Narayanan
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Vision 2030 propels Saudi Arabia to forefront of global investment, says economy minister

Updated 25 November 2024
Nirmal Narayanan

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has established itself as a global growth platform for investments, driven by the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 program, which has propelled the expansion of sectors like tourism, a senior minister said. 

Speaking at the World Investment Conference in Riyadh, Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim highlighted that evolving sectors like tourism are playing a crucial role in sustaining the momentum of the Kingdom’s non-oil economy. 

The National Tourism Strategy, initially targeting 100 million visitors annually by 2030, surpassed its goal in 2023, prompting the Kingdom to revise its target to 150 million visitors by the decade’s end. 

Tourism’s gross domestic product contribution is set to rise from 6 percent to 10 percent, underlining its impact on Saudi Arabia’s economic trajectory. 

Al-Ibrahim attributed this progress to deliberate diversification efforts, emphasizing that Vision 2030 has enabled the Kingdom to unlock inherent potential and foster collaborations with private and global partners. 

“Saudi Arabia, today is a global growth platform. Maybe actually today, the Kingdom is ‘the’ global growth platform. And, we have been lucky enough to prove the power of diversification over the last few years. Tourism is growing fast, and it is helping Saudi Arabia’s non-oil growth remain steady and high for the past 15 quarters,” said Al-Ibrahim. 

He added: “Saudi Vision 2030 is producing results and returns. We are unlocking immense inherent potential everywhere we go.”  

Al-Ibrahim also mentioned that they had “a strong and deliberate start with Vision 2030.” He explained that since then, much of what had happened had been built on political will, cascading with various constituents, and collaboration with the private sector. This, he noted, “has led to the momentum we see today.” 

Al-Ibrahim also underscored that non-oil activities now constitute 52 percent of Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product, with the Kingdom’s fixed capital formation climbing to 25 percent of GDP, up from less than 12 percent pre-Vision 2030. 

According to the minister, Saudi Arabia is connecting people and countries to new markets by offering an investment-friendly environment. 

“Saudi Arabia is becoming a more competitive and foundational platform for people who want to access new markets. The Kingdom is playing, not an anchor of stability role, but actually a promoter and driver of stability,” said Al-Ibrahim. 

Discussing global cooperation, the minister noted that Saudi Arabia has been invited to join BRICS, but the decision is currently under assessment, with the final outcome to be unveiled in due course. 

He added that Saudi Arabia is unique in opening new sectors, such as entertainment, while also strengthening existing industries like energy, defense, and healthcare. 

“We have many sectors that existed before, but there is a lot of knowledge that has been accumulated in these sectors. We are moving from traditional hydrocarbon energy to renewables, to carbon removals, to green hydrogen, which requires a lot of innovation and collaboration,” said Al-Ibrahim. 

Earlier this month, a report from the Kingdom’s Ministry of Investment highlighted that the entertainment sector is expected to create 450,000 jobs and contribute 4.2 percent of GDP by 2030. 

The report also revealed that the entertainment sector is driving growth in tourism, with inbound visitors reaching 6.2 million in 2023, a 153.3 percent increase from the previous year. 

IsDB’s efforts 

During the same panel discussion, Muhammad Sulaiman Al-Jasser, chairman of the Islamic Development Bank Group, emphasized the institution’s efforts to empower its member countries’ growth. 

Al-Jasser underscored the importance of basic infrastructure development as a foundation for economic progress, especially among IsDB member nations. 

Muhammad Sulaiman Al-Jasser, chairman of the Islamic Development Bank Group, emphasized the institution’s efforts to empower its member countries’ growth. 

“We at the IsDB are very much concerned about the evolution of our member countries in terms of economic growth and development. We also know that the most basic element of any economic development starts with basic infrastructure,” said Al-Jasser. 

He added: “We listen very carefully to our members. We don’t tell them what they need to do. But we listen to them and agree on the activities and strategic projects.” 

Al-Jasser stressed the need for strong policy frameworks to attract investors. 

“We have to advise our members that predictability of policies and robustness of regulatory frameworks are very important. Because investors have so many options, they will pick and choose. They will cherry-pick,” he added. 

Since its inception in 1975, IsDB has financed projects worth over $190 billion across member countries while maintaining a ‘AAA’ credit rating. 

In July, Moody’s affirmed the bank’s AAA rating with a stable outlook, citing its strong risk profile, low leverage, and robust liquid assets relative to debt. 

Regional perspectives 

Speaking at the same panel discussion, Samir Abdelhafidh, Tunisia’s minister of economy and planning, said that the country considers trade and foreign direct investment key potential drivers for economic growth and development. 

Abdelhafidh added that Saudi Arabia and Tunisia could potentially collaborate in multiple industries, including renewable energy, transport and logistics, minerals, tourism, and the information technology sector. 

For his part, Hassan El-Khatib, Egypt’s minister of investment and foreign trade, said that the country is implementing the right policies to attract foreign direct investment, which will play a crucial role in catalyzing its economic growth. 

El-Khatib also invited private companies to invest in Egypt, stating that the country offers clarity and predictability in policies, which could boost investor confidence. 

Topics: World Investment Conference SaudiVision2030

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