Oil Updates – prices fall as demand concerns overshadow Libyan export halt
Updated 03 September 2024
Reuters
SINGAPORE: Brent oil prices fell on Tuesday as sluggish economic growth in China, the world’s biggest crude importer, increased worries about demand that overshadowed the impact of the halt of production and exports from Libya.
Brent crude futures were down 17 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $77.35 a barrel by 9:20 a.m. Saudi time.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which did not settle on Monday because of the US Labour Day holiday, were up 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $74.05 a barrel.
“Oil remains under pressure given lingering Chinese demand concerns. Weaker-than-expected PMI data over the weekend would have done little to ease these worries,” said Warren Patterson of ING, adding that demand jitters are offsetting the Libyan supply disruptions.
China’s purchasing managers’ index hit a six-month low in August. On Monday, the country reported new export orders in July fell for first time in eight months, and new home prices grew in August at their weakest pace this year.
In Libya, oil exports at major ports were halted on Monday and production curtailed across the country, six engineers told Reuters, continuing a standoff between rival political factions over control of the central bank and oil revenue.
The country’s National Oil Corp. declared force majeure on its El Feel oil field from Sept. 2. Total production had plunged to little more than 591,000 barrels per day as of Aug. 28 from nearly 959,000 bpd on Aug. 26, NOC said. Production was at about 1.28 million bpd on July 20, the company said.
Still, some supply is set to return to the market as eight OPEC+ members are scheduled to boost output by 180,000 bpd in October. The plan is likely to go ahead regardless of demand worries, according to industry sources.
OPEC planners may decide that the expected upcoming cuts in US interest rates and the Libyan outage provides space for the addition of more oil, RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said in a note.
“In our view, a prolonged Libyan outage could support Brent prices” around $85 a barrel, even with additional supply coming onto the market in the fourth quarter, she said.
A Reuters survey on Monday found OPEC’s oil output last month fell to its lowest level since January.
Continuing disruptions to supply flows from the Middle East are also supporting the market.
Two oil tankers were attacked on Monday in the Red Sea off Yemen but did not sustain major damage. The Iran-backed Houthis, who are attacking shipping in support of Hamas’ fight against Israel in Gaza, claimed responsibility.
Saudi Arabia unveils 2nd phase of industrial incentives to attract high-value investment
Initiative extends beyond traditional financing to include direct grants
Kingdom works to position itself as a regional and global industrial hub
Updated 23 June 2025
Nadin Hassan
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has launched the second phase of its standardized industrial incentives program, aimed at boosting competitiveness and strengthening the Kingdom’s trade balance, a senior official said.
Speaking at the Saudi Industry Forum in Dhahran, Khalil Ibn Salamah, deputy minister of industry and mineral resources for industrial affairs, said the initiative supports the government’s efforts to drive high-value investments in priority sectors.
This comes as Saudi Arabia works to position itself as a regional and global industrial hub. Since its initial launch, the program has drawn more than 1,000 investors. Of the 118 applications received, 12 have reached the final qualification stage.
In his remarks, Ibn Salamah said: “It gives me great pleasure to announce the launch of the second batch of standardized incentives under this transformative program.”
He added: “Investors will be able to invest and apply for these new standardized incentives at the beginning of August.”
Khalil Ibn Salamah, deputy minister of industry and mineral resources for industrial affairs, speaking at the Saudi Industry Forum in Dhahran. X/@sif_2030
The initiative, described as one of the most important in the Kingdom’s industrial history, extends beyond traditional financing to include direct grants.
These are designed to support factories producing critical goods that are currently imported and not manufactured locally.
Eligible investors under the program may receive up to SR50 million, or 35 percent of the total investment value — whichever is higher.
The deputy minister emphasized the growing role of the private sector in shaping and implementing the National Industrial Strategy, which aims to expand domestic production and promote economic diversification.
“The partnership with the private sector has been a cornerstone in shaping the National Industrial Strategy, and it continues to grow steadily to ensure we meet the goals of our national industrial ambitions. The industrial investor remains an indispensable partner in our development efforts,” he said.
Saudi Arabia currently oversees 61 industrial cities across the Kingdom. Of these, 37 are supervised by the Saudi Authority for Industrial Cities and Technology Zones, also known as MODON, while 18 are private and integrated industrial cities.
Another four are managed by the Royal Commission for Jubail and Yanbu, and several others fall under the Special Economic Zones Authority, including OXAGON in NEOM.
These zones span more than 2 trillion sq. meters, with over 500 million sq. meters already developed or under development. Infrastructure investments across these sites have exceeded SR31 billion, with an expected return of eight to 12 times for every riyal spent.
“This program has already had a significant positive impact this year and is expected to continue doing so in the years to come,” Ibn Salamah noted.
The deputy minister said Saudi Arabia is currently overseeing over 1,900 industrial projects with investments totaling SR380 billion, nearly half of which are based in the Eastern Province.
He noted that conversion industries are expected to account for between 30 and 40 percent of the National Industrial Strategy’s overall targets, underlining their central role in expanding the Kingdom’s industrial base.
He further highlighted the role of the “Wafrah” program in boosting local consumption of polypropylene, reporting over 40 percent growth and 27 percent utilization of existing capacities.
Ibn Salamah stated that they are working with the Ministry of Energy to include 20 new materials in the program by 2025, which will significantly impact downstream industries.
The National Industrial Strategy is built around four core enablers supported by over 140 initiatives.
These include maximizing the value of natural resources, securing the availability of raw materials, enhancing the Kingdom’s exports, and developing specialized industrial clusters.
It also seeks to empower small and medium-sized factories by encouraging the adoption of advanced manufacturing technologies.
In parallel, the government aims to increase the industrial sector’s contribution to the gros domestic product while reinforcing the resilience and efficiency of local supply chains.
Chemicals sector drives growth
During a panel discussion, Fahad Al-Jubairy, assistant deputy minister for sectoral strategies and regulation at the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources, said the chemicals sector represents one of the most vital components of the national economy and is expected to account for more than half of the total economic impact projected by the National Industrial Strategy by 2035.
“The chemicals sector is a vital and strategic component of the national economy. It is one of the twelve key sectors targeted by the National Industrial Strategy — and indeed, it is considered the most critical due to its projected economic impact,” he said.
The forum featured several key announcements aimed at accelerating industrial growth and localization. X/@sif_2030
According to Al-Jubairy, Saudi Arabia aims to multiply the output of specialty and downstream chemicals by four to five times, while boosting the production of basic and intermediate chemicals by over 12 million tons annually over the next decade.
He also emphasized that the chemicals sector is foundational to the development of other industries such as automotive, aviation, construction, and advanced materials — all of which stand to benefit from the availability of locally produced value-added chemical products.
“The growth of the chemicals sector will position the Kingdom where it truly belongs among the world’s leading economies — particularly within the G20 — by reinforcing its global leadership across various products and industries, especially petrochemicals,” Al-Jubairy said.
He further noted that the sector’s growth will contribute significantly to job creation, increase industrial competitiveness, and open new investment opportunities for entrepreneurs, particularly in small and medium-sized enterprises.
New industrial projects
The forum featured several key announcements aimed at accelerating industrial growth and localization.
Two industrial complexes were inaugurated in the Eastern Province. The first, in Dammam Third Industrial City, will enhance service availability and integration with neighboring industrial zones and export outlets. The second, in Jubail Second Industrial City, targets high-value investments in the chemicals sector and strengthens links with upstream and intermediate feedstock sources.
Both fall under the Specialized Industrial Complexes Initiative, which supports economic diversification, local content, and job creation by attracting advanced manufacturing investments.
A strategic partnership was also announced to establish Saudi Arabia’s first tinplate manufacturing plant, in collaboration between the National Industrial Co. and China’s Shanghai Donghexin Group.
Additionally, MODON signed major industrial agreements, including a SR40 million contract with Abdullah Al-Shuwayer Sons Heavy Metal Industries, a SR35 million lease with Al-Sharq Polystyrene Factory, and a SR20 billion investment deal with Al Marje Al Hayawi Co. Ltd.
Direct domestic use of crude for power and industry slipped to 377,000 bpd, a decline of 1.6%
Crude intake fell 17.22% to 1.84 million bpd
Updated 23 June 2025
Dayan Abou Tine
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia pumped 9 million barrels per day of crude in April, a 0.54 percent month-on-month increase, according to the latest data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative.
Crude exports rose to 6.17 million bpd, up 7.16 percent from March, the data showed.
Direct domestic use of crude for power and industry slipped to 377,000 bpd, a decline of 1.6 percent versus the previous month and 6 percent below the April 2024 tally.
Demand from local refineries also eased. Crude intake fell 17.22 percent to 1.84 million bpd.
JODI, a platform overseen by the International Energy Forum, compiles monthly oil statistics supplied voluntarily by national governments. The Kingdom’s figures are published with a roughly two-month lag, providing one of the few publicly available windows into Saudi production, exports, and domestic consumption patterns.
For much of the period between 2020 and 2024, the wider OPEC+ alliance had been restraining supplies to shore up prices, beginning with the record 9.7 million-bpd collective cut agreed in April 2020 at the height of the pandemic and tapering only gradually through April 2022.
Additional curbs followed, with the group instituting a 2 million bpd reduction in October 2022 and layered on a series of voluntary cuts totaling 1.6 to 2.2 million bpd from May 2023, moves that remained in force into early 2025.
In a shift of strategy, OPEC+ members agreed in early May to bring back barrels in stages, scheduling incremental increases for May, June, and July and signaling room for a further 2.2 million bpd to return by November if market conditions allow.
A separate market context came from the June Monthly Oil Market Report issued by OPEC on June 16, in which the producer group said the global economy “has outperformed expectations” in the first half of 2025 and should remain resilient in the second half.
JODI #gas update by the numbers:
56 countries updated the database with the most recent April 2025 data. pic.twitter.com/qJW3P3t7we
OPEC kept its forecasts for oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026 unchanged but trimmed its projection for non-OPEC+ supply growth in 2026 to 730,000 bpd, 70,000 bpd lower than the previous month, citing plateauing US shale output.
Geopolitical risk also featured prominently in late-June trading. Iran’s parliament approved a bill to shut the Strait of Hormuz, the 33-km wide passageway that carries close to one-fifth of the world’s crude exports.
Tanker-tracking data compiled by Reuters shows supertankers making U-turns, idling near the Gulf, or zigzagging to avoid the choke point as companies rush to limit their exposure. In response, freight rates for the largest vessels more than doubled, and Brent crude hit a five-month high.
A full closure — still subject to sign-off by Iran’s higher supervisory bodies — would force Gulf exporters to divert cargoes around Africa or rely on overland pipelines, moves that analysts say could squeeze near-term supply and push oil prices sharply higher. The Strait routinely handles about 20 percent of globally traded oil, underlining why even the threat of disruption can jolt energy markets.
Closing Bell: TASI rises 1.3% as market breadth remains positive
MSCI Tadawul 30 Index climbed 1.16% to close at 1,377.63
Parallel market Nomu ended 0.80% higher at 26,358.07
Updated 23 June 2025
Nour El-Shaeri
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose 1.29 percent to close at 10,710.24 on Monday, supported by broad-based gains across sectors.
Trading activity remained healthy, with turnover hitting SR4 billion ($1 billion) and the market recording 225 advancers versus 20 decliners.
The MSCI Tadawul 30 Index also climbed 1.16 percent to close at 1,377.63. The parallel market Nomu ended 0.80 percent higher at 26,358.07.
Red Sea International Co. led the main market gainers with a 9.97 percent jump to SR38.60. Al-Rajhi Co. for Cooperative Insurance followed with an 8.86 percent gain to close at SR113.
Other top performers included National Gypsum Co., which rose 7.61 percent to SR19.52; Americana Restaurants International, up 6.86 percent at SR2.18; and Naseej International Trading Co., which added 6.53 percent to reach SR78.30.
On the downside, Sustained Infrastructure Holding Co. was the biggest decliner, falling 3.07 percent to SR25.30.
Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund dropped 1.58 percent to SR8.12, while Eastern Province Cement Co. slipped 1.17 percent to SR29.50.
Other notable fallers included Knowledge Economic City, down 0.92 percent at SR12.86, and Saudi Industrial Investment Group, which closed 0.71 percent lower at SR16.70.
On the announcement front, Etihad Atheeb Telecommunications Co., known as GO Telecom, confirmed the completion of its acquisition of a 51 percent stake in Ejad Tech for Information Technology.
The deal, valued at SR86.7 million, was finalized using internal company resources. The group stated that SR40 million was paid upon signing, with the remaining SR46.7 million to be disbursed in two instalments contingent upon target achievements — SR23.7 million by the end of 2025 and SR23 million by the end of 2026.
GO Telecom said the acquisition is part of a strategic initiative to broaden its business base and enter new sectors. Ejad Tech is recognized as one of the top five digital transformation service providers in the Middle East.
GO Telecom shares closed up 0.98 percent at SR93.10.
Digital transformation to boost Saudi industrial productivity by up to 25%, says Aramco CEO
Amin Nasser said effective integration of digital technologies could increase Kingdom’s industrial productivity by 15%
He was speaking during the Saudi Industry Forum in Dhahran
Updated 23 June 2025
Nadin Hassan
RIYADH: Integrating digital technologies is set to increase Saudi Arabia’s industrial productivity by 15 to 25 percent, according to Aramco President and CEO Amin Nasser.
Speaking during the Saudi Industry Forum in Dhahran, Nasser stated that the Kingdom’s shift into a new industrial era calls for an increased focus on digital transformation and the need to align it with proactive cybersecurity strategies.
This comes as Saudi Arabia works to solidify its position as a regional and global digital powerhouse, backed by major advances in artificial intelligence, data centers, e-government, and human capital development.
The Kingdom has emerged as the Middle East and North Africa’s largest digital economy, with a market value exceeding SR495 billion ($131.9 billion) in 2024 — equivalent to 15 percent of its gross domestic product, according to figures from the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology.
In his remarks, Nasser said: “Preliminary estimates suggest that effective integration of digital technologies could increase Saudi Arabia’s industrial productivity by 15 percent to 25 percent.”
The Saudi Industry Forum 2025 is sponsored by Eastern Province Governor Prince Saud bin Naif bin Abdulaziz. X/@sif_2030
He added: “Thanks to successive technological developments, industries will emerge over the next 10 years dominated by advanced technologies to a degree we have never seen before.”
Nasser noted that the world is undergoing profound geopolitical shifts and intensifying competition across technological, industrial, and economic domains — trends that are accelerating the transformation of Saudi Arabia’s industrial landscape.
He emphasized the need to prepare for this future, particularly as the Kingdom continues to invest in artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, robotics, and automation.
These technologies, he explained, are aimed at more than just optimizing factory operations; they are vital for enhancing industrial productivity and ensuring operational reliability.
“At Aramco, we are working to establish a digital infrastructure that becomes an integral part of empowering the industrial sector,” Nasser said, adding: “This includes the launch of Aramco Digital Company, as well as a 450 MHz private wireless network dedicated to industrial use by the private sector.”
He continued: “Aramco Digital has also introduced an edge artificial intelligence service — AI on the Edge — designed for critical industrial facilities and complex applications, such as crowd management during Hajj.”
In the cybersecurity sphere, Aramco established Cyberani in 2021, a company focused on delivering industrial-grade solutions and software protection technologies.
“Aramco is working on projects to develop artificial intelligence platforms, data centers, and smart industrial complexes,” Nasser said.
He warned of the risks accompanying digital advancement, stating: “A technical malfunction or external interference through digital systems or control platforms could impact operations and disrupt the performance of industrial and economic facilities — especially those that do not invest sufficiently in digital protection.”
Highlighting the human element in digital security, he stated: “The most critical aspect of proactive protection systems is the development of human capabilities and deep expertise.”
Nasser concluded by stressing the importance of localizing digital supply chains and enhancing technological resilience.
“Building future Saudi industries supported by flexible supply chains, competitive costs, and excellence in artificial intelligence is essential and highly important — but it is not enough unless it is accompanied by proactive investment in digital protection,” he said.
The Saudi Industry Forum 2025, held from June 23–25 at the Dhahran International Exhibition Center, is sponsored by Eastern Province Governor Prince Saud bin Naif bin Abdulaziz.
The event aims to elevate the Kingdom’s industrial sector in alignment with Saudi Vision 2030, which seeks to diversify income sources and increase the sector’s contribution to the gross domestic product.
Egypt records 77% rise in remittances over 10 months
Between January and April, remittance inflows rose 72.3% year on year to $12.4 billion
Annual urban headline inflation rate accelerated to 16.8% in May, up from 13.9% in April
Updated 23 June 2025
Reem Walid
RIYADH: Remittances from Egyptians working abroad rose by more than 77 percent in the first 10 months of the 2024-25 fiscal year, reaching a record $29.4 billion.
Between January and April alone, remittance inflows rose 72.3 percent year on year to $12.4 billion, official data from Egypt’s central bank showed.
The sharp increase underscores growing confidence among expatriates in the country’s financial system and reflects a broader improvement in Egypt’s external financial position.
The Central Bank of Egypt attributed the surge to recent measures aimed at stabilizing the exchange rate and encouraging the use of formal remittance channels.
The impact of these policies is also evident in the rise of Egypt’s net international reserves, which climbed to $48.5 billion at the end of May, up from $47.8 billion in March.
In a statement, the central bank noted: “On a monthly basis, remittances in April 2025 increased by 39 percent year on year, reaching approximately $3 billion, compared to $2.2 billion in the same month last year.”
The Central Bank of Egypt attributed the surge to recent measures aimed at stabilizing the exchange. File/Reuters
The rebound in remittance flows comes amid broader economic reforms pursued under an International Monetary Fund-backed stabilization program. These reforms have bolstered Egypt’s foreign currency position and helped attract more international capital.
In May, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly announced that Egypt recorded real gross domestic product growth of 3.9 percent during the first half of the fiscal year. Private sector investment surged by 80 percent, while foreign direct investment rose by around 17 percent.
Inflation, however, remains a key challenge. The annual urban headline inflation rate accelerated to 16.8 percent in May, up from 13.9 percent in April, driven largely by continued pressure on non-food prices.
These inflation trends come as Egypt’s broader economic landscape continues to be shaped by both domestic and global pressures. The government is navigating a delicate recovery amid external shocks, ongoing structural reforms, and efforts to manage public debt.
The ratings agency noted that recent currency devaluation and flotation helped boost foreign exchange reserves and reduce debt vulnerabilities. While a “Caa1” rating denotes high credit risk, the positive outlook reflects the government’s efforts to control inflation and stabilize interest rates.
