Global oil demand set to rise by 1.21 mbpd in 2025: KAPSARC

The Saudi-based think tank’s latest report also forecasts that oil demand will rise by 1.23 million bpd in 2026, bringing global consumption to 104.97 million bpd. File
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Updated 13 January 2025
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Global oil demand set to rise by 1.21 mbpd in 2025: KAPSARC

RIYADH: Global oil consumption is projected to increase by 1.21 million barrels per day in 2025, reaching a total of 103.74 million bpd, according to an analysis by the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center.

The Saudi-based think tank’s latest report also forecasts that oil demand will rise by 1.23 million bpd in 2026, bringing global consumption to 104.97 million bpd.

KAPSARC’s forecast for 2025 is slightly lower than the projection made by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in December 2024. OPEC predicted a 1.4 million bpd increase in global oil demand for 2025, bringing the total to 105.3 million bpd.

The KAPSARC analysis highlights several key factors that will influence oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026. While economic conditions and OPEC+ actions have been significant drivers of the oil market in recent years, the report emphasizes that new factors, such as geopolitics, inventory levels, and, to a lesser extent, the global energy transition, will play an increasingly prominent role in shaping market volatility in the coming years.

“Over the past couple of years, some of the main drivers for oil markets have been linked to the economy and OPEC+ actions. However, as we head into 2025 and 2026, new actors will start playing a more important role in shaping oil market volatility — namely, geopolitics, inventory filling, and, to a lesser extent, the energy transition,”  KAPSARC noted in its report.

Inflation is also expected to be a major factor in oil demand growth, with global inflation likely to remain above pre-pandemic levels in the next two years. This persistent inflationary pressure could affect both consumption patterns and investment in energy markets.

According to KAPSARC, countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development will see minimal or no growth in oil demand over the next two years. In contrast, non-OECD nations — particularly India and the Middle East—are expected to experience significant demand growth.

India, for example, is forecast to see an increase in oil consumption of 220,000 bpd in both 2025 and 2026. China’s demand growth will remain relatively modest, with increases of 210,000 bpd in 2025 and 190,000 bpd in 2026. The Middle East is projected to experience a growth of 200,000 bpd in each of the next two years.

As a result, the overall growth in oil demand for non-OECD countries is expected to reach 1.09 million bpd annually in 2025 and 2026.

In terms of oil supply, KAPSARC expects global production to increase by approximately 1.48 million bpd in 2025 and 1.98 million bpd in 2026. The report predicts a supply surplus of 260,000 bpd in 2025, followed by a larger surplus of 1.01 million bpd in 2026.

However, KAPSARC also cautions that if OECD countries continue to maintain their historically low inventory levels, as seen in recent years, this could contribute to bearish conditions in the oil commodities market.

“Given the dynamics between oil supply and demand, we anticipate an overall surplus in both 2025 and 2026. If OECD countries keep their inventory levels low, we could see continued downward pressure on oil prices,” KAPSARC concluded.


Saudi Arabia’s Surj Sports Investment partners with Enfield Investment to boost global portfolio

Updated 47 min 56 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s Surj Sports Investment partners with Enfield Investment to boost global portfolio

  • Surj, established in 2023, is dedicated to fostering growth in the global sports sector and building a robust sporting ecosystem in Saudi Arabia and the wider Middle East

WASHINGTON: Saudi Arabia’s Surj Sports Investment Co. signed a strategic partnership agreement on Monday with US-based Enfield Investment Partners to expand and enhance investments in the global sports sector.

The partnership follows EIP’s recent launch of a $4 billion global fund aimed at investing in sports assets.

The two companies plan to explore opportunities in key areas, including clubs, leagues, media rights, and sports infrastructure, a statement issued on Monday said.

Surj, established in 2023, is dedicated to fostering growth in the global sports sector and building a robust sporting ecosystem in Saudi Arabia and the wider Middle East.

The company’s strategy focuses on direct investments in sports events and activities to enhance fan engagement and regional sports participation.

“We are delighted to partner with EIP, which has demonstrated a bold vision with the launch of its new sports assets fund,” said Surj CEO Danny Townsend.

“This collaboration marks a significant milestone in Surj’s journey to expand its presence in the American market and foster transformative investments in the global sports sector,” he added.

Jake Silverstein, co-founder and chairman of EIP, echoed Townsend’s sentiments.

“The launch of our Global Sports Assets Fund marks the beginning of an exciting chapter. Partnering with Surj Sports Investment enables us to align our shared vision for advancing the future of the sports industry,” he said.

As part of the collaboration, EIP plans to establish a regional headquarters in Riyadh to complement its Washington base, reflecting the partnership’s commitment to fostering growth in Saudi Arabia and beyond.

“The Kingdom’s extraordinary transformation is reshaping the global sports landscape,” Silverstein added. “Through this partnership, we aim to create meaningful and lasting impact, leveraging the resources and expertise of both parties to drive innovation and growth.”

The agreement highlights Saudi Arabia’s growing influence in the global sports arena, which has culminated in the Kingdom’s successful bid to host the 2034 FIFA World Cup.


Saudi Aramco secures $9bn in deals on first day of iktva forum

Updated 13 January 2025
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Saudi Aramco secures $9bn in deals on first day of iktva forum

  • 145 agreements signed in one day mark a leap toward strengthening local industries

RIYADH: Saudi Aramco has secured 145 agreements and memorandums of understanding worth an estimated $9 billion on the opening day of the In-Kingdom Total Value Add Forum and Exhibition 2025. 

These deals are expected to drive the localization of products and services in Saudi Arabia, enhancing local content in the supply chain and fostering collaboration.

The agreements align with the core objectives of iktva, which aim to enhance supply chain efficiency and add value across Saudi Aramco’s operations.

By increasing local content, the program helps develop a more diverse and competitive energy industry in the Kingdom. It also supports the strategic goal of retaining 70 percent of procurement spending within Saudi Arabia, directly benefiting local businesses.

On its first day, the event highlighted 210 localization opportunities across 12 sectors, with a combined annual market value of $28 billion. These opportunities are seen as key to driving long-term industrial growth and reducing reliance on imports.

During the event, Saudi Aramco President and CEO Amin Nasser reflected on the company’s progress, noting that Aramco achieved a 67 percent local content score for its procurement of goods and services in 2024, up from just 35 percent in 2015. 

“Since launching iktva in 2015, we’ve made significant strides. Back then, most of our materials and services were sourced from outside Saudi Arabia,” Nasser said. 

Nasser emphasized that the success of iktva depends on its ability to create value for all stakeholders. 

“For Aramco, a largely localized supply chain ensures continuity and helps us navigate operational challenges more effectively,” he said. “Since 2015, iktva has contributed over $240 billion to Saudi Arabia’s GDP and led to the creation of 350 local manufacturing facilities with investments totaling more than $9 billion.”

These new facilities cover a range of sectors, including chemicals, non-metallics, information technology, electrical and instrumentation, and drilling. As a result, 47 products are now being manufactured for the first time in Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman also addressed the gathering, announcing the Kingdom’s plans to enrich and sell uranium. “We’re committed to monetizing all our mineral resources, including uranium,” the minister said. “By enriching and selling uranium, along with producing yellowcake, we will secure essential raw materials for energy security.”

Prince Abdulaziz discussed the future of the petrochemical sector, emphasizing the importance of producing more advanced chemicals. “The future of petrochemicals is not just about plastics or polymers. We’re aiming for better, more sophisticated chemical products,” he noted.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. SPA

Looking ahead, the energy minister spoke about potential collaborations with Egypt, indicating that a roadmap for joint ventures would be outlined in February. “We have much to look forward to with Egypt,” he said.

In a separate panel, Prince Abdulaziz highlighted the role of integrated collaboration between sectors in achieving the Kingdom’s Vision 2030.

He explained that major energy expansion projects are key to supporting industrial development by providing diverse energy sources and offering competitive prices for gas feedstock.

This, he added, would help stimulate the growth of manufacturing and facilitate the transition to cleaner energy.

Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih also spoke during the ministerial dialogue session, stressing that standardized incentives for the industrial sector are critical to achieving Vision 2030.

These incentives, he said, will help accelerate the creation of new industrial facilities and strengthen local supply chains at all stages of the value chain, making Saudi industries more competitive.

The first day of the forum also saw the launch of ASMO, a joint venture between Saudi Aramco Development Co. and DHL. The new venture aims to transform the procurement and supply chain landscape across the Middle East and North Africa region.

Additionally, the opening ceremonies for the Novel Non-Metallic Solutions facility at King Salman Energy Park and the NMDC Offshore Fabrication Yard at Ras Al-Khair were held.

Novel, a partnership between Aramco and Baker Hughes, is focused on introducing a range of composite products to the market, while the NMDC fabrication yard will provide maritime engineering services and fabricate equipment and materials.

Running from Jan.13-16 in Dammam, the iktva Forum continues to spotlight critical infrastructure projects and collaborative opportunities aimed at advancing the local supply chain ecosystem and supporting the Kingdom’s long-term industrial goals.


Saudi entertainment authority unveils 29 investment opportunities  

Updated 13 January 2025
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Saudi entertainment authority unveils 29 investment opportunities  

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s General Entertainment Authority has unveiled 29 investment opportunities targeting six key sectors of the industry. 

The initiative, in collaboration with the Ministry of Investment, aims to expand the Kingdom’s entertainment landscape while fostering private sector participation and aligning with Vision 2030 objectives. 

The targeted sectors include facilities, destinations, water parks, adventure parks, virtual reality parks, and e-gaming centers. 

These opportunities are designed to enhance growth in the entertainment sector, drive economic diversification, and promote sustainable development. 

According to the GEA, the initiative also seeks to empower the private sector within Saudi Arabia and internationally, while improving the quality of life for citizens and residents. 

By focusing on infrastructure development across these entertainment segments, the initiative reflects Saudi Arabia’s strategic commitment to becoming a global entertainment hub. This effort also supports the Quality of Life Program, which is a core pillar of Vision 2030. 

These investment initiatives are set to play a significant role in boosting the sector as projections indicate that the sector will generate 450,000 jobs and contribute 4.2 percent to the country’s gross domestic product by 2030. 

Vision 2030 aims to transform Saudi Arabia’s entertainment sector by increasing household spending on recreation from 2.9 percent to 6 percent by 2030. 

It seeks to generate over SR120 billion ($31.9 billion) in investments, create 100,000 direct and indirect jobs, and enhance the sector’s contribution to the economy. 
 


Saudi Arabia, Oman to strengthen financial ties with new agreement

Updated 13 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia, Oman to strengthen financial ties with new agreement

  • Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan and his Omani counterpart, Sultan Al-Habsi, signed deal to enhance cooperation in financial affairs
  • Areement underscores commitment of Riyadh and Muscat to collaborate on advancing shared financial sector goals

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia and Oman are set to strengthen financial ties with a new agreement aimed at enhancing cooperation and facilitating the exchange of information and expertise. 

The deal, signed during the board of governors’ retreat of the Islamic Development Bank Group in the city of Madinah, aims to improve financial policies, governance in the public sector, and joint coordination on regional and international issues. 

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan and his Omani counterpart, Sultan Al-Habsi, signed a memorandum of understanding to enhance cooperation in financial affairs between the two countries, according to a statement from the Saudi Finance Ministry. 

This comes as Oman’s non-oil exports to Saudi Arabia have more than doubled since 2020, surpassing 1 billion Omani rials ($2.6 billion) by the end of 2023, according to Oman’s National Center for Statistics and Information. Non-oil imports from Saudi Arabia also grew, reaching 1.84 billion rials in the same period. 

Al-Jadaan said “this MoU represents a significant step in the ongoing efforts to deepen financial collaboration between the two brotherly nations,” 

He added: “it will pave the way for the exchange of financial expertise, the promotion of knowledge-sharing, and the fostering of closer economic ties.” 

Al-Habsi underscored the importance of the MoU as “a cornerstone for enhancing bilateral relations.” 

He said that “it will facilitate the exchange of financial information and expertise while strengthening coordination between Saudi Arabia and Oman on regional and international financial issues of mutual interest.” 

The agreement underscores the commitment of Riyadh and Muscat to collaborate on advancing shared financial sector goals, further strengthening the ties between the two nations, the release added. 

In October 2024, the two countries signed a deal to enhance economic and planning cooperation, focusing on medium and long-term strategies, monetary policies, and economic studies. 

The five-year agreement was finalized by Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim and Omani Minister of Economy Said bin Mohammed Al-Saqri. 

Earlier in April 2024, another MoU was signed during a meeting between Al-Habsi and Sultan bin Abdulrahman Al-Marshad, the CEO of the Saudi Fund for Development. 

The agreement centered on joint development projects, including initiatives in infrastructure, higher education, vocational training, and key industries, including mining, transportation, communications, and energy. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index sheds points to settle at 12,109.94 

Updated 13 January 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index sheds points to settle at 12,109.94 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index lost on Monday, dropping 17.03 points, or 0.14 percent, to close at 12,109.94.  

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR5.77 billion ($1.53 billion), as 114 of the listed stocks advanced, while 119 retreated.

The MSCI Tadawul Index also dropped by 2.34 points, or 0.15 percent, to close at 1,509.67.  

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu increased, gaining 194.91 points, or 0.63 percent, to close at 31,234.44. This comes as 43 of the listed stocks advanced while 46 retreated.  

Buruj Cooperative Insurance Co. was the best-performing stock of the day, with its share price surging by 9.95 percent to SR22.54.  

Other top performers included United International Holding Co., which saw its share price rise by 7.97 percent to SR187, and Gulf General Cooperative Insurance Co., which saw a 4.38 percent increase to SR11.44.  

Saudi Cable Co. and Saudi Industrial Investment Group also saw a positive change, with their share prices surging by 4.06 percent and 4 percent to SR107.60 and SR17.68, respectively.

Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co. saw the steepest decline of the day, with its share price easing 5.56 percent to close at SR14.60.

Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Co. and Middle East Specialized Cables Co. recorded declines, with their shares slipping 4.05 percent and 3.50 percent to SR156.20 and SR42.70, respectively.  

National Medical Care Co. also faced a loss in today’s session, with its share price dipping 2.93 percent to SR159.20. 

On Nomu, Multi Business Group Co. was the best performer, with its share price rising by 13.64 percent to reach SR18.50.  

Alqemam for Computer Systems Co. also delivered a strong performance, with its share price rising by 9.28 percent, to reach SR93, while First Avenue for Real Estate Development Co. saw a 7.27 percent increase to end the session at SR9.44.  

Albattal Factory for Chemical Industries Co. also fared well, with a 7.07 percent rise to SR62.10, and Alfakhera for Mens Tailoring Co. increased by 6.62 percent to SR6.60. 

Al-Razi Medical Co. shed the most on Nomu, with its share price dropping by 10.58 percent to reach SR60.  

Quara Finance Co. experienced a 6.30 percent decline in share prices, closing at SR18.74, while Advance International Co. for Communication and Information Technology dropped 4.98 percent to settle at SR4.20. 

Meyar Co. and Intelligent Oud Co. for Trading were also among the top decliners, with Meyar Co. falling 4.70 percent to settle at SR70.9 and Intelligent Oud Co. for Trading declining 4.13 percent to SR51.10. 

On the announcement front, Nofoth Food Products Co. has received board approval to transition from the Nomu-parallel market to the main market, according to a bourse filing. 

The company noted that the move remains subject to Tadawul’s approval, as well as compliance with all listing rules and requirements. 

Estidamah Capital has been appointed as the financial adviser for the proposed transition. Nofoth Food Products stated that any material developments regarding the process will be disclosed in accordance with regulatory requirements. 

Nofoth Food Products Co. saw a 0.68 percent drop in its share price on Monday to settle at SR20.46.