The rise of ‘phygital’ — Saudi e-commerce industry sees Ramadan rush

This ‘phygital’ approach — combining the best of physical and digital shopping — will define the future of Ramadan commerce in the Kingdom. (SPA)
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Updated 15 March 2025
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The rise of ‘phygital’ — Saudi e-commerce industry sees Ramadan rush

  • Convergence of cultural roots with digital convenience is reshaping consumer expectations across the Kingdom

RIYADH: Embracing the essence of tradition while adapting to the evolving demands of a digital era, Ramadan in Saudi Arabia reflects a fusion of heritage and modernity.

The convergence of cultural roots with digital convenience is reshaping consumer expectations across the Kingdom, which has a population of 38 million, of whom 70 percent are under the age of 35.

Brands are now tasked with infusing core values such as personalization, community engagement, and generosity into the shopping journey to resonate with this tech-savvy and culturally rich demographic.

E-commerce rush in Saudi Arabia during holy month of Ramadan

According to Janahan Tharmaratnam, partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East, the Kingdom’s digital commerce market — valued at $14 billion in 2023 — is projected to reach $20 billion in 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 20 percent.

“The Ramadan period alone accounts for 35-40 percent higher transaction volumes, driven by a surge in demand for groceries, electronics, fashion, and gifting,” Tharmaratnam said. “The post-pandemic shift to online shopping has solidified consumer reliance on e-commerce, with 77 percent of Saudis now preferring digital-first shopping experiences.”

He went on to say that growth is not just focused on demand — it is also about fulfillment. 

The Ramadan period alone accounts for 35-40 percent higher transaction volumes, driven by a surge in demand for groceries, electronics, fashion, and gifting.

Janahan Tharmaratnam, Partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East

“Logistics networks must scale by 40 percent to meet the Ramadan surge, with nighttime deliveries increasing by 50 percent compared to other months,” he explained, adding that successful businesses do not just ramp up promotions; they optimize artificial intelligence-driven demand forecasting, reduce delivery times by 30 to 40 percent, and integrate micro-fulfillment centers across urban hubs to ensure inventory is closer to consumers.

This shift from centralized warehouses to hyper-local distribution is key to sustaining Ramadan’s retail boom, according to Tharmaratnam.

“A prime example is Jahez, Saudi Arabia’s homegrown quick-commerce platform, which experienced a 70-percent surge in Ramadan orders last year. Instead of simply adding more riders, Jahez used AI-driven logistics to optimize routes, reducing delivery times by 25 percent,” he said. “The platform also expanded partnerships with neighborhood retailers, ensuring customers had access to essentials without supply-chain bottlenecks. This kind of data-driven agility will define the next phase of e-commerce in Saudi Arabia.”

Tharmaratnam said that mobile commerce dominates, accounting for over 90 percent of e-commerce transactions during Ramadan, while social commerce, via WhatsApp, Instagram, and TikTok, now drives 30 percent of online sales.

He went on to emphasize that the real disruption is the shift from transactional commerce to culturally embedded, experience-driven engagement, as traditional Ramadan shopping has focused on physical markets and communal buying.

The partner stressed that today, leading e-commerce players curate AI-driven experiences that align with consumer sentiment. From AI-powered gifting suggestions to influencer-led Ramadan livestreams, brands that focus on storytelling rather than hard-selling see higher conversion rates and customer retention beyond Ramadan.

“A great example is Namshi, a leading Saudi fashion e-commerce platform. Last year, Namshi saw a 45-percent boost in sales conversion rates by combining cultural resonance with digital engagement,” Tharmaratnam said. “The platform launched AI-powered Eid styling recommendations, influencer-led ‘Suhoor Lookbooks,’ and interactive content that blended fashion with tradition. By seamlessly integrating Ramadan traditions into the online shopping journey, Namshi transformed shopping from a necessity into a personalized, experience-driven event.”

Ramadan traditions and online shopping behaviors

There is no doubt that the fundamental values of Ramadan, such as generosity, family bonding, and the distinct pattern of late-night gatherings, have a significant impact on online shopping trends in Saudi Arabia.

According to Joe Abi Akl, partner and head of Oliver Wyman’s retail and consumer practice for  India, the Middle East and Africa, there is a significant spike in demand for essential groceries, traditional fashion and thoughtful gifts, with peak activity occurring post-iftar. 

Expect a significant leap in logistics efficiency, with same-day or even instant delivery becoming more prevalent.

Joe Abi, Akl Partner and head of Oliver Wyman’s retail and consumer practice

“Savvy businesses are capitalizing on this by crafting culturally resonant marketing campaigns, curating Ramadan-specific bundles, and ensuring swift, reliable delivery that accommodates the altered daily schedules. This includes leveraging suhoor and iftar time-focused promotions,” Akl said.

Ian Khan, a technology futurist and author, noted that Ramadan is not just a time of spiritual reflection, it is also a season of significant consumer activity — and retailers in Saudi Arabia are capitalizing on this in remarkable ways.

“Take Mazeed, for example — this e-commerce platform has curated products from over 8,000 local merchants, offering items that deeply resonate with Ramadan traditions. 

“This isn’t just about sales; it’s about creating meaningful shopping experiences that align with cultural values,” Khan said.

Opportunities Ramadan e-commerce poses for businesses

Ramadan presents a prime opportunity for Saudi businesses to forge deeper customer connections through bespoke, culturally sensitive campaigns and exclusive loyalty programs.

Oliver Wyman’s Akl said that the heightened online traffic during this period allows for significant brand building and the refinement of operational efficiencies, particularly in fulfillment and delivery.

“This is also the perfect time to explore cutting-edge technologies like AI-powered chat commerce — which offers personalized customer service — and strategic influencer partnerships that resonate with the Saudi audience,” he added.

ADL’s Tharmaratnam suggested Ramadan is an opportunity not just to increase sales, but to build enduring digital-engagement strategies. 

HIGHLIGHT

Mobile commerce accounts for over 90 percent of e-commerce transactions during Ramadan, while social commerce, via WhatsApp, Instagram, and TikTok, now drives 30 percent of online sales.

“The Kingdom’s population growth — 2.5 percent annually — and urban expansion are driving a fundamental shift in how businesses approach fulfillment, customer experience, and personalization. Instead of treating Ramadan as a short-term promotional window, brands that invest in AI-driven customer retention strategies and logistics optimization will see sustained post-Ramadan growth,” Tharmaratnam said.

“The biggest disruption comes from AI-driven conversational commerce. With WhatsApp and chatbot-based shopping now accounting for 25 percent of digital transactions, brands must rethink how they engage customers,” he added.

Moreover, supply-chain transparency is becoming a differentiator. Real-time delivery tracking and blockchain-enabled halal verification will build trust in Ramadan purchases, especially in the $6 billion halal food and fashion market, the ADL partner highlighted.

“An example of this is Cenomi, Saudi Arabia’s largest retail group, which seamlessly blends physical and digital commerce. By integrating augmented reality shopping experiences, in-store pickup for online orders, and AI-driven product recommendations, Cenomi saw a 30-percent Ramadan sales boost in 2023. This ‘phygital’ approach — combining the best of physical and digital shopping — will define the future of Ramadan commerce in the Kingdom,” Tharmaratnam said.

Khan told Arab News that shopping app installations in Saudi Arabia surged by 67 percent during Ramadan in 2024, in what is “clear indicator” of how mobile-first commerce is shaping the future.

He added: “Consumer spending follows this trend. In 2024, 64 percent of foreign nationals in Saudi Arabia reported higher expenditures during Ramadan, reinforcing the economic impact of the season. And across the Middle East and North Africa, e-commerce transactions shot up by 23 percent, with Gross Merchandise Value climbing 13 percent. This is the power of Ramadan in the digital age — blending tradition with technology to fuel unprecedented growth.”

Ramadan e-commerce projections and alignment with Vision 2030

From Oliver Wyman’s perspective, Akl explained that Ramadan e-commerce in Saudi Arabia this year will be driven by sophisticated AI personalization, ensuring shoppers receive highly relevant offers and recommendations.

“Expect a significant leap in logistics efficiency, with same-day or even instant delivery becoming more prevalent. Live shopping and social commerce will be integral, creating interactive and engaging experiences,” he said. “Furthermore, embedded finance solutions will streamline transactions, fostering frictionless purchasing.”

Akl went on to highlight that this evolution directly supports Saudi Vision 2030’s digital-transformation goals, building a robust, tech-enabled retail landscape that prioritizes convenience and expands consumer choice, directly contributing to the Kingdom’s economic diversification.

ADL’s Tharmaratnam noted that in 2025 Saudi Arabia’s e-commerce sector will be worth $20 billion, and the way consumers interact with digital platforms continues to evolve at an exponential pace.

“Ramadan commerce will shift from being reactive to predictive and personalized, driven by AI-powered shopping assistants, voice commerce, and health-integrated marketplaces. Consumers won’t just be browsing for products — they’ll be receiving real-time, AI-curated recommendations based on their dietary preferences, health conditions, and fasting habits,” he said.

Vision 2030 is pushing for a cashless economy, targeting 70 percent digital payments by 2025, as well as the expansion of smart logistics networks and the integration of digital health tools into everyday life. This means Ramadan e-commerce will no longer be just about selling — it will be about enabling better, healthier choices.

The partner explained that virtual dietitians, AI-powered hydration monitoring, and smart pharmacy solutions will be embedded directly into e-commerce experiences.

“A preview of this is already happening with SehhaTech, an AI-driven health-commerce platform in Saudi Arabia. SehhaTech integrates digital pharmacy services, health coaching, and e-commerce, allowing users to buy fasting-friendly supplements, receive medication adherence reminders, and even book telehealth consultations,” Tharmaratnam said.

“During Ramadan, these services saw a 150-percent increase in engagement, proving that consumers aren’t just looking for products — they’re looking for intelligent, personalized health solutions integrated with their shopping experiences,” he added.

Khan believes that as Saudi Arabia pushes toward Vision 2030 and a fully digital economy, the Ramadan rush will only become more sophisticated.

“AI-driven personalization, seamless fintech solutions, and hyper-efficient logistics will redefine the shopping experience. Businesses that understand this intersection of culture and technology will be the ones that thrive,” he said.


Closing Bell: Saudi stock markets rise, TASI climbs over 1%

Updated 9 sec ago
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Closing Bell: Saudi stock markets rise, TASI climbs over 1%

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 127.90 points, or 1.09 percent, to close at 11,853.78.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.67 billion ($1.24 billion), as 207 of the stocks advanced and 35 retreated.   

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 139.42 points, or 0.45 percent, to close at 31,275.27. This comes as 50 stocks advanced while 30 retreated.   

The MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 15.52 points, or 1.05 percent, to close at 1,494.79.    

The best-performing stock of the day was Arriyadh Development Co., whose share price surged 9.91 percent to SR36.05.  

Other top performers included Saudi Research and Media Group, whose share price rose 7.97 percent to SR189.60 as well as Banan Real Estate Co., whose share price surged 6.27 percent to SR6.95.

Saudi Paper Manufacturing Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 3.62 percent to SR58.50.

Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. also saw its stock prices fall 2.56 percent to SR0.38.

Tihama Advertising and Public Relations Co. also saw its stock prices decline 1.84 percent to SR16.00.

On the announcements front, Saudi Reinsurance Co. has announced its annual financial results for the year ended on Dec. 31. According to a Tadawul statement, the firm reported a net profit of the investment results of SR440 million in 2024, reflecting a 628 percent increase compared to 2023. This increase in net profit is primarily attributed the company’s recording capital gains from the sale of its stake in Probitas Holding amounting to SR 365.9 million.

The firm’s Board of Directors also recommended by way of circulation to increase the company’s capital by 46.6 percent according to distributing 51.48 million shares as bonus shares to shareholders by granting 4 shares for each 9 shares, which represents an increase of 44.44 percent of the company’s capital. It also comes according to allocating additional 2.5 million shares for establishing the company’s long-term incentive share employee shares plan, which represents an additional 2.16 percent of its capital. This move comes to support the firm’s growth and further strengthen its financial position.

Saudi Reinsurance Co. ended the session at SR48.10, down 0.53 percent.

Najran Cement Co. has also announced its annual financial results for the year ended on Dec. 31. A bourse filing revealed that the company reported a net profit of SR68.4 million in 2024, reflecting a 24.05 percent surge compared to 2023. This jump is linked to an increase in sales and an improvement in gross margin, despite the rise in the general and administrative expenses and climb in the finance cost.

Najran Cement Co. ended the session at SR8.75, up 3.34 percent.


Saudi Arabia launches $266m program to promote eco-friendly projects

Updated 27 min 54 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia launches $266m program to promote eco-friendly projects

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has unveiled a new environmental financing initiative worth SR1 billion ($266.6 million), supported by Riyad Bank, to encourage private sector participation in sustainable and eco-friendly projects.

Abdulrahman Al-Fadhli, Saudi Arabia’s minister of environment, water, and agriculture and chairman of the Environmental Fund’s board of directors, officially introduced the program on Sunday.

The launch coincided with the unveiling of a new digital platform for the Incentives and Grants Program, designed to foster innovation and boost environmental investments.

This initiative aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, which focus on promoting environmental sustainability and enhancing the quality of life.

Munir bin Fahd Al-Sahli, CEO of the Environmental Fund, emphasized that the financing program is aimed at attracting private sector investments to strengthen environmental infrastructure and meteorological services. He also noted that the program will encourage businesses across various sectors to adopt sustainable practices through innovative financial solutions.

Al-Sahli described this partnership as a major step forward in funding environmental projects, highlighting that the new platform would offer incentives and support for outstanding environmental initiatives. These efforts are part of a broader national strategy to protect the environment and foster sustainable development.

The financing program represents a significant milestone in enhancing environmental investments in the Kingdom. It provides businesses and entrepreneurs with resources and incentives to develop projects that not only improve quality of life but also contribute to sustainable environmental growth.

The new electronic platform for the Incentives and Grants Program, which was launched alongside the financing initiative, is designed to streamline the process for beneficiaries and ensure efficient execution of environmental projects. The platform aims to promote eco-friendly practices, foster innovation, and encourage investment in the environmental sector, while also ensuring regulatory compliance across various industries.

Al-Sahli reiterated the fund’s commitment to offering both financial and technical support to ensure lasting positive impacts on the environment. He urged stakeholders in the environmental sector to explore the various opportunities available through the platform.

The Incentives and Grants Program is expected to drive investment in environmental projects and improve compliance levels among institutions. It will provide grants and incentives to a broad range of entities, including small and medium-sized enterprises, corporations, research centers, universities, and nonprofit organizations.

The Environmental Fund continues to develop and implement programs focused on protecting natural resources, reducing pollution, and raising environmental awareness. Through collaborations with government and private entities, it strives to balance economic growth with environmental conservation.


Saudi Arabia’s inflation holds steady at 2% in February: GASTAT 

Updated 5 min 12 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s inflation holds steady at 2% in February: GASTAT 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s inflation held firm at 2 percent year on year in February, driven largely by rising housing costs, official data showed.  

According to the General Authority for Statistics, the increase was fueled by an 8.5 percent surge in housing rents, contributing to a 7.1 percent overall rise in the housing, water, electricity, gas, and fuels category. 

The inflation rate remains consistent with Saudi Arabia’s efforts to balance economic growth with price stability as the Kingdom advances its Vision 2030 strategy, which aims to diversify the economy beyond oil.   

The government’s November 2024 budget forecast anticipated inflation to hold steady at 1.9 percent in 2025, up slightly from 1.7 percent in 2024. Meanwhile, the World Bank projected a stable 2.3 percent rate this year, below the Gulf Cooperation Council average. 

“On a monthly basis, the consumer price index in February 2025 recorded relative stability compared to January 2025, rising by 0.2 percent due to the increase of housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels section by 0.4 percent, driven by a 0.4 percent increase in actual housing rent prices,” said GASTAT.  

Sector breakdown 

Food and beverage prices saw a modest rise of 1 percent, largely influenced by a 3.7 percent increase in meat and poultry costs. Personal goods and services climbed 3.9 percent, bolstered by a 26.7 percent jump in jewelry prices. 

Restaurant and hotel costs edged up 0.8 percent year on year, while furniture and home equipment prices dropped 2.5 percent. Clothing and footwear prices declined 1 percent, led by a 2.4 percent drop in ready-made clothing. 

Transportation costs also dipped 1.5 percent compared to February 2024. 

On a monthly basis, consumer prices remained stable overall, with food and beverages slipping 0.2 percent. Personal goods and services rose 0.7 percent, while health and tobacco prices held steady. 

Wholesale Price Index  

In a separate report, GASTAT noted that Saudi Arabia’s Wholesale Price Index increased 1.5 percent year on year in February, driven by a 3.4 percent rise in other transportable goods prices and a 3.9 percent increase in agriculture and fishery products. 

Food products, beverages, tobacco, and textiles fell by 0.1 percent year on year, while metal products, machinery, and equipment prices dipped 0.5 percent. Ores and minerals costs dropped 1.9 percent. 

Compared to January, the WPI declined 0.5 percent, led by a 1.4 percent fall in other transportable goods prices, excluding metal products, machinery, and equipment. Food products, beverages, tobacco, and textiles also saw a marginal 0.1 percent drop, while agriculture and fishery product costs rose 1.6 percent. 


Arab region’s GDP climbs 1.8% to $3.6tn in 2024 despite challenges

Updated 16 March 2025
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Arab region’s GDP climbs 1.8% to $3.6tn in 2024 despite challenges

RIYADH: The Arab region’s gross domestic product increased by 1.8 percent, reaching $3.6 trillion in 2024, despite facing regional challenges, according to new data.

The report, released by the Arab Investment and Export Credit Guarantee Corporation or Dhaman, showed that growth was primarily concentrated in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Iraq, and Algeria, which together accounted for over 72 percent of the region’s total GDP, as reported by the Kuwait News Agency.

This aligns with Moody’s January forecast that oil production and major investment projects will drive a 0.8 percentage point increase in annual economic growth across the Middle East and North Africa in 2025.

It also corresponds with Moody’s projection of 2.9 percent growth for the region in 2025, up from 2.1 percent in 2024, while maintaining a stable outlook on the region’s sovereign credit fundamentals for the next 12 months.

The data also indicated positive outlooks for the Arab economy’s performance in 2025, with an expected growth rate of 1.4 percent.

This growth is likely to be driven by expansion in 14 Arab countries, including nine oil-producing economies that together contribute more than 78 percent of Arab GDP.

There is cautious optimism surrounding the potential reduction in regional unrest and conflicts, along with an expected improvement in revenues from oil, gas, and exports of goods and services produced by the region.

In January, Moody’s emphasized that the impact of large investments in 2025 will be most evident in Saudi Arabia, driven by significant government and sovereign wealth fund spending related to the Vision 2030 diversification program.

Moody’s also noted that the pick-up in the MENA economy will be primarily fueled by stronger growth among hydrocarbon exporters, as a result of the partial unwinding of strategic oil production cuts under the OPEC+ agreement.

According to Moody’s, real GDP growth for hydrocarbon-exporting nations is expected to rise to 3.5 percent in 2025, up from 1.9 percent in 2024. This boost will be driven by countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, and Oman easing the oil production cuts implemented in 2023.


Oil exports propel Oman’s trade surplus to $19.4bn

Updated 16 March 2025
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Oil exports propel Oman’s trade surplus to $19.4bn

  • Saudi Arabia ranked second for Omani non-oil exports at 849 million rials

RIYADH: Oman’s trade surplus reached 7.5 billion Omani rials ($19.4 billion) in December, up from 7.14 billion rials in November, largely driven by the oil and gas sector, according to a new report.

Preliminary data from the National Centre for Statistics and Information indicated that the increase was primarily due to higher export revenues, especially from oil and gas, despite a rise in imports.

The total value of merchandise exports in December amounted to 24.23 billion rials, reflecting a 6.8 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023, when exports were valued at 22.69 billion rials.

The growth was predominantly attributed to a rise in oil and gas exports, which reached 16.29 billion rials, an 18.4 percent increase from 13.76 billion rials in December 2023.

Meanwhile, Oman’s merchandise imports increased by 12.1 percent year on year, reaching 16.71 billion rials in December, up from 14.91 billion rials the previous year.

Despite the increase in imports, the trade balance remained positive, supported by the robust performance of the country’s energy exports.

Within Oman’s oil and gas exports, crude oil exports totaled 9.91 billion Omani rials by the end of December, marking a 0.8 percent increase from the same period in 2023.

Refined oil exports saw a significant surge of 185.5 percent, reaching 3.85 billion rials. However, liquefied natural gas exports declined by 1.9 percent to 2.53 billion rials.

Meanwhile, non-oil merchandise exports fell by 16.3 percent to 6.23 billion rials in December, down from 7.44 billion rials the previous year.

Among these, mineral products accounted for the highest value at 1.78 billion rials, but this figure represented a 36.8 percent year-on-year drop.

Exports of base metals and their products remained stable at 1.32 billion rials, increasing slightly by 0.1 percent, while plastic and rubber product exports grew by 13.3 percent to 996 million rials.

Chemical industry exports declined by 19.6 percent to 804 million rials, and exports of live animals and animal products fell 11 percent to 350 million rials. Other exports totaled 981 million rials, a decrease of 5 percent.

Re-exports from Oman increased by 14.9 percent to 1.71 billion rials by the end of December. Within this category, re-exports of food and beverage products saw a notable 30.6 percent rise to 184 million rials, while re-exports of mineral products climbed 21.3 percent to 120 million rials.

However, re-exports of transport equipment fell by 0.6 percent to 401 million rials, and electrical machinery and equipment declined by 5.4 percent to 376 million rials. Re-exports of live animals and related products also dropped by 10.1 percent to 97 million rials.

On the import side, mineral products accounted for the largest share, totaling 4.67 billion rials, an 11.3 percent increase from December 2023.

Imports of electrical machinery and equipment surged 28.9 percent to 2.93 billion rials, while base metals and their products rose 1 percent to 1.61 billion rials.

Imports of chemical products rose 3.1 percent to 1.52 billion rials, and transport equipment imports increased by 13.5 percent to 1.52 billion rials. Other imports totaled 4.47 billion rials.

The UAE remained Oman’s top trading partner for non-oil exports, with trade value rising 11 percent year-on-year to 1.05 billion rials.

The UAE also led in re-exports from Oman, which amounted to 569 million rials, and was the top source of imports into the country, totaling 3.94 billion rials.

Saudi Arabia ranked second for Omani non-oil exports at 849 million rials, followed by India at 659 million rials.

Iran was the second-largest destination for Omani re-exports at 359 million rials, with Kuwait in third at 117 million rials.

China was the second-largest exporter to Oman, with trade valued at 1.83 billion rials, followed by Kuwait at 1.69 billion rials.

In the oil sector, total crude oil exports until the end of January stood at approximately 25.82 million barrels, with an average price of $72.5 per barrel.

Oil exports accounted for 84.3 percent of total oil production, which reached 30.61 million barrels during the same period. However, crude oil exports declined by 1.5 percent compared to January 2024, when they totaled 26.2 million barrels.

Oil production also saw a 2 percent year-on-year drop, standing at 31.24 million barrels in January.

The country’s total crude oil production fell by 2.2 percent in January to 23.39 million barrels, while condensate production reached 7.22 million barrels. The daily average oil output for January stood at 987,500 barrels.

In the banking sector, total credit provided by conventional commercial banks in Oman grew by 4.8 percent by the end of December. Private sector credit rose by 3.6 percent, reaching 20.7 billion rials.

Investment by conventional banks in securities also saw a notable increase, rising 20.5 percent to approximately 6 billion rials.

This included a 7.3 percent rise in investments in government development bonds to 2 billion rials and a 30.3 percent surge in foreign securities investments to 2.3 billion rials.

On the liabilities side, total deposits at conventional commercial banks increased by 6.2 percent to 25.1 billion rials by the end of December.

Government deposits rose by 5.3 percent to 5.3 billion rials, while public sector institution deposits grew by 11 percent to 2.5 billion rials. Private sector deposits, which made up 65.3 percent of total deposits, climbed 4.9 percent to 16.4 billion rials.