Saudi retail real estate outlook strong on tourism and Vision 2030, S&P says 

The credit rating agency said that ongoing mega-projects and the expansion of international brands are expected to propel further demand for retail space across the Kingdom. Shutterstock
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Updated 16 April 2025
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Saudi retail real estate outlook strong on tourism and Vision 2030, S&P says 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s retail real estate market is poised for growth in the near term, driven by population growth, expanding tourism, and economic diversification efforts under the Vision 2030 initiative, according to S&P Global. 

In its latest report, the credit rating agency said that ongoing mega-projects and the expansion of international brands are expected to propel further demand for retail space across the Kingdom. 

This comes as Saudi Arabia steps up efforts to become a global hub for tourism and business by the end of the decade, with the Real Estate General Authority projecting the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, driven by an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024. 

“The growth path for retail real estate in Saudi Arabia is looking good for 2025-2026. The government’s commitment to infrastructure development, the rise of mega projects, and the expansion of international brands into the Saudi market will boost demand for retail spaces,” S&P Global said. 

The report aligns with findings from real estate advisory JLL, which in March forecast a shift in the Kingdom’s retail market toward “experiential formats” and a strong growth outlook for 2025. 

Riyadh, Jeddah, and other major cities are witnessing a wave of new retail developments, ranging from malls and entertainment venues to mixed-use spaces combining residential, hospitality, and retail components, S&P noted. 

Driving factors 

The US-based agency added that the strong influx of tourists into the Kingdom and the government’s foreign investment policies — such as allowing 100 percent foreign ownership — will also help the retail real estate sector grow and evolve. 

The report cited the Kingdom’s major developments — including NEOM, The Red Sea Project, and AlUla — as key drivers for retail real estate expansion. 

“Saudi Arabia’s per capita income is strong, and consumer spending on retail and entertainment is expected to grow, given the dominance of youth in the growing population. The country’s gradual transformation toward being a more socially liberal, entertainment-friendly society is leading to higher footfall in malls and retail destinations,” S&P Global said. 

In addition to international tourism, the domestic retail environment is evolving, with open-air and boulevard-style outlets gaining popularity. According to JLL, open-air boulevard-type retail is gaining popularity in the Kingdom, while traditional mall concepts are facing declining occupancy rates due to their standard “closed mall” designs and generalized retail offerings.  

S&P Global added that growing urbanization — particularly among the youth — is lifting demand for modern retail formats such as lifestyle centers and high-end shopping malls.  

“The country has become a major target market for international brands in the fashion, luxury, and food and beverage segments. Global retailers are expanding their footprints in Saudi Arabia, leading to increased demand for premium retail spaces,” the agency noted. 

It added that upcoming high-profile events, including Expo 2030 and the 2034 FIFA World Cup, are likely to boost demand further. 

Although the affinity toward e-commerce shopping is rising in the Kingdom, the demand for physical stores that offer in-store experiences is also expected to grow in the coming years. 

S&P Global said that people in the Middle East region consider malls to be spaces for entertainment, recreation, dining, and social interaction, and as a result, the retail real estate sector will experience growth, similar to the e-commerce industry. 

Supply pressures ahead 

Despite the positive outlook, S&P Global flagged several risks that could weigh on the sector. These include oversupply, changing retail preferences, and pressure on rental yields amid elevated capital expenditure by landlords. 

“The volume of retail projects in the pipeline raises the risk of potential oversupply, in our view, particularly in secondary locations where demand may not be sufficient to absorb new retail spaces,” said S&P Global. 

Rental rates could also face downward pressure as the volume of retail real estate space increases. 

S&P Global highlighted that additional factors like location, competition, and asset quality could also affect rental rates in the retail property space. 

According to Knight Frank’s 2024 Saudi Arabia Giga Projects Report, 7.4 million sq. meters of new retail real estate are under development, including spaces at Diriyah Gate, The Red Sea Project, and NEOM. 

Moreover, lower oil prices, market volatility, escalating global trade tensions, and a fragmented geopolitical environment could dampen government spending and non-oil economic growth in the Kingdom. 

Citing the Knight Frank report, S&P Global noted that Riyadh’s real estate supply is expected to grow by 50 percent by 2027, while Jeddah’s will increase by 75 percent during the same period. 

“This rapid growth could lead landlords to offer rental discounts, revenue-sharing lease models, and other incentives to maintain occupancies. Retailers are increasingly prioritizing foot traffic and tenant mix over sheer size,” the analysis said. 

It added: “While prime locations in Riyadh and Jeddah will likely maintain stable rental rates due to strong demand, secondary locations might see a drop in rental values due to oversupply.” 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,052

Updated 11 sec ago
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,052

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index advanced on Wednesday, closing higher by 127.58 points, or 1.17 percent, to reach 11,052.76, reflecting broad market optimism.

Trading activity remained robust, with a total turnover of SR4.57 billion ($1.21 billion). Of the listed stocks, 202 posted gains while 44 declined.

The Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, also recorded gains, rising 340.91 points, or 1.28 percent, to close at 26,932.95. The market saw 48 advancing stocks against 34 decliners.

Meanwhile, the MSCI Tadawul 30 Index climbed 15.12 points, or 1.08 percent, ending the session at 1,413.70.

Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co. emerged as the session’s top performer, with its share price jumping 5.77 percent to SR16.50.

Ataa Educational Co. and Kingdom Holding Co. followed closely, gaining 5.46 percent and 5.22 percent to close at SR61.80 and SR8.66, respectively.

On the downside, United Carton Industries Co. registered the steepest decline, falling 4.87 percent to SR46.85. Banan Real Estate Co. dropped 2.4 percent to SR4.48, while Nama Chemicals Co. slipped 1.78 percent to SR27.55.

On the announcements front, Saudi AZM for Communication and Information Technology Co. disclosed it has submitted a request to transfer its listing to the main market.

Additionally, the initial public offering for Flynas Co. began on May 28 and will conclude on June 1. The offering is priced at SR80 per share, with a retail tranche comprising 10.25 million shares. According to a statement, BSF Capital is the lead manager.

Alkathiri Holding Co. announced that its subsidiary has signed a 50-year lease agreement valued at SR143 million with the Asir Region Municipality to develop a commercial and hospitality project in the city of Abha.

According to a statement published on the Saudi stock exchange, the project will feature a four-star hotel with a capacity of 180 keys, alongside retail and entertainment facilities. The development aims to boost tourism and enhance commercial services in the Asir region.

The lease will officially begin upon the land handover by the Investment Committee of the Asir Region Municipality.

Shares of Alkathiri Holding closed Wednesday’s trading session at SR2.06, marking a 1.96 percent gain.

In a separate disclosure, Mufeed Co. announced that its board of directors has recommended to the ordinary general assembly the transfer of its statutory reserve balance — totaling SR3.49 million, as reported in the financial statements for the year ended Dec. 31, 2024 —to retained earnings.


Saudi Arabia’s Asir region revitalizes 95% of stalled projects

Updated 39 min 37 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s Asir region revitalizes 95% of stalled projects

ABHA: Saudi Arabia’s Asir region has successfully revitalized 95 percent of its previously delayed project, an important milestone that is strengthening investor confidence as the region moves forward with SR29 billion ($7.73 billion) worth of initiatives across various sectors.

In an interview with Arab News, Hashim Al-Dabbagh, CEO of Asir Region Development Authority, stated that a dedicated committee, chaired by Asir Gov. Prince Turki bin Talal, was formed several years ago to tackle long-standing investment challenges that had stalled progress in the region.

“The total number of cases that have been brought to this committee to address has been 63, all brought to the table,” Al-Dabbagh said.

He continued: “Of these 63 cases that have been brought to this committee to address and to solve, 60 cases have been solved, and three are in the pipeline right now, and they’re working on them, and they’re going to solve them relatively soon.”

Of the 60 resolved, 57 were concluded with outcomes that satisfied investors, reflecting a resolution rate of nearly 95 percent.

“This committee and the work that they have done has created some very positive vibes across the investment ecosystem in Saudi Arabia, which you sense in this forum because there are some very large investors that are coming to Asir, some coming back to Asir which had not been interested in this region in the past,” Al-Dabbagh said.

The board operates in collaboration with various public and private entities, including ASDA, the Ministry of Investment, the Ministry of Tourism, the Tourism Development Fund, and King Khalid University, ensuring a unified approach to accelerating investor activity in the region.

This resolution mechanism plays a key role in supporting the region’s development strategy, which focuses on unlocking investment potential across various sectors.

“First of all, we have a strategy that drives everything that we are doing,” Al-Dabbagh said.

He added: “The strategy has been approved by the center of government, and it says that Asir should be a year-round preeminent destination, so already we know that we need to focus on the tourism sector and complementary and adjacent sectors to the tourism sector. That’s one, and that gives us a lot of momentum in working with the government ecosystem and the private sector.”

Al-Dabbagh emphasized that Asir is more than just a tourism destination, noting that it is a vast region in the Kingdom with a population exceeding 2 million people.

“Within the Asir Development Authority, we have a whole department called Economic Development Department, and they are working diligently this year on sectoral studies across the board.”

He added: “This includes, obviously, tourism-related sectors, but also other ones, so just as an example, we are looking at sports, we are looking at construction. We’re looking at fisheries and agriculture. We’re looking at renewable energy. We’re looking at mining among other sectors.”

The authority is also aligning its economic strategy with educational institutions to ensure the region’s workforce is equipped to meet the demands of upcoming sectors.

“We are working closely with King Khalid University, the TVTC (Technical and Vocational Training Corp.), Bishop University, and other educational institutions to align the strategies and to make sure that their graduates are able to find jobs in the opportunities that are going to be realized as we realize this strategy,” he said.

On attracting investments, Al-Dabbagh stated: “What I call the investment ecosystem in Asir, it’s the framework that we use to assess investments, is comprised of three components. The first component is the Invest in Asir committee, and that’s headed by Prince Turki in his capacity as the chairman of the Aseer Development Authority and includes all the public and private sectors.”

He explained that the region offers a compelling opportunity for early movers due to its untapped potential, strategic government backing, and the ability to enter key sectors before they reach full maturity, providing investors with a critical advantage in shaping long-term development.

“Asir relative to those mature, tourism destinations, offers relatively less mature areas, so when they’re coming in, they’re coming in early and they’re going to have a ... not a first mover advantage, but an early mover advantage compared to people that are going to see this place for five years or 10 years down the road when all these incumbents are already on the ground.”

Attracting FDIs

Foreign direct investment is also gaining momentum in Asir, with growing interest from global players seeking early opportunities in the region’s evolving landscape.

“One of the speakers in today’s forum was Fatih (who is managing partner of FTG Development), and they are looking at an investment worth billions in Asir. That is just one example, and foreign direct investors, they look for successful local investors to partner with,” Al-Dabbagh said.

He concluded: “Our doors are open. We’re very happy to meet with the investors from anywhere.”


EU lifts economic sanctions on Syria

Updated 28 May 2025
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EU lifts economic sanctions on Syria

BRUSSELS: The European Union lifted economic sanctions on Syria on Wednesday in an effort to support the country’s transition and recovery after the toppling of former president Bashar Assad.
The move follows a political agreement reached last week by EU foreign ministers to lift the sanctions.
The EU will keep sanctions related to Assad’s government and restrictions based on security grounds, while also introducing new sanctions against individuals and entities connected to a wave of violence in March, the Council said.
“The Council will continue monitoring developments on the ground and stands ready to introduce further restrictive measures against human rights violators and those fueling instability in Syria,” it added. 


Saudi investment ecosystem drives growth in Asir region, says top executive

Updated 28 May 2025
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Saudi investment ecosystem drives growth in Asir region, says top executive

ABHA: Saudi Arabia’s integrated investment ecosystem is enhancing the attractiveness of the Kingdom’s business environment across all regions, with Asir standing out as a promising destination, according to a senior executive.

During a panel session at the second Asir Investment Forum in Abha, Khalid Al-Khattaf, CEO of the Saudi Investment Promotion Authority, highlighted the region’s unique natural, economic, and cultural assets that position it for significant potential, the Saudi Press Agency reported.

The session highlighted the region’s tourism transformation and the roles of government entities and the private sector in driving projects and fostering an investment-friendly environment.

Al-Khattaf noted that Saudi Arabia boasts one of the world’s most competitive environments, thanks in part to the efforts of the National Committee for Identifying and Developing Opportunities, which has introduced over 1,900 investment prospects valued at more than SR1 trillion ($266.6 billion) across 22 vital sectors.

These opportunities align with Vision 2030 and the National Investment Strategy, which aims to double investment volume and attract SR12.4 trillion by 2030. Sector-specific strategies also offer long-term visibility and regulatory stability for investors.

“We have presented more than 1,900 opportunities through the ‘Invest in Saudi Arabia’ platform, including sectors such as tourism, hospitality, agriculture, real estate and others,” Al-Khattaf said.

Furthermore, the Kingdom’s strategic geographic location, at the crossroads of three continents and within reach of over half the world’s population in seven hours, positions it as a global hub for business, tourism, and services.

Al-Khattaf emphasized Asir’s unique offerings, including 80 percent of the Kingdom’s forests, its highest mountain peak, more than 4,000 historical villages, and globally recognized heritage sites such as Rijal Almaa.

He highlighted that the region is well-positioned to become a premier tourism and investment destination, particularly as Saudi Arabia channels over $800 billion into tourism projects to help meet its goal of attracting 150 million visitors by 2030.

He also pointed to key investment enablers, such as exemptions from foreign investment fees, accommodation levies, government land charges, and value-added tax.

Al-Khattaf outlined the pivotal role of the Saudi Investment Marketing Authority in promoting investment prospects throughout the Kingdom, particularly in high-potential regions such as Asir. This includes digital platforms, international events, and direct investor engagements.

A dedicated Asir page is featured on the new version of the platform in seven languages, highlighting key indicators, opportunities, and reports, including a special “Invest in Asir” report developed by the Ministry of Investment to inform investors of the region’s advantages.

The authority, in collaboration with its partners in the investment system, continues to improve the legal and regulatory environment, SPA reported.

A new law now allows for 100 percent foreign ownership and guarantees equal rights for both local and international investors.

“We have developed a program to listen to investors and understand their challenges, in addition to focusing on improving the investor experience through comprehensive service centers, relationship managers, the ‘Investor Journey’ guide, and dedicated reports such as ‘Invest in Asir,’ in addition to investor listening programs to ensure that challenges are addressed directly,” Al-Khattaf  said.

He also noted the authority’s close coordination with the Asir Development Authority to align with the region’s strategy and future goals. This collaboration has led to the identification of over 46 high-quality opportunities in the tourism sector.

 As of the end of 2023, direct investments in Asir had exceeded SR7.68 billion, placing it sixth among the Kingdom’s regions in terms of foreign investment stock.

The number of active foreign investment licenses in Asir reached 467 by early 2025, reflecting growing investor interest and confidence in the region’s potential and investment environment.


Saudi Aramco prices three-part bond sale at $5bn

Updated 28 May 2025
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Saudi Aramco prices three-part bond sale at $5bn

RIYADH: Saudi Aramco has priced its dollar-denominated 3-part bonds at $5 billion and set spread for them, fixed income news service IFR reported on Tuesday.
Aramco priced its five-year debt sale at $1.5 billion with spread set at 80 basis points over US Treasuries, tighter than 115 bps over the same benchmark released earlier in the day.
Meanwhile, the 10-year portion spread was set at 95 bps with a price of $1.25 billion and its 30-year portion spread was set at 155 bps with a price of $2.25 billion, IFR said. The spread was over the same benchmark tightened from 130 and 185 bps.
The proceeds from each issue of bonds will be used by Saudi Aramco for general corporate purposes, the company said in a bourse filing.
Before the pricing was announced, the debt deal was expected to be benchmark-sized, which is usually considered to be at least $500 million.
Earlier this month, Aramco reported a 4.6 percent drop in first-quarter profits, citing lower sales and higher operating costs as economic uncertainty hit crude markets.
Reuters reported last week that the oil giant is exploring potential asset sales to release funds as it pursues international expansion and weathers the impact of lower crude prices.
The company last turned to global debt markets in July when it raised $6 billion from a three-tranche bond sale.
Saudi Arabia, which is seeking funds to invest in new industries and wean its economy away from oil under its Vision 2030 plan, has long relied on Saudi Aramco to support economic growth.
Other Gulf issuers have tapped debt markets in recent months, braving a market turmoil caused by US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.
They include Saudi Arabia’s $925 billion sovereign wealth fund and Abu Dhabi’s renewable energy firm Masdar, which last week raised $1 billion with a green bond. (Reporting by Hadeel Al Sayegh and Federico Maccioni in Dubai, Mohammad Edrees in Bangalore; Additional reporting by Pushkala Aripaka; Editing by Kirsten Donovan, Barbara Lewis, David Evans and Mark Porter)