SINGAPORE: The aviation market is holding up well despite a faltering global economy, with customers finding funds for purchases and taking deliveries of planes, Boeing and Airbus said at the Singapore Airshow.
A cloud had settled over the biennial event in the city-state as the ripples from China’s economic slowdown and unsettled global financial markets stoked concerns of potential cancelation or deferment of plane orders, especially from fastest-growing Southeast Asia.
But planemakers, whose production lines are loaded for rapid growth in deliveries after a recent order boom, defied the industry’s growing number of skeptics, saying an unprecedented eight-year expansion in aerospace remains on track, underpinned by a tailwind from low oil prices.
“Our market has been growing. It’s been very resilient, and our customers are making a lot of money,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of marketing for Boeing Commercial Airplanes.
The Boeing executive said low oil prices had helped airlines post record profits. The planemaker had not got any requests for deferrals of deliveries from airlines, it said.
Airbus sales chief John Leahy also said the planemaker had not been asked for deliveries to be deferred.
Their views were echoed by aircraft parts makers.
Pratt & Whitney’s new chief Robert Leduc, in an interview with Reuters, played down concerns over aircraft demand, saying the engine maker had seen no deferrals or cancelations.
The airshow also saw new orders for some planemakers, especially the smaller ones.
On Tuesday, Mitsubishi Aircraft Corp, a unit of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd, struck a deal to supply 20 regional jets to US leasing firm Aerolease, its first agreement with a lessor.
And ATR, a joint venture between Airbus and Italy’s Finmeccanica, signed a $130 million deal to supply five ATR 72-600 aircraft to Singapore-based lessor Avation PLC .
“I was concerned that there may be some serious slowdown, and I didn’t see it happen,” the turboprop planemaker’s Chief Executive Patrick de Castelbajac told a media briefing.
“It’s good to see that the customers are turning up, they are taking deliveries, they are finding the financing,” Castelbajac said.
NOTE OF CAUTION
But no large orders were announced on Tuesday, the first day of the airshow, and some analysts said they were unlikely.
Bertrand Grabowski, DVB Bank’s global head of aviation, said he sees little appetite for large new orders because low oil prices were a powerful incentive for airlines not to rush to order.
Airlines generally tend to order fuel-efficient modern jets to cut costs when oil prices are high. However, the strong balance sheets of airlines, boosted by cheap oil, could also help them to place new orders.
Some also sounded a note of caution on the industry. Akbar Al-Baker, the CEO of Qatar Airways, said premium traffic in the industry was dropping.
At the airshow, it was not just passenger planes that grabbed the attention. Spy planes — including converted passenger planes and business jets — are on some nations’ shopping lists in a region where complex territorial disputes between China and several Southeast Asian nations are fueling security concerns.
Swedish arms firm Saab formally launched a militarised Bombardier business jet, dubbed GlobalEye, after selling the early warning and control system to the UAE in November.
And Boeing is promoting its P-8 converted 737 passenger jet for maritime surveillance at the air show, Asia’s largest.
Planemakers flag strong aircraft demand despite economic headwinds
Planemakers flag strong aircraft demand despite economic headwinds
Saudi cement sales up 5% to 12.84m tonnes amid sustainability drive
RIYADH: Cement sales in Saudi Arabia saw an annual increase of 4.93 percent in the third quarter of 2024, reaching 12.84 million tonnes, according to recent data.
Figures released by Al-Yamama Cement showed that 96.18 percent of these sales were domestic, with only 3.82 percent being exported.
The data covers 17 Saudi cement companies, with Al-Yamama Cement holding the largest share of domestic sales at 12.47 percent, amounting to 1.54 million tonnes, despite experiencing a 27.18 percent decline during the period.
With the successful acquisition of Hail Cement Company by Qassim Cement Company, QCC now leads the market with the highest share among its peers at 13.37 percent, or 1.65 million tonnes, moving Al-Yamama Cement to second place.
Saudi Cement, Southern Cement and Yanbu Cement held 8.96 percent, 8.49 percent and 8.18 percent shares of the domestic market respectively.
The highest growth in domestic sales was recorded by Umm Al-Qura Cement, which saw a 69 percent increase to 372,000 tonnes during this period, despite holding a relatively small 3 percent market share.
City Cement’s local sales rose by 52.69 percent annually to 739,000 tonnes, while Tabuk Cement experienced a 27.3 percent increase, reaching 429,000 tonnes.
In terms of cement exports, Saudi Cement dominated with 80.45 percent of total shipments, amounting to 395,000 tonnes this quarter. This figure represents a 13.18 percent increase compared to the same quarter last year.
Najran Cement accounted for 11 percent of exports for the quarter, totaling 54,000 tonnes, marking a 24 percent decline. Eastern Cement with 8.55 percent share saw a 133 percent rise in exports, reaching 42,000 tonnes.
Saudi Arabia also exported 1.08 million tonnes of clinker during this period, marking a 41 percent decline compared to the same period last year.
Clinker, a crucial intermediate product in cement production, is commonly exported due to its cost-effectiveness. It is more economical to ship it to other countries for final processing into cement than to produce the finished product and then export.
According to a report by AlJazira Capital, the total utilization rate of the cement sector in Saudi Arabia stood at 72.8 percent in September.
This figure represents the proportion of the cement production capacity that is actively being used to meet demand.
A utilization rate of 72.8 percent indicates that, on average, the cement industry in Saudi Arabia is using just over two-thirds of its available production capacity.
Saudi Arabia is a prominent player in the global cement industry, ranking among the top 10 producers worldwide. The Kingdom’s production capacity has been bolstered by significant investments to meet both domestic demand and export opportunities.
Key factors driving Saudi Arabia’s cement industry include its robust infrastructure development, housing projects, and initiatives under Vision 2030, which aim to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.
Saudi Arabia’s path to decarbonization
In October, Saudi Arabia’s cement sector took a significant leap towards decarbonization with the announcement of a joint venture between the UK’s Next Generation SCM and Nizak Mining Co., a subsidiary of City Cement.
The collaboration is focused on producing supplementary cementitious materials locally, utilizing an innovative, energy-efficient technology.
This new method requires only one-sixth of the fuel compared to conventional cement production and operates at lower temperatures, significantly reducing operational costs and carbon emissions.
The technology already demonstrates a 99 percent reduction in emissions, producing just 8 kg of CO2 per tonne of calcined clay, compared to the global average of 600 kg per tonne.
The joint venture is part of the Kingdom’s broader decarbonization strategy, which is aligned with Vision 2030 and the Saudi Green Initiative.
As part of these proposals, the Kingdom has set an ambitious goal of cutting carbon emissions by 278 million tonnes annually by 2030.
This venture, which will have its first production plant in Riyadh, is expected to produce up to 700,000 tonnes of low-carbon supplementary cementitious materials in its second year of operations, starting in 2025.
The project is also crucial for the domestic production of low-carbon concrete, as traditional SCM alternatives, like fly ash and slag, are not readily available in Saudi Arabia.
The venture will not only help Saudi Arabia meet its sustainability targets but also strengthen its position as a regional hub for low-carbon materials, generating both economic and environmental benefits.
Speaking in October, Majed Al-Osailan, CEO of City Cement, emphasized the long-term impact of the project, stating that it will create jobs, improve access to sustainable building materials, and create export opportunities for the Kingdom.
According to a study by the Boston Consulting Group in September, Saudi Arabia stands to gain a significant competitive advantage in the global cement industry as the sector moves toward decarbonization through carbon capture and storage.
The competitive dynamics of the industry are shifting due to the high costs associated with CCS, which is essential for achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.
One of the primary factors influencing future competitiveness is a plant’s proximity to CO2 storage sites.
Cement plants located within 200 km of CCS hubs could see abatement costs reduced by half compared to those located farther away.
This geographical advantage will be crucial in determining cost competitiveness on a global scale.
Saudi Arabia, with its lower energy costs, is well-positioned to capitalize on this advantage according to the study. The Middle East, in general, benefits from cheaper energy, which could give Saudi plants a $20 per tonne cost advantage in CCS over the global median.
This would allow Saudi Arabia to emerge as a key export hub in the global cement market.
Plants in the Kingdom that can minimize their CCS abatement costs will be internationally competitive, particularly as global trade dynamics shift and demand grows for low-carbon cement.
Moreover, Saudi Arabia’s energy infrastructure and strategic location near key shipping routes bolster its potential as a regional and global supplier of cement.
With substantial investments in CCS technology and renewables, the Kingdom could not only meet domestic demand but also serve international markets more efficiently, securing its position in the evolving global cement trade.
As the cost of CCS implementation rises, the global competitive landscape will be reshaped, with plants closer to CO2 storage hubs and renewable energy sources becoming more attractive.
Saudi Arabia’s competitive edge, therefore, lies in its ability to leverage its energy resources and strategic location, potentially making it a leader in the export of low-carbon cement solutions.
Oil Updates – crude heads for weekly gains on anxiety over intensifying Ukraine war
LONDON: Oil prices extended gains on Friday, heading for a weekly uptick of more than 4 percent, as the Ukraine war intensified with Russian President Vladimir Putin warning of a global conflict.
Brent crude futures gained 10 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $74.33 a barrel by 7:48 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 13 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $70.23 per barrel.
Both contracts jumped 2 percent on Thursday and are set to cap gains of more than 4 percent this week, the strongest weekly performance since late September, as Moscow stepped up its offensive against Ukraine after the US and Britain allowed Kyiv to strike Russia with their weapons.
Putin said on Thursday it had fired a ballistic missile at Ukraine and warned of a global conflict, raising the risk of oil supply disruption from one of the world’s largest producers.
Russia this month said it produced about 9 million barrels of oil a day, even with output declines following import bans tied to its invasion of Ukraine and supply curbs by producer group OPEC+.
Ukraine has used drones to target Russian oil infrastructure, including in June, when it used long-range attack drones to strike four Russian refineries.
Swelling US crude and gasoline stocks and forecasts of surplus supply next year limited price gains.
“Our base case is that Brent stays in a $70-85 range, with high spare capacity limiting price upside, and the price elasticity of OPEC and shale supply limiting price downside,” Goldman Sachs analysts led by Daan Struyven said in a note.
“However, the risks of breaking out are growing,” they said, adding that Brent could rise to about $85 a barrel in the first half of 2025 if Iran supply drops by 1 million barrels per day on tighter sanctions enforcement under US President-elect Donald Trump’s administration.
Some analysts forecast another jump in US oil inventories in next week’s data.
“We will be expecting a rebound in production as well as US refinery activity next week that will carry negative implications for both crude and key products,” said Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates in Florida.
The world’s top crude importer, China, meanwhile on Thursday announced policy measures to boost trade, including support for energy product imports, amid worries over Trump’s threats to impose tariffs.
Saudi Arabia’s GACA ushers in new era of passenger experience with AI
JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s aviation authority is revolutionizing the passenger experience by incorporating artificial intelligence into its services, in alignment with the nation’s strategic aviation plan, a senior Saudi official said.
At the 2024 Global Civil Aviation Forum in Shanghai, Abdulaziz bin Abdullah Al-Dahmash, vice president of the General Authority of Civil Aviation for Quality and Passenger Experience, highlighted the authority’s ongoing initiatives designed to improve passenger satisfaction.
A session dedicated to GACA’s role in enhancing the passenger experience featured international experts and focused on the authority's efforts to align with Saudi Arabia's aviation strategy and Vision 2030.
The discussion underscored Saudi Arabia's use of data analytics and AI to transform the aviation sector, supporting the National Aviation Strategy and the broader Vision 2030 objectives. This approach is part of the Kingdom's goal to achieve excellence in both aviation services and infrastructure.
The National Aviation Strategy serves as a roadmap to solidify Saudi Arabia’s position as a global leader in tourism, business travel, and logistics. Built around three core pillars — empowering national tourism, improving domestic aviation, and aligning with Vision 2030 — the strategy aims to enhance interconnectivity, increase the market share of national carriers, and expand airport infrastructure.
By leveraging its strategic location and investment potential, Saudi Arabia’s aviation strategy directly contributes to Vision 2030, which aims to strengthen services and bolster the travel and logistics sectors.
Al-Dahmash noted that to achieve the National Aviation Strategy’s ambitious goals, which include tripling passenger traffic to 330 million annually by 2030, Saudi Arabia is prioritizing major infrastructure projects.
This includes constructing new airports, such as the King Salman International Airport, and expanding existing ones to accommodate the surge in passenger numbers. Alongside this, there is a strong focus on improving operational efficiency and enhancing the overall passenger experience.
In this context, GACA is actively developing and implementing programs to meet evolving passenger expectations. One such innovation is the introduction of AI-powered systems that manage and monitor passenger flow, tracking wait times across Saudi airports.
Additionally, the “Bagless Traveler” initiative is transforming the travel process by enabling passengers to complete check-in and baggage handling from their accommodation. During its pilot phase, the service successfully assisted over one million passengers, with more than 2 million bags processed without incident.
Al-Dahmash also emphasized the importance of regulatory frameworks that GACA has implemented, noting that these efforts have significantly improved services at Saudi airports, leading to higher levels of passenger satisfaction. This success has garnered recognition, with several airports receiving local and international awards.
Moreover, GACA has presented its innovative passenger experience programs at global conferences, sharing its best practices with civil aviation authorities worldwide, demonstrating how others can leverage these advancements for similar success.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,840
- Parallel market Nomu gained 681.17 points, or 2.28%, to close at 30,540.28
- MSCI Tadawul Index lost 4.52 points, or 0.30%, to close at 1,486.82
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Thursday, losing 27.40 points, or 0.23 percent, to close at 11,840.52.
The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR5.39 billion ($1.43 billion), as 98 of the stocks advanced and 131 retreated.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 681.17 points, or 2.28 percent, to close at 30,540.28. This comes as 63 of the listed stocks advanced, while 23 retreated.
The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 4.52 points, or 0.30 percent, to close at 1,486.82.
The best-performing stock of the day was Al-Baha Investment and Development Co., whose share price surged 10 percent to SR0.33.
Other strong performers included Saudi Reinsurance Co., with a 7.05 percent increase in its share price to SR43.30, and Saudi Chemical Co., which saw its share price rise 5.46 percent to SR10.24.
Saudi Cable Co. recorded the largest decline, with its share price dropping 4.02 percent to SR97.90.
CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co. also saw its stock fall 3.13 percent to SR49.50.
Naseej International Trading Co. experienced a 2.64 percent drop in its share price, which fell to SR92.30.
On the announcements front, Saudi Awwal Bank has disclosed its intention to issue an SR-denominated Additional Tier 1 Sukuk through a private placement in the Kingdom, as part of its SR20 billion Additional Tier 1 Sukuk issuance program.
According to a Tadawul statement, the bank has appointed HSBC Saudi Arabia as the sole lead manager for the proposed offer. The statement said the purpose of the issuance is to strengthen the bank’s capital base and support the achievement of its long-term strategic objectives.
The amount and terms of the sukuk will be determined at a later stage, based on market conditions at that time.
Saudi Awwal Bank closed the session at SR31.40, down 0.63 percent.
The Saudi Investment Bank has announced the completion of its US dollar-denominated Additional Tier 1 capital sustainable sukuk offering under its Additional Tier 1 capital sukuk program.
A bourse filing revealed that the offer is valued at $750 million, comprising 3,750 sukuk with a par value of $200,000 each and a return of 6.275 percent.
The sukuk have a perpetual maturity, callable after five years. Settlement of the sukuk issuance is scheduled for Nov. 27, and the sukuk will be listed on the London Stock Exchange’s International Securities Market.
Saudi Investment Bank closed the session at SR13.88, down 0.29 percent.
Aramco to increase borrowing, focus on dividend growth, CFO says
RIYADH: Saudi Aramco plans to increase borrowing and focus on enhancing its dividend distribution strategy, revealed the company’s chief financial officer.
In an interview with Bloomberg, Ziad Al-Murshed explained that this move is part of the company’s efforts to optimize its capital structure.
Aramco is considered one of the pillars of the Saudi economy, encompassing the entire oil production chain, from hydrocarbon extraction to energy generation, as well as refining and commercial distribution activities.
“You’ll see us do a couple of things. One is, just take on more debt compared to use of equity,” Al-Murshed said during the interview.
“It’s nothing to do with the dividend, it is optimizing our capital structure so that we end up with a lower weighted average cost of capital,” he added.
Aramco returned to the debt market earlier this year after a three-year hiatus, raising $9 billion in two separate issuances. In June, it launched a $6 billion offering of dollar-denominated bonds, followed by a $3 billion issuance of Islamic bonds in September.
The CFO noted: “We had the luxury of sitting out those three years until the market became conducive.”
Al-Murshed provided insight into how the company increased its dividend by 4 percent in each of the past two years and is now paying over $81 billion in base dividends.
“We’re looking for it to be progressive over the years,” he said, adding that the company’s free cash flow supports this strategy.
While the company plans to issue debt regularly, Al-Murshed emphasized that it will not be overly frequent and revealed that Aramco has no plans to sell more debt for the remainder of 2024.
“We want to be active, but we don’t want to be too active,” he said.
The CFO further clarified that the company’s decision to sell debt is primarily aimed at broadening its investor base.
Al-Murshed did not specify whether Aramco would borrow to support its dividend payments, which are set to total $124 billion this year, exceeding the company’s earnings.
Earlier this month, Aramco reported a net profit of SR103.37 billion ($27.52 billion) for the third quarter of 2024, exceeding analyst expectations, which had projected a median net income of $26.9 billion.
However, in a statement released at the time, the company noted a 15.4 percent decline in net profit compared to the same period in 2023, attributed to challenging market conditions, including lower prices for crude oil, refined products, and chemicals.
Aramco’s vision remains to be the world’s leading integrated energy and chemicals company, operating in a safe, sustainable, and reliable manner.
