SAN FRANCISCO: Silicon Valley’s biggest businesses could face tougher regulations following Britain’s decision to withdraw from the European Union, and some might have to leave London to attract the best employees.
Many US tech companies now count on Europe for a quarter or more of their business. Beyond facing a financial downturn as the pound’s value erodes, these companies might find Europe a more challenging environment in which to do business.
It could take a year or two before the picture becomes clear. For now, what’s certain is the UK’s exit will be complex and unprecedented, with repercussions crossing the Atlantic and reaching all the way to the US West Coast.
Meanwhile, UK tech companies might have to leave the country to follow their customers and funding sources.
Here are some ways US and UK tech companies might be affected:
SILICON VALLEY COULD LOSE A MODERATING VOICE
In recent years, the EU’s chief antitrust cop has accused Google of thwarting competition by using its dominant search engine to drive traffic to its own services. Apple and other US companies face allegations they haven’t been paying their fair share of taxes in certain European countries. And the EU is adopting stricter rules limiting how much personal information online ad companies such as Google and Facebook can collect from Europeans.
While those companies declined or didn’t respond to requests for comment, industry groups say that US tech companies could face even tougher rules without Britain serving as a moderating counterbalance against Germany, France and other countries that prefer even stricter oversight.
For example, France has pushed Google to meet a more expansive interpretation of an EU court ruling that requires Internet companies to recognize an individual’s “right to be forgotten.”
Under the ruling and subsequent guidance from EU regulators, Google has removed search results that link to online information about individuals who complain that the information is outdated or unnecessarily invades their privacy. Google makes those results invisible to anyone searching from Europe, but French authorities want the company to go further and hide results worldwide, even outside EU jurisdiction.
A NEW SET OF REGULATIONS AND UNCERTAINTIES
The exit could give tech companies a chance to lobby UK policy makers directly, and it throws into question, at least in Britain, stricter EU privacy rules due to take effect in 2018.
But it also could make things more complex and expensive by giving US companies yet another set of rules to comply with.
For the next few years, companies will face uncertainty, which research firm Forrester said will impede companies’ ability to tailor services and advertising based on personal data.
It’s possible for Britain to sign treaties in which it agrees to follow EU policies on data protection or other issues. In a statement, the British Information Commissioner’s Office said the UK would have to show it meets European privacy standards if it wants to trade with EU countries on equal terms. Norway and Switzerland have such arrangements. But even if the UK goes this route, it wouldn’t have the same influence shaping the rules.
BORDER CONTROLS COULD DRIVE OUT US COMPANIES
Many US tech firms have their European headquarters and data centers in Ireland, in part for legal and tax reasons. But several have big sales operations and teams of software developers in London, in part because it’s easier to hire people there, given that city’s attractiveness to immigrants from the rest of Europe.
“The free movement of workers between the UK and the EU arguably made London into the top tech startup talent pool in all of Europe,” US research firm CB Insights said in a report.
CB Insights warned of a “brain drain” if the UK’s exit results in stricter immigration controls.
While some leading US tech companies were publicly neutral on the vote, Microsoft had spoken out against withdrawal. Michel Van der Bel, Microsoft’s chief executive for the UK, warned in a May 17 blog post that staying in the EU was an “important criteria for continued and future investment by Microsoft and others.” Microsoft declined comment following last week’s vote.
Meanwhile, Amazon.com Inc. and other tech companies may have to re-evaluate their use of the UK as a major distribution hub if it becomes more difficult to ship products across borders to the rest of Europe. Morningstar analyst R. J. Hottovy said cross-border delays could also hurt UK merchants that use Amazon as an online sales outlet. Amazon declined comment.
UK TECH COMPANIES MAY ALSO LEAVE
Tech firms based in London could also see an exodus by some of their biggest customers — banks and financial services companies, which are expected to head for the continent if Britain’s decision leads to new tariffs or other barriers to financial transactions. Crawford del Prete, a tech industry analyst with research firm IDC, said tech companies like to be close to their customers and might follow them out.
Funding for new tech startups could also dry up in Britain. The United Kingdom has been a center for European venture funding, according to CB Insights, but much of that comes from investment funds financed in part by the EU.
Mark Mulligan, a media analyst at London-based Midia Research, said replacing access to such funds with British alternatives “could take a couple of years, which is a lifetime in the startup world.”
Britain’s exit could make Europe less friendly to US tech firms
Britain’s exit could make Europe less friendly to US tech firms
Kingdom approves 2025 annual borrowing plan with SR139bn funding target
- Strategic road map to manage country’s funding needs
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan on Sunday approved the annual borrowing plan for 2025, outlining a strategic road map for managing the Kingdom’s funding needs.
The plan, which has been endorsed by the National Debt Management Center’s board of directors, detailed developments in public debt in 2024, initiatives to strengthen local debt markets, and the 2025 funding framework, including a calendar for Saudi riyal-denominated sukuk issuances.
The projected funding requirement for 2025 is estimated at SR139 billion ($37 billion), according to a statement issued on Sunday.
The total encompasses two primary components: covering a fiscal deficit of SR101 billion, as highlighted in the Ministry of Finance’s official budget statement, and meeting the SR38 billion in principal repayments for debts maturing during the year.
To achieve its funding objectives, Saudi Arabia plans to enhance its access to both local and international financing channels and pursue innovative financing opportunities to stimulate economic growth, the statement added.
Moves will include private transactions such as export credit agency-backed initiatives, financing for infrastructure development, and capital expenditure projects.
The Kingdom will also explore opportunities to access new markets and issue debt in diverse currencies, depending on market conditions.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index fell on Sunday, shedding 32.73 points, or 0.27 percent, to close at 12,069.82.
The total trading turnover for the benchmark index amounted to SR4.21 billion ($1.12 billion), with 119 stocks advancing and 106 retreating.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu registered a gain of 48.69 points, or 0.16 percent, closing at 31,054.38. Out of the stocks listed on Nomu, 38 advanced while 41 declined. The MSCI Tadawul Index also declined, dropping 7.32 points, or 0.48 percent, to close at 1,509.84.
Among the top performers of the day was Saudi Reinsurance Co., whose stock surged 9.94 percent to SR59.70.
Salama Cooperative Insurance Co. also posted a strong performance, with its share price rising 8.44 percent to SR21.06, while Riyadh Cables Group Co. saw its stock climb 6.34 percent to SR151.00.
However, National Medical Care Co. recorded the day’s steepest decline, falling 3.49 percent to SR160.40. Emaar The Economic City and the Power and Water Utility Co. for Jubail and Yanbu also experienced losses, with their share prices dropping 3.06 percent to SR18.38 and 2.93 percent to SR53.00, respectively.
In corporate news, Al-Yamamah Steel Industries Co. announced the signing of a SR97.5 million contract with the Saudi-based Trading & Development Partnership. The agreement involves the supply of steel towers for constructing a 380-kilovolt ultra-high voltage transmission line in the Eastern Region.
The contract, which will commence in May 2025, is expected to reflect on the company’s financial results starting from the third quarter of 2025.
Shares of Al-Yamamah Steel ended the session 6.25 percent higher at SR36.40.
The Saudi Industrial Development Co. disclosed that its subsidiary, Global Co. for Marketing Sleeping Systems, also known as Sleep High, has secured a Shariah-compliant SR9 million credit facility from Riyadh Bank.
The financing, guaranteed under the Kafalah Program, will be utilized to support the subsidiary’s working capital needs. SIDC shares closed 0.67 percent higher at SR30.00.
Saudi Arabian Amiantit Co. signed a memorandum of understanding with the Libyan Development & Reconstruction Fund to collaborate on water technology transfer, sewage treatment, and pipe production.
The one-year agreement aims to localize industries in Libya, create employment opportunities, and transfer manufacturing expertise. It also includes plans to establish joint factories specializing in fiberglass and polyethylene pipes, as well as valves, to support Libyan national projects.
Shares of Amiantit rose 1.90 percent to close at SR29.40.
United International Holding Co. announced the extension of its memorandum of understanding with Nowpay Corp. for an additional two months. The partnership aims to establish a payroll administration and processing firm in Saudi Arabia.
The venture, which will require an initial investment of SR75 million, will be 75 percent owned by United International Holding and 25 percent by Nowpay Corp.
The company’s stock closed 0.75 percent higher at SR187.40.
National Gypsum Co. revealed that it has signed an Islamic financing agreement with Riyadh Bank valued at SR35 million. The funds will be directed toward expanding operations and upgrading production lines. The financing will last for one and a half years and is backed by promissory notes and a property mortgage.
The company’s share price remained unchanged at SR22.16.
Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s listed companies witnessed significant growth in 2024, with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi Bank emerging as the top performers on the Tadawul All Share Index.
ACWA Power Co. led the index, contributing 295 points, followed by Al Rajhi Bank with a 207-point increase, according to data from SNB Capital cited by Al-Ekhbariya.
ACWA Power’s stock surged from SR255.89 at the start of 2024 to SR401.4 by year-end, reflecting big growth. Similarly, Al Rajhi Bank’s stock rose from SR86.8 to SR94.6 during the same period. Other notable contributors included Saudi Research and Media Group, adding 44 points to the index, Elm Co. with 43 points, and Ma’aden with 40 points.
However, not all listed companies experienced gains in 2024. Saudi Aramco recorded a significant decline, losing 177 points on the index as its stock price dropped from SR140 to SR111.8. SNB Capital fell by 70 points, followed by SABIC with a 62-point decrease, Banque Saudi Fransi with 32 points, and Sahara International Petrochemical Co., or Sipchem, with 30 points.
The Kingdom’s initial public offering market also saw robust activity in 2024, with 14 IPOs raising SR14.21 billion ($3.7 billion), marking a 19 percent year-on-year increase.
Almoosa Health and Fakeeh Care Group led the IPO market in terms of size, with Fakeeh attracting the highest individual participation, drawing 1.34 million unique investors.
Despite overall success, individual subscriptions accounted for only 13 percent of the total IPO volume, amounting to SR1.94 billion.
Modern Mills Co. led in subscription coverage, achieving a rate of 21.9 times, while the average individual coverage for the year’s IPOs stood at 11.87 times.
The food production sector dominated IPO activity, contributing 26.9 percent of total listings in 2024, with successful debuts by companies such as Modern Mills, Al-Rabie, and Al Arabiya.
IPO valuations varied significantly, with an average price-to-earnings ratio of 34 times. United International Holding recorded the lowest P/E, while Nice One topped the charts with a P/E of 118 times, making it the year’s most expensive IPO.
Looking ahead, SNB Capital forecasts an 8 percent annual profit growth for companies listed on the Tadawul in 2025, with the petrochemical sector expected to lead the way with a 74 percent rise in profits.
Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments
- Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year
- Unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia solidified its status as a regional investment leader with a 7.4 percent year-on-year growth in gross fixed capital formation in the third quarter of 2024, led by the non-government sector.
The Ministry of Investment reported an 8.3 percent increase in the non-government division, reflecting the Kingdom’s ongoing efforts to boost private sector participation in its diversifying economy.
Government-related entities contributed to the overall GFCF growth, with a 2.3 percent increase in the third quarter of 2024.
The non-government sector’s performance aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, which aim to shift the economy from oil dependency by fostering a vibrant private division.
In line with these goals, the Ministry of Investment issued 3,810 investment licenses in Q3 2024, marking a significant 73.7 percent year-on-year increase.
Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year during the same period, further supporting the Kingdom’s economic diversification efforts.
Key sectors saw notable growth, including wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels rose 5.8 percent, and construction increased 4.6 percent. Transport and communication grew by 4.5 percent, and finance and real estate advanced by 4.2 percent, driven by consumer spending and a dynamic financial sector.
These expansions contributed to the Kingdom’s overall real gross domestic product growth of 2.8 percent year-on-year for the quarter, despite a marginal 0.05 percent increase in oil activities.
The real estate sector also played a pivotal role in the third quarter of 2024, with the Real Estate Price Index rising by 2.6 percent y-o-y. While residential property costs increased by 1.6 percent, commercial properties saw a more pronounced growth of 6.4 percent. However, agricultural real estate prices declined by 8.7 percent, reflecting sectoral disparities.
Complementing these trends, real estate loans by banks witnessed a 13.3 percent year-on-year increase, showcasing heightened investor interest in property development and acquisitions.
Saudi Arabia’s economic resilience is further evident in labor market improvements. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent in this period, a 0.5 percentage point decrease from the same quarter in 2023. The Saudi unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent, a one percentage point decline year-on-year.
Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report
- QNB forecasts US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps
- It predicts growth of 2.2% in 2025, down from 2.6% in 2024
RIYADH: Global economic growth is set to accelerate in 2025 as monetary easing, US resilience, and recoveries in Europe and China drive momentum, with Southeast Asian economies benefiting from positive spillovers.
The Qatar National Bank projects a 3.2 percent global growth rate, outpacing Bloomberg’s consensus of 3.1 percent, the state’s news agency QNA reported.
In its latest commentary, QNB anticipates growth in major economies, driven by controlled inflation, eased financial constraints, and policy adjustments by central banks. Emerging markets, specifically the Association of Southeast Asian Nations economies, are set to benefit from these advancements.
The report said that analysts have consistently underestimated global economic performance, as initial projections for 2023 and 2024 fell short of realized growth by 80 and 40 basis points, respectively.
“Analysts and economists have been proving to be over pessimistic when it comes to forecasting major economies and global growth in recent years,” reported QNA.
The national bank added: “In fact, over the last two years, initial expectations for growth were 80 basis points and 40 bps below realized growth in 2023 and 2024, respectively.”
It forecasts the US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps.
“This should support further investment and consumption growth, as credit becomes cheaper, new investment opportunities become more attractive, and the opportunity costs of spending decrease,” it added.
In the US, QNB predicts growth of 2.2 percent in 2025, down from 2.6 percent in 2024 but still above the long-term average of 2.3 percent.
“The US economy is expected to remain on a strong footing as labor markets are resilient, productivity is growing rapidly with fast technology adoption, and households have robust balance sheets with the strongest financial position in decades,” QNB said.
Europe and China are expected to recover from extended periods of stagnation. Growth in the European area is forecast to rise from 0.7 percent in 2024 to 1.0 percent in 2025, supported by lower energy prices and a rebound in global manufacturing demand.
China’s growth is projected to increase from 4.8 percent to 5.0 percent, driven by policy easing and renewed economic momentum.
Emerging Asian nations, particularly ASEAN economies, are set to benefit significantly. “Stronger growth in China is likely to be a significant tailwind to emerging Asia in general and ASEAN economies in particular,” QNB said.
The region’s five largest markets, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, are forecasted to grow by 5.2 percent in 2025, up from 4.4 percent in 2024.
“All in all, we expect to see a moderate acceleration of global growth in 2025, with significant monetary easing, a resilient US economy, a cyclical recovery in Europe and China, and positive spillovers to ASEAN economies,” QNB said.
