SINGAPORE: Oil prices nudged higher on Friday on signs of surging demand in China, the world’s second-biggest oil user, though prices are set to fall for a second week amid concerns of the ongoing Sino-US trade war is limiting overall economic activity.
Brent crude oil futures were trading at $79.51 per barrel at 0521 GMT, up 22 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 19 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $68.84 a barrel.
For the week, Brent crude was 1.1 percent lower while WTI futures were down 3.5 percent, putting both on track for a second consecutive weekly decline.
Refinery throughput in China, the world’s second-largest oil importer, rose to a record high of 12.49 million barrels per day (bpd) in September as some independent plants restarted operations after prolonged shutdowns over summer to shore up inventories, government data showed on Friday.
The refinery consumption may rise through the fourth quarter as several state-owned Chinese refiners return to service after maintenance.
Undermining the strong refinery data, China did on Friday report its weakest economic growth since 2009 in the third quarter, with gross domestic product expanding by only 6.5 percent, missing estimates.
The weak economic data raised concerns that the country’s trade war with United States is beginning to have an impact on growth, which may limit China’s oil demand.
The trade war concerns combined with surging US oil stockpiles reported on Thursday are capping the day’s price gains.
US crude stocks last week climbed 6.5 million barrels, the fourth straight weekly build, almost triple the amount analysts had forecast, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
“EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report was a complete shocker sending Oil markets spiraling lower amidst some concerning development for oil bulls,” said Stephen Innes, head of trading APAC at OANDA in Singapore.
Inventories rose sharply even as US crude production slipped 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 10.9 million bpd last week due to the effects of offshore facilities closing temporarily for Hurricane Michael.
Meanwhile, Iranian oil exports may have increased in October when compared to the previous month as buyers rush to lift more cargoes ahead of looming US sanctions that kick in on Nov. 4.
An unprecedented volume of Iranian crude oil is set to arrive at China’s northeast Dalian port this month and in early November before US sanctions on Iran take effect, according to an Iranian shipping source and data on Refinitiv Eikon.
So far, a total of 22 million barrels of Iranian crude oil loaded on supertankers owned by the National Iranian Tanker Co. are expected to arrive at Dalian in October and November, the data showed. Dalian typically receives between 1 million and 3 million barrels of Iranian oil each month, according to data that dates back to January 2015.
Oil prices edge up, but set for weekly loss on inventory build, US-China trade row
Oil prices edge up, but set for weekly loss on inventory build, US-China trade row
- US crude stocks last week climbed 6.5 million barrels, the fourth straight weekly build, almost triple the amount analysts had forecast
- An unprecedented volume of Iranian crude oil is set to arrive at China’s northeast Dalian port this month
Arab stock markets up 2.14% in Q3, surpassing $4.3tn in market capitalization
RIYADH: Arab stock markets saw a 2.14 percent growth in the third quarter of 2024, driven by strong performances in Beirut, Egypt, and Damascus, according to the Arab Monetary Fund’s composite index.
The AMF’s quarterly report highlighted annual growth of 1.5 percent in the index, reflecting gains in 13 of the 16 tracked markets, while three recorded declines.
Regional reforms, such as Egypt’s privatization initiatives and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 projects, played a significant role in bolstering market activity.
The UAE’s diversification efforts also contributed to the strength of its financial markets, particularly in renewable energy and technology sectors.
The AMF said: “The positive sentiment in Arab financial markets reflects investor confidence in ongoing economic reforms and robust corporate performances.”
Top performers
The Beirut Stock Exchange led the gains with a 29.03 percent rise, marking the highest performance among Arab exchanges. It was followed by the Egyptian Exchange, which increased by 13.76 percent, and the Damascus Securities Exchange, with a 12.66 percent rise.
In the UAE, Dubai Financial Market recorded an 11.75 percent gain, reflecting strong investor activity.
Other markets also posted significant performances. The Casablanca Stock Exchange grew by 8.06 percent, while stock markets in Qatar and Iraq posted increases of 6.52 percent and 5.35 percent, respectively.
The Saudi Exchange, known as Tadawul, saw healthy growth of 4.68 percent, underpinned by gains in non-oil sectors aligned with Vision 2030 objectives. Algeria and Oman reported smaller but steady increases of 4.9 percent and 0.49 percent, respectively.
Despite the positive trend in most markets, three exchanges reported declines, with Bahrain’s stock market falling by 0.63 percent, Amman’s by 0.82 percent, while Palestine’s saw the steepest drop at 7.78 percent.
Market capitalization
The combined market capitalization of Arab financial markets grew by 2.54 percent in the third quarter of 2024, reaching $4.30 trillion, up from $4.19 trillion in the previous three-month period. This represented an increase of $106.55 billion.
Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange contributed the most to this growth, adding $37.30 billion, followed by Dubai Financial Market with a $21.35 billion rise. Other notable increases came from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Morocco.
In terms of individual exchanges, the Saudi Exchange retained its position as the largest contributor, representing 62.7 percent of the total Arab market capitalization.
The UAE’s markets, including Abu Dhabi and Dubai, collectively accounted for 18.6 percent, while Qatar, Kuwait, and Morocco contributed notable shares. The rest of the Arab markets showed varying levels of growth, with Beirut and Cairo posting sharp rises in market value.
Trading volumes
The value of traded shares across Arab markets soared by 47.46 percent in the third quarter of 2024, reaching $328.92 billion compared to $223.06 billion in the previous three-month period.
The Iraq Stock Exchange reported the highest surge in trading volumes, increasing by 67 percent. The Egyptian Exchange followed with a 51.50 percent rise, while the Saudi Exchange and Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange also saw substantial gains of 25.73 percent and 21.01 percent, respectively.
Some markets experienced a downturn in trading activity. Palestine, Algeria, and Casablanca saw declines in traded volumes, attributed to specific local economic factors.
Across the Arab region, key sectors such as real estate, technology, and financial services performed strongly, attracting both local and foreign investments.
The financial results of listed companies and the announcement of quarterly dividends boosted investor confidence.
Key factors
Arab markets demonstrated resilience despite global economic uncertainties, including fluctuating oil prices and geopolitical challenges.
The AMF reported that easing monetary policies by major central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, improved global liquidity flows into emerging and regional markets.
The report also noted the impact of oil price volatility, which declined by approximately 15 percent during the third quarter of 2024.
While oil-exporting nations, such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, maintained steady market performance, oil-importing nations like Egypt and Jordan benefited from reduced energy costs, alleviating inflationary pressures and supporting economic stability.
Outlook
The AMF emphasized the role of continued economic reforms and diversification in shaping the outlook for Arab financial markets.
“The ongoing efforts to attract foreign investment, improve market transparency, and support non-oil sectors are crucial for sustaining growth and enhancing the competitiveness of Arab financial markets,” AMF said.
Oil Updates – crude nudges up after Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate
SINGAPORE: Oil prices edged up on Monday after fighting between Russia and Ukraine intensified over the weekend, although concerns about fuel demand in China, the world’s second-largest consumer, and forecasts of a global oil surplus weighed on markets.
Brent crude futures gained 29 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $71.33 a barrel by 8:02 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $67.20 a barrel, up 18 cents, or 0.3 percent.
Russia unleashed its largest air strike on Ukraine in almost three months on Sunday, causing severe damage to Ukraine’s power system.
In a significant reversal of Washington’s policy in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, President Joe Biden’s administration has allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to strike deep into Russia, two US officials and a source familiar with the decision said on Sunday.
There was no immediate response from the Kremlin, which has warned that it would see a move to loosen the limits on Ukraine’s use of US weapons as a major escalation.
“Biden allowing Ukraine to strike Russian forces around Kursk with long-range missiles might see a geopolitical bid come back into oil as it is an escalation of tensions there, in response to North Korean troops entering the fray,” IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said.
Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, said: “So far there has been little impact on Russian oil exports, but if Ukraine were to target more oil infrastructure that could see oil markets elevate further.”
In Russia, at least three refineries have had to halt processing or cut runs due to heavy losses amid export curbs, rising crude prices and high borrowing costs, according to five industry sources.
Brent and WTI slid more than 3 percent last week on weak data from China and after the International Energy Agency forecasted that global oil supply will exceed demand by more than 1 million barrels per day in 2025 even if cuts remain in place from OPEC+.
China’s refinery throughput fell 4.6 percent in October from last year and as the country’s factory output growth slowed last month, government data showed on Friday.
Investors also fretted over the pace and extent of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve that has created uncertainty in global financial markets.
In the US, the number of operating oil rigs fell by one to 478 last week, the lowest since the week to July 19, Baker Hughes data showed.
World Defense Show 2026 to showcase record number of Chinese companies in Riyadh
RIYADH: The third edition of the World Defense Show, scheduled to take place in Riyadh from Feb. 8-12, 2026, has secured a record number of participants, with more than 100 companies from China confirmed to take part.
Notably, the China Pavilion has already filled 88 percent of its exhibition space, making it the second-largest national presence at the event, surpassing even the host nation, Saudi Arabia.
This strong participation underscores the growing global appeal of the show. Since its debut, WDS has seen impressive growth, with exhibition space expanding by 54 percent between 2022 and 2026, more than doubling its size. As of now, over 50 percent of the total floor space for WDS 2026 has already been sold.
The announcement follows the successful conclusion of the second edition of WDS, which hosted 773 exhibitors from 76 countries, facilitated SR 26 billion ($6.9 billion) in deals, and attracted 106,000 trade visits.
“The significant interest and commitment from Chinese exhibitors is a testament to the prominence WDS holds in the global defense space,” said Andrew Pearcey, CEO of World Defense Show.
“Our goal is to bring together global and local stakeholders to advance networking opportunities, strengthen global knowledge-sharing, and shape the future of defense technology,” he said.
The high level of interest from Chinese firms was also evident at the 15th Airshow China in Zhuhai, held from Nov. 12-17. Senior WDS representatives attended the event to engage with potential exhibitors, offering them the opportunity to secure their space at WDS 2026, which is rapidly filling up.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,811
- Parallel market Nomu gained 9.64 points, or 0.03%, to close at 29,477.35
- MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 4.49 points, or 0.30%, to close at 1,485.85
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 20.80 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 11,811.98.
The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.22 billion ($1.12 billion), as 115 of the stocks advanced and 116 retreated.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 9.64 points, or 0.03 percent, to close at 29,477.35, with 41 listed stocks advancing and 41 declining.
The MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 4.49 points, or 0.30 percent, to close at 1,485.85.
The best-performing stock of the day was The Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co., whose share price rose 9.96 percent to SR20.98.
Other top performers included Saudi Reinsurance Co. and Thimar Development Holding Co., with their share prices increasing by 6.89 percent to SR38.80, and 6.04 percent to SR43.90, respectively.
The share prices of Saudi Cable Co. and The Co. for Cooperative Insurance also surged by 5.39 percent and 5.08 percent to SR97.70 and SR132.40, respectively.
The worst performer was Arriyadh Development Co., whose share price dropped by 5.27 percent to SR26.05.
Other notable decliners included Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund and Red Sea International Co., whose share prices fell by 3.68 percent to SR9.43, and 3.34 percent to SR66.50, respectively.
Zamil Industrial Investment Co. and The National Co. for Glass Industries also saw declines, with their share prices falling by 3.33 percent to SR26.15, and 3.14 percent to SR49.40, respectively.
On the announcements front, Amwaj International Co. disclosed its board of directors’ recommendation to distribute SR6 million in cash dividends to shareholders for the fiscal year ending Dec. 31.
According to a statement on Tadawul, the dividends will cover 6 million eligible shares, with a payout of SR1 per share, representing 10 percent of the share’s par value.
Amwaj International Co. concluded the trading session at SR42, marking an impressive 18.57 percent increase.
Arab Sea Information Systems Co. announced updates regarding its project with the Al-Madinah Region Development Authority for managed IT services.
The company was notified of the decision to cancel the competition due to procedural violations identified following a grievance by a competitor, according to a filing on Tadawul.
The grievance was filed before the award decision or in opposition to it and the company clarified that no costs are associated with the development.
Arab Sea Information Systems Co. closed the session at SR7.13, down 0.84 percent.
Saudi Arabia, UAE lead MENA deal boom with $71bn in activity: EY
- UAE and Saudi Arabia were the top investment destinations, accounting for 52% of the region’s total deal volume and 81% of deal value
- Sovereign wealth funds played a key role in driving M&A activity in the region
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia and the UAE led Gulf region merger and acquisition activity, which increased 7 percent in value to $71 billion in the first nine months of the year.
According to EY’s MENA M&A Insights 9M 2024 report, the Middle East and North Africa region saw a total of 522 deals during the period, with deal volume rising 9 percent year on year.
The value growth was largely fueled by a surge in cross-border transactions and substantial investments from sovereign wealth funds, such as the UAE’s Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Mubadala, and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund.
Brad Watson, EY MENA strategy and transactions leader, said: “Deal activity in the MENA region has seen a notable improvement this year, driven by strategic policy shifts, the liberalization of investment regulations and robust capital inflows from investors.”
He added: “With companies actively seeking opportunities to grow and diversify their operations, we have observed a surge in cross-border M&A volume and value.”
The UAE and Saudi Arabia were the top investment destinations, accounting for 52 percent of the region’s total deal volume and 81 percent of deal value, with 239 transactions worth $24.5 billion. Both nations continue to benefit from their favorable business environments and strategic economic policies.
“In particular, the UAE remained a favored investment destination during the first nine months of 2024 due to its business-friendly regulations and efficient legislative framework,” said Watson.
Sovereign wealth funds played a key role in driving M&A activity in the region, supporting national economic strategies. These funds were particularly active in sectors aligned with long-term diversification plans, such as technology, energy, and infrastructure.
Cross-border M&A deals dominated, representing 52 percent of the overall volume and 73 percent of the value, the report added.
However, domestic M&A activity also saw a notable increase, rising 44 percent year on year to $19.3 billion, driven by government-related entities making significant acquisitions in the oil and gas, metals and mining, and chemicals sectors.
Insurance and oil and gas emerged as the most attractive sectors, accounting for 34 percent of the total deal value. Technology and consumer products led domestic M&A by volume, with 78 deals representing 31 percent of activity.
Saudi Arabia recorded the region’s largest domestic transaction, with energy giant Aramco’s $8.9 billion acquisition of a 22.5 percent stake in Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Co. from Sumitomo Chemical.
The US remained a top target for MENA investors, with 32 deals valued at $18.3 billion. The US-UAE Business Council helped facilitate these partnerships, with prominent US firms collaborating with UAE public and private sectors on various initiatives.
Outbound and inbound deals
Outbound M&A was the largest contributor to deal value, with 147 transactions totaling $41.4 billion, led by insurance and real estate investments. The US and China represented 70 percent of outbound deal value.
Inbound deals also witnessed growth, rising 20 percent in volume and 47 percent in value to $10.4 billion. The US and UK were the leading contributors, driving activity in technology and professional services.
Mega deals
Ten of the region’s largest deals were concentrated in the Gulf Cooperation Council. These included Mubadala and partners’ $12.4 billion acquisition of Truist Insurance Holdings and an $8.3 billion investment in Chinese shopping mall operator Zhuhai Wanda Commercial Management Group.
“Strengthening regional relationships with Asian and European economies, alongside existing ties with the US, enabled MENA countries to gain access to larger and growing markets,” said Watson.
As Gulf nations continue diversification strategies and prioritize digital transformation, sectors like technology, energy, and infrastructure are expected to drive further M&A growth. Saudi Arabia and the UAE’s proactive policies and substantial sovereign wealth fund activity position the region as a global investment hotspot.
