BEIJING/SINGAPORE: Oil prices extended losses on Tuesday following reports that OPEC+ will proceed with a planned output increase in April, while markets braced for the impact of US tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, as well as Beijing’s retaliatory tariffs on the US.

Brent futures fell 57 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $71.05 a barrel at 9:50 a.m. Saudi time, as US West Texas Intermediate crude eased 39 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $67.98.

“The current downward trend in oil prices is primarily driven by OPEC+’s decision to increase output and the introduction of US tariffs,” said Darren Lim, commodities strategist at Phillip Nova.

A further complicating factor was geopolitical developments related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, he added.

President Donald Trump paused all US military aid to Ukraine following his Oval Office clash with President Volodymyr Zelensky last week.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies like Russia, known as OPEC+, decided to proceed with a planned April oil output increase of 138,000 barrels per day, the group’s first since 2022.

“While this decision aims to gradually unwind previous output cuts, it has raised concerns about a potential oversupply in the market,” Lim said.

Trump’s 25 percent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico took effect at 8:01 a.m. Saudi time on Tuesday, with 10 percent tariffs for Canadian energy, while imports on Chinese goods will increase to 20 percent from 10 percent.

Analysts expect the tariffs to weigh on economic activity and fuel demand, putting downward pressure on oil prices.

“Market participants are struggling to gauge the impact of the flood of energy-related policy announcements made by the Trump administration this month,” BMI analysts wrote in a note.

“However, those weighing to the downside, notably US tariff measures, are currently winning out.”

As the US tariffs kicked in on Tuesday, China swiftly retaliated, announcing 10 percent to 15 percent hikes to import levies covering a range of American agricultural and food products, and placing 25 US firms under export and investment restrictions.

Further weighing on oil was Trump’s halt of military aid to Ukraine, as the market has viewed the growing distance between the White House and Ukraine as a sign of a potential easing of the conflict.

That in turn could lead to sanctions relief for Russia, with more oil supply returning to the market.

The pause followed a Reuters report that the White House has asked the State and Treasury departments to draft a list of sanctions that could be eased for US officials to discuss during talks with Moscow, sources have said.

“The perfect storm for crude oil has intensified. Reports that the US has paused military aid to Ukraine is viewed as a precursor to lifting sanctions on Russian oil,” said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore.

“It also comes at the same time as US tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China come into effect, sparking fears of a trade war. Crude oil just cannot take a break at the moment.”

However, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note on Monday that Russia’s oil flows are constrained more by its OPEC+ production target than sanctions, warning that an easing might not boost them significantly.

The bank also said higher-than-expected crude supply and a demand hit due to softer US activity and tariff escalation posed downside risks to oil price forecasts. 

RIYADH: The Public Investment Fund and Goldman Sachs Asset Management signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding in Riyadh on Monday. The agreement designates the PIF as an anchor investor for new private and public funds in Saudi Arabia and other GCC countries.

An anchor investor is an institutional investor that backs a business or asset before it goes public on the stock market, to add value and help establish its name and reputation.

The aim of the new partnership is to help position the Kingdom as an investment hub and grow the Saudi asset management sector by leveraging the institutional strength of the PIF and the expertise of Goldman Sachs, the organizations said. A goal is to attract equity capital from international investors, a significant portion of which will be earmarked for investments within the Kingdom.

Yazeed Al-Humied, deputy governor and head of Middle East and North Africa investments at PIF, said asset management forms part of the fund’s broader efforts to diversify the Saudi economy and strengthen local capital markets.

He described the agreement with Goldman Sachs as “another element in PIF’s strategy of attracting global capital and expertise from a wide range of investors to the region, while facilitating knowledge-transfer and capacity-building within Saudi Arabia.”

Their private-credit strategy will focus on senior and junior loans (representing higher or lower priority debts) for companies in the GCC region, officials said. Their public equity strategies will target investments in publicly listed companies associated with the Kingdom.

Goldman Sachs recently expanded its presence in Saudi Arabia, opening a new office in Riyadh in October. Marc Nachmann, global head of asset and wealth management, said the company is proud to collaborate with the PIF to develop investment strategies.

“Drawing on our decades of experience investing in public and private markets, our aim is to help clients access the dynamic opportunities created by Saudi Arabia and the wider GCC’s rapid economic transformation,” he added.

“We are excited to see this partnership expand and to continue building our presence in Saudi Arabia.”

The PIF said it aims to support Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 plan for national development and diversification through a wide range of investments and partnerships. Since 2017, it has established 103 companies to create investment opportunities in the Saudi economy.