India’s Gautam Adani: Asia’s richest man in the eye of a storm

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Gautam Adani. (REUTERS)
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The logo of the Adani Group is seen on the wall of its realty office building on the outskirts of Ahmedabad, India, January 27, 2023. (REUTERS)
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Updated 28 January 2023
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India’s Gautam Adani: Asia’s richest man in the eye of a storm

  • India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi hails from the same state and their relationship has come under intense scrutiny by Modi’s opponents for years

NEW DELHI: India’s Gautam Adani, the school drop-out turned billionaire who rose to become Asia’s richest man, faces possibly the biggest challenge of his career after a US short seller cast doubts on his business practices, hammering shares in his companies and his reputation.
Adani, whose home state is Gujarat in western India, built his business empire from scratch after starting as a commodities trader. India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi hails from the same state and their relationship has come under intense scrutiny by Modi’s opponents for years.
Adani’s business empire grew rapidly and his wealth ballooned. His interests span ports, power generation, airports, mining, edible oils, renewable power and more recently media and cement.
He rose to become the world’s third-richest person according to Forbes, with a net worth of $127 billion, trailing only Bernard Arnault and Elon Musk. Married to dentist Priti Adani, he has two sons, Karan and Jeet, both of whom are involved in the company businesses.
Despite his riches the 60-year-old, who comes from a middle-class textile family, was far lesser known than other billionaires in a country where many inherit their wealth.
His business style was described as “very hands on,” according to one person with direct knowledge of his dealings.
As Adani’s empire swelled, stocks of his seven listed companies surged — in some cases more than 1,500 percent in the last three years amid aggressive expansion. He denied allegations by Modi’s opponents that he had benefited from their close ties.
In a 2014 interview with Reuters, when asked if he was friends with Modi, Adani said he had friends across the political spectrum, but avoids politics.
He has said no one political leader is behind his success and when asked about Modi’s use of Adani corporate planes during the interview, Adani said Modi “pays fully.”
In recent years, the $220 billion Adani Group empire has attracted foreign investment — France’s TotalEnergies, for example, partnered with Adani last year to develop the world’s biggest green hydrogen ecosystem.
More recently, Adani has taken a pro-active approach to building his public image, giving interviews to local and foreign media.
Appearing in a popular Hindi TV show this month called the ‘People’s Court’, Adani sat in a mock witness box inside a courtroom setup and answered questions about his conglomerate — offering an unusual level of scrutiny. He described himself as “a shy person” and credited the rise of his popularity in part to the political attacks he has faced.
Modi’s government has denied allegations of favoring Adani.
“People got to know who Adani (was) because of constant targeting by Rahul ji during the 2014 elections and after that,” Adani said, during the show, referring to opposition Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi.
Three weeks later, shares of his group’s listed companies plunged on Friday, taking their cumulative losses to $48 billion this week. Short seller Hindenburg Research on Wednesday accused Adani’s businesses of improper use of offshore tax havens and flagged concerns about high debt. Adani has called the report baseless, and said he was considering taking action.
REPUTATION CHALLENGE
Adani Group’s website says its vision is to balance “growth with goodness” as it aims to build assets of national relevance and transform lives through self-reliance and sustainability.
Adani is no stranger to controversies. The most recent was months of protest by fishermen against construction of a $900-million port in southern India’s Kerala, in which he sued the state government and fishermen leaders. And in Australia, environmental activists for years protested against Adani’s Carmichael coal mine project in Queensland on concerns of carbon emissions and damage to the Great Barrier Reef.
His latest challenge is how to deal with an unprecedented share price rout as the group’s flagship firm Adani Enterprises launched the country’s biggest public secondary share offering this week, aiming to raise $2.5 billion.
The stock’s price on Friday fell well below the offer price, casting doubts on its success.
Image guru Dilip Cherian told Reuters the Hindenburg Report — and its fallout — could carry reputational risk for Adani but he could take action to limit that damage and reassure investors of the group’s financial and assets strength and ensure the share sale is a success.
“In terms of the kind of stellar rise he has had this is a hazard,” Cherian said.
Adani told India Today TV in December that people who were raising questions about the group’s debt had not done a deep dive into its financials, without saying who he was referring to.
As the market rout played out on Mumbai exchanges, Adani was seen heading to a meeting at the federal power minister’s office in New Delhi. It is not known what was discussed and Adani Group did not respond to a request for comment on Friday.
Adani Group’s consolidated gross debt stands at $23.34 billion, Jefferies says. While Hindenburg alleged key listed Adani companies had “substantial debt” which has put the entire group on a “precarious financial footing,” the Adani Group has repeatedly said its borrowings are manageable and no investor has raised any concern.

 


IMF mission concludes visit to Egypt for the 4th review of loan program

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IMF mission concludes visit to Egypt for the 4th review of loan program

CAIRO: The International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday that its mission had concluded a visit to Egypt and made substantial progress on policy discussions toward the completion of the fourth review of IMF loan program.

The review, which could unlock more than $1.2 billion in financing, is the fourth under Egypt’s latest 46-month IMF loan program that was approved in 2022 and expanded to $8 billion this year after an economic crisis marked by high inflation and severe foreign currency shortages.

The IMF also said that Egypt “has implemented key reforms to preserve macroeconomic stability,” including the unification of the exchange rate that eased imports, with its central bank reiterating its commitment to sustain a flexible exchange rate regime.

Earlier on Wednesday, Egypt’s Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said Cairo has asked the IMF to modify the targets for the program not only for this year, but for its full duration, he added without giving more details.

“Discussions will continue over the coming days to finalize agreement on the remaining policies and reforms that could support the completion of the fourth review,” the IMF added in its statement. 


Oil Updates – prices edge up on geopolitical tensions; higher-than-expected US inventories cap gains

Updated 21 November 2024
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Oil Updates – prices edge up on geopolitical tensions; higher-than-expected US inventories cap gains

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose marginally on Thursday as geopolitical concerns over escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine countered the impact from a bigger-than-expected increase in US crude inventories.

Brent crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $72.97 as of 7:08 Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.23 percent, to $68.91.

Ukraine fired a volley of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles into Russia on Wednesday, the latest new Western weapon it has been permitted to use on Russian targets a day after it fired US ATACMS missiles.

Moscow has said the use of Western weapons to strike Russian territory far from the border would be a major escalation in the conflict. Kyiv says it needs the capability to defend itself by hitting Russian rear bases used to support Moscow’s invasion, which entered its 1,000th day this week.

“For oil, the risk is if Ukraine targets Russian energy infrastructure, while the other risk is uncertainty over how Russia responds to these attacks,” said ING analysts in a note.

JPMorgan analysts said oil consumption recovered in the past week thanks to better travel demand in the US and India, and as the latter also showed a significant rise in industrial demand.

Global oil demand is estimated to reach 103.6 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first 19 days of November, up 1.7 million bpd on-year, the analysts said in a note.

But countering the gains was a rise in US crude inventories by 545,000 barrels to 430.3 million barrels in the week ended Nov. 15, exceeding analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 138,000-barrel rise.

Gasoline inventories last week rose more than forecast, while distillate stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected draw, according to the Energy Information Administration data.

Adding to supply, Norway’s Equinor said it had restored full output capacity at the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea following a power outage.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies led by Russia, the group known as OPEC+, may push back output increases again when it meets on Dec. 1 due to weak global oil demand, according to three OPEC+ sources familiar with the discussions.

OPEC+, which pumps around half the world’s oil, had initially planned to gradually reverse production cuts with minor increases spread over several months in 2024 and 2025.

However, the International Energy Agency said in its report last week even if OPEC+ cuts remain in place, oil supply will exceed demand in 2025 as rising production from the US and other outside producers outpaces sluggish demand. 


Saudi Arabia’s construction contracts jump 47% to $49.3bn in H1 2024  

Updated 21 November 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s construction contracts jump 47% to $49.3bn in H1 2024  

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s construction sector continues to thrive, with contract awards totaling SR185 billion ($49.3 billion) in the first half of the year, revealed a senior executive. 

Speaking during a webinar hosted by the US-Saudi Business Council, Albara’a Al-Wazir, the council’s director of economic research, said the figure represents a 47 percent increase compared to the previous year. 

He added that 2024 was well above where 2023 stood at the same point last year. “On a quarterly basis, in Q2, the value of contract awards reached about $17.6 billion — that’s about SR66 billion — and grew year over year by about 11 percent,” said Al-Wazir.  

He further highlighted that the year-to-date performance was even more impressive. 

Al-Wazir emphasized that the construction sector benefits from strong collaboration between the government and the private sector in helping meet Vision 2030 targets. 

“The private sector’s contribution was 4.9 percent, demonstrating exponential growth in construction contracts,” the executive added. 

The overall construction index, which tracks construction activity expected to move into the execution phase within six to 18 months, surged significantly to reach 271 points. 

“Sustained growth is evident, with the index showing year-over-year increases of 33 percent,” Al-Wazir said. 

Regarding sector-specific growth, he said: “Oil and gas, real estate, and water sectors are keeping the momentum from the first quarter into the second quarter, and the growing influential role of the private sector is expanding not just the economy in general but specifically the construction sector.”  

Oil and gas represented 41 percent of total contract awards, with the second quarter seeing a 505 percent year-over-year growth, largely due to Saudi Aramco’s projects.  

“The oil and gas sector reached unprecedented levels, with $7.3 billion in Q2 alone,” Al-Wazir said. 

The real estate sector also showed strong growth, with an 8 percent year-over-year increase in contract values. Residential real estate remains a key focus, especially as the Kingdom moves closer to its 2030 goal of 70 percent homeownership. 

Water infrastructure saw a 26 percent year-over-year growth, with projects such as sewage plants in the Eastern Province contributing to the overall momentum. 

“There is no sign of a slowdown in these sectors,” he said, adding that the pace of contract awards is expected to remain strong. 

Regional overview 

Regional breakdowns showed that the Eastern Province remains the dominant hub for construction, accounting for 59 percent of total contract awards, driven primarily by oil and gas projects based there. 

Riyadh has also experienced growth, especially in the real estate sector, which accounted for 56 percent of contracts in the capital. Key projects include educational and healthcare infrastructure, such as the SR2.3 billion King Salman University project and the Diriyah Gate. 

Saudi Arabia’s investment surge in infrastructure is part of a broader strategy to build a sustainable and diversified economy. 

“The Kingdom is positioning itself as a diversified economic powerhouse with a thriving private sector that can sustain its economy and drive innovation,” Al-Wazir added. 

Urban transformation  

Saudi Arabia’s urban landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, shifting from a centralized model dominated by Riyadh and Jeddah to a polycentric approach, according to Elias Abou Samra, CEO of RAFAL Real Estate Development Co. 

“Economic activity is no longer clustered solely around traditional hubs. We’re seeing new nodes emerging in the south, such as the Red Sea as a tourist destination, NEOM in the northwest, and economic centers like Dammam and even the north,” Abou Samra said. 

These new urban nodes are being connected through advanced infrastructure, including high-speed railways and newly opened airports. 

This shift, Abou Samra noted, is creating new opportunities for investment and employment while boosting the competitiveness of industries like mining and electric vehicle production. 

“King Abdullah Economic City, for example, is leading in EV car production, and this is just one of many examples,” he added. 

Abou Samra also highlighted the Kingdom’s progress in human capital development. “Saudi Arabia created 1 million jobs in 2023, and we’re on track to break this record in 2024,” he noted, stressing that much of this growth is being driven by the private and quasi-governmental sectors. 

He further pointed out that Saudi Arabia has become an increasingly attractive destination for expatriates, particularly with initiatives like the premium residency program. 

“This program allows expats to invest in real estate and economic sectors through equity stakes, opening opportunities that were previously inaccessible,” he explained. 

While acknowledging the progress, Abou Samra pointed out areas where further improvements are needed, particularly in economic efficiency. 

“I’m not here just to paint a rosy picture, and we need to keep a close eye on economic growth and the efficiency of the economy. The short-run multiplier stands at 0.2 as we speak, and medium to long term, it peaks at 0.6. If we compare this to the G20 countries, we are lagging behind,” he said. 

Abou Samra added, “But the good news is that the government is very keen on improving the multiplier effect, and the efficiency of the public sector is increasing by the quarter, not to say, by the day. This is driven by new involvement by the youth in the public sector.”  

This comes as Saudi Arabia continues to prioritize both social and physical infrastructure development in alignment with Vision 2030. 

“These are really focal points that the Kingdom is addressing currently,” Al-Wazir said. 

Meanwhile, physical infrastructure projects serve as the backbone for developments across the country, requiring significant investment and resources.  

One example is Riyadh’s redevelopment under the Royal Commission for Riyadh City, which is heavily dependent on physical infrastructure support. 

Gross fixed capital formation, a measure of investment in infrastructure and assets, rose by 3.2 percent overall, with private sector contributions growing 5.3 percent. 

“We’re starting to see an inflection point where the private sector is growing its role, while government contributions have declined by 8 percent year-over-year,” Al-Wazir said. 

The Kingdom’s emphasis on fostering public-private partnerships and attracting foreign direct investment is expected to reshape its business landscape. 

“Bolstered public-private partnerships and FDI are likely to foster a more dynamic private sector, driving innovation in technology, urban planning, and renewable energy,” Al-Wazir added. 

The executive reaffirmed the trajectory of Saudi Arabia’s construction sector, noting that the Kingdom is on track to meet many of its Vision 2030 targets, driven by record-breaking investments and an expanding private sector role. 


Saudi local content projects valued at $213bn by Q3 2024, says Alkhorayef

Updated 20 November 2024
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Saudi local content projects valued at $213bn by Q3 2024, says Alkhorayef

JEDDAH: The value of projects under Saudi Arabia’s local content initiatives has reached approximately SR800 billion ($213 billion) by the third quarter of 2024, according to the Kingdom’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources, Bandar Alkhorayef.

Speaking at the ongoing second edition of the Local Content Forum in Riyadh, themed “Partnerships for Sustainable Growth,” Alkhorayef revealed that Saudi Arabia’s share of local content in government procurement has increased from 33 percent in 2020 to 47 percent by the third quarter of 2024.

The minister, who also serves as chairman of the Local Content and Government Procurement Authority, added that the authority has focused on encouraging target sectors to adopt and prioritize local content, improving governance in government procurement processes, and enhancing efficiency in this area.

Established in 2018, the LCGPA is responsible for developing and overseeing policies and regulations, fostering local opportunities, promoting transparency, and utilizing national purchasing power. In collaboration with both public and private sectors, its mission is to strengthen local content in the national economy and improve government procurement processes.

The second edition of the forum builds on the success of the first, offering new opportunities for knowledge exchange, experience sharing, and raising awareness about the enablers, mechanisms, and policies of local content.

During his speech, Alkhorayef emphasized the critical role of the LCGPA in advancing local content, which he described as a cornerstone of Saudi Vision 2030.

He highlighted local content as both a brilliant concept and a key innovation introduced by Vision 2030. Alkhorayef noted that local content has received consistent attention since its inception, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman underscoring its national importance in his meetings.

The initiative has now become integral to national strategies and government actions, receiving recognition at local, regional, and international levels.

The minister further stated that the authority’s success is a result of a shared belief in the importance of local content. To maximize its impact, the authority has established and activated over 380 local content teams across various entities to ensure proper implementation and compliance with policies.

Alkhorayef also mentioned that the authority has supported national factories by adding 1,100 new products to the mandatory list, directing nearly SR87 billion in national spending toward local products from early 2022 through Q3 2024.

Additionally, the number of factories producing items on the mandatory list has increased by 1,437, reaching a total of approximately 6,100, an 8 percent growth rate—surpassing the 5 percent growth rate of all factories in the Kingdom. This growth has generated over 42,000 new job opportunities in the past three years, supporting the Kingdom’s efforts to empower national talent and create sustainable employment.

Alkhorayef also highlighted the authority’s success in signing 50 agreements to localize industries and transfer knowledge in key sectors such as transportation, logistics, medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, and water. These agreements are expected to contribute over SR47 billion to the country’s gross domestic product.

The minister emphasized that the benefits of local content extend beyond economic outcomes, contributing to stronger local capabilities, enhanced national security against global challenges, improved supply chain resilience, and increased foreign investment and technology transfer to the Saudi market.

He reiterated that achieving the shared national goal of advancing local content requires the collective effort of all sectors, affirming that the LCGPA is working at an accelerated pace with national entities to realize this goal and fulfill the Kingdom’s aspirations.

In his address during the forum, Faisal Al-Ibrahim, minister of planning and economy, emphasized the importance of knowledge transfer for local content.

He remarked: “Today we may produce a simple product, but tomorrow there will be multiple simple products, and over time, more complex products will be built on them. This accumulated knowledge sustains long-term economic diversification.”

Al-Ibrahim noted that Saudi Vision 2030’s core objective is to diversify economic growth by fostering an environment conducive to developing competitive products and services for global markets. He emphasized that local content is essential for the economy’s resilience and its ability to address future challenges.

In a panel discussion titled “Future Directions of Local Content in the Context of Saudi Vision 2030,” Al-Ibrahim explained that increasing exports will help diversify sources of growth, aiming for expansion beyond oil and public finances. This strategy will drive private sector growth, support small and medium-sized businesses, and create sustainable jobs.

Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih also participated in the forum, asserting that the Saudi economy “should be, and is, part of an integrated global economy.”

He noted that globalization is here to stay, despite evolving supply chain dynamics and country-to-country connections. Al-Falih stressed that Saudi Arabia is targeting foreign investment to reach 5.7 percent of the total economy, aiming for a market worth over SR6 trillion by 2030, equating to nearly SR388 billion in investment.

Highlighting the local economy’s importance, Al-Falih pointed out that Saudi Aramco has become a global hub for knowledge and technology transfer. He also noted SABIC’s success in building a vast petrochemical industry in Saudi Arabia through partnerships with foreign investors and mentioned Ma’aden’s expanding global presence.

Ahmed Al-Zahrani, assistant minister of energy for development and excellence, discussed the role of the country’s energy sector localization committee, chaired by Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and deputized by Alkhorayef.

Al-Zahrani emphasized the committee’s mission to promote localization and ensure stable supply chains within the energy sector. He highlighted a research and development program in collaboration with over 14 government and private entities, including Aramco, ACWA Power, SABIC, and several universities.

The goal, he said, is to ensure the sustainability of localization from research and development through innovation to the final product.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,867 

Updated 20 November 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,867 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index declined on Wednesday, shedding 7.99 points, or 0.07 percent, to close at 11,867.92.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.78 billion ($1.27 billion) with 88 of the listed stocks advancing, while 141 declined.  

Saudi Arabia’s parallel market Nomu, however, gained by 0.98 percent to 29,859.11.  

The MSCI Tadawul Index marginally slipped 0.49 points to close at 1,491.34. 

The best-performing stock of the day was Al-Baha Investment and Development Co., with its share price increasing by 7.14 percent to SR0.30.  

Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co.’s share price rose by 8.29 percent to SR14.10, while Development Works Food Co.’s stock surged by 6.85 percent to SR131. 

Conversely, Saudi Chemical Co. recorded the biggest drop, falling 2.90 percent to SR9.71. 

On the parallel market, the top performer was Dar Almarkabah for Renting Cars Co., with its share price surging 15.45 percent to SR50.80. 

Saudi Investment Bank announced the launch of its US-denominated additional tier 1 capital sustainable sukuk under its sukuk program. 

In a statement to Tadawul, the bank revealed the appointment of Alistithmar for Financial Securities and Brokerage Co., Citigroup Global Markets Limited, HSBC Bank, and JP Morgan Securities as joint lead managers.  

It also appointed Goldman Sachs International, MUFG Securities EMEA plc, Arqaam Capital Limited, and Standard Chartered Bank as bookrunners. 

The offering, available to eligible investors in Saudi Arabia and internationally, commenced on Nov. 20 and is scheduled to close on Nov. 21. 

With a minimum subscription of $200,000, the sukuk will be perpetual and callable after five years. 

Saudi Investment Bank’s share price rose 2.65 percent to SR13.58. 

Knowledge Tower Trading Co. has announced a board resolution to transfer from the parallel market to the main market, subject to market approval and fulfillment of all regulatory requirements.  

Following the announcement, the company’s share price saw a significant increase of 7.20 percent, closing at SR10.90