Consumers face tough Ramadan as weekly inflation hits all-time high of 46.65 percent in Pakistan

Muslim devotees buy Iftar food at a market before breaking their fast on the first day of the holy month of Ramadan, in Lahore on March 23, 2023. (AFP/FILE)
Short Url
Updated 26 March 2023
Follow

Consumers face tough Ramadan as weekly inflation hits all-time high of 46.65 percent in Pakistan

  • Prices of most essential commodities have more than doubled since last year amid currency depreciation, global price hike
  • Financial expert say food-price inflation is ‘crushing’ Pakistan’s low-income citizens who now spend more to feed their families

KARACHI: The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) announced on Friday weekly inflation reached 46.65 percent on an annual basis during the ongoing week, indicating an unprecedented price hike experienced by low- and middle-income consumers across the country during the holy month of Ramadan.

According to official statistics, the price of onions on an annual basis has increased by 228.28 percent while people have to spend 120.66 percent more to buy wheat flour. The price of tea has also gone up by 94.60 percent, bananas by 89.84 percent, rice by 81.51 percent, and potatoes by 57.21 percent.

The PBS statistics reveal that a 20-kilogram bag of flour, one of the most commonly consumed commodities, has witnessed an increase in price from Rs1,817 to Rs2,586. The flour bag was available for Rs1,172 last year in March.

According to analysts, inflation has escalated further due to a number of factors, including rising demand for food items in Ramadan and depreciation of Pakistan’s national currency.

“This is the highest ever weekly surge in inflation measured by the sensitive price index,” Samiullah Tariq, research director at the Pakistan-Kuwait Investment Company, told Arab News. “Ramadan demand, currency depreciation, and commodities price hike in the international market are key factors that have contributed to historically high inflation.”

Pakistani consumers complain they have been spending bigger chunks of their income on food items in recent months.

“I spend more than half of my salary on food to feed my family,” Muhammad Zeeshan, a private office worker, said. “All my income vanishes before the end of the month once I pay my house rent and utility bills, etc.”

Inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index more than doubled since March last year when it was recorded at 12.7 percent and reached 31.5 percent last month. The high inflation has particularly bothered the salaried class which depends on a fixed income.

“Inflation is a key indicator of the state of a country’s economy,” Dr. Khaqan Najeeb, former adviser to the finance ministry, told Arab News on Friday. “Pakistan’s economy is suffering from the harmful effects of inflationary pressure which is negatively impacting the economic lives of citizens and businesses alike.”

“Rising prices have hit households globally,” he continued. “However, they have a more pronounced impact on Pakistan since the country is heavily dependent on imports like petroleum products, edible oil, machinery, food, vehicles, mobiles, and industrial raw materials.”




Muslim devotees buy dates at a market before breaking their fast on the first day of the holy month of Ramadan, in Lahore on March 23, 2023. (AFP/File)

Najeeb said Pakistan’s low-income groups were primarily impacted by spiraling food inflation.

“Food-price inflation is crushing Pakistan’s low-income citizens who spend more than half of their incomes to feed their families,” he said. “Low agricultural productivity and the problem of regulated energy prices are two key domestic drivers of inflation in our economy.”

Some people complain about a lack of administrative will to control the prices of food items and other products, pointing out that consumers also suffer when profiteers charge higher rates.

However, the administration of Pakistan’s southern Sindh province says it has taken steps to deal with the issue by promulgating an ordinance that empowers officials from various government departments to check market prices.

“With the enforcement of the ordinance, the relevant department has been empowered to take action against profiteers,” Abdul Rasheed Channa, spokesperson for the province’s chief minister, told Arab News.

“The relevant departments will ensure that goods are being sold at the official rates,” he added. “The teams will raid markets, and the results will be visible in the next couple of days.”

As per a Sindh government notification released on Friday, officials from different departments will inspect the food quality, impose monetary fines, and shut down the businesses of offenders.


Pakistani stocks surge sharply on IMF optimism, hopes of easing India-Pakistan standoff

Updated 8 sec ago
Follow

Pakistani stocks surge sharply on IMF optimism, hopes of easing India-Pakistan standoff

  • The benchmark KSE-100 index rose 3,647.82 points, or 3.52 percent, to close at 107,541.45
  • India-Pakistan tensions triggered about 12 percent market decline between April 23 and May 8

KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) rebounded sharply on Friday, climbing over 3,500 points, as investor sentiment improved ahead of an International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board meeting and what some analysts described as easing tensions between Pakistan and India.

The benchmark KSE-100 index recovered 3,647.82 points, or 3.52 percent, closing at 107,541.45, after a historic plunge of 6,482 points on Thursday, the largest single-day drop in the index’s history, triggered by fears of an escalating conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbors.

"The recovery was on account of optimism on IMF Executive Board meeting scheduled to consider Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, where market expects smooth approval," Topline Market Review said after the end of trading. "Overall decline in cross border hostilities also provided stimulus to investor sentiment."

The EFF, a $7 billion loan program secured by Pakistan in September last year, is aimed at stabilizing the country's economy through structural reforms and fiscal consolidation.

While Pakistan’s authorities say macroeconomic indicators have improved in recent months, they view the IMF support as critical for sustaining gains and transitioning toward growth.

Some analysts also linked the improved investor confidence to what they described as a gradually easing geopolitical situation between India and Pakistan.

"Stocks staged sharp recovery as investor eye de-escalation in Pakistan-India tensions after US appeal for end to violence," Ahsan Mehanti, the Chief Executive Officer of Arif Habib Commodities, told Arab News.

Raza Jafri, the head of Intermarket Securities, said any de-escalation could extend the positive stock market trend.

"Institutional value buying, especially in blue-chip high dividend yielding stocks, saw the KSE100 rebound today," he added.

Tensions between India and Pakistan spiked this week after New Delhi launched missile strikes on multiple locations in Pakistan, blaming Islamabad for a deadly April 22 attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that killed 26 tourists. Pakistan has denied involvement.

The crisis triggered a 12 percent decline in the Pakistani market from April 23 to May 8.

The geopolitical unrest posed a major challenge for Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s efforts to stabilize the economy, which depends on a number of factors including increased foreign investment, exports and revenue generation.


Pakistan’s remittances hit record $31.2 billion in current fiscal year, led by Saudi inflows

Updated 09 May 2025
Follow

Pakistan’s remittances hit record $31.2 billion in current fiscal year, led by Saudi inflows

  • PM Sharif praises overseas Pakistanis for supporting the country’s economic recovery
  • Central bank projects remittances to reach $38 billion by end of current fiscal year

KARACHI: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Friday lauded the contribution of overseas Pakistanis as workers’ remittances surged to a record $31.2 billion during the first ten months of the current fiscal year, with Saudi Arabia emerging as the top source of inflows.

According to data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), remittances rose by 30.9 percent during July-April FY25 compared to $23.9 billion received in the same period last year.

In April alone, Pakistan received $3.2 billion, showing a 13.1 percent year-on-year increase. The inflows were mainly sourced from Saudi Arabia ($725.4 million), United Arab Emirates ($657.6 million), United Kingdom ($535.3 million) and the United States ($302.4 million).

“Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif expressed satisfaction over a 31 percent increase in remittances during the first 10 months of fiscal year 2025 compared to the previous year,” a statement issued by his office said.

“Remittances reaching a record level is a reflection of the confidence of overseas Pakistanis in government policies,” it quoted him as saying.

Remittances form a vital pillar of Pakistan’s external sector, helping stabilize the current account, fueling domestic consumption and easing the country’s reliance on external borrowing.

Earlier this year, in March, the SBP recorded an all-time monthly high of $4.1 billion in remittance inflows, driven by seasonal factors and improved formal channel usage.

Pakistan has focused on boosting exports and remittances in recent years as part of broader efforts to strengthen its external sector and address economic vulnerabilities.

The central bank has also revised its FY25 remittance projection upward from $36 billion to $38 billion, citing current trends.
 


Saudi minister arrives in Islamabad amid India-Pakistan tensions following New Delhi visit

Updated 09 May 2025
Follow

Saudi minister arrives in Islamabad amid India-Pakistan tensions following New Delhi visit

  • Adel Al-Jubeir is expected to meet Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and General Asim Munir during the visit
  • US Secretary of State Marco Rubio contacted the Saudi authorities this week to discuss regional de-escalation

ISLAMABAD: Saudi Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Adel Al-Jubeir arrived in Islamabad on Friday after a visit to New Delhi, as tensions between nuclear-armed India and Pakistan continue to escalate.

Al-Jubeir’s visit follows India’s military strikes inside Pakistan in response to a gun attack in the disputed region of Kashmir that left 26 tourists dead, with New Delhi blaming Islamabad for the incident, though Pakistani authorities repeatedly denied any involvement.

With the two archrivals teetering on the edge of a full-scale war, the United States announced on Thursday that Secretary of State Marco Rubio had discussed regional de-escalation with Saudi officials. The same day, Al-Jubeir also made a surprise stop in New Delhi for talks with Indian officials.

“Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Senator Mohammad Ishaq Dar will receive Saudi Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Adel Al-Jubeir at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs today,” said an official statement prior to the Saudi official’s arrival in Islamabad.

State media later broadcast visuals of Al-Jubeir disembarking from his aircraft in Islamabad.

According to Pakistan’s Geo News, the Saudi minister is expected to meet with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff General Asim Munir during his visit.

While the Pakistani government has not officially disclosed the purpose of Al-Jubeir’s visit, it is anticipated that discussions will focus on the ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan, as well as other issues of mutual interest.

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan share close diplomatic and strategic relations.

The Kingdom has extended significant support to Pakistan during its prolonged economic challenges in recent years, including external financing and assistance with International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan programs.

Saudi Arabia has also contributed to global peacemaking efforts by hosting talks and mediating prisoner exchanges between Russia and Ukraine.


India’s clash with Pakistan sees use of Chinese missiles, French jets, Israeli drones, and more

Updated 09 May 2025
Follow

India’s clash with Pakistan sees use of Chinese missiles, French jets, Israeli drones, and more

  • Claims on exactly what was hit in latest standoff and where have differed widely, with neither side releasing many specific details
  • Making ongoing conflict even more confusing, the Internet has been “flooded with disinformation, false claims and multimedia 

BANGKOK: India’s missile and bomb strikes on targets in Pakistan and Azad Kashmir have spiked tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbors, with Pakistan’s leader calling the attacks an act of war.

Claims on exactly what was hit and where have differed widely, with neither India nor Pakistan releasing many specific details. 

Making the ongoing conflict even more confusing, the Internet has been “flooded with disinformation, false claims, and manipulated photos and videos,” the Soufan Center think tank said in a research note Friday.

“This information warfare is compounded by both sides’ commitment to save face,” it said.

Still, some information can be gleaned from official statements and paired with what is known to gain greater insight into the clash:

Pakistan says it shot down 5 Indian planes involved in the attack

People look at a fuel tank of an aircraft in Wuyan, near Srinagar, on May 7, 2025. (AFP)

Hours after India’s attack early Wednesday, in retaliation for last month’s massacre of tourists in Indian-controlled Kashmir, Pakistan’s military spokesperson Lt. Gen. Ahmed Sharif claimed that the Pakistan air force had shot down five Indian attack aircraft: three French-made Rafales, a Russian-made SU30MKI and a Russian-made MiG-29.

He said that Pakistan’s air force suffered no casualties, and that all of its aircraft returned safely to base.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif repeated the claim, saying that the Pakistan air force had the opportunity to shoot down 10 Indian planes, but exercised restraint and downed only the five that had fired on Pakistani targets.

He told Parliament that overall 80 Indian planes had been involved in the attack.

India, meantime, has not acknowledged any losses, though debris from three aircraft came down in at least three areas.

Did it happen that way?

India does have all three types of jets among its more-than 700 combat capable fighter aircraft, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ Military Balance report.

All three aircraft are fighters with the capability of carrying bombs or missiles for ground attacks.

Pakistan and India have both said that their planes did not leave their home airspace, suggesting that if Pakistan’s account is accurate, rather than a dogfight in the skies over Kashmir, Pakistani pilots fired multiple air-to-air missiles over a long distance to take down Indian planes.

Presuming India fired back, even though Pakistan said none of its planes were hit, the aerial skirmish would have been quite the show. But there have been no eyewitness reports of it or video to emerge on social media.

What is known for sure is that Indian planes were in the air and attacked at least nine targets, and that debris from three has been found.

It’s also plausible that Pakistan used surface to air missiles to hit Indian planes — which the war in Ukraine has shown to be very effective and would not have meant risking any of its own planes.

Pakistan has a wide range of such missiles, primarily Chinese-made.

Test of Chinese tech?

People gather in front of the shattered glasses of a restaurant outside the Rawalpindi cricket stadium after an alleged drone was shot down in Rawalpindi on May 8, 2025. (AFP)

Pakistan’s air force includes American-made F-16s, the French Mirage, and the new Chinese-built J-10C, as well as the Chinese JF-17, which was developed jointly with Pakistan.

In addition to American air-to-air missiles, Pakistan also has several Chinese products in its arsenal, including the PL-12 and PL-15, both of which can be used to fire at targets beyond visual range.

Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar told lawmakers it was the J-10C that shot down the Indian aircraft, raising the likelihood that Chinese-built missiles were also employed.

“It’s interesting that Pakistan is saying it is using Chinese jets that it has imported from China to shoot down Indian aircraft,” said Lisa Curtis, director of the Indo-Pacific security program at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank.

In 2019, during the rivals’ previous military confrontation, “it was a Pakistani F-16 provided by the United States that was used to shoot down an Indian aircraft,” Curtis said in a conference call. “It’s interesting to see that Pakistan is relying more on its Chinese equipment than it did six years ago.”

The news convinced traders with shares in AVIC Chengdu Aircraft, which builds both the J-10C and J-17, to post large gains Wednesday and Thursday on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.

Meanwhile, the stock of Dassault Aviation, the maker of the Rafale jet, which is among those Pakistan claims to have shot down, dropped sharply on Wednesday on the Paris Stock Exchange, though had recovered by close on Thursday.

What else is known?

India hasn’t talked about what assets were involved in the attacks. The Indian Defense Ministry said that the strikes targeted at least nine sites “where terrorist attacks against India have been planned.”

Pakistan, meantime, has said 31 civilians were killed, including women and children, in Pakistan-administered Kashmir and the country’s Punjab province, and that buildings hit included two mosques.

India did show video of eight of the strikes at a briefing on Wednesday. four in Pakistan-controlled Kashmir and four in Pakistan.

Both sides have talked about missile strikes, but it was clear from the video that bombs were also dropped on some targets, possibly from drones. In addition to claiming the five Indian aircraft shot down, Pakistan also said it downed an unspecified number of drones on Wednesday.

Indian officials said the strikes were precision attacks, and from the videos shown, it did appear that specific areas of installations were targeted with individual missiles or bombs, rather than widespread areas.

What happened next?

India sent multiple attack drones into Pakistan on Thursday, with Pakistan claiming to have shot down 29 of them.

The drones were identified as Israeli-made Harop, one of several in India’s inventory.

One drone damaged a military site near the city of Lahore and wounded four soldiers, and another hit the city of Rawalpindi, which is right next to the capital Islamabad., according to the Pakistani army.

India did not deny sending drones, but the Defense Ministry said its armed forces “targeted air defense radars and systems” in several places in Pakistan, including Lahore. It did not comment on the claims of 29 being shot down.

India similarly did not comment on Pakistani claims to have killed 50-60 soldiers in exchanges along the Line of Control, though it did say one of its soldiers was killed by shelling on Wednesday.

Pakistani Information Minister Attaullah Tarar, meantime, denied Indian accusations that Pakistan had fired missiles toward the Indian city of Amritsar, saying in fact an Indian drone fell in the city.


Indian state encouraging ‘disinformation’ to create pretext for aggression against Pakistan — FO

Updated 09 May 2025
Follow

Indian state encouraging ‘disinformation’ to create pretext for aggression against Pakistan — FO

  • Wave of online disinformation risks further inflaming passions, escalating India-Pakistan conflict in an electronic fog of war
  • Indian media outlets have in past 24 hours claimed Delhi damaged Pakistan’s main port in Karachi, captured Pakistani capital

ISLAMABAD: The foreign office on Friday accused the Indian state of encouraging “disinformation” by its media to create a pretext for further aggression toward Pakistan and “exploit misinformation for political and military ends.”

As hostilities rose this week between India and Pakistan and they engaged in the worst fighting in decades, a wave of online disinformation on both sides is risking further inflaming passions and escalating the conflict in an electronic fog of war.

On May 6, multiple Indian news channels uploaded a widely shared video from Gaza showing a series of massive explosions and people running helter-skelter, with captions claiming it was footage of Indian air strikes against Pakistani targets.

Even India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party shared a collage of nine videos on May 7, claiming they were of India’s strikes on Pakistan. Boom, an Indian fact-checking organization, found that the first clip was from Iran’s October 2024 strikes on Israel and the third was from Israel’s air strikes on Gaza from October 2023.

Indian media outlets have over the past 24 hours claimed that Delhi has damaged or destroyed Pakistan’s main port in Karachi, captured the Pakistani capital of Islamabad and militants had taken over the southwestern city of Quetta. India media has also said Pakistan attacked multiple locations in parts of Indian-administered Kashmir and mainland India, reports Islamabad has rejected as “reckless.”

“The conduct of Indian media last night [Thursday] was extremely irresponsible and jingoistic, and frankly, disinformation is one thing, but the conduct of Indian media yesterday was indeed farcical, encouraged by the Indian state,” the foreign office spokesman said in a weekly press briefing. 

“Repeated pattern of leveling accusations against Pakistan without any credible investigation reflects a deliberate strategy to manufacture a pretext for aggression and to further destabilize the region. Such actions not only further endanger regional peace but also reveal a disturbing willingness to exploit misinformation for political and military ends.”

7mUBkokhWqE-cD0ipTW0" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen>

There has been misinformation on the Pakistani side too. After India said it had struck ‘terror camps’ at nine sites inside Pakistan, a years-old video resurfaced on social media that falsely claimed it depicted explosions at an Indian ammunition depot targeted by Pakistani forces. The footage has in fact appeared in news reports about a fire near an army garrison in the Pakistani city of Sialkot in March 2022. 

Social media users also shared an old clip falsely claiming it showed wreckage of an Indian warplane shot down by Pakistani troops. The video showed a fighter jet that crashed in western India after its pilots reported a technical snag.

A division of the Pakistani Economy Ministry denied Friday that it had appealed to its international partners “for more loans after heavy losses inflected by enemy” in a now-deleted post on X. Officials said the account had been hacked.

Meanwhile, New Delhi ordered X to block over 8,000 accounts in India, subject to potential penalties including significant fines and imprisonment of the company’s local employees.

“The orders include demands to block access in India to accounts belonging to international news organizations and prominent X users,” X’s Global Government Affairs team said on its account, adding it was unable to publish the executive orders at this time due to “legal restrictions.”

“The Indian government has not specified which posts from an account have violated India’s local laws. For a significant number of accounts, we did not receive any evidence or justification to block the accounts.”

The platform said it disagreed with the Indian government’s demands, describing the blockade of accounts as “contrary to the fundamental right of free speech.”

“X is exploring all possible legal avenues available to the company,” it said. “We encourage all users who are impacted by these blocking orders to seek appropriate relief from the courts.”

– With inputs from AFP and Reuters