World Bank chief sees $100bn-plus lending boost from capital moves 

The bank is also examining other ways to expand lending, including providing more loan guarantees, lending against callable capital that is pledged but not paid-in, and special bonds that can serve as hybrid capital. Photo/Shutterstock
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Updated 27 September 2023
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World Bank chief sees $100bn-plus lending boost from capital moves 

RIYADH: World Bank Group President Ajay Banga on Tuesday said proposed new contributions from wealthy countries combined with balance sheet changes could boost the bank’s lending capacity by $100 billion to $125 billion over a decade. 

Banga told a Council on Foreign Relations event that the contributions would come outside the bank’s normal shareholding structure and regular country contributions to the International Development Association fund for the poorest countries. 

They would include US President Joe Biden’s proposed $2.25 billion supplemental budget request for the World Bank, along with expected contributions from Germany, Japan, South Korea, Saudi Arabia and Nordic countries, he said. 

“I believe that if all this goes through, including the US, we could raise somewhere between $100 billion and $125 billion of extra lending capacity in the bank, which is pretty good. Not enough, but good,” Banga said. 

The total increase he described would include measures now underway to stretch the bank’s balance sheet, such as a leverage ratio increase agreed in April that would yield $50 billion in new lending over 10 years, a World Bank spokesperson said later. 

The bank is also examining other ways to expand lending, including providing more loan guarantees, lending against callable capital that is pledged but not paid-in, and special bonds that can serve as hybrid capital. 

MISSION SHIFT 

Banga said he expected shareholders at the World Bank’s annual meetings in Marrakech, Morocco, in October to formally adopt a new vision statement that expands its role beyond reducing poverty and promoting shared prosperity to incorporate global challenges such as climate, pandemics, food insecurity and fragility. 

“I think the twin goals have to change to being the elimination of poverty. But on a livable planet,” he said, adding that he expects support from all shareholders. 

Banga said that he has not yet held any discussions with the US and China regarding a general capital increase and changes to the bank's shareholding structure. 

China, India and Brazil got larger shareholdings in the bank in a 2018 capital increase and would likely want more say in a future capital increase, Banga said. 

The former MasterCard CEO, who took over the World Bank’s top job in June, has said he wants to build a “better bank” — increasing its urgency, focusing it on high-impact, replicable projects and expanding beyond its anti-poverty mission — before seeking a general capital increase from shareholders.  

He told the CFR event that he was impressed by the dedication and talents of the bank's staff, but its organizational structure was “dysfunctional,” holding it back. 

Asked about the legacy of his presidency, Banga said: “I'm going to fix the plumbing ... I want people to say when I’m gone, that I left the bank working much better than what I got it.” 

CAPITAL NEEDS 

Banga said G20 countries will struggle to agree with an experts’ report commissioned by the group that calls for a massive capital infusion into the World Bank and other multilateral development banks to help finance the $3 trillion in annual spending needed by 2030 for climate adaptation, resilience and mitigation. 

But he said the bank’s resources, even with moves to stretch its balance sheet, are woefully inadequate, with paid-in capital of just $22.6 billion for the World Bank’s International Bank for Reconstruction and Development over its 78-year history. 

“That is a pimple on a dimple on an ant’s left cheek compared to what we need in the world,” Banga said. 

Banga said that deeper conversations were needed on the World Bank's future funding, but added that he would “not try and put an idealistic number out there” for the size of a future capital increase. 


UAE’s economic resilience to continue in 2025

Updated 11 sec ago
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UAE’s economic resilience to continue in 2025

JEDDAH: Despite ongoing regional challenges, the UAE is expected to maintain strong economic resilience in 2025, fueled by robust consumer spending, record-breaking foreign direct investment, and successful diversification efforts, according to a new industry report.

The UAE’s strategic position as a global trade hub connecting Europe, Africa, and Asia, along with its status as a prime real estate destination, continues to drive its growth trajectory.

The report, from FOREX.com, a subsidiary of StoneX Group Inc., a global US-based financial services firm, emphasizes that these factors will help sustain the country’s economic momentum.

One key indicator of this resilience is the UAE’s thriving real estate market. In October, the country saw a record 19,390 residential transactions, bringing the year-to-date total to 140,000 units — an increase of 36 percent compared to the previous year.

“The UAE is on track to maintain robust economic growth in 2025, with GDP growth forecasts ranging from 6.2 percent by the Central Bank of the UAE, 5.1 percent by the International Monetary Fund, and 4.1 percent by the World Bank,” said Razan Hilal, market analyst and chartered market technician at FOREX.com.

Hilal further noted that inflation in the UAE has been steadily decreasing, dropping to 2.4 percent year on year in October, the slowest pace since August 2023.

“With the Federal Reserve’s ongoing monetary easing, mirrored by the Central Bank of the UAE, interest rates are expected to decline further, which should help stimulate economic growth in 2025,” she added.

While the outlook remains positive, the report does acknowledge potential risks stemming from local, regional, and global factors. These include pressures on oil revenues due to falling oil prices, challenges from oversupply risks from non-OPEC countries, and the economic slowdown in China.

On the global stage, China’s anticipated shift to a more accommodative monetary policy in 2025 — the first such move since 2011 — could stabilize demand.

Meanwhile, the UAE’s non-oil sectors, aligned with the country’s ambitious D33 Agenda, are expected to continue driving economic expansion. These sectors include trade, tourism, and technology, with the UAE aiming for foreign trade worth 25.6 trillion dirhams ($6.97 trillion) and FDI inflows of 60 billion dirhams annually by 2033.

Hilal also highlighted that Dubai’s role as a global innovation hub will be further reinforced by initiatives like the 2030 artificial intelligence and sustainable development strategies, along with the launch of “Sandbox Dubai,” which aims to foster the testing and commercialization of new technologies. These efforts will strengthen Dubai’s leadership in technological advancements and further fuel the UAE’s economic growth.

The report also touched on the potential impact of a future US presidential term under Donald Trump, predicting that fiscal spending, tax cuts, a stronger US dollar, and rising geopolitical uncertainties could have mixed effects. While US stock indices have reached record highs in anticipation of Trump’s policies, the UAE’s MSCI index is also nearing its 2024 peaks.

However, these market gains remain vulnerable to volatility, particularly given the increasing geopolitical tensions and potential disruptions in global trade caused by Trump’s policies, tariffs, and regional decisions.

Furthermore, gold prices are expected to remain crucial in 2025, with potential gains reflecting heightened demand for safe haven assets amid global uncertainties.

This presents a challenge for the UAE, which must navigate these global economic and political risks while maintaining its status as a regional safe haven.

In conclusion, the report emphasizes that staying attuned to global political and economic developments will be vital for shaping an accurate perspective on the UAE's financial performance in the years ahead.


Egypt cuts fuel consumption by 6.04%, saving $23.6m monthly

Updated 4 min 16 sec ago
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Egypt cuts fuel consumption by 6.04%, saving $23.6m monthly

JEDDAH: Egypt has cut fuel consumption by 6.04 percent, resulting in monthly savings of 1.2 billion Egyptian pounds ($23.6 million) while advancing its green energy goals for sustainability and efficiency.

In collaboration with the private sector, fuel use was cut from 182 grams per kilowatt-hour to 171 g/kWh, the country’s Minister of Electricity and Renewable Energy Mahmoud Esmat revealed.

The move reflects Egypt’s commitment to focusing on renewable sources and decreasing its dependence on fossil fuels, alongside a drive to enhance efficiency by upgrading networks and lighting systems, promoting energy-saving devices among citizens, and providing incentives for the private sector.

Speaking at the Energy Transition and Sustainable Development conference on behalf of Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, Esmat emphasized ongoing efforts to integrate renewable energy capacity and battery storage systems into the national grid.

Esmat added that his ministry is actively implementing a strategy with concrete action plans to maximize the utilization of renewable energy resources. He also highlighted that the strategy aims for a 42 percent renewable energy contribution to the overall energy mix by 2030 and 60 percent by 2040 through partnerships with the private sector.

He emphasized the government’s support for local manufacturing, particularly in electrical equipment for renewable energy, including the localization of modern technologies to improve efficiency, reduce losses, and enhance the quality of domestically produced goods to ensure their competitiveness in the global market.

According to Esmat, this reduces the burden on traditional fuels, eases pressure on foreign currency reserves, and curtails carbon emissions.

Addressing the conference, organized by the Al-Ahram Foundation to discuss the present and future strategies of Egypt’s electricity and renewable energy sector, Esmat emphasized the significance of the event, highlighting its focus on the connection between energy and development.

The minister reaffirmed Egypt’s commitment to the peaceful use of nuclear energy, calling it a key element in achieving the country’s Vision 2030. 

He pointed to the El-Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant as an example of a strategic national project that will contribute to sustainable development by meeting the growing electricity demand and enhancing security.

Esmat also outlined efforts to stabilize the national grid, including the transition to a smart grid with remote monitoring and control. He reiterated the country’s commitment to sustainability by reducing reliance on traditional energy sources, increasing renewable energy capacity, and incorporating battery storage through public-private partnerships.

The minister stressed the importance of electrical interconnection projects, highlighting existing links with Jordan, Sudan, and Libya, as well as a new interconnection with Saudi Arabia that allows for the exchange of up to 3,000 megawatts, leveraging varying peak demand periods. 

He added that the interconnection with Italy and Greece will position Egypt as a vital energy bridge between Africa and Europe.

He also detailed plans to improve the sector’s operational quality and efficiency by managing resources, maximizing returns, and enhancing the sustainability of electricity supply. This includes reducing technical and commercial losses, boosting performance, ensuring adequate service, and addressing electricity theft.

Esmat concluded by stating that the time has come for private investment to play a key role in electricity generation and distribution. He highlighted the importance of knowledge sharing, capacity building, and training for personnel to improve efficiency and productivity.


Saudi Arabia’s economy to expand by 3.7% in 2025: Mastercard Economics Institute

Updated 17 December 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s economy to expand by 3.7% in 2025: Mastercard Economics Institute

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product is expected to grow 3.7 percent in 2025, driven by a rise in the Kingdom’s non-oil activities, according to an analysis. 

In its latest report, Mastercard Economics Institute said Saudi Arabia’s rapid expansion of its GDP will outperform the projected global average, which is estimated at 3.2 percent in 2025. 

The Kingdom’s robust growth in the non-oil sector signifies the nation’s steadily progressing economic diversification journey aimed at reducing reliance on crude revenues. 

According to the analysis, Saudi Arabia’s projected economic growth in 2025 is higher than that of major players, including the US, Germany, and Japan, as well as the UK, France, and Australia. 

“With robust non-oil economic activity and continued investments aligned with Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia is set to maintain its strong growth trajectory, outpacing global markets,” said Khatija Haque, chief economist of Mastercard for the Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa region. 

She added: “As we move into 2025, a year shaped by evolving fiscal and monetary policies, the Kingdom’s diversification efforts and supportive economic reforms will solidify its position as a key driver of regional economic expansion. These structural shifts will continue to redefine economic landscapes, charting new pathways for sustainable growth.”

In November, a report released by the International Monetary Fund projected that Saudi Arabia’s economy is expected to remain resilient, with the Kingdom’s GDP set to expand by 1.5 percent and 4.6 percent in 2024 and 2025, respectively. 

In September, another study released by credit-rating agency S&P Global said that Saudi Arabia’s GDP will expand by 1.4 percent in 2024 before accelerating to 5.3 percent in 2025. 

The Mastercard analysis revealed economic diversification efforts in the Kingdom will continue in 2025 as the government leverages strong balance sheets to finance investment in infrastructure. 

The report added that private sector investments should also benefit from lower interest rates, supporting employment and domestic consumption. 

Regionally, the tourism sector is expected to remain a bright spot for the economies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region.

“The GCC’s strong push to develop its tourism offerings has positioned it as one of the fastest-growing destinations in the world. In addition, the strength of the region’s US dollar-pegged currencies is fueling the demand for outbound travel,” said Mastercard Economics Institute. 

Steady inflation levels

The Mastercard Economics Institute further projected that Saudi Arabia’s inflation is expected to stay at a healthy level of 2 percent in 2025, while consumer spending in the Kingdom is projected to expand by 4.5 percent. 

Earlier this month, a report released by Saudi Arabia’s General Authority for Statistics revealed that the Kingdom’s annual inflation rate reached 2 percent in November compared to the same month in 2023. 

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate is one of the lowest in the Middle East region and globally, indicating the Kingdom’s effective measures to stabilize the economy and combat global price pressures. 

In October, the World Bank projected that Saudi Arabia’s inflation level is expected to stay at 2.1 percent in 2024 and 2.3 percent in 2025, lower than the Gulf Cooperation Council average. 

Globally, Mastercard Economics Institute projected that the average inflation level will remain at 3.2 percent next year. 

“Inflation across major economies eased significantly in 2024, underpinned by lower prices of durable goods and reduced inflation for non-durable goods. While upside risks to good prices remain due to tariffs, moderating wage growth is expected to decrease services inflation,” said the report. 

Rising female workforce and population growth

The study highlighted that population growth in the Kingdom also acts as an essential driver for economic activity and, particularly, private consumption. 

According to the analysis, inbound migration into Saudi Arabia has greatly enriched the human capital of the country, with the next inflow of migrants contributing 4.9 percent of the population growth between 2019 and 2023. 

In November, a report released by the BlackRock Investment Institute also echoed similar views, highlighting that Saudi Arabia’s young and growing workforce and abundant natural resources could play a crucial role in determining the Kingdom’s economic growth in the future. 

Mastercard added that the participation of women in Saudi Arabia’s labor force is growing, driven by enabling government policies, increasing job creation in female-dominated sectors, and flexible work arrangements. 

The Kingdom, aligned with Vision 2030 goals, had initially targeted 30 percent of women’s participation in the workforce by the end of this decade. 

Speaking at the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh in October, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan said that Saudi Arabia aims to achieve 40 percent female workforce participation by the end of this decade, surpassing its Vision 2030 target of 30 percent. 

“The latest World Bank data shows that women’s representation in the Saudi workforce grew from 18 percent in 2017 to 34.5 percent in 2023. This marked increase is mainly due to the easing of social and other restrictions in the Kingdom in recent years, driven by its ambitious Vision 2030 that seeks to build a thriving economy where everyone has the opportunity to succeed,” said Mastercard Economics Institute. 

It added: “Women’s labor force participation likely reflects the disproportionate job creation in female-dominated sectors, such as health care and education. In addition, the rise of remote work and the flexibility it brings tends to help women, who are often still the primary caregivers, as it makes it easier to raise children while working.” 

Global outlook

According to the analysis, the UAE is expected to witness an economic expansion of 5 percent in 2025, while inflation is set to average 2.5 percent. 

India’s GDP is projected to expand by 6.6 percent next year, while the economy of the US and the UK is expected to grow by 2.3 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. 

France is expected to witness an economic growth of 0.8 percent in 2025, while the economies of Germany, Italy, and Canada are set to expand by 0.6 percent, 0.7 percent, and 1.8 percent, respectively. 


Saudi Arabia explores digital partnerships with Germany, Japan, France

Updated 17 December 2024
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Saudi Arabia explores digital partnerships with Germany, Japan, France

  • Vice minister of communications and information technology held discussions to strengthen collaboration in the digital economy space
  • Kingdom is working to position itself as a global leader in AI and digital transformation under Vision 2030

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is exploring partnership opportunities with Germany, Japan, and France in emerging technologies, artificial intelligence, and digital infrastructure, as officials convened in Riyadh during the 19th Internet Governance Forum. 

Running from Dec. 15 to 19 at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center, the UN-organized forum convened global leaders to promote international digital cooperation and address emerging challenges in Internet governance. 

On the sidelines, Vice Minister of Communications and Information Technology Haytham Al-Ohali held discussions with officials from the three nations to strengthen collaboration in the digital economy space. 

This comes as Saudi Arabia is working to position itself as a global leader in AI and digital transformation under Vision 2030. Goals include increasing the digital economy’s gross domestic product contribution from 14 percent in 2022 to 19.2 percent by 2025, digitizing 92 percent of government services, and raising the ICT sector’s GDP share to 4 percent. 

At the forum’s opening, the Kingdom unveiled the Riyadh Declaration, a commitment to developing inclusive and responsible AI technologies to address global challenges and drive economic value. 

Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Abdullah Al-Swaha highlighted the declaration’s focus on AI’s role in increasing digital accessibility, enhancing digital literacy, protecting the environment, and promoting economic inclusion. 

He underscored the importance of ensuring fairness, inclusivity, and safety in the development and deployment of AI technologies while leveraging data for societal advancement. 

“The Kingdom is committed to addressing key challenges such as unequal access to algorithms, data, and computing resources,” Al-Swaha said. 

As part of its Vision 2030 goals, the Kingdom plans to provide high-speed broadband access to 90 percent of households in densely populated cities, implement nationwide e-invoicing to enhance tax compliance, and rank among the world’s top 15 countries in AI by the end of this decade. 

Al-Ohali’s meeting with Stefan Schnorr, state secretary at Germany’s Ministry for Digital and Transport, focused on strengthening technical cooperation and promoting innovation. 

His talks with Takuo Imagawa, the vice minister for international affairs at Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, explored Saudi-Japanese partnerships in AI and emerging technologies. 

Similarly, Al-Ohali’s meeting with French Ambassador for Digital Affairs Henri Verdier centered on advancing joint initiatives in technical innovation and the digital economy. 

Gulf Cooperation Council Secretary-General Jasem Al-Budaiwi underscored the significance of Saudi Arabia hosting the IGF, reflecting the Kingdom’s leadership in digital governance and commitment to Vision 2030’s objectives. 

“This enhances the Kingdom’s position as a key destination for global events aimed at achieving sustainable development across various sectors,” he said. 

Al-Budaiwi added that the event highlights Saudi Arabia’s communications, information technology, and digital government capabilities. 

The forum, attended by over 9,000 participants from 170 countries, features more than 300 sessions under themes such as Harnessing Innovation and Balancing Risks in the Digital Space, Advancing Human Rights and Inclusion in the Digital Age, and Improving Digital Governance for the Internet We Want. 

The event highlights Saudi Arabia’s growing influence in digital governance and its efforts to harness innovation to drive global sustainability and digital inclusion. 


Saudi Arabia to automate 40% of its electricity distribution network by 2025: Minister

Updated 17 December 2024
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Saudi Arabia to automate 40% of its electricity distribution network by 2025: Minister

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is working to automate 40 percent of its electricity distribution network by the end of 2025, having already achieved 32 percent of this target, according to the minister of energy.

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman made the announcement at the opening of the 12th Saudi Arabia Smart Grid 2024 Conference in Riyadh, held under the theme “Energy and Sustainability.”

Automating an electricity distribution network uses technologies like smart meters and real-time monitoring to improve efficiency, and also facilitates the integration of renewable energy – which aligns with Vision 2030 goals of producing 50 percent of the Kingdom’s electricity using renewable sources.

In his opening remarks, Prince Abdulaziz highlighted the key role of smart grid technologies in transforming energy systems, focusing on smart meters, automation, and enhanced communication to improve electricity production, transmission, and consumption.

The minister highlighted Saudi Arabia’s progress under Vision 2030 saying: “More than 11 million smart meters have been installed across the Kingdom since 2021, contributing to improved energy consumption efficiency and enabling consumers to track their consumption in real time through smart applications, thereby enhancing their ability to make more informed decisions about electricity conservation.”

This large-scale deployment has empowered consumers with the ability to monitor their real-time energy consumption through advanced applications, enabling them to make informed decisions to optimize electricity use and promote energy conservation, SPA reported.

Similar efforts were seen in different nations in the Gulf Cooperation Council with the UAE’s Dubai Electricity and Water Authority and Qatar’s Kahramaa advancing smart grid initiatives to enhance energy infrastructure. 

DEWA’s multi-billion project integrates AI, blockchain, and IoT for seamless communication and automation, supporting smart city goals. Meanwhile, Kahramaa’s smart meters, covering 450,000 units, improve monitoring, reduce operational costs, and support sustainability by optimizing energy use and integrating clean energy.

Discussing automation efforts, Prince Abdulaziz revealed that the ministry is advancing plans to establish nine control centers by 2026. 

These facilities will be equipped with state-of-the-art technologies to enable real-time monitoring and precision management of the electricity distribution network. 

These developments aim to enhance network stability and performance, ensuring Saudi Arabia remains at the forefront of technological innovation in energy management. 

The minister also addressed the challenges posed by renewable energy sources, particularly their sensitivity to weather conditions. To mitigate these challenges and maintain grid reliability, the Kingdom is enhancing its energy storage capabilities.

Current plans target a battery storage capacity of 26 gigawatt-hours, with the goal of increasing this to 48 GWh by 2030.

Regarding the efforts to enhance the stability and efficiency of the national grid, which is the largest in the Middle East and Africa, the minister said: “We continue to expand transmission and distribution networks and develop flexible transmission system technologies that contribute to enhancing energy exchange and reducing losses.”

He added: “Additionally, four regional control centers have been established, along with a national control center, whose advanced systems enable efficient monitoring and operation of the networks, thereby strengthening the security and resilience of the electrical grid.”

Following the inauguration of the conference, Prince Abdulaziz oversaw the signing of several agreements and memorandums of understanding aimed at further advancing energy solutions across the Kingdom. 

He also honored the winners of the Energy Hackathon, which saw participation from more than 60 participants. The contestants presented creative and innovative projects focused on energy storage efficiency and sustainability, reflecting the growing emphasis on nurturing talent and fostering innovation in the energy sector.

The three-day conference is set to host discussions on over 40 scientific papers, showcasing the latest research, technologies, and sustainable solutions in the field of smart grids. 

These talks will spotlight the role of smart grid systems in enabling digital transformation, enhancing renewable energy solutions, and creating new opportunities for private sector participation.

Launched in Jeddah in 2011, SASG began as the first specialized event on smart grid technologies with global participation. Now an annual fixture in Saudi Arabia, it has attracted over 55,000 participants and 280 sponsors and exhibitors, offering a platform to showcase products, services, and innovations.