Oil Updates - prices near 4-month low after OPEC+ supply plan, US stock build

Brent crude futures were up 1 cent at $77.53 a barrel by 9:38 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
Updated 06 June 2024
Follow

Oil Updates - prices near 4-month low after OPEC+ supply plan, US stock build

SINGAPORE: Oil prices hovered near four-month lows in Asia on Wednesday as markets digested an OPEC+ decision to boost supply later this year and following an increase in US crude and refined products stocks, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures were up 1 cent at $77.53 a barrel by 9:38 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 2 cents at $73.23 a barrel.

Both contracts fell nearly a dollar on Tuesday to their lowest settlement levels since early February, and had declined around $3 a barrel on Monday.

The slide followed news from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies of plans to increase supply from October despite recent signs of weakening demand growth.

“Brent remains under pressure as a corner of the market continues to view OPEC’s proposed taper timeline for the voluntary cuts as a binding commitment to increase by 500,000 barrels per day in Q4 2024 irrespective of the fundamental oil outlook or sentiment come summer’s end,” RBC Capital’s head of commodities research, Helima Croft, said in a market note.

However, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, has said OPEC+ would pause the unwinding of the cuts or reverse them if demand wasn’t strong enough to absorb the barrels.

“The intention has always been to slow roll the barrels back in and not to send the market into a tailspin with a supply surge,” Croft noted.

ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said crude oil supply is expected to tighten in the third quarter and that OPEC+’s plans to unwind supply cuts will take place only from October.

“Therefore, we believe the scale of the sell-off at the front end of the forward curve is overdone,” they added in a market note.

In the US, crude oil, gasoline and distillate stocks rose last week, according to sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures.

API figures showed crude stocks increased more than 4 million barrels in the week ended May 31, against analysts’ forecasts in a Reuters poll for a 2.3 million-barrel decline.

Independent energy analyst Tim Evans wrote that the crude figures in the API report “represents a clear bearish surprise.”

Gasoline stocks rose by more than 4 million barrels, twice the build expected by analysts.

The US Energy Information Administration will publish official stockpiles data on Wednesday at 1430 GMT.

Data for last week is being closely watched by markets because it reflects fuel usage around the Memorial Day holiday, the start of the so-called US driving season. 


Saudi Arabia raises financial support by 20% for 98 municipal jobs, activities

Updated 25 sec ago
Follow

Saudi Arabia raises financial support by 20% for 98 municipal jobs, activities

  • Decision aims to enforce localization and supply sector with qualified workers
  • Also aims to create more engaging and productive job opportunities for citizens

RIYADH: The Saudi national workforce is set to receive a 20 percent boost in financial support for nearly 98 jobs and activities within the municipal and housing sectors.

The Ministry of Municipalities and Housing, in collaboration with the Human Resources Development Fund, announced an increase in the financial aid percentage for the Employment Support Program from 30 percent to 50 percent. This adjustment will apply to 53 professions and 45 activities, with a maximum limit of SR3,000 ($800).

The ministry, formerly known as the Ministry of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing, said in a post on its X account that the decision aims to enforce localization and supply the sector with well-trained and qualified workers.

The employment program is part of the government’s broader strategy to increase the participation of Saudi nationals in various sectors, aligning with Vision 2030 goals to diversify the economy and enhance employment opportunities for Saudis.

The Ministry of Municipalities and Housing, in partnership with the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development, announced that the decision to localize 25 percent of engineering professions took effect on July 21. This policy will apply to private sector establishments employing five or more workers in engineering jobs.

This decision is part of both ministries’ efforts to create more engaging and productive job opportunities for citizens throughout the Kingdom.

The housing ministry said that it will oversee and implement this decision to boost labor market participation, ensuring alignment with market requirements and the specific needs of engineering professions.

The ministry also said that private sector establishments will benefit from various incentives and support programs offered by the human resources and social development system to aid in hiring Saudis.

The ministry explained that these programs include recruitment and job-matching assistance, essential training and qualifications, and ongoing employment support. Establishments will receive priority access to all available localization and employment support programs through HRDF.

The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development has issued a procedural guide outlining the localization requirements and necessary percentages, saying that establishments must comply with these regulations to avoid non-compliance penalties.


Saudi, Korean business ties to grow with official visit 

Updated 43 min 45 sec ago
Follow

Saudi, Korean business ties to grow with official visit 

RIYADH: Saudi-Korean trade is set to see a significant boost as a delegation from the Kingdom, led by the minister of commerce, heads to Seoul. 

Taking place from July 29 to 31, the gathering will see Majid Al-Qasabi alongside representatives from 10 government entities and 55 senior business leaders and executives from major national companies. 

The visit’s objectives are multifaceted, with Al-Qasabi and his delegation planning to hold meetings with Korean ministers and officials to strengthen bilateral relations. 

They aim to facilitate economic activities between the Kingdom and the East Asian country, exploring promising opportunities for collaboration. 

A key part of the assemblage is participating in the Saudi-Korean Business Forum, which allows both nations to discuss and expand their trade and business partnerships. Enhancing trade exchange between the two countries remains a primary goal of this delegation. 

This visit underscores the historical relationship and robust economic partnership between Saudi Arabia and Korea. 

According to the ministry’s data, cumulative trade between the two nations reached SR554 billion ($147.6 billion) between 2019 and 2023, with the annual value of commerce increasing from SR93.6 billion to SR129.8 billion over the period.

Saudi Arabia is currently ranked seventh among Korea’s trade partners, with non-oil exports to the country amounting to SR4.5 billion. 

The Kingdom has been actively engaging with Asian nations to boost economic trade and strengthen partnerships. 

In May, Saudi Arabia launched a business council with Malaysia to boost collaboration. 

Al-Qasabi led a delegation comprising 44 officials and leaders representing 20 government bodies and 24 private sector entities to the Southeast Asian country. 

The Kingdom also strengthened its economic relations with Thailand as it opened its first Board of Investment office in Riyadh. 

During a business forum held in July, Saudi Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih highlighted that this marks Thailand’s inaugural office in the Middle East, encouraging stronger bonds and new investment opportunities in both countries. 

Saudi and China relations have also seen a boost this year as officials from both nations held a roundtable meeting earlier in May. 

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan led the meeting as he emphasized the depth of the bilateral relationship between the two nations, highlighting the trust and ongoing collaboration across diverse sectors.


Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief

Updated 12 min 36 sec ago
Follow

Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief

RIYADH: Oil will continue to play a pivotal role in future energy pathways, as petroleum products are essential for the functioning of various sectors, according to the OPEC secretary-general. 

Haitham Al-Ghais said that member countries of the oil producers alliance have clear national electrification plans, which are crucial to reducing emissions, according to a statement from the organization. 

The comments came after the International Energy Agency projected that global oil demand will continue to decline, driven by rapid electric vehicle adoption. 

Earlier this month, OPEC said that world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024 and 1.85 million bpd in 2025. 

“We believe oil will continue to be a vital component of future energy pathways and this is exemplified by the fact petroleum products are essential for the functioning of other sectors, such as electricity,” said Al-Ghais. 

He added: “OPEC member countries have clear national electrification plans, which are part of a shared belief that all sources of energy will be necessary to meet future demand growth, reduce emissions, tackle energy poverty and ensure energy security.” 

Al-Ghais went on to say that energy sources are not locked in a “zero-sum game,” and that oil and petroleum products are crucial for electricity transmission. 

He added that it is practically impossible to completely replace oil with electricity. 

“Reality tells us that oil does not operate in isolation, cut off from other sectors and industries. Rather, such is the versatility of petroleum and petroleum-derived products that they play an indispensable role in a host of other sectors and industries,” said Al-Ghais. 

He added: “It is important to also consider the multitude of petroleum products in the transmission of electricity, which are utilized in manufacturing, maintaining and installing cables, overhead lines, pylons, transformers, substations, and control systems, indeed, in all the components and technologies that make up this vital infrastructure.” 

According to Al-Ghais, the expansion of electricity grids can only be materialized with the help of petroleum-derived products. 

He said that underground electric cables need insulation sheaths, which are made of petroleum-derived materials. Meanwhile, transformers — a vital device in electricity transmission — also need oil to function. 

“For transformers to operate properly, transformer oil is essential. It insulates transformers and ensures that they can function at a stable temperature. These are primarily made from mineral oil — a petroleum distillate,” said Al-Ghais. 

He added: “The transportation of equipment by road, rail, air, and water will involve vehicles, often highly specialized, that consume gasoline, diesel, aviation and marine fuels. And the vehicles, such as cable-laying vessels, and the material needed to build this critical infrastructure, such as steel, aluminum, copper and concrete, require a host of petroleum products.” 

The OPEC chief also said that the expansion of the electricity grid pressurizes supply chains, which could pose challenges to grid development in the coming years. 

“As the IEA has written, to achieve national energy and climate goals, 80 million km of overhead power lines and underground cables need to be added by 2040. That is the equivalent of replacing the entire existing global grid, equating to 100 trips to the moon and back,” he said. 

According to Al-Ghais, calls to halt new investments in oil projects will jeopardize the production of oil products essential for the smooth functioning and expansion of the electricity grid. 

In its latest monthly report released in July, OPEC said that total world oil demand will reach 104.5 million bpd in 2024, driven by markets like China, the Middle East, India, and Latin America. 

The alliance indicated that the rising demand will be driven by industrial, construction and agricultural activities in non-Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. 

OPEC also commented that petrochemical capacity additions in non-OECD nations could catalyze global oil demand growth. 

The report warned that the world oil demand growth will also depend on various elements, including future economic developments in major economies. 

In June, Al-Ghais noted that oil demand will grow, propelled by a rebound in the travel industry. 

Speaking at the International Economic Forum, he said that OPEC is always concentrating on market fundamentals to ensure supply, stability and resilience. 

“It is important to remain focused on the fundamentals. We look at economic growth, we look at supply, we look at demand, and yes, we do still believe demand for oil is good and resilient,” said Al-Ghais. 

He added: “Last year, OPEC’s forecast for oil demand was the best, and all those who criticized OPEC’s forecast kept adjusting their number throughout the year.” 

The OPEC chief said more investments are needed in the oil industry to stabilize the market and meet the rising demand, adding that energy sources are necessary for the future and efforts should be taken to reduce emissions. 


Jordan’s agricultural exports see 25% growth, boosting revenues to $705m  

Updated 29 July 2024
Follow

Jordan’s agricultural exports see 25% growth, boosting revenues to $705m  

RIYADH: Jordan’s agricultural exports saw an annual growth of 25.3 percent from January to the end of May, driven by government-implemented irrigation techniques and modern farming practices. 

This growth has propelled national agricultural revenues from foreign trade to 500 million Jordanian dinars ($705 million), showcasing the field’s ongoing expansion, the Jordan News Agency, known as Petra, reported. 

The country’s Minister of Agriculture, Khaled Hunaifat, said this growth is largely due to the total exports of fruits and vegetables, which surged to 178,000 tons in the first five months of 2024, a 32 percent annual increase.

He added that the value of fruit and vegetable exports rose to 125.5 million dinars, marking a 22.3 percent increase from the start of the year to the end of May compared to the same period in 2023. 

Jordan’s agriculture sector, a crucial economic pillar, provides sustenance, employment, and export revenue. Despite a market of over 11 million consumers, the country imports nearly 98 percent of its food, including rice, frozen chicken, and fresh apples, according to the US International Trade Administration. 

However, targeted government initiatives, including improved irrigation and modern farming practices, have bolstered productivity.  

This resulted in a 19 percent increase in the value of vegetable exports, driven by a 27 percent rise in volume to 130,000 tons by May compared to the previous year. 

Similarly, fruit exports experienced a boost, with their value rising by 29.5 percent in comparison to the same period in the previous year. The cumulative quantity of fruit exports reached 48,000 tons, marking a 48 percent increase over the previous year. 

The minister also highlighted a notable surge in the value of live animal exports, which skyrocketed to 44.2 million dinars — a 259 percent increase until the end of May compared to last year. 

This rise is linked to the cumulative export of live sheep, which hit 220,000 heads, reflecting a 260 percent increase over the same period in 2023. 

The sector, which contributes 5.9 percent to the country’s gross domestic product, has faced challenges due to water scarcity.  

The government has also expanded support for agricultural research and development, enhancing crop yields and pest resistance. 

Subsidies for export logistics and partnerships with international markets have also played a crucial role in driving export volumes.


Chinese investors flock to Saudi ETFs amid poor local equity performance: Bloomberg 

Updated 29 July 2024
Follow

Chinese investors flock to Saudi ETFs amid poor local equity performance: Bloomberg 

RIYADH: Chinese investors are increasingly putting money in two newly launched exchange-traded funds tracking Saudi stocks, due to poor local equity performance and the appeal of foreign assets, reported Bloomberg. 

Saudi-focused ETFs had a robust start when they debuted on July 16 in Shanghai and Shenzhen, each soaring by the daily limit of 10 percent on their first two trading days, according to the news agency. 

Trading was temporarily halted on July 18 after managers reported that the premium of their share prices over their net asset values had become too high. 

The heightened interest in these ETFs can be attributed to the strengthening economic and trade relationships between China and Saudi Arabia, Bloomberg added. 

Recently, companies and sovereign funds from both countries have announced numerous billion-dollar deals in industries such as technology, solar power, and electric vehicles. 

“Chinese investors are eager for better returns from overseas assets due to the low yields from domestic investments,” Nelson Yan, co-chief investment officer at Fosun Wealth International in Hong Kong, told Bloomberg. 

“The investment climate between China and Saudi Arabia is favorable, with lower geopolitical risks,” he added. 

In addition, Chinese government entities are encouraging investments in the Middle East, and Chinese index companies are keen on developing Middle East-related indexes and ETFs, Yan added. 

The Huatai-PineBridge CSOP Saudi Arabia ETF QDII, listed in Shanghai, traded at a premium of up to 17 percent over its NAV on its second trading day. This premium later decreased to 3.8 percent by July 24. 

Similarly, the Shenzhen-listed China Southern Asset Management CSOP Saudi Arabia ETF QDII traded at a premium of 6 percent on the same day. Typically, most ETFs trade within 1 percent of their NAV, as noted by ETF.com and reported by Bloomberg. 

At the listing event in Shenzhen Saudi Public Investment Fund Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan said that the Kingdom and China’s financial markets are set to see a new chapter of connectivity with the recent launch of exchange-traded funds on Chinese bourses. 

He stressed that the ETF gives investors in Asia access to the Saudi equity market and its sustainable long-term growth driven by strategic economic transformation. 

This enthusiasm for Saudi shares is not unprecedented. Earlier this year, Chinese mutual fund houses attempted to curb investor enthusiasm for funds focused on US stocks by imposing purchase restrictions. 

Additionally, some fund companies allocated more Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor quotas to Japanese ETFs to better align their share prices with their NAVs. 

The two Saudi ETFs track the FTSE Saudi Arabia Index, which includes significant weightings in financials, basic materials, and energy companies. Notably, Al Rajhi Bank, Saudi Aramco, and Saudi National Bank constitute nearly one-third of the index. 

Economic ties between Saudi Arabia and China have been strengthening in recent years, and in November the Kingdom’s central bank, also known as SAMA, and the People’s Bank of China signed a local currency swap agreement worth $6.93 billion. 

The agreement will last three years, but China’s central bank said at the time it can be extended after two years by mutual agreement.