Middle East airlines see 9.7% passenger demand growth: IATA

Global passenger demand – measured in RPK – rose by 10.7 percent in May compared to the same period of the previous year, according to the IATA. Shutterstock
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Updated 05 July 2024
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Middle East airlines see 9.7% passenger demand growth: IATA

RIYADH: Middle Eastern airlines saw a 9.7 percent annual growth in passenger demand in May fueled by an increase in Asia-related travel, according to an industry body. 

In its latest report, the International Air Transport Association said that the total capacity of airlines in the region posted a growth of 9 percent year-on-year in May. 

Moreover, the Middle East region handled 9.4 percent of the overall passengers globally in May, a figure that remained unchanged from the previous month. 

Countries in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia, have been strengthening their aviation sector over the past few years as they continue their economic diversification journey by reducing their decades-long dependence on oil. 

Saudi Arabia’s national aviation strategy aims to triple the number of passengers compared to 2019, handling 4.5 million tons of cargo, and establishing more than 250 direct destinations from the Kingdom’s airports to global locations. 

In May, a report released by the Kingdom’s General Authority of Civil Aviation revealed that the sector contributed $21 billion to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product in 2023. 

The IATA report notes that the Asia – Middle East route “ranks second only to within Asia in terms of RPK (revenue passenger kilometers) levels” as it highlighted the strength of travel between the two regions.

It went on: “The route pair has regained 2019 levels and set new records to-date for the whole 2024, standing 32 percent above the corresponding value of 2019 thus demonstrating strengthening flight demand between the two regions. Contributing factors to this disproportionate demand are geopolitical tensions and war in Ukraine which would divert passengers through the Middle East to reach Asia as a safer route.”

The Russia-Ukraine war was also cited as a potential influence on the continued growth of the  Europe-Middle East route, which saw an April-May RPK increase for two years in a row, reversing the previous historic pattern of a decline between these months, noted the report.

“In the coming months, it will become clearer to what extent these trends could be related to the Russia-Ukraine war,” said IATA.

Earlier this month, another report released by IATA revealed that Middle Eastern airlines witnessed a 15.3 percent year-on-year demand growth for cargo in May, driven by growing e-commerce and maritime issues. 

The report also added that the total cargo capacity of carriers in the region increased by 2.7 percent in May compared to the same month of the previous year.

IATA further pointed out that the Middle East region handled 13.5 percent of the overall cargo globally, a figure that remained unchanged from the previous month. 

Global outlook of passenger demand

According to the report, global passenger demand – measured in RPK – rose by 10.7 percent in May compared to the same period of the previous year. 

Similarly, total capacity, measured in available seat kilometers, also rose by 8.5 percent year-on-year in the fifth month of the year.

“Airlines filled 83.4 percent of their seats, a record for the month. With May ticket sales for early peak-season travel up nearly 6 percent, the growth trend shows no signs of abating,“ Willie Walsh, director-general of IATA. 

He added: “Airlines are doing everything they can to ensure smooth journeys for all travelers over the peak northern summer period.” 

Asia-Pacific region leads passenger demand

According to the report, airlines operating in the Asia-Pacific region led passenger demand globally, marking a 27 percent growth in May compared to the same month in 2023.

IATA noted that the total capacity of airlines in the APAC region rose by 26 percent year-on-year, while the load factor increased to 81.6 percent. 

Moreover, Asia-Pacific airlines handled 31.7 percent of the passengers globally in May, followed by Europe and North America at 27.1 percent and 24.2 percent, respectively. 

Airlines from the Latin American region witnessed a passenger demand growth of 15.9 percent in May compared to the same month of the previous year. Moreover, the total capacity of these carriers also rose by 9.7 percent. 

Similarly, the load factor among airlines in Latin America hit 85.1 percent in May, the highest among all regions. 

On the other hand, African airlines saw a 14.1 percent year-on-year increase in demand, while the total capacity of these carriers surged by 8.2 percent during the same period. 

The load factor among African airlines also rose to 72.3 percent in May, representing an annual rise of 3.7 percentage points.

This was the fastest increase in load factor among all regions, although Africa still has the lowest load factor overall. 

Similarly, European airlines witnessed a passenger demand growth of 11.7 percent year-on-year in May. 

Additionally, the total capacity of these carriers rose by 11.3 percent in May compared to the year-ago period, while their load factor edged up by 0.03 percentage points to 84.7 percent. 

However, the passenger demand growth among North American carriers stood at 8.7 percent, the lowest among all regions. 

Even though the capacity of airlines in North America edged up by 7.7 percent year-on-year in May, the load factor declined by 1.2 percentage points to 84 percent during the same period. 

On the other hand, IATA revealed that domestic traffic globally increased by 4.7 percent in May compared to the same month in 2023, while the load factor rose by 3.8 percentage points to 84.5 percent. 

IATA also noted it is optimistic about the future growth of passenger demand globally.

“Overall, the increase in trip bookings made in May and the first half of June for travel during the second half of June and the whole of the month of July suggests that air traffic and demand in both domestic and international segments are expected to maintain a positive trend,” said the industry body. 

Saudi growth




Riyadh Air is set to take to the skies in 2025. File

Boosting Saudi Arabia’s aviation sector is a key pillar of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification plan, and in May a new roadmap was unveiled which will seek to boost the business travel sector.

Saudi Arabia’s aviation sector contributed $21 billion to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product in 2023 while generating an additional $32.2 billion in tourism receipts.

Speaking at the Future Aviation Forum in Riyadh in May, Abdulaziz Al-Duailej, president of the General Authority of Civil Aviation, said Saudi Arabia’s aviation sector in 2023 saw its number of passengers reach a record 112 million, up from 88 million in 2022, marking a 27 percent year-on-year increase.

As part of the plan to boost the sector further, the Kingdom is set to see its newest airline – the Public Investment Fund-backed Riyadh Air – take to the skies in 2025, with an aim of flying to 100 countries by 2030.


Saudi-China housing partnerships to enhance as officials meet in Riyadh 

Updated 58 sec ago
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Saudi-China housing partnerships to enhance as officials meet in Riyadh 

RIYADH: Strategic partnerships between Saudi Arabia and China across the municipal and housing sectors are set to enhance following a high-level meeting in Riyadh. 

The Kingdom’s Minister of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing Majid Al-Hogail met with Beijing’s Ambassador Chang Hua at the ministry headquarters in Riyadh to reiterate real estate relations. 

Officials discussed opportunities to strengthen cooperation and partnership in real estate development, contracting, and municipal services, according to a report by the Saudi Press Agency. 

Al-Hogail emphasized the ministry’s commitment to fostering strategic partnerships with China and expressed his aspiration to develop these relationships further, including forming a joint working team to explore new avenues for cooperation. 

The two nations have been continuously cooperating to boost the housing sector. In August 2023, the ministry signed 12 real estate agreements worth SR5 billion ($1.3 billion) with Chinese companies. 

Additionally, the Kingdom’s National Housing Co. signed an agreement with Chinese construction firm CITIC Construction Group last May to establish an industrial city and logistic zones in Saudi Arabia. 

During the meeting, Hua praised the historical and fruitful diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and China. 

He highlighted China’s interest in enhancing commercial and investment relations with the Kingdom, particularly in the infrastructure and contracting sectors. 

The ambassador also lauded the successful outcomes of Al-Hogail’s recent visit to China, which set the stage for deeper collaboration. 

This meeting aligns with Saudi Arabia’s active efforts to boost bilateral cooperation across various sectors. 

Earlier in July, Saudi Arabia and Turkiye expanded cooperation in real estate, infrastructure, and waste management, which was highlighted during a three-day official tour by Al-Hogail in Istanbul. 

During that visit, he met with Turkish officials and companies to explore investment opportunities, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s broader strategy to forge strong international partnerships. 

The Saudi real estate market’s rapid advancement, marked by ambitious urban development projects and significant infrastructure investments, continues to attract global interest, emphasizing sustainability and innovation. 


Oil Updates — crude slips as Gaza talks ease supply disruption woes 

Updated 08 July 2024
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Oil Updates — crude slips as Gaza talks ease supply disruption woes 

SINGAPORE: Oil prices slid on Monday after rising for four weeks, as the prospect of a ceasefire deal in Gaza eased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, while investors assessed potential disruption to US energy supplies from Tropical Storm Beryl, according to Reuters. 

Brent crude futures were down 36 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $86.18 a barrel, as at 09:46 a.m. Saudi time. 

US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $82.71 a barrel, down 45 cents, or 0.5 percent. 

Talks over a US ceasefire plan aimed at ending the nine-month-old war in Gaza are under way, and being mediated by Qatar and Egypt. 

“If anything concrete comes from the ceasefire talks, it will take some of geopolitical bid out of the market for now,” said IG analyst Tony Sycamore based in Sydney. 

The ports of Corpus Christi, Houston, Galveston, Freeport and Texas City closed on Sunday to prepare for Hurricane Beryl, which is expected to make a landfall in the middle of the Texas coast between Galveston and Corpus Christi later on Monday. 

Port closures could bring a temporary halt to crude and liquefied natural gas exports, oil shipments to refineries, and motor fuel deliveries from those plants. 

“While this puts some offshore oil and gas production at risk, the concern when the storm makes landfall is the potential impact it could have on refinery infrastructure,” ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said in a note. 

“Any meaningful disruptions to Texas refinery operations will likely support refined product cracks.” 

IG’s Sycamore said there is also a good chance of US data showing another large weekly draw in US oil inventories amidst peak driving season, which will be supportive for oil prices. 

WTI gained 2.1 percent last week after data from the Energy Information Administration showed stockpiles for crude and refined products fell in the week ended June 28.  

“WTI has had a very good run, though, having rallied 15 percent from the early June low,” Sycamore said, adding that the benchmark could see strong resistance between $85.50 and $87.50 based on technical charts. 

The number of operating oil rigs in the US was unchanged at 479 last week, holding at its lowest since December 2021, Baker Hughes said in its weekly report on Friday. 

Oil prices were also supported last week by hopes of interest rate cuts following US data on Friday that showed inflation is easing and job growth slowing. 

Lower interest rates can boost economic activity and increase crude oil demand. 

Investors were also watching for any impact from elections in the UK, France and Iran last week on geopolitics and energy policies. 

France faced potential political deadlock after elections on Sunday threw up a hung parliament while Iranians chose Masoud Pezeshkian as their new president, a relative moderate who beat a hard-line rival in the election.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 

Updated 07 July 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 29.95 points, or 0.26 percent, to close at 11,688.61. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR3.93 billion ($1.04 billion) as 139 of the stocks advanced while 87 retreated.    

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 244.80 points, or 0.94 percent, to close at 26,154.75. This comes as 33 of the listed stocks advanced while 32 retreated.  

Meanwhile, the MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 1.31 points, or 0.09 percent, to close at 1,455.96. 

The top-performing stock of the day was Saudi Research and Media Group, with its share price surging by 9.94 percent to SR236.60. 

Other top performers include Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. as well as the Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co. 

The worst performer was Saudi Reinsurance Co., whose share price dropped by 6.69 percent to SR25.80.  

The top underperformers included Anaam International Holding Group and Al-Yamamah Steel Industries Co. 

On the announcements front, Almarai Co. released its interim condensed consolidated financial results for the period ending on June 30. 

According to a statement on Tadawul, the company reported a 10 percent increase in net profits, reaching SR1.3 billion in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period a year earlier.  

The rise in net profits is primarily attributed to higher revenue growth, effective cost management, a favorable product mix, and stable commodity costs.  

In addition, Saudi Advanced Industries Co. disclosed its interim financial results for the first half of 2024 in a bourse filing, reporting a net profit of SR217 million. This marks a 200 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023, driven by increased revenue despite rises in general and administrative expenses, financing costs, and zakat expenditures. 

Meanwhile, Jahez International Co. for International Systems Technology has initiated a transfer request to move from the parallel market to the main market.  

The request, approved by the board, was submitted via the regulatory online portal, as stated in a Tadawul statement. Further updates on the transfer process will be communicated as they unfold. 


ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  

Updated 07 July 2024
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ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  

RIYADH: Capital flows and economic resilience have positioned the Association of Southeast Asian Nations financial markets in a relatively stable state, according to Qatar National Bank.  

In its latest economic commentary, QNB highlighted the robustness of large ASEAN economies — Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and the Philippines — against sudden changes in risk sentiment and capital flows.  

QNB’s analysis focused on assessing the external vulnerability of these economies, examining their external financing needs and the overall level of official foreign exchange reserves.  

The commentary noted that strong FX reserves act as a crucial buffer to absorb external shocks, and these reserves should be evaluated in context with short-term external financing requirements and other macroeconomic indicators.  

Thailand remains well positioned to handle sudden capital flow changes, even with international tourism not yet back to pre-pandemic levels.  

The country continues to run sizable current account surpluses, which have enabled it to accumulate $221 billion in official FX holdings, covering 209 percent of the International Monetary Fund reserve adequacy metric.

The IMF reserve adequacy metric assesses a country’s FX reserves to ensure they can cover short-term external debt, potential trade imbalances, import costs and capital flight risks, therefore maintaining financial stability and investor confidence.  

Malaysia, a major producer of manufacturing goods and commodities, also shows resilience. The country has consistently run current account surpluses as a net exporter of oil and soft commodities.  

Despite tighter reserve adequacy metrics compared with Thailand, Malaysia’s central bank holds $113 billion in FX holdings, covering 115 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric.  

The Philippines, as a net external borrower with current account deficits, faces different challenges. The country’s large trade deficit, partially offset by remittances from expatriates, is expected to amount to about 2 percent of gross domestic product.  

However, the Philippines holds $103 billion in official FX reserves, covering 196 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric, providing a significant cushion against external shocks.  

Indonesia, traditionally the most exposed to external shocks of the large ASEAN countries, has returned to a current account deficit position after a brief period of surplus driven by a commodity boom.  

The country is expected to run a current account deficit of about 1 percent of GDP this year, with the deficit likely to persist due to ongoing capital expenditure projects. 

Indonesia’s official FX reserves amount to $136 billion, covering 112 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric. 


Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal

Updated 07 July 2024
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Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal

RIYADH: Saudi Reinsurance Co. plans to increase its capital by SR267.3 million ($71 million) through a strategic subscription agreement with the Public Investment Fund, aimed at enhancing its financial position. 

The binding subscription agreement, signed on July 4, will see the Kingdom’s first reinsurance company raise its capital from SR891 million to SR1.15 billion. This increase will be achieved through the issuance of 26.73 million new ordinary shares, each valued at SR10, according to a recent bourse filing. 

The new shares, representing 30 percent of the company’s current capital, will be fully subscribed by PIF at a subscription price of SR16 per share, resulting in a total subscription amount of SR427.68 million.  

This transaction will give PIF a 23.08 percent ownership stake in the company following the capital increase.  

The agreement, initially outlined in a non-binding memorandum of understanding on Oct. 8, 2023, and extended on Dec. 25, 2023, for an additional six months, underscores the growing business environment within the Kingdom.  

Saudi Re’s capital increase, supported by PIF’s subscription, enhances its financial strength and competitive position.  

This capital increase aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals, promoting a robust investment climate, economic diversification, and bolstering the Kingdom’s insurance sector. 

Finalization of the capital increase is subject to approvals from regulatory bodies including the Insurance Authority, Capital Market Authority, Saudi Stock Exchange, and the company’s Extraordinary General Assembly. 

Upon completion, Saudi Re will appoint three PIF-nominated members to its board of directors.  Al Rajhi Financial Co. is serving as the financial advisor to Saudi Reinsurance Co., while GIB Capital is advising PIF on the transaction. 

Earlier this year, the Kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund raised its stake in Middle East Paper Co. to 23.08 percent through a similar capital infusion. 

In a press statement, PIF stated that the deal will empower MEPCO to expand its production, enhance operational efficiency, and contribute to environmental stability. This move aligns with PIF’s sustainability goals and reflects its commitment to fostering environmentally responsible practices in the acquired company.