How much power do Arab and Muslim voters have in the next US elections?

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Updated 18 August 2024
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How much power do Arab and Muslim voters have in the next US elections?

  • ‘Even among fifth-generation kids who still have an eighth Arab American in them, the Palestinian issue is in the bloodstream’: John Zogby

CHICAGO: Veteran pollster John Zogby, president and founder of the polling company John Zogby Strategies, has said Arab and Muslim voters have more influence today than they have ever had since first settling in this country, and that the issue driving their vote is Gaza.

Zogby noted that the public needs to look at polls not in terms of who is “winning” or leading the race, but rather in which way the voter popularity of a candidate is trending.

Recent polls show that the majority of Arab and Muslim American voters favor third Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party, but that significant support is also shown for Vice President Kamala Harris who is expected to be named as the Democratic Party candidate for president at the Chicago Convention next week.

“I think the sun, moon and stars are aligned. The issues are there. There is broad support on that issue (Gaza), not only in our community but among young people and progressives. And I can’t believe all the calls I am getting about where Arab Americans stand,” Zogby said, noting the community is more together today than in past elections.

Zogby noted that his brother Jim Zogby, the president and founder of the Arab American Institute, was instrumental in strengthening the voice of Arab and Muslim voters in the 1984 and 1988 presidential elections by defining issues on the Democratic Convention platform in alliance with the Rev. Jesse L. Jackson, who ran for president.

That was the first time that the convention included a platform that called for support for the Palestinians and the two-state solution. Conventions since have excluded issues advocated by Arab and Muslim Americans.

“This time around is different; we hold some cards,” John Zogby said, noting that the voices will be heard more at the ballot box on Nov. 5, 2024.

Speaking during the taping of “The Ray Hanania Radio Show,” sponsored by Arab News on the US Radio Network and to be broadcast on Thursday at 5 p.m. EST, Zogby said that Arab and Muslim voters have come together more than they ever have in the past in this election, due to the conflict in Gaza and the need for candidates to address concerns more openly and without fear of pro-Israeli rebukes.

“Even among those fifth-generation kids who are named Scotty and Heather (and) who still have an eighth Arab American in them, the Palestinian issue is in the bloodstream,” Zogby said.

“It is a fundamental injustice; it is a fundamental example of colonialism. I love it when I hear the kids on campuses saying this is colonialism, this is genocide. This is what it is and this is how we see it," he added, noting there are many variables at play.

Despite many domestic issues driving the election, for Arab and Muslim voters “There are still some core issues and Gaza is in fact one of those issues.”

Zogby said polling he did in April, just before President Joe Biden withdrew from the election, showed that the Biden administration’s failure to stop the carnage in Gaza had a tremendous impact on weakening support for Democrats among the Arab and Muslim community.

Zogby pointed out that April saw “almost a destruction of the Democratic brand among Arab Americans and Muslim Americans because of Gaza.”

Arabs and Muslims should recognize that American political candidates will say one thing during an election but will tone it down or change it after being elected, the pollster said, adding that that polling changes frequently as it is driven by issues, and many trends.

“I think what we need to strip away from our minds is that ‘the poll says someone is going to win.’ All a poll does is say that somebody is ahead. Somebody is behind. They are tied. That is a snapshot at the moment,” Zogby said.

Polling puts a spotlight on issues, and may show the impact third party candidates such as Stein and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy might have on the major candidates.

“Yes, they (Kennedy and Stein) can have an impact. Right now, Kennedy is having more of an impact on Trump than he is on Harris. Jill Stein is having a slight impact, as she was on Biden.

“I don’t have any real new numbers that tell the story but she is locked in at about 1 percent and Kennedy is about 8 to 10 percent.

“However, for those who might be inclined to go with Bobby Kennedy and make a statement, his position on Israel and Gaza is as bad — frankly, if not worse — than both Biden and Trump. If that is the dominant issue, he was doing fairly well among younger voters, but this (Gaza) is a wall for me.”

Polling shows Stein is attracting the majority of votes from Arab and Muslim Americans, with Harris trailing behind and with Trump and Kennedy receiving insignificant community voter numbers.

Zogby noted Harris is currently leading the upward trendline (5), mainly because she is new entering the Democratic Convention and is enjoying a short honeymoon driven by her newness as a candidate. However, this popularity can change, he said. 

Listen to the entire interview on Thursday at 5 p.m. EST on WNZK AM 690 radio, or online at https://Facebook.com/ArabNews, or on the Arab News podcast site at www.arabnews.com/rayradioshow.

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UK urged to scrap ‘racist’ visa route

Updated 19 September 2024
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UK urged to scrap ‘racist’ visa route

  • Long and expensive visa route for immigrants has been labeled ‘racist’ after analysis showed most applicants who feel forced to go through it are people of color
  • Analysis of Home Office data showed that all but one country in the top 10 nationalities who felt forced to use the route were those with predominantly non-white populations

LONDON: The UK has been urged to scrap a 10-year visa route and cap all routes to settlement in the country at five years.

The long and expensive visa route for immigrants has been labeled “racist” after analysis showed most applicants who feel forced to go through it are people of color, according to a report in The Guardian.

The 10-year route to a visa is used by hundreds of thousands of people who are not eligible for other immigration schemes because of a lack of income or professional qualifications. Many work in low-paid jobs, such as cleaning or care work. Other common routes to settlement in the UK take five years.

According to freedom of information data obtained by the charity Ramfel, there are 218,110 people on the 10-year route.

Analysis of Home Office data showed that all but one country in the top 10 nationalities who felt forced to use the route were those with predominantly non-white populations. The top five were Nigeria, Pakistan, India, Ghana and Bangladesh. Overall, 86 percent of people using the route were from Asian or African countries, while 6 percent were from Europe.

People seeking to gain a visa via the 10-year route must renew their leave to remain with the Home Office every 30 months, meaning four renewals. The fee for each renewal is £3,850 ($5,095). The Home Office can grant a fee waiver but many requests are refused.

According to a 2023 report on the 10-year route by the legal advice and support service Greater Manchester Immigration Aid Unit, the think tank the Institute for Public Policy Research and the charity Praxis, the most common way of covering the fees was to borrow money, with many people remaining in debt afterward and struggling to pay for basic living costs.

A GMIAU spokesperson said: “These numbers confirm what people on the 10-year route already know: It is a racist policy. People are being driven into debt, forced to choose between paying thousands of pounds in visa fees to keep their legal status and keeping their families fed and warm.

“Ten years is far too long for anyone to wait to settle. The route must be scrapped. A good place to start would be to cap all routes to settlement at five years.”

Nick Beales, of Ramfel, said: “The 10-year route is an enduring legacy of the hostile environment. Like many other Conservative policies from this period, the racist intent is clear, with African and South Asian nationals far more likely to be placed on this arduous and often brutal route toward securing permanent immigration status.”


New hope in Rohingya camps as Bangladesh’s Nobel-winning leader pledges support

Updated 19 September 2024
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New hope in Rohingya camps as Bangladesh’s Nobel-winning leader pledges support

COX’S BAZAR: Mohammad Jamal heard about Dr. Muhammad Yunus long before the economist became the head of Bangladesh’s new government last month. Like many other Rohingya refugees, he is now pinning his hopes on the Nobel prizewinner changing his life.

An internationally renowned microfinance pioneer who in 2006 was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his work, Yunus was appointed to lead Bangladesh’s interim administration following the ousting of veteran prime minister Sheikh Hasina.

With strong ties to the international community, donors and Western governments, he has promised reforms and also support to the 1.2 million Rohingya refugees that Bangladesh is hosting.

“We have heard of Dr. Yunus earlier many times. He raised his voice for our wellbeing in different international media earlier also. Since he is a Nobel laureate, people know him across the world as well (as) in Bangladesh. He is a very good person,” said Jamal, a 27-year-old living in a refugee camp in Cox’s Bazar.

A coastal district in Bangladesh’s east, Cox’s Bazar became the world’s largest refugee settlement with the arrival of hundreds of thousands of Rohingya fleeing death in neighboring Myanmar during a military crackdown in 2017.

Referred to as ethnic cleansing and genocide by various UN agencies, International Criminal Court officials, human rights groups and governments, the global outrage over the violence against the Rohingya initially brought robust aid to Bangladesh to help it support them, but it has rapidly declined over the years, especially since the COVID-19 pandemic.

The World Food Programme last year even resorted to reducing the value of its food assistance to those living in Cox’s Bazar camps.

As Yunus has been credited with lifting millions of Bangladeshis out of poverty through his microlending programs, the Rohingya believe he will find a way to help them, too.

“Refugee life is not a dignified one. For everything, we need to ask or depend on aid. If we could be provided with some livelihood training and then informal working opportunities, it would make us self-reliant to some extent,” said Amena Begum, a 38-year-old mother of three.

“I heard that he spent years of his life for the well-being of the rural people, especially for empowering the women. So, I hope that he will take some initiatives for changing the fate of the Rohingya women also.”

In his first major government policy address in late August, Yunus pledged that his government “will continue to support the million-plus Rohingya people sheltered in Bangladesh” and that it needs the “sustained efforts of the international community for Rohingya humanitarian operations and their eventual repatriation to their homeland, Myanmar, with safety, dignity and full rights.”

Despite multiple attempts from Bangladeshi authorities, a UN-backed repatriation and resettlement process for the Rohingya has failed to take off for the past few years, as in Myanmar they are denied the most basic rights.

Currently, it is also not possible as violence in their home Rakhine state has escalated in recent months amid fighting between Myanmar’s ruling junta and the Arakan Army, a powerful ethnic militia.

With a new wave of those fleeing Myanmar for Bangladesh, Yunus earlier this month called for a fast-tracked third-country resettlement of Rohingya — a plan that has been on the table for years but has so far resulted in insignificant response abroad.

But before that happens, refugees hope there are ways in which Yunus’s government will improve on the previous regime’s handling of the crisis.

With Bangladesh not being a signatory to the 1951 UN Refugee Convention, the Rohingya do not have access to formal education and cannot be legally employed to earn their livelihood.

“As a Nobel peace laureate, I hope he will stand beside the genocide survivors and oppressed Rohingyas, (that) he will provide us with better education opportunities until we get the chance of repatriation,” said Mohammad Rizwan, 26-year-old Rohingya volunteer and activist in Cox’s Bazar.

“As a Nobel laureate, he understands the importance of the rights for human beings and the agony of having a life without rights. That’s why we are expecting that, Dr. Yunus will do something new for us.”


India’s Modi to visit US for Quad meeting, UN summit

Updated 19 September 2024
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India’s Modi to visit US for Quad meeting, UN summit

NEW DELHI:Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will take part in the Quad Leaders’ Summit hosted by US President Joe Biden and attend the UN’s Summit of the Future in New York as part of his upcoming visit to America, the Ministry of External Affairs said on Thursday.

Modi’s three-day visit to the US will begin on Sept. 21 in Wilmington, Delaware — Biden’s hometown — for the Quad meeting comprising also Japan and Australia.

“The Quad has a very, very full and substantive agenda on this occasion,” India’s Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri told journalists at a press conference in New Delhi.

Misri added that the leaders would also cover health security, climate change, critical and emerging technologies, maritime security and counter-terrorism.

“This upcoming visit offers … the Quad leaders the opportunity to review progress achieved in the last one year and set the agenda for the next year.”

Modi is expected to hold bilateral meetings with Biden, Japanese PM Fumio Kishida and Australian PM Anthony Albanese on the sidelines of the Quad summit.

This is the fourth leaders’ summit of the Quad — a four-state strategic security dialogue — which positions itself against China’s growing-assertiveness in the Asia-Pacific region.

Modi’s US trip will also see the 74-year-old premier attend a gathering organized by the Indian diaspora in Long Island, New York, as well as a business roundtable with leaders of US tech companies.

“The prime minister will also be attending a business roundtable with CEOs of leading US companies in the cutting-edge areas of artificial intelligence, semiconductors, quantum computing and biotechnology,” Misri said, adding that details of attendees are still being finalized.

On his last day in the US, Modi will speak at the UN’s Summit of the Future, where world leaders are expected to address current and emerging global challenges.

India’s foreign ministry did not confirm that Modi would meet with former US President Donald Trump as a part of the visit, after the Republican presidential nominee announced it on Wednesday.

In 2019, Trump joined Modi at a “Howdy Modi” rally in Houston, Texas, that drew about 50,000 people and was billed as one of the largest receptions of a foreign leader in the US.

When Trump made his inaugural visit to India in February 2020, Modi hosted him in his home state of Gujarat, where the “Namaste Trump” welcome event was attended by around 100,000 people.


Portugal tackles last of deadly northern forest fires

Updated 19 September 2024
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Portugal tackles last of deadly northern forest fires

  • The wildfires, which sprang up over the weekend fed by crushing heat and strong winds, have killed five people, four of them firefighters
  • Another 77 people were injured, 12 of them seriously

AGUEDA, Portugal: Portugal’s firefighters have mastered most of the deadly forest fires in the north of the country, according to official data Thursday.
And improving weather conditions have raised hopes that they could extinguish the last of the blazes by the end of the day.
The wildfires, which sprang up over the weekend fed by crushing heat and strong winds, have killed five people, four of them firefighters. Another 77 people were injured, 12 of them seriously.
By late morning on Thursday the civil protection service website said 1,200 firefighters were battling the six remaining fires in the northern districts of Aveiro and Viseu.
A day earlier, 3,900 firefighters were tackling 42 active fires, supported by more than a thousand vehicles and around 30 aircraft.
But overnight, the teams brought several blazes in villages in the Aveiro region covering a front of around 100 kilometers (60 miles) under control.
Temperatures have dropped since the weekend and rain is forecast for Friday.
But there has been extensive damage in the north and center of the country, much of it to the eucalyptus groves there.
One estimate issued Wednesday by the Copernicus observatory said at least 15,000 hectares (37,000 acres) of vegetation had been destroyed.
And data from the European Forest Fires Information System (Effis) said the total area hit by the recent fires came to 100,000 hectares: 10 times more than the area burnt since the beginning of summer.
Dozens of houses were also destroyed or damaged.


Outgoing NATO chief urges allies ‘to be willing to pay the price for peace’

Updated 19 September 2024
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Outgoing NATO chief urges allies ‘to be willing to pay the price for peace’

BRUSSELS: NATO’s current military spending target will not be enough to protect the alliance as it braces for an increasingly assertive Russia, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg is expected to say in his farewell speech later on Thursday.
“We have to be willing to pay the price for peace. The more money, the stronger our defenses, the more effective our deterrence, the greater our security,” Stoltenberg will say according to prepared remarks.
“The good news is that we have delivered on the pledge we made ten years ago (to spend 2 percent of GDP on defense). But the bad news is that this is no longer enough to keep us safe.”
Stoltenberg, a former prime minister of Norway who has led NATO since 2014, will hand over to Dutch former Prime Minister Mark Rutte on Oct 1.