Russia launches drone attack on Kyiv for second night, Ukraine says

A man walks past a building damaged by a Russian military strike in seen in the town of Pokrovsk, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 17, 2024. (Reuters)
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Updated 27 October 2024
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Russia launches drone attack on Kyiv for second night, Ukraine says

Russia launched a multi-wave drone attack on Kyiv for the second straight night, the military administration of the Ukrainian capital said on Sunday.
“It seems that now every night, without long breaks, the Russian armed forces attack the peaceful city of Kyiv,” Serhiy Popko, head of the military administration said on Telegram messaging app.
“Last night, the enemy made another attack on the capital.”
He added that Russia launched around 10 drones in several waves, from different directions and at different heights, but Ukrainian air defense units destroyed all of the weapons on their approach to the city.
No injuries or major damage were reported, Popko added. He said that the Air Force will release data on the full-scale of the overnight attack on Ukraine later on Sunday. 
Meanwhile, Moscow's defence ministry said on Sunday that Russia shot down 51 Ukrainian drones from above several regions, including near the border.
Eighteen were intercepted in the Tambov region, about 400 kilometers (250 miles) from the Ukrainian border, and 16 in the area of the border town Belgorod, the ministry said in a statement on Telegram.
The others were shot down in the regions of Oryol, Briansk, Lipetsk and Voronej.

Both sides deny targeting civilians in the war that Russia started with its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. But thousands of civilians have died, the vast majority of them Ukrainians.
Russia’s drone attack on Kyiv on Saturday killed one and damaged high-rise residential building.


Putin says Moscow will respond if West helps Ukraine to strike deep into Russia

Updated 7 min 15 sec ago
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Putin says Moscow will respond if West helps Ukraine to strike deep into Russia

  • Putin says defense ministry exploring responses
  • Russia has changed nuclear doctrine
  • Putin says NATO would have to help strikes by Ukraine

MOSCOW: President Vladimir Putin said on Sunday that Russia’s defense ministry was working on different ways to respond if the United States and its NATO allies help Ukraine to strike deep into Russia with long-range Western missiles.
The 2-1/2-year-old Ukraine war has triggered the biggest confrontation between Russia and the West since the depths of the Cold War, and Russian officials say the war is now entering its most dangerous phase.
Russia has been signalling to the United States and its allies for weeks that if they give permission to Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory with Western-supplied missiles, then Moscow will consider it a major escalation.
Putin said on Sept. 12 that Western approval for such a step would mean “the direct involvement of NATO countries, the United States and European countries in the war in Ukraine” because NATO military infrastructure and personnel would have to be involved in the targeting and firing of the missiles.
Putin said that it was too early to say exactly how Russia would react to such a move but that Moscow would have to respond accordingly and different options were being examined.
“(The Russian defense ministry) is thinking about how to respond to the possible long-range strikes on Russian territory, it will offer a range of responses,” Putin told Russian state TV’s top Kremlin reporter, Pavel Zarubin.
With Russia advancing at the fastest rate in eastern Ukraine since the first months of the invasion, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been pleading with the West to allow Kyiv to fire deep into Russia with Western missiles.
Hitting Russia
The United States has not said publicly if it will allow Ukraine to strike Russia, but some US officials are deeply skeptical that doing so would make a significant difference in the war.
Ukrainian forces already strike deep into Russia on a regular basis with long-range drones.
Putin, who ordered thousands of troops into Ukraine in 2022 after eight years of fighting in eastern Ukraine, casts the war as a battle between Russia and the declining West, which he says ignored Russia’s interests after the 1991 Soviet collapse.
Ukraine and its Western allies say Putin unleashed an imperial-style war against its smaller neighbor and have repeatedly said that if Russia wins the war then autocratic countries across the world will be emboldened.
Just weeks before the US presidential election, Putin changed Russia’s
nuclear doctrine
in what the Kremlin said was an attempt to signal Russia’s concern over Western discussions about missile strikes from Ukraine.
Asked if the West had heard Russia’s warnings, Putin told Zarubin: “I hope they have heard. Because, of course, we will have to make some decisions for ourselves, too.”
Putin said that only NATO officers would be able to fire such weapons into Russia and that they would need to use Western satellite data for targeting the weapons so the question is really “whether they will allow themselves to strike deep into Russian territory or not. That is the question.”
US officials say the United States is not seeking to escalate the conflict.
How a new US president will approach the war is unclear: former US president Donald Trump has said he will end the Ukraine war while Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris says she will continue to support Ukraine.


Taiwan reports Chinese ‘combat patrol’ after Beijing slams US arms deal

Updated 24 min 45 sec ago
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Taiwan reports Chinese ‘combat patrol’ after Beijing slams US arms deal

  • The United States is bound by law to provide Chinese-claimed Taiwan with the means to defend itself despite the lack of formal diplomatic ties

TAIPEI/BEIJING: Taiwan’s defense ministry said on Sunday that Chinese warplanes and warships had carried out another “combat patrol” near the island, after Beijing threatened to take countermeasures in response to a $2 billion arms sale package by the United States.
The United States is bound by law to provide Chinese-claimed Taiwan with the means to defend itself despite the lack of formal diplomatic ties, to the constant anger of Beijing.
The Pentagon said on Friday the United States had approved a potential $2 billion arms sale package to Taiwan, including the delivery for the first time to the island of an advanced air defense missile system battle-tested in Ukraine.
Taiwan’s defense ministry said it had detected 19 Chinese military aircraft, including Su-30 fighter jets, carrying out a “joint combat readiness patrol” around Taiwan in conjunction with Chinese warships starting on Sunday morning.
It said the Chinese aircraft flew in airspace to the north, center, southwest and east of Taiwan, and that Taiwanese forces were dispatched to keep watch.
China’s defense ministry did not answer calls seeking comment outside normal office hours.
China stages such patrols around Taiwan several times a month, but this was the first since Beijing held a new round of full-blown war games near the island this month.
In a statement late on Saturday, China’s foreign ministry said it strongly condemned and firmly opposed the latest US weapons sales and had lodged “solemn representations” with Washington.
China urges the United States to immediately stop arming Taiwan and stop its dangerous moves that undermine peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, it added.
“China will take resolute countermeasures and take all measures necessary to firmly defend national sovereignty, security and territorial integrity,” the ministry said, without elaborating.
China has over the past five years stepped up its military activities around democratically governed Taiwan, whose government rejects Beijing’s sovereignty claims.
Taiwan’s government has welcomed the new arms sale, the 17th to the island under US President Joe Biden’s administration.
“In the face of China’s threats, Taiwan is duty-bound to protect its homeland, and will continue to demonstrate its determination to defend itself,” Taiwan’s foreign ministry said on Saturday, responding to the arms sale.


Death toll in Philippine storm rises to 100

Updated 27 October 2024
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Death toll in Philippine storm rises to 100

MaANLA: Rescuers in the Philippines were diving into a lake and scouring isolated villages on Sunday to locate dozens of missing people as the death toll from Tropical Storm Trami hit 100.
Trami, which rammed into the Philippines on October 24, was among the deadliest storms to hit the Southeast Asian country this year.
According to the national disaster agency, it forced more than half a million people to flee their homes and at least 36 people remain missing.
Police in the hardest-hit Bicol region have recorded 38 deaths, most due to drowning.
“We are still receiving many calls and we are trying to save as many people as we can,” Bicol regional police director Andre Dizon told AFP.
“Hopefully, there will be no more deaths.”
Dizon added that “many residents” in the region’s Camarines Sur province are still trapped on roofs and the upper floors of their homes.
The death toll in Batangas, south of Manila, has risen to 55, provincial police chief Jacinto Malinao told AFP.
Two were reported dead in separate incidents of electrocution and drowning in Cavite province, police said.
Five more bodies were recovered in other provinces, bringing the total to 100, according to an AFP tally based on official police and disaster agency sources.
“A higher death toll is possible in the coming days since rescuers can now reach previously isolated places,” Edgar Posadas of the Civil Defense Office told AFP.
The police, coast guards and a Marines diving team were searching on Sunday for a family of seven at Taal Lake in Batangas.
“The waters from the mountains hit their home in Balete town, causing it to be swept away with them possibly inside,” Malinao, the provincial police chief, said.
Most of the deaths in Batangas have been attributed to rain-induced landslides.
More than 20 bodies were pulled from heaps of mud, boulders and fallen trees, while police said at least another 20 people in the province are still missing.
“We will continue searching until all bodies are retrieved,” Malinao said.
The national disaster agency said Sunday that about 560,000 people had been displaced by floods, which submerged hundreds of villages in swaths of the northern Philippines.
About 20 big storms and typhoons hit the archipelago nation or its surrounding waters each year, damaging homes and infrastructure and killing dozens of people.
A recent study showed that storms in the Asia-Pacific region are increasingly forming closer to coastlines, intensifying more rapidly and lasting longer over land due to climate change.


Netanyahu hoping for Trump’s triumph in US presidential race, say analysts

Updated 27 October 2024
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Netanyahu hoping for Trump’s triumph in US presidential race, say analysts

  • An isolationist, Trump as a Republican president might give Netanyahu more freedom to navigate the conflicts that continue to rage in Gaza and Lebanon
  • “His experience with Republicans is very good... unlike with the Democrats who are much tougher on him,” says former Netanyahu chief of staff

JERUSALEM: With the US presidential election heading into the home stretch, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will likely be hoping for Donald Trump to return to the White House.
Trump’s last time in office was good for Netanyahu, and in the lead-up to the November 5 vote, the former president has sent mixed messages on his Middle East policy.
His remarks have ranged from encouraging Netanyahu to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities — which Israel refrained from in its strikes Saturday — to criticizing the Israeli leader, saying “the October 7 attack would never have happened if I was president” and that he will pressure Israel to end the wars.
Yet it is these unclear policies, combined with Trump’s “make America great again” campaign slogan, that analysts say Netanyahu is hoping for.
An isolationist, Trump as a Republican president might give Netanyahu more freedom to navigate the conflicts that continue to rage in Gaza and Lebanon.
“One of Netanyahu’s milestones is the US election. He is praying for a Trump victory, which he thinks will give him a lot of freedom of movement, which will let him do what he aspires,” Gidon Rahat, political science professor at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, told AFP.
Aviv Bushinsky, a political commentator and Netanyahu’s former chief of staff, similarly said: “His experience with Republicans is very good... unlike with the Democrats who are much tougher on him.”

Pro-Israel moves

In 17 years as prime minister, Netanyahu has only served opposite one Republican leader, Trump.
During his presidency, Trump went ahead with several moves that boosted Netanyahu’s domestic standing while upending some long-standing US policies on Israel, its conflict with the Palestinians and the wider region.
The Republican president moved the US embassy to Jerusalem, which Israel claims as its undivided capital, recognized Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Golan Heights, and oversaw the normalization of ties between three Arab states and Israel.
Trump also withdrew from a landmark nuclear deal with Israel’s arch-foe Iran and reimposed tough economic sanctions on the Islamic republic.
President Joe Biden, meanwhile, has long had a frosty relationship with Netanyahu despite insisting on his “ironclad support” for Israel.
Unlike Trump, Biden had warned Netanyahu against striking Iran’s oil production and nuclear facilities.
Trump and Netanyahu also enjoy a close personal relationship, with the former US president boasting this week of having had frequent phone calls with the Israeli premier.
“We have a very good relationship,” Trump said at a rally in Georgia. “We’re going to work with them very closely.”
Those positives will outweigh any concerns, said Bushinsky.
“I think Netanyahu would be willing to take the risk of Trump’s unpredictability,” he said.

Trump popular with Israeli public

Trump is popular not just with Netanyahu but with the Israeli public.
An opinion poll conducted in September by Mitvim, the Israel Institute for Regional Foreign Policies, said 68 percent of Israelis see Trump as the candidate who will best serve Israel’s interests.
Only 14 percent chose Vice President Kamala Harris, despite her repeatedly declaring her support for Israel and its right to defend itself.
“In Israel, more than any other liberal democracy outside the United States, Trump is more popular than Harris,” said Nadav Tamir, a former Israeli diplomat to the United States and a member of Mitvim’s board of directors.
A new Trump administration, though, could come with surprises, according to Tamir.
The former president has increasingly surrounded himself with Republicans “who are isolationists and don’t want America to be the leader of the free world or international alliances,” he said.

No better choice for Palestinians
Among Palestinians there is little enthusiasm for either candidate, said Khalil Shikaki, a Palestinian political scientist and pollster.
“Palestinians distrust both candidates and see little difference between them,” he said.
Taher Al-Nunu, a Hamas official, told AFP that he believed “successive US administrations have always been biased” toward Israel.
On the street, Palestinians said no matter who wins, life in their territories will not improve.
“I do not believe that the American elections will have a positive impact on our political reality,” said Leen Bassem, a 21-year-old student at Birzeit University in the occupied West Bank.
Hassan Anwar, 42, a sound engineer, also said he did not believe there was any difference, “because American policy is completely clear in its support and backing of Israel.”
 


Indonesian forests pay the price for the growing global biomass energy demand

Updated 27 October 2024
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Indonesian forests pay the price for the growing global biomass energy demand

  • Biomass is organic material like plants, wood and waste, and many coal-fired power plants can be easily modified to burn it alongside coal to make energy

JAKARTA, Indonesia: Enormous swathes of pristine forest are being cut down across Indonesia to supply the rapidly rising international demand for biomass material seen as critical to many countries’ transitions to cleaner forms of energy.
Nearly all of the biomass from forests destroyed for wood pellet production since 2021 has been shipped to South Korea and Japan, The Associated Press found in an examination of satellite images, company records and Indonesian export data. Both countries have provided millions of dollars to support the development of biomass production and use in Indonesia.
Indonesia’s state-run utility also has plans to dramatically increase the amount of biomass it burns to make electricity.
Experts and environmentalists fear the rising international and domestic demand, coupled with weak domestic regulation, will accelerate deforestation at the same time it prolongs the use of highly polluting fossil fuels. Biomass is organic material like plants, wood and waste, and many coal-fired power plants can be easily modified to burn it alongside coal to make energy.
“Biomass production — which is only recently starting to be seen on an industrial scale in Indonesia — is a dire new threat to the country’s forests,” said Timer Manurung, director of Auriga Nusantara, an environmental and conservation organization in Indonesia.
As countries accelerate their energy transitions, demand for biomass is growing: The use of bioenergy has increased an average of about 3 percent per year between 2010 and 2022, the International Energy Agency said.
Experts including the IEA say it’s important for that demand to happen in a sustainable way, such as using waste and crop residue rather than converting forest land to grow bioenergy crops. Deforestation contributes to erosion, damages biodiverse areas, threatens wildlife and humans who rely on the forest and intensifies disasters from extreme weather.
And many scientists and environmentalists have rejected the use of biomass altogether. They say burning wood-based biomass can emit more carbon than coal and tree-cutting greatly reduces forests’ ability to remove carbon from the atmosphere. Critics also say that using biomass to co-fire, instead of transitioning directly to clean energy, simply prolongs the use of coal.
In Indonesia, biomass production is causing deforestation across the archipelago.
Auriga Nusantara reports that more than 9,740 hectares (24,070 acres) of forest have been cleared in areas where biomass production is permitted since 2020. Permits have been issued for over 1.4 million hectares (3,459,475 acres) of energy plantation forests in Indonesia, with over one-third of that land being undisturbed forest. Over half of these concession areas are the habitat of flagship species such as sumatran rhino, elephants, orangutans and tigers, said Manurung.
In the carbon-rich forests of Gorontalo, Sulawesi, the felling, shredding and shipping of old trees to make energy-dense wood pellets has been streamlined. Over 3,000 hectares (7,410 acres) of forest have been razed in a concession owned by Banyan Tumbuh Lestari, from 2021 to 2024, according to satellite analysis shared with AP by international environmental organization Mighty Earth. An additional 2,850 hectares (7,040 acres) were cleared for logging roads.
After trees are cut down, they’re turned into wood pellets at a facility near the concessions owned by Biomasa Jaya Abadi, the largest exporter of wood pellets from Indonesia from 2021-2023, according to data Auriga Nusantara compiled from the Indonesian Ministry of Environment and Forestry database. The database has no records of wood pellet exports prior to 2020.
Biomasa Jaya Abadi did not respond to repeated requests for interviews or comment. Banyan Tumbuh Lestari do not have contact information publicly available; AP contacted their main shareholders seeking comment but got no response. Indonesia’s ministries of Environment and Forestry; Energy and Mineral Resources and Maritime Affairs and Investment did not respond to requests for comment.
Nearly all of Indonesia’s wood pellet production is shipped overseas to meet international demand, said Alloysius Joko Purwanto, an energy economist at the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia.
Most of Indonesia’s wood pellets went to South Korea (61 percent) and Japan (38 percent) from 2021-2023, according to government data.
“It’s clear that Japan and South Korea’s governments are trying to buy more biomass from Indonesia to lower their own domestic emissions,” said Bhima Yudhistira, executive director of the Indonesia-based Center of Economic and Law Studies.
Both countries have provided millions of dollars of financial support toward the development of biomass in Indonesia through research, policy, construction and other support, according to a review of publicly available business and government agreements by AP.
South Korea’s Forest Service, which drives South Korea’s biomass expansion and policy, did not reply to requests for comment. Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries also did not respond to a request for comment.
The promotion of biomass production and use has coincided with the ramping-up of Indonesia’s domestic biomass use.
The country’s state electricity company, Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), plans to implement 10 percent biomass co-firing for 52 coal plants across the country. PLN estimates that would take 8 million tons of biomass a year — far greater than the wood pellet industry’s capacity at the end of 2023 of less than 1 million tons, according to Indonesian civil society organization Trend Asia.
To achieve PLN’s ambitions, a 66 percent increase in forest plantation land would be needed — “which would likely come at the expense of intact, carbon-rich and carbon-absorbing forests,” according to a report by Mighty Earth.
PLN spokesperson Gregorius Adi Trianto told AP that the company’s plan relied on biomass from “organic waste such as tree branches, rice waste, and wood industry waste ... rather than from actively logged forests.”
With Indonesia lacking clear regulations and oversight of its expanding biomass industry, experts fear deforestation is likely to spike for years to come.
“We’re already far behind when it comes to monitoring and regulating issues around biomass production in Indonesia,” said Yudhistira. “There’s definitely a lack of due diligence, and forests are suffering.”