Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

Brent crude oil futures were up 29 cents, or 0.39 percent, at $75.21 per barrel by 10:00 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 07 November 2024
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Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

  • US dollar near four-month high as markets digest Trump win
  • China may face Iran crude squeeze if Trump ramps up sanctions
  • China’s October crude oil imports fall

SINGAPORE: Oil prices ticked up on Thursday following a sell-off triggered by the US presidential election, as risks to oil supply from a Trump presidency and a hurricane building in the Gulf Coast outweighed a stronger dollar and lower crude imports in top importer China.

Brent crude oil futures were up 29 cents, or 0.39 percent, at $75.21 per barrel by 10:00 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 18 cents or 0.25 percent to $71.87.

Concerns around a Trump presidency squeezing oil supply from Iran and Venezuela as well as an approaching storm “more than offset the post-election impact of a stronger US dollar and ... higher-than-expected US inventories,” Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.

Trump’s election had initially triggered a sell-off that pushed oil prices down by more than $2 as the US dollar rose to its highest level since September 2022. But the front-month contracts pared losses to settle down 61 cents for Brent and 30 cents for WTI by the end of the Wednesday session.

“Historically, Trump’s policies have been pro-business, which likely supports overall economic growth and increases demand for fuel. However, any interference in the Fed’s easing policies could lead to further challenges for the oil market,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“With the bumper surge in the dollar hovering at near 4-month highs, oil seems to be talking massive headwinds in the aftermath of the US election results.”

The upside to oil markets may be limited to the short to medium term as OPEC is expected to increase supply capacity in January, while historical trends do not suggest sanctions will prevent India and China from continuing to purchase oil from Russia or Iran, Sachdeva said.

Crude oil imports in China, the world’s largest crude importer, fell 9 percent in October, posting a sixth consecutive monthly year-on-year decline as a plant closure at a state oil refinery adds to weaker demand from independent refiners, data showed on Thursday.

Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his “maximum pressure policy” of sanctions on Iranian oil. That could cut supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to an Energy Aspect estimate.

Trump in his first term had also put in place harsher sanctions on Venezuelan oil, measures that were briefly rolled back by the Biden administration but later reinstated.

In North America, Hurricane Rafael intensified into a category 3 hurricane on Wednesday, and about 17 percent of crude oil production or 304,418 barrels per day in the US Gulf of Mexico had been shut in response, the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.

US crude inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels to 427.7 million barrels in the week ending on Nov. 1, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, compared with expectations for a 1.1 million-barrel rise.


UAE banking sector’s net international reserves grow 11% by July 2024

Updated 07 November 2024
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UAE banking sector’s net international reserves grow 11% by July 2024

RIYADH: The UAE’s banking sector saw a significant increase in its net international reserves, which rose by 11.1 percent— or 127.5 billion dirhams ($34.3 billion) — during the first seven months of 2024.

By the end of July, the reserves totaled 1.273 trillion dirhams, up from 1.145 trillion dirhams at the close of 2023.

According to the Central Bank of the UAE’s June statistical bulletin, the central bank’s share of these reserves stood at 771.6 billion dirhams at the end of July, reflecting a 14.6 percent increase compared to 673.42 billion dirhams at the end of 2023. Meanwhile, the net international reserves of banks operating in the UAE amounted to 501.6 billion dirhams, marking a 6.22 percent rise from 472.2 billion dirhams at the end of last year.

The bulletin also highlighted a notable increase in the central bank’s gold reserves, which grew by 23.5 percent year on year to 21.28 billion dirhams by July’s end, up from 17.226 billion dirhams in July 2023. Over the first seven months of 2024, gold reserves increased by 17.3 percent, from 18.147 billion dirhams at the close of 2023.

In terms of banking operations, the value of transfers processed through the UAE Financial Transfer System exceeded 11.13 trillion dirhams during the first seven months of 2024, reflecting a 17 percent year-on-year growth from 9.5 trillion dirhams in the same period in 2023.

Monthly remittance values were as follows: 1.512 trillion dirhams in January, 1.449 trillion dirhams in February, 1.565 trillion dirhams in March, 1.592 trillion dirhams in April, 1.78 trillion dirhams in May, 1.42 trillion dirhams in June, and 1.81 trillion dirhams in July.

Additionally, the central bank’s data revealed that the value of cheques cleared via image technology totaled 765.08 billion dirhams across more than 13 million cheques during the first seven months of 2024.

The bulletin also showed that cash deposits at the central bank reached 111.4 billion dirhams during the period, while cash withdrawals totaled 120.3 billion dirhams.


MODON signs contracts worth over $533m to establish industrial complexes in Makkah, Al-Kharj

Updated 07 November 2024
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MODON signs contracts worth over $533m to establish industrial complexes in Makkah, Al-Kharj

JEDDAH: Agreements to invest over SR2 billion ($533 million) in new industrial complexes will bring growth and job opportunities to Saudi Arabia’s cities of Makkah and Al-Kharj, advancing Vision 2030.

The Saudi Authority for Industrial Cities and Technology Zones, or MODON, signed two contracts with Albaddad Holding to establish complexes within the second industrial cities in both boroughs. 

The inking ceremony took place under the patronage of the Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources, Bandar Alkhorayef.

Under the contracts, the company is responsible for developing the infrastructure and constructing ready-made and prefabricated buildings to create a fully integrated complex that supports industrial objectives. 

It will also improve production efficiency and enhance added value and sustainable growth opportunities, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

The agreements were signed by MODON’s CEO, Majed Rafed Al-Argoubi, and Zayed bin Hussein Al-Baddad, CEO of Albaddad Holding, in the presence of the company’s chairman, Al-Fateen bin Hussein Al-Baddad.

The initiative aligns with MODON’s vision to be the preferred destination for investment growth and the leading partner for industrial and technology ecosystems, fostering an enabling environment that enhances business sustainability and contributes to national economic development.

These efforts support the goals of Saudi Arabia’s National Industrial Strategy and the Vision 2030 objective of transforming the Kingdom into a leading industrial powerhouse.

The Makkah project is MODON’s first privately developed complex, spanning over 1.3 million sq. meters with an investment of SR1.75 billion. 

It aims to localize promising industries through advanced production technology, create 5,000 jobs, and boost national exports, with up to 60 percent of its output targeting markets in Africa, Europe, the Americas, and countries including Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan, as well as Iraq.

MODON has also launched several development projects in the second industrial city of Makkah, which is over 4.3 million sq. meters in size, including integrated infrastructure enhanced with essential services and innovative products.

This includes a new 200 megavolt-amperes substation to foster a competitive industrial environment promoting growth and sustainability.

The Al-Kharj industrial complex, spanning over 307,000 sq. meters with an investment of SR375 million, is expected to create approximately 1,000 jobs, supporting industries such as construction, exhibitions, and sports as well as cultural and entertainment events.

It will also enhance the iron, aluminum, glass, and PVC textile industries, with plans to export 60 percent of its production to neighboring Gulf countries.

Through these efforts, MODON is driving industrial growth in the Kingdom by developing and managing distinguished industrial cities and technology zones in collaboration with the public and private sectors.

Currently, the developed land area across 37 industrial cities in Saudi Arabia exceeds 215 million sq. meters, housing approximately 6,882 industrial facilities.


Logistics and healthcare startups to get boost from Saudi government, assistant deputy minister says

Updated 07 November 2024
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Logistics and healthcare startups to get boost from Saudi government, assistant deputy minister says

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is set to launch multiple programs to boost its rapidly expanding startup ecosystem, focusing on the healthcare and logistics sectors, according to a senior official.

Speaking to Arab News on the sidelines of Biban 24 in Riyadh, the Assistant Deputy Minister of Entrepreneurship at the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology, Mohammed Al-Ariefy, highlighted that these programs will be unveiled at the forum in the coming days.

These initiatives are designed to empower startups with resources and opportunities that align with the Kingdom’s ambitions to lead tech-driven industries and accelerate growth in its digital economy.

“We’re planning to launch multiple programs at Biban that focus on partnerships within logistics and healthcare. One of these is a hackathon that we’re calling the Tech Challenges, which will be launched in the next two days at Biban,” Al-Ariefy said.

He continued: “But we utilize Biban, not only to launch or sign MoUs (memorandum of understanding), but to be a part of this great ecosystem, and (we are) thanking Monsha’at for their great support and organizing such beautiful events (that) are very vibrant and very active.”

He added that these tech challenges aim to identify real-world business challenges within specific sectors, like logistics and healthcare, that these companies or industries face.

Once these challenges are identified, the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology helps create or support startups aimed explicitly at developing solutions. 

Al-Ariefy further outlined a strategic focus within the ministry on growing the technology sector by supporting both large corporations and agile startups.

“The technology sector has big tech large corporations, big technology companies that are growing and performing very, very well, and we will continue to work with them and closely,” he said.

Al-Ariefy added: “Then we have the entrepreneurs. If we take one example, there are many startups that started just three or four years ago, and now they have 1,000 employees, and they are contributing to the GDP and to the technology sector and the Kingdom significantly.”

The ministry’s overarching vision is to grow the tech sector’s contribution to the economy, which requires a dual approach, retaining the growth momentum of established companies while also fostering an environment where startups can flourish.

Al-Ariefy underscored that startups in particular are seen as crucial because their speed and flexibility make it easier for them to expand and adapt, adding jobs and increasing economic output at a faster pace.

“Startups tend to scale faster, run (more) agile, so it is easier to grow faster and easier to help us increase the contribution to the economy from digital companies, as well as technology jobs,” he said.

Al-Ariefy highlighted the startup zone at Biban 24, which is focused on promoting and supporting new companies by providing them with opportunities to network, connect with potential investors and customers, and collaborate with other businesses.

The ministry also seeks to promote sector-agnostic technological advancement across real estate, finance, healthcare, and sustainable construction by enabling startups to adopt deep-tech and emerging systems that are reshaping these industries.

“We focus on the technology side. We focus on introducing more emerging and deep technology, providing support that helps startups or founders adopt those technologies, whether they choose to adopt it in proptech or in real estate, health, education or in any other sector,” he said.


Biban 24 sees deals worth over $359m on its 2nd day

Updated 07 November 2024
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Biban 24 sees deals worth over $359m on its 2nd day

RIYADH:  Agreements totaling SR1.35 billion ($359 million) were signed on the second day of Biban 24, a key event focused on supporting startups and small and medium enterprises in Saudi Arabia.

The agreements, finalized during the forum organized by the General Authority for Small and Medium Enterprises, also known as Monsha’at, are set to benefit a range of entrepreneurial initiatives across the Kingdom. The event, held under the theme “A Global Destination for Opportunities,” aims to enhance financial support and empower SMEs, fostering growth in the national economy.

Among the most notable agreements was a memorandum of cooperation between Monsha’at and the Qatar Development Bank. The partnership seeks to strengthen joint training programs, develop accelerators and incubators, and support innovation initiatives to benefit entrepreneurial projects.

Another key agreement was signed between Monsha’at and Milton International, aimed at providing further support to startups and fostering billion-dollar business collaborations between the two organizations.

Monsha’at also entered into a cooperation agreement with Arab National Bank to launch a business accelerator focused on financial technology, designed to bolster the growth of fintech enterprises.

The event also saw the signing of a memorandum of understanding with the National Events Center to support entrepreneurship within the events sector. This collaboration will involve launching competitions to address challenges through an innovation center.

In another significant move, Monsha’at partnered with Noon Co. to enhance its Mahali platform. This initiative will help local businesses develop online stores and tap into new sales opportunities, promoting competitive, locally-produced goods throughout the Kingdom.

These agreements are part of Monsha’at’s broader strategy to drive the growth and competitiveness of SMEs by forging partnerships with key industry players, both locally and internationally.

 


Energy efficiency investment to hit $660bn in 2024: IEA

Updated 07 November 2024
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Energy efficiency investment to hit $660bn in 2024: IEA

  • Skilled labor shortages and cooling solutions among key challenges, IEA warns

RIYADH: The International Energy Agency has projected global investment in energy efficiency to reach a record $660 billion in 2024, maintaining the levels seen in 2022.

Significant increases are expected in emerging markets, with Africa anticipated to see a 60 percent rise, the Middle East a 40 percent increase, and Latin America a 20 percent boost.

Despite this positive growth, the Energy Efficiency 2024 report emphasizes that to meet net-zero targets by 2030, global investment in energy efficiency needs to rise to $1.9 trillion.

A major hurdle in achieving these ambitious targets is the ongoing shortage of skilled labor in the energy sector. The IEA report highlights a critical need for workers in specialized fields like HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), heat pump installation, and electrical work to support the growing demand for energy-efficient technologies.

To address this skills gap, the IEA calls for more inclusive policies that encourage greater participation of women in the energy workforce. Women currently represent less than 20 percent of the energy sector, despite making up 39 percent of the global labor force. Increasing women’s representation in the sector could help fill the labor shortage and accelerate energy efficiency progress.

The report also points to the urgent need for energy-efficient cooling solutions in response to rising global temperatures. With 2024 seeing record-breaking heatwaves and soaring air conditioner sales, the IEA stresses that efficient cooling systems can alleviate pressure on electricity grids, especially in regions like Southeast Asia, where efficient air conditioners offer substantial lifetime savings.

These models are becoming increasingly cost-competitive in rapidly growing markets, helping to reduce both energy consumption and grid strain.

The IEA also underscores the critical role that energy efficiency plays in reducing reliance on fossil fuels. In its net-zero emissions by 2050 scenario, the IEA projects that energy efficiency improvements could account for more than a third of the carbon dioxide reductions needed by 2030.

For instance, a transition to electric vehicles and improvements in building insulation could reduce oil demand to levels equivalent to China’s total oil consumption and cut natural gas consumption to levels comparable to Europe’s total use in 2024.

The report highlighted notable progress toward the energy efficiency targets set at the 2023 COP28 summit, where nearly 200 countries committed to doubling the global rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030. The IEA views this as a significant milestone for energy efficiency in global policy.

However, the global energy efficiency improvement rate for 2024 is projected to remain at 1 percent, consistent with the previous year. The report emphasizes that meeting the targets will require a much stronger push in policy implementation and stronger enforcement of energy efficiency measures.

A key driver of progress is electrification, which is expected to increase by nearly 2 percent in 2024. The growing adoption of electric vehicles and energy-efficient air conditioners, especially in regions facing extreme heat like India and Southeast Asia, is accelerating this transition.

The report also highlights regional trends, with China and India projected to see energy efficiency improvements of 1.5 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively. These gains are largely supported by national policies aimed at promoting energy-efficient technologies and encouraging the adoption of EVs.

“China, India, Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America together account for nearly half of global energy demand, positioning these regions as key drivers of global energy efficiency improvements in the years ahead,” the report said.

To support global efforts, the IEA has launched the Energy Efficiency Progress Tracker, a new tool that provides real-time data on national and regional trends in energy intensity, demand, and electrification. This tracker is designed to help policymakers and stakeholders monitor progress and implement actions needed to meet the energy efficiency targets set at COP28.

“The IEA is working more closely than ever with governments to ensure that energy efficiency remains central to secure, affordable, and inclusive energy transitions,” the report concluded. “Well-designed and effectively implemented policies will be essential to achieving these global goals.”