COP29: UN Secretary-General calls for urgent collaboration to halt ‘catastrophic’ climate change

COP29 is being held in Baku, Azerbaijan. UN Climate Change
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Updated 14 November 2024
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COP29: UN Secretary-General calls for urgent collaboration to halt ‘catastrophic’ climate change

RIYADH: UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasized the high stakes of climate inaction in a roundtable discussion held during the ongoing COP29 in Baku. 

At the High-Level Event on the stocktake of “Integrity Matters” at the gathering, global leaders convened to discuss the urgent need for climate action, reflecting on progress, challenges, and the role of non-state actors in achieving net-zero commitments. 

“We are racing the clock,” Guterres said, adding that with extreme weather events bringing “human tragedy and economic destruction worldwide,” the global goal of limiting temperature increases to 1.5 degrees Celsius is becoming progressively more challenging to reach.

Reflecting on the achievements so far, the secretary-general acknowledged the scale of efforts already made, saying: “We did a massive global effort to steer our world onto a pass-through safety, a pass to net zero by mid-century.” 

However, he underscored that these efforts will only bear fruit if supported by stronger collaboration across sectors. Guterres urged “businesses, financial institutions, cities, regions, and more” to align with national governments on climate action plans and make coordinated strides toward decarbonization. 

“We must make sure that governments facilitate the work of other actors in this regard, and not that they complicate the work of other actors in compliance with the 1.5 aligned future,” he said.

In a show of support for the gathered climate leaders and activists, Guterres said: “Time is racing, and you are on the right side of history, and I’m very glad to be here with you.” 

Yet he issued a reminder that while a low-carbon transition is inevitable, “doesn’t mean that it will come on time.” 

He stressed that if delays continue, the consequences for the planet could be catastrophic. 

Brazilian Vice President Geraldo Alckmin also addressed the assembly, outlining his country’s continued dedication to combating global warming through policies targeting deforestation and renewable energy. 

“Brazil has a commitment to fighting climate change,” Alckmin said, adding that in the past two years, the country had achieved a significant 45.7 percent reduction in deforestation rates. 

He detailed Brazil’s efforts to shift toward greener fuels, with 15 percent of the nation’s diesel now comprising biodiesel, a fuel derived from plant oils. Alckmin highlighted that Brazil’s ethanol usage in gasoline, which currently stands at 27 percent, is set to increase to 35 percent in the near future. 
 
Additionally, the South American country is aiming to position itself as a leading producer of sustainable aviation fuel, which could replace kerosene in the flight industry, as part of its broader commitment to green energy. “Brazil will be prepared to be a major producer of SAF ethanol,” he said.

Helena Vines Fiestas, chair of the EU Platform on Sustainable Finance, provided an update on climate policies among the G20 countries, highlighting a surge in policies geared toward supporting non-state actors in their net-zero transitions. 

“All G20 countries now have policies, or some form of policies, to support the transition of non-state actors to net zero further. The number of policies has tripled since 2020,” she reported. 

Fiestas emphasized that while considerable work remains, the international community has demonstrated that net-zero regulation is feasible. “Progress is clear,” she said. “Work lies ahead, but the leaders have demonstrated that regulating on net zero is doable.”

Executive Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Simon Stiell highlighted a new initiative aimed at strengthening transparency in environmental action. He announced that the UNFCCC’s Global Climate Action Portal is undergoing redevelopment to provide better accountability in tracking commitments. 

He shared that the portal would be relaunched shortly after COP29 concludes, and he emphasized the role of the entire global community in driving this agenda forward. 

Washington State Governor Jay Inslee addressed the concerns around recent political shifts in the US, asserting that state-level commitments to climate action would remain the same 

“I know there’s concern about the last election last Tuesday, but I want to make it really clear, if you take anything home from this meeting, this election will not stop, will not slow down, and will not retire the absolute commitment of states to lead this battle against climate change,” he affirmed. 

He added: “Donald Trump can do anything he wants, but he cannot stop me from committing to (tackling) climate change in my state.”

Catherine McKenna, chair of the UN High-Level Expert Group on Net-Zero Emissions Commitments of Non-State Actors, emphasized the urgency of high-integrity net-zero plans in her latest report, titled “Integrity Matters: The Hard Work is Now,” presented during the session. 

“The leaders highlighted in this review show that high-integrity net zero can be achieved. It’s no longer credible for companies, investors, cities, and regions to claim that moving faster on the climate crisis is too difficult or expensive,” McKenna said. She further urged a “much broader range” of stakeholders to establish comprehensive transition plans by 2025.

McKenna’s report, commissioned by Guterres, underscored that while voluntary net-zero pledges have risen, there remains a significant gap in alignment with rigorous standards, particularly in the phasing out of fossil fuels. 

“Voluntary efforts are not sufficient for the scale and pace of change we need to see,” McKenna said, advocating for stronger governmental regulations to ensure credible climate commitments and promote competitive investments. 

She added: “Every fraction of a degree matters, and every tonne of CO2 makes a difference. We must do the hard work now, or we will all face the consequences tomorrow.”

Guterres closed with a reminder of the significant obstacles that remain on the path toward net-zero goals. “We need not only to do the right thing, but we need to fight those that are trying not to allow us to do the right thing,” he said. 
 


Saudi Arabia becoming global leader in tackling labor market challenges: GLMC report 

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Saudi Arabia becoming global leader in tackling labor market challenges: GLMC report 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is emerging as a global leader in addressing labor market challenges, skill development, and workforce requalification, according to a report from the Global Labor Market Conference.

The inaugural report, issued by the conference hosted by the Kingdom’s Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development, emphasized the government’s initiatives to bridge the gap between academic qualifications and market demands. 

These efforts include enhancing education and training programs and preparing young job seekers for the rapidly evolving global labor landscape. 

The findings align with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals, which aim to reduce unemployment from 11.6 percent in 2017 to 7 percent by the end of the decade. The strategy focuses on developing national talent, requalifying the workforce, and driving economic diversification to solidify the Kingdom’s global competitiveness. 

“Saudi Arabia has made significant strides in increasing access to education, improving quality, and promoting inclusive learning opportunities,” the report said. 

The report, based on input from 14,000 participants across 14 countries, highlighted growing global concerns about workforce readiness. Over half of respondents expressed fears that their current skills could become obsolete in the near future, underlining the urgent need for upskilling to meet the demands of a rapidly changing labor market. 

“Respondents, in fact, identified cognitive skills, management skills, as well as socio-emotional skills as the three most critical competencies to succeed in the current labor market.” the report stated. 

The study also highlighted increasing automation as a significant threat to employment across various sectors. It emphasized the growing importance of expertise in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics for success in technology-driven industries.

Although men continue to dominate STEM-related fields, the report highlighted progress in narrowing the gender gap in some countries. “For instance, India has a female graduation rate of 26 percent, followed by Saudi Arabia at 21 percent,” it said. 

The report added that these figures surpass those of European countries and the US, where rates range between 10 and 13 percent. “However, the percentage of STEM degrees obtained by women has stagnated, except in Saudi Arabia,” it stated.  

The second annual Global Labor Market Conference will take place in Riyadh from Jan. 29 to 30, 2025. The event is expected to host over 5,000 attendees, including labor ministers from 40 countries, executives, international experts, and public-sector leaders from more than 50 nations. 

Discussions will center on global labor market challenges and opportunities, further cementing Saudi Arabia’s leadership in workforce development. 


Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook

Updated 36 min 30 sec ago
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Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook

RIYADH: Fitch Ratings has revised Oman’s long-term foreign currency issuer default ratings to positive from stable and affirmed the IDR at BB+, driven by the availability of fiscal tools to combat future shocks. 

According to its latest report, the US-based credit rating agency said that the Gulf country’s ratings were supported by higher gross domestic product per capita, the positive impact of recent budget reforms and decreasing government debt per GDP. 

While Fitch maintains a positive outlook on Oman, its IDR remains lower than that of its regional neighbors, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE. In February, Fitch affirmed the Kingdom’s IDR at A+ with a stable outlook, while the UAE received an AA- rating.

According to the rating agency, a BB rating indicates an elevated vulnerability to default risk, particularly in the event of adverse changes in business or economic conditions over time. However, it also suggests that the company or entity has some financial flexibility to meet its obligations despite the increased risk.

“High dependence on oil revenue, modest financial buffers given high exposure to volatile hydrocarbon prices, and Oman’s net external debtor position weigh on the ratings,” said Fitch. 

Saudi Arabia’s A+ rating indicates the Kingdom’s strong capacity to pay financial commitments and signifies low default risk. 

The analysis added that Oman’s positive outlook also reflects greater confidence in the resilience of public finances and the availability of more fiscal tools to respond to shocks than in the past.

The US-based agency said the Gulf country’s overall GDP is expected to expand by 1.8 percent in 2024, driven by the growth of the non-oil economy. 

“We project overall GDP growth of 1.8 percent in 2024, after 1.2 percent in 2023, supported by non-oil growth of 3.7 percent, while hydrocarbon GDP was hindered by OPEC+ quotas. Domestic consumption, robust foreign investment and tourism will maintain non-oil growth above 3 percent in 2025 and 2026,” added Fitch. 

The analysis added that Oman’s budget surplus is expected to narrow to 0.7 percent of GDP in 2025 and to turn into a minor deficit of 0.2 percent in 2026, assuming that the average price of Brent oil will reach $70 per barrel next year, and $65 per barrel in 2026. 

In November, Moody’s also upgraded Saudi Arabia’s long-term local and foreign currency issuer and senior unsecured ratings to Aa3 from A1. 

Moody’s gives Aa3 ratings to countries with very low credit risk and the best ability to repay short-term debt. 

Fitch downgrades Egypt’s economic growth prospects

In a separate report, Fitch Ratings downgraded Egypt’s economic growth outlook to 3.7 percent for the fiscal year 2024/2025, down from a previous projection of 4.2 percent, driven by disruptions in the Suez Canal. 

The US-based agency added that Egypt’s economy is expected to accelerate to 5.1 percent in 2025/26, up from its previous forecast of 4.7 percent. 

Fitch said that this expected economic growth is driven by the possible normalization of Red Sea navigation and a stronger performance of the services sector due to easing geopolitical risks.

In November, speaking at the Rome MED-Mediterranean Dialogues conference, Egypt’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Badr Abdelatty said that the country had incurred losses amounting to $8 billion due to a significant drop in the Suez Canal revenues. 

The analysis added that the country’s economy is recovering; however, the pace is slower than previously projected. 

In October, the International Monetary Fund said that Egypt’s economy is set to expand by 2.7 percent in the current fiscal year before accelerating to 4.1 percent next year. 

Earlier this month, another report by Fitch Ratings said that general business and operating conditions for financial institutions in Egypt are expected to improve next year. 

In that report, Fitch said that improved investor confidence and healthy foreign currency liquidity conditions are some of the major factors that could strengthen the banking sector in Egypt in 2025. 


FIFA World Cup 2034 to bring positive momentum to Saudi Arabia’s stock market

Updated 19 December 2024
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FIFA World Cup 2034 to bring positive momentum to Saudi Arabia’s stock market

RIYADH: As Saudi Arabia prepares to host the FIFA World Cup in 2034, stock market performance is expected to improve, according to a report.

In its latest analysis, SNB Capital said hosting the major event would also increase the Kingdom’s non-oil gross domestic product by 4 percent to 5 percent in the medium term, estimated between four to eight years. 

The firm made this prediction after comparing the growth of the equity markets in South Africa, Russia, and Qatar when they hosted the mega football gala in 2010, 2018, and 2022, respectively. 

According to the analysis, hosting the FIFA World Cup in 2034 is expected to significantly impact the Saudi economy, further accelerating the growth driven by Vision 2030 — a national program aimed at diversifying the Kingdom’s economy beyond oil dependence.

“The decision for the host is usually made roughly seven to 12 years in advance. Post announcement, equity markets generally performed well with South Africa showing the strongest return, followed by Qatar and Russia. Therefore, we expect the Saudi market to outperform emerging markets in the coming period,” said SNB Capital. 

It added: “FIFA 2034 also reflects positively on the equity market, leading to positive market return, valuation expansion as well as resilience and quick recovery from any potential global market headwinds.” 

In the short term, between one to four years, Saudi Arabia will have extensive infrastructure spending, including stadiums, transportation networks, and urban development. 

In this period, the infrastructure and construction sectors will be the primary beneficiaries, which include steel, cables, and cement companies in the Kingdom. 

In the medium term, between four to eight years, these projects will be near completion, and construction companies will benefit during this period.

In the long term, between eight to 12 years, the tourism and hospitality sectors will receive gains, while the retail industry, including discretionary retailers and car rental companies, is also poised to receive benefits. 

In November, experts told Arab News that Saudi Arabia could expect a GDP boost of between $9 billion and $14 billion from the event, as well as the creation of 1.5 million new jobs and the construction of 230,000 hotel rooms developed across five host cities. 

SNB Capital estimates that the total cost of hosting the World Cup in Saudi Arabia will be around $26 billion. This cost is considered relatively low, as much of the required infrastructure investment is already part of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 plans. Additionally, hosting the World Cup follows Expo 2030, another major global event.

In the previous editions of the tournament, Qatar spent a staggering $243 billion, while expenses to host the event in South Africa came in at $7.2 billion.

Brazil’s 2014 hosting involved a spend of $19.7 billion, while Russia invested $16 billion in 2018.

Earlier this month, the bid evaluation report released by FIFA showed that Saudi Arabia is set to deliver a World Cup in 2034 that saves $450 million on costs. 

The bid evaluation report added that revenue from ticket and hospitality will surpass FIFA’s baseline projections by 32 percent, or $240 million.

FIFA added that online and licensing revenue streams are forecast to outperform by $7 million, compared to baseline figures. 

SNB Capital also echoed similar views and said that the World Cup is expected to improve the outlook of broadcasting and event management companies. 

The analysis revealed that FIFA 2034 will boost Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector, leading to higher revenues from the industry. 

The event is also expected to create permanent and temporary jobs across various sectors in the Kingdom, reducing unemployment and boosting disposable income. 

“A successful hosting of the World Cup will also leave a legacy of high-quality infrastructure which will help Saudi to cater to the potential pickup in tourism demand beyond 2034,” added SNB Capital. 


Oil Updates — crude retreats on demand concerns after Fed signals slower easing ahead

Updated 19 December 2024
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Oil Updates — crude retreats on demand concerns after Fed signals slower easing ahead

LONDON: Oil prices fell in Asian trade on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve signaled it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, which could slow economic growth and reduce fuel demand.

Brent futures fell 47 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $72.92 a barrel by 8:15 a.m. Saudi Time. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 39 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $70.19.

The declines reversed most of the benchmark contracts’ gains from Wednesday when prices settled higher as US crude stocks fell and the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected.

Prices weakened after US central bankers issued projections calling for two quarter-point interest rate cuts in 2025 on concerns about rising inflation. That was half a point less than they had anticipated as of September.

Lower rates decrease borrowing costs, which can boost economic growth and demand for oil.

“The demand-supply balance going into 2025 continues to look unfavorable and predictions of more than 1.0 million bpd demand growth in 2025 look stretched in our opinion. Even if OPEC+ continues to withhold production, the market may still be in surplus,” DBS Bank’s energy sector team lead Suvro Sarkar said.

Meanwhile, although demand in the first half of December rose year-on-year, volumes remained lower than expected by some analysts.

JP Morgan analysts said in a note that global oil demand growth for December so far was 700,000 barrels per day less than it had expected, and for the year-to-date, global demand had risen by 200,000 bpd less than it had forecast in November 2023.

Official data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed US crude stocks fell by 934,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 13, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.6 million-barrel draw.

While the drawdown was less than expected, the market found support in the data as US crude exports rose by 1.8 million bpd last week to 4.89 million bpd.


SAMA cuts benchmark interest rate to 5% in line with US Federal Reserve move 

Updated 19 December 2024
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SAMA cuts benchmark interest rate to 5% in line with US Federal Reserve move 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate to 5 percent, its third cut this year, aligning with the US Federal Reserve’s decision to reduce rates by 25 basis points. 

The institution also known as SAMA, cut its repurchase agreement rate to 5 percent and the reverse repurchase agreement rate to 4.5 percent, it said in a statement. The move is aimed at maintaining monetary stability amid shifting global economic conditions. 

The move aligns with the US Federal Reserve decision, which similarly cut rates by 25 basis points, bringing its target range to between 4.25 percent and 4.5 percent. 

“This decision is in line with SAMA’s mandate of preserving monetary stability in the context of global developments,” SAMA said. 

The reduction follows a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut in September and reflects a recalibration of policy as inflationary pressures ease. The move is expected to lower borrowing costs, providing relief after two years of elevated rates designed to curb inflation.  

Central banks across the Gulf Cooperation Council, whose currencies are largely pegged to the dollar, mirrored the Fed’s move despite relatively stable inflation levels in the region. 

The UAE cut its overnight deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 4.4 percent, while Oman trimmed its repo rate by the same margin to 5 percent. Qatar opted for a slightly deeper reduction, lowering its three main rates by 30 basis points. Bahrain reduced its overnight deposit rate by 25 basis points to 5 percent. 

In a separate statement, the Central Bank of Kuwait announced on Wednesday that it had adopted a “gradual and balanced approach” to monetary policy, reducing its discount rate by 25 basis points to 4 percent, effective Sept. 19. 

Over the past two years, the US Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation, significantly tightening monetary policy to stabilize prices. 

Although inflation in the US has edged closer to the Fed’s 2 percent target, it remains slightly elevated, leaving consumers burdened by high costs.  

The GCC economies, particularly Saudi Arabia, stand to benefit from the recent rate cuts. Lower borrowing costs are expected to bolster the Kingdom’s non-oil sectors, a key pillar of Vision 2030. Industries such as construction, real estate, and services, which have already experienced robust growth, are likely to gain additional momentum. 

Moreover, cheaper credit could accelerate investments in infrastructure and technology — two critical components of Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification strategy.