LONDON: Business conditions in Saudi Arabia marginally improved in February compared to the previous month’s historic low, according to a survey of the country’s non-oil private sector.
The Emirates NBD Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 53.2, a slight uptick on January’s measure of 53, which was the lowest reading since the survey began in 2009. A reading above 50 indicates growth, while anything below indicates a contraction.
New order growth in the country slowed sharply last month, with a measure of 52.9 marking the lowest level in the survey’s history.
Although current business conditions remain muted, the outlook for future growth prospects improved, reaching its highest point since April 2014.
“While the pace of expansion in Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector was slow by historical standards in February, firms were much more upbeat about prospects for the coming year, citing new project wins and stronger growth prospects,” said Khatija Haque, head of regional research at Emirates NBD.
The latest reading comes after the introduction of a new value-added tax (VAT) and a range of price hikes at the start of the year in the Kingdom.
Jason Tuvey, Middle East economist at Capital Economics, said these factors contributed to both the increase in inflation and a deterioration in economic conditions, which has eroded households’ consumer spending.
Firms appear to be responding by absorbing some of the impact in their profit margins rather than passing it on to consumers,” he said in a research note.
According to the ENBD PMI survey, firms in Saudi Arabia cut selling prices in February by the most in the survey’s history in response to weakening demand.
While noting that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector is likely to improve, Tuvey warned that households will be the “weak spot” for economic recovery. He said an increase in government infrastructure spending will be the main driver for future growth in the non-oil sector.
The survey said that lower PMI readings recorded so far this year were likely in response to the rapid increase in activity and purchasing in the last quarter of 2017, ahead of the introduction of the VAT charge in January.
“We expect this to be a temporary phenomenon and we expect the PMIs to recover over the next couple of months,” the report said.
Elsewhere, the UAE’s PMI dropped for the second month in a row in February to 55.1. It marks the lowest reading since September 2017.
The survey said slower growth in output last month was the main driver behind the drop in the reading. Business optimism about future output also declined last month, falling to 57.2 from 71.2 in January.
As in Saudi Arabia, the lower readings were also put down to a reaction to increased spending at the end of last year ahead of the UAE’s new VAT law introduced on Jan. 1.
The UAE’s non-oil sector will grow at a faster rate in 2018 as the government ramps up spending on both infrastructure projects and public sector wages, the survey said.
Saudi business conditions improve as corporate outlook strengthens
Saudi business conditions improve as corporate outlook strengthens
‘Paradigm shift’ as GCC urban population to surge 30% by 2030: Arthur D. Little
RIYADH: Urban populations across the Gulf Cooperation Council region are projected to grow 30 percent from 2020 to 2030, increasing demand for housing, infrastructure, and inclusive development, analysts say.
In its latest report, international management consulting firm Arthur D. Little said that 90 percent of GCC residents will live in cities by 2050, providing a $150 billion economic regional opportunity.
The study revealed that Saudi Arabia is leading this transition, with the Kingdom eyeing to build 500,000 new housing units to meet the rising demand.
Saudi Arabia is undertaking a dozen giga-projects to address the needs of its growing urban population. These developments are key to the government’s economic diversification goals, forming a core component of Vision 2030.
“We’re witnessing a paradigm shift. This isn’t about building cities — it’s about creating living, breathing economic ecosystems that grow from within local communities,” said Rajesh Duneja, lead researcher at Arthur D. Little.
Driven by Vision 2030 objectives and its Quality of Life Program, Saudi Arabia is striving for three of its cities to be recognized among the top 100 in the world for livability.
The consulting firm added that the Kingdom’s ongoing efforts are not just a construction initiative but a catalyst for opportunity, education, and long-term economic contribution, with Saudi Arabia embedding workforce development, small and medium enterprises, and local engagement in this journey.
Earlier this month, a report released by real estate and investment management firm JLL said that the ongoing urban infrastructure development in Saudi Arabia is creating new hotspots for growth, driven by a surge in tourism and economic diversification efforts.
In July, an analysis by British property consultancy Savills said that the Kingdom’s capital city, Riyadh, is poised to be one of the fastest-growing metropolizes in the world over the next decade, driven by the growth of the country’s mega projects.
In July, a report released by Statista also outlined urbanization progress in Arab world nations, with Kuwait already having a 100 percent urban population in 2023.
Statista added that 99.35 percent of people in Qatar live in urban areas, followed by Bahrain, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, with 89.87 percent, 87.78 percent, and 84.95 percent, respectively.
The Arthur D. Little report said the surging demand for housing and infrastructure in the region also calls for community-driven strategies to adopt a more inclusive approach, as traditional infrastructure models alone cannot meet the scale of this demand.
“The pace of urbanization across the Middle East, especially Saudi Arabia, is unprecedented. To ensure that ambitious goals, such as those embodied in Vision 2030, are reached, it is vitally important that communities participate in, and feel part of, the changes,” said Arthur D. Little.
The analysis added that these community-focused strategies are not only enhancing social impact but also driving economic growth.
The management consulting firm projected that community-focused initiatives could support the region’s 4 percent gross domestic product growth trajectory, reinforcing its economic resilience amid global challenges.
“This is not just urban development. It’s the emergence of a new economic blueprint that places human potential at its core,” said Maurice Salem, principal at Arthur D. Little Middle East.
According to the study, the region’s demographic profile also strengthens the necessity for a community-driven approach.
“With only 3 percent of the population in Saudi Arabia over the age of 65, the Middle East has an unparalleled opportunity to leverage its young, dynamic workforce,” said the report.
It added: “When integrated with local talent, cultural heritage, and SME development, infrastructure projects become engines of socio-economic transformation.”
Oil Updates — crude gains as cooling US inflation points to possible easing
SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Monday as lower-than-expected US inflation data revived hopes for further policy easing, although the outlook for a supply surplus next year weighed on the market, according to Reuters.
Brent crude futures rose 36 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $73.30 a barrel by 07:21 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 39 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $69.85 per barrel.
“Risk assets, including US equity futures and crude oil, have started the week on a firmer footing,” IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said, adding that cooler inflation data helped alleviate concerns following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut.
“I think the US Senate passing legislation to end the brief shutdown over the weekend has helped,” he said.
Both oil benchmarks fell more than 2 percent last week on concerns about global economic growth and oil demand after the US central bank signaled caution over further easing of monetary policy. Research from Asia’s top refiner Sinopec pointing to China’s oil consumption peaking in 2027 also weighed on prices.
Money managers raised their net-long US crude futures and options positions in the week to Dec. 17, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Friday.
Concerns about European supply eased on reports the Druzhba pipeline, which sends Russian and Kazakh oil to Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Germany, has restarted after halting on Thursday due to technical problems at a Russian pumping station.
Shipments resumed on Saturday, according to Belarus’ BelTa state news agency. On Sunday, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said supplies on Druzbha to the country had restarted.
Before the halt, the pipeline was shipping 300,000 barrels per day of crude.
US President Donald Trump on Friday urged the EU to increase US oil and gas imports or face tariffs on the bloc's exports.
The European Commission said it was ready to discuss with Trump how to strengthen what it described as an already strong relationship, including in the energy sector.
Trump also threatened to reassert US control over the Panama Canal on Sunday, accusing Panama of charging excessive rates to use the Central American passage and drawing a sharp rebuke from Panamanian President Jose Raul Mulino.
In the US, the number of operating oil rigs was up one to 483 last week, the highest since September, Baker Hughes reported on Friday.
Macquarie analysts projected growing supply surplus for next year, which will weigh down Brent prices to an average at $70.50 a barrel, from this year’s average of $79.64 a barrel, they said in a December report.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,849
- Parallel market Nomu lost 205.92 points, or 0.65%, to close at 31,238.29
- MSCI Tadawul Index shed 4.86 points, or 0.33%, to close at 1,484.56
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Sunday, losing 43.07 points, or 0.36 percent, to close at 11,849.37.
The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.14 billion ($1.1 million), as 84 of the stocks advanced and 137 retreated.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 205.92 points, or 0.65 percent, to close at 31,238.29. This comes as 37 of the listed stocks advanced while 49 retreated.
The MSCI Tadawul Index also lost 4.86 points, or 0.33 percent, to close at 1,484.56.
The best-performing stock of the day was Saudi Vitrified Clay Pipes Co., whose share price surged 9.89 percent to SR38.90.
Other top performers included SHL Finance Co., whose share price rose 6.43 percent to SR18.20, as well as Taiba Investments Co., whose share price surged 4.97 percent to SR39.05.
Riyadh Cables Group Co. recorded the biggest drop, falling 6.30 percent to SR136.80.
Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Co. saw its stock prices fall 5.15 percent to SR26.70.
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group also saw its stock prices decline 4.02 percent to SR286.60.
Meanwhile, Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. has announced moving its headquarters to Riyadh.
The company’s shares will be suspended for two business days starting Dec. 22, following the board of directors’ recommendation to reduce capital by 26.5 percent from SR 297 million to SR 218.3 million during an extraordinary general meeting held on Dec. 19.
The National Agricultural Development Co. has announced the release of its Sustainability and Environmental, Social, and Governance report.
According to a Tadawul statement, it outlines the company’s approach to embedding sustainability criteria within its strategic direction and operations as well. It reflects the firm’s commitment to its ESG responsibilities along with its devotion to sustainable development objectives in line with the Global Reporting Initiative standards.
NADEC’s strategy complements the requirements for economic growth, keeps pace with developments in the Kingdom, and aligns with Vision 2030, which emphasizes environmental sustainability and renewable energy as fundamental components of development.
The analysis further provides a comprehensive insight into NADEC’s sustainability initiatives and commitments for the year 2023. The statement also disclosed that NADEC will periodically issue reports to keep stakeholders informed of ongoing developments going forward.
NADEC ended the session at SR25.50, up 0.98 percent.
Alhasoob Co. has announced the termination of the non-binding memorandum of understanding to acquire all shares of Alkhorayef Printing Solutions Co. by issuing shares to its owner Alkhorayef Group Co.
A bourse filing revealed that this comes without reaching an agreement between the two parties and without any obligation on either party.
Alhasoob Co. ended the session at SR64.20, down 3.07 percent.
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation has announced the board decision to distribute SR5.1 billion in interim cash dividends to shareholders for the second half of the year.
According to a Tadawul statement, the total number of shares eligible for dividends amounted to 3 billion shares, with the dividend per share standing at SR1.70. The statement also revealed that the percentage of dividend to the share par value stood at 17 percent.
SABIC ended the session at SR67.00, up 0.30 percent.
Saudi Arabia accelerates digital transformation with new transport initiatives
- Aim to increase the transport and logistics sector’s contribution to Kingdom’s GDP from 6% in 2021 to 10% by 2030
- Strategy envisions increasing air freight capacity to over 4.5 million tonnes annually
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Transport and Logistics has taken a significant step forward in its digital transformation with the launch of a new Digitalization and Technical Processing Center, alongside the unveiling of the Unified Documents and Records Platform.
These initiatives were announced by Minister of Transport and Logistics Services Saleh Al-Jasser during a ceremony attended by senior officials and industry leaders, as reported by the Saudi Press Agency.
The new center and platform are part of the ministry’s broader strategy to accelerate digitalization in line with the National Transport and Logistics Strategy and Vision 2030 goals.
A primary aim of these efforts is to increase the transport and logistics sector’s contribution to Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product from 6 percent in 2021 to 10 percent by 2030. This would generate an additional SR45 billion ($11.9 billion) in non-oil revenues annually.
To achieve these goals, the NTLS prioritizes infrastructure development and operational improvements. Key plans include expanding the railway network by approximately 8,080 km, which features the 1,300 km “land bridge” project, and enhancing port infrastructure to accommodate over 40 million containers annually.
The strategy envisions increasing air freight capacity to over 4.5 million tonnes annually, as well as expanding international flight destinations to over 250.
Improving service quality and safety is another critical focus. The NTLS aims to position Saudi Arabia among the top 10 countries in the Logistics Performance Index and secure 6th place in the Road Infrastructure Quality Index. It also seeks to reduce road traffic accidents and fatalities by over 50 percent and cut fuel consumption in the transport sector by 25 percent.
In conjunction with the digitalization efforts, the ministry also inaugurated a historical exhibition that highlights key documents, photographs, and equipment used throughout the history of Saudi Arabia’s transport sector.
The exhibition also includes specialized laboratories for document restoration and sterilization, as well as a centralized destruction center to safeguard the security and confidentiality of information.
Bandar Al-Roqi, general supervisor of the ministry’s Document and Archive Center, emphasized the collaborative nature of the project, acknowledging the contributions of various ministry departments in its successful realization.
The project reflects the ministry’s commitment to integrating modern technologies to drive digital transformation while preserving the country’s transport history.
Saudi flyadeal records lowest complaint in November, 99% resolution rate: GACA
- flynas was second, with 12 complaints per 100,000 travelers and a resolution rate of 100%
- Saudia was third, with 13 complaints per 100,000 passengers and a resolution rate of 99%
RIYADH: Saudi low-cost airline flyadeal recorded the fewest complaints among its competitors in November, with just 11 per 100,000 travelers, and achieved a 99 percent resolution rate, a recent report revealed.
Issued by the Kingdom’s General Authority of Civil Aviation, the classification index for air transport service providers and airports is designed to inform passengers about performance, helping them make more informed decisions.
Low-cost carrier flynas was second, with 12 complaints per 100,000 travelers and a resolution rate of 100 percent, and Saudia was third, with 13 complaints per 100,000 passengers and a resolution rate of 99 percent.
Saudi Arabia’s aviation sector is rapidly growing as the nation aims to become a regional hub and major tourist destination. Through the Saudi Aviation Strategy, which opens the sector to global investors, streamlines licensing, and promotes competition, over $100 billion in aviation investment is being attracted to support the Kingdom’s Vision 2030’s goals.
The report is in line with GACA’s efforts to promote transparency, demonstrate its credibility and keenness to deal with travelers’ complaints, stimulate fair competition, and develop and improve services.
The figures from the analysis also align well with the National Aviation Strategy by the Kingdom, which aims to increase the air passenger throughput more than three-fold to 330 million by 2030.
The GACA data further revealed that despite serving over 6 million annual passengers, King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh had 13 complaints, a low rate of 0.4 percent per 100,000 passengers, and a 100 percent resolution record.
Prince Sultan Bin Abdulaziz International Airport, with nearly 6 million annual passengers, also had a complaint rate of 0.4 percent per 100,000 passengers and a 100 percent resolution rate.
King Saud Airport had the lowest complaints among domestic airports, with a rate of 3 percent per 100,000 passengers and a 100 percent resolution rate.
The most common complaints in November were related to luggage, flights, and tickets.
According to the 2024 State of Aviation Report by GACA, a key measure of the aviation sector’s success is the 7 percent growth in air cargo, reaching 900,000 tonnes, alongside a record-breaking 112 million passengers in 2023.
This passenger volume was surpassed by a 17 percent increase in the first half of 2024, with the number of flights growing by 12 percent compared to the same period last year, reaching 815,000.
