New York plans how to return to business amid pandemic

A general view of the inside of a mostly empty Grand Central Station in New York City. (AFP)
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Updated 27 April 2020
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New York plans how to return to business amid pandemic

  • Many small businesses have yet to receive emergency loans promised by the US Congress

NEW YORK:  Banks are considering letting some employees keep working from home indefinitely, and staggering the shifts of those who do come into the office.

Hotels are trying to figure out a way to let arriving guests go straight to their rooms without signing in at the reception desk.

New York — the financial, cultural and tourism capital of the United States — is gingerly preparing to get back to business after more than a month of coronavirus shutdown.

“’When will we return to work?’ is a question on many people’s minds these days,” said Jane Fraser, the No. 2 official at Citigroup. She has assembled a committee of veteran bankers to come up with conservative scenarios for a return to something resembling normalcy.

Most Citigroup employees currently work from home, including CEO Michael Corbat.

Like its rivals, Citi has set up market-watching computer terminals for traders at home, although some traders have been sent to specially disinfected facilities to do their jobs.

BACKGROUND

  • Financial services represents nearly 10 percent of private sector jobs in the city, which is home of the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq and headquarter offices of several large banks. Finance also represents 29 percent of the city’s GDP.
  • Citigroup anticipates that some employees will be reluctant to return to work, with no treatment yet available.
  • At JPMorgan Chase, one of the city’s largest employers, the return to work will be modeled somewhat after how New York’s economy was restarted after the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic.
  • Many businesses have unpaid rent and bills, and no savings to dip into.

The bank anticipates that some employees will be reluctant to return to work, with no treatment or vaccine yet available for COVID-19.

For those employees “we will want to do our best to provide them the flexibility to continue working remotely,” said Fraser.

Financial services represents nearly 10 percent of private sector jobs in the city, which is home of the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq and headquarter offices of several large banks. Finance also represents 29 percent of the city’s GDP.

At JPMorgan Chase, one of the city’s largest employers, the return to work will be modeled somewhat after how New York’s economy was restarted after the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic.

“Employees will return to work on-site in a phased approach over a period of time,” read an internal memo.

This won praise from Patrick Foye, chairman and CEO of the Metropolitan Transportation Association, who said that staggered office shifts will reduce congestion, and chances of contagion, on the city subway, trains and buses.

Having people come in three days a week, as opposed to five, as well as having them stay at least six feet apart, would be helpful measures, Foye told journalists in a recent video conference.

New York is the most densely populated US city. The epicenter of the US coronavirus pandemic, New York has been through crises before, including the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks and the great recession of 2008. But those challenges are minor compared to the task of reopening the Big Apple this time.

Measures taken to curb the spread of the virus will probably destroy 475,000 jobs through March 2021 and leave New York with a 9.7 billion dollar budget deficit, according to the Independent Budget Office.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has said the city will gradually return to business, area by area, but gave no date or conditions.

The city’s 25,000 bars and restaurants are wondering if they will be allowed to operate full-steam in a world now shaped by social distancing.

“If you have to open up 50 percent reduced occupancy — we understand that from a public health perspective, but many businesses are not financially viable,” said Andrew Rigie, head of the New York City Hospitality Alliance, which represents restaurants and nightlife venues.

Many businesses have unpaid rent and bills, and no savings to dip into. Many small businesses have also yet to receive emergency loans promised in massive relief packages approved by the US Congress, as banks tasked with disbursing the money prefer to give it to larger companies.

A huge question mark also hovers over everything: Will people be comfortable gathering in large groups in small spaces again?

“We do not know what consumer purchasing behavior is going to be like,” said Rigie. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069

Updated 05 January 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069

 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index fell on Sunday, shedding 32.73 points, or 0.27 percent, to close at 12,069.82.

The total trading turnover for the benchmark index amounted to SR4.21 billion ($1.12 billion), with 119 stocks advancing and 106 retreating.

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu registered a gain of 48.69 points, or 0.16 percent, closing at 31,054.38. Out of the stocks listed on Nomu, 38 advanced while 41 declined. The MSCI Tadawul Index also declined, dropping 7.32 points, or 0.48 percent, to close at 1,509.84.

Among the top performers of the day was Saudi Reinsurance Co., whose stock surged 9.94 percent to SR59.70. 

Salama Cooperative Insurance Co. also posted a strong performance, with its share price rising 8.44 percent to SR21.06, while Riyadh Cables Group Co. saw its stock climb 6.34 percent to SR151.00. 

However, National Medical Care Co. recorded the day’s steepest decline, falling 3.49 percent to SR160.40. Emaar The Economic City and the Power and Water Utility Co. for Jubail and Yanbu also experienced losses, with their share prices dropping 3.06 percent to SR18.38 and 2.93 percent to SR53.00, respectively.

In corporate news, Al-Yamamah Steel Industries Co. announced the signing of a SR97.5 million contract with the Saudi-based Trading & Development Partnership. The agreement involves the supply of steel towers for constructing a 380-kilovolt ultra-high voltage transmission line in the Eastern Region. 

The contract, which will commence in May 2025, is expected to reflect on the company’s financial results starting from the third quarter of 2025. 

Shares of Al-Yamamah Steel ended the session 6.25 percent higher at SR36.40.

The Saudi Industrial Development Co. disclosed that its subsidiary, Global Co. for Marketing Sleeping Systems, also known as Sleep High, has secured a Shariah-compliant SR9 million credit facility from Riyadh Bank. 

The financing, guaranteed under the Kafalah Program, will be utilized to support the subsidiary’s working capital needs. SIDC shares closed 0.67 percent higher at SR30.00.

Saudi Arabian Amiantit Co. signed a memorandum of understanding with the Libyan Development & Reconstruction Fund to collaborate on water technology transfer, sewage treatment, and pipe production. 

The one-year agreement aims to localize industries in Libya, create employment opportunities, and transfer manufacturing expertise. It also includes plans to establish joint factories specializing in fiberglass and polyethylene pipes, as well as valves, to support Libyan national projects. 

Shares of Amiantit rose 1.90 percent to close at SR29.40.

United International Holding Co. announced the extension of its memorandum of understanding with Nowpay Corp. for an additional two months. The partnership aims to establish a payroll administration and processing firm in Saudi Arabia. 

The venture, which will require an initial investment of SR75 million, will be 75 percent owned by United International Holding and 25 percent by Nowpay Corp. 

The company’s stock closed 0.75 percent higher at SR187.40.

National Gypsum Co. revealed that it has signed an Islamic financing agreement with Riyadh Bank valued at SR35 million. The funds will be directed toward expanding operations and upgrading production lines. The financing will last for one and a half years and is backed by promissory notes and a property mortgage. 

The company’s share price remained unchanged at SR22.16.


Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers

Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s listed companies witnessed significant growth in 2024, with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi Bank emerging as the top performers on the Tadawul All Share Index.

ACWA Power Co. led the index, contributing 295 points, followed by Al Rajhi Bank with a 207-point increase, according to data from SNB Capital cited by Al-Ekhbariya.

ACWA Power’s stock surged from SR255.89 at the start of 2024 to SR401.4 by year-end, reflecting big growth. Similarly, Al Rajhi Bank’s stock rose from SR86.8 to SR94.6 during the same period. Other notable contributors included Saudi Research and Media Group, adding 44 points to the index, Elm Co. with 43 points, and Ma’aden with 40 points.

However, not all listed companies experienced gains in 2024. Saudi Aramco recorded a significant decline, losing 177 points on the index as its stock price dropped from SR140 to SR111.8. SNB Capital fell by 70 points, followed by SABIC with a 62-point decrease, Banque Saudi Fransi with 32 points, and Sahara International Petrochemical Co., or Sipchem, with 30 points.

The Kingdom’s initial public offering market also saw robust activity in 2024, with 14 IPOs raising SR14.21 billion ($3.7 billion), marking a 19 percent year-on-year increase.

Almoosa Health and Fakeeh Care Group led the IPO market in terms of size, with Fakeeh attracting the highest individual participation, drawing 1.34 million unique investors.

Despite overall success, individual subscriptions accounted for only 13 percent of the total IPO volume, amounting to SR1.94 billion.

Modern Mills Co. led in subscription coverage, achieving a rate of 21.9 times, while the average individual coverage for the year’s IPOs stood at 11.87 times.

The food production sector dominated IPO activity, contributing 26.9 percent of total listings in 2024, with successful debuts by companies such as Modern Mills, Al-Rabie, and Al Arabiya.

IPO valuations varied significantly, with an average price-to-earnings ratio of 34 times. United International Holding recorded the lowest P/E, while Nice One topped the charts with a P/E of 118 times, making it the year’s most expensive IPO.

Looking ahead, SNB Capital forecasts an 8 percent annual profit growth for companies listed on the Tadawul in 2025, with the petrochemical sector expected to lead the way with a 74 percent rise in profits.


Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments

Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments

  • Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year
  • Unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia solidified its status as a regional investment leader with a 7.4 percent year-on-year growth in gross fixed capital formation in the third quarter of 2024, led by the non-government sector.

The Ministry of Investment reported an 8.3 percent increase in the non-government division, reflecting the Kingdom’s ongoing efforts to boost private sector participation in its diversifying economy.

Government-related entities contributed to the overall GFCF growth, with a 2.3 percent increase in the third quarter of 2024.

The non-government sector’s performance aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, which aim to shift the economy from oil dependency by fostering a vibrant private division. 

In line with these goals, the Ministry of Investment issued 3,810 investment licenses in Q3 2024, marking a significant 73.7 percent year-on-year increase.

Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year during the same period, further supporting the Kingdom’s economic diversification efforts.

Key sectors saw notable growth, including wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels rose 5.8 percent, and construction increased 4.6 percent. Transport and communication grew by 4.5 percent, and finance and real estate advanced by 4.2 percent, driven by consumer spending and a dynamic financial sector.

These expansions contributed to the Kingdom’s overall real gross domestic product growth of 2.8 percent year-on-year for the quarter, despite a marginal 0.05 percent increase in oil activities.

The real estate sector also played a pivotal role in the third quarter of 2024, with the Real Estate Price Index rising by 2.6 percent y-o-y. While residential property costs increased by 1.6 percent, commercial properties saw a more pronounced growth of 6.4 percent. However, agricultural real estate prices declined by 8.7 percent, reflecting sectoral disparities. 

Complementing these trends, real estate loans by banks witnessed a 13.3 percent year-on-year increase, showcasing heightened investor interest in property development and acquisitions. 

Saudi Arabia’s economic resilience is further evident in labor market improvements. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent in this period, a 0.5 percentage point decrease from the same quarter in 2023. The Saudi unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent, a one percentage point decline year-on-year.


Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report

Updated 57 min 15 sec ago
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Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report

  • QNB forecasts US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps
  • It predicts growth of 2.2% in 2025, down from 2.6% in 2024

RIYADH: Global economic growth is set to accelerate in 2025 as monetary easing, US resilience, and recoveries in Europe and China drive momentum, with Southeast Asian economies benefiting from positive spillovers.

The Qatar National Bank projects a 3.2 percent global growth rate, outpacing Bloomberg’s consensus of 3.1 percent, the state’s news agency QNA reported.

In its latest commentary, QNB anticipates growth in major economies, driven by controlled inflation, eased financial constraints, and policy adjustments by central banks. Emerging markets, specifically the Association of Southeast Asian Nations economies, are set to benefit from these advancements.

The report said that analysts have consistently underestimated global economic performance, as initial projections for 2023 and 2024 fell short of realized growth by 80 and 40 basis points, respectively.

“Analysts and economists have been proving to be over pessimistic when it comes to forecasting major economies and global growth in recent years,” reported QNA.

The national bank added: “In fact, over the last two years, initial expectations for growth were 80 basis points and 40 bps below realized growth in 2023 and 2024, respectively.”

It forecasts the US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps.

“This should support further investment and consumption growth, as credit becomes cheaper, new investment opportunities become more attractive, and the opportunity costs of spending decrease,” it added.

In the US, QNB predicts growth of 2.2 percent in 2025, down from 2.6 percent in 2024 but still above the long-term average of 2.3 percent.

“The US economy is expected to remain on a strong footing as labor markets are resilient, productivity is growing rapidly with fast technology adoption, and households have robust balance sheets with the strongest financial position in decades,” QNB said.

Europe and China are expected to recover from extended periods of stagnation. Growth in the European area is forecast to rise from 0.7 percent in 2024 to 1.0 percent in 2025, supported by lower energy prices and a rebound in global manufacturing demand.

China’s growth is projected to increase from 4.8 percent to 5.0 percent, driven by policy easing and renewed economic momentum.

Emerging Asian nations, particularly ASEAN economies, are set to benefit significantly. “Stronger growth in China is likely to be a significant tailwind to emerging Asia in general and ASEAN economies in particular,” QNB said.

The region’s five largest markets, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, are forecasted to grow by 5.2 percent in 2025, up from 4.4 percent in 2024.

“All in all, we expect to see a moderate acceleration of global growth in 2025, with significant monetary easing, a resilient US economy, a cyclical recovery in Europe and China, and positive spillovers to ASEAN economies,” QNB said.


Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024

Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024

  • Airport’s busiest day ever recorded was on Dec. 31, 2024
  • KAIA handled 47.1 million bags in 2024

RIYADH: King Abdulaziz International Airport in the Saudi port city of Jeddah served 49.1 million passengers in 2024, representing a 14 percent growth compared to the previous year. 

In a statement, Jeddah Airports Co. said that this achievement marks a “historic milestone,” as KAIA handled the highest annual operational figure in the history of airports in the Kingdom in 2024. 

The airport’s busiest day ever recorded was on Dec. 31, 2024, when it served more than 174,600 passengers. 

December also became the busiest month in the airport’s history, with passenger numbers surpassing 4.7 million. 

Strengthening the aviation sector is crucial for Saudi Arabia, as the Kingdom aims to position itself as a global tourism hub by the end of this decade. 

The National Tourism Strategy of Saudi Arabia aims to attract 150 million visitors by 2030 and increase the sector’s contribution to the nation’s gross domestic product from 6 percent to 10 percent.

KAIA also reported a significant increase in total flights last year, which exceeded 278,000, marking an 11 percent increase compared to 2023. 

The press statement added that KAIA also handled 47.1 million bags in 2024, with a 21 percent growth in operational throughput. 

Mazen Johar, CEO of Jeddah Airports attributed this rise in numbers to the KAIA’s accelerated operational growth, enabled by the Kingdom’s leadership and the close oversight of the Ministry of Transport and Logistics. 

Saudia achieves the highest punctuality rate

The Kingdom’s national carrier, Saudia, has topped the list of global airlines in departure on-time performance with a punctuality rate of 88.82 percent in 2024, according to new data from the independent aviation tracking site Cirium. 

According to a press statement, Saudia also ranked second globally in arrival on-time performance, achieving a rate of 86.35 percent. 

Over the past 12 months, the airline successfully operated 192,560 flights across its network of over 100 destinations spanning four continents. 

“We are proud to sustain excellence in global operational performance, which aligns with the objectives of the National Transport and Logistics Strategy and the National Aviation Sector Strategy,” said Ibrahim Al-Omar, director general of Saudia Group. 

He added: “This achievement reflects the collective efforts of Saudia Group employees across all business units and highlights the integrated role played by various sectors in ensuring operational efficiency. These efforts are directly tied to enhancing and improving the guest experience.” 

Saudia operates over 530 daily flights, connecting more than 100 destinations across four continents to the Kingdom with a fleet of 144 aircraft.

In the statement, the airline added that it plans to expand its fleet with 130 new aircraft in the coming years, increasing flight frequency and seat capacity to existing destinations while introducing new destinations to its network.